Tunisia is in a transition stage with a new government that must address the COVID-19 pandemic. There are several possible post-COVID scenarios depending on government performance and vaccine development. The document outlines 4 scenarios: 1) "Stairway to Heaven" if government performance is excellent and a vaccine is found. 2) "Country Road" if government performs well but no vaccine. 3) "You've Got a Friend" if government performs poorly but a vaccine is found. 4) "Epitaph" if government and vaccine efforts both fail. Each scenario discusses the potential political, economic, health and social impacts.
The research of Warwick McKibbin (Australian National University, The Brookings Institution, Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research) and Roshen Fernando (Australian National University, Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research (CEPAR))
This document summarizes the UNICEF report "Committing to Child Survival: A Promise Renewed Progress Report 2012". It outlines the global effort to accelerate reductions in preventable child deaths. Since the 2012 Child Survival Call to Action, over 100 governments and many organizations have pledged to redouble efforts. The report details strategies to meet the goals of the initiative, including strengthening evidence-based country plans, increasing transparency and accountability, and boosting social mobilization. It also reviews levels and causes of under-five mortality, and provides examples of countries that have significantly reduced child deaths. The overall aim is to help sustain commitment to ending preventable child deaths.
1) An unmitigated COVID-19 epidemic could result in 7 billion infections and 40 million deaths globally.
2) Mitigation strategies could reduce infections by 30-38% and deaths by 19-55%, saving 16-20 million lives. However, even under mitigation, healthcare demand would overwhelm systems in all countries.
3) Suppression strategies that rapidly adopt public health measures like testing, isolation, and social distancing to reduce transmission by 75% could save 38.7 million lives if started early or 30.7 million lives if started later. Delays in suppression will lead to worse outcomes.
Everything you need to know about the Corona virus transformation from stage 1 to killing stage and overall overview of Corona virus Average daily cases from all over the world you and global economic crisis
This document is a report from The Independent Panel for Pandemic Preparedness & Response that makes recommendations to improve pandemic preparedness and response in the future. It summarizes that COVID-19 has caused over 3 million deaths globally, trillions in economic losses, and widespread disruption to education, healthcare and more. It finds failures in countries' early responses and stresses the need for urgent action now to curb the pandemic, including consistent use of public health measures, scaled up equitable global vaccine rollout, and addressing uneven international access to vaccines. The Panel calls the current situation intolerable and recommends immediate, ambitious transformation of the global health system to prevent future pandemics.
This document analyzes vaccination rates and public perceptions of vaccination in Ukraine. It finds that vaccination rates have dropped significantly in recent years due to growing anti-vaccination sentiments supported by media and experts. This threatens to undermine Ukraine's progress against infectious diseases and could turn the country into a hotbed for diseases if rates fall below critical thresholds. The document recommends improving public health communications and launching a nationwide information campaign to rebuild trust in vaccination and improve vaccination rates.
Globalization has increased risks from international threats like pandemics, environmental degradation, and ethnic violence. Strategies are needed to deal with these threats through improved surveillance, distribution of medicines, and understanding the causes of conflicts. Preventive actions before crises occur are important but difficult for governments. Underlying economic issues from globalization like unemployment and inequality can contribute to these threats if not addressed through education, health programs, and infrastructure investment. International cooperation through organizations like WHO and UN is vital to strengthen global efforts against diseases and support national health systems.
The research of Warwick McKibbin (Australian National University, The Brookings Institution, Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research) and Roshen Fernando (Australian National University, Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research (CEPAR))
This document summarizes the UNICEF report "Committing to Child Survival: A Promise Renewed Progress Report 2012". It outlines the global effort to accelerate reductions in preventable child deaths. Since the 2012 Child Survival Call to Action, over 100 governments and many organizations have pledged to redouble efforts. The report details strategies to meet the goals of the initiative, including strengthening evidence-based country plans, increasing transparency and accountability, and boosting social mobilization. It also reviews levels and causes of under-five mortality, and provides examples of countries that have significantly reduced child deaths. The overall aim is to help sustain commitment to ending preventable child deaths.
1) An unmitigated COVID-19 epidemic could result in 7 billion infections and 40 million deaths globally.
2) Mitigation strategies could reduce infections by 30-38% and deaths by 19-55%, saving 16-20 million lives. However, even under mitigation, healthcare demand would overwhelm systems in all countries.
3) Suppression strategies that rapidly adopt public health measures like testing, isolation, and social distancing to reduce transmission by 75% could save 38.7 million lives if started early or 30.7 million lives if started later. Delays in suppression will lead to worse outcomes.
Everything you need to know about the Corona virus transformation from stage 1 to killing stage and overall overview of Corona virus Average daily cases from all over the world you and global economic crisis
This document is a report from The Independent Panel for Pandemic Preparedness & Response that makes recommendations to improve pandemic preparedness and response in the future. It summarizes that COVID-19 has caused over 3 million deaths globally, trillions in economic losses, and widespread disruption to education, healthcare and more. It finds failures in countries' early responses and stresses the need for urgent action now to curb the pandemic, including consistent use of public health measures, scaled up equitable global vaccine rollout, and addressing uneven international access to vaccines. The Panel calls the current situation intolerable and recommends immediate, ambitious transformation of the global health system to prevent future pandemics.
This document analyzes vaccination rates and public perceptions of vaccination in Ukraine. It finds that vaccination rates have dropped significantly in recent years due to growing anti-vaccination sentiments supported by media and experts. This threatens to undermine Ukraine's progress against infectious diseases and could turn the country into a hotbed for diseases if rates fall below critical thresholds. The document recommends improving public health communications and launching a nationwide information campaign to rebuild trust in vaccination and improve vaccination rates.
Globalization has increased risks from international threats like pandemics, environmental degradation, and ethnic violence. Strategies are needed to deal with these threats through improved surveillance, distribution of medicines, and understanding the causes of conflicts. Preventive actions before crises occur are important but difficult for governments. Underlying economic issues from globalization like unemployment and inequality can contribute to these threats if not addressed through education, health programs, and infrastructure investment. International cooperation through organizations like WHO and UN is vital to strengthen global efforts against diseases and support national health systems.
Review of Recent COVID-19 Science ~ Denis G. Rancourt, PhDPandataAnalytics
Measures do not prevent deaths, transmission is not by contact, masks provide no benefit, vaccines are inherently dangerous: Review update of recent science relevant to COVID-19 policy.
