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Preliminary Results 2008/09




             52 weeks to 3 May 2009




fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                     Overview




    Overview


     Resilient results and market share gains

     Difficult trading conditions

     Economic and political uncertainty

     Constant evolution of model to meet changing
     market demands

     Only major player to pay down debt, continue
     investment, maintain dividends

     Rights issue further strengthens position

     Current trading encouraging




2
                           fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                                                                    Financial Review




                            Resilient performance in challenging conditions

                            52 Weeks                                                   07/08     08/09    Change

                            Revenue                                                   £942.3m   £954.6m    +1.3%

                            Operating profit*                                         £231.8m   £216.2m    -6.7%

                            Operating margin*                                         24.6%     22.6%     -2.0%pts

                            Profit before tax*                                        £139.4m   £118.5m   -15.0%

                            Adjusted earnings per share*                               72.6p     66.5p     -8.4%


                            Adjusted for rights issue

                            Adjusted earnings per share                                58.3p     53.4p     -8.4%

                            Dividend per share                                         20.9p     21.0p      NC




3
                                                                         fit for the future
    •As throughout this document, profit numbers are shown before exceptional items
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                                                                    Financial Review



                          Retail
                          Industry-leading sales growth and margins


                                                                                      Operating Profit Margins
                                                            21%
                                                                                                                 Last year
                                                            18%
          LFL sales growth of 1.7%
                                                                                                                 This year
                                                            15%
          Food now 35% of sales
                                                            12%
          Gross margins stable
                                                             9%
          Industry-leading operating
                                                             6%
          margins
                                                             3%
                                                             0%
                                                                      Greene King   Marstons    M&B       JDW            Punch




4
    Source: Company Information                                   fit for the future
    Greene King F09, Marston’s H109, M&B H109, JDW H109, Punch H109
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                                       Financial Review



                  Retail
                  Robust underlying performance
            120


            115                  2.2
                                               2.2
    GBP m




            110                                            3.9
                    116.5
                                                                       2.6
            105
                                                                                        105.6
            100
                    F08       53rd w eek   Disposals &   Utilities   Machine           F09
                  Operating                 Transfers                Income          Operating
                   Profit                                                             Profit




5
                                       fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                                             Financial Review


            Retail
            Realism on costs; continuous focus on cost mitigation and reduction

                                                                                            Gross cost inflation

    Food, drinks & utilities have                                                           Mitigation
    seen major increases over
                                            14
    last 2 years                                                   12.4     12.0            11.8
                                            12
    Sustained mitigation through                                                                       10.2
                                            10               9.3
        Food projects               GBP m        8.1
        Drinks purchasing                   8
        Electricity metering
        Overhead reduction                  6

                                            4
    F10 expect slight easing
        £/€/$ pressure                      2
        H1 more prone than H2
                                            0
                                                       F08                F09                    F10e




6
                                    fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                 Financial Review



    Pub Partners
    Adapting & stabilising during a tough year

                                                £m
          F08 Reported EBITDA                   88.2
          53rd Week                             -1.7
          F08 Comparable EBITDA                 86.5
          Disposals, Transfers & Acquisitions   +0.8
          Tenant Support                        -4.1
          Underlying Trading                    -3.3
          Overhead Savings                      +0.8
          F09 Comparable EBITDA                 80.7
          Balance Sheet Prudence                -1.9
          Strengthening the Model               -0.7
          F09 Actual EBITDA                     78.1




7
                           fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                                 Financial Review



    Pub Partners
    Adapting & stabilising during a tough year


                    Average EBITDA per Pub                         -9.7%



         Balance sheet prudence                         -£1.9m

        - Prudent valuations appropriate to market circumstances




         Strengthening the model                        -£0.7m

                 - Investment in people and processes




                   Underlying EBITDA per Pub                       -6.7%




8
                               fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                               Financial Review



           Belhaven
           A ‘milestone’ year




    9.9% revenue growth                               Belhaven F09 Profit Split

    11.9% profit growth                                                           Managed
                                                Brewing
    Hit £30m milestone profit level
    Profit growth in all businesses
    Retail LFL sales +5.4%
    Solid tenanted performance
    Free trade share gains and margins better             Tenanted




9
                                      fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                            Financial Review



     Brewing Company
     Strong performance despite market and cost pressures
       Very strong H2, good turnaround from H1

       Organic volume growth and share gains

       H2 revenue growth to give 8.2% overall growth

       H2 margins only 80bps behind last year, despite utility, fuel and raw
       material cost pressures

       Operating profit flat year over year

     520,000                                                    8%
     500,000
     480,000                                                    6%
          Volume




     460,000
     440,000                                                    4%
     420,000                                                    2%
     400,000
     380,000                                                    0%
                   F05    F06       F07       F08      F09


10
                            fit for the future
                     Own Brewed Volume        Annual Growth
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                     Financial Review




     Positive free cash flow with investment maintained
                                                            08/09
                                                           52 weeks

      EBITDA                                              £267.3m
      Working capital                                       £0.9m
      Other movements                                      -£1.1m
      Net interest                                        -£94.5m
      Tax paid                                            -£24.9m
      Capital expenditure (ex-single site acquisitions)   -£89.1m

