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IT	
  and	
  Service	
  Provider	
  Capital	
  Priori3es	
  
               Annual	
  Survey	
  Results	
  
                    January	
  2013	
  




     Sales Pulse Research

                Sales	
  Pulse	
  Research,	
  LLC	
  	
  2013	
  	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved	
  
Sales Pulse Research                                                                                                                                                        	
  Technology Trends


                                                                    About	
  this	
  Survey	
  and	
  Results	
  

Results	
  are	
  based	
  on	
  our	
  end	
  of	
  year	
  survey	
  combined	
  with	
  our	
  on-­‐going	
  research	
  and	
  analysis.	
  	
  
	
  
Our	
  survey	
  was	
  designed	
  to	
  be	
  “high	
  touch”	
  primarily	
  at	
  the	
  field	
  level	
  for	
  a	
  boLoms	
  up	
  view	
  into	
  overall	
  spending	
  trends.	
  This	
  year	
  the	
  
survey	
  was	
  sent	
  to	
  750+	
  known	
  industry	
  contacts	
  around	
  the	
  world	
  and	
  so	
  far	
  have	
  received	
  a	
  ~20%	
  response.	
  	
  
	
  
The	
  following	
  disclosures	
  are	
  provided	
  to	
  survey	
  par3cipants:	
  
          No	
  company	
  confiden3al	
  informa3on	
  is	
  requested	
  or	
  will	
  be	
  knowingly	
  included	
  in	
  any	
  report	
  or	
  communica3on	
  associated	
  with	
  this	
  
          research.	
  This	
  research	
  is	
  NOT	
  an	
  aLempt	
  to	
  gain	
  insight	
  into	
  non-­‐public	
  company	
  specific	
  financial	
  data	
  or	
  any	
  other	
  confiden3al	
  
          informa3on.	
  The	
  focus	
  of	
  this	
  report	
  is	
  market	
  dynamics.	
  Our	
  goal	
  is	
  to	
  gain	
  input	
  across	
  various	
  geographies	
  and	
  industry	
  segments	
  to	
  
          understand	
  broader	
  industry	
  trends.	
  
	
  
          Par3cipants:	
  For	
  their	
  input,	
  industry	
  par3cipants	
  receive	
  our	
  reports.	
  This	
  informa3on	
  may	
  help	
  beLer	
  understand	
  the	
  industry	
  and	
  
          assist	
  with	
  individual	
  job	
  ac3vi3es,	
  or	
  in	
  some	
  cases	
  job	
  searches.	
  Par3cipants	
  should	
  not	
  provide	
  any	
  informa3on	
  that	
  conflicts	
  with	
  
          the	
  policies	
  of	
  the	
  company	
  they	
  work	
  for.	
  We	
  welcome	
  your	
  input	
  regarding	
  compe3tors,	
  customer	
  trends,	
  and	
  other	
  market	
  
          observa3ons.	
  Survey	
  par3cipants	
  should	
  decline	
  to	
  par3cipate	
  in	
  the	
  survey	
  if	
  par3cipa3ng	
  would	
  violate	
  any	
  confiden3ality	
  
          obliga3on.	
  
	
  
Our	
  thanks	
  to	
  all	
  who	
  have	
  assisted	
  with	
  market	
  input	
  and	
  sugges3ons.	
  Please	
  call	
  or	
  email	
  with	
  any	
  ques3ons.	
  
	
  




                                                           Sales	
  Pulse	
  Research,	
  LLC	
  	
  2013	
  	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved	
                                                                          2	
  
Sales Pulse Research                                                                                                                                                    	
  Technology Trends

                                 2013	
  Key	
  Takeaways	
  from	
  our	
  Survey	
  Results	
  
	
  
•      Overall	
  expecta3ons	
  and	
  survey	
  input	
  for	
  IT	
  spending	
  in	
  2013	
  were	
  less	
  posi*ve	
  when	
  compared	
  to	
  the	
  previous	
  2	
  years	
  indica3ng	
  only	
  
       slight	
  growth	
  ~4%	
  for	
  the	
  industry	
  and	
  budgets.	
  Commentary	
  and	
  recent	
  discussions	
  indicate	
  the	
  nega3vity	
  is	
  a	
  result	
  of	
  slowing	
  
       momentum	
  in	
  Q4	
  and	
  uncertainty	
  for	
  CY	
  Q1	
  and	
  early	
  2013.	
  	
  

•      Service	
  Provider	
  CAPEX	
  2013	
  Outlook	
  is	
  also	
  expected	
  to	
  improve	
  over	
  2012	
  with	
  ~4%	
  growth	
  however	
  it	
  is	
  heavily	
  dependent	
  upon	
  
       the	
  geography	
  (NA	
  growth,	
  Asia	
  Pac	
  growth,	
  EMEA	
  stable),	
  macro	
  economies,	
  and	
  operator	
  priori3es	
  as	
  many	
  2013	
  budgets	
  are	
  s3ll	
  
       being	
  finalized.	
  	
  We	
  are	
  uncovering	
  broad	
  evidence	
  of	
  growth	
  or	
  worst	
  case	
  flat	
  YoY	
  spending.	
  

•      In	
  contrast	
  to	
  the	
  current	
  weakness,	
  ac3vity	
  related	
  to	
  new	
  projects,	
  improving	
  pipelines,	
  proposals	
  and	
  RFP	
  ac3vity	
  remains	
  very	
  high.	
  
       Field	
  contacts	
  are	
  op3mis3c	
  and	
  believe	
  that	
  the	
  tech	
  industry	
  is	
  poised	
  for	
  faster	
  growth	
  based	
  upon	
  a	
  strong	
  underlying	
  demand	
  that	
  
       is	
  s3ll	
  restrained	
  by	
  macro	
  and	
  fiscal	
  uncertainty.	
  

•      We	
  believe	
  2013	
  is	
  off	
  to	
  a	
  slow	
  start	
  indica3ng	
  possible	
  risk	
  to	
  the	
  seasonally	
  weak	
  Q1	
  expecta*ons	
  in	
  spite	
  of	
  the	
  improving	
  
       sen*ment.	
  

•      We	
  believe	
  Federal	
  spending	
  in	
  FY	
  Q1	
  likely	
  underperformed	
  even	
  the	
  already	
  lowered	
  expecta*ons	
  for	
  federally	
  exposed	
  suppliers	
  
       and	
  integrators	
  with	
  a	
  few	
  outliers	
  such	
  as	
  WiFi	
  ,	
  Cloud/Outsourcing	
  and	
  Security.	
  	
  

•      Similar	
  to	
  last	
  year,	
  much	
  of	
  our	
  input	
  has	
  come	
  from	
  individuals	
  who	
  are	
  in	
  segments	
  that	
  they	
  believe	
  are	
  growing	
  faster	
  than	
  overall	
  
       growth	
  in	
  CAPEX.	
  	
  Ver3cals	
  seen	
  as	
  maintaining	
  the	
  most	
  momentum	
  include	
  Wifi,	
  hosted/cloud	
  services,	
  and	
  network	
  management	
  
       tools.	
  Other	
  areas	
  that	
  are	
  viewed	
  as	
  growing	
  quickly,	
  but	
  not	
  immune	
  to	
  current	
  budget	
  restraints	
  include	
  storage,	
  security,	
  SaaS	
  and	
  
       Unified	
  Communica*ons.	
  	
  	
  

•      Hiring	
  was	
  frozen	
  or	
  had	
  slowed	
  no3ceably	
  in	
  Q4	
  at	
  several	
  companies	
  with	
  expecta3ons	
  of	
  improvements	
  in	
  mid	
  Q1	
  2013.	
  For	
  2013	
  
       23%	
  see	
  a	
  slow	
  down	
  in	
  hiring,	
  56%	
  report	
  a	
  pickup,	
  21%	
  see	
  no	
  change	
  




                                                                           Sales	
  Pulse	
  Research,	
  LLC	
  	
  2013	
  	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved	
                                                              3	
  
Sales Pulse Research                                                                                         	
  Technology Trends




                                                                                                                                     4	
  
                       Sales	
  Pulse	
  Research,	
  LLC	
  	
  2013	
  	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved	
  
Sales Pulse Research                                                                                                                                                       	
  Technology Trends

                                    Results	
  and	
  Analysis	
  of	
  Enterprise	
  Spending	
  
•      As	
  discussed	
  in	
  our	
  summary	
  page,	
  input	
  has	
  suggested	
  a	
  slow	
  finish	
  to	
  2012	
  for	
  most	
  segments	
  of	
  enterprise	
  IT	
  spending.	
  A	
  slow	
  start	
  
       to	
  Q1	
  2013	
  is	
  also	
  expected.	
  Due	
  to	
  the	
  contrast	
  with	
  between	
  weak	
  spending	
  and	
  of	
  the	
  high	
  levels	
  of	
  sales	
  ac3vity,	
  we	
  are	
  working	
  to	
  
       monitor	
  spending	
  closely	
  to	
  see	
  if	
  /	
  when	
  we	
  can	
  recognize	
  signs	
  of	
  a	
  pickup	
  which	
  is	
  an3cipated	
  in	
  Q2	
  2013.	
  

•      More	
  contacts	
  this	
  year	
  noted	
  segments	
  where	
  they	
  believe	
  growth	
  would	
  be	
  stronger	
  than	
  overall	
  market	
  expecta3ons.	
  The	
  strongest	
  
       of	
  these	
  segments	
  include:	
  
         –  Wireless	
  LAN	
  to	
  support	
  BYoD.	
  Contacts	
  who	
  are	
  working	
  directly	
  with	
  WiFi,	
  BYOD	
  ,	
  MDM	
  and	
  Mobile	
  Security	
  solu3ons	
  remain	
  
                 very	
  enthusias3c!	
  	
  We	
  believe	
  this	
  area	
  was	
  among	
  the	
  strongest	
  in	
  Q4	
  and	
  is	
  likely	
  to	
  con3nue	
  through	
  2013.	
  
         –  Cloud	
  con3nues	
  to	
  gain	
  momentum	
  with	
  most	
  contacts	
  seeing	
  con3nued	
  strong	
  growth	
  and	
  some	
  seeing	
  accelera3on.	
  The	
  
                 implica3on	
  of	
  this	
  growth	
  is	
  generally	
  a	
  net	
  nega*ve	
  for	
  vendors	
  who	
  tradi*onally	
  sell	
  to	
  large	
  enterprises	
  (discussed	
  later	
  
                 within	
  this	
  document).	
  
         –  Tools	
  for	
  tes*ng,	
  diagnos*cs,	
  visualiza*on	
  and	
  network	
  management.	
  Although	
  this	
  is	
  a	
  narrow	
  market	
  we	
  were	
  surprised	
  at	
  
                 the	
  number	
  of	
  contacts	
  who	
  noted	
  strength.	
  We	
  believe	
  this	
  trend	
  is	
  posi3ve	
  for	
  Ixia,	
  Gigamon,	
  Opnet/Riverbed	
  and	
  others.	
  	
  	
  

•      Our	
  contacts	
  also	
  see	
  spending	
  on	
  NGN,	
  Mobile/BYOD	
  and	
  Applica*on	
  Security	
  as	
  a	
  top	
  priority,	
  noted	
  by	
  38%	
  or	
  respondents,	
  up	
  
       from	
  29%	
  in	
  2010,	
  and	
  33%	
  in	
  2011.	
  	
  	
  

•      In	
  contrast,	
  WAN	
  Op*miza*on	
  has	
  fallen	
  from	
  28%	
  in	
  2010,	
  18%	
  in	
  2011,	
  now	
  to	
  13%	
  in	
  this	
  years	
  results.	
  	