For decades, it has been acknowledged by the world’s premier health authorities that amid a pandemic, the functioning of society should be maintained, and human rights upheld. Governments and health organisations have at their disposal country-specific pandemic preparedness plans, as well as the World Health Organisation pandemic guidelines, which provide a roadmap outlining how to keep society functioning, while also mitigating the impact of a disease or virus.
In 2020, SARS-CoV-2 brought an almost–instantaneous rewriting of disease management principles as countries, with few exceptions, disregarded existing pandemic plans and replaced them with policies of ‘lockdown’.
There is no evidence that lockdowns have reduced mortality from Covid-19 and research is now revealing the devastation that lockdowns are causing, particularly in the developing world. In these draconian lockdown policies, we have also seen the biggest infringement on civil liberties in democratic countries during peacetime.
PANDA believes that, at this juncture, the science is quite clear on what key policy responses should be—or should have been. The cure should not be worse than the disease. It is critically important that societies are reopened, whilst protecting those who may be vulnerable to serious illness from SARS-CoV-2. Human agency must be upheld, and individuals should be empowered to make their own choices.
PANDA’s Protocol for Reopening Society builds upon existing pandemic frameworks and incorporates current scientific understanding of Covid-19, to provide a roadmap out of the damaging cycle of lockdowns.
This document outlines the timeline of key events related to the COVID-19 pandemic from December 2019 to January 2020. It describes how Chinese health officials began investigating cases of viral pneumonia in Wuhan in December. By late December, doctors were warned about the new disease but were later reprimanded by police for spreading rumors. In early January, a seafood market was shut down and a new coronavirus was identified. The genetic sequence was shared internationally on January 12th, allowing diagnostic tests to be developed. The first cases outside of China were reported shortly after.
This document provides a summary of the G20 Rome Leaders' Declaration from their October 2021 summit. The following key points are made:
1) Leaders committed to overcoming the global health and economic crisis from the COVID-19 pandemic and advancing progress on sustainable development goals.
2) They agreed to further strengthen the global response to the pandemic by improving access to vaccines and supporting developing countries.
3) On health, leaders pledged to increase vaccine access and manufacturing capacity to help reach global vaccination targets. They also committed to strengthening pandemic preparedness.
4) On sustainable development, leaders reaffirmed their commitment to achieving the UN goals and supporting recovery efforts in developing countries impacted by the pandemic.
- The initial spread of COVID-19 in Brazil was mostly affected by patterns of socioeconomic vulnerability rather than population age or health risk factors. States with high socioeconomic vulnerability had higher initial COVID-19 mortality despite efforts to expand health system capacity and enact policies.
- Over time, differences in policy response converged across states, while physical distancing and lower death rates became relatively greater in municipalities with the highest socioeconomic vulnerabilities.
- Existing socioeconomic inequalities in Brazil have affected the course of the COVID-19 epidemic, disproportionately burdening states and municipalities with high socioeconomic vulnerability. Targeted policies are needed to protect vulnerable populations.
Pneumonia and diarrhoea: tackling the deadliest diseases for the world’s poor...UNICEF Publications
Pneumonia and diarrhoea are leading killers of the world’s youngest children, accounting for 29 per cent of deaths among children under age 5 worldwide – or more than 2 million lives lost each year. This report makes a remarkable and compelling argument for tackling pneumonia and diarrhoea, two of the leading killers of children under age five. The data in this report highlight a critically important point – children living in the poorest households are less likely than the children living in the richest households to benefit from preventive measures and, when they do become ill, to receive lifesaving treatments.
- Africans are seriously concerned about COVID-19, with 85% of respondents citing concern and 60% saying they are very concerned. Concern is highest in countries with confirmed cases like Kenya and Nigeria.
- However, 57% of Africans do not expect to be personally affected, possibly because initial cases were foreigners or travelers rather than average citizens. Expectations of being affected are higher in South Africa and Ghana with more cases.
- Africans are seeking information about COVID-19 from multiple digital channels like internet, social media, television and radio. Those learning from friends and family express the most concern at 40%. Social media and internet users follow at 35% concern.
While the world has focused on the traditional causes of premature death in Africa – communicable diseases such as HIV, malaria and tuberculosis, malnutrition, road and other accidents and political conflicts – a column of other types of killers has been gaining ground.
These are the chronic, noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) such as cancer, heart disease, diabetes, sickle-cell disease and kidney disease, whose collective toll is rising rapidly. How aware are patients of the causes of and cures for their diseases, and how well are they served by the healthcare providers in their countries?
THE NEGATIVE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON THE ENJOYMENT OF LEGAL FREEDOMSAkashSharma618775
Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is an infectious disease caused by a newly discovered coronavirus. Most
people infected with the COVID-19 virus experience mild to moderate respiratory illness and recover without
requiring special treatment. Older people and those with underlying medical problems like cardiovascular
disease, diabetes, chronic respiratory disease, and cancer are more likely to develop serious illness. The disease was
discovered in December 2019. On 31st December 2019, a series of pneumonia cases of unknown cause was detected
in the People’s Republic of China (PRC). COVID-19 has caused States to restrict movements, closed down schools,
major markets and churches and thus the virus has serious impact on the enjoyment of legal freedoms. Covid-19
has very devastating effects on economic activities generally and thus the urgent need to reduce the spread but the
situation in Cameroon is difficult to handle as the negative impacts of the virus are further compounded by lack of
support from the government to boost economic activities like supporting small businesses with funding and
reducing taxes for big enterprises so as to reduce costs and encourage production. The general objective of this
paper is to critically examine the negative impact of COVID-19 on the enjoyment of legal freedoms. One of the
main findings of the paper is that Cameroon as a State committed to the protection of its citizens’ rights has
ratified treaties protecting human rights of people including legal freedoms and thus to eradicate the impact
COVID-19 has on these legal freedoms, the work strongly recommends that as disease outbreaks are not likely to
disappear in the near future, proactive international actions are required to not only save lives but also protect
economic prosperity.
The covid 19 crisis in nepal coping crackdown challengesNdrc Nepal
NDRC Nepal brings "The COVID-19 Crisis in Nepal: Coping Crackdown Challenges" issue 3, an occasional papers series on COOVID19 response in Nepal.
