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MODERN TIMES GROUP
Q3 2013 FINANCIAL RESULTS
INVESTMENT PLAN ON TRACK WITH HEALTHY
SALES GROWTH

1
Q3 2013 – HIGHLIGHTS
INVESTING IN MOMENTUM


Sales up 9% at constant FX - all 5 segments reported local currency sales growth for first time since Q1 2011



FTV Scandi – growing again on a combined basis & positive traction to Fall schedules (new channel coming in Norway)



FTV EM – advertising market share gains in almost all territories in soft markets (new channel coming in Tanzania)



PTV Nordic – rising Viaplay volumes & Viasat ARPU driving sales growth & operating margin of 11.9%



PTV EM – healthy sales growth driven by mini-pay Russia & profitability in line with ongoing HD roll-out



Soon to complete acquisition of Nice Entertainment & establish scale international content production & distribution player +
MTGx digital accelerator established



Continued strong cash flow generation & low gearing enable ongoing investment in growth & shareholder returns

2
FREE-TV SCANDINAVIA

BACK INTO POSITIVE GROWTH
Sales up 1% at constant FX

2012

2013

Jul-Sep

Jul-Sep

Sales (SEKm)

876

887

Growth (at constant FX)

-7%

1%

CSOV – weak start but strong ending to the quarter

EBIT (SEKm)

135

118



Danish media house achieved its highest Q3 level since 2000

EBIT margin

15.4%

13.3%



Sweden – weak start but strong finish, which is encouraging



Norway – ratings down primarily due to weak performance during the
summer. 3rd channel to be launched in Q4

Sweden

35.8%

34.7%

Denmark

21.6%

25.8%

Norway

18.5%

17.3%



Best y-o-y sales development since Q4 2011



Expected decline in the Danish TV ad market while Sweden and
Norway are expected to have grown

EBIT margin of 13.3%


CSOV (15-49)

OPEX up 4% y-o-y at constant FX. FY OPEX growth still expected to
be at the higher end of the mid-single digit percentage point range



27% of Group sales

MTG’s coverage in Sweden of Winter Olympics will boost sales and
adversely impact Q1 2014 profits

3
PAY-TV NORDIC

VIAPLAY VOLUME & VIASAT ARPU GROWTH
Sales up 7% at constant FX

Overall subscriber base (incl. Viaplay) up


But premium satellite and 3rd party subscribers were both down

EBIT margin of 11.9%


In line with expectations & ongoing investments

Expectations – look for 11-12% margin for FY13


Revenue growth at constant exchange rates & operating margin of
11-12% for FY13, and a higher margin in 2014



2013
Jul-Sep

1,222

1,308

Growth (at constant FX)

3%

7%

EBIT (SEKm)

Driven by TV3 Sport channels, Viaplay & satellite premium ARPU

2012
Jul-Sep



40% of Group sales

194

156

EBIT margin

15.9%

11.9%

Premium subs ('000)

1,023

970

o/w satellite ('000)

603

563

o/w third party ('000)

420

407

4,916

5,089

Sales (SEKm)

MTG’s coverage in Sweden of Winter Olympics will boost sales and
adversely impact Q1 2014 profits

Satellite premium ARPU (SEK)

4
FREE-TV EMERGING MARKETS

STRONG GROWTH – TOUGHER COMPS AHEAD
Sales up 21% at constant FX

2012

2013

Jul-Sep

Jul-Sep

Sales (SEKm)

369

457

Growth (at constant FX)

3%

21%

EBIT (SEKm)

-48

-34

-12.9%

-7.4%

Pan-Baltic (15-49)

47.0%

50.0%

EBIT loss reduced y-o-y in seasonally weak sales period

Czech Republic (15-54)

40.4%

36.0%



Profitability impacted by the structure of our sales cooperations but
still improved profitability y-o-y for the 8th consecutive quarter

Bulgaria (18-49)

