This report is freely available to the public. If you find this report useful, pass it along to your friends, neighbors, associates. Anyone you think may be interested.
Better understand technical analysis and some indicatorsAbdirahmanYusuf14
This document provides an overview of technical analysis and some common indicators used in currency trading. It describes how technical analysis uses historical price data and trends to identify signals for profitable trades. Several technical indicators are explained, including moving averages, MACD, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracement, and RSI, which analyze trends, momentum, and overbought/oversold conditions to provide buy and sell signals. The document emphasizes the importance of combining multiple indicators and trading with the trend and within one's risk tolerance.
US inflation and new Fed chair in focus this weekRichard Perry
All eyes will turn back to the US this week as newly appointed Fed chair Jerome Powell faces the Congressional committees for the first time this week. Along with crucial inflation data this will be key for markets. We take a look at the outlook for forex, equities and commodities.
Are markets setting up for a dollar rally this week?Richard Perry
The document provides an outlook and analysis of key economic events and financial markets for the week of January 29th, 2018. It notes that no change is expected from the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting on January 31st. It summarizes factors driving recent US dollar weakness against other major currencies and expectations for further dollar declines. It also reviews expectations for major equity markets, commodity prices, and bond yields over the coming week based on scheduled economic data releases and other events.
Payrolls affecting markets with inflation in focus this weekRichard Perry
Traders continue to react to the mixed Non-farm Payrolls report on Friday that hampers building expectation for a fourth rate hike by the Fed this year. However attention will turn back to US inflation this week, with the core CPI data, whilst Trump's trade tariffs are still on investors' minds. We consider the outlook for forex, equity indices and commodities markets.
Trade negotiations and the Fed meeting key this weekHantec Markets
As signs that the global cyclical slowdown continue, it is a crucial week for markets with another meeting between the US and China on trade, Fed monetary policy, more Brexit debate and Non-farm Payrolls. We consider the latest outlook for forex, equities and commodities.
The US Presidential election is growing ever nearer and the markets are becoming more considered. The markets will though be looking towards crucial economic growth data this week which will indicate how the UK is performing post Brexit and a first look at Q3 GDP in the US as traders price in a Fed hike in December.
The weekly outlook provides a forecast for the upcoming week's key economic events and their potential impact. It expects the ECB to cut interest rates by 0.4% on Thursday but notes the market may be pricing in a larger 0.2% cut. China's trade and inflation data on Tuesday and Thursday will influence risk appetite. Central bank meetings in Canada, New Zealand and the Eurozone will drive volatility in their currencies and the euro.
With a dearth of US data the ECB will be key this weekRichard Perry
The document provides a weekly outlook and analysis of key economic events and financial markets. It summarizes that central banks continue to influence market sentiment, with the ECB signaling a move towards tapering asset purchases and the Fed acknowledging that sluggish inflation may require a slower pace of rate hikes. Key events this week include inflation data from the Eurozone and UK and central bank decisions from the ECB and BoJ. Technical indicators are analyzed for various currency pairs, equity indexes, commodities and bonds.
Better understand technical analysis and some indicatorsAbdirahmanYusuf14
This document provides an overview of technical analysis and some common indicators used in currency trading. It describes how technical analysis uses historical price data and trends to identify signals for profitable trades. Several technical indicators are explained, including moving averages, MACD, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracement, and RSI, which analyze trends, momentum, and overbought/oversold conditions to provide buy and sell signals. The document emphasizes the importance of combining multiple indicators and trading with the trend and within one's risk tolerance.
US inflation and new Fed chair in focus this weekRichard Perry
All eyes will turn back to the US this week as newly appointed Fed chair Jerome Powell faces the Congressional committees for the first time this week. Along with crucial inflation data this will be key for markets. We take a look at the outlook for forex, equities and commodities.
Are markets setting up for a dollar rally this week?Richard Perry
The document provides an outlook and analysis of key economic events and financial markets for the week of January 29th, 2018. It notes that no change is expected from the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting on January 31st. It summarizes factors driving recent US dollar weakness against other major currencies and expectations for further dollar declines. It also reviews expectations for major equity markets, commodity prices, and bond yields over the coming week based on scheduled economic data releases and other events.
Payrolls affecting markets with inflation in focus this weekRichard Perry
Traders continue to react to the mixed Non-farm Payrolls report on Friday that hampers building expectation for a fourth rate hike by the Fed this year. However attention will turn back to US inflation this week, with the core CPI data, whilst Trump's trade tariffs are still on investors' minds. We consider the outlook for forex, equity indices and commodities markets.
Trade negotiations and the Fed meeting key this weekHantec Markets
As signs that the global cyclical slowdown continue, it is a crucial week for markets with another meeting between the US and China on trade, Fed monetary policy, more Brexit debate and Non-farm Payrolls. We consider the latest outlook for forex, equities and commodities.
The US Presidential election is growing ever nearer and the markets are becoming more considered. The markets will though be looking towards crucial economic growth data this week which will indicate how the UK is performing post Brexit and a first look at Q3 GDP in the US as traders price in a Fed hike in December.
The weekly outlook provides a forecast for the upcoming week's key economic events and their potential impact. It expects the ECB to cut interest rates by 0.4% on Thursday but notes the market may be pricing in a larger 0.2% cut. China's trade and inflation data on Tuesday and Thursday will influence risk appetite. Central bank meetings in Canada, New Zealand and the Eurozone will drive volatility in their currencies and the euro.