This study was carried out by Dr. Dhruba Gautam, Senior Research Fellow at National Disaster Risk Reduction Centre (NDRC) Nepal which had four interconnected objectives: (i) to assess existing policy provisions for relief management and distribution, (ii) to identify existing relief distribution mechanisms, (iii) to identify major gaps and challenges, and (iv) explore next steps and make recommendations. For secondary information, the study reviewed published documents, including government policies at the national and global levels, whereas primary information was gathered through virtual interviews and conferences with key informants in all provincial governments and in a few local governments. Among the mechanisms governments use to manage relief distribution are the management of relief funds, the selection of needy families, the development and distribution of relief packages, the adoption of a one-door policy, and the application of existing legal provisions. This study also explored gaps in these mechanisms and challenges faced during the relief management thoroughly. Some issues that raised questions included the criteria for selection and even the use of a targeted approach in principle and challenges included the procurement of relief materials and their quality and quantity as well as data management and monitoring. Once the data was on the table, this study made several key recommendations to each of the three tiers of Nepal’s government about how to systematize relief management now as well as how to carry over good practices into the future.
In developing countries, around 40% of deaths are caused by infectious, parasitic, and respiratory diseases, compared to 8% in developed countries. The top causes of death in developing countries are infectious and parasitic diseases exacerbated by malnutrition. Diarrheal diseases are also widespread. However, non-communicable diseases such as heart disease, cancer, and diabetes are increasing due to changes in diet, lifestyle, and urbanization. Countries experience a double burden of disease, with communicable diseases co-existing with rising non-communicable diseases.
The document discusses lessons that can be learned from previous pandemics to better prepare health systems for the current COVID-19 pandemic. It makes three key points:
1) Social distancing measures that were effective in the past, like quarantine and isolation, may help slow the spread again.
2) Health systems need to activate emergency plans to increase critical care capacity and resources like testing, personal protective equipment, and staffing to meet the surge in patients.
3) Past pandemics revealed gaps in preparedness, and more must be done after this crisis to strengthen public health infrastructure and stockpiles so health systems are better equipped to respond to future outbreaks.
This document provides an overview of the European & Developing Countries Clinical Trials Partnership (EDCTP). EDCTP aims to support clinical research and capacity building for poverty-related and neglected infectious diseases in sub-Saharan Africa. It operates as an independent public-public partnership between European and African countries. EDCTP has funded over 240 clinical trials and capacity building projects during its first phase from 2003-2015. Its second phase from 2014-2024 aims to support the development of new medical interventions for diseases like HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis, malaria, and neglected tropical diseases.
A visual analytics approach to understanding poverty assessment through disas...UN Global Pulse
Executive summary of the United Nations Office for Outer Space Affairs research: “A Visual Approach to Understanding Poverty Assessment through Disaster Impacts in Latin America and Africa,” conducted as part of UN Global Pulse’s Rapid Impact and Vulnerability Assessment Fund (RIVAF). For more information: http://www.unglobalpulse.org/projects/rapid-impact-and-vulnerability-analysis-fund-rivaf
The document discusses French-based international research networks that focus on tackling infectious diseases, which cause 2/3 of deaths in children under 5 years old. It outlines 4 networks that are active in developing countries and focus on areas like respiratory infections, encephalitis, HIV/AIDS, hepatitis, zoonosis, dengue, and malaria. Their research tools include microorganism culture, biobanks, databanks, surveillance cohorts, and entomology. It then discusses challenges of the HIV/AIDS pandemic and the need to increase prevention and care research, and describes experiences lowering mother-to-child HIV transmission rates in various countries. It calls for more public and private investments from basic to translational research using existing
Debate on disease Prevention, prolong Life and promote Health (from Theory to...AJHSSR Journal
Abstract: The Covid-19 pandemic has put all health systems worldwide to the test and is accelerating the shift
from the information and knowledge society to the digital society. It isa great challenge to understand the
theoretical foundations, conception and legal frameworks of social protection that have provided the constitution
of the health system, socialprotection, and the right to health.
This article aims to present a reflection and debate onhow to prevent, prolong people's lives and their social
well-being, aswell aspromote health. Part ofthe origins and dtheevolution of the world's health-disease
system, taking intoaccount the milestones of social protection and the right to health, characterizing the
theoretical frameworks and concepts thatunderpintedthe healthreforms that gave origin to the different Health
System,as wellas, to discuss its principlesandguidelines, based on the design of the extension of the right to
health, with the purpose of providing reading, learning, debate and reflection on concepts and reality,as well as
the necessary human, social, economic, financial, technological transformations policies, and what is the impact
of these changes.
Role of Audit in Economic Recovery-Post Pandemic-SAI IndiaAsosaiJournal
The coronavirus recession also known as the Great Lockdown or the Great shutdown is a severe global recession since Great Depression 1929-30. It has resulted in shutdown of many businesses like aviation, automobile, hospitality, rail transport etc. causing massive job losses world over.
Crossing the Rubicon: Post Covid-19 PolicyKan Yuenyong
The document discusses development policy strategies for post-COVID resilience and recovery. It notes that COVID has exposed weaknesses in economies and increased inequalities. Key issues for sustainable recovery include better health/well-being, cleaner air, public participation, equitable resilience, and pursuing a green/digital/inclusive transformation. Fiscal policy priorities are continuing support, implementing measures efficiently, and pursuing medium-term strategies. Global cooperation is needed on public health and stimulating growth.
Review of Recent COVID-19 Science ~ Denis G. Rancourt, PhDPandataAnalytics
Measures do not prevent deaths, transmission is not by contact, masks provide no benefit, vaccines are inherently dangerous: Review update of recent science relevant to COVID-19 policy.
For decades, it has been acknowledged by the world’s premier health authorities that amid a pandemic, the functioning of society should be maintained, and human rights upheld. Governments and health organisations have at their disposal country-specific pandemic preparedness plans, as well as the World Health Organisation pandemic guidelines, which provide a roadmap outlining how to keep society functioning, while also mitigating the impact of a disease or virus.
In 2020, SARS-CoV-2 brought an almost–instantaneous rewriting of disease management principles as countries, with few exceptions, disregarded existing pandemic plans and replaced them with policies of ‘lockdown’.
There is no evidence that lockdowns have reduced mortality from Covid-19 and research is now revealing the devastation that lockdowns are causing, particularly in the developing world. In these draconian lockdown policies, we have also seen the biggest infringement on civil liberties in democratic countries during peacetime.