      Dividend                                            -£34.9m
                                                          £23.7m
      Disposals net of single site acquisitions            £37.5m
      Exceptional items                                   -£14.3m
      Net debt repayment                                  £46.9m



11
                              fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                                     Financial Review




               Continuing investment for growth


     Retail held flat YOY at £54.2m                      F09 Capital Investment
     Targeted investment in Pub                          Single Site
     Partners and Belhaven                               Acquisitions

                                              Belhaven
     Core investment £78m
                                       Brewing
     continued, only slightly lower   Company
     than last year
     Reduction in single site
     acquisitions
                                                                                              Retail
                                       Pub Partners
     Expansionary 40% of total
     Additional £12.4m through P&L




12
                                      fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                                                                     Financial Review



                               Dividend maintained
                               Unique amongst major players in sector


                                                                              Dividend per Share 2001-2009*

                                                                  25
       Only major player to have
       maintained dividend in current
       environment                            DPS (p per share)   20


       Proposed final dividend 15.1p                              15
       held flat over last year*

       Full year proposed dividend of                             10
       21.0p against 20.9p* last year
                                                                   5
       Expect to target 2x dividend
       cover
                                                                   0




                                                                  fit for the future
                                                                       F01   F02   F03   F04   F05   F06      F07       F08      F09



13   *Adjusted for the rights issue
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                                             Financial Review




               Continued balance sheet flexibility
     Securitisation
        2032 out of 2488 pubs securitised
        Debt service coverage (DSCR) of 1.5x
            Restricted payments below 1.3x, Covenant at 1.1x                                -£46.9m
                                                                            1800   1605.5
                                                                                                        1558.6
        Net Worth at £390m against covenant of £140m                        1600
                                                                                                         182.4
                                                                            1400    548.0
        £23m amortisation of bonds with steady debt service                 1200




                                                                   G BP m
                                                                            1000
                                                                             800
                                                                                                        1376.2
                                                                             600   1057.5
                                                                             400
                                                                             200
     Bank facility                                                             0
       £400m syndicated bank facility committed until April 2012                     F08                 F09

       £245m drawn at year end plus £79m net cash at bank                              Securitisation   Bank
       Net Debt/EBITDA covenant 5.5x, 2.1x at year end



14
                                       fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                            Financial Review




        Credit metrics have improved post rights issue

                                            F09 Pro-forma
                             F08    F09
                                            for rights issue

       Net Debt/EBITDA       5.7x   5.8x         5.1x


     Fixed Charge Cover      2.3x   2.1x         2.4x


         % Debt Fixed        97%    98%         100%

          FCF DSCR           1.8x   1.5x         1.5x


     Average Interest Rate   6.0%   6.0%         6.0%




15
                             fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                Operating Review




     Tough conditions driving sector polarisation



      Recession exposing weaknesses

      Leading to investment cut backs, reduced
      dividends & asset disposals

      Stronger models driving market share gains

      Trends to accelerate going forward

      Greene King; a strong player, taking share and
      improving returns




16
                         fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                             Operating Review




        Resilient business model for all conditions


                         Value
       Optimise         creative      Targeted       Selective
       organic        investment     acquisition    divestment
      divisional        in core       strategy      of non-core
     performance         assets                        assets




                   Consistent, long-term strategy



17
                          fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                             Operating Review




        Resilient business model for all conditions


                         Value
       Optimise         creative      Targeted       Selective
       organic        investment     acquisition    divestment
      divisional        in core       strategy      of non-core
     performance         assets                        assets




                   Consistent, long-term strategy



18
                          fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                               Operating Review




     Optimising organic divisional performance



      Adaptation of the divisional models

      Value for money, supported by improved
      standards and service

      Tight cost control

      Raising the performance bar of our people

      Improving operational controls and compliance




19
                           fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                                                  Operating Review - Retail



                            Retail
                            Adaptation: Segmentation driving improved performance
                             Destination & Local Pubs split; first major ‘change’

                             To get closer to customers, increase focus and efficiency

                             Branded, food-led, controlled vs. unbranded, wet-led, entrepreneurial

                             Now seeing industry-best LFL sales growth

                             Food and VFM key drivers

                       6%
                       5%
                       4%
                       3%                                                                             Retail LFL
                       2%                                                                             Sales Growth
                       1%
                                                                                                      H108 to Last 8
                       0%
                                                                                                      weeks
                      -1%




                                                      fit for the future
                      -2%
                                 H108          H208           H109          H209         H110*


20 * 8 weeks to June 28th
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                           Operating Review - Retail



                Retail
                Adaptation: continued food sales growth
           LFL sales growth of 4.9%

           Growth per outlet of 11.2%

           Now 35% of sales:
               Space & skills
               Menu & offer
               Value & communication
     36%




     32%




     28%                        Food Sales
                                Share of
                                Total Sales
     24%




21
     20%
              F06        F09
                                        fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                              Operating Review - Retail



         Retail
         VFM: Extended across the business

                                      Introduced Local Savers end Q1

                                      Strong promotional support

                                      Q2 to Q4 LFL sales improved 11.9% pts




     Lowered price by £1 in January

     Strong promotional support



22
     Q4 sales improved 14.5% pts
                                  fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                             Operating Review - Pub Partners



