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RECENT DEVELOPMENTS IN GOLD
DEPOSIT ACCOUNTS IN TURKEY
Erkan Kilimci, Executive Director
Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey
22 August 201522 August 2015
Physical gold is a traditional investment for Turkish
people.p p
Traditional Demand for Gold
2
Source: Turkish State Mint Source: Turkish Statistical Institute Last Observation : 2014Last Observation : July 2015
Sustained high level of inflation for years induced
households to hold gold.g
Inflation Rate
(CPI YoY, %)
3
Last Observation : June 2015Source: CBRT, Bloomberg
Gold served as a safe investment under frequent and
sharp FX fluctuations.p
(% Change since 30/06/2000)
Gold and USD Return
4
Last Observation : April, 2015Source: Bloomberg
As the economy prosper gold become available for many.
GDP Per-Capita
(USD)
Last Observation : 2014Source: World Bank, Bloomberg
5
Turkey covers its domestic demand and some of its
export production with imports.
Jewellery Trade
(Million USD)
6
Last Observation : June 2015Source: Turkish Statistical İnstitute
Turkey has a fair amount of gold demand.
Gold DemandGold Demand
(in tonnes)
7
Last Observation : March 2015Source: Reuters
Mining and recycled gold reserves are not enough to
meet the demand for gold.
Turkish Recycled Gold Reserves
(in tonnes)
8
Last Observation : 2013Source: World Gold Council
Turkey accumulated physical gold for long years.
Net Accumulation
(Cumulative in Tonnes)
İ
9
Last Observation : May 2015
Source: Turkish Statistical İnstitute
On the other hand Turkey like many other emerging
economies suffers from low levels of savings.
Last Observation 2014
Source: IMF, Bloomberg
EM countries : S.Africa, Hungary, Brazil, Argentina, Colombia, Chile, Mexico; Czech Rep. , Poland
10
Financial inclusion policies should target the unbanked
women population.
Account Penetration
(Share Without any Bank Account, Women)
11
Last Observation : 2014Source: Global Findex Database, World Bank.
Reserve Option Mechanism in Turkey
12
CBRT allowed banks to hold a fraction of their reserve
requirements for TL liabilities in gold and FX.
100TL RR 60% 99TL in FX 38,1 USD
If ROM utilized at max
30% 43,5TL in Gold 0,4 gr
10% 10TL 10,0 TL
13
Last Observation : May 2015Source: BRSA
Banks fully utilized the option to hold Gold instead of
Turkish Lira.
FX and Gold
ROM Utilization Rate
(%)( )
14
Source: CBRT Last Observation : June 2015
Banks use «golden days» to collect gold.
Golden Days
Regulatory
Bodies
CBRT-BRSA
Banks’
Storage
AccountsPh i l Banks’
Branches
AccountsPhysical
Gold
Experts
Refineries
15
Source: CBRT Experts
Gold accounts and transactions are regulated.
Gold AccountsGold Accounts
• Accounts can consist of at least 995/1000 pure bar and ingot of raw golds.
A t b ti d it d d d it• Accounts can be open as time deposit or demand deposit
• Bankbooks are given to customers.
• Interest payments can be done via TL, FX or gold.
• Bank can buy golds from the customers by paying TL or FX.
• Customer can withdraw in TL or gold ingot.
16
Golden days practice stands as a simple yet effective
way of bringing gold back in the economy.
Collected Gold in the
Golden Days
(Tonnes)
17
Last Observation : July 2015
Source: Istanbul Gold Refinery
Gold deposit accounts increased substantially by pulling
physical gold in to the financial system.
Gold Deposits
Reserve Option
Mechanism Introduced
18
Source: CBRT Last Observation : June 2015
Once people used to gold accounts it is easier for them
to invest in other forms.
Gold vs USD
DepositsDeposits
Last Observation : June 2015Source: CBRT
19
Last Observation : June 2015Source: CBRT
Excludes accounts in participation banks
International gold reserves increased from 176 tonnes to
462 tonnes.