28.4%

32.8%



OPEX up significantly with similar y-t-d increase anticipated in Q4.
New operation soon to be launched in Tanzania



Driven by high underlying growth + sales cooperations



Baltics (8%); Czech Republic (27%); Bulgaria (32%); Ghana (45%)



Will now begin to face significantly tougher comps in markets that
remain soft

14% of Group sales

Mixed performance when it comes to CSOV



Baltics up due to strong performance in Lithuania



Czech Republic down due weak performance of Prima Family

EBIT margin

Strong performance continued in Bulgaria
CSOV

5
PAY-TV EMERGING MARKETS

RUSSIA DRIVES GROWTH & INVESTMENTS
Sales up 7% at constant FX
Continued mini-pay subscription growth

9% of Group sales

2012

2013

Jul-Sep

Jul-Sep



Addition of ~16m mini-pay subscriptions y-o-y and >1m q-o-q driven
by Russian intake

Sales (SEKm)

267

281



Added 13k satellite subscribers y-o-y but lost 6k q-o-q due to highly
competitive environment in Ukraine

Growth (at constant FX)

13%

7%

EBIT (SEKm)

48

27

17.9%

9.7%

543

556

75,430

91,380

EBIT margin

EBIT of SEK 27m in line with expectations


Reflects ongoing investments in premium content & HD package rollout – new deal signed with NTV-Plus satellite platform in Russia

Subscribers / subscriptions ('000)
Satellite
Mini-pay wholesale

Retain previous expectations (upped in connection to Q2)


Expect to achieve a better than breakeven full year 2013 EBIT result
with rising profitability levels in 2014

6
STUDIOS, MTGX, RADIO

NICE TO HAVE + THE X FACTOR
Sales up 29% at constant FX


Sales in MTG Studios up significantly driven by healthy underlying
sales growth boosted by acquisitions



Radio sales down - primarily due to Sweden

11% of Group sales

EBIT loss of SEK 46m compared to a profit of 15m last year



Healthy profitability in MTG Studios (excl. M&A costs) and Radio
Norway. Heavy losses in Radio Sweden
Investments in MTGx – expected to add up to SEK 70m of
operating costs in H2

Growth (at constant FX)

2013

Jul-Sep
Sales (SEKm)

2012

Jul-Sep

297

367

-18%

29%

15

-46

5.1%

-12.5%

EBIT (SEKm)
EBIT margin (excl. associates)

Agreement to acquire Nice Entertainment Group


Nordic´s largest independent group of production companies



Expected to close this month

7
INCOME STATEMENT
GROWTH & INVESTMENTS
Sales up 9% at constant FX


Acquisitions adding ~ 4 percentage points of growth

2013

Jul-Sep

Jul-Sep

2,940

3,204

Organic growth (at constant FX)

2%

5%

288

162

9.8%

5.0%

422

289

14.4%

9.0%

No impact of divestments / closures



2012

Minimal FX impact of ~ 0 percentage points



Q3 in brief

EBIT margin (excl. associates) of 5.0%

Sales (SEKm)



OpEx up 15% at constant FX and 11% organically

EBIT excl. associates



Primarily driven by pay-TV investments to drive future growth and
acquisitions (incl. M&A)

EBIT margin excl. associates

Effective tax rate of 30%


Expect FY13 rate to be at the higher end of the 25-30% range

Total EBIT
Total EBIT margin

8
CASH FLOW

CONTINUED STRONG CASH CONVERSION
Cash generative & asset light


Working capital change in the quarter reflecting the timing of
programming payments. Still under strict control

(SEKm)

2012

2013

Jul-Sep Jul-Sep
Cash flow from operations

237

210

Changes in working capital

65

-160

Net cash flow from operations

302

49

Acquisition of DRG, Novemberfilm & Net Info

Cash flow used in investing activities

-179

-172



Investments in shares of SEK 72m (174)

Cash flow used in financing activities

-335

-6



CapEx of SEK 100m (28)