With a dearth of US data the ECB will be key this weekRichard Perry
The document provides a weekly outlook and analysis of key economic events and financial markets. It summarizes that central banks continue to influence market sentiment, with the ECB signaling a move towards tapering asset purchases and the Fed acknowledging that sluggish inflation may require a slower pace of rate hikes. Key events this week include inflation data from the Eurozone and UK and central bank decisions from the ECB and BoJ. Technical indicators are analyzed for various currency pairs, equity indexes, commodities and bonds.
China and expectations over a Fed rate hike continue to dominate trading sent...Hantec Markets
The build up to Non-farm Payrolls is always much hyped and as we get ever closer to the point of which a rate hike could be announced, the focus on tier one US economic data is magnified even more. On the headline figure 215,000 jobs added with an upward revision of last month to 231,000 is solid if a little unspectacular. Unemployment remains at 5.3% just above the 5.0%/5.2% that the Fed deems to be “full employment”. All fine so far. However, the average hourly earnings fell to 2.1% on the yearly data which remains stubbornly low.
Brexit coming to a head as the FOMC rolls into townHantec Markets
The Brexit countdown clock ticks ever closer to deadline but as yet every potential outcome is still possible. We look at the latest standings. The outlook for the dollar is also still key in a week where the FOMC monetary policy decision will be scrutinised. We consider the outlook for forex, equities and commodities.
Bond markets remain in focus after recent curve inversionHantec Markets
Economic data for the US is key to how bond yields respond and how this impacts across major markets. The first week of the month is always jam packed with tier one data and this one could be key for the dollar. We look at the impact on forex, equities and commodities.
Politics, monetary policy and inflation all key for marketsRichard Perry
Markets are responding to a stream of key political developments in recent days. Theresa May trying to kick start the painfully slow Brexit negotiations, key elections in German and New Zealand and also the ongoing geopolitical tensions of the Korean Peninsula. Financial markets are trying to figure out the impact of all of this and the Federal Reserve monetary policy, whilst traders will also be looking ahead to key US inflation data this week. We look at the outlook for forex, equities and commodities.
Technical analysis, market efficiency, and behavioral financeBabasab Patil
Technical analysis uses patterns in stock prices and trading volume to predict future market movements and identify trading opportunities. The efficient market hypothesis states that stock prices instantly reflect all available information, making technical analysis ineffective. However, behavioral finance suggests psychological factors influence investor decisions and market anomalies exist, challenging the notion of complete market efficiency.
The document provides an overview of technical analysis and various techniques for determining market trends and identifying trading opportunities, including trend lines, psychological levels, moving averages, Bollinger Bands, MACD, and stochastic. Examples are given for each technique that illustrate how to determine the market bias, establish entry and exit criteria, and design trading strategies around supports and resistances. Technical analysis techniques are presented as educational tools and there is no guarantee they will result in profits.
In this week's Invast report, we discussed The Federal Reserve and the future of money printing, then we mentioned the quality of assets for Australian banks; particularly ANZ, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, National Australian Bank and Westpac. We also covered basic information on pivot points. Lastly, we answered a client question regarding stocks with very low liquidity.
This document discusses volatility and provides strategies for managing risk. It begins by stating that moderate volatility is healthy for financial markets as it separates strong from weak investments. The document then discusses three components needed for a well-functioning financial system: cognitive diversity among investors, full disclosure of information, and rewards/penalties for correct/incorrect views. It suggests investors should focus on owning businesses rather than reacting to market fluctuations, and construct diversified portfolios that are not overly correlated with any single index. Strategies discussed for managing risk include owning a variety of assets, investing globally for currency exposure benefits, and focusing on long-term goals rather than short-term volatility.
UK and Eurozone inflation focus in a quiet week for US dataRichard Perry
Central bankers are increasingly focusing on persuading everyone that inflation is set to turn higher, however the data continues to tell a different story, at least in the US. With a lack of tier one US data this week attention will turn to UK and Eurozone inflation data to drive sentiment. We look at the outlook for forex, equities and commodities.
Bollinger Bands are a technical analysis indicator tool consisting of three bands plotted above and below a simple moving average. The bands are calculated as a set number of standard deviations from the moving average. When prices touch the upper or lower bands, it signals high or low volatility but does not necessarily indicate a trend change. The distance between the bands indicates the strength of the current trend, with tighter bands signaling lower volatility and wider bands indicating a strong trend. Bollinger Bands help analyze price action and pattern recognition to determine when to enter and exit positions.
he world is changing and we have to learn to adjust to new technologies. The markets have been viewed as volatile.....where were you during the highly volatile tech rally at the turn of the century. Let us remind you that during those years,trading haults were triggered frequently. Today, we have nothing like that to deal with. Hummm guess volatile is a relative term.
The document provides commentary on various financial markets and economic indicators. It discusses:
1. Employer tactics like making all employees part-time or using automation to avoid paying $15 minimum wage and benefits.
2. The impact of a strong US dollar on multinational company earnings and exports. The dollar is at a support level and could impact future earnings if it gains strength.
3. Commentary on movements in the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Russell 2000, US Dollar Index, crude oil, and gold. Technical indicators are discussed for each market.
