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The Institute of Management Sciences 1
The Institute of Management Sciences 2
Presented to International Business Class
Instructor: Sir Imran Bashir
World Recession 2008
The Institute of Management Sciences 3
Presented by:
Muhammad Asad Bin Asif
ID: 113245
Muhammad Zeeshan Azam
ID: 123220
Hassan Shafiq
ID: 123218
The Institute of Management Sciences 4
Opening
Case
The Iceland Scenario
 Iceland was stable
 Multinational corporations: Alcoa installed their
business
 Iceland’s various provision deregulations
 Privatization of banks
 Lax requirement on bank loans
 Three the largest banks combined to borrow 10
times Iceland's total GDP
The Institute of Management Sciences 5
Operations of Banks
 Jon Asgeir Johannesson, Borrowing “billions of
dollars”
 Jon purchased yacht and a private jet
 invested outside iceland
 Iceland being drained of financial resources
Shock
 Banks got Bankrupt
 Market crashed
The Institute of Management Sciences 6
The Institute of Management Sciences 7
The Institute of Management Sciences 8
Background
 During the forty years of economic growth in the
United States, investment banks were small
 Investment banks going public
 Financial sector progressed
 From 1978-2008, the average salary in investment
banking increased
The Institute of Management Sciences 9
The Institute of Management Sciences 10
Reagan Administration of U.S.
 Financial deregulation U.S. in early 1980s
 In Late 1980s workers of financial sector were going
to jail
 During 1990s,internet stocks worth to $5t - were
lost.
 Eliot Spitzer, investigation internet crisis
 Investment banks promoting stocks likely to fail
 Ten investment banks outside settlement of $1.4b
The Institute of Management Sciences 11
Financial Engineering
 A new field of study
 Derivatives developed
 A well-known derivative is an option
 Invest options trade options
The Institute of Management Sciences 12
Collateral Debt Obligations
There are five positions, in sequential order in
the chain.
 Home buyers
 lenders
 Investment banks
 Investors
 Insurance companies
The Institute of Management Sciences
13
The Institute of Management Sciences 14
The Institute of Management Sciences 15
 The largest financial bubble in history.
 Countrywide Financial issued nearly $100b in
mortgage loans.
 Traded debts through securitization chain and
earning massive sums
 The Lehman Brothers, Richard Fuld, given
$500m in bonuses
The Institute of Management Sciences 16
Martin Wolf, Chief Economics Commentator for The Financial
Times adds
“It wasn’t real profits, it wasn’t real income….Two, three
years down the road there’s a default – it’s all wiped out. I
think, in recollection, it’s been a great big…global Ponzi
scheme.”
The Institute of Management Sciences 17
The Investment Bankers and Insurance
 AIG promised to cover the costs on the insured
CDOs
 They did not have the money to do so.
 Paying over $3b in corporate bonuses during this
period.
 Investment bankers spent on luxury: jets, yachts,
mansions, and vacation homes, as well as drugs.
The Institute of Management Sciences 18
The Institute of Management Sciences 19
The Crisis
The Institute of Management Sciences 20
 The Federal Reserve System ignored warnings from
 Raguram Rajan of the IMF
 Domnique Strauss-Kahn of the IMF,
 Nouriel Roubini of New York University
 Allan Sloan of Fortune Magazine.
The Institute of Management Sciences 21
Accountability of the Loss recorded
• Lehman Brothers reports recorded losses and stock
collapse.
• Numerous investment firms rated double and triple A
before collapse
• The risky mortgages ripped to bankruptcies.
• Bear Stears acquired by ‘J.P. Morgan’: 2 dollars per share.
• Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, acquired by the US
government
The Institute of Management Sciences 22
The Institute of Management Sciences 23
After Crisis Effects:
 The United States declined, through wealth gaps
and outsourcing.
 Manufacturing jobs were diminishing
 China’s unemployment hiked
 Information technology jobs were abundant; but
required educated people
 Tax policies in U.S. favored the wealthy
 Wealth inequality was the highest in the United
States
The Institute of Management Sciences 24
Resources
• “Junk Mortgages under Microscope” by Allan
Sloan Fortune Magazine October 16, 2007
• “Has Financial Development made the world
Riskier” by Raghurar G. Rajan
• “Why Central Banks Should Burst Bubbles” by
Nouriel Roubini
• “Who’s holding the Bag?” May 2007 Pershing
Square Capital Management, L.P.