  Our	
  sampling	
  may	
  skew	
  
       these	
  results	
  to	
  the	
  downside	
  due	
  to	
  supplier	
  consolida3on	
  or	
  lack	
  of	
  focus	
  from	
  JNPR	
  and	
  CSCO.	
  	
  We	
  believe	
  Riverbed	
  and	
  Silver	
  Peak	
  
       are	
  likely	
  to	
  con3nue	
  to	
  gain	
  share	
  and	
  to	
  outpace	
  overall	
  market	
  growth	
  projec3ons	
  of	
  ~10%	
  in	
  their	
  core	
  business.	
  

•      Unified	
  Communica*ons	
  remains	
  in	
  the	
  early	
  stages	
  of	
  market	
  penetra3on	
  and	
  our	
  research	
  supports	
  a	
  mul3-­‐year	
  transi3on	
  that	
  is	
  a	
  
       top	
  	
  priority	
  by	
  end	
  users.	
  	
  Vendors	
  include	
  Broadsop,	
  Cisco,	
  Microsop,	
  Acme	
  Packet,	
  Sonus,	
  Plantronics	
  and	
  Polycom.	
  	
  

•      Areas	
  of	
  weakness	
  include:	
  Closet	
  Switching,	
  SAN,	
  Legacy	
  Security,	
  Federal	
  spending	
  on	
  equipment	
  and	
  Systems	
  Integra3on.	
  

         	
  	
                                                              Sales	
  Pulse	
  Research,	
  LLC	
  	
  2013	
  	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved	
                                                                 5	
  

	
  
Sales Pulse Research                                                                                         	
  Technology Trends




                                                                                                                                     6	
  
                       Sales	
  Pulse	
  Research,	
  LLC	
  	
  2013	
  	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved	
  
Sales Pulse Research                                                                                                                                               	
  Technology Trends

                      Results	
  and	
  Analysis	
  of	
  Service	
  Provider	
  Spending	
  
 •    Posi*ve	
  expecta*ons	
  for	
  Service	
  Provider	
  spending	
  in	
  2013:	
  -­‐	
  63%	
  indicated	
  a	
  view	
  that	
  is	
  consistent	
  with	
  a	
  forecast	
  for	
  slight	
  growth	
  
      of	
  ~4%.	
  The	
  majority	
  of	
  our	
  research	
  also	
  highlighted	
  ongoing	
  cau3on	
  that	
  without	
  improving	
  macro	
  economic	
  condi3ons	
  success	
  
      based	
  capital	
  may	
  be	
  at	
  risk	
  thereby	
  impac3ng	
  overall	
  CAPEX.	
  	
  Presently,	
  enterprise	
  customer	
  spending	
  remains	
  sop	
  and	
  there	
  is	
  
      evidence	
  consumers	
  are	
  beginning	
  to	
  reverse	
  course	
  with	
  discre3onary	
  services	
  and	
  bundles.	
  	
  	
  

 •    	
  CAPEX	
  Priori*es	
  include:	
  Wireless	
  Mobility,	
  wireline	
  expansion,	
  metro/regional/core	
  100G	
  capacity	
  upgrades,	
  WiFi,	
  Cloud/Managed/
      Hosted	
  Services	
  for	
  enterprise,	
  Home	
  Monitoring/Security/Automa3on,	
  NGN	
  Security,	
  Hosted	
  Unified	
  Communica3ons,	
  OSS/BSS	
  
      Upgrades/Moderniza3on,	
  Network	
  Management/Monitoring/Traffic	
  Visualiza3on	
  Tools,	
  and	
  Cloud	
  based	
  video	
  delivery.	
  

 •    We	
  believe	
  2013	
  is	
  likely	
  to	
  be	
  slow	
  to	
  accelerate	
  with	
  seasonal	
  sopness	
  in	
  Q1,	
  then	
  improving	
  Q2	
  and	
  beyond	
  based	
  on	
  current	
  
      sen3ment	
  from	
  end	
  users,	
  operators,	
  field	
  teams,	
  distributors	
  and	
  Integrators.	
  

 •    As	
  compared	
  to	
  previous	
  input	
  from	
  our	
  industry	
  contacts	
  in	
  the	
  service	
  provider	
  segment	
  they	
  remain	
  more	
  op3mis3c	
  about	
  an	
  
      increase	
  in	
  overall	
  CAPEX	
  for	
  2013.	
  This	
  is	
  based	
  on	
  mul3-­‐year	
  project	
  ini3a3ves	
  along	
  with	
  increasing	
  levels	
  of	
  ac3vity	
  and	
  growing	
  
      pipelines.	
  	
  Fewer	
  contacts	
  highlighted	
  budget	
  flush	
  at	
  the	
  end	
  of	
  Q4	
  due	
  to	
  push	
  outs,	
  and	
  ongoing	
  poli3cal,	
  fiscal	
  and	
  macro	
  
      uncertain3es.	
  

 •    Current	
  feedback	
  points	
  to	
  stabiliza3on	
  in	
  EMEA,	
  con3nued	
  growth	
  in	
  Asia	
  PAC	
  and	
  YoY	
  improvements	
  in	
  North	
  America	
  for	
  2013.	
  

 •    We	
  are	
  uncovering	
  broad	
  based	
  expecta3ons	
  of	
  con3nued	
  co-­‐ope33on,	
  strategic	
  partnerships,	
  OEM’s	
  to	
  fill	
  product	
  gaps,	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  
      ongoing	
  M&A	
  specula3on	
  across	
  both	
  the	
  operator	
  and	
  supplier	
  community.	
  	
  	
  As	
  a	
  result	
  we	
  also	
  believe	
  Global	
  Tier	
  1	
  suppliers	
  are	
  
      likely	
  to	
  become	
  larger	
  and	
  more	
  strategic	
  integra3on	
  partners	
  for	
  their	
  customer	
  base	
  resul3ng	
  in	
  new	
  mul3-­‐year	
  contract	
  
      rela3onships	
  involving	
  mul3ple	
  technologies	
  and	
  companies	
  to	
  fill	
  product,	
  services	
  and	
  sopware	
  gaps.	
  

 •    Similar	
  to	
  responses	
  in	
  enterprise	
  spending,	
  a	
  significant	
  change	
  is	
  reflected	
  in	
  response	
  to	
  the	
  ques3on	
  regarding	
  the	
  specific	
  segment	
  
      the	
  par3cular	
  contact	
  is	
  targe3ng.	
  This	
  year	
  only	
  21%	
  believe	
  their	
  segment	
  will	
  grow	
  faster	
  than	
  the	
  overall	
  CAPEX	
  forecast,	
  down	
  from	
  
      40%	
  last	
  year.	
  

                                                                     Sales	
  Pulse	
  Research,	
  LLC	
  	
  2013	
  	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved	
                                                              7	
  
Sales Pulse Research                                                                                         	
  Technology Trends




                                                                                                                                     8	
  
                       Sales	
  Pulse	
  Research,	
  LLC	
  	
  2013	
  	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved	
  
Sales Pulse Research                                                                                                                                                        	
  Technology Trends

        Results	
  and	
  Analysis	
  of	
  Priority	
  Trends	
  by	
  Segment	
  –	
  Cloud,	
  WiFi	
  	
  
                                                        	
  
 •         Cloud	
  -­‐	
  Most	
  contacts	
  (70%)	
  see	
  con3nued	
  and	
  steady	
  growth.	
  Otherwise,	
  more	
  see	
  accelera3on	
  (17%)	
  vs.	
  slowing	
  (12%).	
  	
  
             –  Cloud	
  Frameworks	
  remain	
  fragmented	
  with	
  AWS,	
  Azure,	
  OpenStack,	
  CloudStack,	
  Vcloud…	
  	
  	
  
             –  Service	
  Providers	
  con*nue	
  to	
  shiW	
  investment	
  to	
  infrastructure	
  for	
  cloud	
  services,	
  via	
  purchase	
  of	
  servers,	
  storage,	
  data	
  center	
  
                      fabrics	
  and	
  sopware.	
  	
  Strategic	
  partnerships	
  are	
  also	
  expected	
  to	
  accelerate	
  geographic	
  reach	
  and	
  offerings.	
  
              –      As	
  expected,	
  vendors	
  are	
  making	
  moves	
  through	
  partnerships	
  and	
  M&A	
  to	
  fill	
  out	
  product	
  stacks	
  for	
  cloud	
  solu3ons	
  as	
  vendors	
  
                     seek	
  alignment	
  of	
  network,	
  server,	
  storage,	
  virtualiza3on	
  sopware	
  and	
  management	
  tools.	
  Even	
  more	
  aggressive	
  moves	
  are	
  
                     expected	
  in	
  2013.	
  
              –      The	
  ship	
  of	
  spending	
  by	
  enterprises	
  to	
  cloud	
  services	
  moves	
  spending	
  away	
  from	
  higher	
  margin	
  servers,	
  network	
  and	
  storage	
  
                     to	
  the	
  more	
  commodity	
  products	
  and	
  components	
  purchased	
  by	
  large	
  service	
  providers,	
  resul3ng	
  in	
  a	
  growing	
  head	
  wind	
  for	
  
                     vendors	
  who	
  sell	
  into	
  large	
  enterprises	
  (ie	
  NetApp,	
  EMC,	
  Cisco,	
  HP,	
  IBM,	
  Dell	
  and	
  others).	
  
              –      For	
  private	
  clouds,	
  enterprises	
  are	
  increasingly	
  choosing	
  bundled	
  solu*ons	
  such	
  as	
  Flexpod	
  (NetApp),	
  Vblock	
  /	
  Vspex	
  (EMC),	
  	
  
                     PureSystems	
  and	
  PureFlex	
  (IBM)	
  to	
  shorten	
  the	
  3me	
  required	
  to	
  deploy	
  systems	
  and	
  reduce	
  demand	
  for	
  scarce	
  exper3se.	
  
            –        Companies	
  best	
  posi3oned	
  to	
  benefit	
  include:	
  VMware,	
  Rackspace,	
  Verizon,	
  Citrix,	
  Microsop,	
  FusionIO.	
  
            	
  
 •         WiFi	
  –	
  Input	
  on	
  WiFi	
  growth	
  remains	
  very	
  strong	
  driven	
  by	
  BYOD,	
  tablets,	
  DoD,	
  customer	
  reten3on	
  strategies	
  and	
  the	
  increasingly	
  
           mobile	
  workforce.	
  	
  
            –  Based	
  upon	
  recent	
  input,	
  we	
  believe	
  that	
  demand	
  for	
  WiFi	
  has	
  held	
  up	
  beLer	
  than	
  just	
  about	
  any	
  other	
  segment	
  due	
  to	
  the	
  
                        strong	
  BYOD	
  trend	
  and	
  assisted	
  by	
  the	
  fact	
  that	
  the	
  size	
  of	
  many	
  WiFi	
  projects	
  and	
  orders	
  are	
  smaller	
  than	
  other	
  IT	
  projects.	
  
            –  Cellular	
  offload	
  and	
  Service	
  Provider	
  WiFi	
  blanket	
  coverage	
  is	
  accelera3ng	
  	
  into	
  a	
  3-­‐5	
  year	
  deployment	
  cycle.	
  We	
  are	
  following	
  
                        several	
  very	
  large	
  (~$300m	
  to	
  over	
  $1B)	
  deployment	
  ini3a3ves	
  on	
  a	
  global	
  basis.	
  Cisco	
  remains	
  the	
  market	
  share	
  leader	
  in	
  this	
  
                        market,	
  followed	
  by	
  Ruckus	
  and	
  Bel	
  Air/Ericsson.	
  Aruba	
  is	
  having	
  some	
  success	
  in	
  public	
  venues.	
  	
