SlideShare a Scribd company logo
Simulation and Theory of Bacterial Transformation
JD Russo, Jiajia Dong
Department of Physics and Astronomy, Bucknell University
Introduction
The threat of antibiotic resistant bacteria is becoming more ubiquitous, even among well-
controlled diseases such as tuberculosis. Main mechanisms for the emergence of antibiotic
resistance include conjugation and transformation. We focus on the effect of transformation.
We use a combined approach of Kinetic Monte Carlo simulation and mathematical model-
ing to explore interplay among growth (b), death (δ), transformation (α), and plasmid
availability (P). Numerically modelling the populations with their associated differential
equations provides information about long-term population behavior, while K.M.C. simulation
provides information about dynamics.
We study differential growth and transformation to determine what most affects whether
the susceptible or resistant population dominates.
Biological Background
Plasmids are small independently replicating genetic materials, often including DNA segments
encoding antibiotic resistance.
Through transformation a cell can incorporate a physical plasmid and translate the encoded
genes. However, this often comes with a small fitness cost to the carrying cell, typically manifesting
as a longer doubling time.
Plasmid
Bacteria
Transformation
Simulation Methods
We examine the susceptible (S) and resistant (R) populations with a combined approach of
numerical modeling methods and Kinetic Monte Carlo simulation.
Kinetic Monte Carlo simulation allows us to capture information about the dynamics of the
populations. We implement the Gillespie algorithm, which consists of the following steps:
Calculate reaction
propensities
Choose reaction from
probability distribution
Choose time step length from
exponential distribution
Trigger reaction,
update population
We assume a well-mixed environment, a fixed carrying capacity K, and that reproduction occurs
symmetrically for both S and R. This does not conserve total plasmid number.
Constant α
0.05 0.11 0.17
0.9
1.
1.1
α
bS/bR
1
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
S/R
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
Simulation time (minutes)
103
104
Populationsize
Parameters
α .13 bS
bR
1.07
S0 103
R0 103
P0 104
K 104
Susceptible
Resistant
Reactions
S
bS
→ 2S
S
α
→ R
R
bR
→ 2R
R
δ
→ ∅
Equations
dS
dt
= bS 1 −
S + R
K
S − αS
dR
dt
= bR 1 −
S + R
K
R + αS − δR
Linear α
0.2 0.35 0.5
0.9
1.
1.1
α
bS/bR
1
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
S/R
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
Simulation time (minutes)
103
104
Populationsize
Parameters
α .3 bS
bR
1.07
S0 103
R0 103
P0 104
K 104
Susceptible
Resistant
Reactions
S
bS
→ 2S
S + P
α
→ R
R
bR
→ 2R
R
δ
→ ∅
Equations
dS
dt
= bS 1 −
S + R
K
S − α
P
P0
S
dR
dt
= bR 1 −
S + R
K
R + α
P
P0
S − δR
dP
dt
= −α
P
P0
S
Recycled α
0.05 0.11 0.17
0.9
1.
1.1
α
bS/bR
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
1 S/R
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
Simulation time (minutes)
103
104
Populationsize
Parameters
α .13 bS
bR
1.07
S0 103
R0 103
P0 104
K 104
Susceptible
Resistant
Reactions
S
bS
→ 2S
S + P
α
→ R
R
bR
→ 2R
R
δ
→ ∅ + P
Equations
dS
dt
= bS 1 −
S + R
K
S − α
P
P0
S
dR
dt
= bR 1 −
S + R
K
R + α
P
P0
S − δR
dP
dt
= −α
P
P0
S + δR
Conclusions
We aimed to determine what most heavily impacts R or S population dominance.
We found that the transition point where the dominant population switches depends heavily on both transformation rate and mechanism.
In the constant case, long-term steady state behavior can be seen.
Both the linear and recycled cases present examples of population extinction. In the linear case, the S population invariably dominates,
as plasmids are never replenished. In the recycled case, plasmid abundance enables the R population to eventually outgrow the S.
In addition, only the linear case shows significant sensitivity to the ratio of growth rates bS/bR.
Future Work
Currently, this simulation assumes well-mixed populations of S, R, and P. A more realistic simulation
could account for spatial configuration by simulating on a lattice.
Simulating adding antibiotics to the environment could reveal situations where increased surviv-
ability outweighs the fitness cost of carrying a plasmid.
Changing R division to an asymmetric scheme (R → R+S) would yield a conserved total plasmid
number.
Acknowledgements
We would like to acknowledge the generous support provided
to us by the National Science Foundation through the NSF
grant NSF-DMR #1248387.