             Pub Partners
             Adaptation: Independence Pub Co starting to deliver

        Industry Issues                           Progress so far

     Tail of estate under pressure         12 Free of Tie Agreements

     Split business to manage              46 Partial Tie Agreements
     tougher environment
                                           25 Disposals
     Total agreement flexibility               1 to licensee, 11 processing
                                               18 to 3rd parties
     Full and partial tie options
                                               6 HAUV
     Options to purchase
                                           39 returned to core estate…fixed
     HAUV
                                           22 fixed but remain in IPC due to
                                           geography




23
                                     fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                       Operating Review - Pub Partners


     Pub Partners
     Targeted operational support


       Front-line support
           Operations Directors now sign-off all new licensees
           Reduced number of pubs per BDM to 44
           Financial support contingent on agreed business plans
           Targeted investment schemes to reposition pub & offer



       Training support
           137 training courses, 1100 attendees
           20 new specialist tenant trainers for on-the-job training
           Mandatory intensive induction course for all new licensees
           First year retention rates up from 70% last year to 88% this year




24
                               fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                             Operating Review - Pub Partners



     Pub Partners
     Targeted financial support
                              £4.1m of rent concessions and product discounts

                              ‘Crunch Time’ guarantees licensee margins

                              Enables licensees to compete more effectively

                              Launched April 2009



                        Phase 2             Average 11.9% uplift




                        Phase 1             Average 13.7% uplift



                                  0%   2%     4%     6%      8%       10%       12%       14%




25
                       fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                       Operating Review - Pub Partners



     Pub Partners
     Licensee health measures stable

                                  F08            F09

     Pubs closed for reopening    17             30


     Cash with order              245            272


     No of TAWs                   131            137


     Average licensee tenure      4 yrs 1 mnth   3 yrs 8 mnths

     No. of licensees receiving
                                  39%            46%
     discounts




26
                             fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                                  Operating Review - Belhaven



             Belhaven
             Continued success built on key points of difference

     Strong growth each year since acquisition
     Fragmented pub market
                                                   35                                                           25%
     Local knowledge vs. competition               30
                                                                                                                20%
     Strong, stable team                           25
                                                                                                                15%



                                           GBP m
                                                   20
     Belhaven Best brand                           15                                                           10%
     Greene King influence                         10
                                                                                                                5%
         Maintained Scottish ‘ownership’            5
                                                    0                                                           0%
         Enhanced purchasing scale
                                                        F05   F06        F07           F08         F09
         Cash for investment
                                                               Operating Profit        Margin
         Drive food % of sales
         Benefits of churn



27
                                       fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                      Operating Review - Belhaven



     Belhaven
     Adaptation: New Eating Inn brand driving food growth

       Seven ex-Retail destination sites
       Converted to Eating Inn in H1: gap in market
       Average weekly sales from £14.3k to £27.3k
       Converting sales to profit at 22%
       Table service additional point of difference
       ROI over 25%
       Further roll out of sites anticipated




28
                            fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                              Operating Review - Brewing Company



                    Brewing Company
                    Consistent strategy for outperformance


     •       High quality beer, helped by       Greene King – Market Share Progression 2002-2008*
             single site brewery
                                               18%
     •       Focused brand
                                               16%
             portfolio…complexity adds
                                               14%
             costs
                                               12%
     •       Brand investment…more than        10%
             any other cask brewer             8%
                                               6%
     •       Cost control
                                               4%
     •       Recruit and retain best people    2%
             in the industry                         2002    2003      2004    2005       2006       2007       2008

     •       Strong customer focus               Total      On-Trade      Off-Trade         Standard           Premium




29
         *BBPA
                                              fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                                    Operating Review - Brewing Company



                             Brewing Company
                             Focused brand portfolio

                            Greene King IPA                                   Old Speckled Hen
             Official beer of England Rugby                            Leading premium ale in off-trade with a
                                                                       13.3% share**
             Leading cask ale with a 20.5% share*
             of the standard cask market                               OSH and Old Crafty Hen both won Gold
                                                                       Medals at prestigious Monde Awards
             Revolution font
                      £1m technology investment
                                                                       £3.6m marketing investment includes
                                                                       sponsoring Prime Time TV on Dave
                      15% ROS uplift vs control sites




30
     *AC Nielsen, On-Trade MAT to March 2009, Standard Cask Ale
     ** AC Nielsen, Off-Trade MAT to April 2009
                                                                  fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                             Operating Review




        Resilient business model for all conditions


                         Value
       Optimise         creative      Targeted       Selective
       organic        investment     acquisition    divestment
      divisional        in core       strategy      of non-core
     performance         assets                        assets




                   Consistent, long-term strategy



31
                          fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                                                                                     Operating Review




             2. Value accretive investment in core assets

                                                                              UK Pub Sector Capex* and Greene King
                                                                                       Share 2007-2009e

     Continued investment in growth                                   1000
     leading to share gains                                                     11%
                                                                      900
                                                                      800
     Major developments; focus on                                                                            16%
                                                                      700