Net change in cash & cash equivalents

-211

-129

Dividend stream from CTC Media


SEK 62m (51) in Q3 & SEK 184m (158) y-t-d

9
FINANCIAL POSITION
FIREPOWER & FLEXIBILITY
Net debt of SEK 373m


Available liquid funds of SEK 6 bn



Ended the quarter with a net debt to trailing twelve
month EBITDA ratio of just 0.2 times

Net debt / Trailing 12 month EBITDA
1.2 1.2

1.1
0.8

SEK 1.9 bn book value of 37.9% CTC Media stake


0.7

0.6

0.7

Public equity market value of SEK 4.0 bn as at end Q3

0.2

Q3 13

10

Q2 13

Q1 13

Q3 12

Q2 12

Q1 12

Q4 11

Q3 11

Q2 11

Q1 11

Q4 10

Q3 10

Q2 10

0.0

Q4 12

0.1

0.0
Q1 10

Continuing to balance investment in future growth &
shareholder returns

0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
SUMMARY

INVESTING IN MOMENTUM


Sales up 9% at constant FX - all 5 segments reported local currency sales growth for first time since Q1 2011



Demonstrates that investments in 3 key areas – content, digital and geographical expansion - are having the desired effect
and ensuring that customer offerings are stronger than ever



Committed to invest in momentum to create local, relevant and digital experiences that engage and excite consumers



Upcoming launch of free-TV channels in Norway and Tanzania; and preparations for coverage of Sochi Winter Olympics
(Sweden & Baltics) are clear evidence of this drive



Soon to complete acquisition of Nice Entertainment and create scale player in content production & distribution industry



These investments do impact short-term profitability but are the building blocks of our future growth and cash generation



Continued healthy cash flow generation & low gearing enable ongoing investment & shareholder returns

11
MTG INVESTOR RELATIONS
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION, PLEASE VISIT
WWW.MTG.SE OR CONTACT:
TEL: +46 (0) 73 699 2714
EMAIL: INVESTOR.RELATIONS@MTG.SE