The dollar remained higher against other major currencies despite disappointing US consumer sentiment data, supported by comments from President Trump about an ambitious upcoming tax reform plan. The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index fell more than expected in February. Meanwhile, the euro remained fragile due to political risks in Europe, including upcoming elections. Data showed improvements in UK manufacturing and industrial production in December but the pound shrugged it off. Japanese PM Shinzo Abe and Trump were set to meet over trade and currency issues. Technical analyses provided outlooks for various currency pairs, including selling JPYINR with a target of 58.60 and buying USDINR with a target of 67.45. Upcoming economic indicators from Germany and preliminary GDP data from an unnamed
The document provides an outlook and analysis for the week of May 3rd. It summarizes key economic data being released, including non-farm payrolls and PMIs. It also previews major central bank meetings and analyzes the impact of recent data on expectations for US rate hikes. Charts are included analyzing movements in currencies like EUR/USD and USD/JPY as well as stock indices like the DAX and FTSE 100. Risk appetite is seen as being called into question as equities decouple from oil gains and economic growth prospects remain uncertain.
As traders return to their desks from their summer break we consider the prospects of the dollar int he coming week. Economic data makes a welcome return to switch focus away from the politics with Non-farm Payrolls topping the agenda. We consider the outlook for major forex, equities and commodities markets.
Yield differentials and US retail sales key this weekRichard Perry
After a few weeks of recovery on the dollar there are now a few question marks over the longevity of the rebound. Economic data and yield differentials are playing a big role again. We consider the outlook for forex, equities and commodities this week.
This document provides information about a financial weekly publication called Smart Investment that is published in English and Gujarati. It includes the publication details, subscription rates for print and email editions, bank details, and disclaimer information. The publication contains articles and analysis on the stock market along with charts and tables on topics like FII/DII activity, best performing mutual funds and stocks, and alternative investment returns.
- The document outlines a webinar on option selling strategies presented by Yeshwanth Reddivari.
- It introduces Yeshwanth and his trading journey, which began with success but losses from option buying that led him to switch to primarily option selling strategies.
- The webinar covers various option selling strategies including short straddles, indicators like Donchian channels and VWAP, analyzing open interest, and strategies for trading around expiry.
China and expectations over a Fed rate hike continue to dominate trading sent...Hantec Markets
The build up to Non-farm Payrolls is always much hyped and as we get ever closer to the point of which a rate hike could be announced, the focus on tier one US economic data is magnified even more. On the headline figure 215,000 jobs added with an upward revision of last month to 231,000 is solid if a little unspectacular. Unemployment remains at 5.3% just above the 5.0%/5.2% that the Fed deems to be “full employment”. All fine so far. However, the average hourly earnings fell to 2.1% on the yearly data which remains stubbornly low.
Brexit coming to a head as the FOMC rolls into townHantec Markets
The Brexit countdown clock ticks ever closer to deadline but as yet every potential outcome is still possible. We look at the latest standings. The outlook for the dollar is also still key in a week where the FOMC monetary policy decision will be scrutinised. We consider the outlook for forex, equities and commodities.
Bond markets remain in focus after recent curve inversionHantec Markets
Economic data for the US is key to how bond yields respond and how this impacts across major markets. The first week of the month is always jam packed with tier one data and this one could be key for the dollar. We look at the impact on forex, equities and commodities.
Politics, monetary policy and inflation all key for marketsRichard Perry
Markets are responding to a stream of key political developments in recent days. Theresa May trying to kick start the painfully slow Brexit negotiations, key elections in German and New Zealand and also the ongoing geopolitical tensions of the Korean Peninsula. Financial markets are trying to figure out the impact of all of this and the Federal Reserve monetary policy, whilst traders will also be looking ahead to key US inflation data this week. We look at the outlook for forex, equities and commodities.
Technical analysis, market efficiency, and behavioral financeBabasab Patil
Technical analysis uses patterns in stock prices and trading volume to predict future market movements and identify trading opportunities. The efficient market hypothesis states that stock prices instantly reflect all available information, making technical analysis ineffective. However, behavioral finance suggests psychological factors influence investor decisions and market anomalies exist, challenging the notion of complete market efficiency.
The document provides an overview of technical analysis and various techniques for determining market trends and identifying trading opportunities, including trend lines, psychological levels, moving averages, Bollinger Bands, MACD, and stochastic. Examples are given for each technique that illustrate how to determine the market bias, establish entry and exit criteria, and design trading strategies around supports and resistances. Technical analysis techniques are presented as educational tools and there is no guarantee they will result in profits.
In this week's Invast report, we discussed The Federal Reserve and the future of money printing, then we mentioned the quality of assets for Australian banks; particularly ANZ, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, National Australian Bank and Westpac. We also covered basic information on pivot points. Lastly, we answered a client question regarding stocks with very low liquidity.
This document discusses volatility and provides strategies for managing risk. It begins by stating that moderate volatility is healthy for financial markets as it separates strong from weak investments. The document then discusses three components needed for a well-functioning financial system: cognitive diversity among investors, full disclosure of information, and rewards/penalties for correct/incorrect views. It suggests investors should focus on owning businesses rather than reacting to market fluctuations, and construct diversified portfolios that are not overly correlated with any single index. Strategies discussed for managing risk include owning a variety of assets, investing globally for currency exposure benefits, and focusing on long-term goals rather than short-term volatility.
UK and Eurozone inflation focus in a quiet week for US dataRichard Perry
Central bankers are increasingly focusing on persuading everyone that inflation is set to turn higher, however the data continues to tell a different story, at least in the US. With a lack of tier one US data this week attention will turn to UK and Eurozone inflation data to drive sentiment. We look at the outlook for forex, equities and commodities.