• “Inside Job” a Documentary film by Andri
Magnason
The Institute of Management Sciences 25
The Institute of Management Sciences 26
Any Question
The Institute of Management Sciences 27

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Recession-2008 and its consequences

  • 1. The Institute of Management Sciences 1
  • 2. The Institute of Management Sciences 2
  • 3. Presented to International Business Class Instructor: Sir Imran Bashir World Recession 2008 The Institute of Management Sciences 3
  • 4. Presented by: Muhammad Asad Bin Asif ID: 113245 Muhammad Zeeshan Azam ID: 123220 Hassan Shafiq ID: 123218 The Institute of Management Sciences 4
  • 5. Opening Case The Iceland Scenario  Iceland was stable  Multinational corporations: Alcoa installed their business  Iceland’s various provision deregulations  Privatization of banks  Lax requirement on bank loans  Three the largest banks combined to borrow 10 times Iceland's total GDP The Institute of Management Sciences 5
  • 6. Operations of Banks  Jon Asgeir Johannesson, Borrowing “billions of dollars”  Jon purchased yacht and a private jet  invested outside iceland  Iceland being drained of financial resources Shock  Banks got Bankrupt  Market crashed The Institute of Management Sciences 6
  • 7. The Institute of Management Sciences 7
  • 8. The Institute of Management Sciences 8
  • 9. Background  During the forty years of economic growth in the United States, investment banks were small  Investment banks going public  Financial sector progressed  From 1978-2008, the average salary in investment banking increased The Institute of Management Sciences 9
  • 10. The Institute of Management Sciences 10
  • 11. Reagan Administration of U.S.  Financial deregulation U.S. in early 1980s  In Late 1980s workers of financial sector were going to jail  During 1990s,internet stocks worth to $5t - were lost.  Eliot Spitzer, investigation internet crisis  Investment banks promoting stocks likely to fail  Ten investment banks outside settlement of $1.4b The Institute of Management Sciences 11
  • 12. Financial Engineering  A new field of study  Derivatives developed  A well-known derivative is an option  Invest options trade options The Institute of Management Sciences 12
  • 13. Collateral Debt Obligations There are five positions, in sequential order in the chain.  Home buyers  lenders  Investment banks  Investors  Insurance companies The Institute of Management Sciences 13
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  • 16.  The largest financial bubble in history.  Countrywide Financial issued nearly $100b in mortgage loans.  Traded debts through securitization chain and earning massive sums  The Lehman Brothers, Richard Fuld, given $500m in bonuses The Institute of Management Sciences 16
  • 17. Martin Wolf, Chief Economics Commentator for The Financial Times adds “It wasn’t real profits, it wasn’t real income….Two, three years down the road there’s a default – it’s all wiped out. I think, in recollection, it’s been a great big…global Ponzi scheme.” The Institute of Management Sciences 17
  • 18. The Investment Bankers and Insurance  AIG promised to cover the costs on the insured CDOs  They did not have the money to do so.  Paying over $3b in corporate bonuses during this period.  Investment bankers spent on luxury: jets, yachts, mansions, and vacation homes, as well as drugs. The Institute of Management Sciences 18
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  • 20. The Crisis The Institute of Management Sciences 20
  • 21.  The Federal Reserve System ignored warnings from  Raguram Rajan of the IMF  Domnique Strauss-Kahn of the IMF,  Nouriel Roubini of New York University  Allan Sloan of Fortune Magazine. The Institute of Management Sciences 21
  • 22. Accountability of the Loss recorded • Lehman Brothers reports recorded losses and stock collapse. • Numerous investment firms rated double and triple A before collapse • The risky mortgages ripped to bankruptcies. • Bear Stears acquired by ‘J.P. Morgan’: 2 dollars per share. • Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, acquired by the US government The Institute of Management Sciences 22
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  • 24. After Crisis Effects:  The United States declined, through wealth gaps and outsourcing.  Manufacturing jobs were diminishing  China’s unemployment hiked  Information technology jobs were abundant; but required educated people  Tax policies in U.S. favored the wealthy  Wealth inequality was the highest in the United States The Institute of Management Sciences 24
  • 25. Resources • “Junk Mortgages under Microscope” by Allan Sloan Fortune Magazine October 16, 2007 • “Has Financial Development made the world Riskier” by Raghurar G. Rajan • “Why Central Banks Should Burst Bubbles” by Nouriel Roubini • “Who’s holding the Bag?” May 2007 Pershing Square Capital Management, L.P. • “Inside Job” a Documentary film by Andri Magnason The Institute of Management Sciences 25
  • 26. The Institute of Management Sciences 26 Any Question
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