INVESTOR PRESENTATION
Q2 2012

Petrarca Capital Management, LLC
Global Financials Sector Fund
Strictly Confidential. | Not For Distribution to the General Public.
PETRARCA OVERVIEW
PETRARCA OVERVIEW

INVESTMENT PROCESS

IDEA GENERATION

PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION

RISK MANAGEMENT

SUMMARY

FUND INFORMATION

INTRODUCTION TO PETRARCA CAPITAL
Strategy

STRATEGY
Managing Partners

financials sector
Investment Process

Portfolio Characteristics

Alignment of Interests

Page #
PETRARCA OVERVIEW

INVESTMENT PROCESS

IDEA GENERATION

PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION

RISK MANAGEMENT

SUMMARY

FUND INFORMATION

INTRODUCTION TO PETRARCA CAPITAL
Strategy

MANAGING PARTNERS
Managing Partners

Investment Process

Portfolio Characteristics

Alignment of Interests

Page #

Robert Lacoursière, former Partner and Head of Global
Banks at Paulson & Co. and James Fotheringham,
former Senior Vice President at Paulson & Co.
Managing Partners have four decades of aggregate experience analyzing financial securities up and down the
capital structure, across countries and continents, over
economic cycles and during financial crises
Managing partners were responsible for ~$10bn in as
many as 70 financials sector positions in each of their
four years at Paulson & Co. (2008-2012)
PETRARCA OVERVIEW

INVESTMENT PROCESS

IDEA GENERATION

PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION

RISK MANAGEMENT

SUMMARY

FUND INFORMATION

INTRODUCTION TO PETRARCA CAPITAL
Strategy

INVESTMENT PROCESS
Managing Partners

Investment Process

Portfolio Characteristics

Alignment of Interests

Page #

idea generation, portfolio construction, risk management and ongoing portfolio rebalancing
PETRARCA OVERVIEW

INVESTMENT PROCESS

IDEA GENERATION

PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION

RISK MANAGEMENT

SUMMARY

FUND INFORMATION

INTRODUCTION TO PETRARCA CAPITAL
Strategy

PORTFOLIO CHARACTERISTICS
Managing Partners

Investment Process

Asian, as well as North American financials securities
invest higher in the capital structure

Portfolio Characteristics

gross exposure)
Alignment of Interests

ealthy mix of investment themes (macro, sector,
months)

Page #
PETRARCA OVERVIEW

INVESTMENT PROCESS

IDEA GENERATION

PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION

RISK MANAGEMENT

SUMMARY

FUND INFORMATION

INTRODUCTION TO PETRARCA CAPITAL
Strategy

ALIGNMENT OF INTERESTS
Managing Partners

Investment Process

Portfolio Characteristics

Alignment of Interests

Page #

net worth invested in the fund
PETRARCA OVERVIEW

INVESTMENT PROCESS

IDEA GENERATION

PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION

RISK MANAGEMENT

SUMMARY

FUND INFORMATION

MANAGING PARTNER BIOGRAPHIES

Placeholder
ROBERT
LACOURSIÈRE
Managing Partner,
Chief Investment
Officer and Coportfolio Manager

Prior to co-founding Petrarca, Robert was a partner at Paul
son & Company where he was Head of the Global Banks Team.
Robert has over
years experience in the global financials
sector.
Prior to joining Paulson in 2008, Robert covered US Mortgage
and Specialty Finance as a widely-respected sell-side
research analyst at Banc of America Securities.
Prior to that Robert was Head of Financial Strategy at Capital
One, and covered US mid-cap banks at Lehman Brothers
where he had also been the Director of Latin American uity
Research.
Robert headed the Latin American Financial Institutions
Research Group at Bear Stearns from New York as well
as at Santander Securities from Mexico City.
Before his time on the sell side, Robert worked at the Bank of
Nova Scotia in Toronto as a Manager of Latin American Investments.

