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Predicting	the	Result	of	Incidents	
with	Big	Data	and	Data	Science
Michael	Fish,	Pentaho Sales	Engineer,	Hitachi	Vantara
Caio Moreno,	Pentaho Consultant,	Hitachi	Vantara
Anya	Rumyantseva,	Pentaho Data	Scientist,	Hitachi	Vantara
Agenda
Solving	Network	Rail	challenges	using	Pentaho	and	Data	Science	techniques
• Network	Rail	overview
• Challenges
• Implemented	approach
• Demo
• Future	vision
Who	Is	the	Prospect?
Network	Rail is	the	owner and	infrastructure	manager	of	the	rail	network	in	
England,	Scotland	and	Wales.
• Manage	the	Infrastructure	that	all	trains	run	on
• Their	job	to	get	as	many	services	running	on	the	network	as	possible
• If	services	are	late	or	don’t	run	and	it’s	Network	Rails	fault;	they	are	heavily	fined
What's	the	challenge	made	up	from?
• 20	thousand	miles	or	track
• 40	thousand	bridges	and	tunnels
• More	than	25	hundred	stations
• Bridges,	Level	Crossings,	embankments	etc.
• Freight	Services
• Financial	performance	metric	is	-£200m	below	target*!
* According	to	the	latest	Quarterly	report	(Q3	2016/2017)
Increasing	demand	on	Britain's	railway
Oldest	rail	network	in	the	world
Busiest	rail	network	in	the	world
Increasing	demand	on	Britain's	railwayTrain	delays	are	frustrating…
Increasing	demand	on	Britain's	railway
…and	expensive
FINES
Service	ProvidersTrain	Providers
NWR’s	Mission:
• Minimize	Disruption
• Maximise	Utilization
• Reduce	Fines
• Increase	Profits
First	Step:
Delay	
Attribution	
How	Are	Delays	Handled?
• Who’s	fault	was	
the	delay?
• What	was	the	
cost	of	the	delay?
• Who	has	to	pay	
for	the	delay?
Network	Rail
Our	Approach
• Develop	connectors	to	Network	Rail	data	feeds	in	Pentaho
• Build	Pentaho	dashboards	for	delays	monitoring
• Apply	machine	learning	algorithms	to	the	train	delays	data
Here	is	a	sample	footnote.
Our	Approach
Here	is	a	sample	footnote.
Complex	Use	CaseCross-functional	Team
How	It	Worked
Pentaho	Platform
Engineer	solution	to	
collect	Data,	blend,	
prepare	and	
visualize	results
Data	Science
Analyse	historic	delays	
to	model	delay	
attribution
Services
To	connect	to	NWR	data	
Service	– Custom	Plugin
Results!
Demo	Agenda
• Connecting	to	Network	Rail	Live	Data	Feeds	
• Analytics	on	Live	Train	Movement	Data
• Pentaho	Dashboards	for	Rail	Network	Condition	Monitoring
• Predicting	Incident	Attribution:	Machine	Learning	Orchestration	in	Pentaho
Demonstration
Summary
What	we	covered	today:
• The	Challenges	faced	by	the	rail	network
• This	isn’t	just	a	BI	problem,	it’s	a	data	engineering	and	data	science	problem
• Successfully	realized	high	value	in	predicting	the	attribution	of	delays
Pentaho World 2018: Network Rail: Predicting the Result of Incidents with Big Data and Data Science (Friday, October 27th, 2017)

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