  
            –  WiLan	
  solu3on	
  providers	
  are	
  offering	
  new	
  higher	
  margin	
  sopware	
  based	
  features	
  and	
  offerings	
  for	
  policy	
  enforcement,	
  DPI,	
  
                        Security,	
  Mobile	
  Device	
  Management	
  that	
  should	
  help	
  offset	
  margin	
  pressures	
  for	
  the	
  commodity	
  AP’s.	
  	
  Aruba	
  and	
  Ruckus	
  are	
  
                        expected	
  to	
  see	
  improving	
  demand	
  in	
  2013	
  for	
  their	
  SW	
  based	
  solu3ons.	
  
            –  Companies	
  best	
  posi3oned	
  to	
  benefit	
  include	
  Aruba,	
  Ruckus,	
  Cisco,	
  Meru,	
  and	
  Xirrus	
  

 	
                                                               Sales	
  Pulse	
  Research,	
  LLC	
  	
  2013	
  	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved	
                                                                           9	
  
Sales Pulse Research                                                                                                                                     	
  Technology Trends

                    Results	
  and	
  Analysis	
  of	
  Priority	
  Trends	
  by	
  Segment	
  
                                        Data	
  Centers,	
  Storage	
  
                                                         	
  
 •    Investment	
  in	
  Data	
  Centers	
  con3nues	
  to	
  rank	
  among	
  the	
  highest	
  priori3es	
  for	
  Government,	
  Web	
  2.0,	
  Enterprises	
  and	
  Service	
  
      Providers.	
  	
  Unified	
  Compute	
  and	
  Unified	
  Storage	
  architectures	
  leveraging	
  sopware	
  integra3on	
  are	
  also	
  gaining	
  momentum.	
  	
  
        –  Cisco	
  con3nues	
  to	
  gain	
  momentum	
  with	
  UCS	
  and	
  Nexus.	
  
        –  Brocade	
  is	
  also	
  benefiyng	
  as	
  those	
  refreshing	
  SANs	
  are	
  staying	
  commiLed	
  to	
  tradi3onal	
  Fiber	
  Channel	
  vs.	
  FCoE.	
  	
  Addi3onally,	
  
            Brocade	
  con3nues	
  to	
  lead	
  the	
  switching	
  segment	
  with	
  their	
  SDN	
  strategy	
  and	
  Fabric	
  solu3ons.	
  
        –      Juniper’s	
  PTX	
  product	
  is	
  winning	
  business	
  in	
  large	
  enterprises,	
  Web	
  2.0	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  in	
  the	
  Service	
  Provider	
  markets.	
  
        –      Infiniband	
  con3nues	
  to	
  grow	
  as	
  an	
  interconnect	
  technology	
  in	
  HPC	
  and	
  Web	
  Scale	
  data	
  centers.	
  Although	
  demand	
  is	
  lumpy,	
  as	
  
               seen	
  in	
  Mellanox’	
  results,	
  the	
  niche	
  market	
  for	
  IB	
  con3nues	
  to	
  expand.	
  	
  
        –      There	
  is	
  a	
  high	
  level	
  of	
  an3cipa3on	
  for	
  the	
  next	
  genera3on	
  of	
  servers	
  and	
  processor	
  architectures	
  from	
  Intel,	
  AMD	
  and	
  ARM	
  
               from	
  vendors	
  like	
  Quanta,	
  SuperMicro,	
  Calxeda...	
  In	
  addi3on	
  to	
  delivering	
  low	
  power,	
  higher	
  performing	
  denser	
  compute,	
  these	
  
               systems	
  provide	
  for	
  high	
  speed	
  interconnect	
  on	
  and	
  between	
  motherboards	
  and	
  processors.	
  Implementa3on	
  of	
  these	
  systems	
  is	
  
               expected	
  to	
  drive	
  network	
  upgrades,	
  however	
  they	
  are	
  also	
  expected	
  to	
  reduce	
  the	
  #	
  of	
  required	
  VM’s	
  and	
  reduce	
  port	
  	
  
               requirements	
  for	
  Top	
  of	
  Rack	
  switches	
  which	
  will	
  impact	
  the	
  switching	
  vendors.	
  
        –      Enterprises	
  prefer	
  bundled	
  solu3ons	
  and/or	
  reference	
  architectures	
  (as	
  discussed	
  under	
  Cloud)	
  to	
  achieve	
  faster	
  deployment	
  
               3mes	
  and	
  reduce	
  resources	
  needed	
  for	
  integra3on,	
  tes3ng	
  and	
  support.	
  
        –      Companies	
  best	
  posi3oned	
  to	
  benefit	
  include:	
  Cisco,	
  Brocade,	
  Juniper,	
  F5,	
  Arista,	
  Citrix,	
  and	
  IBM.	
  

 •    Storage	
  con3nues	
  to	
  be	
  highlighted	
  as	
  an	
  ongoing	
  area	
  of	
  priority	
  however	
  the	
  ship	
  to	
  SSD	
  and	
  commodity	
  disk	
  is	
  impac3ng	
  the	
  
      tradi3onal	
  suppliers	
  high	
  margin	
  HW	
  businesses.	
  	
  Newer	
  SW	
  and	
  feature	
  integra3on	
  efforts	
  are	
  priority	
  #1	
  leading	
  to	
  Unified	
  Storage.	
  
        –  This	
  year	
  much	
  of	
  the	
  posi3ve	
  comments	
  were	
  from	
  VARs	
  who	
  men3oned	
  smaller	
  vendors	
  like	
  Nimble,	
  Tegile,	
  Tintri,	
  NextGen,	
  
             Fusion	
  IO,	
  Nimbus,	
  Pure,	
  Violin,	
  and	
  WhipTail.	
  Although	
  the	
  majority	
  of	
  spending	
  remains	
  with	
  incumbent	
  vendors,	
  end	
  users	
  
             are	
  more	
  frequently	
  making	
  tac3cal	
  choices	
  to	
  find	
  lower	
  cost	
  and/or	
  higher	
  performance	
  storage	
  solu3ons	
  for	
  new	
  applica3on	
  
             deployments.	
  SSD	
  arrays	
  have	
  broadened	
  the	
  deployment	
  op3ons	
  for	
  end	
  users.	
  
        –  As	
  in	
  other	
  segments,	
  end	
  users	
  are	
  breaking	
  up	
  projects	
  and	
  releasing	
  smaller	
  orders	
  only	
  to	
  meet	
  short	
  term	
  requirements.	
  
             Storage	
  appears	
  to	
  be	
  an	
  area	
  of	
  pent	
  up	
  demand	
  that	
  is	
  poised	
  to	
  accelerate	
  with	
  a	
  more	
  favorable	
  economic	
  outlook.	
  	
  
                                                        Sales	
  Pulse	
  Research,	
  LLC	
  	
  2013	
  	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved	
                                                          10	
  
Sales Pulse Research                                                                                                                                         	
  Technology Trends


                    Results	
  and	
  Analysis	
  of	
  Priority	
  Trends	
  by	
  Segment	
  
                      VoIP	
  /	
  UC,	
  WAN	
  Op3miza3on,	
  Virtual	
  Desktop	
  
 •    VoIP/Unified	
  Communica*ons/Infrastructure/SIP	
  Trunking	
  (SBC)	
  –	
  Due	
  to	
  the	
  posi3ve	
  ROI,	
  this	
  segment	
  remains	
  on	
  an	
  accelera3ng	
  
      growth	
  trajectory,	
  although	
  we	
  uncovered	
  evidence	
  of	
  temporary	
  weakness	
  due	
  to	
  EoY	
  budget	
  constraints.	
  	
  
        –  Based	
  upon	
  survey	
  input	
  we	
  believe	
  that	
  we	
  are	
  s3ll	
  early	
  in	
  the	
  mul3-­‐year	
  UC	
  market	
  adop3on	
  curve	
  and	
  we	
  expect	
  investment	
  
            in	
  infrastructure	
  to	
  support	
  SIP	
  trunks	
  and	
  voice	
  transforma3on	
  projects	
  to	
  remain	
  high	
  priori3es	
  in	
  2013.	
  
        –  Contacts	
  highlight	
  Microsop	
  as	
  gaining	
  more	
  share,	
  others	
  view	
  Cisco	
  as	
  the	
  biggest	
  winner	
  and	
  remain	
  consistent	
  in	
  repor3ng	
  
            share	
  loss	
  by	
  Avaya.	
  Broadsop’s	
  BroadCloud	
  hosted	
  UC	
  is	
  gaining	
  support	
  of	
  several	
  Tier1/2	
  	
  service	
  providers.	
  
        –  Regarding	
  Enterprise	
  SBC’s	
  we	
  con3nue	
  to	
  uncover	
  wins	
  by	
  Acme,	
  Cisco,	
  with	
  improving	
  demand	
  for	
  Sonus	
  and	
  Audiocodes.	
  	
  
        –  Vendors	
  best	
  posi3oned	
  to	
  benefit	
  include:	
  Plantronics,	
  Polycom,	
  Shortel,	
  Acme	
  Packet,	
  Sonus,	
  Cisco,	
  Broadsop,	
  Audiocodes.	
  

 •    WAN	
  Op*miza*on	
  –	
  Input	
  on	
  the	
  growth	
  of	
  the	
  WAN	
  Op3miza3on	
  market	
  remains	
  mixed.	
  	
  
       –  Some	
  see	
  con3nued	
  growth	
  while	
  others	
  see	
  growth	
  slowing.	
  All	
  agree	
  however,	
  that	
  Riverbed	
  con3nues	
  to	
  lead	
  and	
  gain	
  
              market	
  share	
  and	
  likely	
  to	
  outpace	
  the	
  overall	
  growth	
  expecta3ons	
  of	
  ~10%.	
  	
  
       –  Silver	
  Peak	
  also	
  con3nues	
  to	
  gain,	
  as	
  Cisco,	
  and	
  Juniper	
  give	
  up	
  market	
  share.	
  Exinda	
  is	
  geyng	
  some	
  aLen3on	
  with	
  their	
  lower	
  
              cost	
  solu3on.	
  
       –  New	
  applica3on	
  use	
  cases,	
  integrated	
  security/NGFW	
  partnerships,	
  and	
  CSP/Telco	
  channels	
  are	
  contributors	
  for	
  accelerated	
  
              growth	
  in	
  2013.	
  

 •    Virtual	
  Desktop	
  and	
  End	
  User	
  Compu*ng–	
  Aper	
  a	
  slow	
  and	
  open	
  uncertain	
  start,	
  input	
  is	
  more	
  posi3ve	
  regarding	
  the	
  adop3on	
  curve	
  
      of	
  VDI	
  in	
  large	
  enterprises,	
  financials,	
  government,	
  healthcare	
  and	
  service	
  providers	
  for	
  2013.	
  
        –  Microsop,	
  Citrix,	
  VMware,	
  and	
  Dell	
  are	
  seeing	
  improving	
  demand	
  for	
  their	
  respec3ve	
  VDI	
  solu3ons	
  as	
  organiza3ons	
  move	
  
                   towards	
  EUC.	
  
        –  Although	
  the	
  ROI	
  on	
  VDI	
  is	
  s3ll	
  not	
  as	
  straight	
  forward	
  as	
  for	
  server	
  virtualiza3on,	
  VDI	
  elements	
  have	
  become	
  more	
  mature	
  and	
  
                   easier	
  to	
  implement	
  and	
  manage	
  especially	
  with	
  the	
  con3nued	
  adop3on	
  of	
  servers	
  with	
  integrated	
  SSD.	
  