Bollinger Bands are a technical analysis indicator tool consisting of three bands plotted above and below a simple moving average. The bands are calculated as a set number of standard deviations from the moving average. When prices touch the upper or lower bands, it signals high or low volatility but does not necessarily indicate a trend change. The distance between the bands indicates the strength of the current trend, with tighter bands signaling lower volatility and wider bands indicating a strong trend. Bollinger Bands help analyze price action and pattern recognition to determine when to enter and exit positions.
he world is changing and we have to learn to adjust to new technologies. The markets have been viewed as volatile.....where were you during the highly volatile tech rally at the turn of the century. Let us remind you that during those years,trading haults were triggered frequently. Today, we have nothing like that to deal with. Hummm guess volatile is a relative term.
The document provides commentary on various financial markets and economic indicators. It discusses:
1. Employer tactics like making all employees part-time or using automation to avoid paying $15 minimum wage and benefits.
2. The impact of a strong US dollar on multinational company earnings and exports. The dollar is at a support level and could impact future earnings if it gains strength.
3. Commentary on movements in the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Russell 2000, US Dollar Index, crude oil, and gold. Technical indicators are discussed for each market.
The dollar remained higher against other major currencies despite disappointing US consumer sentiment data, supported by comments from President Trump about an ambitious upcoming tax reform plan. The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index fell more than expected in February. Meanwhile, the euro remained fragile due to political risks in Europe, including upcoming elections. Data showed improvements in UK manufacturing and industrial production in December but the pound shrugged it off. Japanese PM Shinzo Abe and Trump were set to meet over trade and currency issues. Technical analyses provided outlooks for various currency pairs, including selling JPYINR with a target of 58.60 and buying USDINR with a target of 67.45. Upcoming economic indicators from Germany and preliminary GDP data from an unnamed
The document provides an outlook and analysis for the week of May 3rd. It summarizes key economic data being released, including non-farm payrolls and PMIs. It also previews major central bank meetings and analyzes the impact of recent data on expectations for US rate hikes. Charts are included analyzing movements in currencies like EUR/USD and USD/JPY as well as stock indices like the DAX and FTSE 100. Risk appetite is seen as being called into question as equities decouple from oil gains and economic growth prospects remain uncertain.
As traders return to their desks from their summer break we consider the prospects of the dollar int he coming week. Economic data makes a welcome return to switch focus away from the politics with Non-farm Payrolls topping the agenda. We consider the outlook for major forex, equities and commodities markets.
Yield differentials and US retail sales key this weekRichard Perry
After a few weeks of recovery on the dollar there are now a few question marks over the longevity of the rebound. Economic data and yield differentials are playing a big role again. We consider the outlook for forex, equities and commodities this week.
This document provides information about a financial weekly publication called Smart Investment that is published in English and Gujarati. It includes the publication details, subscription rates for print and email editions, bank details, and disclaimer information. The publication contains articles and analysis on the stock market along with charts and tables on topics like FII/DII activity, best performing mutual funds and stocks, and alternative investment returns.
- The document outlines a webinar on option selling strategies presented by Yeshwanth Reddivari.
- It introduces Yeshwanth and his trading journey, which began with success but losses from option buying that led him to switch to primarily option selling strategies.
- The webinar covers various option selling strategies including short straddles, indicators like Donchian channels and VWAP, analyzing open interest, and strategies for trading around expiry.
The document introduces the "Cash Flow Effect" (CFE) trading strategy. CFE analyzes the flow of money through different tiers of the stock market. It holds that the overall market direction influences sector and large company stock movements, which then influence mid-size and small companies. The strategy monitors a Nasdaq chart along with sector indicators to determine market direction under the CFE approach. When the various indicators align, it signals opportunities to enter trades in accordance with the overall market flow. Mastering CFE combined with other trading tools and insights provides an advantage over other traders.
The document discusses various technical, fundamental, and seasonal factors for measuring change in the stock market to identify investment opportunities. It outlines metrics for analyzing short-term momentum, long-term trends, earnings momentum, insider buying, short interest, price-earnings ratios, and seasonality to help portfolio managers save time, beat their peer group, and grow assets under management while improving investors' returns.
This newsletter discusses the market reaction to rising COVID cases in April 2021. It summarizes that key indices like Nifty and Sensex saw high volatility as some investors believed cases would peak soon while others feared rising deaths. Overall, indices ended about where they started. It notes that while foreign investors were net sellers, domestic investors were net buyers, indicating greater local faith in managing the crisis. The newsletter also provides an inspiring case study of a 37-year old investor who started SIP at age 27 and has accumulated around Rs. 82 lacs, emphasizing the power of compound interest and disciplined long-term investing. It recommends dynamic asset allocation funds to help navigate volatility.
Margins are required in stock markets to mitigate risks arising from uncertainty in share price movements. [1] Volatility refers to uncertainty in price changes and is typically calculated based on historical price data, such as the standard deviation of daily returns over the past six months. [2] While price movements reflect changes in a company's prospects, volatility specifically measures the magnitude of price changes, with larger fluctuations indicating higher volatility. [3] Volatility is a key factor in determining the margins required from investors.
Margins are required in stock markets to mitigate risks arising from uncertainty in share price movements. [1] Volatility refers to uncertainty in price changes and is typically calculated based on historical price data, such as the standard deviation of daily returns over the past six months. [2] While price movements reflect changes in a company's prospects, volatility specifically measures the magnitude of price changes, with larger fluctuations indicating higher volatility. [3] Volatility is a key factor in determining the margins required from investors.