12

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Q3 2013 presentation final

  • 1. MODERN TIMES GROUP Q3 2013 FINANCIAL RESULTS INVESTMENT PLAN ON TRACK WITH HEALTHY SALES GROWTH 1
  • 2. Q3 2013 – HIGHLIGHTS INVESTING IN MOMENTUM  Sales up 9% at constant FX - all 5 segments reported local currency sales growth for first time since Q1 2011  FTV Scandi – growing again on a combined basis & positive traction to Fall schedules (new channel coming in Norway)  FTV EM – advertising market share gains in almost all territories in soft markets (new channel coming in Tanzania)  PTV Nordic – rising Viaplay volumes & Viasat ARPU driving sales growth & operating margin of 11.9%  PTV EM – healthy sales growth driven by mini-pay Russia & profitability in line with ongoing HD roll-out  Soon to complete acquisition of Nice Entertainment & establish scale international content production & distribution player + MTGx digital accelerator established  Continued strong cash flow generation & low gearing enable ongoing investment in growth & shareholder returns 2
  • 3. FREE-TV SCANDINAVIA BACK INTO POSITIVE GROWTH Sales up 1% at constant FX 2012 2013 Jul-Sep Jul-Sep Sales (SEKm) 876 887 Growth (at constant FX) -7% 1% CSOV – weak start but strong ending to the quarter EBIT (SEKm) 135 118  Danish media house achieved its highest Q3 level since 2000 EBIT margin 15.4% 13.3%  Sweden – weak start but strong finish, which is encouraging  Norway – ratings down primarily due to weak performance during the summer. 3rd channel to be launched in Q4 Sweden 35.8% 34.7% Denmark 21.6% 25.8% Norway 18.5% 17.3%  Best y-o-y sales development since Q4 2011  Expected decline in the Danish TV ad market while Sweden and Norway are expected to have grown EBIT margin of 13.3%  CSOV (15-49) OPEX up 4% y-o-y at constant FX. FY OPEX growth still expected to be at the higher end of the mid-single digit percentage point range  27% of Group sales MTG’s coverage in Sweden of Winter Olympics will boost sales and adversely impact Q1 2014 profits 3
  • 4. PAY-TV NORDIC VIAPLAY VOLUME & VIASAT ARPU GROWTH Sales up 7% at constant FX Overall subscriber base (incl. Viaplay) up  But premium satellite and 3rd party subscribers were both down EBIT margin of 11.9%  In line with expectations & ongoing investments Expectations – look for 11-12% margin for FY13  Revenue growth at constant exchange rates & operating margin of 11-12% for FY13, and a higher margin in 2014  2013 Jul-Sep 1,222 1,308 Growth (at constant FX) 3% 7% EBIT (SEKm) Driven by TV3 Sport channels, Viaplay & satellite premium ARPU 2012 Jul-Sep  40% of Group sales 194 156 EBIT margin 15.9% 11.9% Premium subs ('000) 1,023 970 o/w satellite ('000) 603 563 o/w third party ('000) 420 407 4,916 5,089 Sales (SEKm) MTG’s coverage in Sweden of Winter Olympics will boost sales and adversely impact Q1 2014 profits Satellite premium ARPU (SEK) 4
  • 5. FREE-TV EMERGING MARKETS STRONG GROWTH – TOUGHER COMPS AHEAD Sales up 21% at constant FX 2012 2013 Jul-Sep Jul-Sep Sales (SEKm) 369 457 Growth (at constant FX) 3% 21% EBIT (SEKm) -48 -34 -12.9% -7.4% Pan-Baltic (15-49) 47.0% 50.0% EBIT loss reduced y-o-y in seasonally weak sales period Czech Republic (15-54) 40.4% 36.0%  Profitability impacted by the structure of our sales cooperations but still improved profitability y-o-y for the 8th consecutive quarter Bulgaria (18-49) 28.4% 32.8%  OPEX up significantly with similar y-t-d increase anticipated in Q4. New operation soon to be launched in Tanzania  Driven by high underlying growth + sales cooperations  Baltics (8%); Czech Republic (27%); Bulgaria (32%); Ghana (45%)  Will now begin to face significantly tougher comps in markets that remain soft 14% of Group sales Mixed performance when it comes to CSOV   Baltics up due to strong performance in Lithuania  Czech Republic down due weak performance of Prima Family EBIT margin Strong performance continued in Bulgaria CSOV 5