        	
  
                                                                  Sales	
  Pulse	
  Research,	
  LLC	
  	
  2013	
  	
  All	
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  reserved	
                                                     11	
  
Sales Pulse Research                                                                                                                                            	
  Technology Trends

                      Results	
  and	
  Analysis	
  of	
  Priority	
  Trends	
  by	
  Segment	
  
                                   	
  Applica3on	
  Delivery,	
  Security	
  	
  	
  
  •      Applica*on	
  Delivery	
  Controllers	
  –	
  We	
  believe	
  that	
  this	
  market	
  segment	
  remains	
  a	
  priority	
  and	
  will	
  see	
  con3nued	
  growth	
  above	
  10%,	
  
         although	
  we	
  uncovered	
  temporary	
  weakness	
  in	
  Q4	
  which	
  is	
  likely	
  to	
  con3nue	
  into	
  Q1	
  2013.	
  	
  
           –  We	
  see	
  no	
  challenge	
  to	
  F5s	
  leadership	
  in	
  the	
  near	
  term,	
  however	
  startups	
  like	
  Embrane,	
  Linerate	
  Systems	
  and	
  VMWare	
  and	
  
               Riverbed’s	
  SW	
  based	
  approaches	
  are	
  gaining	
  mindshare.	
  	
  	
  
           –  Survey	
  input	
  also	
  highlights	
  a	
  resurgence	
  in	
  Brocade’s	
  ADC	
  business.	
  The	
  BRCD	
  ADC	
  scrip3ng	
  is	
  very	
  easy	
  to	
  configure,	
  customize	
  
               and	
  support.	
  It	
  is	
  being	
  adopted	
  in	
  mul3-­‐tenant	
  environments	
  by	
  CSP’s	
  and	
  Tier1	
  Service	
  Providers.	
  
           –  Radware	
  is	
  doing	
  well	
  in	
  some	
  geographies,	
  although	
  input	
  suggests	
  that	
  their	
  security	
  solu3on	
  is	
  driving	
  more	
  of	
  their	
  growth.	
  	
  	
  
           –  Citrix’	
  success	
  appears	
  to	
  remain	
  limited	
  with	
  exis3ng	
  accounts	
  and	
  to	
  new	
  opportuni3es	
  that	
  are	
  driven	
  by	
  their	
  sopware.	
  One	
  
               area	
  of	
  growth	
  has	
  been	
  in	
  healthcare,	
  where	
  Epic	
  Sopware	
  is	
  domina3ng	
  and	
  Citrix	
  has	
  been	
  part	
  of	
  the	
  standard	
  configura3on.	
  

  •      Security	
  –	
  Evidence	
  points	
  to	
  con3nued	
  replacement	
  of	
  legacy	
  firewalls	
  with	
  Next	
  Gen	
  Firewall	
  (NGFW)	
  solu3ons	
  and	
  UTM	
  devices.	
  
           –  We	
  believe	
  security	
  momentum	
  slowed	
  in	
  Q4	
  and	
  likely	
  Q1	
  due	
  to	
  budget	
  constraints	
  but	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  reaccelerate	
  in	
  2013.	
  	
  
           –  Palo	
  Alto	
  con3nues	
  to	
  disrupt	
  the	
  marketplace	
  although	
  their	
  aggressive	
  expansion	
  has	
  caused	
  some	
  conflict	
  among	
  channel	
  
                partners.	
  	
  
           –  Cisco	
  and	
  Juniper	
  are	
  most	
  open	
  men3oned	
  as	
  losing	
  share	
  and	
  are	
  expected	
  to	
  add/upgrade	
  their	
  product	
  lines	
  this	
  year.	
  
           –  We	
  expect	
  security	
  vendors	
  to	
  introduce	
  new,	
  lower	
  cost/Mb	
  very	
  high	
  performance	
  NGFWs	
  pla{orms	
  this	
  year	
  leveraging	
  
                solu3ons	
  from	
  Cavium	
  ,	
  Netronome	
  and	
  Intel	
  based	
  architectures.	
  
           –  We	
  expect	
  2013	
  to	
  be	
  an	
  interes3ng	
  year	
  as	
  Palo	
  Alto’s	
  mindshare	
  and	
  market	
  share	
  growth	
  is	
  challenged	
  by	
  Sourcefire	
  and	
  
                For3net	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  from	
  new	
  offerings	
  from	
  Cisco,	
  Sonic	
  Wall/Dell,	
  Juniper	
  and	
  perhaps	
  F5.	
  	
  




  	
  
                                                                     Sales	
  Pulse	
  Research,	
  LLC	
  	
  2013	
  	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved	
                                                     13	
  
Sales Pulse Research                                                                                         	
  Technology Trends




                                                                                                                                     13	
  
                       Sales	
  Pulse	
  Research,	
  LLC	
  	
  2013	
  	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved	
  
Sales Pulse Research                                                                                                                                             	
  Technology Trends

                                            Impact	
  of	
  SDN	
  on	
  IT	
  Spending	
  in	
  2013	
  
 	
  
 SoWware	
  Defined	
  Networking	
  (SDN)	
  and	
  the	
  SoWware	
  Defined	
  Data	
  Center	
  remain	
  a	
  mul*-­‐year	
  Evolu*onary	
  End	
  User	
  Transforma*on	
  
 	
  
 •  Enterprise/IT	
  and	
  Data	
  Center	
  contacts	
  an3cipate	
  early	
  adop3on	
  this	
  year	
  with	
  liLle	
  impact	
  on	
  mainstream	
  IT	
  in	
  2013.	
  	
  Research	
  
      supports	
  the	
  disrup3ve	
  evolu3onary	
  trend	
  playing	
  out	
  over	
  the	
  next	
  several	
  years	
  while	
  impac3ng	
  current	
  design	
  decisions	
  and	
  
      architectural	
  strategies.	
  

 •       Contacts	
  in	
  the	
  service	
  provider,	
  CSP	
  markets	
  indicate	
  that	
  2013	
  will	
  see	
  pilot	
  projects	
  and	
  evalua3ons	
  and	
  highlighted	
  accelera3ng	
  
         ac3vity	
  and	
  expect	
  significant	
  changes	
  as	
  the	
  SDN	
  market	
  matures…	
  

 •       We	
  are	
  con3nuing	
  to	
  follow	
  the	
  complex	
  web	
  of	
  public	
  and	
  private	
  companies	
  in	
  addi3on	
  to	
  the	
  changing	
  percep3ons	
  regarding	
  
         orchestra3on,	
  customiza3on,	
  integra3on,	
  configura3on,	
  workflow	
  placement	
  and	
  automa3on	
  along	
  with	
  the	
  rumina3on	
  that	
  coincides	
  
         with	
  the	
  hype	
  cycle	
  we	
  are	
  currently	
  experiencing.	
  	
  One	
  thing	
  is	
  for	
  certain	
  based	
  on	
  our	
  ongoing	
  research,	
  hardware	
  based	
  approaches	
  
         in	
  networking	
  for	
  the	
  data	
  center	
  are	
  a	
  commodity	
  and	
  every	
  supplier	
  has	
  no	
  uncertain	
  percep3on	
  the	
  game	
  has	
  changed	
  and	
  they	
  may	
  
         not	
  even	
  be	
  in	
  the	
  playbook.	
  

 •       Our	
  research	
  points	
  to	
  further	
  consolida3on	
  and	
  expansion	
  of	
  supplier	
  partnerships	
  with	
  open	
  SDN	
  controller	
  approaches	
  for	
  the	
  likes	
  
         of	
  EMC/VMware,	
  IBM,	
  Microsop,	
  Oracle,	
  Cisco,	
  Brocade,	
  HP,	
  Citrix,	
  NEC,	
  Dell...	
  	
  We	
  con3nue	
  to	
  follow	
  Cisco’s	
  evolving	
  marke3ng	
  
         efforts	
  to	
  stem	
  mindshare	
  losses	
  while	
  protec3ng	
  their	
  legacy	
  HW	
  business.	
  Cisco’s	
  SDN	
  story	
  has	
  notably	
  improved	
  over	
  the	
  past	
  few	
  
         months	
  based	
  upon	
  input	
  from	
  industry	
  contacts	
  and	
  end	
  users.	
  

 •       We	
  remain	
  surprised	
  as	
  to	
  how	
  quickly	
  the	
  industry	
  has	
  adopted	
  the	
  SDN	
  philosophy	
  across	
  nearly	
  every	
  infrastructure	
  and	
  IT	
  ver3cal.	
  
         Our	
  ongoing	
  research	
  is	
  focused	
  on	
  the	
  progress	
  that	
  includes	
  emerging	
  business	
  models,	
  use	
  cases	
  and	
  secular	
  changes	
  that	
  are	
  
         occurring	
  with	
  service	
  providers,	
  Web	
  2.0,	
  government	
  and	
  large	
  enterprises.	
  



 	
                                                                Sales	
  Pulse	
  Research,	
  LLC	
  	
  2013	
  	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved	
                                                        14	
  
 	
  
 	
  
 	
  
Sales Pulse Research                                                                                         	
  Technology Trends




                                                                                                                                     15	
  
                       Sales	
  Pulse	
  Research,	
  LLC	
  	
  2013	
  	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved	
  
Sales Pulse Research                                                                                                                                                  	
  Technology Trends

                                Results	
  and	
  Analysis	
  of	
  the	
  Ship	
  to	
  the	
  Cloud	
  	
  
 	
  
 •      Most	
  contacts	
  (70%)	
  see	
  con3nued	
  steady	
  growth	
  in	
  spending	
  on	
  Cloud	
  services.	
  Otherwise,	
  more	
  see	
  accelera3on	
  (15%)	
  vs.	
  slowing	
  
        (10%).	
  	
  Comments	
  indicate	
  the	
  usual	
  considera3ons	
  including	
  security	
  and	
  selec3vely	
  choosing	
  apps	
  for	
  to	
  move	
  to	
  the	
  cloud.	
  The	
  
        benefits	
  of	
  lower	
  CAPEX,	
  reduced	
  need	
  for	
  expensive	
  personnel	
  and	
  flexibility	
  outweigh	
  the	
  nega3ves.	
  Most	
  see	
  organiza3ons	
  
        developing	
  cloud	
  strategies	
  that	
  includes	
  Hybrid	
  clouds	
  and	
  various	
  selec3ons	
  of	
  Sopware	
  (SaaS),	
  Pla{orm	
  (PaaS),	
  and	
  Infrastructure	
  
        (IaaS)	
  services.	
  

 •      As	
  spending	
  ships	
  from	
  the	
  enterprise	
  to	
  the	
  cloud,	
  margins	
  for	
  hardware	
  and	
  most	
  soWware	
  vendors	
  are	
  reduced.	
  In	
  some	
  cases	
  
        equipment	
  requirements	
  are	
  reduced	
  due	
  to	
  more	
  dense	
  sharing	
  of	
  components	
  of	
  the	
  infrastructure.	
  Service	
  providers	
  tend	
  to	
  buy	
  
        more	
  commodity	
  components;	
  they	
  leverage	
  more	
  open	
  source	
  sopware	
  and	
  they	
  achieve	
  larger	
  discounts	
  through	
  higher	
  volume	
  
        purchases.	
  

 •      Quote	
  from	
  a	
  mid	
  sized	
  channel	
  partner:	
  	
  
         “We	
  recently	
  provided	
  a	
  quote	
  for	
  a	
  opportunity	
  that	
  included	
  900	
  servers.	
  In	
  the	
  past,	
  we	
  would	
  have	
  been	
  fully	
  engaged	
  in	
  the	
  sales	
  
         cycle	
  for	
  this	
  size	
  opportunity,	
  from	
  discussing	
  the	
  requirements,	
  designing	
  a	
  solu3on	
  to	
  providing	
  detailed	
  configura3ons	
  and	
  a	
  
         proposal,	
  with	
  plenty	
  of	
  face	
  3me	
  with	
  the	
  end	
  user	
  and	
  maybe	
  an	
  execu3ve	
  briefing.	
  	