The last couple of years have seen significant impact of social media on stock markets, in general, and specific stocks in particular. This White Paper explores how new-age investors can leverage various social forums and new-media sources to get an edge in the stock market.
Become a profitable forex trader with FOREXBEE
This indicator plots the supply and demand zones on the price chart of financial assets. These zones help retail traders in trading.
it plots four types of zones
Rally base Rally
Drop base Drop
Drop base Rally
Rally base Drop
INCREDIBLE Conversions
LONG-TERM Evergreen Offer
MASSIVE Payouts
James Hamer • Global View Capital Management, LTD
- What does alpha have to do with the weather? Understanding the "seasonal performance" of actively managed strategies using market type by Dave Witkin
- Conflicting data continues to present mixed economic picture
- Active management: a good fit for cultural attitudes (Jong Oh, FSC Securities Corporation)
This document provides an introduction and overview of the Harmonic Volatility Indicator, a technical analysis indicator for measuring market volatility. It describes how the indicator provides curved support and resistance lines using Fibonacci analysis applied to volatility rather than price. The indicator aims to overcome limitations of other volatility tools like Bollinger Bands by providing a more comprehensive picture of market volatility. It can help identify mature trends that are nearing an end and provides support/resistance levels for trading strategies.
This document provides information about investing in the stock market in India. It states that approximately 1.2 crore people actively invest and trade in the Indian stock market out of a total population of 138 crores. During the COVID-19 pandemic, more people became aware of investing in the stock market through trading platforms. New demat accounts opened increased by 130% from April to September 2020 compared to the previous year.
Tamohara investment newsletter September 2015tamohara
The document is a monthly newsletter from Tamohara Investment Managers discussing market volatility and corrections. It notes that corrections of 5-20% are normal even during bull markets. While markets correcting can worry investors in the short term, focusing on long term fundamentals is better than reacting to short term movements. Current market conditions do not show signs of euphoria seen late in past bull markets. Despite volatility, Indian markets are positioned for growth supported by stable macros, improving governance, and transitioning to consumption-driven growth in China. Investors are advised to think long term and do less reacting to daily news and movements.
The document discusses the Dow Theory approach to investing, which uses trends in the stock market to time buys and sells. It outlines the rules of the Dow Theory for the 21st Century (DT21C) approach, which improves on the original Dow Theory by using 3 indexes instead of 2 and defines signals and trends more precisely. The DT21C has outperformed the buy and hold strategy with lower drawdowns over its long history of more than 120 years.
This document discusses using technical analysis and Bloomberg tools to find stocks that may outperform the market. It begins with an overview of technical analysis, including key concepts like trend analysis and indicators. Specific techniques are explored, such as relative rotation graphs, ratio charts, and analyzing perfect indicators like Bollinger Bands and stochastic oscillators. The document concludes by demonstrating how to create portfolios in Bloomberg and use ratio charts to identify stocks with relative strength that could potentially outperform the overall portfolio.
The document discusses using the golden ratio and Fibonacci ratios for financial trading. It introduces common strategies like Fibonacci retracement analysis and Elliott wave trading that rely on these ratios. It then presents a new framework called Equilibrium Fractal Wave index that more precisely reveals the market structure. Analysis of three currency pairs finds their most common shape ratios are generally Fibonacci ratios, but sometimes other ratios rank higher. Traders should use the most optimal ratio for each instrument rather than assuming the golden ratio is always best.
In the Current Scenario of COVID Crisis, this newsletter issue is quite important for our readers.
In this issue, we have covered their key concern related to market's reaction on rising number of COVID cases. We have also added a featured article on 'Volatility Management'
Sample Report: USA B2C E-Commerce Sales Forecasts: 2015 to 2018yStats.com
Free Report Samples for our publication "USA B2C E-Commerce Sales Forecast: 2015 to 2018".
Find the full updated 2020 report available for purchase at: https://ystats.com/shop/usa-b2c-e-commerce-and-payment-market-2020-covid-19s-impact/
In a tight labour market, job-seekers gain bargaining power and leverage it into greater job quality—at least, that’s the conventional wisdom.
Michael, LMIC Economist, presented findings that reveal a weakened relationship between labour market tightness and job quality indicators following the pandemic. Labour market tightness coincided with growth in real wages for only a portion of workers: those in low-wage jobs requiring little education. Several factors—including labour market composition, worker and employer behaviour, and labour market practices—have contributed to the absence of worker benefits. These will be investigated further in future work.
The Universal Account Number (UAN) by EPFO centralizes multiple PF accounts, simplifying management for Indian employees. It streamlines PF transfers, withdrawals, and KYC updates, providing transparency and reducing employer dependency. Despite challenges like digital literacy and internet access, UAN is vital for financial empowerment and efficient provident fund management in today's digital age.
STREETONOMICS: Exploring the Uncharted Territories of Informal Markets throug...sameer shah
Delve into the world of STREETONOMICS, where a team of 7 enthusiasts embarks on a journey to understand unorganized markets. By engaging with a coffee street vendor and crafting questionnaires, this project uncovers valuable insights into consumer behavior and market dynamics in informal settings."