More Related Content

Similar to poster

popgrowth.ppt
popgrowth.pptpopgrowth.ppt
popgrowth.ppt
VivekChauhan516259
 
popgrowth.ppt
popgrowth.pptpopgrowth.ppt
popgrowth.ppt
brendontodal
 
Xie et al 2016 risk analysis
Xie et al 2016 risk analysisXie et al 2016 risk analysis
Xie et al 2016 risk analysis
Maria Isabel
 
Ecmtb2014 vascular patterning
Ecmtb2014 vascular patterningEcmtb2014 vascular patterning
Ecmtb2014 vascular patterning
University of Oxford, Moffitt Cancer Center
 
American Statistical Association October 23 2009 Presentation Part 1
American Statistical Association October 23 2009 Presentation Part 1American Statistical Association October 23 2009 Presentation Part 1
American Statistical Association October 23 2009 Presentation Part 1
Double Check ĆŐNSULTING
 
American Statistical Association October 23 Minneapolis Presentation Part 2
American Statistical Association October 23 Minneapolis Presentation Part 2American Statistical Association October 23 Minneapolis Presentation Part 2
American Statistical Association October 23 Minneapolis Presentation Part 2
Double Check ĆŐNSULTING
 
Dynamic Fractionation in Radiotherapy
Dynamic Fractionation in RadiotherapyDynamic Fractionation in Radiotherapy
Dynamic Fractionation in Radiotherapyajjitchandran
 
Top of Form1. Stream quality is based on the levels of many .docx
Top of Form1. Stream quality is based on the levels of many .docxTop of Form1. Stream quality is based on the levels of many .docx
Top of Form1. Stream quality is based on the levels of many .docx
edwardmarivel
 
Structure based computer aided drug design
Structure based computer aided drug designStructure based computer aided drug design
Structure based computer aided drug design
Thanh Truong
 
SSP talk
SSP talkSSP talk
Count data analysis
Count data analysisCount data analysis
Count data analysis
Walkite Furgasa
 
20080620 Formal systems/synthetic biology modelling re-engineered
20080620 Formal systems/synthetic biology modelling re-engineered20080620 Formal systems/synthetic biology modelling re-engineered
20080620 Formal systems/synthetic biology modelling re-engineered
Jonathan Blakes
 
Reservoirs & Graphs
Reservoirs & GraphsReservoirs & Graphs
Reservoirs & Graphs
Riccardo Rigon
 
A stage-structured delayed advection reaction-diffusion model for single spec...
A stage-structured delayed advection reaction-diffusion model for single spec...A stage-structured delayed advection reaction-diffusion model for single spec...
A stage-structured delayed advection reaction-diffusion model for single spec...
IJECEIAES
 
2014DynamicsDaysPoster_Jie
2014DynamicsDaysPoster_Jie2014DynamicsDaysPoster_Jie
2014DynamicsDaysPoster_JieZhao Jie
 
13roafis (1).pdf
13roafis (1).pdf13roafis (1).pdf
13roafis (1).pdf
workshopmanual
 
ProjectWriteupforClass (3)
ProjectWriteupforClass (3)ProjectWriteupforClass (3)
ProjectWriteupforClass (3)Jeff Lail
 

Similar to poster (20)

ppt
pptppt
ppt
 
popgrowth.ppt
popgrowth.pptpopgrowth.ppt
popgrowth.ppt
 
popgrowth.ppt
popgrowth.pptpopgrowth.ppt
popgrowth.ppt
 
Xie et al 2016 risk analysis
Xie et al 2016 risk analysisXie et al 2016 risk analysis
Xie et al 2016 risk analysis
 
Ecmtb2014 vascular patterning
Ecmtb2014 vascular patterningEcmtb2014 vascular patterning
Ecmtb2014 vascular patterning
 
American Statistical Association October 23 2009 Presentation Part 1
American Statistical Association October 23 2009 Presentation Part 1American Statistical Association October 23 2009 Presentation Part 1
American Statistical Association October 23 2009 Presentation Part 1
 
SmithOSM20160226
SmithOSM20160226SmithOSM20160226
SmithOSM20160226
 
2016 Poster
2016 Poster2016 Poster
2016 Poster
 
American Statistical Association October 23 Minneapolis Presentation Part 2
American Statistical Association October 23 Minneapolis Presentation Part 2American Statistical Association October 23 Minneapolis Presentation Part 2
American Statistical Association October 23 Minneapolis Presentation Part 2
 
Dynamic Fractionation in Radiotherapy
Dynamic Fractionation in RadiotherapyDynamic Fractionation in Radiotherapy
Dynamic Fractionation in Radiotherapy
 
Top of Form1. Stream quality is based on the levels of many .docx
Top of Form1. Stream quality is based on the levels of many .docxTop of Form1. Stream quality is based on the levels of many .docx
Top of Form1. Stream quality is based on the levels of many .docx
 
Structure based computer aided drug design
Structure based computer aided drug designStructure based computer aided drug design
Structure based computer aided drug design
 
SSP talk
SSP talkSSP talk
SSP talk
 
Count data analysis
Count data analysisCount data analysis
Count data analysis
 
20080620 Formal systems/synthetic biology modelling re-engineered
20080620 Formal systems/synthetic biology modelling re-engineered20080620 Formal systems/synthetic biology modelling re-engineered
20080620 Formal systems/synthetic biology modelling re-engineered
 
Reservoirs & Graphs
Reservoirs & GraphsReservoirs & Graphs
Reservoirs & Graphs
 
A stage-structured delayed advection reaction-diffusion model for single spec...
A stage-structured delayed advection reaction-diffusion model for single spec...A stage-structured delayed advection reaction-diffusion model for single spec...
A stage-structured delayed advection reaction-diffusion model for single spec...
 