  Now	
  more	
  customers	
  have	
  the	
  resources	
  to	
  do	
  
         all	
  this	
  themselves.	
  In	
  this	
  case	
  they	
  just	
  sent	
  us	
  their	
  detailed	
  configura3ons	
  and	
  asked	
  for	
  our	
  best	
  price.”       	
  	
  

 •      The	
  overall	
  impact	
  of	
  the	
  shiW	
  of	
  spending	
  to	
  cloud	
  providers	
  is	
  a	
  nega*ve	
  headwind	
  for	
  vendors	
  who	
  have	
  historically	
  sold	
  on-­‐
        premise	
  based	
  enterprise	
  solu3ons,	
  including	
  Cisco,	
  EMC,	
  Netapp,	
  Oracle,	
  HP,	
  Dell…	
  	
  However,	
  the	
  ship	
  represents	
  new	
  opportuni3es	
  
        for	
  the	
  same	
  companies	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  emerging	
  companies	
  not	
  tradi3onally	
  considered	
  on	
  the	
  hosted	
  side	
  when	
  decisions	
  on	
  RFP’s	
  and	
  
        infrastructure	
  is	
  built	
  to	
  support	
  the	
  move	
  off	
  premises.	
  

 	
  
 	
  
 	
  
                                                                     Sales	
  Pulse	
  Research,	
  LLC	
  	
  2013	
  	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved	
                                                             16	
  
Sales Pulse Research                                                                                         	
  Technology Trends




                       Sales	
  Pulse	
  Research,	
  LLC	
  	
  2013	
  	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved	
                             17	
  
Sales Pulse Research                                                                                                                                            	
  Technology Trends

                                  Impact	
  of	
  Cloud	
  spending	
  on	
  VARs	
  and	
  SIs	
  

 •    70%	
  of	
  respondents	
  believe	
  that	
  the	
  ship	
  towards	
  Cloud	
  and	
  managed	
  services	
  represents	
  a	
  significant	
  opportunity	
  for	
  VARs	
  and	
  
      System	
  Integrators	
  to	
  add	
  value	
  to	
  their	
  customer	
  base…	
  however,	
  follow	
  up	
  discussions	
  suggest	
  the	
  changing	
  business	
  models	
  and	
  the	
  
      move	
  from	
  transac3on	
  to	
  recurring	
  revenue	
  is	
  proving	
  a	
  more	
  difficult	
  transi3on	
  due	
  to	
  the	
  lower	
  human	
  resource	
  element	
  of	
  cloud/
      managed/hosted	
  services	
  vs.	
  on-­‐premise	
  support.	
  

 •    In	
  addi3on	
  to	
  resale	
  of	
  managed	
  services,	
  opportuni3es	
  exist	
  for	
  support	
  services,	
  online/onsite	
  training,	
  and	
  the	
  integra3on	
  of	
  
      reference	
  architectures	
  and	
  the	
  support	
  legacy	
  Tier1	
  applica3ons.	
  	
  	
  

 •    Several	
  survey	
  respondents	
  noted	
  that	
  Cloud	
  channel	
  programs	
  are	
  just	
  emerging	
  and	
  s3ll	
  not	
  well	
  formed	
  in	
  terms	
  of	
  a	
  WIN/WIN	
  for	
  
      both	
  SaaS/PaaS	
  providers	
  and	
  frontline	
  VARs.	
  

 •    Contacts	
  also	
  highlighted	
  that	
  VARs	
  will	
  need	
  to	
  evolve	
  their	
  primary	
  business	
  models	
  to	
  take	
  advantage	
  of	
  the	
  Cloud.	
  Their	
  challenge	
  is	
  
      to	
  offer	
  a	
  compe33ve	
  advantage	
  by	
  developing	
  an	
  understanding	
  of	
  cloud	
  architectures	
  and	
  the	
  ability	
  to	
  design	
  or	
  have	
  partners	
  
      design	
  secure	
  Cloud	
  systems.	
  




                                                                 Sales	
  Pulse	
  Research,	
  LLC	
  	
  2013	
  	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved	
                                                          18	
  
Sales Pulse Research                                                                                                                                      	
  Technology Trends

                                                               Private	
  Company	
  Views	
  
 	
  
 Private	
  Vendors	
  receiving	
  posi1ve	
  comments	
  (We	
  are	
  happy	
  to	
  discuss	
  in	
  further	
  detail	
  if	
  interest	
  exists):	
  
 	
  
 	
  
 Arista	
  -­‐	
  Growth	
  con3nues	
  for	
  sopware	
  defined	
  networking	
  and	
  large	
  cloud/data	
  center	
  deployments.	
  
 	
  
 Embrane	
  –	
  Distributed	
  SDN	
  for	
  on-­‐demand	
  services.	
  
 	
  
 Silver	
  Peak	
  -­‐	
  Technology	
  leadership	
  via	
  scalability	
  along	
  with	
  strategic	
  partnerships	
  con3nue	
  to	
  support	
  market	
  share	
  gains	
  in	
  the	
  
 WAN	
  op3miza3on	
  market.	
  
 	
  
 Cyan	
  -­‐	
  Tier2/3	
  Telco	
  and	
  MSO	
  share	
  gains	
  for	
  access	
  and	
  converged	
  metro	
  transport	
  applica3ons.	
  
 	
  
 Ac*ve	
  Video	
  –	
  Cloud	
  based	
  video	
  delivery	
  framework	
  likely	
  being	
  adopted	
  by	
  Tier	
  1	
  Service	
  Providers.	
  
 	
  
 Fireeye	
  –	
  is	
  a	
  leader	
  in	
  next	
  gen	
  security	
  targe3ng	
  advanced	
  malware,	
  zero-­‐day	
  and	
  targeted	
  APT	
  aLacks	
  
 	
  
 Gigamon	
  –	
  is	
  growing	
  quickly	
  providing	
  traffic	
  monitoring	
  solu3ons.	
  We	
  are	
  an3cipa3ng	
  con3nued	
  growing	
  demand	
  and	
  a	
  posi3ve	
  IPO	
  
 recep3on.	
  
 	
  
 Veeam	
  –	
  is	
  gaining	
  share	
  in	
  the	
  backup	
  and	
  replica3on	
  market	
  including	
  virtual	
  environments.	
  
 	
  
 Netronome’s	
  network	
  flow	
  processing	
  is	
  under	
  the	
  covers	
  in	
  a	
  growing	
  number	
  of	
  security	
  and	
  DPI	
  devices.	
  
 	
  
 Avere	
  –	
  leverages	
  solid	
  state	
  disk	
  and	
  real-­‐3me	
  3ering	
  to	
  reduce	
  cost	
  and	
  op3mize	
  storage	
  performance.	
  
 	
  
 	
  




                                                              Sales	
  Pulse	
  Research,	
  LLC	
  	
  2013	
  	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved	
                                                   19	
  
Sales Pulse Research                                                                                                                                       	
  Technology Trends

                                                                Private	
  Company	
  Views	
  
 	
  
 Private	
  Vendors	
  receiving	
  posi1ve	
  comments	
  (We	
  are	
  happy	
  to	
  discuss	
  in	
  further	
  detail	
  if	
  interest	
  exists):	
  
 	
  
 	
  
 Linerate	
  Systems	
  –	
  an	
  SDN	
  oriented	
  early	
  stage	
  company	
  providing	
  L7+	
  policy-­‐based	
  traffic	
  management	
  using	
  off	
  the	
  shelf	
  hardware.	
  	
  
 	
  
 Jeda	
  Networks	
  –	
  is	
  developing	
  Sopware	
  Defined	
  Storage	
  Networks	
  to	
  leverage	
  the	
  opera3onal	
  and	
  cost	
  advantage	
  of	
  SDN	
  to	
  storage.	
  
 	
  
 Plum	
  Grid	
  –	
  Network	
  virtualiza3on	
  for	
  sopware	
  defined	
  data	
  center.	
  
 	
  
 Plexxi	
  –	
  recently	
  out	
  of	
  stealth	
  –	
  delivering	
  a	
  SDN	
  switch	
  with	
  integrated	
  op3cal	
  technology	
  
 	
  
 Forescout	
  –	
  provides	
  network	
  access	
  control;	
  seeing	
  a	
  boost	
  in	
  demand	
  from	
  the	
  BYoD	
  trend.	
  




                                                              Sales	
  Pulse	
  Research,	
  LLC	
  	
  2013	
  	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved	
                                                    20	
  
Sales Pulse Research                                                                                                                                                                               	
  Technology Trends

For	
  more	
  informa3on	
  contact:	
  
	
  
Williams	
  C.	
  Hay 	
        	
                      	
  Tom	
  Morphis	
  
404-­‐229-­‐4995 	
             	
                      	
  404-­‐217-­‐7626	
  
williams@salespulse.net 	
                              	
  tom@salespulse.net	
  
	
  
	
  
Copyright	
  2013,	
  Sales	
  Pulse	
  Research,	
  LLC	
  ®	
  	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved.	
  	
  	
  
	
  
Important	
  Disclosures:	
  
	
  
Facts	
  and	
  the	
  other	
  informa3on	
  contained	
  in	
  this	
  report	
  have	
  been	
  obtained	
  from	
  public	
  sources	
  considered	
  reliable	
  but	
  are	
  not	
  guaranteed	
  in	
  any	
  way.	
  
No	
  independent	
  confirma3on	
  of	
  the	
  truth,	
  correctness	
  or	
  accuracy	
  of	
  the	
  informa3on	
  presented	
  has	
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  made	
  by	
  Sales	
  Pulse	
  Research,	
  LLC.	
  
This	
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  solely	
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  informa3on	
  purposes	
  and	
  is	
  not	
  an	
  offer	
  to	
  buy	
  or	
  sell	
  or	
  a	
  solicita3on	
  of	
  an	
  offer	
  to	
  buy	
  or	
  sell	
  any	
  security	
  or	
  deriva3ve.	
  
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  Research,	
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reliance	
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  report.	
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and	
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Employees	
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  hold	
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All	
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  the	
  recommenda3ons	
  and	
  views	
  about	
  the	
  securi3es	
  and	
  companies	
  in	
  this	
  report	
  accurately	
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Research,	
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  or	
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research	
  analyst.	
  
No	
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  copied,	
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  any	
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  or	
  other	
  means	
  redistributed	
  or	
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  without	
  the	
  prior	
  wriLen	
  consent	
  
of	
  Sales	
  Pulse	
  Research,	
  LLC.	
  
The	
  informa3on	
  contained	
  herein	
  has	
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  believed	
  reliable	
  but	
  is	
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  not	
  necessarily	
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  and	
  accuracy	
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  not	
  guaranteed.	
  