Source: CBRT Last Observation : May 2015
20
Source: CBRT. Last Observation : May 2015
Gold is a unique reserve asset which makes it a viable
choice for portfolio diversification
Current A year Ago % Change
Total 29,124 29,041 0.29
Euro Area 9,835 9,829 0.06
US 7,413 7,413 0.00
Germany 3,084 3,085 -0.02Germany 3,084 3,085 0.02
Italy 2,235 2,235 0.00
France 2,220 2,220 0.00
China 961 961 0 00China 961 961 0.00
Switzerland 948 948 0.00
Japan 697 697 0.00
N h l d 558 558 0 00Netherlands 558 558 0.00
India 508 508 0.00
Turkey 462 453 1.92
21
Source: Bloomberg Last Observation : May 2015

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Recent Developments in Gold Deposit Accounts in Turkey

  • 1. RECENT DEVELOPMENTS IN GOLD DEPOSIT ACCOUNTS IN TURKEY Erkan Kilimci, Executive Director Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey 22 August 201522 August 2015
  • 2. Physical gold is a traditional investment for Turkish people.p p Traditional Demand for Gold 2 Source: Turkish State Mint Source: Turkish Statistical Institute Last Observation : 2014Last Observation : July 2015
  • 3. Sustained high level of inflation for years induced households to hold gold.g Inflation Rate (CPI YoY, %) 3 Last Observation : June 2015Source: CBRT, Bloomberg
  • 4. Gold served as a safe investment under frequent and sharp FX fluctuations.p (% Change since 30/06/2000) Gold and USD Return 4 Last Observation : April, 2015Source: Bloomberg
  • 5. As the economy prosper gold become available for many. GDP Per-Capita (USD) Last Observation : 2014Source: World Bank, Bloomberg 5
  • 6. Turkey covers its domestic demand and some of its export production with imports. Jewellery Trade (Million USD) 6 Last Observation : June 2015Source: Turkish Statistical İnstitute
  • 7. Turkey has a fair amount of gold demand. Gold DemandGold Demand (in tonnes) 7 Last Observation : March 2015Source: Reuters
  • 8. Mining and recycled gold reserves are not enough to meet the demand for gold. Turkish Recycled Gold Reserves (in tonnes) 8 Last Observation : 2013Source: World Gold Council
  • 9. Turkey accumulated physical gold for long years. Net Accumulation (Cumulative in Tonnes) İ 9 Last Observation : May 2015 Source: Turkish Statistical İnstitute
  • 10. On the other hand Turkey like many other emerging economies suffers from low levels of savings. Last Observation 2014 Source: IMF, Bloomberg EM countries : S.Africa, Hungary, Brazil, Argentina, Colombia, Chile, Mexico; Czech Rep. , Poland 10
  • 11. Financial inclusion policies should target the unbanked women population. Account Penetration (Share Without any Bank Account, Women) 11 Last Observation : 2014Source: Global Findex Database, World Bank.
  • 12. Reserve Option Mechanism in Turkey 12
  • 13. CBRT allowed banks to hold a fraction of their reserve requirements for TL liabilities in gold and FX. 100TL RR 60% 99TL in FX 38,1 USD If ROM utilized at max 30% 43,5TL in Gold 0,4 gr 10% 10TL 10,0 TL 13 Last Observation : May 2015Source: BRSA
  • 14. Banks fully utilized the option to hold Gold instead of Turkish Lira. FX and Gold ROM Utilization Rate (%)( ) 14 Source: CBRT Last Observation : June 2015
  • 15. Banks use «golden days» to collect gold. Golden Days Regulatory Bodies CBRT-BRSA Banks’ Storage AccountsPh i l Banks’ Branches AccountsPhysical Gold Experts Refineries 15 Source: CBRT Experts
  • 16. Gold accounts and transactions are regulated. Gold AccountsGold Accounts • Accounts can consist of at least 995/1000 pure bar and ingot of raw golds. A t b ti d it d d d it• Accounts can be open as time deposit or demand deposit • Bankbooks are given to customers. • Interest payments can be done via TL, FX or gold. • Bank can buy golds from the customers by paying TL or FX. • Customer can withdraw in TL or gold ingot. 16
  • 17. Golden days practice stands as a simple yet effective way of bringing gold back in the economy. Collected Gold in the Golden Days (Tonnes) 17 Last Observation : July 2015 Source: Istanbul Gold Refinery
  • 18. Gold deposit accounts increased substantially by pulling physical gold in to the financial system. Gold Deposits Reserve Option Mechanism Introduced 18 Source: CBRT Last Observation : June 2015
  • 19. Once people used to gold accounts it is easier for them to invest in other forms. Gold vs USD DepositsDeposits Last Observation : June 2015Source: CBRT 19 Last Observation : June 2015Source: CBRT Excludes accounts in participation banks
  • 20. International gold reserves increased from 176 tonnes to 462 tonnes. Source: CBRT Last Observation : May 2015 20 Source: CBRT. Last Observation : May 2015
  • 21. Gold is a unique reserve asset which makes it a viable choice for portfolio diversification Current A year Ago % Change Total 29,124 29,041 0.29 Euro Area 9,835 9,829 0.06 US 7,413 7,413 0.00 Germany 3,084 3,085 -0.02Germany 3,084 3,085 0.02 Italy 2,235 2,235 0.00 France 2,220 2,220 0.00 China 961 961 0 00China 961 961 0.00 Switzerland 948 948 0.00 Japan 697 697 0.00 N h l d 558 558 0 00Netherlands 558 558 0.00 India 508 508 0.00 Turkey 462 453 1.92 21 Source: Bloomberg Last Observation : May 2015