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SBA	
  @	
  COP20	
  
A	
  Synthesis	
  Report	
  
Issues	
  &	
  Outcomes	
  	
  
from	
  the	
  	
  
UNFCCC	
  COP	
  20	
  -­‐	
  CMP	
  10,	
  
Lima	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
   Sustainable Business Australia
	
  
	
  
Contents	
  
COP	
  20	
  	
  
3	
  -­‐	
  In	
  Summary	
  
4	
  -­‐	
  Decisions	
  &	
  Outcomes	
  
The	
  Lima	
  Call	
  for	
  Climate	
  AcJon	
  	
  
5	
  -­‐	
  In	
  Summary	
  
6	
  -­‐	
  Australia	
  at	
  COP	
  
7	
  -­‐	
  What	
  it	
  means	
  for	
  business	
  
SBA	
  @	
  Lima	
  
8	
  -­‐	
  WBCSD,	
  Engagement	
  
9	
  –	
  Statement	
  
2015	
  
10	
  -­‐	
  The	
  Road	
  to	
  Paris	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
COP20	
  	
  
In	
  Summary	
  
RepresentaJves	
  of	
  196	
  naJons	
  assembled	
  (Dec	
  1-­‐	
  12	
  2014)	
  in	
  Lima,	
  Peru	
  for	
  the	
  annual	
  Conference	
  of	
  the	
  ParJes	
  to	
  the	
  United	
  NaJons	
  Framework	
  ConvenJon	
  on	
  Climate	
  
Change	
   (UNFCCC)	
   brought	
   together	
   over	
   11,000	
   parJcipants,	
   including	
   approximately	
   6,300	
   government	
   officials,	
   4,000	
   representaJves	
   from	
   UN	
   bodies	
   and	
   agencies,	
  
intergovernmental	
   organizaJons	
   and	
   civil	
   society	
   organizaJons,	
   and	
   900	
   members	
   of	
   the	
   media.	
   NegoJaJons	
   focused	
   on	
   outcomes	
   necessary	
   to	
   advance	
   towards	
   an	
  
agreement	
  in	
  Paris	
  at	
  COP	
  21	
  in	
  2015,	
  including	
  elaboraJon	
  of	
  the	
  informaJon,	
  and	
  process,	
  required	
  for	
  submission	
  of	
  intended	
  naJonally	
  determined	
  contribuJons	
  
(INDCs)	
  as	
  early	
  as	
  possible	
  in	
  2015	
  and	
  progress	
  on	
  elements	
  of	
  a	
  dra`	
  negoJaJng	
  text.	
  	
  	
  
	
  
Following	
  lengthy	
  negoJaJons	
  on	
  a	
  dra`	
  decision	
  for	
  advancing	
  the	
  Durban	
  Plaaorm	
  for	
  Enhanced	
  AcJon,	
  COP	
  20	
  adopted	
  the	
  ‘Lima	
  Call	
  for	
  Climate	
  AcJon,’	
  which	
  sets	
  in	
  
moJon	
  the	
  negoJaJons	
  in	
  the	
  coming	
  year	
  towards	
  a	
  2015	
  agreement,	
  the	
  process	
  for	
  submidng	
  and	
  reviewing	
  INDCs,	
  and	
  enhancing	
  pre-­‐2020	
  ambiJon.	
  	
  Key	
  issues	
  that	
  
framed	
  the	
  COP	
  outcome	
  are	
  canvassed	
  below.	
  
Momentum	
  
In	
  the	
  months	
  leading	
  up	
  to	
  the	
  COP	
  climate	
  commitments	
  from	
  key	
  economies	
  have	
  given	
  a	
  welcome	
  sJmulus	
  to	
  the	
  long-­‐standing	
  climate	
  negoJaJons.	
  In	
  October,	
  
the	
  European	
  Union	
  adopted	
  a	
  package	
  of	
  measures	
  designed	
  to	
  cut	
  greenhouse	
  gases	
  by	
  at	
  least	
  40	
  percent	
  by	
  2030.	
  Then	
  in	
  November,	
  the	
  United	
  States	
  and	
  China	
  
reached	
  a	
  landmark	
  deal	
  that	
  commits	
  the	
  U.S.	
  to	
  emissions	
  reducJons	
  between	
  26	
  to	
  28	
  percent	
  below	
  2005	
  levels	
  by	
  2025,	
  and	
  commits	
  China	
  to	
  reach	
  peak	
  
emissions	
  before	
  2030.	
  	
  Given	
  these	
  developments,	
  negoJators	
  were	
  hopeful	
  that	
  the	
  global	
  community	
  was	
  ready	
  to	
  build	
  a	
  lasJng	
  framework	
  for	
  decarbonizaJon.	
  	
  
Long	
  Term	
  
Vision	
  
In	
  order	
  to	
  hold	
  global	
  mean	
  temperature	
  rises	
  to	
  less	
  than	
  2°C	
  by	
  the	
  end	
  of	
  this	
  century	
  —	
  and	
  thereby	
  avoid	
  the	
  most	
  dangerous	
  impacts	
  of	
  climate	
  change	
  —	
  we	
  
need	
  a	
  long-­‐term	
  vision	
  of	
  decarbonizaJon.	
  NegoJators	
  had	
  begun	
  to	
  submit	
  text	
  that,	
  if	
  adopted,	
  would	
  have	
  moved	
  all	
  countries	
  to	
  enhance	
  emissions	
  reducJons	
  
consistent	
  with	
  carbon	
  neutrality,	
  or	
  “net	
  zero”	
  emissions,	
  by	
  2050.	
  For	
  years,	
  business	
  has	
  been	
  calling	
  for	
  climate	
  policies	
  that	
  are	
  forward-­‐looking,	
  stable,	
  and	
  long-­‐
term.	
  OrganizaJons	
  such	
  as	
  the	
  BSR,	
  WBCSD	
  and	
  We	
  Mean	
  Business	
  coaliJon	
  have	
  argued	
  that	
  the	
  more	
  certainty	
  policymakers	
  provide,	
  the	
  more	
  confidently	
  
companies	
   can	
   invest	
   and	
   conJnue	
   to	
   unleash	
   a	
   wave	
   of	
   innovaJon	
   in	
   low-­‐carbon	
   technologies:	
   creaJng	
   new	
   products	
   and	
   services,	
   generaJng	
   employment,	
  
reducing	
  energy	
  consumpJon,	
  and	
  increasing	
  savings.	
  	
  
Ambi8on	
  
Level	
  for	
  
Emissions	
  
Reduc8ons	
  
Early	
   next	
   year,	
   countries	
   will	
   submit	
   their	
   climate-­‐acJon	
   plans	
   as	
   formal	
   “contribuJons”	
   to	
   be	
   captured	
   in	
   the	
   Paris	
   agreement.	
   It	
   is	
   already	
   clear	
   that	
   these	
  
contribuJons	
  will	
  not	
  contain	
  sufficient	
  ambiJon	
  to	
  close	
  the	
  emissions	
  gap	
  tracked	
  by	
  the	
  United	
  NaJons	
  Environment	
  Programme	
  (UNEP)	
  in	
  annual	
  reports.	
  In	
  other	
  
words,	
  there	
  will	
  sJll	
  be	
  a	
  shoraall	
  between	
  what	
  countries	
  are	
  willing	
  to	
  do	
  and	
  what	
  science	
  says	
  is	
  needed	
  to	
  stabilize	
  the	
  global	
  climate.	
  The	
  challenge	
  therefore	
  is	
  
to	
  think	
  creaJvely	
  about	
  complementary	
  measures	
  that	
  will	
  integrate	
  higher	
  ambiJon	
  from	
  the	
  beginning.	
  
The	
  U.S.	
  
role	
  	
  
In	
   his	
   speech	
   to	
   the	
   COP,	
   Secretary	
   of	
   State	
   John	
   Kerry	
   acknowledged	
   that	
   the	
   United	
   States	
   and	
   other	
   wealthy	
   naJons	
   bear	
   a	
   greater	
   moral	
   responsibility	
   for	
  
addressing	
  climate	
  change.	
  He	
  cited	
  the	
  White	
  House’s	
  “ambiJous”	
  pledge	
  to	
  reduce	
  U.S.	
  carbon	
  emissions	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  a	
  recent	
  $3	
  billion	
  pledge	
  to	
  a	
  $10	
  billion	
  “green	
  
climate	
  fund”	
  to	
  help	
  developing	
  countries	
  cope	
  with	
  the	
  effects	
  of	
  global	
  warming.	
  	
  
India’s	
  role	
  
The	
  Indians	
  are	
  said	
  to	
  be	
  feeling	
  a	
  bit	
  bruised	
  a`er	
  their	
  great	
  ally,	
  China,	
  seems	
  to	
  have	
  sided	
  with	
  the	
  US.	
  But	
  climate	
  change	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  be	
  an	
  important	
  
component	
  of	
  the	
  India	
  –	
  US	
  engagement	
  during	
  President	
  Obama’s	
  visit	
  to	
  India	
  in	
  January	
  2015.	
  Prime	
  Minister	
  Narendra	
  Modi	
  and	
  President	
  Obama	
  are	
  expected	
  
to	
   take	
   forward	
   the	
   partnership	
   in	
   the	
   area	
   of	
   clean	
   energy,	
   first	
   outlined	
   in	
   Washington	
   in	
   September	
   2014.	
   The	
   2015	
   announcement	
   is	
   likely	
   to	
   include	
   an	
  
‘aspiraJonal’	
  peaking	
  year	
  for	
  India’s	
  greenhouse	
  gas	
  emissions.	
  India	
  could	
  be	
  considering	
  pudng	
  forward	
  this	
  month	
  a	
  peak	
  year	
  for	
  emissions	
  between	
  2035	
  –	
  
2050,	
  which	
  –	
  depending	
  on	
  the	
  level	
  at	
  which	
  this	
  peaks	
  occurs	
  –	
  could	
  be	
  consistent	
  with	
  a	
  2C	
  pathway.	
  
China’s	
  role	
   If	
  China	
  fully	
  implement	
  their	
  new	
  post-­‐2020	
  plans,	
  they	
  would	
  limit	
  global	
  temperature	
  rise	
  to	
  around	
  3C	
  by	
  2100,	
  which	
  is	
  between	
  0.2C	
  and	
  0.4C	
  lower	
  than	
  it	
  
would	
  have	
  been.	
  	
  
COP20	
  	
  
Decisions	
  &	
  Outcomes	
  
FRAMEWORK	
  OF	
  DEAL	
  	
  
1.  The	
  2015	
  Agreement	
  will	
  have	
  legal	
  force	
  under	
  the	
  ConvenJon.	
  This	
  is	
  important	
  
as	
  it	
  embraces	
  the	
  provisions	
  and	
  principles	
  of	
  the	
  convenJon	
  including	
  that	
  of	
  
differenJaJon	
  –	
  that	
  is	
  there	
  is	
  a	
  fundamental	
  difference	
  between	
  developed	
  and	
  
developing	
  country	
  capacity	
  to	
  undertake	
  climate	
  acJon.	
  
2.  The	
  legal	
  nature	
  of	
  the	
  2015	
  Agreement	
  remains	
  open	
  as	
  to	
  whether	
  a	
  protocol	
  to	
  
the	
  ConvenJon	
  or	
  a	
  new	
  instrument	
  or	
  outcome.	
  
3.  Re-­‐	
  emphasised	
  the	
  need	
  to	
  chart	
  an	
  emissions	
  reducJon	
  pathway	
  consistent	
  with	
  
below	
  2oC	
  global	
  average	
  temperature	
  rise	
  above	
  pre-­‐industrial	
  levels	
  
4.  That	
  the	
  core	
  elements	
  of	
  the	
  2015	
  Agreement	
  will	
  be:	
  
§  MiJgaJon;	
  
§  AdaptaJon;	
  
§  Finance;	
  
§  Technology	
  development	
  and	
  transfer;	
  
§  Capacity	
  building;	
  and	
  
§  Transparency	
  (read	
  as	
  monitoring,	
  reporJng	
  and	
  verificaJon).	
  
5.  That	
  all	
  countries	
  need	
  to	
  submit	
  INDCs	
  that	
  have	
  commitments	
  covering	
  all	
  of	
  the	
  
above	
  elements	
  and	
  that	
  are	
  more	
  ambiJous	
  than	
  current	
  commitments	
  
including:	
  
•  developed	
  country	
  finance	
  to	
  developing	
  naJons	
  in	
  support	
  of	
  enhancing	
  
their	
  miJgaJon	
  and	
  adaptaJon	
  acJons,	
  
•  a	
  call	
  for	
  INDCs	
  to	
  be	
  submired	
  by	
  all	
  parJes	
  by	
  the	
  1st	
  Qtr	
  of	
  2015	
  (or	
  at	
  
least	
  “well	
  in	
  advance”	
  of	
  COP21),	
  and	
  
•  in	
  a	
  manner	
  that	
  allows	
  the	
  UNFCCC	
  Secretariat	
  to	
  aggregate	
  all	
  
miJgaJon	
  commitments	
  by	
  November	
  2015	
  to	
  see	
  what	
  the	
  2oC	
  shoraall	
  
in	
  miJgaJon	
  ambiJon	
  is.	
  
6.  Support	
  for	
  legal	
  negoJaJng	
  text	
  to	
  be	
  made	
  ready	
  for	
  all	
  parJes	
  by	
  May	
  2015	
  
(noJng	
  that	
  there	
  could	
  be	
  two	
  addiJonal	
  ADP	
  meeJngs	
  in	
  February	
  and	
  April	
  to	
  
achieve	
  this).
Shortly	
  before	
  2	
  a.m.	
  on	
  Sunday	
  14	
  December	
  2014,	
  a`er	
  more	
  than	
  36	
  
straight	
  hours	
  of	
  negoJaJons,	
  the	
  officials	
  from	
  192	
  naJons	
  agreed	
  to	
  the	
  
first	
  deal	
  commidng	
  every	
  country	
  in	
  the	
  world	
  to	
  reducing	
  the	
  fossil	
  fuel	
  
emissions	
  that	
  cause	
  dangerous	
  climate	
  change.	
  