Abhay Bhutada, the Managing Director of Poonawalla Fincorp Limited, is an accomplished leader with over 15 years of experience in commercial and retail lending. A Qualified Chartered Accountant, he has been pivotal in leveraging technology to enhance financial services. Starting his career at Bank of India, he later founded TAB Capital Limited and co-founded Poonawalla Finance Private Limited, emphasizing digital lending. Under his leadership, Poonawalla Fincorp achieved a 'AAA' credit rating, integrating acquisitions and emphasizing corporate governance. Actively involved in industry forums and CSR initiatives, Abhay has been recognized with awards like "Young Entrepreneur of India 2017" and "40 under 40 Most Influential Leader for 2020-21." Personally, he values mindfulness, enjoys gardening, yoga, and sees every day as an opportunity for growth and improvement.
Understanding how timely GST payments influence a lender's decision to approve loans, this topic explores the correlation between GST compliance and creditworthiness. It highlights how consistent GST payments can enhance a business's financial credibility, potentially leading to higher chances of loan approval.
1. Elemental Economics - Introduction to mining.pdfNeal Brewster
After this first you should: Understand the nature of mining; have an awareness of the industry’s boundaries, corporate structure and size; appreciation the complex motivations and objectives of the industries’ various participants; know how mineral reserves are defined and estimated, and how they evolve over time.
Vicinity Jobs’ data includes more than three million 2023 OJPs and thousands of skills. Most skills appear in less than 0.02% of job postings, so most postings rely on a small subset of commonly used terms, like teamwork.
Laura Adkins-Hackett, Economist, LMIC, and Sukriti Trehan, Data Scientist, LMIC, presented their research exploring trends in the skills listed in OJPs to develop a deeper understanding of in-demand skills. This research project uses pointwise mutual information and other methods to extract more information about common skills from the relationships between skills, occupations and regions.
A toxic combination of 15 years of low growth, and four decades of high inequality, has left Britain poorer and falling behind its peers. Productivity growth is weak and public investment is low, while wages today are no higher than they were before the financial crisis. Britain needs a new economic strategy to lift itself out of stagnation.
Scotland is in many ways a microcosm of this challenge. It has become a hub for creative industries, is home to several world-class universities and a thriving community of businesses – strengths that need to be harness and leveraged. But it also has high levels of deprivation, with homelessness reaching a record high and nearly half a million people living in very deep poverty last year. Scotland won’t be truly thriving unless it finds ways to ensure that all its inhabitants benefit from growth and investment. This is the central challenge facing policy makers both in Holyrood and Westminster.
What should a new national economic strategy for Scotland include? What would the pursuit of stronger economic growth mean for local, national and UK-wide policy makers? How will economic change affect the jobs we do, the places we live and the businesses we work for? And what are the prospects for cities like Glasgow, and nations like Scotland, in rising to these challenges?
2. Elemental Economics - Mineral demand.pdfNeal Brewster
After this second you should be able to: Explain the main determinants of demand for any mineral product, and their relative importance; recognise and explain how demand for any product is likely to change with economic activity; recognise and explain the roles of technology and relative prices in influencing demand; be able to explain the differences between the rates of growth of demand for different products.
^%$Zone1:+971)581248768’][* Legit & Safe #Abortion #Pills #For #Sale In #Duba...mayaclinic18
Whatsapp (+971581248768) Buy Abortion Pills In Dubai/ Qatar/Kuwait/Doha/Abu Dhabi/Alain/RAK City/Satwa/Al Ain/Abortion Pills For Sale In Qatar, Doha. Abu az Zuluf. Abu Thaylah. Ad Dawhah al Jadidah. Al Arish, Al Bida ash Sharqiyah, Al Ghanim, Al Ghuwariyah, Qatari, Abu Dhabi, Dubai.. WHATSAPP +971)581248768 Abortion Pills / Cytotec Tablets Available in Dubai, Sharjah, Abudhabi, Ajman, Alain, Fujeira, Ras Al Khaima, Umm Al Quwain., UAE, buy cytotec in Dubai– Where I can buy abortion pills in Dubai,+971582071918where I can buy abortion pills in Abudhabi +971)581248768 , where I can buy abortion pills in Sharjah,+97158207191 8where I can buy abortion pills in Ajman, +971)581248768 where I can buy abortion pills in Umm al Quwain +971)581248768 , where I can buy abortion pills in Fujairah +971)581248768 , where I can buy abortion pills in Ras al Khaimah +971)581248768 , where I can buy abortion pills in Alain+971)581248768 , where I can buy abortion pills in UAE +971)581248768 we are providing cytotec 200mg abortion pill in dubai, uae.Medication abortion offers an alternative to Surgical Abortion for women in the early weeks of pregnancy. Zone1:+971)581248768’][* Legit & Safe #Abortion #Pills #For #Sale In #Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharjah Deira Ajman Fujairah Ras Al Khaimah%^^%$Zone1:+971)581248768’][* Legit & Safe #Abortion #Pills #For #Sale In #Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharjah Deira Ajman Fujairah Ras Al Khaimah%^^%$Zone1:+971)581248768’][* Legit & Safe #Abortion #Pills #For #Sale In #Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharjah Deira Ajman Fujairah Ras Al Khaimah%^^%$Zone1:+971)581248768’][* Legit & Safe #Abortion #Pills #For #Sale In #Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharjah Deira Ajman Fujairah Ras Al Khaimah%^^%$Zone1:+971)581248768’][* Legit & Safe #Abortion #Pills #For #Sale In #Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharjah Deira Ajman Fujairah Ras