                                                       Capex (GBPm)
     branded, food-led sites
                                                                      600
                                                                      500                                                                    21%
     Increased number of smaller
     schemes in Local Pubs                                            400
                                                                      300
     Selective Pub Partners and                                       200
     Belhaven opportunities                                           100
                                                                         0
                                                                                  F07                           F08                           F09e

                                                                                   UK Pub Sector (ex-Greene King)                 Greene King




32
                                                    fit for the future
                  *F09e based on published company presentations/announcements for a selected group of leading UK pub companies for financial years ending in 2009
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                             Operating Review




        Resilient business model for all conditions


                         Value
       Optimise         creative      Targeted       Selective
       organic        investment     acquisition    divestment
      divisional        in core       strategy      of non-core
     performance         assets                        assets




                   Consistent, long-term strategy



33
                          fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                              Operating Review




     3. Targeted acquisition opportunities


       High quality assets at attractive prices

       Selective approach

       Targeting assets in strategic areas

       Completed acquisition of 11 pubs from Punch
       Taverns on 1 July

       Meet all criteria set out at rights issue
           Freehold, retail, quality
           8x EBITDA of £3.8m
           London and Scotland
           Opportunities for growth




34
                             fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                             Operating Review




        Resilient business model for all conditions


                         Value
       Optimise         creative      Targeted       Selective
       organic        investment     acquisition    divestment
      divisional        in core       strategy      of non-core
     performance         assets                        assets




                   Consistent, long-term strategy



35
                          fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                         Operating Review




                 4. Non-core disposal programme continues



     Strict criteria – lower quality, limited potential, HAUV

     Mainly our ‘D’ rated pubs

     128 pubs and non-trading assets disposed in F09

     Proceeds of £44.2m and net £3.7m above book value

     Market remains slow but there are buyers

     F10 expectation is £20m




36
                                          fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                      Current Trading



     Current trading
     Retail & Brewing strong; Pub Partners trends stable


       Trading is generally encouraging

       Better weather, higher disposable income and…

       …‘self-help’…still the main influence on
       performance

       Retail LFL sales +5.2%

       Pub Partners LFL profit trend stabilised vs. H209

       Belhaven Retail LFL sales +10.2%

       Brewing Company OBV +12.1%




37
                           fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                              Summary




     Summary

      Resilient results in demanding conditions

      Strong balance sheet, healthy cashflow

      Continued investment, dividend maintained

      Rights issue further strengthens competitive position

      More benign in 2009 than expected but
           costs pressures remain
           consumers value focused
           economic/political uncertainty persists

      Current trading encouraging

      Cautious optimism for the future




38
                            fit for the future
Appendix




fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                   Appendix



     Pub estate
     Focus on South East and Scotland


                                        By number of sites




40
                     fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                        Appendix




     Pub estate at year end


                         Managed   Tenanted   Leased     Total


     Local Pubs            449        -         -          449


     Destination Pubs      275        -         -          275


     Loch Fyne             48         -         -          48


     Pub Partners           -       1085       306        1391


     Belhaven              96         48       181         325


     Total                 868      1266       354        2488




41
                        fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                                                  Appendix




     Additional information

      FY09 average number of shares in issue 133.7m

      Rights Issue
          Closing price at issue 566p
          Rights terms 3 for 5
          Subscription price 270p
          TERP 455p
          Discount to TERP 40.7%
          Bonus element 1.246

      FY09 adjustments for effect of rights issue
          Avg shares restated to 166.6m
          EPS of 66.5p restated as 53.4p
          Interim dividend per share 7.3p to 5.9p
          Proposed final dividend 15.1p per share
          Proposed total dividend per share 7.3p interim paid plus 15.1p proposed = 22.4p, restated
          as 21.0p on full year

      0910 expected number of shares


                              fit for the future
          FY10 average shares 210.6m
          Year end 214.2m


42
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                            Appendix




         Quarterly debt service schedule

     £




43
                       fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                         Appendix




     Securitisation debt profile
                                        Principal
                                                      Step-up         Final
     Tranche          Type    Rating   outstanding
                                                       Date        Maturity Date
                                        03/05/09
     A1               FRN          A      150.0      March 2012      June 2031

     A2               Fixed        A      276.1           -          Sept 2031

     A3               FRN          A      151.8      June 2013       Sept 2021

     A4               Fixed        A      265.0           -         March 2034

     A5               FRN          A      286.3      June 2013        Dec 2033

     AB1              FRN      BBB+       60.0       June 2013      March 2036

     B1               Fixed    BBB        130.0      March 2020       Dec 2034

     B2               FRN      BBB        115.0      June 2013      March 2036



                    fit for the future
                                         1,434.2
     Total


44
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                                  Appendix




     Greene King Retail

     52 weeks                             07/08     08/09    Change

     Average number of outlets trading    801       779       -2.7%

     Revenue                             £567.7m   £569.5m    +0.3%

     EBITDA                              £145.1m   £139.8m    -3.6%

     Operating profit                    £114.3m   £105.6m    -7.6%

     Operating profit margin             20.1%     18.5%     -1.6%pts



     Revenue per outlet                   £709k     £731k     +3.2%

     Operating profit per outlet          £143k     £136k     -5.0%

     Underlying Pub operating profit
                                         20.8%     19.6%     -1.2%pts
     margin