	
  
The	
  driving	
  force	
  behind	
  the	
  new	
  deal	
  was	
  not	
  the	
  threat	
  of	
  sancJons	
  or	
  
other	
  legal	
  consequences.	
  It	
  was	
  global	
  peer	
  pressure.	
  Over	
  the	
  ensuing	
  
months,	
  it	
  will	
  start	
  to	
  become	
  evident	
  whether	
  the	
  scruJny	
  of	
  the	
  rest	
  of	
  
the	
  world	
  is	
  enough	
  to	
  pressure	
  world	
  leaders	
  to	
  push	
  through	
  new	
  
commitments	
  from	
  New	
  Delhi	
  to	
  Moscow	
  or	
  if,	
  as	
  a	
  poliJcal	
  force,	
  
internaJonal	
  reproach	
  is	
  impotent.	
  
	
  
By	
  requiring	
  acJon	
  from	
  every	
  country,	
  the	
  Lima	
  framework	
  will	
  
fundamentally	
  change	
  the	
  old	
  world	
  order	
  that	
  stymied	
  earlier	
  climate	
  
change	
  talks.	
  	
  
	
  
This	
  approach,	
  asking	
  countries	
  to	
  put	
  forward	
  plans	
  shaped	
  by	
  their	
  own	
  
economies	
  and	
  domesJc	
  poliJcs,	
  rather	
  than	
  a	
  ‘top-­‐down’	
  approach	
  will	
  
not	
  rely	
  penalty	
  or	
  sancJon,	
  but	
  geo-­‐poliJck	
  peer	
  group	
  pressure,	
  possibly	
  
through	
  ‘name	
  and	
  shame’.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
The	
  Lima	
  Call	
  for	
  Climate	
  AcJon	
  
In	
  Summary	
  
At	
  its	
  core,	
  the	
  4-­‐page	
  text	
  coming	
  out	
  of	
  the	
  Conference,	
  called	
  Lima	
  Call	
  for	
  
Climate	
  Ac8on,	
  requires	
  every	
  naJon	
  to	
  put	
  forward,	
  over	
  the	
  next	
  six	
  months,	
  a	
  
detailed	
  domesJc	
  policy	
  plan	
  to	
  cut	
  its	
  emissions	
  of	
  planet-­‐warming	
  greenhouse	
  
gases	
  from	
  coal,	
  gas	
  and	
  oil.	
  Those	
  plans,	
  which	
  would	
  be	
  published	
  on	
  a	
  United	
  
NaJons	
  website,	
  would	
  form	
  the	
  basis	
  of	
  the	
  accord	
  to	
  be	
  signed	
  next	
  December	
  
and	
  enacted	
  by	
  2020.	
  
	
  
That	
  basic	
  structure	
  represents	
  a	
  breakthrough	
  in	
  the	
  impasse	
  that	
  has	
  plagued	
  
the	
  United	
  NaJons’	
  20	
  years	
  of	
  efforts	
  to	
  create	
  a	
  serious	
  global	
  warming	
  deal.	
  	
  
UnJl	
  now,	
  negoJaJons	
  had	
  followed	
  a	
  divide	
  put	
  in	
  place	
  by	
  the	
  1997	
  Kyoto	
  
Protocol,	
  which	
  required	
  that	
  developed	
  countries	
  act	
  but	
  did	
  not	
  require	
  anything	
  
of	
  developing	
  naJons,	
  including	
  China	
  and	
  India,	
  two	
  of	
  the	
  largest	
  greenhouse	
  gas	
  
polluters.	
  	
  The	
  structure	
  is	
  reflected	
  in	
  2	
  important	
  documents,	
  their	
  contents	
  
being:	
  
	
  
1.  'Decision	
  text'	
  called	
  Lima	
  Call	
  for	
  Climate	
  Ac/on	
  focusing	
  on	
  the	
  
nature	
  of	
  the	
  INDCs,	
  represenJng	
  a	
  county’s	
  climate	
  acJon	
  
commitments	
  (including	
  emission	
  reducJon	
  targets)	
  
2.  ‘Elements	
  text’	
  that	
  has	
  been	
  made	
  an	
  Annex	
  to	
  the	
  above	
  
document	
  with	
  the	
  core	
  elements	
  being:	
  
•  MiJgaJon	
  
•  AdaptaJon	
  
•  Finance	
  
•  Technology	
  development	
  and	
  transfer	
  
•  Capacity	
  building	
  
•  and	
  Transparency	
  (read	
  as	
  monitoring,	
  reporJng	
  and	
  
verificaJon).	
  
	
  
	
  
COMMENT:	
  WHAT	
  IS	
  MISSING	
  FROM	
  THE	
  TEXTS	
  ?	
  
Legal	
  form	
  
of	
  the	
  Paris	
  
Agreement	
  
The	
  parJes	
  also	
  avoided	
  any	
  serious	
  discussion	
  of	
  what	
  form	
  the	
  2015	
  
Paris	
  agreement	
  would	
  take.	
  	
  The	
  opJons	
  range	
  from	
  a	
  legally	
  binding	
  
Paris	
  Protocol	
  to	
  an	
  ‘agreed	
  outcome	
  with	
  legal	
  force’,	
  which	
  might	
  
entail	
  a	
  mostly	
  aspiraJonal	
  agreement	
  but	
  with	
  a	
  commitment	
  by	
  the	
  
parJes	
  to	
  give	
  domesJc	
  ‘legal	
  force’	
  to	
  their	
  INDCs.	
  	
  	
  	
  
Finance	
  
While	
  the	
  parJes	
  achieved	
  the	
  $10	
  billion	
  threshold	
  for	
  climate	
  finance,	
  
there	
  was	
  no	
  clear	
  pathway	
  agreed	
  as	
  to	
  how	
  the	
  required	
  $100	
  billion	
  
would	
  be	
  raised	
  by	
  2020.	
  	
  
INDCs	
  
The	
  absence	
  of	
  any	
  review	
  mechanism	
  of	
  the	
  parJes’	
  miJgaJon	
  targets	
  
included	
  in	
  their	
  INDCs	
  for	
  the	
  post-­‐2020	
  period.	
  	
  This	
  was	
  largely	
  at	
  
the	
  insistence	
  of	
  the	
  Like-­‐Minded	
  Group	
  of	
  Developing	
  countries	
  
(which	
  included	
  China	
  and	
  India).	
  The	
  review	
  would	
  have	
  entailed	
  an	
  
analysis	
  of	
  whether	
  these	
  targets,	
  when	
  aggregated,	
  were	
  sufficient	
  
hold	
  warming	
  below	
  the	
  2Odegrees	
  guardrail,	
  and	
  whether	
  each	
  
contribuJon	
  was	
  fair,	
  thus	
  creaJng	
  pressure	
  for	
  a	
  further	
  ramping	
  up	
  
of	
  ambiJon.	
  	
  Instead,	
  parJes	
  are	
  merely	
  called	
  upon	
  to	
  make	
  their	
  own	
  
case	
  as	
  to	
  why	
  they	
  think	
  their	
  INDCs	
  are	
  ‘fair	
  and	
  ambiJous,	
  in	
  light	
  of	
  
its	
  naJonal	
  circumstances,	
  and	
  how	
  it	
  contributes	
  towards	
  achieving	
  
the	
  objecJve	
  of	
  the	
  ConvenJon’.	
  	
  The	
  UNFCCC	
  will	
  provide	
  a	
  synthesis	
  
report	
  by	
  the	
  first	
  of	
  November	
  2015,	
  but	
  there	
  will	
  be	
  no	
  formal	
  peer	
  
review,	
  and	
  lirle	
  Jme	
  for	
  informal	
  review	
  before	
  Paris.	
  
Pre-­‐2020	
  
Mi8ga8on	
  
Ambi8on	
  
The	
  ParJes	
  avoided	
  any	
  commitment	
  to	
  raise	
  pre-­‐2020	
  miJgaJon	
  
ambiJon.	
  	
  This	
  means	
  that	
  the	
  parJes	
  are	
  under	
  no	
  pressure	
  to	
  raise	
  
the	
  nonbinding	
  miJgaJon	
  pledges	
  they	
  made	
  in	
  the	
  immediate	
  
a`ermath	
  of	
  the	
  Copenhagen	
  conference	
  in	
  2009.	
  As	
  far	
  as	
  the	
  
raJficaJon	
  of	
  the	
  second	
  commitment	
  period	
  to	
  the	
  Kyoto	
  Protocol	
  
(also	
  called	
  the	
  ‘Doha	
  amendment’)	
  is	
  concerned,	
  only	
  21	
  parJes	
  have	
  
so	
  far	
  raJfied	
  leaving	
  another	
  144	
  required	
  to	
  bring	
  it	
  into	
  force.	
  This	
  
means	
  that	
  some	
  90%	
  of	
  emissions	
  remains	
  outside	
  of	
  the	
  Kyoto	
  
Protocol	
  rendering	
  it	
  almost	
  superfluous	
  in	
  driving	
  global	
  miJgaJon,	
  
and	
  emphasizes	
  the	
  importance	
  of	
  delivering	
  a	
  successful	
  2015	
  
Agreement	
  with	
  the	
  necessary	
  deep	
  emission	
  reducJon	
  commitments	
  
of	
  all	
  parJes.	
  	
  
 
The	
  Lima	
  Call	
  for	
  Climate	
  AcJon	
  
Australia	
  at	
  COP	
  
	
  
Australia’s	
  performance	
  at	
  the	
  COP	
  was	
  profoundly	
  puzzling.	
  	
  
	
  
Ignoring	
  the	
  earlier	
  	
  atmospherics	
  of	
  the	
  tussle	
  between	
  the	
  PM	
  and	
  Foreign	
  
Minister	
  Bishop,	
  and	
  the	
  presence	
  of	
  Trade	
  Minister	
  Andrew	
  Robb,	
  more	
  
interesJng	
  was	
  the	
  coherent	
  narraJve	
  they	
  are	
  establishing	
  –	
  prepared	
  and	
  
reinforced	
  by	
  their	
  negoJators	
  on	
  the	
  ground.	
  	
  
	
  
They	
  appear	
  to	
  be	
  sedng	
  unachievable	
  hurdles	
  for	
  the	
  Paris	
  COP,	
  which	
  may	
  then	
  
provide	
  the	
  Abbor	
  government	
  with,	
  a	
  ‘told	
  you	
  so’	
  moment,	
  and	
  grounds	
  for	
  
walking	
  away	
  from	
  a	
  ‘failed’	
  treaty	
  next	
  year.	
  	
  
	
  
The	
  evidence	
  for	
  this	
  is	
  that	
  Minister	
  Bishop	
  has	
  indicated	
  that	
  Australia	
  is	
  looking	
  
for	
  a	
  ‘legally	
  binding	
  agreement’	
  next	
  year,	
  and	
  pushing	
  for	
  an	
  end	
  to	
  differenJal	
  
obligaJons	
  for	
  developing	
  and	
  developed	
  countries	
  when	
  it	
  comes	
  to	
  internaJonal	
  
climate	
  treaJes.	
  Both	
  elements	
  are	
  unachievable.	
  Every	
  negoJator	
  in	
  the	
  place	
  
knows	
  that	
  the	
  US	
  and	
  China	
  will	
  not	
  support	
  such	
  an	
  outcome	
  and,	
  despite	
  the	
  
EU’s	
  formal	
  commitment	
  to	
  this	
  outcome,	
  there	
  is	
  no	
  longer	
  any	
  real	
  ambiJon	
  in	
  
the	
  negoJaJons	
  to	
  achieve	
  this	
  goal.	
  
	
  
When	
  asked,	
  in	
  a	
  side	
  event,	
  what	
  the	
  terms	
  and	
  condiJons	
  of	
  compliance	
  with	
  
such	
  a	
  legally	
  binding	
  agreement	
  might	
  be,	
  Bishop	
  side-­‐stepped	
  a	
  direct	
  response.	
  
WHAT	
  THE	
  LIMA	
  OUTCOME	
  MEANS	
  FOR	
  AUSTRALIA	
  
The	
  final	
  text	
  does	
  require	
  parJes	
  to	
  provide	
  the	
  necessary	
  informaJon	
  to	
  enable	
  others	
  
to	
  judge	
  the	
  fairness	
  and	
  adequacy	
  of	
  INDCs,	
  plus	
  a	
  requirement	
  that	
  there	
  must	
  be	
  a	
  
progression	
  beyond	
  previous	
  commitments	
  –	
  in	
  short,	
  no	
  backsliding.	
  	
  	
  
	
  
	
  The	
  Foreign	
  Minister	
  announced	
  at	
  the	
  COP	
  that	
  Australia’s	
  Prime	
  Minister’s	
  Office	
  would	
  
establish	
  an	
  inter-­‐departmental	
  taskforce	
  on	
  deliberaJons	
  around	
  developing	
  Australia’s	
  
post-­‐2020	
  commitment,	
  and	
  that	
  its	
  output	
  would	
  be	
  released	
  someJme	
  in	
  the	
  1st	
  
quarter	
  of	
  2015.	
  	
  Given	
  that	
  Australia’s	
  energy	
  supply	
  and	
  demand	
  profile	
  is	
  in	
  a	
  state	
  of	
  
flux,	
  even	
  since	
  even	
  the	
  deliberaJons	
  made	
  by	
  the	
  Climate	
  Change	
  Authority	
  earlier	
  in	
  
2014,	
  Australia	
  post-­‐2020	
  commitment	
  could	
  be	
  influenced	
  by	
  a	
  very	
  different	
  set	
  of	
  
factors.	
  	