	
  
Confiden3ality	
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  This	
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  communica3on	
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strictly	
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  If	
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                                                                                 Sales	
  Pulse	
  Research,	
  LLC	
  	
  2013	
  	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved	
                                                                                     21	
  

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Sales pulse research 2013 annual survey results

  • 1.   IT  and  Service  Provider  Capital  Priori3es   Annual  Survey  Results   January  2013   Sales Pulse Research Sales  Pulse  Research,  LLC    2013    All  rights  reserved  
  • 2. Sales Pulse Research  Technology Trends About  this  Survey  and  Results   Results  are  based  on  our  end  of  year  survey  combined  with  our  on-­‐going  research  and  analysis.       Our  survey  was  designed  to  be  “high  touch”  primarily  at  the  field  level  for  a  boLoms  up  view  into  overall  spending  trends.  This  year  the   survey  was  sent  to  750+  known  industry  contacts  around  the  world  and  so  far  have  received  a  ~20%  response.       The  following  disclosures  are  provided  to  survey  par3cipants:   No  company  confiden3al  informa3on  is  requested  or  will  be  knowingly  included  in  any  report  or  communica3on  associated  with  this   research.  This  research  is  NOT  an  aLempt  to  gain  insight  into  non-­‐public  company  specific  financial  data  or  any  other  confiden3al   informa3on.  The  focus  of  this  report  is  market  dynamics.  Our  goal  is  to  gain  input  across  various  geographies  and  industry  segments  to   understand  broader  industry  trends.     Par3cipants:  For  their  input,  industry  par3cipants  receive  our  reports.  This  informa3on  may  help  beLer  understand  the  industry  and   assist  with  individual  job  ac3vi3es,  or  in  some  cases  job  searches.  Par3cipants  should  not  provide  any  informa3on  that  conflicts  with   the  policies  of  the  company  they  work  for.  We  welcome  your  input  regarding  compe3tors,  customer  trends,  and  other  market   observa3ons.  Survey  par3cipants  should  decline  to  par3cipate  in  the  survey  if  par3cipa3ng  would  violate  any  confiden3ality   obliga3on.     Our  thanks  to  all  who  have  assisted  with  market  input  and  sugges3ons.  Please  call  or  email  with  any  ques3ons.     Sales  Pulse  Research,  LLC    2013    All  rights  reserved   2  
  • 3. Sales Pulse Research  Technology Trends 2013  Key  Takeaways  from  our  Survey  Results     •  Overall  expecta3ons  and  survey  input  for  IT  spending  in  2013  were  less  posi*ve  when  compared  to  the  previous  2  years  indica3ng  only   slight  growth  ~4%  for  the  industry  and  budgets.  Commentary  and  recent  discussions  indicate  the  nega3vity  is  a  result  of  slowing   momentum  in  Q4  and  uncertainty  for  CY  Q1  and  early  2013.     •  Service  Provider  CAPEX  2013  Outlook  is  also  expected  to  improve  over  2012  with  ~4%  growth  however  it  is  heavily  dependent  upon   the  geography  (NA  growth,  Asia  Pac  growth,  EMEA  stable),  macro  economies,  and  operator  priori3es  as  many  2013  budgets  are  s3ll   being  finalized.    We  are  uncovering  broad  evidence  of  growth  or  worst  case  flat  YoY  spending.   •  In  contrast  to  the  current  weakness,  ac3vity  related  to  new  projects,  improving  pipelines,  proposals  and  RFP  ac3vity  remains  very  high.   Field  contacts  are  op3mis3c  and  believe  that  the  tech  industry  is  poised  for  faster  growth  based  upon  a  strong  underlying  demand  that   is  s3ll  restrained  by  macro  and  fiscal  uncertainty.   •  We  believe  2013  is  off  to  a  slow  start  indica3ng  possible  risk  to  the  seasonally  weak  Q1  expecta*ons  in  spite  of  the  improving   sen*ment.   •  We  believe  Federal  spending  in  FY  Q1  likely  underperformed  even  the  already  lowered  expecta*ons  for  federally  exposed  suppliers   and  integrators  with  a  few  outliers  such  as  WiFi  ,  Cloud/Outsourcing  and  Security.     •  Similar  to  last  year,  much  of  our  input  has  come  from  individuals  who  are  in  segments  that  they  believe  are  growing  faster  than  overall   growth  in  CAPEX.    Ver3cals  seen  as  maintaining  the  most  momentum  include  Wifi,  hosted/cloud  services,  and  network  management   tools.  Other  areas  that  are  viewed  as  growing  quickly,  but  not  immune  to  current  budget  restraints  include  storage,  security,  SaaS  and   Unified  Communica*ons.       •  Hiring  was  frozen  or  had  slowed  no3ceably  in  Q4  at  several  companies  with  expecta3ons  of  improvements  in  mid  Q1  2013.  For  2013   23%  see  a  slow  down  in  hiring,  56%  report  a  pickup,  21%  see  no  change   Sales  Pulse  Research,  LLC    2013    All  rights  reserved   3  
  • 4. Sales Pulse Research  Technology Trends 4   Sales  Pulse  Research,  LLC    2013    All  rights  reserved  
  • 5. Sales Pulse Research  Technology Trends Results  and  Analysis  of  Enterprise  Spending   •  As  discussed  in  our  summary  page,  input  has  suggested  a  slow  finish  to  2012  for  most  segments  of  enterprise  IT  spending.  A  slow  start   to  Q1  2013  is  also  expected.  Due  to  the  contrast  with  between  weak  spending  and  of  the  high  levels  of  sales  ac3vity,  we  are  working  to   monitor  spending  closely  to  see  if  /  when  we  can  recognize  signs  of  a  pickup  which  is  an3cipated  in  Q2  2013.   •  More  contacts  this  year  noted  segments  where  they  believe  growth  would  be  stronger  than  overall  market  expecta3ons.  The  strongest   of  these  segments  include:   –  Wireless  LAN  to  support  BYoD.  Contacts  who  are  working  directly  with  WiFi,  BYOD  ,  MDM  and  Mobile  Security  solu3ons  remain   very  enthusias3c!    We  believe  this  area  was  among  the  strongest  in  Q4  and  is  likely  to  con3nue  through  2013.   –  Cloud  con3nues  to  gain  momentum  with  most  contacts  seeing  con3nued  strong  growth  and  some  seeing  accelera3on.  The   implica3on  of  this  growth  is  generally  a  net  nega*ve  for  vendors  who  tradi*onally  sell  to  large  enterprises  (discussed  later   within  this  document).   –  Tools  for  tes*ng,  diagnos*cs,  visualiza*on  and  network  management.  Although  this  is  a  narrow  market  we  were  surprised  at   the  number  of  contacts  who  noted  strength.  We  believe  this  trend  is  posi3ve  for  Ixia,  Gigamon,  Opnet/Riverbed  and  others.       •  Our  contacts  also  see  spending  on  NGN,  Mobile/BYOD  and  Applica*on  Security  as  a  top  priority,  noted  by  38%  or  respondents,  up   from  29%  in  2010,  and  33%  in  2011.       •  In  contrast,  WAN  Op*miza*on  has  fallen  from  28%  in  2010,  18%  in  2011,  now  to  13%  in  this  years  results.    Our  sampling  may  skew   these  results  to  the  downside  due  to  supplier  consolida3on  or  lack  of  focus  from  JNPR  and  CSCO.    We  believe  Riverbed  and  Silver  Peak   are  likely  to  con3nue  to  gain  share  and  to  outpace  overall  market  growth  projec3ons  of  ~10%  in  their  core  business.   •  Unified  Communica*ons  remains  in  the  early  stages  of  market  penetra3on  and  our  research  supports  a  mul3-­‐year  transi3on  that  is  a   top    priority  by  end  users.    Vendors  include  Broadsop,  Cisco,  Microsop,  Acme  Packet,  Sonus,  Plantronics  and  Polycom.     •  Areas  of  weakness  include:  Closet  Switching,  SAN,  Legacy  Security,  Federal  spending  on  equipment  and  Systems  Integra3on.       Sales  Pulse  Research,  LLC    2013    All  rights  reserved   5    
  • 6. Sales Pulse Research  Technology Trends 6   Sales  Pulse  Research,  LLC    2013    All  rights  reserved  
  • 7. Sales Pulse Research  Technology Trends Results  and  Analysis  of  Service  Provider  Spending   •  Posi*ve  expecta*ons  for  Service  Provider  spending  in  2013:  -­‐  63%  indicated  a  view  that  is  consistent  with  a  forecast  for  slight  growth   of  ~4%.  The  majority  of  our  research  also  highlighted  ongoing  cau3on  that  without  improving  macro  economic  condi3ons  success   based  capital  may  be  at  risk  thereby  impac3ng  overall  CAPEX.    Presently,  enterprise  customer  spending  remains  sop  and  there  is   evidence  consumers  are  beginning  to  reverse  course  with  discre3onary  services  and  bundles.       •   CAPEX  Priori*es  include:  Wireless  Mobility,  wireline  expansion,  metro/regional/core  100G  capacity  upgrades,  WiFi,  Cloud/Managed/ Hosted  Services  for  enterprise,  Home  Monitoring/Security/Automa3on,  NGN  Security,  Hosted  Unified  Communica3ons,  OSS/BSS   Upgrades/Moderniza3on,  Network  Management/Monitoring/Traffic  Visualiza3on  Tools,  and  Cloud  based  video  delivery.   •  We  believe  2013  is  likely  to  be  slow  to  accelerate  with  seasonal  sopness  in  Q1,  then  improving  Q2  and  beyond  based  on  current   sen3ment  from  end  users,  operators,  field  teams,  distributors  and  Integrators.   •  As  compared  to  previous  input  from  our  industry  contacts  in  the  service  provider  segment  they  remain  more  op3mis3c  about  an   increase  in  overall  CAPEX  for  2013.  This  is  based  on  mul3-­‐year  project  ini3a3ves  along  with  increasing  levels  of  ac3vity  and  growing   pipelines.    Fewer  contacts  highlighted  budget  flush  at  the  end  of  Q4  due  to  push  outs,  and  ongoing  poli3cal,  fiscal  and  macro   uncertain3es.   •  Current  feedback  points  to  stabiliza3on  in  EMEA,  con3nued  growth  in  Asia  PAC  and  YoY  improvements  in  North  America  for  2013.   •  We  are  uncovering  broad  based  expecta3ons  of  con3nued  co-­‐ope33on,  strategic  partnerships,  OEM’s  to  fill  product  gaps,  as  well  as   ongoing  M&A  specula3on  across  both  the  operator  and  supplier  community.      As  a  result  we  also  believe  Global  Tier  1  suppliers  are   likely  to  become  larger  and  more  strategic  integra3on  partners  for  their  customer  base  resul3ng  in  new  mul3-­‐year  contract   rela3onships  involving  mul3ple  technologies  and  companies  to  fill  product,  services  and  sopware  gaps.   •  Similar  to  responses  in  enterprise  spending,  a  significant  change  is  reflected  in  response  to  the  ques3on  regarding  the  specific  segment   the  par3cular  contact  is  targe3ng.  This  year  only  21%  believe  their  segment  will  grow  faster  than  the  overall  CAPEX  forecast,  down  from   40%  last  year.   Sales  Pulse  Research,  LLC    2013    All  rights  reserved   7  
  • 8. Sales Pulse Research  Technology Trends 8   Sales  Pulse  Research,  LLC    2013    All  rights  reserved  