45
                                   fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                                  Appendix




     Pub Partners

     52 Weeks                          07/08     08/09    Change

     Average number of pubs trading    1,443     1,445      NC

     Revenue                          £164.0m   £155.2m    -5.4%

     EBITDA                           £86.5m    £78.1m     -9.7%

     Operating profit                 £79.9m    £70.9m    -11.3%

     Operating profit margin          48.7%     45.7%     -3.0%pts



     EBITDA per pub                    £60k      £54k      -9.7%

     Operating profit per pub          £55k      £49k     -11.4%




46
                                fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                            Appendix




     Belhaven

     52 Weeks                       07/08     08/09    Change

     Average no. of pubs trading    306       323       +5.6%


     Revenue                       £123.7m   £136.0m    +9.9%


     EBITDA                        £31.1m    £34.9m    +12.2%


     Operating profit              £27.0m    £30.2m    +11.9%


     Operating profit margin       21.8%     22.2%     +0.4%pts




47
                               fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                                             Appendix




                         Brewing Company


                         52 Weeks                     07/08    08/09    Change

                         Revenue                      £86.8m   £93.9m    +8.2%


                         Operating profit             £21.2m   £21.2m     NC


                         Operating profit margin      24.4%    22.6%    -1.8%pts



                         Own-brewed volume                               +1.8%


                          UK ale market*                                 -5.6%




48 * BBPA, MAT to April 2009
                                                   fit for the future
Preliminary Results 2008/9
                                                                           Appendix




     Capital expenditure

                                      07/08       08/09
                                    (53 weeks)   (52 weeks)


     Greene King Retail              £54.3m      £54.2m

     Pub Partners                    £18.7m      £11.0m

     Brewing Company                 £3.5m        £2.1m

     Belhaven                        £13.0m      £10.6m

     Corporate                       £0.9m        £0.2m

     Sub-total                       £90.4m      £78.1m

     Single site acquisitions        £17.5m       £6.4m

     Total                          £107.9m      £84.5m




49
                                fit for the future

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Q2 2009 Earning Report of Greene King Plc