Robert has an M.B.A. from I.E.S.E. in Spain and a B.A. from
the University of Western Ontario in Canada.
Robert has been married 21 years and has two
daughters, aged
and
Page #
PETRARCA OVERVIEW

INVESTMENT PROCESS

IDEA GENERATION

PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION

RISK MANAGEMENT

SUMMARY

FUND INFORMATION

MANAGING PARTNER BIOGRAPHIES
dent at Paulson & Company covering the global financials
sector from 2008 to 2012.

Placeholder
JAMES
FOTHERINGHAM
Managing Partner
and Co-Portfolio
Manager

Page #

gage and Specialty Finance from New York and European
banks from London.
Kingdom, as well as M.Sc. and B.Sc.H. degrees from Queen’s
University in Canada
nine and seven.
PETRARCA OVERVIEW

INVESTMENT PROCESS

IDEA GENERATION

PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION

RISK MANAGEMENT

SUMMARY

MANAGING PARTNER BIOGRAPHIES
EXPERIENCE
Paulson & Company
2008-2012
The global financials sector

Placeholder
JAMES
FOTHERINGHAM
Managing Partner
and Co-Portfolio
Manager

Goldman Sachs
US Mortgage and Specialty Finance

Oxford University in the United Kingdom
Queen’s University in Canada
FAMILY LIFE

Page #

FUND INFORMATION
PETRARCA OVERVIEW

INVESTMENT PROCESS

IDEA GENERATION

PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION

RISK MANAGEMENT

SUMMARY

FUND INFORMATION

MANAGING PARTNER EXPERIENCE
Placeholder
FINANCIALS SECTOR
GLOBAL EVENTS
TIMELINE

Placeholder
ROBERT LACOURSIÈRE

JAMES FOTHERINGHAM

Managing Partner,
Chief Investment Officer
& Co-Portfolio Manager

Managing Partner,
Co-Portfolio Manager

Canada

Europe

1988
1990
1992
1994

BRADY BOND PLAN
MEXICAN BANK PRIVATIZATIONS

IESE
MBA

TEQUILA CRISIS

BANK OF NOVA SCOTIA
Manager, Latin America Invesments
SANTAN

1996
1998
2000

BANK OF NOVA SCOTIA
Manager

RUSSIAN DEFAULT
BEAR STEARNS

D Phil

ASIAN CRISIS
LEHMAN BROTHER

2002
2004

EMERGING MARKET FINANCIALLIBERALIZATION

2006 US SUBPRIME BUBBLE

CAPITAL ONE
Head Financial Strategy
BANK OF AMERICA SECURITIES
Principal, U.S. Mortgage, Consumer &

2008 GREAT FINANCIAL CRISIS
2010
2012
Page #

BANK BAILOUTS
PIIGS SOVEREIGN CRISIS

Partner, Head of Global Banks

SVP, Global Banks

Latin America

U.S.

Global
PETRARCA OVERVIEW

INVESTMENT PROCESS

IDEA GENERATION

PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION

RISK MANAGEMENT

SUMMARY

FUND INFORMATION

PROPOSED ORGANIZATION
Robert Lacoursière

James Fotheringham

Managing Partner2
Chief Investment Officer (CIO)
Manager

Chief Operating Officer
(COO)

Managing Partner2
Manager

Trader

Analyst

Service Providers
PRIME BROKERS

Financial Controller

1 Organizational structure will broaden to support anticipated growth in assets under management
2 Managing partners share portfolio responsibility; CIO has ultimate portfolio discretion

Page #

Office Manager

Goldman, Sachs & Co.
Credit Suisse
LEGAL COUNSEL Seward & Kissel LLP (U.S.)
Ogier (Cayman)
AUDITOR
TBD
ADMINISTRATOR TBD
BANK
TBD
IDEA GENERATION
PETRARCA OVERVIEW

INVESTMENT PROCESS

IDEA GENERATION

PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION

RISK MANAGEMENT

SUMMARY

FUND INFORMATION

GEOGRAPHICAL MONITOR (illustrative, from Q4’11)
Thailand

Financials are a levered play on
economic cycles
We focus on countries levered to
changes in global growth,
and financials securities most
sensitive to their domestic
economies
We time investments according to
macro inflection signals and
expected policy responses