  Also,	
  Trade	
  and	
  Investment	
  Minister	
  Robb	
  also	
  made	
  it	
  clear	
  that	
  our	
  
commitment	
  would	
  be	
  subject	
  to	
  appraising	
  the	
  commitments	
  put	
  forward	
  by	
  Australia’s	
  
compeJtors.	
  	
  
	
  
It	
  appears	
  certain	
  Australia	
  won’t	
  release	
  its	
  post-­‐2020	
  naJonal	
  target	
  unJl	
  it	
  has	
  been	
  
defined,	
  costed	
  and	
  compared,	
  by	
  the	
  Department	
  of	
  Prime	
  Minister	
  and	
  Cabinet,	
  with	
  
the	
  INDCs	
  of	
  other	
  naJons.	
  How	
  consultaJve	
  this	
  process	
  will	
  be,	
  and	
  when	
  it	
  will	
  report,	
  
remain	
  unclear.	
  What	
  is	
  apparent,	
  at	
  least	
  at	
  this	
  stage,	
  is	
  that	
  the	
  established	
  
insJtuJonal	
  mechanism	
  for	
  such	
  review	
  –	
  the	
  Climate	
  Change	
  Authority	
  –	
  is	
  being	
  
bypassed.	
  
	
  
IndicaJons	
  given	
  by	
  Ministers	
  Bishop	
  and	
  Robb	
  are	
  that	
  Australia’s	
  target	
  will	
  not	
  be	
  
announced	
  unJl	
  around	
  June	
  2015	
  a`er	
  most	
  other	
  countries	
  have	
  announced	
  theirs	
  –	
  so	
  
ensuring	
  Australia	
  is	
  well	
  placed	
  to	
  recalibrate	
  its	
  level	
  of	
  ambiJon	
  so	
  that	
  it	
  does	
  not	
  lose	
  
out	
  its	
  compeJJve	
  posiJon,	
  as	
  Minister	
  Robb	
  called	
  it.	
  	
  
	
  
When	
  the	
  Abbor	
  government	
  finally	
  reveals	
  its	
  INDCs	
  around	
  mid-­‐2015,	
  it	
  will	
  be	
  
interesJng	
  to	
  see	
  its	
  defence	
  of	
  fairness	
  and	
  ambiJousness	
  –	
  two	
  issues	
  that	
  it	
  has	
  
steadfastly	
  ignored	
  thus	
  far.	
  	
  	
  
	
  
The	
  Lima	
  Call	
  for	
  Climate	
  AcJon	
  
What	
  it	
  means	
  for	
  business	
  
The	
  final	
  text	
  has	
  pulled	
  all	
  countries	
  in	
  the	
  same	
  direcJon	
  towards	
  providing	
  their	
  miJgaJon	
  pledges	
  in	
  Jme	
  for	
  Paris.	
  The	
  text	
  makes	
  compromises	
  in	
  including	
  more	
  
emphasis	
  on	
  adaptaJon	
  and	
  Warsaw	
  InternaJonal	
  Mechanism	
  for	
  Loss	
  &	
  Damage	
  in	
  the	
  INDCs	
  ,	
  rather	
  than	
  on	
  miJgaJon	
  per	
  se.	
  Another	
  key	
  development	
  is	
  that	
  a	
  number	
  
of	
  countries	
  have	
  provided	
  funds	
  for	
  the	
  Green	
  Climate	
  Fund	
  for	
  which	
  the	
  total	
  amount	
  of	
  pledges	
  exceeded	
  USD10	
  billion.	
  
	
  
For	
  the	
  first	
  Jme	
  “non-­‐state	
  actors”	
  (including	
  business)	
  were	
  given	
  a	
  formal	
  role	
  in	
  the	
  Plenary	
  meeJng.	
  The	
  inclusion	
  of	
  the	
  Lima	
  Paris	
  AcJon	
  Agenda	
  in	
  the	
  agreement	
  and	
  
the	
  establishment	
  of	
  the	
  Non-­‐state	
  Actor	
  Zone	
  for	
  Climate	
  AcJon	
  (NAZCA)	
  provide	
  important	
  plaaorms	
  for	
  non-­‐state	
  acJons	
  to	
  be	
  acknowledged.	
  Emissions	
  reducJons	
  
through	
  low	
  carbon	
  technology	
  investment	
  and	
  experiences	
  gained	
  by	
  implemenJng	
  smart	
  policy	
  opJons	
  to	
  scale	
  up	
  technology	
  deployment	
  will	
  demonstrate	
  the	
  climate	
  
acJon	
  opportuniJes	
  within	
  reach	
  of	
  all	
  countries. 	
  	
  
On	
  country	
  
ambi8on	
  
China	
  and	
  the	
  U.S.	
  raised	
  the	
  bar	
  in	
  terms	
  of	
  resedng	
  the	
  agenda	
  on	
  this	
  issue,	
  not	
  only	
  in	
  respect	
  of	
  their	
  targets	
  but	
  also	
  for	
  their	
  willingness	
  to	
  bring	
  forward	
  their	
  
announcement.	
  	
  There	
  is	
  pressure	
  now	
  on	
  Japan,	
  Brazil	
  India	
  and	
  South	
  Africa,	
  and	
  no	
  doubt	
  also	
  on	
  Canada	
  and	
  Australia.	
  Given	
  the	
  recent	
  climate	
  announcements	
  
by	
  the	
  U.S.,	
  the	
  EU,	
  China,	
  and	
  to	
  South	
  Korea,	
  it	
  will	
  be	
  interesJng	
  to	
  see	
  against	
  whom	
  Australia	
  actually	
  benchmarks	
  its	
  commitment.	
  	
  For	
  business	
  which	
  o`en	
  
operates	
  in	
  and	
  across	
  mulJple	
  domesJc	
  markets	
  the	
  next	
  few	
  months	
  will	
  be	
  an	
  interesJng	
  Jme	
  in	
  understanding	
  the	
  potenJally	
  complex	
  means	
  by	
  which	
  each	
  
country	
  realizes	
  its	
  ambiJons.	
  	
  For	
  business	
  operaJng	
  in	
  Australia,	
  it	
  is	
  unlikely	
  that	
  the	
  last	
  5	
  –	
  7	
  years	
  of	
  climate	
  policy	
  will	
  be	
  nadir	
  of	
  uncertainty.	
  	
  
On	
  clean	
  
technology	
  
The	
  US	
  /	
  China	
  announcement	
  arguably	
  meant	
  more	
  than	
  any	
  decisions	
  at	
  Lima.	
  	
  While	
  there	
  has	
  been	
  iniJal	
  skepJcism	
  that	
  China	
  will	
  enact	
  its	
  commitment,	
  and	
  
that	
  the	
  U.S.	
  would	
  be	
  able	
  to,	
  due	
  to	
  a	
  hosJle	
  Senate,	
  there	
  was	
  a	
  feeling	
  coming	
  out	
  of	
  this	
  COP	
  that	
  both	
  countries	
  may	
  in	
  fact	
  be	
  able	
  to	
  achieve	
  their	
  ambiJons.	
  	
  
If	
  this	
  were	
  the	
  case	
  then	
  the	
  cleantech	
  sector	
  looks	
  set	
  to	
  undergoing	
  a	
  significant	
  transformaJon,	
  and	
  potenJal	
  interest	
  in	
  investment.	
  
Impacts	
  on	
  
Pre-­‐2020	
  
domes8c	
  
liability	
  
While	
  commitment	
  to	
  the	
  Kyoto	
  Protocol	
  is	
  now	
  arguably	
  superfluous,	
  its	
  ongoing	
  relevance	
  lies	
  in	
  the	
  important	
  insJtuJonal	
  arrangements	
  that	
  have	
  been	
  
established	
  (including	
  for	
  CCS)	
  and	
  so	
  it	
  will	
  be	
  important	
  to	
  maintain	
  many	
  of	
  the	
  Protocol’s	
  modaliJes,	
  procedures	
  and	
  systems	
  in	
  the	
  post‑2020	
  period.	
  
In	
  the	
  meanJme	
  ongoing	
  negoJaJons	
  around	
  the	
  use	
  of	
  Kyoto	
  Credits	
  into	
  the	
  2nd	
  commitment	
  period	
  probably	
  means	
  there	
  is	
  lirle	
  addiJonal	
  cost	
  penalty	
  to	
  
Australia,	
  therefore	
  pudng	
  lirle	
  addiJonal	
  pressure	
  on	
  the	
  1st	
  phase	
  of	
  the	
  ERF	
  reverse	
  aucJon	
  prices.	
  
On	
  Finance	
  
The	
  milestone	
  that	
  the	
  Green	
  Climate	
  Fund	
  (GCF)	
  reached	
  the	
  $10bn	
  milestone	
  has	
  led	
  a	
  number	
  of	
  commentators	
  to	
  wonder	
  what	
  further	
  possibiliJes	
  might	
  now	
  
be	
  open	
  to	
  private	
  sector	
  parJcipaJon.	
  Of	
  note	
  is	
  that	
  the	
  GCF	
  was	
  urged	
  to	
  ensure	
  eligible	
  enJJes	
  under	
  the	
  private	
  sector	
  facility	
  are	
  accredited	
  in	
  2015,	
  including	
  
private	
  sector	
  enJJes	
  and	
  public	
  enJJes	
  with	
  relevant	
  experience	
  working	
  with	
  the	
  private	
  sector.	
  
On	
  market	
  
mechanisms	
  
Perhaps	
  one	
  of	
  the	
  more	
  disappoinJng	
  results	
  in	
  Lima	
  was	
  the	
  controversy	
  over	
  the	
  future	
  use	
  of	
  market	
  mechanisms	
  in	
  order	
  to	
  facilitate	
  deep	
  and	
  enduring	
  levels	
  
of	
  miJgaJon	
  ambiJons.	
  Primarily	
  driven	
  by	
  Brazil	
  (but	
  supported	
  by	
  China,	
  India,	
  Ecuador	
  and	
  Paraguay),	
  there	
  was	
  a	
  push	
  to	
  halt	
  all	
  work	
  on	
  markets	
  unJl	
  further	
  
guidance	
  could	
  be	
  sought	
  on	
  how	
  markets	
  will	
  be	
  treated	
  in	
  the	
  2015	
  Agreement.	
  Also,	
  the	
  world’s	
  only	
  internaJonal	
  carbon	
  market	
  mechanism,	
  the	
  CDM,	
  remains	
  
in	
  a	
  parlous	
  state.	
  The	
  price	
  of	
  the	
  cerJfied	
  emission	
  reducJon	
  units	
  fell	
  from	
  a	
  high	
  of	
  slightly	
  more	
  than	
  US$20	
  a	
  ton	
  in	
  2008	
  to	
  a	
  historical	
  low	
  of	
  31	
  cents	
  four	
  
years	
  later.	
  Whilst	
  elements	
  of	
  the	
  CDM	
  are	
  sJll	
  valuable	
  and	
  could	
  be	
  saved,	
  it	
  is	
  highly	
  unlikely	
  the	
  CDM	
  will	
  be	
  called	
  that	
  by	
  the	
  Jme	
  this	
  year’s	
  agreement	
  goes	
  
into	
  effect	
  in	
  2020.	
  And	
  while	
  it	
  was	
  envisaged	
  prior	
  to	
  the	
  COP	
  that	
  recommendaJons	
  would	
  be	
  forwarded	
  to	
  IT	
  for	
  adopJon	
  on	
  FVA	
  (a	
  common	
  framework	
  to	
  link	
  
naJonal	
  trading	
  schemes	
  among	
  other	
  instruments),	
  no	
  consensus	
  could	
  be	
  reached	
  and	
  so	
  no	
  outcome	
  recorded	
  in	
  Lima.	
  It	
  remains	
  unclear	
  what	
  the	
  Jming	
  will	
  be	
  
for	
  the	
  adopJon	
  of	
  future	
  recommendaJons	
  on	
  these	
  issues.	
  Perhaps	
  for	
  recommendaJons	
  someJme	
  in	
  2016	
  or	
  2017.	
  SJll,	
  the	
  ADP’s	
  ‘Element	
  text’	
  includes	
  some	
  
language	
  in	
  which	
  to	
  provide	
  for	
  important	
  contribuJons	
  by	
  markets.	
  At	
  Lima	
  many	
  observers	
  heard	
  and	
  were	
  impressed	
  with	
  the	
  detailed	
  acJon	
  plan	
  by	
  China	
  to	
  
introduce	
  a	
  NaJonal	
  Carbon	
  Market	
  by	
  2020.	
  Also	
  heard	
  at	
  COP	
  Side	
  Event	
  were	
  representaJves	
  from	
  internaJonal	
  agencies,	
  such	
  as	
  the	
  World	
  Bank’s	
  Rachel	
  Kyte,	
  
indicaJng	
  that	
  they	
  will	
  be	
  pushing	
  for	
  language	
  in	
  the	
  Paris	
  Agreement	
  that	
  flags	
  the	
  need	
  for	
  market	
  mechanisms	
  to	
  be	
  introduced	
  over	
  Jme	
  in	
  all	
  countries	
  So	
  the	
  
prospect	
  of	
  the	
  return	
  to	
  a	
  discussion	
  about	
  the	
  role	
  of	
  a	
  carbon	
  price	
  in	
  Australia	
  within	
  the	
  next	
  2	
  –	
  3	
  years	
  	
  cannot	
  be	
  discounted.	
  