PANDA believes that, at this juncture, the science is quite clear on what key policy responses should be—or should have been. The cure should not be worse than the disease. It is critically important that societies are reopened, whilst protecting those who may be vulnerable to serious illness from SARS-CoV-2. Human agency must be upheld, and individuals should be empowered to make their own choices.
PANDA’s Protocol for Reopening Society builds upon existing pandemic frameworks and incorporates current scientific understanding of Covid-19, to provide a roadmap out of the damaging cycle of lockdowns.
This document outlines the timeline of key events related to the COVID-19 pandemic from December 2019 to January 2020. It describes how Chinese health officials began investigating cases of viral pneumonia in Wuhan in December. By late December, doctors were warned about the new disease but were later reprimanded by police for spreading rumors. In early January, a seafood market was shut down and a new coronavirus was identified. The genetic sequence was shared internationally on January 12th, allowing diagnostic tests to be developed. The first cases outside of China were reported shortly after.
This document provides a summary of the G20 Rome Leaders' Declaration from their October 2021 summit. The following key points are made:
1) Leaders committed to overcoming the global health and economic crisis from the COVID-19 pandemic and advancing progress on sustainable development goals.
2) They agreed to further strengthen the global response to the pandemic by improving access to vaccines and supporting developing countries.
3) On health, leaders pledged to increase vaccine access and manufacturing capacity to help reach global vaccination targets. They also committed to strengthening pandemic preparedness.
4) On sustainable development, leaders reaffirmed their commitment to achieving the UN goals and supporting recovery efforts in developing countries impacted by the pandemic.
- The initial spread of COVID-19 in Brazil was mostly affected by patterns of socioeconomic vulnerability rather than population age or health risk factors. States with high socioeconomic vulnerability had higher initial COVID-19 mortality despite efforts to expand health system capacity and enact policies.
- Over time, differences in policy response converged across states, while physical distancing and lower death rates became relatively greater in municipalities with the highest socioeconomic vulnerabilities.
- Existing socioeconomic inequalities in Brazil have affected the course of the COVID-19 epidemic, disproportionately burdening states and municipalities with high socioeconomic vulnerability. Targeted policies are needed to protect vulnerable populations.
Pneumonia and diarrhoea: tackling the deadliest diseases for the world’s poor...UNICEF Publications
Pneumonia and diarrhoea are leading killers of the world’s youngest children, accounting for 29 per cent of deaths among children under age 5 worldwide – or more than 2 million lives lost each year. This report makes a remarkable and compelling argument for tackling pneumonia and diarrhoea, two of the leading killers of children under age five. The data in this report highlight a critically important point – children living in the poorest households are less likely than the children living in the richest households to benefit from preventive measures and, when they do become ill, to receive lifesaving treatments.
- Africans are seriously concerned about COVID-19, with 85% of respondents citing concern and 60% saying they are very concerned. Concern is highest in countries with confirmed cases like Kenya and Nigeria.
- However, 57% of Africans do not expect to be personally affected, possibly because initial cases were foreigners or travelers rather than average citizens. Expectations of being affected are higher in South Africa and Ghana with more cases.
- Africans are seeking information about COVID-19 from multiple digital channels like internet, social media, television and radio. Those learning from friends and family express the most concern at 40%. Social media and internet users follow at 35% concern.
While the world has focused on the traditional causes of premature death in Africa – communicable diseases such as HIV, malaria and tuberculosis, malnutrition, road and other accidents and political conflicts – a column of other types of killers has been gaining ground.
These are the chronic, noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) such as cancer, heart disease, diabetes, sickle-cell disease and kidney disease, whose collective toll is rising rapidly. How aware are patients of the causes of and cures for their diseases, and how well are they served by the healthcare providers in their countries?
THE NEGATIVE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON THE ENJOYMENT OF LEGAL FREEDOMSAkashSharma618775
Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is an infectious disease caused by a newly discovered coronavirus. Most
people infected with the COVID-19 virus experience mild to moderate respiratory illness and recover without
requiring special treatment. Older people and those with underlying medical problems like cardiovascular
disease, diabetes, chronic respiratory disease, and cancer are more likely to develop serious illness. The disease was
discovered in December 2019. On 31st December 2019, a series of pneumonia cases of unknown cause was detected
in the People’s Republic of China (PRC). COVID-19 has caused States to restrict movements, closed down schools,
major markets and churches and thus the virus has serious impact on the enjoyment of legal freedoms. Covid-19
has very devastating effects on economic activities generally and thus the urgent need to reduce the spread but the
situation in Cameroon is difficult to handle as the negative impacts of the virus are further compounded by lack of
support from the government to boost economic activities like supporting small businesses with funding and
reducing taxes for big enterprises so as to reduce costs and encourage production. The general objective of this
paper is to critically examine the negative impact of COVID-19 on the enjoyment of legal freedoms. One of the
main findings of the paper is that Cameroon as a State committed to the protection of its citizens’ rights has
ratified treaties protecting human rights of people including legal freedoms and thus to eradicate the impact
COVID-19 has on these legal freedoms, the work strongly recommends that as disease outbreaks are not likely to
disappear in the near future, proactive international actions are required to not only save lives but also protect
economic prosperity.
The covid 19 crisis in nepal coping crackdown challengesNdrc Nepal
NDRC Nepal brings "The COVID-19 Crisis in Nepal: Coping Crackdown Challenges" issue 3, an occasional papers series on COOVID19 response in Nepal.
This study was carried out by Dr. Dhruba Gautam, Senior Research Fellow at National Disaster Risk Reduction Centre (NDRC) Nepal which had four interconnected objectives: (i) to assess existing policy provisions for relief management and distribution, (ii) to identify existing relief distribution mechanisms, (iii) to identify major gaps and challenges, and (iv) explore next steps and make recommendations. For secondary information, the study reviewed published documents, including government policies at the national and global levels, whereas primary information was gathered through virtual interviews and conferences with key informants in all provincial governments and in a few local governments. Among the mechanisms governments use to manage relief distribution are the management of relief funds, the selection of needy families, the development and distribution of relief packages, the adoption of a one-door policy, and the application of existing legal provisions. This study also explored gaps in these mechanisms and challenges faced during the relief management thoroughly. Some issues that raised questions included the criteria for selection and even the use of a targeted approach in principle and challenges included the procurement of relief materials and their quality and quantity as well as data management and monitoring. Once the data was on the table, this study made several key recommendations to each of the three tiers of Nepal’s government about how to systematize relief management now as well as how to carry over good practices into the future.