HIGH OPPORTUNITY
MODERATE OPPORTUNITY LOCAL
MACRO CONVICTION REQUIRED

Financials Price Relationship to Domestic Economy2

80

Australia

Philippines

South Korea

USA

Canada

Chile

Singapore

Spain

Sweden

Hong Kong
China

60

Turkey

Netherlands
Peru
Germany

France

India

Argentina

Poland
UK

Italy

Russia

Colombia

Mexico
Hungary

Czech Republic

Norway

Japan

40
Switzerland
Denmark

-1x

0x

1x

2x

x

Bubbles sized in proportion to market capitalization

4x

x

Country Sensitivity to Global Economic Growth1
1. Conse uent change in each country’s annual growth in nominal GDP in USD from a 100bps change in annual growth in nominal GDP in USD of the G7 countries plus China.
Bloomberg.
2. Relationship (R2) between uarterly share price performance of financials stocks versus annual growth in nominal domestic GDP. Sour

Page #

Brazil

70

MODERATE OPPORTUNITY GLOBAL
MACRO CONVICTION REQUIRED
LOW OPPORTUNITY

Malaysia

Taiwan

6x

7x

8x
PETRARCA OVERVIEW

INVESTMENT PROCESS

IDEA GENERATION

PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION

RISK MANAGEMENT

SUMMARY

FUND INFORMATION

CAPITAL ADEQUACY MONITOR (illustrative, from Q4’11)
x
28x

Capital
is an
important input into our sector
analysis framework
We gauge capital
by
gross tangible assets (US GAAP)
to tangible common
Relative leverage allows
us to contextualize
existing and potential
regulatory forbearance
Leverage differs among regions,
as well as among companies
within regions

Financial Companies’ Leverage1
TA (US GAAP) TCE

x

SHORT ABOVE THE LINE
Risk of share dilution
or weaker growth

26x

LEVERAGE THRESHOLD

20x
18x
x

BUY BELOW THE LINE
Expectation for capital return
or stronger growth

14x
12x

10x

x

0x
Canada

Europe

1. Leverage calculated as tangible assets under US GAAP over tangible common e uity; tangible assets are estimated wherever US GAAP e uivalents are not disclosed.
Sour
Company reports, Petrarca estimates.