SBA	
  @	
  Lima	
  
WBCSD,	
  Engagement	
  
This	
  is	
  first	
  COP	
  that	
  SBA	
  has	
  been	
  associated	
  with	
  the	
  acJviJes	
  of	
  the	
  World	
  
Business	
  Council	
  for	
  Sustainable	
  Development.	
  
	
  
The	
  WBCSD	
  had	
  a	
  strong	
  voice	
  at	
  COP20	
  in	
  Lima	
  where	
  there	
  were	
  a	
  range	
  of	
  
opportuniJes	
  for	
  COP	
  delegates	
  to	
  hear	
  the	
  views	
  of	
  business	
  both	
  in	
  the	
  UNFCCC	
  
meeJngs	
  and	
  outside.	
  	
  WBCSD	
  brought	
  a	
  large	
  group	
  of	
  business	
  representaJves	
  
with	
  about	
  40	
  members	
  arending	
  across	
  the	
  two	
  weeks.	
  	
  	
  
	
  
This	
  year,	
  the	
  WBCSD	
  took	
  a	
  collaboraJve	
  approach	
  to	
  events	
  at	
  the	
  COP.	
  	
  They	
  
co-­‐organised	
  and	
  supported	
  some	
  very	
  well	
  received	
  events	
  spanning	
  energy	
  
soluJons	
  for	
  a	
  low	
  carbon	
  future	
  with	
  the	
  IEA	
  and	
  two	
  carbon	
  pricing	
  events	
  with	
  
IETA	
  and	
  the	
  World	
  Bank	
  Carbon	
  Pricing	
  Leadership	
  CoaliJon	
  during	
  which	
  we	
  
reiterated	
  our	
  call	
  for	
  a	
  global,	
  robust	
  and	
  stable	
  carbon	
  price.	
  	
  
	
  
A	
  key	
  highlight	
  was	
  the	
  launch	
  of	
  the	
  partnerships	
  for	
  low	
  carbon	
  business	
  and	
  
technology	
  soluJons	
  with	
  SDSN,	
  IEA	
  and	
  IDDRI	
  -­‐	
  known	
  as	
  our	
  Road	
  to	
  Paris.	
  This	
  
iniJaJve,	
  is	
  now	
  officially	
  endorsed	
  by	
  the	
  French	
  Presidency	
  and	
  the	
  UNSG,	
  and	
  
will	
  explore	
  pathways	
  to	
  scale	
  up	
  acJon	
  and	
  remove	
  technological	
  barriers,	
  clarify	
  
financing	
  needs	
  and	
  formulate	
  clear	
  policy	
  asks	
  for	
  implementaJon	
  of	
  
technologies	
  at	
  scale.	
  	
  They	
  also	
  played	
  a	
  key	
  role	
  in	
  delivering	
  the	
  UNGC,	
  UNEP	
  
and	
  UNFCCC	
  Caring	
  for	
  Climate	
  Business	
  Forum.	
  This	
  work	
  is	
  a	
  natural	
  extension	
  of	
  
the	
  WBCSD’s	
  AcJon2020	
  Business	
  SoluJon.	
  
	
  
Amongst	
  a	
  host	
  of	
  influenJal	
  bilateral	
  meeJngs	
  and	
  speaking	
  slots,	
  Peter	
  Bakker	
  
represented	
  the	
  WBCSD	
  in	
  the	
  successful	
  Lima	
  Climate	
  AcJon	
  High	
  Level	
  
Dialogue.	
  Alongside	
  UNSG	
  Ban	
  Ki-­‐Moon,	
  IPCC	
  Chair	
  Dr.	
  Rajendra	
  Pachauri,	
  Mr.	
  
Felipe	
  Calderon,	
  former	
  President	
  of	
  Mexico	
  and	
  Chair	
  of	
  the	
  Global	
  Commission	
  
on	
  the	
  Economy	
  and	
  Climate,	
  and	
  H.E.	
  Mr.	
  Ollanta	
  Humala,	
  President	
  of	
  Peru,	
  
Peter	
  had	
  the	
  opportunity	
  to	
  call	
  all	
  negoJators	
  to	
  work	
  towards	
  an	
  agreement	
  in	
  
Paris	
  which	
  will	
  provide	
  long-­‐term	
  certainty	
  and	
  the	
  appropriate	
  policy	
  framework	
  
for	
  serious	
  climate	
  acJon.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
MOBILISING	
  BUSINESS	
  ACTION	
  TOWARDS	
  2°C:	
  LAUNCH	
  OF	
  THE	
  BUSINESS	
  SOLUTIONS	
  
AND	
  TECHNOLOGY	
  ROUNDTABLES	
  
	
  
With	
  Paris	
  being	
  a	
  year	
  away,	
  almost	
  to	
  the	
  day,	
  the	
  IPCC	
  report	
  confirms	
  that	
  deep	
  
decarbonisaJon	
  is	
  criJcal	
  to	
  stop	
  dangerous	
  climate	
  change.	
  Some	
  technologies	
  are	
  
available	
  –	
  but	
  they	
  need	
  to	
  be	
  used	
  and	
  scaled	
  up	
  –	
  others	
  require	
  coordinated	
  RD&D	
  
efforts	
  to	
  be	
  brought	
  into	
  commercial	
  stage	
  in	
  Jme.	
  WBCSD,	
  IDDRI	
  and	
  SDSN	
  have	
  come	
  
together,	
  with	
  IEA	
  and	
  WEF	
  as	
  supporJng	
  partners,	
  to	
  bring	
  business	
  soluJons	
  and	
  public	
  
private	
  partnerships	
  to	
  COP21	
  .	
  This	
  iniJaJve	
  will	
  idenJfy	
  technology	
  and	
  market	
  barriers,	
  
and	
  policy	
  and	
  finance	
  needs,	
  for	
  each	
  of	
  six	
  technologies–	
  renewables,	
  CCS,	
  biofuels,	
  
buildings,	
  mobility	
  and	
  forests-­‐	
  and	
  catalyse	
  private	
  public	
  partnerships	
  for	
  criJcal	
  RDD	
  
areas	
  that	
  are	
  needed	
  for	
  deep	
  decarbonisaJon	
  pathways.	
  
	
  
Speakers	
  included:	
  LAURENT	
  FABIUS,	
  Foreign	
  Minister,	
  France,	
  PETER	
  BAKKER,	
  President,	
  
WBCSD,	
  JEFFREY	
  SACHS,	
  Director,	
  UN	
  Sustainable	
  Development	
  SoluJons	
  Network,	
  
TERESA	
  RIBERA,	
  Director,	
  IDDRI	
  MARIA	
  VAN	
  HOEVEN,	
  ExecuJve	
  Director,	
  IEA	
  
AUSTRALIAN	
  CLIMATE	
  POLICY	
  UPDATE	
  
	
  
Australian	
  climate	
  policy	
  has	
  taken	
  some	
  sharp	
  twists	
  and	
  turns	
  over	
  the	
  last	
  few	
  years,	
  
with	
  a	
  few	
  more	
  to	
  come.	
  Recently	
  the	
  government	
  secured	
  passage	
  of	
  legislaJon	
  for	
  its	
  
$2.5	
  billion	
  Emissions	
  ReducJon	
  Fund	
  which	
  essenJally	
  expands	
  the	
  successful	
  Carbon	
  
Farming	
  IniJaJve	
  and	
  helps	
  to	
  preserve	
  the	
  architecture	
  of	
  a	
  domesJc	
  offset	
  scheme.	
  The	
  
legislaJon	
  also	
  commits	
  the	
  government	
  to	
  introduce	
  a	
  ‘safeguard	
  mechanism’	
  which	
  will	
  
put	
  baselines	
  on	
  large	
  emirers	
  to	
  limit	
  emissions	
  growth	
  in	
  the	
  economy.	
  SBA	
  was	
  part	
  of	
  
the	
  side-­‐event,	
  including	
  the	
  prepared	
  speech	
  on	
  the	
  next	
  page.	
  
	
  
Speakers	
  were:	
  
Moderator:	
  PETER	
  CASTELLAS,	
  CEO,	
  Carbon	
  Market	
  InsJtute	
  
HON	
  JULIE	
  BISHOP,	
  Foreign	
  Minister,	
  Australia,	
  ROB	
  FOWLER,	
  Australia	
  &	
  New	
  Zealand	
  
RepresentaJve,	
  IETA,	
  ERWIN	
  JACKSON,	
  Deputy	
  CEO,	
  Climate	
  InsJtute	
  
MARIA	
  TARRANT,	
  Deputy	
  Chief,	
  ExecuJve	
  Business	
  Council	
  of	
  Australia,	
  	
  
ANDREW	
  PETERSEN,	
  CEO,	
  Sustainable	
  Business	
  Australia	
  /	
  Australian	
  GNP	
  for	
  the	
  WBCSD	
  
SBA	
  @	
  Lima	
  
Statement	
  
At	
  the	
  side	
  event	
  SBA	
  made	
  the	
  following	
  opening	
  statement:	
  
“Paraphrasing	
  a	
  quote	
  from	
  the	
  French	
  Ambassador	
  for	
  Climate	
  Change	
  made	
  earlier	
  in	
  
the	
  day	
  “[Australia]	
  needs	
  to	
  project	
  [itself]	
  into	
  what	
  will	
  be	
  a	
  very	
  different	
  future.”	
  	
  	
  
Australia	
  was	
  making	
  a	
  down	
  payment	
  on	
  our	
  decarbonising	
  our	
  future	
  with	
  the	
  
opera/on	
  of	
  the	
  carbon	
  pricing	
  mechanism,	
  but	
  we’ve	
  temporarily	
  suspended	
  
payments.	
  
	
  
If	
  we	
  accept	
  that	
  the	
  last	
  3	
  years	
  were	
  the	
  ‘alpha	
  tes/ng’	
  phase	
  of	
  our	
  Na/onal	
  Carbon	
  
Ac/on	
  1.0,	
  then	
  what	
  is	
  key	
  in	
  developing	
  the	
  na/onal	
  algorithmic	
  for	
  Carbon	
  Ac/on	
  2.0	
  
is	
  to	
  learn	
  the	
  lessons	
  of	
  the	
  last	
  3	
  years:	
  
•  business	
  is	
  far	
  more	
  knowledgeable	
  (and	
  in	
  some	
  cases	
  quite	
  sophis/cated)	
  
about	
  the	
  func/oning	
  of	
  the	
  carbon	
  cycle	
  within	
  their	
  opera/ons,	
  and	
  increasing	
  
within	
  their	
  supply	
  chain,	
  so	
  the	
  movement	
  towards	
  a	
  policy	
  regime	
  that	
  doesn’t	
  
harness	
  that	
  knowledge	
  and	
  realise	
  more	
  robust	
  emissions	
  reduc/ons	
  is	
  a	
  
wasted	
  opportunity	
  
•  the	
  mere	
  presence	
  of	
  a	
  price	
  signal	
  with	
  the	
  introduc/on	
  of	
  the	
  carbon	
  pricing	
  
mechanism,	
  produced	
  a	
  very	
  interes/ng	
  behaviour	
  –	
  namely	
  a	
  number	
  of	
  
businesses	
  beSer	
  understood	
  their	
  carbon	
  footprint	
  and	
  put	
  in	
  place	
  abatement	
  
measures	
  even	
  before	
  the	
  commencement	
  of	
  the	
  scheme,	
  so	
  that	
  they	
  came	
  
under	
  the	
  threshold	
  of	
  being	
  a	
  liable	
  en/ty;	
  and	
  
•  a	
  new	
  service	
  sector	
  –	
  energy	
  efficiency	
  and	
  produc/vity	
  professionals	
  –	
  
emerged	
  with	
  not	
  only	
  na/onal	
  skills	
  in	
  carbon	
  management	
  and	
  energy	
  
program	
  reduc/on	
  skills,	
  but	
  interna/onals	
  skills	
  which	
  are	
  replicable	
  and	
  highly	
  
transferable	
  
	
  
Cri/cal	
  to	
  Carbon	
  Ac/on	
  2.0,	
  is	
  to	
  not	
  totally	
  lose	
  these	
  key	
  learnings,	
  and	
  in	
  some	
  cases	
  
key	
  jobs	
  and	
  businesses	
  that	
  were	
  crea/ng	
  wealth	
  for	
  the	
  Australian	
  economy,	
  let	
  alone	
  
taxes.	
  	
  For	
  example,	
  Australia	
  is	
  a	
  leader	
  in	
  carbon	
  abatement	
  methodologies,	
  and	
  our	
  
work	
  in	
  soil	
  carbon	
  is	
  world	
  reknown.	
  
	
  
In	
  arguing	
  for	
  keeping	
  climate	
  change	
  off	
  the	
  G-­‐20	
  agenda,	
  some	
  in	
  Australia	
  were	
  
saying	
  that	
  it	
  was	
  not	
  strictly	
  an	
  economic	
  issue	
  and	
  would	
  distract	
  from	
  goals	
  including	
  
a	
  plan	
  to	
  boost	
  global	
  GDP	
  by	
  more	
  than	
  $2	
  trillion	
  over	
  five	
  years.	
  	
  
	
   	
  	
  
Well	
  if	
  its	
  not,	
  then	
  I	
  would	
  counter	
  this	
  argument	
  by	
  poin/ng	
  to	
  the	
  fact	
  that	
  both	
  our	
  
Australia’s	
  Foreign	
  Affairs	
  and	
  Trade	
  Minister	
  and	
  Investment	
  Minister,	
  surely	
  2	
  of	
  the	
  
most	
  important	
  geo	
  –	
  poli/cal	
  and	
  economic	
  por_olios	
  represen/ng	
  any	
  country.	
  