  • 6. PAY-TV EMERGING MARKETS RUSSIA DRIVES GROWTH & INVESTMENTS Sales up 7% at constant FX Continued mini-pay subscription growth 9% of Group sales 2012 2013 Jul-Sep Jul-Sep  Addition of ~16m mini-pay subscriptions y-o-y and >1m q-o-q driven by Russian intake Sales (SEKm) 267 281  Added 13k satellite subscribers y-o-y but lost 6k q-o-q due to highly competitive environment in Ukraine Growth (at constant FX) 13% 7% EBIT (SEKm) 48 27 17.9% 9.7% 543 556 75,430 91,380 EBIT margin EBIT of SEK 27m in line with expectations  Reflects ongoing investments in premium content & HD package rollout – new deal signed with NTV-Plus satellite platform in Russia Subscribers / subscriptions ('000) Satellite Mini-pay wholesale Retain previous expectations (upped in connection to Q2)  Expect to achieve a better than breakeven full year 2013 EBIT result with rising profitability levels in 2014 6
  • 7. STUDIOS, MTGX, RADIO NICE TO HAVE + THE X FACTOR Sales up 29% at constant FX  Sales in MTG Studios up significantly driven by healthy underlying sales growth boosted by acquisitions  Radio sales down - primarily due to Sweden 11% of Group sales EBIT loss of SEK 46m compared to a profit of 15m last year   Healthy profitability in MTG Studios (excl. M&A costs) and Radio Norway. Heavy losses in Radio Sweden Investments in MTGx – expected to add up to SEK 70m of operating costs in H2 Growth (at constant FX) 2013 Jul-Sep Sales (SEKm) 2012 Jul-Sep 297 367 -18% 29% 15 -46 5.1% -12.5% EBIT (SEKm) EBIT margin (excl. associates) Agreement to acquire Nice Entertainment Group  Nordic´s largest independent group of production companies  Expected to close this month 7
  • 8. INCOME STATEMENT GROWTH & INVESTMENTS Sales up 9% at constant FX  Acquisitions adding ~ 4 percentage points of growth 2013 Jul-Sep Jul-Sep 2,940 3,204 Organic growth (at constant FX) 2% 5% 288 162 9.8% 5.0% 422 289 14.4% 9.0% No impact of divestments / closures  2012 Minimal FX impact of ~ 0 percentage points  Q3 in brief EBIT margin (excl. associates) of 5.0% Sales (SEKm)  OpEx up 15% at constant FX and 11% organically EBIT excl. associates  Primarily driven by pay-TV investments to drive future growth and acquisitions (incl. M&A) EBIT margin excl. associates Effective tax rate of 30%  Expect FY13 rate to be at the higher end of the 25-30% range Total EBIT Total EBIT margin 8
  • 9. CASH FLOW CONTINUED STRONG CASH CONVERSION Cash generative & asset light  Working capital change in the quarter reflecting the timing of programming payments. Still under strict control (SEKm) 2012 2013 Jul-Sep Jul-Sep Cash flow from operations 237 210 Changes in working capital 65 -160 Net cash flow from operations 302 49 Acquisition of DRG, Novemberfilm & Net Info Cash flow used in investing activities -179 -172  Investments in shares of SEK 72m (174) Cash flow used in financing activities -335 -6  CapEx of SEK 100m (28) Net change in cash & cash equivalents -211 -129 Dividend stream from CTC Media  SEK 62m (51) in Q3 & SEK 184m (158) y-t-d 9
  • 10. FINANCIAL POSITION FIREPOWER & FLEXIBILITY Net debt of SEK 373m  Available liquid funds of SEK 6 bn  Ended the quarter with a net debt to trailing twelve month EBITDA ratio of just 0.2 times Net debt / Trailing 12 month EBITDA 1.2 1.2 1.1 0.8 SEK 1.9 bn book value of 37.9% CTC Media stake  0.7 0.6 0.7 Public equity market value of SEK 4.0 bn as at end Q3 0.2 Q3 13 10 Q2 13 Q1 13 Q3 12 Q2 12 Q1 12 Q4 11 Q3 11 Q2 11 Q1 11 Q4 10 Q3 10 Q2 10 0.0 Q4 12 0.1 0.0 Q1 10 Continuing to balance investment in future growth & shareholder returns 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
  • 11. SUMMARY INVESTING IN MOMENTUM  Sales up 9% at constant FX - all 5 segments reported local currency sales growth for first time since Q1 2011  Demonstrates that investments in 3 key areas – content, digital and geographical expansion - are having the desired effect and ensuring that customer offerings are stronger than ever  Committed to invest in momentum to create local, relevant and digital experiences that engage and excite consumers  Upcoming launch of free-TV channels in Norway and Tanzania; and preparations for coverage of Sochi Winter Olympics (Sweden & Baltics) are clear evidence of this drive  Soon to complete acquisition of Nice Entertainment and create scale player in content production & distribution industry  These investments do impact short-term profitability but are the building blocks of our future growth and cash generation  Continued healthy cash flow generation & low gearing enable ongoing investment & shareholder returns 11
  • 12. MTG INVESTOR RELATIONS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION, PLEASE VISIT WWW.MTG.SE OR CONTACT: TEL: +46 (0) 73 699 2714 EMAIL: INVESTOR.RELATIONS@MTG.SE 12