  • 1. Preliminary Results 2008/09 52 weeks to 3 May 2009 fit for the future
  • 2. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Overview Overview Resilient results and market share gains Difficult trading conditions Economic and political uncertainty Constant evolution of model to meet changing market demands Only major player to pay down debt, continue investment, maintain dividends Rights issue further strengthens position Current trading encouraging 2 fit for the future
  • 3. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Financial Review Resilient performance in challenging conditions 52 Weeks 07/08 08/09 Change Revenue £942.3m £954.6m +1.3% Operating profit* £231.8m £216.2m -6.7% Operating margin* 24.6% 22.6% -2.0%pts Profit before tax* £139.4m £118.5m -15.0% Adjusted earnings per share* 72.6p 66.5p -8.4% Adjusted for rights issue Adjusted earnings per share 58.3p 53.4p -8.4% Dividend per share 20.9p 21.0p NC 3 fit for the future •As throughout this document, profit numbers are shown before exceptional items
  • 4. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Financial Review Retail Industry-leading sales growth and margins Operating Profit Margins 21% Last year 18% LFL sales growth of 1.7% This year 15% Food now 35% of sales 12% Gross margins stable 9% Industry-leading operating 6% margins 3% 0% Greene King Marstons M&B JDW Punch 4 Source: Company Information fit for the future Greene King F09, Marston’s H109, M&B H109, JDW H109, Punch H109
  • 5. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Financial Review Retail Robust underlying performance 120 115 2.2 2.2 GBP m 110 3.9 116.5 2.6 105 105.6 100 F08 53rd w eek Disposals & Utilities Machine F09 Operating Transfers Income Operating Profit Profit 5 fit for the future
  • 6. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Financial Review Retail Realism on costs; continuous focus on cost mitigation and reduction Gross cost inflation Food, drinks & utilities have Mitigation seen major increases over 14 last 2 years 12.4 12.0 11.8 12 Sustained mitigation through 10.2 10 9.3 Food projects GBP m 8.1 Drinks purchasing 8 Electricity metering Overhead reduction 6 4 F10 expect slight easing £/€/$ pressure 2 H1 more prone than H2 0 F08 F09 F10e 6 fit for the future
  • 7. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Financial Review Pub Partners Adapting & stabilising during a tough year £m F08 Reported EBITDA 88.2 53rd Week -1.7 F08 Comparable EBITDA 86.5 Disposals, Transfers & Acquisitions +0.8 Tenant Support -4.1 Underlying Trading -3.3 Overhead Savings +0.8 F09 Comparable EBITDA 80.7 Balance Sheet Prudence -1.9 Strengthening the Model -0.7 F09 Actual EBITDA 78.1 7 fit for the future
  • 8. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Financial Review Pub Partners Adapting & stabilising during a tough year Average EBITDA per Pub -9.7% Balance sheet prudence -£1.9m - Prudent valuations appropriate to market circumstances Strengthening the model -£0.7m - Investment in people and processes Underlying EBITDA per Pub -6.7% 8 fit for the future
  • 9. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Financial Review Belhaven A ‘milestone’ year 9.9% revenue growth Belhaven F09 Profit Split 11.9% profit growth Managed Brewing Hit £30m milestone profit level Profit growth in all businesses Retail LFL sales +5.4% Solid tenanted performance Free trade share gains and margins better Tenanted 9 fit for the future
  • 10. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Financial Review Brewing Company Strong performance despite market and cost pressures Very strong H2, good turnaround from H1 Organic volume growth and share gains H2 revenue growth to give 8.2% overall growth H2 margins only 80bps behind last year, despite utility, fuel and raw material cost pressures Operating profit flat year over year 520,000 8% 500,000 480,000 6% Volume 460,000 440,000 4% 420,000 2% 400,000 380,000 0% F05 F06 F07 F08 F09 10 fit for the future Own Brewed Volume Annual Growth
  • 11. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Financial Review Positive free cash flow with investment maintained 08/09 52 weeks EBITDA £267.3m Working capital £0.9m Other movements -£1.1m Net interest -£94.5m Tax paid -£24.9m Capital expenditure (ex-single site acquisitions) -£89.1m Dividend -£34.9m £23.7m Disposals net of single site acquisitions £37.5m Exceptional items -£14.3m Net debt repayment £46.9m 11 fit for the future
  • 12. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Financial Review Continuing investment for growth Retail held flat YOY at £54.2m F09 Capital Investment Targeted investment in Pub Single Site Partners and Belhaven Acquisitions Belhaven Core investment £78m Brewing continued, only slightly lower Company than last year Reduction in single site acquisitions Retail Pub Partners Expansionary 40% of total Additional £12.4m through P&L 12 fit for the future
  • 13. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Financial Review Dividend maintained Unique amongst major players in sector Dividend per Share 2001-2009* 25 Only major player to have maintained dividend in current environment DPS (p per share) 20 Proposed final dividend 15.1p 15 held flat over last year* Full year proposed dividend of 10 21.0p against 20.9p* last year 5 Expect to target 2x dividend cover 0 fit for the future F01 F02 F03 F04 F05 F06 F07 F08 F09 13 *Adjusted for the rights issue
  • 14. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Financial Review Continued balance sheet flexibility Securitisation 2032 out of 2488 pubs securitised Debt service coverage (DSCR) of 1.5x Restricted payments below 1.3x, Covenant at 1.1x -£46.9m 1800 1605.5 1558.6 Net Worth at £390m against covenant of £140m 1600 182.4 1400 548.0 £23m amortisation of bonds with steady debt service 1200 G BP m 1000 800 1376.2 600 1057.5 400 200 Bank facility 0 £400m syndicated bank facility committed until April 2012 F08 F09 £245m drawn at year end plus £79m net cash at bank Securitisation Bank Net Debt/EBITDA covenant 5.5x, 2.1x at year end 14 fit for the future
  • 15. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Financial Review Credit metrics have improved post rights issue F09 Pro-forma F08 F09 for rights issue Net Debt/EBITDA 5.7x 5.8x 5.1x Fixed Charge Cover 2.3x 2.1x 2.4x % Debt Fixed 97% 98% 100% FCF DSCR 1.8x 1.5x 1.5x Average Interest Rate 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 15 fit for the future
  • 16. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Operating Review Tough conditions driving sector polarisation Recession exposing weaknesses Leading to investment cut backs, reduced dividends & asset disposals Stronger models driving market share gains Trends to accelerate going forward Greene King; a strong player, taking share and improving returns 16 fit for the future