	
  
On	
  the	
  issue	
  of	
  Australia’s	
  contribu/on	
  to	
  the	
  Global	
  Climate	
  Fund	
  SBA	
  welcomes	
  the	
  
announcement	
  by	
  the	
  Foreign	
  Minister	
  that	
  Australia	
  would	
  commit	
  funds.	
  This	
  I	
  believe	
  
counter	
  some	
  of	
  the	
  concerns	
  that	
  were	
  raised	
  in	
  the	
  interna/onal	
  community	
  before	
  
the	
  start	
  of	
  the	
  COP	
  that	
  Australia’s	
  reluctance	
  to	
  contribute	
  to	
  the	
  fund	
  was	
  crea/ng	
  a	
  
“nega/ve	
  dynamic”	
  in	
  nego/a/ons	
  with	
  large	
  developing	
  countries	
  including	
  China,	
  
who	
  ask	
  why	
  they	
  should	
  be	
  expected	
  to	
  contribute	
  when	
  Australia,	
  one	
  of	
  the	
  richest	
  
countries	
  per	
  capita,	
  won’t.	
  I	
  would	
  say	
  that	
  Australia’s	
  announcement	
  has	
  created	
  a	
  
new	
  ‘posi/ve	
  dynamic’.	
  
	
  
But	
  responsible	
  forward	
  thinking	
  business	
  needs	
  clarity	
  on	
  Australia’s	
  climate	
  mi/ga/on	
  
framework	
  going	
  forward.	
  No	
  policy	
  that	
  /me	
  limits	
  the	
  investment	
  of	
  public	
  funds	
  in	
  
emission	
  reduc/on	
  projects	
  is	
  going	
  to	
  enable	
  business	
  to	
  do	
  the	
  heavy	
  licing	
  (and	
  
poten/ally	
  those	
  major	
  companies	
  who	
  are	
  seeking	
  a	
  compe//ve	
  advantage,	
  the	
  
financial	
  returns)	
  that	
  it	
  was	
  already	
  being	
  asked	
  to	
  undertake	
  through	
  the	
  carbon	
  
pricing	
  mechanism.	
  
	
  
We	
  agree	
  with	
  Prime	
  Minister	
  AbboS’s	
  statements	
  acer	
  his	
  recent	
  mee/ng	
  with	
  French	
  
President	
  Francois	
  Hollande	
  that	
  it	
  is	
  “vital”	
  that	
  the	
  Paris	
  climate	
  change	
  conference	
  
succeeds.	
  What	
  needs	
  to	
  be	
  challenged	
  is	
  his	
  statement	
  that,	
  “For	
  it	
  to	
  be	
  a	
  success,	
  we	
  
can’t	
  pursue	
  environmental	
  improvements	
  at	
  the	
  expense	
  of	
  economic	
  progress.	
  We	
  
can’t	
  reduce	
  emissions	
  in	
  ways	
  which	
  cost	
  jobs.”	
  	
  	
  
	
  
While	
  we	
  agree	
  with	
  the	
  need	
  for	
  economic	
  ra/onale	
  in	
  our	
  delibera/ons,	
  our	
  frame	
  of	
  
mind	
  must	
  be	
  about	
  finding	
  success	
  to	
  this	
  challenge,	
  not	
  finding	
  excuses.	
  Again,	
  in	
  the	
  
words	
  of	
  the	
  Prime	
  Minister	
  when	
  announcing	
  the	
  contribu/on	
  to	
  the	
  Fund,	
  things	
  have	
  
developed.	
  The	
  frame	
  of	
  mind	
  is	
  Australia	
  needs	
  to	
  stop	
  turning	
  its	
  back	
  on	
  climate	
  
change,	
  and	
  instead	
  turn	
  to	
  face	
  the	
  pathway	
  to	
  ac/on	
  and	
  solu/ons.	
  The	
  silent	
  
majority	
  of	
  business,	
  as	
  Unilever	
  CEO,	
  Paul	
  Polman,	
  said	
  yesterday	
  that	
  are	
  present	
  at	
  
this	
  COP	
  and	
  represented	
  by	
  the	
  likes	
  of	
  the	
  WBCSD,	
  ICC,	
  and	
  SBA,	
  are	
  ready	
  for	
  a	
  
universal,	
  ambi/ous,	
  and	
  balanced	
  climate	
  agreement	
  to	
  come	
  out	
  of	
  Paris.	
  
2015	
  
The	
  Road	
  to	
  Paris	
  
Throughout	
  2014,	
  every	
  sector	
  of	
  our	
  economy	
  felt	
  the	
  weight	
  of	
  climate	
  change.	
  More	
  significantly,	
  many	
  more	
  people	
  across	
  business	
  began	
  to	
  interweave	
  the	
  
repercussions	
  of	
  a	
  changing	
  climate	
  with	
  issues	
  –	
  like	
  poverty,	
  urbanizaJon,	
  lifestyles,	
  economic	
  standards	
  and	
  community	
  development	
  –	
  that	
  had	
  previously	
  appeared	
  as	
  
separate	
  prongs	
  on	
  any	
  impact	
  chart.	
  CorporaJons	
  like	
  Unilever	
  set	
  ever	
  more	
  aggressive	
  and	
  inclusive	
  goals	
  and	
  created	
  markeJng	
  plans	
  to	
  persuade	
  others	
  to	
  join.	
  	
  
	
  
So	
  as	
  we	
  head	
  into	
  what	
  promises	
  to	
  be	
  the	
  most	
  tumultuous	
  year	
  yet	
  for	
  sustainable	
  business,	
  here	
  are	
  some	
  of	
  the	
  themes	
  you	
  can	
  expect	
  to	
  dominate	
  corporate	
  
decisions	
  and	
  strategy	
  whiteboards.	
  	
  The	
  ‘big	
  picture’	
  for	
  a	
  ‘big	
  year’.	
  
More	
  businesses	
  
recognise	
  that	
  
climate	
  change	
  is	
  
real	
  
Expect	
  these	
  climate	
  risk	
  forecasts	
  (e.g.	
  Carbon	
  Disclosure	
  Project)	
  to	
  assume	
  pracJcal	
  proporJons	
  and	
  become	
  embedded	
  much	
  more	
  strategically	
  into	
  risk	
  
management	
  and	
  business	
  development	
  plans.	
  At	
  the	
  same	
  Jme	
  the	
  investor	
  relaJons	
  department	
  and	
  the	
  chief	
  financial	
  officer	
  are	
  going	
  to	
  be	
  asking	
  more	
  
quesJons.	
  Some	
  companies	
  are	
  already	
  pudng	
  an	
  internal	
  price	
  on	
  carbon,	
  for	
  instance,	
  to	
  educate	
  their	
  investments.	
  Others,	
  meanwhile	
  are	
  marrying	
  
emissions	
  with	
  their	
  market	
  performance	
  (eg	
  Kering).	
  	
  New	
  ReporJng	
  standards	
  are	
  beginning	
  to	
  emerge.	
  
Companies	
  align	
  
their	
  strategies	
  
with	
  the	
  
Sustainable	
  
Development	
  
Goals	
  
The	
  next	
  phase	
  of	
  the	
  UN’s	
  Millennium	
  Development	
  Goals,	
  fidngly	
  termed	
  the	
  Sustainable	
  Development	
  Goals,	
  shi`	
  prioriJes	
  from	
  stand	
  alone	
  goals	
  like	
  
reducing	
  poverty	
  and	
  increasing	
  hygiene	
  to	
  more	
  inclusive	
  and	
  integrated	
  ones	
  that	
  push	
  for	
  systemic	
  change	
  like	
  the	
  rule	
  of	
  law,	
  dignity	
  and	
  prosperity	
  for	
  all.	
  
The	
  implicaJons	
  are	
  significant.	
  And	
  business	
  is	
  being	
  called	
  on	
  to	
  provide	
  acJve	
  support	
  for	
  the	
  first	
  Jme.	
  	
  This	
  presents	
  an	
  unprecedented	
  opportunity	
  to	
  Je	
  
businesses’	
  growth	
  to	
  their	
  communiJes	
  and	
  the	
  environment.	
  The	
  capitalists	
  are	
  being	
  welcomed	
  and	
  being	
  acJvely	
  recruited	
  to	
  the	
  table.	
  This	
  marks	
  a	
  key	
  
acknowledgement	
  that	
  determining	
  our	
  path	
  forward	
  as	
  an	
  interconnected	
  economy	
  will	
  require	
  the	
  tensile	
  strength	
  of	
  every	
  single	
  sector.	
  How	
  will	
  this	
  
happen	
  and	
  how	
  will	
  business	
  map	
  the	
  tangible	
  from	
  the	
  lo`y?	
  Scenario	
  planning,	
  at	
  the	
  very	
  least.	
  If	
  a	
  majority	
  of	
  your	
  supply	
  chain	
  works	
  in	
  Bangladesh,	
  for	
  
example,	
  you’ll	
  need	
  to	
  ask:	
  Is	
  your	
  business	
  equipped	
  to	
  handle	
  disrupJons	
  from	
  hurricanes	
  and	
  floods	
  in	
  the	
  region	
  and	
  the	
  consequenJal	
  loss	
  of	
  life	
  and	
  
infrastructure?	
  And	
  if	
  not,	
  then	
  perhaps	
  invesJng	
  in	
  water	
  conservaJon	
  or	
  employee	
  and	
  consumer	
  empowerment	
  iniJaJves	
  make	
  your	
  business	
  more	
  
resilient?	
  	
  This	
  type	
  of	
  scenario	
  planning	
  ensures	
  not	
  only	
  that	
  your	
  business	
  model	
  is	
  resilient,	
  but	
  also	
  that	
  your	
  employees,	
  customers	
  and	
  communiJes	
  will	
  
play	
  a	
  criJcal	
  role	
  in	
  your	
  decisions.	
  
Business	
  switch	
  
from	
  advocacy	
  to	
  
ac8vism	
  
As	
  the	
  rhetoric	
  and	
  acJon	
  begin	
  to	
  align	
  across	
  boardrooms,	
  we	
  can	
  expect	
  more	
  business	
  leaders	
  to	
  step	
  out	
  to	
  spark	
  more	
  sustainable	
  business	
  pracJces,	
  
whether	
  through	
  regulaJon	
  (e.g.	
  Nike	
  and	
  Starbucks	
  support	
  Obama’s	
  climate	
  rule)	
  or	
  through	
  well-­‐funded	
  lawsuits,	
  investor-­‐led	
  demands,	
  strategic	
  
partnerships	
  or	
  remapped	
  business	
  models.	
  As	
  the	
  crescendo	
  for	
  more	
  acJon	
  builds,	
  some	
  companies	
  will	
  need	
  to	
  rebuild	
  their	
  narraJve,	
  remap	
  their	
  strategy	
  
and	
  ensure	
  their	
  business	
  is	
  nimble	
  enough	
  –	
  and	
  able	
  to	
  collaborate	
  sufficiently	
  with	
  its	
  employees,	
  consumers	
  and	
  other	
  stakeholders	
  –	
  to	
  remain	
  an	
  acJve	
  
parJcipant	
  in	
  the	
  next	
  25	
  years	
  of	
  economic	
  development.	
  The	
  Divestment	
  Movement	
  has	
  some	
  sectors	
  on	
  the	
  defensive.	
  
More	
  big	
  supply	
  
chain	
  disrup8ons	
  
The	
  Rana	
  Plaza	
  fire	
  and	
  the	
  expose	
  of	
  forced	
  labour	
  in	
  electronics	
  factories	
  in	
  Malaysia	
  are	
  unlikely	
  to	
  be	
  one	
  offs.	
  	
  You	
  can	
  expect	
  these	
  disrupJons	
  to	
  
conJnue.	
  
A	
  focus	
  on	
  future	
  
proofing	
  
How	
  will	
  an	
  organizaJon	
  use	
  the	
  next	
  12	
  months	
  to	
  ensure	
  its	
  long-­‐term	
  viability,	
  as	
  an	
  economic	
  contributor,	
  as	
  a	
  consumer,	
  as	
  an	
  employee,	
  as	
  a	
  leader	
  and	
  
as	
  an	
  informed	
  decision	
  maker?	
  	
  As	
  counJes	
  begin	
  the	
  task	
  of	
  pudng	
  their	
  future	
  economic	
  plans	
  in	
  the	
  context	
  of	
  climate	
  change	
  and	
  miJgaJon	
  strategies,	
  
should	
  must	
  business.	
  
Sustainable	
  Business	
  Australia	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
SBA	
  www.sba.asn.au.	
  was	
  established	
  in	
  Australia	
  in	
  1991,	
  and	
  is	
  the	
  peak	
  
business	
  body	
  for	
  advocacy	
  for	
  sustainable	
  business	
  acJviJes	
  in	
  Australia,	
  and	
  
appointed	
  Global	
  Partner	
  for	
  WBCSD	
  (World	
  Business	
  Council	
  for	
  Sustainable	
  
Development)	
  in	
  2014.	
  Its	
  members	
  represent	
  leading	
  Australian	
  businesses	
  across	
  
sectors	
  who	
  share	
  a	
  commitment	
  to	
  economic,	
  environmental	
  and	
  social	
  
development.	
  	