Page #

Asia

LatAm

USA

Petrarca capital test pla

  • 1.
    INVESTOR PRESENTATION Q2 2012 PetrarcaCapital Management, LLC Global Financials Sector Fund Strictly Confidential. | Not For Distribution to the General Public.
  • 2.
  • 3.
    PETRARCA OVERVIEW INVESTMENT PROCESS IDEAGENERATION PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION RISK MANAGEMENT SUMMARY FUND INFORMATION INTRODUCTION TO PETRARCA CAPITAL Strategy STRATEGY Managing Partners financials sector Investment Process Portfolio Characteristics Alignment of Interests Page #
  • 4.
    PETRARCA OVERVIEW INVESTMENT PROCESS IDEAGENERATION PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION RISK MANAGEMENT SUMMARY FUND INFORMATION INTRODUCTION TO PETRARCA CAPITAL Strategy MANAGING PARTNERS Managing Partners Investment Process Portfolio Characteristics Alignment of Interests Page # Robert Lacoursière, former Partner and Head of Global Banks at Paulson & Co. and James Fotheringham, former Senior Vice President at Paulson & Co. Managing Partners have four decades of aggregate experience analyzing financial securities up and down the capital structure, across countries and continents, over economic cycles and during financial crises Managing partners were responsible for ~$10bn in as many as 70 financials sector positions in each of their four years at Paulson & Co. (2008-2012)
  • 5.
    PETRARCA OVERVIEW INVESTMENT PROCESS IDEAGENERATION PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION RISK MANAGEMENT SUMMARY FUND INFORMATION INTRODUCTION TO PETRARCA CAPITAL Strategy INVESTMENT PROCESS Managing Partners Investment Process Portfolio Characteristics Alignment of Interests Page # idea generation, portfolio construction, risk management and ongoing portfolio rebalancing
  • 6.
    PETRARCA OVERVIEW INVESTMENT PROCESS IDEAGENERATION PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION RISK MANAGEMENT SUMMARY FUND INFORMATION INTRODUCTION TO PETRARCA CAPITAL Strategy PORTFOLIO CHARACTERISTICS Managing Partners Investment Process Asian, as well as North American financials securities invest higher in the capital structure Portfolio Characteristics gross exposure) Alignment of Interests ealthy mix of investment themes (macro, sector, months) Page #
  • 7.
    PETRARCA OVERVIEW INVESTMENT PROCESS IDEAGENERATION PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION RISK MANAGEMENT SUMMARY FUND INFORMATION INTRODUCTION TO PETRARCA CAPITAL Strategy ALIGNMENT OF INTERESTS Managing Partners Investment Process Portfolio Characteristics Alignment of Interests Page # net worth invested in the fund
  • 8.
    PETRARCA OVERVIEW INVESTMENT PROCESS IDEAGENERATION PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION RISK MANAGEMENT SUMMARY FUND INFORMATION MANAGING PARTNER BIOGRAPHIES Placeholder ROBERT LACOURSIÈRE Managing Partner, Chief Investment Officer and Coportfolio Manager Prior to co-founding Petrarca, Robert was a partner at Paul son & Company where he was Head of the Global Banks Team. Robert has over years experience in the global financials sector. Prior to joining Paulson in 2008, Robert covered US Mortgage and Specialty Finance as a widely-respected sell-side research analyst at Banc of America Securities. Prior to that Robert was Head of Financial Strategy at Capital One, and covered US mid-cap banks at Lehman Brothers where he had also been the Director of Latin American uity Research. Robert headed the Latin American Financial Institutions Research Group at Bear Stearns from New York as well as at Santander Securities from Mexico City. Before his time on the sell side, Robert worked at the Bank of Nova Scotia in Toronto as a Manager of Latin American Investments. Robert has an M.B.A. from I.E.S.E. in Spain and a B.A. from the University of Western Ontario in Canada. Robert has been married 21 years and has two daughters, aged and Page #
  • 9.
    PETRARCA OVERVIEW INVESTMENT PROCESS IDEAGENERATION PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION RISK MANAGEMENT SUMMARY FUND INFORMATION MANAGING PARTNER BIOGRAPHIES dent at Paulson & Company covering the global financials sector from 2008 to 2012. Placeholder JAMES FOTHERINGHAM Managing Partner and Co-Portfolio Manager Page # gage and Specialty Finance from New York and European banks from London. Kingdom, as well as M.Sc. and B.Sc.H. degrees from Queen’s University in Canada nine and seven.
  • 10.