Al Khaimah%^^%$Zone1:+971)581248768’][* Legit & Safe #Abortion #Pills #For #Sale In #Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharjah Deira Ajman Fujairah Ras Al Khaimah%^^%$Zone1:+971)581248768’][* Legit & Safe #Abortion #Pills #For #Sale In #Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharjah Deira Ajman Fujairah Ras Al Khaimah%^^%$Zone1:+971)581248768’][* Legit & Safe #Abortion #Pills #For #Sale In #Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharjah Deira Ajman Fujairah Ras Al Khaimah%^^%$Zone1:+971)581248768’][* Legit & Safe #Abortion #Pills #For #Sale In #Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharjah Deira Ajman Fujairah Ras Al Khaimah%^^%$Zone1:+971)581248768’][* Legit & Safe #Abortion #Pills #For #Sale In #Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharjah Deira Ajman Fujairah Ras Al Khaimah%^^%$Zone1:+971)581248768’][* Legit & Safe #Abortion #Pills #For #Sale In #Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharjah Deira Ajman Fujairah Ras Al Khaimah%^^%$Zone1:+971)581248768’][* Legit & Safe #Abortion #Pills #For #Sale In #Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharjah Deira Ajman Fujairah Ras Al Khaimah%^^%$Zone1:+971)581248768’][* Legit & Safe #Abortion #Pills #For #Sale In #Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharjah Deira Ajman Fujairah Ras Al Khaimah%^^%$Zone1:+971)581248768’][* Legit & Safe #Abortion #Pills #For #Sale In #Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharjah Deira Ajman
University of North Carolina at Charlotte degree offer diploma Transcripttscdzuip
办理美国UNCC毕业证书制作北卡大学夏洛特分校假文凭定制Q微168899991做UNCC留信网教留服认证海牙认证改UNCC成绩单GPA做UNCC假学位证假文凭高仿毕业证GRE代考如何申请北卡罗莱纳大学夏洛特分校University of North Carolina at Charlotte degree offer diploma Transcript
1. Trading futures, stocks and Forex is risky and not for every investor. You could potentially lose all or more than your initial
investment with leveraged positions. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. Trade and invest at your own risk.
Readers using this information are solely responsible for their actions and invest at their own risk. The information in this report is for
the education of the reader and should not be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities. This information is supplied for the paid
subscriber and may not be copied or distributed in any manner. Principles or associates of Dynamic Traders Group, Inc. may have
positions in one or more of the markets discussed.
Prepared By Robert Miner, Dynamic Traders Group, Inc.
Twitter: @BobatDT
YouTube Channel: Dynamic Trading with Robert Miner
SPECIAL REPORT
The Stock Indexes
Panic Cycles, Bear Markets and More
March 28, 2020
Click on the link below to go to the page to
view the video supplement.
https://www.dynamictraders.com/panic-cycles-march-28-2020/
Share This Link With Everyone
None of your information is required to access
this page and view the video or share this report.
Go to the page, download the report, view the video.
VERY IMPORTANT:
READ THE WRITTEN REPORT BEFORE VIEWING THE VIDEO
2. DT Big Picture Update – Stock Indexes: Part 2 – March 28, 2020
Copyright 2020, Dynamic Traders Group, Inc.
www.DynamicTraders.com
Page 2
Pass The Word
This report is freely available to the public.
If you find this report useful, pass it along to your friends, neighbors,
associates. Anyone you think may be interested.
Better yet, send them the link to the page where they can download the
report and also view the video supplement to the report. The video provides
additional valuable information. Like this report, it is not in technical jargon but
everyday language that all who view it should understand.
This special report is a condensed version of what was written for
subscribers to our DT Reports.
I have tried to eliminate the technical jargon that our subscribers are familiar
with so the report and video will be accessible for all.
Reports of this depth and import are usually only available to subscribers and
clients of financial advisory firms. But I believe this information is so important to
everyone, whether they have commitments or investments in the stock market
or not, that I am making it freely available to everyone and encourage you to
share the report and the link to the video page with everyone. Pass the word.
Everyone will benefit.
Be prepared.
Robert Miner
DynamicTraders.com
March 28, 2020
3. DT Big Picture Update – Stock Indexes: Part 2 – March 28, 2020
Copyright 2020, Dynamic Traders Group, Inc.
www.DynamicTraders.com
Page 3
Just the facts. Joe Friday
This report includes the weekly chart of just about every decline in the DJIA of
20% or more since 1900! I’ve marked off the beginning and end of the Bear
trends and given you the critical information of the time and percentage change
of each Bear trend, plus brief comments. I am presenting you with the facts
without prejudice so you can arrive at your own conclusions.
The purpose of this information is to try to arrive at a single piece of
information without prejudice. As of March 26, 2020, after a brutal 36%+ decline
in just one month in the DJIA stock index, is the Bear trend over?
Will history help us to answer this question?
Will the answer be a very high probability yes or no or will the answer be
inconclusive?
You don’t have to be a stock market or financial cycles historian to consider
this data and arrive at a confident conclusion. Study this information and I think
you will arrive at a conclusion. That is why I’m giving you the same information I
have.
Please, don’t skip through any of this content. Read the report from beginning
to end. It is a lot of pages, but most pages are just one chart with brief content.
So we are on the same page, with the same background information, view the
charts on the following pages, read the comments and we’ll have the information
needed to make some assumptions together.
I hope after reading the report you will arrive at a rational, unbiased and
sound conclusion of the probable outcome for this financial cycle.