  
	
  
SBA	
  represents	
  member	
  companies,	
  public	
  sector	
  enterprises	
  and	
  insJtuJons,	
  
BINGOs	
  and	
  community	
  organisaJons	
  ,	
  which	
  in	
  turn	
  represent	
  100,000	
  +	
  
Australian	
  employees.	
  SBA	
  is	
  the	
  secretariat	
  for	
  the	
  Businesses	
  for	
  Clean	
  Economy	
  
which	
  is	
  an	
  iniJaJve	
  of	
  over	
  400	
  business	
  signatories.	
  www.b4ce.com.au	
  
	
  
t: 	
  +61	
  (0)2	
  8267	
  5782	
  
m: 	
  +61	
  (0)412	
  545	
  994	
  
w: 	
  www.sba.asn.au	
  
	
  
	
  
	
   Sustainable Business Australia
	
  
	
  

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SBA COP20 Report

  • 1. SBA  @  COP20   A  Synthesis  Report   Issues  &  Outcomes     from  the     UNFCCC  COP  20  -­‐  CMP  10,   Lima                                     Sustainable Business Australia    
  • 2. Contents   COP  20     3  -­‐  In  Summary   4  -­‐  Decisions  &  Outcomes   The  Lima  Call  for  Climate  AcJon     5  -­‐  In  Summary   6  -­‐  Australia  at  COP   7  -­‐  What  it  means  for  business   SBA  @  Lima   8  -­‐  WBCSD,  Engagement   9  –  Statement   2015   10  -­‐  The  Road  to  Paris                              
  • 3. COP20     In  Summary   RepresentaJves  of  196  naJons  assembled  (Dec  1-­‐  12  2014)  in  Lima,  Peru  for  the  annual  Conference  of  the  ParJes  to  the  United  NaJons  Framework  ConvenJon  on  Climate   Change   (UNFCCC)   brought   together   over   11,000   parJcipants,   including   approximately   6,300   government   officials,   4,000   representaJves   from   UN   bodies   and   agencies,   intergovernmental   organizaJons   and   civil   society   organizaJons,   and   900   members   of   the   media.   NegoJaJons   focused   on   outcomes   necessary   to   advance   towards   an   agreement  in  Paris  at  COP  21  in  2015,  including  elaboraJon  of  the  informaJon,  and  process,  required  for  submission  of  intended  naJonally  determined  contribuJons   (INDCs)  as  early  as  possible  in  2015  and  progress  on  elements  of  a  dra`  negoJaJng  text.         Following  lengthy  negoJaJons  on  a  dra`  decision  for  advancing  the  Durban  Plaaorm  for  Enhanced  AcJon,  COP  20  adopted  the  ‘Lima  Call  for  Climate  AcJon,’  which  sets  in   moJon  the  negoJaJons  in  the  coming  year  towards  a  2015  agreement,  the  process  for  submidng  and  reviewing  INDCs,  and  enhancing  pre-­‐2020  ambiJon.    Key  issues  that   framed  the  COP  outcome  are  canvassed  below.   Momentum   In  the  months  leading  up  to  the  COP  climate  commitments  from  key  economies  have  given  a  welcome  sJmulus  to  the  long-­‐standing  climate  negoJaJons.  In  October,   the  European  Union  adopted  a  package  of  measures  designed  to  cut  greenhouse  gases  by  at  least  40  percent  by  2030.  Then  in  November,  the  United  States  and  China   reached  a  landmark  deal  that  commits  the  U.S.  to  emissions  reducJons  between  26  to  28  percent  below  2005  levels  by  2025,  and  commits  China  to  reach  peak   emissions  before  2030.    Given  these  developments,  negoJators  were  hopeful  that  the  global  community  was  ready  to  build  a  lasJng  framework  for  decarbonizaJon.     Long  Term   Vision   In  order  to  hold  global  mean  temperature  rises  to  less  than  2°C  by  the  end  of  this  century  —  and  thereby  avoid  the  most  dangerous  impacts  of  climate  change  —  we   need  a  long-­‐term  vision  of  decarbonizaJon.  NegoJators  had  begun  to  submit  text  that,  if  adopted,  would  have  moved  all  countries  to  enhance  emissions  reducJons   consistent  with  carbon  neutrality,  or  “net  zero”  emissions,  by  2050.  For  years,  business  has  been  calling  for  climate  policies  that  are  forward-­‐looking,  stable,  and  long-­‐ term.  OrganizaJons  such  as  the  BSR,  WBCSD  and  We  Mean  Business  coaliJon  have  argued  that  the  more  certainty  policymakers  provide,  the  more  confidently   companies   can   invest   and   conJnue   to   unleash   a   wave   of   innovaJon   in   low-­‐carbon   technologies:   creaJng   new   products   and   services,   generaJng   employment,   reducing  energy  consumpJon,  and  increasing  savings.     Ambi8on   Level  for   Emissions   Reduc8ons   Early   next   year,   countries   will   submit   their   climate-­‐acJon   plans   as   formal   “contribuJons”   to   be   captured   in   the   Paris   agreement.   It   is   already   clear   that   these   contribuJons  will  not  contain  sufficient  ambiJon  to  close  the  emissions  gap  tracked  by  the  United  NaJons  Environment  Programme  (UNEP)  in  annual  reports.  In  other   words,  there  will  sJll  be  a  shoraall  between  what  countries  are  willing  to  do  and  what  science  says  is  needed  to  stabilize  the  global  climate.  The  challenge  therefore  is   to  think  creaJvely  about  complementary  measures  that  will  integrate  higher  ambiJon  from  the  beginning.   The  U.S.   role     In   his   speech   to   the   COP,   Secretary   of   State   John   Kerry   acknowledged   that   the   United   States   and   other   wealthy   naJons   bear   a   greater   moral   responsibility   for   addressing  climate  change.  He  cited  the  White  House’s  “ambiJous”  pledge  to  reduce  U.S.  carbon  emissions  as  well  as  a  recent  $3  billion  pledge  to  a  $10  billion  “green   climate  fund”  to  help  developing  countries  cope  with  the  effects  of  global  warming.     India’s  role   The  Indians  are  said  to  be  feeling  a  bit  bruised  a`er  their  great  ally,  China,  seems  to  have  sided  with  the  US.  But  climate  change  is  expected  to  be  an  important   component  of  the  India  –  US  engagement  during  President  Obama’s  visit  to  India  in  January  2015.  Prime  Minister  Narendra  Modi  and  President  Obama  are  expected   to   take   forward   the   partnership   in   the   area   of   clean   energy,   first   outlined   in   Washington   in   September   2014.   The   2015   announcement   is   likely   to   include   an   ‘aspiraJonal’  peaking  year  for  India’s  greenhouse  gas  emissions.  India  could  be  considering  pudng  forward  this  month  a  peak  year  for  emissions  between  2035  –   2050,  which  –  depending  on  the  level  at  which  this  peaks  occurs  –  could  be  consistent  with  a  2C  pathway.   China’s  role   If  China  fully  implement  their  new  post-­‐2020  plans,  they  would  limit  global  temperature  rise  to  around  3C  by  2100,  which  is  between  0.2C  and  0.4C  lower  than  it   would  have  been.    
  • 4. COP20     Decisions  &  Outcomes   FRAMEWORK  OF  DEAL     1.  The  2015  Agreement  will  have  legal  force  under  the  ConvenJon.  This  is  important   as  it  embraces  the  provisions  and  principles  of  the  convenJon  including  that  of   differenJaJon  –  that  is  there  is  a  fundamental  difference  between  developed  and   developing  country  capacity  to  undertake  climate  acJon.   2.  The  legal  nature  of  the  2015  Agreement  remains  open  as  to  whether  a  protocol  to   the  ConvenJon  or  a  new  instrument  or  outcome.   3.  Re-­‐  emphasised  the  need  to  chart  an  emissions  reducJon  pathway  consistent  with   below  2oC  global  average  temperature  rise  above  pre-­‐industrial  levels   4.  That  the  core  elements  of  the  2015  Agreement  will  be:   §  MiJgaJon;   §  AdaptaJon;   §  Finance;   §  Technology  development  and  transfer;   §  Capacity  building;  and   §  Transparency  (read  as  monitoring,  reporJng  and  verificaJon).   5.  That  all  countries  need  to  submit  INDCs  that  have  commitments  covering  all  of  the   above  elements  and  that  are  more  ambiJous  than  current  commitments   including:   •  developed  country  finance  to  developing  naJons  in  support  of  enhancing   their  miJgaJon  and  adaptaJon  acJons,   •  a  call  for  INDCs  to  be  submired  by  all  parJes  by  the  1st  Qtr  of  2015  (or  at   least  “well  in  advance”  of  COP21),  and   •  in  a  manner  that  allows  the  UNFCCC  Secretariat  to  aggregate  all   miJgaJon  commitments  by  November  2015  to  see  what  the  2oC  shoraall   in  miJgaJon  ambiJon  is.   6.  Support  for  legal  negoJaJng  text  to  be  made  ready  for  all  parJes  by  May  2015   (noJng  that  there  could  be  two  addiJonal  ADP  meeJngs  in  February  and  April  to   achieve  this). Shortly  before  2  a.m.  on  Sunday  14  December  2014,  a`er  more  than  36   straight  hours  of  negoJaJons,  the  officials  from  192  naJons  agreed  to  the   first  deal  commidng  every  country  in  the  world  to  reducing  the  fossil  fuel   emissions  that  cause  dangerous  climate  change.     The  driving  force  behind  the  new  deal  was  not  the  threat  of  sancJons  or   other  legal  consequences.  It  was  global  peer  pressure.  Over  the  ensuing   months,  it  will  start  to  become  evident  whether  the  scruJny  of  the  rest  of   the  world  is  enough  to  pressure  world  leaders  to  push  through  new   commitments  from  New  Delhi  to  Moscow  or  if,  as  a  poliJcal  force,   internaJonal  reproach  is  impotent.     By  requiring  acJon  from  every  country,  the  Lima  framework  will   fundamentally  change  the  old  world  order  that  stymied  earlier  climate   change  talks.       This  approach,  asking  countries  to  put  forward  plans  shaped  by  their  own   economies  and  domesJc  poliJcs,  rather  than  a  ‘top-­‐down’  approach  will   not  rely  penalty  or  sancJon,  but  geo-­‐poliJck  peer  group  pressure,  possibly   through  ‘name  and  shame’.                    
  • 5. The  Lima  Call  for  Climate  AcJon   In  Summary   At  its  core,  the  4-­‐page  text  coming  out  of  the  Conference,  called  Lima  Call  for   Climate  Ac8on,  requires  every  naJon  to  put  forward,  over  the  next  six  months,  a   detailed  domesJc  policy  plan  to  cut  its  emissions  of  planet-­‐warming  greenhouse   gases  from  coal,  gas  and  oil.  Those  plans,  which  would  be  published  on  a  United   NaJons  website,  would  form  the  basis  of  the  accord  to  be  signed  next  December   and  enacted  by  2020.     That  basic  structure  represents  a  breakthrough  in  the  impasse  that  has  plagued   the  United  NaJons’  20  years  of  efforts  to  create  a  serious  global  warming  deal.     UnJl  now,  negoJaJons  had  followed  a  divide  put  in  place  by  the  1997  Kyoto   Protocol,  which  required  that  developed  countries  act  but  did  not  require  anything   of  developing  naJons,  including  China  and  India,  two  of  the  largest  greenhouse  gas   polluters.    The  structure  is  reflected  in  2  important  documents,  their  contents   being:     1.  'Decision  text'  called  Lima  Call  for  Climate  Ac/on  focusing  on  the   nature  of  the  INDCs,  represenJng  a  county’s  climate  acJon   commitments  (including  emission  reducJon  targets)   2.  ‘Elements  text’  that  has  been  made  an  Annex  to  the  above   document  with  the  core  elements  being:   •  MiJgaJon   •  AdaptaJon   •  Finance   •  Technology  development  and  transfer   •  Capacity  building   •  and  Transparency  (read  as  monitoring,  reporJng  and   verificaJon).       COMMENT:  WHAT  IS  MISSING  FROM  THE  TEXTS  ?   Legal  form   of  the  Paris   Agreement   The  parJes  also  avoided  any  serious  discussion  of  what  form  the  2015   Paris  agreement  would  take.    The  opJons  range  from  a  legally  binding   Paris  Protocol  to  an  ‘agreed  outcome  with  legal  force’,  which  might   entail  a  mostly  aspiraJonal  agreement  but  with  a  commitment  by  the   parJes  to  give  domesJc  ‘legal  force’  to  their  INDCs.         Finance   While  the  parJes  achieved  the  $10  billion  threshold  for  climate  finance,   there  was  no  clear  pathway  agreed  as  to  how  the  required  $100  billion   would  be  raised  by  2020.     INDCs   The  absence  of  any  review  mechanism  of  the  parJes’  miJgaJon  targets   included  in  their  INDCs  for  the  post-­‐2020  period.    This  was  largely  at   the  insistence  of  the  Like-­‐Minded  Group  of  Developing  countries   (which  included  China  and  India).  The  review  would  have  entailed  an   analysis  of  whether  these  targets,  when  aggregated,  were  sufficient   hold  warming  below  the  2Odegrees  guardrail,  and  whether  each   contribuJon  was  fair,  thus  creaJng  pressure  for  a  further  ramping  up   of  ambiJon.    Instead,  parJes  are  merely  called  upon  to  make  their  own   case  as  to  why  they  think  their  INDCs  are  ‘fair  and  ambiJous,  in  light  of   its  naJonal  circumstances,  and  how  it  contributes  towards  achieving   the  objecJve  of  the  ConvenJon’.    The  UNFCCC  will  provide  a  synthesis   report  by  the  first  of  November  2015,  but  there  will  be  no  formal  peer   review,  and  lirle  Jme  for  informal  review  before  Paris.   Pre-­‐2020   Mi8ga8on   Ambi8on   The  ParJes  avoided  any  commitment  to  raise  pre-­‐2020  miJgaJon   ambiJon.    This  means  that  the  parJes  are  under  no  pressure  to  raise   the  nonbinding  miJgaJon  pledges  they  made  in  the  immediate   a`ermath  of  the  Copenhagen  conference  in  2009.  As  far  as  the   raJficaJon  of  the  second  commitment  period  to  the  Kyoto  Protocol   (also  called  the  ‘Doha  amendment’)  is  concerned,  only  21  parJes  have   so  far  raJfied  leaving  another  144  required  to  bring  it  into  force.  This   means  that  some  90%  of  emissions  remains  outside  of  the  Kyoto   Protocol  rendering  it  almost  superfluous  in  driving  global  miJgaJon,   and  emphasizes  the  importance  of  delivering  a  successful  2015   Agreement  with  the  necessary  deep  emission  reducJon  commitments   of  all  parJes.    