2014DynamicsDaysPoster_Jie
2014DynamicsDaysPoster_Jie2014DynamicsDaysPoster_Jie
2014DynamicsDaysPoster_Jie
 
13roafis (1).pdf
13roafis (1).pdf13roafis (1).pdf
13roafis (1).pdf
 
ProjectWriteupforClass (3)
ProjectWriteupforClass (3)ProjectWriteupforClass (3)
ProjectWriteupforClass (3)
 

poster

  • 1. Simulation and Theory of Bacterial Transformation JD Russo, Jiajia Dong Department of Physics and Astronomy, Bucknell University Introduction The threat of antibiotic resistant bacteria is becoming more ubiquitous, even among well- controlled diseases such as tuberculosis. Main mechanisms for the emergence of antibiotic resistance include conjugation and transformation. We focus on the effect of transformation. We use a combined approach of Kinetic Monte Carlo simulation and mathematical model- ing to explore interplay among growth (b), death (δ), transformation (α), and plasmid availability (P). Numerically modelling the populations with their associated differential equations provides information about long-term population behavior, while K.M.C. simulation provides information about dynamics. We study differential growth and transformation to determine what most affects whether the susceptible or resistant population dominates. Biological Background Plasmids are small independently replicating genetic materials, often including DNA segments encoding antibiotic resistance. Through transformation a cell can incorporate a physical plasmid and translate the encoded genes. However, this often comes with a small fitness cost to the carrying cell, typically manifesting as a longer doubling time. Plasmid Bacteria Transformation Simulation Methods We examine the susceptible (S) and resistant (R) populations with a combined approach of numerical modeling methods and Kinetic Monte Carlo simulation. Kinetic Monte Carlo simulation allows us to capture information about the dynamics of the populations. We implement the Gillespie algorithm, which consists of the following steps: Calculate reaction propensities Choose reaction from probability distribution Choose time step length from exponential distribution Trigger reaction, update population We assume a well-mixed environment, a fixed carrying capacity K, and that reproduction occurs symmetrically for both S and R. This does not conserve total plasmid number. Constant α 0.05 0.11 0.17 0.9 1. 1.1 α bS/bR 1 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 S/R 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Simulation time (minutes) 103 104 Populationsize Parameters α .13 bS bR 1.07 S0 103 R0 103 P0 104 K 104 Susceptible Resistant Reactions S bS → 2S S α → R R bR → 2R R δ → ∅ Equations dS dt = bS 1 − S + R K S − αS dR dt = bR 1 − S + R K R + αS − δR Linear α 0.2 0.35 0.5 0.9 1. 1.1 α bS/bR 1 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 S/R 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Simulation time (minutes) 103 104 Populationsize Parameters α .3 bS bR 1.07 S0 103 R0 103 P0 104 K 104 Susceptible Resistant Reactions S bS → 2S S + P α → R R bR → 2R R δ → ∅ Equations dS dt = bS 1 − S + R K S − α P P0 S dR dt = bR 1 − S + R K R + α P P0 S − δR dP dt = −α P P0 S Recycled α 0.05 0.11 0.17 0.9 1. 1.1 α bS/bR 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 1 S/R 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Simulation time (minutes) 103 104 Populationsize Parameters α .13 bS bR 1.07 S0 103 R0 103 P0 104 K 104 Susceptible Resistant Reactions S bS → 2S S + P α → R R bR → 2R R δ → ∅ + P Equations dS dt = bS 1 − S + R K S − α P P0 S dR dt = bR 1 − S + R K R + α P P0 S − δR dP dt = −α P P0 S + δR Conclusions We aimed to determine what most heavily impacts R or S population dominance. We found that the transition point where the dominant population switches depends heavily on both transformation rate and mechanism. In the constant case, long-term steady state behavior can be seen. Both the linear and recycled cases present examples of population extinction. In the linear case, the S population invariably dominates, as plasmids are never replenished. In the recycled case, plasmid abundance enables the R population to eventually outgrow the S. In addition, only the linear case shows significant sensitivity to the ratio of growth rates bS/bR. Future Work Currently, this simulation assumes well-mixed populations of S, R, and P. A more realistic simulation could account for spatial configuration by simulating on a lattice. Simulating adding antibiotics to the environment could reveal situations where increased surviv- ability outweighs the fitness cost of carrying a plasmid. Changing R division to an asymmetric scheme (R → R+S) would yield a conserved total plasmid number. Acknowledgements We would like to acknowledge the generous support provided to us by the National Science Foundation through the NSF grant NSF-DMR #1248387.