In developing countries, around 40% of deaths are caused by infectious, parasitic, and respiratory diseases, compared to 8% in developed countries. The top causes of death in developing countries are infectious and parasitic diseases exacerbated by malnutrition. Diarrheal diseases are also widespread. However, non-communicable diseases such as heart disease, cancer, and diabetes are increasing due to changes in diet, lifestyle, and urbanization. Countries experience a double burden of disease, with communicable diseases co-existing with rising non-communicable diseases.
The document discusses lessons that can be learned from previous pandemics to better prepare health systems for the current COVID-19 pandemic. It makes three key points:
1) Social distancing measures that were effective in the past, like quarantine and isolation, may help slow the spread again.
2) Health systems need to activate emergency plans to increase critical care capacity and resources like testing, personal protective equipment, and staffing to meet the surge in patients.
3) Past pandemics revealed gaps in preparedness, and more must be done after this crisis to strengthen public health infrastructure and stockpiles so health systems are better equipped to respond to future outbreaks.
This document provides an overview of the European & Developing Countries Clinical Trials Partnership (EDCTP). EDCTP aims to support clinical research and capacity building for poverty-related and neglected infectious diseases in sub-Saharan Africa. It operates as an independent public-public partnership between European and African countries. EDCTP has funded over 240 clinical trials and capacity building projects during its first phase from 2003-2015. Its second phase from 2014-2024 aims to support the development of new medical interventions for diseases like HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis, malaria, and neglected tropical diseases.
A visual analytics approach to understanding poverty assessment through disas...UN Global Pulse
Executive summary of the United Nations Office for Outer Space Affairs research: “A Visual Approach to Understanding Poverty Assessment through Disaster Impacts in Latin America and Africa,” conducted as part of UN Global Pulse’s Rapid Impact and Vulnerability Assessment Fund (RIVAF). For more information: http://www.unglobalpulse.org/projects/rapid-impact-and-vulnerability-analysis-fund-rivaf
The document discusses French-based international research networks that focus on tackling infectious diseases, which cause 2/3 of deaths in children under 5 years old. It outlines 4 networks that are active in developing countries and focus on areas like respiratory infections, encephalitis, HIV/AIDS, hepatitis, zoonosis, dengue, and malaria. Their research tools include microorganism culture, biobanks, databanks, surveillance cohorts, and entomology. It then discusses challenges of the HIV/AIDS pandemic and the need to increase prevention and care research, and describes experiences lowering mother-to-child HIV transmission rates in various countries. It calls for more public and private investments from basic to translational research using existing
Debate on disease Prevention, prolong Life and promote Health (from Theory to...AJHSSR Journal
Abstract: The Covid-19 pandemic has put all health systems worldwide to the test and is accelerating the shift
from the information and knowledge society to the digital society. It isa great challenge to understand the
theoretical foundations, conception and legal frameworks of social protection that have provided the constitution
of the health system, socialprotection, and the right to health.
This article aims to present a reflection and debate onhow to prevent, prolong people's lives and their social
well-being, aswell aspromote health. Part ofthe origins and dtheevolution of the world's health-disease
system, taking intoaccount the milestones of social protection and the right to health, characterizing the
theoretical frameworks and concepts thatunderpintedthe healthreforms that gave origin to the different Health
System,as wellas, to discuss its principlesandguidelines, based on the design of the extension of the right to
health, with the purpose of providing reading, learning, debate and reflection on concepts and reality,as well as
the necessary human, social, economic, financial, technological transformations policies, and what is the impact
of these changes.
Role of Audit in Economic Recovery-Post Pandemic-SAI IndiaAsosaiJournal
The coronavirus recession also known as the Great Lockdown or the Great shutdown is a severe global recession since Great Depression 1929-30. It has resulted in shutdown of many businesses like aviation, automobile, hospitality, rail transport etc. causing massive job losses world over.
Crossing the Rubicon: Post Covid-19 PolicyKan Yuenyong
The document discusses development policy strategies for post-COVID resilience and recovery. It notes that COVID has exposed weaknesses in economies and increased inequalities. Key issues for sustainable recovery include better health/well-being, cleaner air, public participation, equitable resilience, and pursuing a green/digital/inclusive transformation. Fiscal policy priorities are continuing support, implementing measures efficiently, and pursuing medium-term strategies. Global cooperation is needed on public health and stimulating growth.
This document outlines the Cape Town Call to Action from the People's Health Movement. It reaffirms commitments to foundational documents and outlines an alternate vision that values people over profits. It describes the global health crisis as stemming from neoliberal policies that prioritize capitalism and have led to growing inequities. Specific health issues are highlighted for different populations. The document calls for mobilizing people and building alliances to work towards more just, equitable and sustainable political, economic and social systems.
Anti pandemic program for Ukraine by EYAPPAU_Ukraine
The document discusses recommendations for Ukraine's anti-pandemic program. It recommends establishing an Anti-Pandemic Center to coordinate response efforts and organize roles. It also recommends developing an information-analytical system to forecast needs, modeling medical services, and digitally transforming supply chains. Further, it suggests distance learning methods and regular public training on pandemic response.
Text of the Address by His Excellency, Dr. Kayode Fayemi, CON
Governor, Ekiti State, & Chairman, Nigeria Governors’ Forum
titled: THE ROLE OF NIGERIA’S STATE GOVERNMENTS IN RECOVERY: RESPONSES TO COVID-19 LINKED CHALLENGES at Chatham House Event, London, UK
With this webinar, we invite you to join in the discussion on the post-Ebola strategy in West Africa. During the webinar four experts from different backgrounds will outline their view of the Ebola Crisis and most importantly share their vision on what needs to be done now, and post-Ebola, to ensure aversion of further food insecurity and social marginalization.
The spread of the Ebola virus disease has major consequences on the African countries it has hit the hardest: Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone. The death toll from the disease and associated losses pose great economic consequences.
More than 2,600 people have died in West Africa. Transportation companies suspended their operations to the countries for fear of contamination even though the World Health Organisation advised against it. So far, the economies are experiencing adverse effects with escalating food insecurities.