  • 6.   The  Lima  Call  for  Climate  AcJon   Australia  at  COP     Australia’s  performance  at  the  COP  was  profoundly  puzzling.       Ignoring  the  earlier    atmospherics  of  the  tussle  between  the  PM  and  Foreign   Minister  Bishop,  and  the  presence  of  Trade  Minister  Andrew  Robb,  more   interesJng  was  the  coherent  narraJve  they  are  establishing  –  prepared  and   reinforced  by  their  negoJators  on  the  ground.       They  appear  to  be  sedng  unachievable  hurdles  for  the  Paris  COP,  which  may  then   provide  the  Abbor  government  with,  a  ‘told  you  so’  moment,  and  grounds  for   walking  away  from  a  ‘failed’  treaty  next  year.       The  evidence  for  this  is  that  Minister  Bishop  has  indicated  that  Australia  is  looking   for  a  ‘legally  binding  agreement’  next  year,  and  pushing  for  an  end  to  differenJal   obligaJons  for  developing  and  developed  countries  when  it  comes  to  internaJonal   climate  treaJes.  Both  elements  are  unachievable.  Every  negoJator  in  the  place   knows  that  the  US  and  China  will  not  support  such  an  outcome  and,  despite  the   EU’s  formal  commitment  to  this  outcome,  there  is  no  longer  any  real  ambiJon  in   the  negoJaJons  to  achieve  this  goal.     When  asked,  in  a  side  event,  what  the  terms  and  condiJons  of  compliance  with   such  a  legally  binding  agreement  might  be,  Bishop  side-­‐stepped  a  direct  response.   WHAT  THE  LIMA  OUTCOME  MEANS  FOR  AUSTRALIA   The  final  text  does  require  parJes  to  provide  the  necessary  informaJon  to  enable  others   to  judge  the  fairness  and  adequacy  of  INDCs,  plus  a  requirement  that  there  must  be  a   progression  beyond  previous  commitments  –  in  short,  no  backsliding.          The  Foreign  Minister  announced  at  the  COP  that  Australia’s  Prime  Minister’s  Office  would   establish  an  inter-­‐departmental  taskforce  on  deliberaJons  around  developing  Australia’s   post-­‐2020  commitment,  and  that  its  output  would  be  released  someJme  in  the  1st   quarter  of  2015.    Given  that  Australia’s  energy  supply  and  demand  profile  is  in  a  state  of   flux,  even  since  even  the  deliberaJons  made  by  the  Climate  Change  Authority  earlier  in   2014,  Australia  post-­‐2020  commitment  could  be  influenced  by  a  very  different  set  of   factors.    Also,  Trade  and  Investment  Minister  Robb  also  made  it  clear  that  our   commitment  would  be  subject  to  appraising  the  commitments  put  forward  by  Australia’s   compeJtors.       It  appears  certain  Australia  won’t  release  its  post-­‐2020  naJonal  target  unJl  it  has  been   defined,  costed  and  compared,  by  the  Department  of  Prime  Minister  and  Cabinet,  with   the  INDCs  of  other  naJons.  How  consultaJve  this  process  will  be,  and  when  it  will  report,   remain  unclear.  What  is  apparent,  at  least  at  this  stage,  is  that  the  established   insJtuJonal  mechanism  for  such  review  –  the  Climate  Change  Authority  –  is  being   bypassed.     IndicaJons  given  by  Ministers  Bishop  and  Robb  are  that  Australia’s  target  will  not  be   announced  unJl  around  June  2015  a`er  most  other  countries  have  announced  theirs  –  so   ensuring  Australia  is  well  placed  to  recalibrate  its  level  of  ambiJon  so  that  it  does  not  lose   out  its  compeJJve  posiJon,  as  Minister  Robb  called  it.       When  the  Abbor  government  finally  reveals  its  INDCs  around  mid-­‐2015,  it  will  be   interesJng  to  see  its  defence  of  fairness  and  ambiJousness  –  two  issues  that  it  has   steadfastly  ignored  thus  far.        
  • 7. The  Lima  Call  for  Climate  AcJon   What  it  means  for  business   The  final  text  has  pulled  all  countries  in  the  same  direcJon  towards  providing  their  miJgaJon  pledges  in  Jme  for  Paris.  The  text  makes  compromises  in  including  more   emphasis  on  adaptaJon  and  Warsaw  InternaJonal  Mechanism  for  Loss  &  Damage  in  the  INDCs  ,  rather  than  on  miJgaJon  per  se.  Another  key  development  is  that  a  number   of  countries  have  provided  funds  for  the  Green  Climate  Fund  for  which  the  total  amount  of  pledges  exceeded  USD10  billion.     For  the  first  Jme  “non-­‐state  actors”  (including  business)  were  given  a  formal  role  in  the  Plenary  meeJng.  The  inclusion  of  the  Lima  Paris  AcJon  Agenda  in  the  agreement  and   the  establishment  of  the  Non-­‐state  Actor  Zone  for  Climate  AcJon  (NAZCA)  provide  important  plaaorms  for  non-­‐state  acJons  to  be  acknowledged.  Emissions  reducJons   through  low  carbon  technology  investment  and  experiences  gained  by  implemenJng  smart  policy  opJons  to  scale  up  technology  deployment  will  demonstrate  the  climate   acJon  opportuniJes  within  reach  of  all  countries.     On  country   ambi8on   China  and  the  U.S.  raised  the  bar  in  terms  of  resedng  the  agenda  on  this  issue,  not  only  in  respect  of  their  targets  but  also  for  their  willingness  to  bring  forward  their   announcement.    There  is  pressure  now  on  Japan,  Brazil  India  and  South  Africa,  and  no  doubt  also  on  Canada  and  Australia.  Given  the  recent  climate  announcements   by  the  U.S.,  the  EU,  China,  and  to  South  Korea,  it  will  be  interesJng  to  see  against  whom  Australia  actually  benchmarks  its  commitment.    For  business  which  o`en   operates  in  and  across  mulJple  domesJc  markets  the  next  few  months  will  be  an  interesJng  Jme  in  understanding  the  potenJally  complex  means  by  which  each   country  realizes  its  ambiJons.    For  business  operaJng  in  Australia,  it  is  unlikely  that  the  last  5  –  7  years  of  climate  policy  will  be  nadir  of  uncertainty.     On  clean   technology   The  US  /  China  announcement  arguably  meant  more  than  any  decisions  at  Lima.    While  there  has  been  iniJal  skepJcism  that  China  will  enact  its  commitment,  and   that  the  U.S.  would  be  able  to,  due  to  a  hosJle  Senate,  there  was  a  feeling  coming  out  of  this  COP  that  both  countries  may  in  fact  be  able  to  achieve  their  ambiJons.     If  this  were  the  case  then  the  cleantech  sector  looks  set  to  undergoing  a  significant  transformaJon,  and  potenJal  interest  in  investment.   Impacts  on   Pre-­‐2020   domes8c   liability   While  commitment  to  the  Kyoto  Protocol  is  now  arguably  superfluous,  its  ongoing  relevance  lies  in  the  important  insJtuJonal  arrangements  that  have  been   established  (including  for  CCS)  and  so  it  will  be  important  to  maintain  many  of  the  Protocol’s  modaliJes,  procedures  and  systems  in  the  post‑2020  period.   In  the  meanJme  ongoing  negoJaJons  around  the  use  of  Kyoto  Credits  into  the  2nd  commitment  period  probably  means  there  is  lirle  addiJonal  cost  penalty  to   Australia,  therefore  pudng  lirle  addiJonal  pressure  on  the  1st  phase  of  the  ERF  reverse  aucJon  prices.   On  Finance   The  milestone  that  the  Green  Climate  Fund  (GCF)  reached  the  $10bn  milestone  has  led  a  number  of  commentators  to  wonder  what  further  possibiliJes  might  now   be  open  to  private  sector  parJcipaJon.  Of  note  is  that  the  GCF  was  urged  to  ensure  eligible  enJJes  under  the  private  sector  facility  are  accredited  in  2015,  including   private  sector  enJJes  and  public  enJJes  with  relevant  experience  working  with  the  private  sector.   On  market   mechanisms   Perhaps  one  of  the  more  disappoinJng  results  in  Lima  was  the  controversy  over  the  future  use  of  market  mechanisms  in  order  to  facilitate  deep  and  enduring  levels   of  miJgaJon  ambiJons.  Primarily  driven  by  Brazil  (but  supported  by  China,  India,  Ecuador  and  Paraguay),  there  was  a  push  to  halt  all  work  on  markets  unJl  further   guidance  could  be  sought  on  how  markets  will  be  treated  in  the  2015  Agreement.  Also,  the  world’s  only  internaJonal  carbon  market  mechanism,  the  CDM,  remains   in  a  parlous  state.  The  price  of  the  cerJfied  emission  reducJon  units  fell  from  a  high  of  slightly  more  than  US$20  a  ton  in  2008  to  a  historical  low  of  31  cents  four   years  later.  Whilst  elements  of  the  CDM  are  sJll  valuable  and  could  be  saved,  it  is  highly  unlikely  the  CDM  will  be  called  that  by  the  Jme  this  year’s  agreement  goes   into  effect  in  2020.  And  while  it  was  envisaged  prior  to  the  COP  that  recommendaJons  would  be  forwarded  to  IT  for  adopJon  on  FVA  (a  common  framework  to  link   naJonal  trading  schemes  among  other  instruments),  no  consensus  could  be  reached  and  so  no  outcome  recorded  in  Lima.  It  remains  unclear  what  the  Jming  will  be   for  the  adopJon  of  future  recommendaJons  on  these  issues.  Perhaps  for  recommendaJons  someJme  in  2016  or  2017.  SJll,  the  ADP’s  ‘Element  text’  includes  some   language  in  which  to  provide  for  important  contribuJons  by  markets.  At  Lima  many  observers  heard  and  were  impressed  with  the  detailed  acJon  plan  by  China  to   introduce  a  NaJonal  Carbon  Market  by  2020.  Also  heard  at  COP  Side  Event  were  representaJves  from  internaJonal  agencies,  such  as  the  World  Bank’s  Rachel  Kyte,   indicaJng  that  they  will  be  pushing  for  language  in  the  Paris  Agreement  that  flags  the  need  for  market  mechanisms  to  be  introduced  over  Jme  in  all  countries  So  the   prospect  of  the  return  to  a  discussion  about  the  role  of  a  carbon  price  in  Australia  within  the  next  2  –  3  years    cannot  be  discounted.  
  • 8. SBA  @  Lima   WBCSD,  Engagement   This  is  first  COP  that  SBA  has  been  associated  with  the  acJviJes  of  the  World   Business  Council  for  Sustainable  Development.     The  WBCSD  had  a  strong  voice  at  COP20  in  Lima  where  there  were  a  range  of   opportuniJes  for  COP  delegates  to  hear  the  views  of  business  both  in  the  UNFCCC   meeJngs  and  outside.    WBCSD  brought  a  large  group  of  business  representaJves   with  about  40  members  arending  across  the  two  weeks.         This  year,  the  WBCSD  took  a  collaboraJve  approach  to  events  at  the  COP.    They   co-­‐organised  and  supported  some  very  well  received  events  spanning  energy   soluJons  for  a  low  carbon  future  with  the  IEA  and  two  carbon  pricing  events  with   IETA  and  the  World  Bank  Carbon  Pricing  Leadership  CoaliJon  during  which  we   reiterated  our  call  for  a  global,  robust  and  stable  carbon  price.       A  key  highlight  was  the  launch  of  the  partnerships  for  low  carbon  business  and   technology  soluJons  with  SDSN,  IEA  and  IDDRI  -­‐  known  as  our  Road  to  Paris.  This   iniJaJve,  is  now  officially  endorsed  by  the  French  Presidency  and  the  UNSG,  and   will  explore  pathways  to  scale  up  acJon  and  remove  technological  barriers,  clarify   financing  needs  and  formulate  clear  policy  asks  for  implementaJon  of   technologies  at  scale.    They  also  played  a  key  role  in  delivering  the  UNGC,  UNEP   and  UNFCCC  Caring  for  Climate  Business  Forum.  This  work  is  a  natural  extension  of   the  WBCSD’s  AcJon2020  Business  SoluJon.     Amongst  a  host  of  influenJal  bilateral  meeJngs  and  speaking  slots,  Peter  Bakker   represented  the  WBCSD  in  the  successful  Lima  Climate  AcJon  High  Level   Dialogue.  Alongside  UNSG  Ban  Ki-­‐Moon,  IPCC  Chair  Dr.  Rajendra  Pachauri,  Mr.   Felipe  Calderon,  former  President  of  Mexico  and  Chair  of  the  Global  Commission   on  the  Economy  and  Climate,  and  H.E.  Mr.  Ollanta  Humala,  President  of  Peru,   Peter  had  the  opportunity  to  call  all  negoJators  to  work  towards  an  agreement  in   Paris  which  will  provide  long-­‐term  certainty  and  the  appropriate  policy  framework   for  serious  climate  acJon.               MOBILISING  BUSINESS  ACTION  TOWARDS  2°C:  LAUNCH  OF  THE  BUSINESS  SOLUTIONS   AND  TECHNOLOGY  ROUNDTABLES     With  Paris  being  a  year  away,  almost  to  the  day,  the  IPCC  report  confirms  that  deep   decarbonisaJon  is  criJcal  to  stop  dangerous  climate  change.  