  • 17. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Operating Review Resilient business model for all conditions Value Optimise creative Targeted Selective organic investment acquisition divestment divisional in core strategy of non-core performance assets assets Consistent, long-term strategy 17 fit for the future
  • 18. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Operating Review Resilient business model for all conditions Value Optimise creative Targeted Selective organic investment acquisition divestment divisional in core strategy of non-core performance assets assets Consistent, long-term strategy 18 fit for the future
  • 19. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Operating Review Optimising organic divisional performance Adaptation of the divisional models Value for money, supported by improved standards and service Tight cost control Raising the performance bar of our people Improving operational controls and compliance 19 fit for the future
  • 20. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Operating Review - Retail Retail Adaptation: Segmentation driving improved performance Destination & Local Pubs split; first major ‘change’ To get closer to customers, increase focus and efficiency Branded, food-led, controlled vs. unbranded, wet-led, entrepreneurial Now seeing industry-best LFL sales growth Food and VFM key drivers 6% 5% 4% 3% Retail LFL 2% Sales Growth 1% H108 to Last 8 0% weeks -1% fit for the future -2% H108 H208 H109 H209 H110* 20 * 8 weeks to June 28th
  • 21. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Operating Review - Retail Retail Adaptation: continued food sales growth LFL sales growth of 4.9% Growth per outlet of 11.2% Now 35% of sales: Space & skills Menu & offer Value & communication 36% 32% 28% Food Sales Share of Total Sales 24% 21 20% F06 F09 fit for the future
  • 22. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Operating Review - Retail Retail VFM: Extended across the business Introduced Local Savers end Q1 Strong promotional support Q2 to Q4 LFL sales improved 11.9% pts Lowered price by £1 in January Strong promotional support 22 Q4 sales improved 14.5% pts fit for the future
  • 23. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Operating Review - Pub Partners Pub Partners Adaptation: Independence Pub Co starting to deliver Industry Issues Progress so far Tail of estate under pressure 12 Free of Tie Agreements Split business to manage 46 Partial Tie Agreements tougher environment 25 Disposals Total agreement flexibility 1 to licensee, 11 processing 18 to 3rd parties Full and partial tie options 6 HAUV Options to purchase 39 returned to core estate…fixed HAUV 22 fixed but remain in IPC due to geography 23 fit for the future
  • 24. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Operating Review - Pub Partners Pub Partners Targeted operational support Front-line support Operations Directors now sign-off all new licensees Reduced number of pubs per BDM to 44 Financial support contingent on agreed business plans Targeted investment schemes to reposition pub & offer Training support 137 training courses, 1100 attendees 20 new specialist tenant trainers for on-the-job training Mandatory intensive induction course for all new licensees First year retention rates up from 70% last year to 88% this year 24 fit for the future
  • 25. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Operating Review - Pub Partners Pub Partners Targeted financial support £4.1m of rent concessions and product discounts ‘Crunch Time’ guarantees licensee margins Enables licensees to compete more effectively Launched April 2009 Phase 2 Average 11.9% uplift Phase 1 Average 13.7% uplift 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 25 fit for the future
  • 26. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Operating Review - Pub Partners Pub Partners Licensee health measures stable F08 F09 Pubs closed for reopening 17 30 Cash with order 245 272 No of TAWs 131 137 Average licensee tenure 4 yrs 1 mnth 3 yrs 8 mnths No. of licensees receiving 39% 46% discounts 26 fit for the future
  • 27. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Operating Review - Belhaven Belhaven Continued success built on key points of difference Strong growth each year since acquisition Fragmented pub market 35 25% Local knowledge vs. competition 30 20% Strong, stable team 25 15% GBP m 20 Belhaven Best brand 15 10% Greene King influence 10 5% Maintained Scottish ‘ownership’ 5 0 0% Enhanced purchasing scale F05 F06 F07 F08 F09 Cash for investment Operating Profit Margin Drive food % of sales Benefits of churn 27 fit for the future
  • 28. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Operating Review - Belhaven Belhaven Adaptation: New Eating Inn brand driving food growth Seven ex-Retail destination sites Converted to Eating Inn in H1: gap in market Average weekly sales from £14.3k to £27.3k Converting sales to profit at 22% Table service additional point of difference ROI over 25% Further roll out of sites anticipated 28 fit for the future
  • 29. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Operating Review - Brewing Company Brewing Company Consistent strategy for outperformance • High quality beer, helped by Greene King – Market Share Progression 2002-2008* single site brewery 18% • Focused brand 16% portfolio…complexity adds 14% costs 12% • Brand investment…more than 10% any other cask brewer 8% 6% • Cost control 4% • Recruit and retain best people 2% in the industry 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 • Strong customer focus Total On-Trade Off-Trade Standard Premium 29 *BBPA fit for the future
  • 30. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Operating Review - Brewing Company Brewing Company Focused brand portfolio Greene King IPA Old Speckled Hen Official beer of England Rugby Leading premium ale in off-trade with a 13.3% share** Leading cask ale with a 20.5% share* of the standard cask market OSH and Old Crafty Hen both won Gold Medals at prestigious Monde Awards Revolution font £1m technology investment £3.6m marketing investment includes sponsoring Prime Time TV on Dave 15% ROS uplift vs control sites 30 *AC Nielsen, On-Trade MAT to March 2009, Standard Cask Ale ** AC Nielsen, Off-Trade MAT to April 2009 fit for the future
  • 31. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Operating Review Resilient business model for all conditions Value Optimise creative Targeted Selective organic investment acquisition divestment divisional in core strategy of non-core performance assets assets Consistent, long-term strategy 31 fit for the future