Sierra Leone and Liberia, two of the most hit countries, recently came out of more than a decade of gruesome civil wars. Their institutions are still fragile and the deprivation from the Ebola crisis could trigger ever bigger problems.
The youth played a major role in both the Sierra Leone and Liberia conflicts as a result of economic and social marginalization. Without an effective strategy to assure young people a brighter future of economic and social stability, impact of the 2014 Ebola crisis on food insecurity and social livelihoods could trigger an even greater post-Ebola crises.
Agenda points:
Short term strategy: containment strategy & humanitarian aid
Long term strategy: improvement of (social) health care & international assistance
The importance of microprogrammes: Engagement, voicing the right people, AYM’s call for action**
Different Covid-10 Scenarios for Business Decision-makersAgileTech Vietnam
As an organization responds to COVID-19, resilient leaders should survive the crisis, not thrive. The key to that is to evaluate planning actions within the context of geographic location and different economic scenarios.
A new health and development paradigm post-2015: grounded in human rightsLisa Hallgarten
Marge Berer, Editor of RHM, presentation at meeting
Divided we stand? Universal health coverage and the unfinished agenda of the health MDGs
Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp February 11th 2014
The state in global health (focus on LICs/MICs)Albert Domingo
A report/presentation on the changing dynamics of the power of the state viz. external actors in formulating health policy, particularly in low income countries and middle income countries.
"Looking Ahead" Post-Ebola Strategy in West Africa is the first in a series of planned webinars, where we invite knowledgeable individuals and participants to join the post-Ebola strategy in West Africa discussion.
During the webinars, experts from different backgrounds, will outline their view on the Ebola Crisis and most importantly, share their vision on what needs to be done now, and post-Ebola, to ensure aversion of further political and economic disturbances.
The fast spread of the Ebola virus has major consequences on the African countries it has hit the hardest: Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone.
Besides the death tolls and associate losses, the countries are also facing great danger because of the economic consequences the virus carries.
Sierra Leone and Liberia, two of the most hit countries, have both recently come out of more than a decade of gruesome civil wars and the set back of the disease does not help with the stabilization of the economies. Their democracies are fragile and the deprivation from the Ebola crisis could be a trigger for political disruption.
The youth played a major role in those conflicts as a result of economic and social marginalization. Without a post-Ebola strategy to ensure the youth a future of economic and social stability, there may be unforeseeable instabilities.
ABOUT THE ORGANIZER:
Twenty-First Century African Youth Movement, (AYM) empowers and mobilizes Africa’s youth through employment. The AYM is dedicated to developing new and exciting enterprise opportunities for young people in Sierra Leone, to help provide young people with the confidence, power and skills they need to get themselves into employment and out of poverty.
Mobilizing Africa’s unemployed and underemployed youth is the key to the continent’s economic growth and stability. AYM works to mobilize marginalized youth through education, training, and employment, creating entrepreneurial opportunities to help move communities away from poverty, disease, and hunger. AYM aims to establish personal empowerment and community resilience by energizing the continent’s youth population, its most critical resource in the reversal of social and economic stagnation.
For more information, visit:
http://www.aym-inc.org/ebola-looking-ahead/.
AYM’s call for action:
Dr David J Baumler’s AYM Pepper Challenge: http://youtu.be/iU1Ot60mT7I
New social protection challenges require new evidence to guide policies:
1) Recurrent crises have increased poverty and inequality, testing social protection systems, while gaps in coverage, financing, and adequacy remain.
2) Evidence is needed on scaling social protection universally, enhancing program design for climate action, nutrition, and shock-responsiveness, and measuring long-term and gender impacts.
3) Emerging issues like the "new poor", family-friendly policies, and data challenges in fragile contexts require a research agenda to develop effective, inclusive policies for the future.
This interactive webinar is part of the world tour series designed by the World Health Organization's Patients for Patient Safety (PFPS) Global Network and hosted by Patients for Patient Safety Canada, the patient-led program of the Canadian Patient Safety Institute, a WHO Collaborating Centre on Patient Safety and Patient Engagement.
Brazil's economy has grew at over 15% per year for a decade and is now waking up to a harsh reality.
Social unrest, corruption scandals, political changes and rising inflation will shape growth moving forward.
What does this mean for the Healthcare sector? How will the government react? What does this mean for the private sector and particularly for foreign investors?
Fragmented private care
Recent developments and outlook
Foreign investments and Consolidations
Private hospital income & expenditure
Trends & Outlook
The Democratic Republic of the Congo faces major public health challenges due to years of conflict, including high mortality rates and a weakened health system. Communicable diseases are widespread, with malaria, tuberculosis, and diarrheal diseases causing most illnesses and deaths. Access to health services is limited, and health infrastructure is insufficient. Key priorities include controlling epidemics, improving emergency care, expanding immunization and treatment of malaria and other diseases, and rebuilding the health system. Transitioning from humanitarian aid to development remains an ongoing focus.
The document discusses key issues regarding public health, education, and housing in the Philippines. For public health, it outlines improvements in health indicators and insurance coverage but persisting challenges in communicable diseases, non-communicable diseases, and disaster preparedness. For education, it describes the tripartite system and issues of quality, budget, and skills mismatch. For housing, it notes a large backlog and issues of poverty, land access, and unclear policies. Addressing these complex, interrelated problems will require coordinated efforts across sectors to ultimately reduce poverty in the Philippines.
The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted several lessons for emergency management. It showed that while pandemics can't be predicted precisely, they are not unexpected occurrences. COVID-19 shared many similarities to the 1918 influenza pandemic in its transmission, symptoms, and impact. Managing the pandemic required balancing public health measures to control the spread of the virus with economic concerns, and different countries had varying levels of success with their responses. The pandemic significantly impacted critical infrastructure sectors and underscored the importance of protecting essential workers. It also demonstrated the power of misinformation spread on social media and the need for transparent, fact-based risk communication. Data analytics proved crucial for decision-making during the dynamic pandemic. The role of emergency management was challenged by the prolonged
This document discusses financing health programs for AIDS, tuberculosis, and malaria in Africa. It outlines the large disease burden from these illnesses, especially in southern and central Africa. While international funding has helped control epidemics, resources are uncertain and domestic financing must increase. The document recommends that countries invest at least 15% of budgets in health as pledged. It also suggests innovative domestic funding strategies and emphasizing health's economic benefits to policymakers. Overall, more data and political will are needed to establish sustainable, long-term health financing plans tailored to each country's resources and priorities.