Some  technologies  are   available  –  but  they  need  to  be  used  and  scaled  up  –  others  require  coordinated  RD&D   efforts  to  be  brought  into  commercial  stage  in  Jme.  WBCSD,  IDDRI  and  SDSN  have  come   together,  with  IEA  and  WEF  as  supporJng  partners,  to  bring  business  soluJons  and  public   private  partnerships  to  COP21  .  This  iniJaJve  will  idenJfy  technology  and  market  barriers,   and  policy  and  finance  needs,  for  each  of  six  technologies–  renewables,  CCS,  biofuels,   buildings,  mobility  and  forests-­‐  and  catalyse  private  public  partnerships  for  criJcal  RDD   areas  that  are  needed  for  deep  decarbonisaJon  pathways.     Speakers  included:  LAURENT  FABIUS,  Foreign  Minister,  France,  PETER  BAKKER,  President,   WBCSD,  JEFFREY  SACHS,  Director,  UN  Sustainable  Development  SoluJons  Network,   TERESA  RIBERA,  Director,  IDDRI  MARIA  VAN  HOEVEN,  ExecuJve  Director,  IEA   AUSTRALIAN  CLIMATE  POLICY  UPDATE     Australian  climate  policy  has  taken  some  sharp  twists  and  turns  over  the  last  few  years,   with  a  few  more  to  come.  Recently  the  government  secured  passage  of  legislaJon  for  its   $2.5  billion  Emissions  ReducJon  Fund  which  essenJally  expands  the  successful  Carbon   Farming  IniJaJve  and  helps  to  preserve  the  architecture  of  a  domesJc  offset  scheme.  The   legislaJon  also  commits  the  government  to  introduce  a  ‘safeguard  mechanism’  which  will   put  baselines  on  large  emirers  to  limit  emissions  growth  in  the  economy.  SBA  was  part  of   the  side-­‐event,  including  the  prepared  speech  on  the  next  page.     Speakers  were:   Moderator:  PETER  CASTELLAS,  CEO,  Carbon  Market  InsJtute   HON  JULIE  BISHOP,  Foreign  Minister,  Australia,  ROB  FOWLER,  Australia  &  New  Zealand   RepresentaJve,  IETA,  ERWIN  JACKSON,  Deputy  CEO,  Climate  InsJtute   MARIA  TARRANT,  Deputy  Chief,  ExecuJve  Business  Council  of  Australia,     ANDREW  PETERSEN,  CEO,  Sustainable  Business  Australia  /  Australian  GNP  for  the  WBCSD  
  • 9. SBA  @  Lima   Statement   At  the  side  event  SBA  made  the  following  opening  statement:   “Paraphrasing  a  quote  from  the  French  Ambassador  for  Climate  Change  made  earlier  in   the  day  “[Australia]  needs  to  project  [itself]  into  what  will  be  a  very  different  future.”       Australia  was  making  a  down  payment  on  our  decarbonising  our  future  with  the   opera/on  of  the  carbon  pricing  mechanism,  but  we’ve  temporarily  suspended   payments.     If  we  accept  that  the  last  3  years  were  the  ‘alpha  tes/ng’  phase  of  our  Na/onal  Carbon   Ac/on  1.0,  then  what  is  key  in  developing  the  na/onal  algorithmic  for  Carbon  Ac/on  2.0   is  to  learn  the  lessons  of  the  last  3  years:   •  business  is  far  more  knowledgeable  (and  in  some  cases  quite  sophis/cated)   about  the  func/oning  of  the  carbon  cycle  within  their  opera/ons,  and  increasing   within  their  supply  chain,  so  the  movement  towards  a  policy  regime  that  doesn’t   harness  that  knowledge  and  realise  more  robust  emissions  reduc/ons  is  a   wasted  opportunity   •  the  mere  presence  of  a  price  signal  with  the  introduc/on  of  the  carbon  pricing   mechanism,  produced  a  very  interes/ng  behaviour  –  namely  a  number  of   businesses  beSer  understood  their  carbon  footprint  and  put  in  place  abatement   measures  even  before  the  commencement  of  the  scheme,  so  that  they  came   under  the  threshold  of  being  a  liable  en/ty;  and   •  a  new  service  sector  –  energy  efficiency  and  produc/vity  professionals  –   emerged  with  not  only  na/onal  skills  in  carbon  management  and  energy   program  reduc/on  skills,  but  interna/onals  skills  which  are  replicable  and  highly   transferable     Cri/cal  to  Carbon  Ac/on  2.0,  is  to  not  totally  lose  these  key  learnings,  and  in  some  cases   key  jobs  and  businesses  that  were  crea/ng  wealth  for  the  Australian  economy,  let  alone   taxes.    For  example,  Australia  is  a  leader  in  carbon  abatement  methodologies,  and  our   work  in  soil  carbon  is  world  reknown.     In  arguing  for  keeping  climate  change  off  the  G-­‐20  agenda,  some  in  Australia  were   saying  that  it  was  not  strictly  an  economic  issue  and  would  distract  from  goals  including   a  plan  to  boost  global  GDP  by  more  than  $2  trillion  over  five  years.           Well  if  its  not,  then  I  would  counter  this  argument  by  poin/ng  to  the  fact  that  both  our   Australia’s  Foreign  Affairs  and  Trade  Minister  and  Investment  Minister,  surely  2  of  the   most  important  geo  –  poli/cal  and  economic  por_olios  represen/ng  any  country.     On  the  issue  of  Australia’s  contribu/on  to  the  Global  Climate  Fund  SBA  welcomes  the   announcement  by  the  Foreign  Minister  that  Australia  would  commit  funds.  This  I  believe   counter  some  of  the  concerns  that  were  raised  in  the  interna/onal  community  before   the  start  of  the  COP  that  Australia’s  reluctance  to  contribute  to  the  fund  was  crea/ng  a   “nega/ve  dynamic”  in  nego/a/ons  with  large  developing  countries  including  China,   who  ask  why  they  should  be  expected  to  contribute  when  Australia,  one  of  the  richest   countries  per  capita,  won’t.  I  would  say  that  Australia’s  announcement  has  created  a   new  ‘posi/ve  dynamic’.     But  responsible  forward  thinking  business  needs  clarity  on  Australia’s  climate  mi/ga/on   framework  going  forward.  No  policy  that  /me  limits  the  investment  of  public  funds  in   emission  reduc/on  projects  is  going  to  enable  business  to  do  the  heavy  licing  (and   poten/ally  those  major  companies  who  are  seeking  a  compe//ve  advantage,  the   financial  returns)  that  it  was  already  being  asked  to  undertake  through  the  carbon   pricing  mechanism.     We  agree  with  Prime  Minister  AbboS’s  statements  acer  his  recent  mee/ng  with  French   President  Francois  Hollande  that  it  is  “vital”  that  the  Paris  climate  change  conference   succeeds.  What  needs  to  be  challenged  is  his  statement  that,  “For  it  to  be  a  success,  we   can’t  pursue  environmental  improvements  at  the  expense  of  economic  progress.  We   can’t  reduce  emissions  in  ways  which  cost  jobs.”         While  we  agree  with  the  need  for  economic  ra/onale  in  our  delibera/ons,  our  frame  of   mind  must  be  about  finding  success  to  this  challenge,  not  finding  excuses.  Again,  in  the   words  of  the  Prime  Minister  when  announcing  the  contribu/on  to  the  Fund,  things  have   developed.  The  frame  of  mind  is  Australia  needs  to  stop  turning  its  back  on  climate   change,  and  instead  turn  to  face  the  pathway  to  ac/on  and  solu/ons.  The  silent   majority  of  business,  as  Unilever  CEO,  Paul  Polman,  said  yesterday  that  are  present  at   this  COP  and  represented  by  the  likes  of  the  WBCSD,  ICC,  and  SBA,  are  ready  for  a   universal,  ambi/ous,  and  balanced  climate  agreement  to  come  out  of  Paris.  
  • 10. 2015   The  Road  to  Paris   Throughout  2014,  every  sector  of  our  economy  felt  the  weight  of  climate  change.  More  significantly,  many  more  people  across  business  began  to  interweave  the   repercussions  of  a  changing  climate  with  issues  –  like  poverty,  urbanizaJon,  lifestyles,  economic  standards  and  community  development  –  that  had  previously  appeared  as   separate  prongs  on  any  impact  chart.  CorporaJons  like  Unilever  set  ever  more  aggressive  and  inclusive  goals  and  created  markeJng  plans  to  persuade  others  to  join.       So  as  we  head  into  what  promises  to  be  the  most  tumultuous  year  yet  for  sustainable  business,  here  are  some  of  the  themes  you  can  expect  to  dominate  corporate   decisions  and  strategy  whiteboards.    The  ‘big  picture’  for  a  ‘big  year’.   More  businesses   recognise  that   climate  change  is   real   Expect  these  climate  risk  forecasts  (e.g.  Carbon  Disclosure  Project)  to  assume  pracJcal  proporJons  and  become  embedded  much  more  strategically  into  risk   management  and  business  development  plans.  At  the  same  Jme  the  investor  relaJons  department  and  the  chief  financial  officer  are  going  to  be  asking  more   quesJons.  Some  companies  are  already  pudng  an  internal  price  on  carbon,  for  instance,  to  educate  their  investments.  Others,  meanwhile  are  marrying   emissions  with  their  market  performance  (eg  Kering).    New  ReporJng  standards  are  beginning  to  emerge.   Companies  align   their  strategies   with  the   Sustainable   Development   Goals   The  next  phase  of  the  UN’s  Millennium  Development  Goals,  fidngly  termed  the  Sustainable  Development  Goals,  shi`  prioriJes  from  stand  alone  goals  like   reducing  poverty  and  increasing  hygiene  to  more  inclusive  and  integrated  ones  that  push  for  systemic  change  like  the  rule  of  law,  dignity  and  prosperity  for  all.   The  implicaJons  are  significant.  And  business  is  being  called  on  to  provide  acJve  support  for  the  first  Jme.    This  presents  an  unprecedented  opportunity  to  Je   businesses’  growth  to  their  communiJes  and  the  environment.  The  capitalists  are  being  welcomed  and  being  acJvely  recruited  to  the  table.  This  marks  a  key   acknowledgement  that  determining  our  path  forward  as  an  interconnected  economy  will  require  the  tensile  strength  of  every  single  sector.  How  will  this   happen  and  how  will  business  map  the  tangible  from  the  lo`y?  Scenario  planning,  at  the  very  least.  If  a  majority  of  your  supply  chain  works  in  Bangladesh,  for   example,  you’ll  need  to  ask:  Is  your  business  equipped  to  handle  disrupJons  from  hurricanes  and  floods  in  the  region  and  the  consequenJal  loss  of  life  and   infrastructure?  And  if  not,  then  perhaps  invesJng  in  water  conservaJon  or  employee  and  consumer  empowerment  iniJaJves  make  your  business  more   resilient?    This  type  of  scenario  planning  ensures  not  only  that  your  business  model  is  resilient,  but  also  that  your  employees,  customers  and  communiJes  will   play  a  criJcal  role  in  your  decisions.   Business  switch   from  advocacy  to   ac8vism   As  the  rhetoric  and  acJon  begin  to  align  across  boardrooms,  we  can  expect  more  business  leaders  to  step  out  to  spark  more  sustainable  business  pracJces,   whether  through  regulaJon  (e.g.  Nike  and  Starbucks  support  Obama’s  climate  rule)  or  through  well-­‐funded  lawsuits,  investor-­‐led  demands,  strategic   partnerships  or  remapped  business  models.  As  the  crescendo  for  more  acJon  builds,  some  companies  will  need  to  rebuild  their  narraJve,  remap  their  strategy   and  ensure  their  business  is  nimble  enough  –  and  able  to  collaborate  sufficiently  with  its  employees,  consumers  and  other  stakeholders  –  to  remain  an  acJve   parJcipant  in  the  next  25  years  of  economic  development.  The  Divestment  Movement  has  some  sectors  on  the  defensive.   More  big  supply   chain  disrup8ons   The  Rana  Plaza  fire  and  the  expose  of  forced  labour  in  electronics  factories  in  Malaysia  are  unlikely  to  be  one  offs.    You  can  expect  these  disrupJons  to   conJnue.   A  focus  on  future   proofing   How  will  an  organizaJon  use  the  next  12  months  to  ensure  its  long-­‐term  viability,  as  an  economic  contributor,  as  a  consumer,  as  an  employee,  as  a  leader  and   as  an  informed  decision  maker?    As  counJes  begin  the  task  of  pudng  their  future  economic  plans  in  the  context  of  climate  change  and  miJgaJon  strategies,   should  must  business.  
  • 11. Sustainable  Business  Australia                           SBA  www.sba.asn.au.  was  established  in  Australia  in  1991,  and  is  the  peak   business  body  for  advocacy  for  sustainable  business  acJviJes  in  Australia,  and   appointed  Global  Partner  for  WBCSD  (World  Business  Council  for  Sustainable   Development)  in  2014.  Its  members  represent  leading  Australian  businesses  across   sectors  who  share  a  commitment  to  economic,  environmental  and  social   development.       SBA  represents  member  companies,  public  sector  enterprises  and  insJtuJons,   BINGOs  and  community  organisaJons  ,  which  in  turn  represent  100,000  +   Australian  employees.  SBA  is  the  secretariat  for  the  Businesses  for  Clean  Economy   which  is  an  iniJaJve  of  over  400  business  signatories.  www.b4ce.com.au     t:  +61  (0)2  8267  5782   m:  +61  (0)412  545  994   w:  www.sba.asn.au         Sustainable Business Australia