  • 9. Sales Pulse Research  Technology Trends Results  and  Analysis  of  Priority  Trends  by  Segment  –  Cloud,  WiFi       •  Cloud  -­‐  Most  contacts  (70%)  see  con3nued  and  steady  growth.  Otherwise,  more  see  accelera3on  (17%)  vs.  slowing  (12%).     –  Cloud  Frameworks  remain  fragmented  with  AWS,  Azure,  OpenStack,  CloudStack,  Vcloud…       –  Service  Providers  con*nue  to  shiW  investment  to  infrastructure  for  cloud  services,  via  purchase  of  servers,  storage,  data  center   fabrics  and  sopware.    Strategic  partnerships  are  also  expected  to  accelerate  geographic  reach  and  offerings.   –  As  expected,  vendors  are  making  moves  through  partnerships  and  M&A  to  fill  out  product  stacks  for  cloud  solu3ons  as  vendors   seek  alignment  of  network,  server,  storage,  virtualiza3on  sopware  and  management  tools.  Even  more  aggressive  moves  are   expected  in  2013.   –  The  ship  of  spending  by  enterprises  to  cloud  services  moves  spending  away  from  higher  margin  servers,  network  and  storage   to  the  more  commodity  products  and  components  purchased  by  large  service  providers,  resul3ng  in  a  growing  head  wind  for   vendors  who  sell  into  large  enterprises  (ie  NetApp,  EMC,  Cisco,  HP,  IBM,  Dell  and  others).   –  For  private  clouds,  enterprises  are  increasingly  choosing  bundled  solu*ons  such  as  Flexpod  (NetApp),  Vblock  /  Vspex  (EMC),     PureSystems  and  PureFlex  (IBM)  to  shorten  the  3me  required  to  deploy  systems  and  reduce  demand  for  scarce  exper3se.   –  Companies  best  posi3oned  to  benefit  include:  VMware,  Rackspace,  Verizon,  Citrix,  Microsop,  FusionIO.     •  WiFi  –  Input  on  WiFi  growth  remains  very  strong  driven  by  BYOD,  tablets,  DoD,  customer  reten3on  strategies  and  the  increasingly   mobile  workforce.     –  Based  upon  recent  input,  we  believe  that  demand  for  WiFi  has  held  up  beLer  than  just  about  any  other  segment  due  to  the   strong  BYOD  trend  and  assisted  by  the  fact  that  the  size  of  many  WiFi  projects  and  orders  are  smaller  than  other  IT  projects.   –  Cellular  offload  and  Service  Provider  WiFi  blanket  coverage  is  accelera3ng    into  a  3-­‐5  year  deployment  cycle.  We  are  following   several  very  large  (~$300m  to  over  $1B)  deployment  ini3a3ves  on  a  global  basis.  Cisco  remains  the  market  share  leader  in  this   market,  followed  by  Ruckus  and  Bel  Air/Ericsson.  Aruba  is  having  some  success  in  public  venues.     –  WiLan  solu3on  providers  are  offering  new  higher  margin  sopware  based  features  and  offerings  for  policy  enforcement,  DPI,   Security,  Mobile  Device  Management  that  should  help  offset  margin  pressures  for  the  commodity  AP’s.    Aruba  and  Ruckus  are   expected  to  see  improving  demand  in  2013  for  their  SW  based  solu3ons.   –  Companies  best  posi3oned  to  benefit  include  Aruba,  Ruckus,  Cisco,  Meru,  and  Xirrus     Sales  Pulse  Research,  LLC    2013    All  rights  reserved   9  
  • 10. Sales Pulse Research  Technology Trends Results  and  Analysis  of  Priority  Trends  by  Segment   Data  Centers,  Storage     •  Investment  in  Data  Centers  con3nues  to  rank  among  the  highest  priori3es  for  Government,  Web  2.0,  Enterprises  and  Service   Providers.    Unified  Compute  and  Unified  Storage  architectures  leveraging  sopware  integra3on  are  also  gaining  momentum.     –  Cisco  con3nues  to  gain  momentum  with  UCS  and  Nexus.   –  Brocade  is  also  benefiyng  as  those  refreshing  SANs  are  staying  commiLed  to  tradi3onal  Fiber  Channel  vs.  FCoE.    Addi3onally,   Brocade  con3nues  to  lead  the  switching  segment  with  their  SDN  strategy  and  Fabric  solu3ons.   –  Juniper’s  PTX  product  is  winning  business  in  large  enterprises,  Web  2.0  as  well  as  in  the  Service  Provider  markets.   –  Infiniband  con3nues  to  grow  as  an  interconnect  technology  in  HPC  and  Web  Scale  data  centers.  Although  demand  is  lumpy,  as   seen  in  Mellanox’  results,  the  niche  market  for  IB  con3nues  to  expand.     –  There  is  a  high  level  of  an3cipa3on  for  the  next  genera3on  of  servers  and  processor  architectures  from  Intel,  AMD  and  ARM   from  vendors  like  Quanta,  SuperMicro,  Calxeda...  In  addi3on  to  delivering  low  power,  higher  performing  denser  compute,  these   systems  provide  for  high  speed  interconnect  on  and  between  motherboards  and  processors.  Implementa3on  of  these  systems  is   expected  to  drive  network  upgrades,  however  they  are  also  expected  to  reduce  the  #  of  required  VM’s  and  reduce  port     requirements  for  Top  of  Rack  switches  which  will  impact  the  switching  vendors.   –  Enterprises  prefer  bundled  solu3ons  and/or  reference  architectures  (as  discussed  under  Cloud)  to  achieve  faster  deployment   3mes  and  reduce  resources  needed  for  integra3on,  tes3ng  and  support.   –  Companies  best  posi3oned  to  benefit  include:  Cisco,  Brocade,  Juniper,  F5,  Arista,  Citrix,  and  IBM.   •  Storage  con3nues  to  be  highlighted  as  an  ongoing  area  of  priority  however  the  ship  to  SSD  and  commodity  disk  is  impac3ng  the   tradi3onal  suppliers  high  margin  HW  businesses.    Newer  SW  and  feature  integra3on  efforts  are  priority  #1  leading  to  Unified  Storage.   –  This  year  much  of  the  posi3ve  comments  were  from  VARs  who  men3oned  smaller  vendors  like  Nimble,  Tegile,  Tintri,  NextGen,   Fusion  IO,  Nimbus,  Pure,  Violin,  and  WhipTail.  Although  the  majority  of  spending  remains  with  incumbent  vendors,  end  users   are  more  frequently  making  tac3cal  choices  to  find  lower  cost  and/or  higher  performance  storage  solu3ons  for  new  applica3on   deployments.  SSD  arrays  have  broadened  the  deployment  op3ons  for  end  users.   –  As  in  other  segments,  end  users  are  breaking  up  projects  and  releasing  smaller  orders  only  to  meet  short  term  requirements.   Storage  appears  to  be  an  area  of  pent  up  demand  that  is  poised  to  accelerate  with  a  more  favorable  economic  outlook.     Sales  Pulse  Research,  LLC    2013    All  rights  reserved   10  
  • 11. Sales Pulse Research  Technology Trends Results  and  Analysis  of  Priority  Trends  by  Segment   VoIP  /  UC,  WAN  Op3miza3on,  Virtual  Desktop   •  VoIP/Unified  Communica*ons/Infrastructure/SIP  Trunking  (SBC)  –  Due  to  the  posi3ve  ROI,  this  segment  remains  on  an  accelera3ng   growth  trajectory,  although  we  uncovered  evidence  of  temporary  weakness  due  to  EoY  budget  constraints.     –  Based  upon  survey  input  we  believe  that  we  are  s3ll  early  in  the  mul3-­‐year  UC  market  adop3on  curve  and  we  expect  investment   in  infrastructure  to  support  SIP  trunks  and  voice  transforma3on  projects  to  remain  high  priori3es  in  2013.   –  Contacts  highlight  Microsop  as  gaining  more  share,  others  view  Cisco  as  the  biggest  winner  and  remain  consistent  in  repor3ng   share  loss  by  Avaya.  Broadsop’s  BroadCloud  hosted  UC  is  gaining  support  of  several  Tier1/2    service  providers.   –  Regarding  Enterprise  SBC’s  we  con3nue  to  uncover  wins  by  Acme,  Cisco,  with  improving  demand  for  Sonus  and  Audiocodes.     –  Vendors  best  posi3oned  to  benefit  include:  Plantronics,  Polycom,  Shortel,  Acme  Packet,  Sonus,  Cisco,  Broadsop,  Audiocodes.   •  WAN  Op*miza*on  –  Input  on  the  growth  of  the  WAN  Op3miza3on  market  remains  mixed.     –  Some  see  con3nued  growth  while  others  see  growth  slowing.  All  agree  however,  that  Riverbed  con3nues  to  lead  and  gain   market  share  and  likely  to  outpace  the  overall  growth  expecta3ons  of  ~10%.     –  Silver  Peak  also  con3nues  to  gain,  as  Cisco,  and  Juniper  give  up  market  share.  Exinda  is  geyng  some  aLen3on  with  their  lower   cost  solu3on.   –  New  applica3on  use  cases,  integrated  security/NGFW  partnerships,  and  CSP/Telco  channels  are  contributors  for  accelerated   growth  in  2013.   •  Virtual  Desktop  and  End  User  Compu*ng–  Aper  a  slow  and  open  uncertain  start,  input  is  more  posi3ve  regarding  the  adop3on  curve   of  VDI  in  large  enterprises,  financials,  government,  healthcare  and  service  providers  for  2013.   –  Microsop,  Citrix,  VMware,  and  Dell  are  seeing  improving  demand  for  their  respec3ve  VDI  solu3ons  as  organiza3ons  move   towards  EUC.   –  Although  the  ROI  on  VDI  is  s3ll  not  as  straight  forward  as  for  server  virtualiza3on,  VDI  elements  have  become  more  mature  and   easier  to  implement  and  manage  especially  with  the  con3nued  adop3on  of  servers  with  integrated  SSD.     Sales  Pulse  Research,  LLC    2013    All  rights  reserved   11  
  • 12. Sales Pulse Research  Technology Trends Results  and  Analysis  of  Priority  Trends  by  Segment    Applica3on  Delivery,  Security       •  Applica*on  Delivery  Controllers  –  We  believe  that  this  market  segment  remains  a  priority  and  will  see  con3nued  growth  above  10%,   although  we  uncovered  temporary  weakness  in  Q4  which  is  likely  to  con3nue  into  Q1  2013.     –  We  see  no  challenge  to  F5s  leadership  in  the  near  term,  however  startups  like  Embrane,  Linerate  Systems  and  VMWare  and   Riverbed’s  SW  based  approaches  are  gaining  mindshare.       –  Survey  input  also  highlights  a  resurgence  in  Brocade’s  ADC  business.  The  BRCD  ADC  scrip3ng  is  very  easy  to  configure,  customize   and  support.  It  is  being  adopted  in  mul3-­‐tenant  environments  by  CSP’s  and  Tier1  Service  Providers.   –  Radware  is  doing  well  in  some  geographies,  although  input  suggests  that  their  security  solu3on  is  driving  more  of  their  growth.       –  Citrix’  success  appears  to  remain  limited  with  exis3ng  accounts  and  to  new  opportuni3es  that  are  driven  by  their  sopware.  One   area  of  growth  has  been  in  healthcare,  where  Epic  Sopware  is  domina3ng  and  Citrix  has  been  part  of  the  standard  configura3on.   •  Security  –  Evidence  points  to  con3nued  replacement  of  legacy  firewalls  with  Next  Gen  Firewall  (NGFW)  solu3ons  and  UTM  devices.   –  We  believe  security  momentum  slowed  in  Q4  and  likely  Q1  due  to  budget  constraints  but  is  expected  to  reaccelerate  in  2013.     –  Palo  Alto  con3nues  to  disrupt  the  marketplace  although  their  aggressive  expansion  has  caused  some  conflict  among  channel   partners.     –  Cisco  and  Juniper  are  most  open  men3oned  as  losing  share  and  are  expected  to  add/upgrade  their  product  lines  this  year.   –  We  expect  security  vendors  to  introduce  new,  lower  cost/Mb  very  high  performance  NGFWs  pla{orms  this  year  leveraging   solu3ons  from  Cavium  ,  Netronome  and  Intel  based  architectures.   –  We  expect  2013  to  be  an  interes3ng  year  as  Palo  Alto’s  mindshare  and  market  share  growth  is  challenged  by  Sourcefire  and   For3net  as  well  as  from  new  offerings  from  Cisco,  Sonic  Wall/Dell,  Juniper  and  perhaps  F5.       Sales  Pulse  Research,  LLC    2013    All  rights  reserved   13  
  • 13. Sales Pulse Research  Technology Trends 13   Sales  Pulse  Research,  LLC    2013    All  rights  reserved  