This document discusses financing health programs for AIDS, tuberculosis, and malaria in Africa. It outlines the large disease burden from these illnesses, especially in southern and central Africa. While international funding has helped control epidemics, resources are uncertain and domestic financing must increase. The document recommends that countries invest at least 15% of budgets in health as pledged. It also suggests innovative domestic financing strategies and emphasizing health's economic benefits to policymakers. Overall, more data and political will are needed to establish sustainable, long-term health funding mixes of domestic and international support tailored to each country.
The document discusses how strengthening healthcare systems can help countries respond better to pandemics like COVID-19. It analyzes the Philippine response and recommends reforms to build a more resilient system. Specifically:
1) Countries with universal healthcare and strong public-private partnerships, like Taiwan and South Korea, were able to implement less stringent lockdowns while effectively containing the virus.
2) The Philippines could enhance access to affordable healthcare, reform its public-private balance, and use health reforms to drive broader economic development and resilience to future health shocks.
3) Building a stronger, more inclusive healthcare system anchored in public-private partnerships should underpin the Philippine recovery and help prevent future waves of the virus.
Youngest c m in India- Pema Khandu BiographyVoterMood
Pema Khandu, born on August 21, 1979, is an Indian politician and the Chief Minister of Arunachal Pradesh. He is the son of former Chief Minister of Arunachal Pradesh, Dorjee Khandu. Pema Khandu assumed office as the Chief Minister in July 2016, making him one of the youngest Chief Ministers in India at that time.
12062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
लालू यादव की जीवनी LALU PRASAD YADAV BIOGRAPHYVoterMood
Discover the life and times of Lalu Prasad Yadav with a comprehensive biography in Hindi. Learn about his early days, rise in politics, controversies, and contribution.
ग्रेटर मुंबई के नगर आयुक्त को एक खुले पत्र में याचिका दायर कर 540 से अधिक मुंबईकरों ने सभी अवैध और अस्थिर होर्डिंग्स, साइनबोर्ड और इलेक्ट्रिक साइनेज को तत्काल हटाने और 13 मई, 2024 की शाम को घाटकोपर में अवैध होर्डिंग के गिरने की विनाशकारी घटना के बाद अपराधियों के खिलाफ सख्त कार्रवाई की मांग की है, जिसमें 17 लोगों की जान चली गई और कई निर्दोष लोग गंभीर रूप से घायल हो गए।
केरल उच्च न्यायालय ने 11 जून, 2024 को मंडला पूजा में भाग लेने की अनुमति मांगने वाली 10 वर्षीय लड़की की रिट याचिका को खारिज कर दिया, जिसमें सर्वोच्च न्यायालय की एक बड़ी पीठ के समक्ष इस मुद्दे की लंबित प्रकृति पर जोर दिया गया। यह आदेश न्यायमूर्ति अनिल के. नरेंद्रन और न्यायमूर्ति हरिशंकर वी. मेनन की खंडपीठ द्वारा पारित किया गया
15062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
#WenguiGuo#WashingtonFarm Guo Wengui Wolf son ambition exposed to open a far...rittaajmal71
Since fleeing to the United States in 2014, Guo Wengui has founded a number of projects in the United States, such as GTV Media Group, GTV private equity, farm loan project, G Club Operations Co., LTD., and Himalaya Exchange.
projet de traité négocié à Istanbul (anglais).pdfEdouardHusson
Ceci est le projet de traité qui avait été négocié entre Russes et Ukrainiens à Istanbul en mars 2022, avant que les Etats-Unis et la Grande-Bretagne ne détournent Kiev de signer.
Recent years have seen a disturbing rise in violence, discrimination, and intolerance against Christian communities in various Islamic countries. This multifaceted challenge, deeply rooted in historical, social, and political animosities, demands urgent attention. Despite the escalating persecution, substantial support from the Western world remains lacking.
Slide deck with charts from our Digital News Report 2024, the most comprehensive exploration of news consumption habits around the world, based on survey data from more than 95,000 respondents across 47 countries.
13062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
16062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
Federal Authorities Urge Vigilance Amid Bird Flu Outbreak | The Lifesciences ...The Lifesciences Magazine
Federal authorities have advised the public to remain vigilant but calm in response to the ongoing bird flu outbreak of highly pathogenic avian influenza, commonly known as bird flu.
2. Tunisia is now in a transition stage, with a new government, having barely taken the control
of the political scene, it has to build strategies to face the most spreading pandemic of all
times .
There are a number of future post covid-19 scenarios. However every future exercise must
respond to the needs and the will of its own social, cultural, political and economic context.
To design a post Covid -19 scenarios we have to take into consideration, hard trends and signs
of disruption. Other factors and events have to be taken into account to conceive possible,
probable and desirable scenarios.
Building near futures scenarios
1
3. Timeline of the management of the first wave of Covid-19 in Tunisia
First covid-19 case detected 2-3-2020
6-3-2020
First phase of the fight against Covid-
19: Closure of schools, suspension of
public transport, and suspension of
travel from countries at risk.Self-isolation for 14 days for all
travelers. Cultural events are
canceled. Restaurants, cafes and bars
close from 4 p.m. and collective
prayers are suspended.
Curfew from 6 pm to 6 am and borders
closure
10,000 rooms have been fitted out in
hotels, centers and hostels to
accommodate returnees from abroad.
Total lockdown except vital activities.
Budget expansion allocation for health
and social expenses
13-3-2020
18-3-2020
22-3-2020
2-4-2020
4-5-2020
2
4. 18-5-2020
28-5-2020
14-6-2020
27-6-2020
People over the age of 65 and those
under the age of 15 are now allowed
to go out.
End of the first wave declared
Resumption of courses for bachelors
Restricted borders reopening
End of the first phase of the lockdown.
50% of the service public, industrial,
building sector, service sector are
allowed to work.
4-5-2020
• 1,186 Declared cases
• 1,025 Recovered cases
• 93 Active cases
• 50 Deceased
Results of the pandemic first wave (Worldometers 28-06-2020)
3
5. In this work we went through the actual situation and based our thinking on two uncertainties key
drivers:
1- The first one is an assessment of the government performance facing the pandemic, going
from excellent to unflattering,
2- The second is whether or not the medical society developed a vaccine against the corona
disease
We have considered five macro-environmental factors :
The methodological approach is a cross checking of scientific data, experts reports and analysis.