    PETRARCA OVERVIEW INVESTMENT PROCESS IDEAGENERATION PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION RISK MANAGEMENT SUMMARY MANAGING PARTNER BIOGRAPHIES EXPERIENCE Paulson & Company 2008-2012 The global financials sector Placeholder JAMES FOTHERINGHAM Managing Partner and Co-Portfolio Manager Goldman Sachs US Mortgage and Specialty Finance Oxford University in the United Kingdom Queen’s University in Canada FAMILY LIFE Page # FUND INFORMATION
  • 11.
    PETRARCA OVERVIEW INVESTMENT PROCESS IDEAGENERATION PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION RISK MANAGEMENT SUMMARY FUND INFORMATION MANAGING PARTNER EXPERIENCE Placeholder FINANCIALS SECTOR GLOBAL EVENTS TIMELINE Placeholder ROBERT LACOURSIÈRE JAMES FOTHERINGHAM Managing Partner, Chief Investment Officer & Co-Portfolio Manager Managing Partner, Co-Portfolio Manager Canada Europe 1988 1990 1992 1994 BRADY BOND PLAN MEXICAN BANK PRIVATIZATIONS IESE MBA TEQUILA CRISIS BANK OF NOVA SCOTIA Manager, Latin America Invesments SANTAN 1996 1998 2000 BANK OF NOVA SCOTIA Manager RUSSIAN DEFAULT BEAR STEARNS D Phil ASIAN CRISIS LEHMAN BROTHER 2002 2004 EMERGING MARKET FINANCIALLIBERALIZATION 2006 US SUBPRIME BUBBLE CAPITAL ONE Head Financial Strategy BANK OF AMERICA SECURITIES Principal, U.S. Mortgage, Consumer & 2008 GREAT FINANCIAL CRISIS 2010 2012 Page # BANK BAILOUTS PIIGS SOVEREIGN CRISIS Partner, Head of Global Banks SVP, Global Banks Latin America U.S. Global
  • 12.
    PETRARCA OVERVIEW INVESTMENT PROCESS IDEAGENERATION PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION RISK MANAGEMENT SUMMARY FUND INFORMATION PROPOSED ORGANIZATION Robert Lacoursière James Fotheringham Managing Partner2 Chief Investment Officer (CIO) Manager Chief Operating Officer (COO) Managing Partner2 Manager Trader Analyst Service Providers PRIME BROKERS Financial Controller 1 Organizational structure will broaden to support anticipated growth in assets under management 2 Managing partners share portfolio responsibility; CIO has ultimate portfolio discretion Page # Office Manager Goldman, Sachs & Co. Credit Suisse LEGAL COUNSEL Seward & Kissel LLP (U.S.) Ogier (Cayman) AUDITOR TBD ADMINISTRATOR TBD BANK TBD
  • 13.
  • 14.
    PETRARCA OVERVIEW INVESTMENT PROCESS IDEAGENERATION PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION RISK MANAGEMENT SUMMARY FUND INFORMATION GEOGRAPHICAL MONITOR (illustrative, from Q4’11) Thailand Financials are a levered play on economic cycles We focus on countries levered to changes in global growth, and financials securities most sensitive to their domestic economies We time investments according to macro inflection signals and expected policy responses HIGH OPPORTUNITY MODERATE OPPORTUNITY LOCAL MACRO CONVICTION REQUIRED Financials Price Relationship to Domestic Economy2 80 Australia Philippines South Korea USA Canada Chile Singapore Spain Sweden Hong Kong China 60 Turkey Netherlands Peru Germany France India Argentina Poland UK Italy Russia Colombia Mexico Hungary Czech Republic Norway Japan 40 Switzerland Denmark -1x 0x 1x 2x x Bubbles sized in proportion to market capitalization 4x x Country Sensitivity to Global Economic Growth1 1. Conse uent change in each country’s annual growth in nominal GDP in USD from a 100bps change in annual growth in nominal GDP in USD of the G7 countries plus China. Bloomberg. 2. Relationship (R2) between uarterly share price performance of financials stocks versus annual growth in nominal domestic GDP. Sour Page # Brazil 70 MODERATE OPPORTUNITY GLOBAL MACRO CONVICTION REQUIRED LOW OPPORTUNITY Malaysia Taiwan 6x 7x 8x
  • 15.
    PETRARCA OVERVIEW INVESTMENT PROCESS IDEAGENERATION PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION RISK MANAGEMENT SUMMARY FUND INFORMATION CAPITAL ADEQUACY MONITOR (illustrative, from Q4’11) x 28x Capital is an important input into our sector analysis framework We gauge capital by gross tangible assets (US GAAP) to tangible common Relative leverage allows us to contextualize existing and potential regulatory forbearance Leverage differs among regions, as well as among companies within regions Financial Companies’ Leverage1 TA (US GAAP) TCE x SHORT ABOVE THE LINE Risk of share dilution or weaker growth 26x LEVERAGE THRESHOLD 20x 18x x BUY BELOW THE LINE Expectation for capital return or stronger growth 14x 12x 10x x 0x Canada Europe 1. Leverage calculated as tangible assets under US GAAP over tangible common e uity; tangible assets are estimated wherever US GAAP e uivalents are not disclosed. Sour Company reports, Petrarca estimates. Page # Asia LatAm USA