  • 14. Sales Pulse Research  Technology Trends Impact  of  SDN  on  IT  Spending  in  2013     SoWware  Defined  Networking  (SDN)  and  the  SoWware  Defined  Data  Center  remain  a  mul*-­‐year  Evolu*onary  End  User  Transforma*on     •  Enterprise/IT  and  Data  Center  contacts  an3cipate  early  adop3on  this  year  with  liLle  impact  on  mainstream  IT  in  2013.    Research   supports  the  disrup3ve  evolu3onary  trend  playing  out  over  the  next  several  years  while  impac3ng  current  design  decisions  and   architectural  strategies.   •  Contacts  in  the  service  provider,  CSP  markets  indicate  that  2013  will  see  pilot  projects  and  evalua3ons  and  highlighted  accelera3ng   ac3vity  and  expect  significant  changes  as  the  SDN  market  matures…   •  We  are  con3nuing  to  follow  the  complex  web  of  public  and  private  companies  in  addi3on  to  the  changing  percep3ons  regarding   orchestra3on,  customiza3on,  integra3on,  configura3on,  workflow  placement  and  automa3on  along  with  the  rumina3on  that  coincides   with  the  hype  cycle  we  are  currently  experiencing.    One  thing  is  for  certain  based  on  our  ongoing  research,  hardware  based  approaches   in  networking  for  the  data  center  are  a  commodity  and  every  supplier  has  no  uncertain  percep3on  the  game  has  changed  and  they  may   not  even  be  in  the  playbook.   •  Our  research  points  to  further  consolida3on  and  expansion  of  supplier  partnerships  with  open  SDN  controller  approaches  for  the  likes   of  EMC/VMware,  IBM,  Microsop,  Oracle,  Cisco,  Brocade,  HP,  Citrix,  NEC,  Dell...    We  con3nue  to  follow  Cisco’s  evolving  marke3ng   efforts  to  stem  mindshare  losses  while  protec3ng  their  legacy  HW  business.  Cisco’s  SDN  story  has  notably  improved  over  the  past  few   months  based  upon  input  from  industry  contacts  and  end  users.   •  We  remain  surprised  as  to  how  quickly  the  industry  has  adopted  the  SDN  philosophy  across  nearly  every  infrastructure  and  IT  ver3cal.   Our  ongoing  research  is  focused  on  the  progress  that  includes  emerging  business  models,  use  cases  and  secular  changes  that  are   occurring  with  service  providers,  Web  2.0,  government  and  large  enterprises.     Sales  Pulse  Research,  LLC    2013    All  rights  reserved   14        
  • 15. Sales Pulse Research  Technology Trends 15   Sales  Pulse  Research,  LLC    2013    All  rights  reserved  
  • 16. Sales Pulse Research  Technology Trends Results  and  Analysis  of  the  Ship  to  the  Cloud       •  Most  contacts  (70%)  see  con3nued  steady  growth  in  spending  on  Cloud  services.  Otherwise,  more  see  accelera3on  (15%)  vs.  slowing   (10%).    Comments  indicate  the  usual  considera3ons  including  security  and  selec3vely  choosing  apps  for  to  move  to  the  cloud.  The   benefits  of  lower  CAPEX,  reduced  need  for  expensive  personnel  and  flexibility  outweigh  the  nega3ves.  Most  see  organiza3ons   developing  cloud  strategies  that  includes  Hybrid  clouds  and  various  selec3ons  of  Sopware  (SaaS),  Pla{orm  (PaaS),  and  Infrastructure   (IaaS)  services.   •  As  spending  ships  from  the  enterprise  to  the  cloud,  margins  for  hardware  and  most  soWware  vendors  are  reduced.  In  some  cases   equipment  requirements  are  reduced  due  to  more  dense  sharing  of  components  of  the  infrastructure.  Service  providers  tend  to  buy   more  commodity  components;  they  leverage  more  open  source  sopware  and  they  achieve  larger  discounts  through  higher  volume   purchases.   •  Quote  from  a  mid  sized  channel  partner:     “We  recently  provided  a  quote  for  a  opportunity  that  included  900  servers.  In  the  past,  we  would  have  been  fully  engaged  in  the  sales   cycle  for  this  size  opportunity,  from  discussing  the  requirements,  designing  a  solu3on  to  providing  detailed  configura3ons  and  a   proposal,  with  plenty  of  face  3me  with  the  end  user  and  maybe  an  execu3ve  briefing.    Now  more  customers  have  the  resources  to  do   all  this  themselves.  In  this  case  they  just  sent  us  their  detailed  configura3ons  and  asked  for  our  best  price.”     •  The  overall  impact  of  the  shiW  of  spending  to  cloud  providers  is  a  nega*ve  headwind  for  vendors  who  have  historically  sold  on-­‐ premise  based  enterprise  solu3ons,  including  Cisco,  EMC,  Netapp,  Oracle,  HP,  Dell…    However,  the  ship  represents  new  opportuni3es   for  the  same  companies  as  well  as  emerging  companies  not  tradi3onally  considered  on  the  hosted  side  when  decisions  on  RFP’s  and   infrastructure  is  built  to  support  the  move  off  premises.         Sales  Pulse  Research,  LLC    2013    All  rights  reserved   16  
  • 17. Sales Pulse Research  Technology Trends Sales  Pulse  Research,  LLC    2013    All  rights  reserved   17  
  • 18. Sales Pulse Research  Technology Trends Impact  of  Cloud  spending  on  VARs  and  SIs   •  70%  of  respondents  believe  that  the  ship  towards  Cloud  and  managed  services  represents  a  significant  opportunity  for  VARs  and   System  Integrators  to  add  value  to  their  customer  base…  however,  follow  up  discussions  suggest  the  changing  business  models  and  the   move  from  transac3on  to  recurring  revenue  is  proving  a  more  difficult  transi3on  due  to  the  lower  human  resource  element  of  cloud/ managed/hosted  services  vs.  on-­‐premise  support.   •  In  addi3on  to  resale  of  managed  services,  opportuni3es  exist  for  support  services,  online/onsite  training,  and  the  integra3on  of   reference  architectures  and  the  support  legacy  Tier1  applica3ons.       •  Several  survey  respondents  noted  that  Cloud  channel  programs  are  just  emerging  and  s3ll  not  well  formed  in  terms  of  a  WIN/WIN  for   both  SaaS/PaaS  providers  and  frontline  VARs.   •  Contacts  also  highlighted  that  VARs  will  need  to  evolve  their  primary  business  models  to  take  advantage  of  the  Cloud.  Their  challenge  is   to  offer  a  compe33ve  advantage  by  developing  an  understanding  of  cloud  architectures  and  the  ability  to  design  or  have  partners   design  secure  Cloud  systems.   Sales  Pulse  Research,  LLC    2013    All  rights  reserved   18  
  • 19. Sales Pulse Research  Technology Trends Private  Company  Views     Private  Vendors  receiving  posi1ve  comments  (We  are  happy  to  discuss  in  further  detail  if  interest  exists):       Arista  -­‐  Growth  con3nues  for  sopware  defined  networking  and  large  cloud/data  center  deployments.     Embrane  –  Distributed  SDN  for  on-­‐demand  services.     Silver  Peak  -­‐  Technology  leadership  via  scalability  along  with  strategic  partnerships  con3nue  to  support  market  share  gains  in  the   WAN  op3miza3on  market.     Cyan  -­‐  Tier2/3  Telco  and  MSO  share  gains  for  access  and  converged  metro  transport  applica3ons.     Ac*ve  Video  –  Cloud  based  video  delivery  framework  likely  being  adopted  by  Tier  1  Service  Providers.     Fireeye  –  is  a  leader  in  next  gen  security  targe3ng  advanced  malware,  zero-­‐day  and  targeted  APT  aLacks     Gigamon  –  is  growing  quickly  providing  traffic  monitoring  solu3ons.  We  are  an3cipa3ng  con3nued  growing  demand  and  a  posi3ve  IPO   recep3on.     Veeam  –  is  gaining  share  in  the  backup  and  replica3on  market  including  virtual  environments.     Netronome’s  network  flow  processing  is  under  the  covers  in  a  growing  number  of  security  and  DPI  devices.     Avere  –  leverages  solid  state  disk  and  real-­‐3me  3ering  to  reduce  cost  and  op3mize  storage  performance.       Sales  Pulse  Research,  LLC    2013    All  rights  reserved   19  
  • 20. Sales Pulse Research  Technology Trends Private  Company  Views     Private  Vendors  receiving  posi1ve  comments  (We  are  happy  to  discuss  in  further  detail  if  interest  exists):       Linerate  Systems  –  an  SDN  oriented  early  stage  company  providing  L7+  policy-­‐based  traffic  management  using  off  the  shelf  hardware.       Jeda  Networks  –  is  developing  Sopware  Defined  Storage  Networks  to  leverage  the  opera3onal  and  cost  advantage  of  SDN  to  storage.     Plum  Grid  –  Network  virtualiza3on  for  sopware  defined  data  center.     Plexxi  –  recently  out  of  stealth  –  delivering  a  SDN  switch  with  integrated  op3cal  technology     Forescout  –  provides  network  access  control;  seeing  a  boost  in  demand  from  the  BYoD  trend.   Sales  Pulse  Research,  LLC    2013    All  rights  reserved   20  
  • 21. Sales Pulse Research  Technology Trends For  more  informa3on  contact:     Williams  C.  Hay      Tom  Morphis   404-­‐229-­‐4995      404-­‐217-­‐7626   williams@salespulse.net    tom@salespulse.net       Copyright  2013,  Sales  Pulse  Research,  LLC  ®    All  rights  reserved.         Important  Disclosures:     Facts  and  the  other  informa3on  contained  in  this  report  have  been  obtained  from  public  sources  considered  reliable  but  are  not  guaranteed  in  any  way.   No  independent  confirma3on  of  the  truth,  correctness  or  accuracy  of  the  informa3on  presented  has  been  made  by  Sales  Pulse  Research,  LLC.   This  report  is  published  solely  for  informa3on  purposes  and  is  not  an  offer  to  buy  or  sell  or  a  solicita3on  of  an  offer  to  buy  or  sell  any  security  or  deriva3ve.   Sales  Pulse  Research,  LLC  accepts  no  responsibility  for  any  loss  or  damage  suffered  by  any  person  or  en3ty  as  a  result  of  any  such  person's  or  en3ty's   reliance  on  the  informa3on  presented  in  this  report.  Opinions  and  es3mates  expressed  herein  cons3tute  judgments  as  of  the  date  appearing  on  the  report   and  are  subject  to  change  without  no3ce.   Employees  of  Sales  Pulse  Research,  LLC  may  from  3me  to  3me  acquire,  hold  or  sell  a  posi3on  in  the  securi3es  men3oned  herein  in  this  report.   All  of  the  recommenda3ons  and  views  about  the  securi3es  and  companies  in  this  report  accurately  reflect  the  personal  views  of  the  analyst(s)  of  Sales  Pulse   Research,  LLC.  No  part  of  analyst's  compensa3on  was,  is,  or  will  be  directly  or  indirectly  related  to  the  specific  recommenda3ons  or  views  expressed  by  the   research  analyst.   No  part  of  this  document  may  be  copied,  photocopied,  or  duplicated  in  any  form  or  other  means  redistributed  or  quoted  without  the  prior  wriLen  consent   of  Sales  Pulse  Research,  LLC.   The  informa3on  contained  herein  has  been  obtained  from  sources  believed  reliable  but  is  it  not  necessarily  complete  and  accuracy  is  not  guaranteed.     Confiden3ality  No3ce:  This  transmiLal  is  a  confiden3al  communica3on  or  may  otherwise  be  privileged  or  confiden3al.  If  you  are  not  the  intended  recipient,   you  are  hereby  no3fied  that  you  have  received  this  transmiLal  in  error  and  that  any  review,  dissemina3on,  distribu3on  or  copying  of  this  transmiLal  is   strictly  prohibited.  If  you  have  received  this  communica3on  in  error,  please  no3fy  the  sender  immediately  by  reply  and  delete  this  message  and  all  its   aLachments,  if  any.   Sales  Pulse  Research,  LLC    2013    All  rights  reserved   21