  • 32. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Operating Review 2. Value accretive investment in core assets UK Pub Sector Capex* and Greene King Share 2007-2009e Continued investment in growth 1000 leading to share gains 11% 900 800 Major developments; focus on 16% 700 Capex (GBPm) branded, food-led sites 600 500 21% Increased number of smaller schemes in Local Pubs 400 300 Selective Pub Partners and 200 Belhaven opportunities 100 0 F07 F08 F09e UK Pub Sector (ex-Greene King) Greene King 32 fit for the future *F09e based on published company presentations/announcements for a selected group of leading UK pub companies for financial years ending in 2009
  • 33. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Operating Review Resilient business model for all conditions Value Optimise creative Targeted Selective organic investment acquisition divestment divisional in core strategy of non-core performance assets assets Consistent, long-term strategy 33 fit for the future
  • 34. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Operating Review 3. Targeted acquisition opportunities High quality assets at attractive prices Selective approach Targeting assets in strategic areas Completed acquisition of 11 pubs from Punch Taverns on 1 July Meet all criteria set out at rights issue Freehold, retail, quality 8x EBITDA of £3.8m London and Scotland Opportunities for growth 34 fit for the future
  • 35. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Operating Review Resilient business model for all conditions Value Optimise creative Targeted Selective organic investment acquisition divestment divisional in core strategy of non-core performance assets assets Consistent, long-term strategy 35 fit for the future
  • 36. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Operating Review 4. Non-core disposal programme continues Strict criteria – lower quality, limited potential, HAUV Mainly our ‘D’ rated pubs 128 pubs and non-trading assets disposed in F09 Proceeds of £44.2m and net £3.7m above book value Market remains slow but there are buyers F10 expectation is £20m 36 fit for the future
  • 37. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Current Trading Current trading Retail & Brewing strong; Pub Partners trends stable Trading is generally encouraging Better weather, higher disposable income and… …‘self-help’…still the main influence on performance Retail LFL sales +5.2% Pub Partners LFL profit trend stabilised vs. H209 Belhaven Retail LFL sales +10.2% Brewing Company OBV +12.1% 37 fit for the future
  • 38. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Summary Summary Resilient results in demanding conditions Strong balance sheet, healthy cashflow Continued investment, dividend maintained Rights issue further strengthens competitive position More benign in 2009 than expected but costs pressures remain consumers value focused economic/political uncertainty persists Current trading encouraging Cautious optimism for the future 38 fit for the future
  • 40. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Appendix Pub estate Focus on South East and Scotland By number of sites 40 fit for the future
  • 41. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Appendix Pub estate at year end Managed Tenanted Leased Total Local Pubs 449 - - 449 Destination Pubs 275 - - 275 Loch Fyne 48 - - 48 Pub Partners - 1085 306 1391 Belhaven 96 48 181 325 Total 868 1266 354 2488 41 fit for the future
  • 42. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Appendix Additional information FY09 average number of shares in issue 133.7m Rights Issue Closing price at issue 566p Rights terms 3 for 5 Subscription price 270p TERP 455p Discount to TERP 40.7% Bonus element 1.246 FY09 adjustments for effect of rights issue Avg shares restated to 166.6m EPS of 66.5p restated as 53.4p Interim dividend per share 7.3p to 5.9p Proposed final dividend 15.1p per share Proposed total dividend per share 7.3p interim paid plus 15.1p proposed = 22.4p, restated as 21.0p on full year 0910 expected number of shares fit for the future FY10 average shares 210.6m Year end 214.2m 42
  • 43. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Appendix Quarterly debt service schedule £ 43 fit for the future
  • 44. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Appendix Securitisation debt profile Principal Step-up Final Tranche Type Rating outstanding Date Maturity Date 03/05/09 A1 FRN A 150.0 March 2012 June 2031 A2 Fixed A 276.1 - Sept 2031 A3 FRN A 151.8 June 2013 Sept 2021 A4 Fixed A 265.0 - March 2034 A5 FRN A 286.3 June 2013 Dec 2033 AB1 FRN BBB+ 60.0 June 2013 March 2036 B1 Fixed BBB 130.0 March 2020 Dec 2034 B2 FRN BBB 115.0 June 2013 March 2036 fit for the future 1,434.2 Total 44
  • 45. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Appendix Greene King Retail 52 weeks 07/08 08/09 Change Average number of outlets trading 801 779 -2.7% Revenue £567.7m £569.5m +0.3% EBITDA £145.1m £139.8m -3.6% Operating profit £114.3m £105.6m -7.6% Operating profit margin 20.1% 18.5% -1.6%pts Revenue per outlet £709k £731k +3.2% Operating profit per outlet £143k £136k -5.0% Underlying Pub operating profit 20.8% 19.6% -1.2%pts margin 45 fit for the future
  • 46. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Appendix Pub Partners 52 Weeks 07/08 08/09 Change Average number of pubs trading 1,443 1,445 NC Revenue £164.0m £155.2m -5.4% EBITDA £86.5m £78.1m -9.7% Operating profit £79.9m £70.9m -11.3% Operating profit margin 48.7% 45.7% -3.0%pts EBITDA per pub £60k £54k -9.7% Operating profit per pub £55k £49k -11.4% 46 fit for the future
  • 47. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Appendix Belhaven 52 Weeks 07/08 08/09 Change Average no. of pubs trading 306 323 +5.6% Revenue £123.7m £136.0m +9.9% EBITDA £31.1m £34.9m +12.2% Operating profit £27.0m £30.2m +11.9% Operating profit margin 21.8% 22.2% +0.4%pts 47 fit for the future
  • 48. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Appendix Brewing Company 52 Weeks 07/08 08/09 Change Revenue £86.8m £93.9m +8.2% Operating profit £21.2m £21.2m NC Operating profit margin 24.4% 22.6% -1.8%pts Own-brewed volume +1.8% UK ale market* -5.6% 48 * BBPA, MAT to April 2009 fit for the future
  • 49. Preliminary Results 2008/9 Appendix Capital expenditure 07/08 08/09 (53 weeks) (52 weeks) Greene King Retail £54.3m £54.2m Pub Partners £18.7m £11.0m Brewing Company £3.5m £2.1m Belhaven £13.0m £10.6m Corporate £0.9m £0.2m Sub-total £90.4m £78.1m Single site acquisitions £17.5m £6.4m Total £107.9m £84.5m 49 fit for the future