The document analyzes the evolution of the Afghan Taliban, noting signs of moderation including reversing bans on education, social media, and peace negotiations with the Afghan government. It describes the decentralized structure led by Mullah Omar and the Quetta Shura council. While the Taliban remains a lethal insurgency, the document suggests engagement in peace talks could further moderate the group by incorporating it into Afghan civic institutions. However, failing to engage could risk further fragmentation with disaffected commanders possibly defecting to ISIS in Afghanistan and Pakistan.