We have mobilised a team students from the IHEC of Sousse (Institute of the High Commercial
Studies of Sousse) to gather and select data and to bring out the most accurate ones.
Work design
HealthPolitics Economy Geopolitics Social
4
6. Vaccine +
Vaccine -
Government - Government +
1
Country Road
3
You’ve got a friend
24
Stairway to Heaven
Epitaph
We come up with 4 possible future scenarios: 5
7. Scenario 1 : Stairway to Heaven (Government+/Vaccine+)
Politics
Pragmatic and agile leadership
• Only effective practice is considered (no time for ideological consideration)
• Common vision about priorities: sovereignty, equity and progress.
• Foundation of a research center working on new mega trends: dematerialization, “deglobalization",
“depandemization”
• Official communication: Clear, assertive and transparent
Economy
• More State and better State: Expansionist politics in innovation (technology and alternative energy),
transportation, education, health care, agriculture (State investment, tax concessions for agriculture
innovators…)
• Temporary moratorium on official debts with renegotiation of multilateral debts
• Measures to curb parallel economy, tax evasion and corruption through digitalization
(dematerialization of payment)
Geopolitics
• Repositioning of Tunisia as a privileged economic and political partner mainly with their classic ones:
France, Italy and Germany
• Priority is given to international cooperation and economic diplomacy
• Algeria continues providing Tunisia material, energy and political support
Health
• The vaccine is ready and the second wave is discarded
• The government take in charge the administration of the vaccine to the population
• Investment to enhance hospital capacity with the implementation of Covid-19 health unity in every
governorate and to foster medical and pharmaceutical research and innovation
Social
• Reinforcement of social protection system and safety net based on transparent and well documented
platform, targeting strategy and big data
• Financial and health support to household and people with low income
• Free technology trainings as an effective action to implement the “learning society “ *
6
8. Scenario 2 : Country Road (Gouvernement +/Vaccine -)
Politics
Caring and controlling leadership
• The head of the government succeed to obtain high consensus among ARP members about the immediate
concerns: saving life, saving job, secure borders
• Restructuring the judiciary system and strict application of the law
• Accommodating and comforting communication
Economic
• More state: Measures to curb parallel economy, tax evasion and corruption through digitalization
(dematerialization of payment)
• Financial support to most harmed sectors
• Strengthening youth participation in creating high added value activities by offering grant and facilities
Geopolitics
• Neutral stance towards neighboring political conflict specifically Libya and solidarity with threatened
people.
• Tunisia helped bringing national reconciliation and healing in Libya
• Loyalty is observed toward friendly sister states.
Health
• Since there is no vaccine stricter measures to prevent new contaminations: progressive borders opening,
penalty for non-respect of self-isolation, observing safety precautions…
• Investment to enhance hospital capacity and to improve preventive solution by fostering digital
solutions:contact tracing, auto-diagnosis, content curation to tackle misinformation
• Optimal working condition are afforded to stop the exodus of doctors and health personnel
Social
• Reinforcement of social protection system and safety net based on transparent and well documented
platform, targeting strategy and big data
• Financial and health support are granted to household, elderly people and persons with low income.
• Implementation of the remote work, are bringing more flexibility, more cooperation, more self-resilience.
7
9. Scenario 3 : You’ve got a friend (Government -/Vaccine +)
Politics
Inefficient leadership
• Tensions and group polarization in the ARP
• Common vision hardly reached to stay on course to ensure the economic recovery
• Official communication: Ambiguous, on the defensive, no solutions exposed
Economy
A “déjà vu” recovery plan
• Temporary financial support of more impacted SME: intervention of the government and the central bank to
prevent insolvency and to permit delay in credit payment…but ineffective efforts to reduce unemployment
• Half-heartedly measures to curb corruption, market speculation and tax evasion
• Support for traditional sectors of the economy: tourism, banking and rent seeking activity
Geopolitics
• Ask for international solidarity through specific credit lines
• Lack of efficiency in economic diplomacy, renewal of diplomatic relations with Italy and China
• Division in the position towards the situation in the neighboring countries with military clashes on the borders
Health
• Disparity in getting access to the vaccine
• Lack of efficiency in preventing new contaminations: no more testing, no more compulsory self-isolation, no
effective covid mitigation measures
• Restriction on entry only for travelers (foreign national and tourist) coming from countries with high
contamination risk
Social
• Increased food insecurity and poverty, rise of criminality, looting, illegal immigration, in return severe police
oppression
• Increased post-traumatic stress disorder, depression, suicide
• Important contribution of the Red Crescent, NGOs and the civil society to heal the situation.
8
10. Scenario 4 : Epitaph (Government-/ vaccine-)
Politics
Destructive leadership
• Corruption and political instability exacerbate at the head of the government
• Tunisia’s Political Polarization worsens after the first wave pandemic
• Violent political confrontation, rivalry and radicalism
Economy
• Interest group and lobbies, economic banditry and illegal market stormed the country's economy
• Economic austerity continues to be applied at the expense of the laborers and the middle class
• SME s in difficulty are left to their own devices leading to an unprecedented collapse , national companies are
forced into bankruptcy, massive layoffs
Geopolitics
• Foreign lobbies are lurking around to put their hand on national strategic sectors
• Division in the position towards the situation in the neighboring countries with military clashes on the borders
• Political chaos undermined the image of the country; cooperation, mutual aid and international solidarity are no
more expected
Health
• No vaccine ready. No more restrictions for entry for travelers, nor strict confinement measures are applied.
New mutated corona virus cluster emerges.
• Total collapse of the health system, speculation, fake medical supplies and treatment are spreading in the
black market.
• Exhausted medical staff and personnel health are overwhelmed due to a weak hospital capacity and a luck of
effective medical equipment (ICU beds, ventilators…)
Social
• Marginalization of basic human rights and feeling of insecurity have caused social protest, riot and violence,
rural banditry, civil war
• Impoverishment of the middle class, poverty and famine reached unprecedented levels and continues to grow
• Exacerbated social unrest and political turmoil weakens our police and military institutions facilitating the
invasion of the country by fundamentalists mainly across the Libyan border.
9