Agricultural growth in Africa has slowed in recent years, threatening progress toward ending hunger. While agricultural output and value-added doubled between 2000-2017, and poverty and malnutrition declined, growth has stagnated since 2015. Public agricultural expenditures have stalled or declined across most of Africa since 2015, except in North Africa. Key indicators are now showing signs of decline for the first time in decades. Continued policy renewal and higher investments are needed to get back on track towards achieving the Malabo goal of ending hunger in Africa.

1. WWW.AKADEMIYA2063.ORG
PROGRESS'TOWARDS'
THE'MALABO'GOAL'OF'ENDING'HUNGER
Ousmane'Badiane
Executive'Chairperson

2. PROGRESS'TOWARDS'
THE'MALABO'GOAL'OF'ENDING'HUNGER
Where%Are%We%Making%Progress%
How%Far%Have%We%Come%
What%Is%Left%To%Be%Done

3. Rising&Agricultural&Value&added&(2010$) Rising&Intra&African&Agricultural&Trade&(2010$)
Rising&Agricultural&Value&Added&/&ha&(2010$) Rising&Agricultural&Value&Added&/&Worker&(2010$)

4. 0.9
1.1
1.3
1.5
1.7
1.9
2.1
2.3
2.5
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
East%Asia%&%Pacific Europe%&%Central%Asia Latin%America%&%Caribbean
Middle%East%&%North%Africa North%America South%Asia
Sub<Saharan%Africa
African(Has(The(Fastest(Growing(Agricultural(Sector(in(2000s
MORE0THAN0DOUBLED:0Agricultural0value0added0index,02000H20170(1=2000)

5. 1995:%%$8.7B%
2019:%%$21B
Change:%+%145%
PAE$in$constant$2010$US$
MORE%THAN%DOUBLED:%Annual%Public%agriculture%expenditure%(PAE)

6. 21.1%%(1995)
17.3%%(2003)%
11.8%%(2019)
Intensity(or(depth(of poverty
47.8%%(1995),%
42.7% (2003),%
34.4%%(2019)
Level(of(Poverty(Prevalence
30%%DECLINE:%Average%Poverty%Rate%(Less%1.90$)
50%%DECLINE:%Average%Poverty%Rate%(Less%1.90$)

7. 400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
1,100
1961
1963
1965
1967
1969
1971
1973
1975
1977
1979
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019
2021
2023
2025
Agricultural5Output5Per5Worker5
(2004>065constant5$)
Year
Ag5output5per5worker5actual,5SSA>ZAF 1960s5growth5path
$612
$790
$1,135
1.2%5annual5
growth5rate
3.8%5annual5growth5
rate
to5catch5up
Recent5growth5has5not5made5up5for5the5lost5decades
GOOD5PROGRESS5…….5……5……5FAR5FROM5ENOUGH

8. African(economies(
have(failed(to(sustained(
the(strong(growth(of(
the(last(decade
1.45%
3.06%
1.12%
0.15%
1995?2002 2003?2008 2009?2014 2015?2019
GDP(per(capita((Growth(
has(Slowed(Significantly
BACK(TO(GROWTH(STAGNATION?

9. 4.7%:&&&&1995*2002;&
6.3%:&&&&2003*2008&
3.2%:&&&&2009*2014
3.6%&&&&&2015*2019
Rate&of&growth&of&PAE&Now&<&late&1990s Rising&PAE&But&Not&Fast&Enough
Share&of&PAE&Still&<&40&Percent&of&Target&(10%)& PAE&as&Share&of&Value&Added&Remained&Flat&

10. GDP$Per$Capita$Has$Stagnated$Since$2015,$Except$in$North$Africa)$

11. Malnutrition*Levels*Are*Edging*Up*Again*

12. PAE$Stalled$or$Declining$Since$2015,$Except$in$North$Africa)$

13. Government)Debt)Levels)Are)Edging)Up)Again)

14. PROGRESS'TOWARDS'
THE'MALABO'GOAL'OF'ENDING'HUNGER
There%has%been%good%progress%until%5%years%ago%
Progress%has%slowed%significantly%after%2015
Signs%of%decline%for%the%first%time%since%200s
We#are#veering#off#track
Continue%Policy%Renewal%
Boost%investments%

15. THANK&YOU
AKADEMIYA2063,– Kicukiro /,Niboye KK,360,St,8,I,P.O.,Box,4729,KigaliGRwanda
DATA$SOURCE:$$WWW.RESAKSS.ORG