Regards,
Robert Miner
DynamicTraders.com
3/28/2020
4. DT Big Picture Update – Stock Indexes: Part 2 – March 28, 2020
Copyright 2020, Dynamic Traders Group, Inc.
www.DynamicTraders.com
Page 4
Notes on the Charts and Content for non-technical traders.
Terminology
Bear Trend: A market that is losing value. A decline in prices. A decline of
greater than 20% is usually considered a Bear market and not just a normal
correction within a Bull trend.
Bull Trend: A market that is gaining value. An increase in prices.
Retracement: The percentage a market moves against a trend or section. For
instance, if a market declined 100 points, a 50% retracement would be a gain of
50 points. The market “retraced” 50% of the decline.
Correction: A movement or section that trades against a prior section. A
retracement of a trend is always a correction. Following a correction, the trend
continues, usually to a new extreme.
Elliott Wave (E-Wave): There are some references to Elliott Wave or E-Wave.
Elliott Wave is a pattern recognition system or principle that help to identify the
position of a market within a cycle. If you do not have an Elliott Wave
background, don’t worry. For the purpose of this report, it is not necessary but I
do make a few references to it for readers who have some E-Wave background.
Sections: I make reference to sections of the trend or cycle. It simply refers to a
period of time that is an obvious section or period of time on a price chart.
Waves or W….: I sometimes refer to sections as Waves or W… Elliott Wave
analyst and traders refer to sections as Waves such as Wave-A or W.A. If you
read about a Wave-A for instance, just substitute Section A. It should be obvious
on the chart what is being referred to.
The Weekly Charts
Charts and Bars: All charts in this report include weekly price bars. The date of
the bar is the Week Ending (WE) date or the Friday date.
Chart Headings: The heading of each chart lists the time period of the total Bear
trend from beginning to end and the number of weeks and total percentage
decline. The sections within the Bear trend are marked and show the number of
weeks and percentage change of each section. I have labeled the retracement
percentage of the second section (B) in each chart so we have some reference
of the approximate retracement before the third (C) section began.
A, B, C Sections: In almost every Bear trend or cycle, there are at least three
obvious sections, some times many more. They are labeled on the charts as A, B
and C. On each chart in this report, I have drawn a red arrow for the Sections A,
B and C to show the obvious three sections (or more) to every Bear trend.
5. DT Big Picture Update – Stock Indexes: Part 2 – March 28, 2020
Copyright 2020, Dynamic Traders Group, Inc.
www.DynamicTraders.com
Page 5
A Note On The Charts and Chart Comments
Each chart is a weekly chart of a Bear trend (greater than 20% decline) of the
past 120 years.
Each chart heading includes a wealth of easily understandable and very
relevant information.
Heading: Includes the months of the beginning and end of each Bear trend, the
time period in weeks and percentage change from the extreme high to the
extreme low.
Retracement: The “B” section is always a corrective rally against the initial “A”
section decline. The approximate retracement amount is shown on each chart.
This is very important information.
Range of Interior Sections: Many of the major sections are made up of
divisions of smaller sections. Some of these sections are also noted on each
chart with the date of the high or low, the number of weeks from the previous
extreme and percentage change up or down from the previous low or high.
Red Arrows: Show the “A” and “B” sections and the balance of the trend that
continues to test or exceed the Section “A” low. Sometimes we get hung up on
details. The Red Arrows help us to clearly understand that there are almost
always (one exception in 120 Years) three sections to every Bear trend. This is
very important information.
6. DT Big Picture Update – Stock Indexes: Part 2 – March 28, 2020
Copyright 2020, Dynamic Traders Group, Inc.
www.DynamicTraders.com
Page 6
Why study all of these charts? Why not go straight to your conclusions?
The whole purpose of this analysis is for you to understand the typical and
repeatable form or pattern of a Bear trend. I don’t get too hung up on details,
pattern variations, statistics and more. I just want you and me to discover if there
are some minimum criteria that should be met before we consider a Bear market
is complete.
You should not believe what you don’t understand.
Unless you have a clear understanding of not just what is possible, but what
is probable based on the lessons of history, you will not take action.
You will be one of the herd that is not prepared for the probable outcomes
and will not take action when it benefits you most.
All market cycles trend from boom to bust, from euphoria to panic, from
optimism to pessimism.
Most market participants make just the wrong decisions at a time of panic at
just the time when they are hurt the most.
This report should give you the information to avoid panic and needless
losses.
Heed the facts and lessons of history.
Let’s begin our education and look at charts and brief comments of each of
the Bear trends of the past 120 years.
Continued on the next page.
7. DT Big Picture Update – Stock Indexes: Part 2 – March 28, 2020
Copyright 2020, Dynamic Traders Group, Inc.
www.DynamicTraders.com
Page 7
DJIA Weekly Data: Bear Market From Oct. 1909 – Dec. 1914 (271 Wks, -25.6%)
Lessons Learned: A bear market can last years. This one was not devastating, only
a net 25.6% loss in over 5 years. It also shows how a corrective advance retracing
well over 50% was just a correction in the major bear trend that eventually made a
new low.
Like almost every bear market, it was not complete until at least three distinct
sections (ABC or more) were made.
The first section down into the July 1910 low, labeled “A” did not have a distinct
correction which implied it did not complete a bear trend.
8. DT Big Picture Update – Stock Indexes: Part 2 – March 28, 2020
Copyright 2020, Dynamic Traders Group, Inc.
www.DynamicTraders.com
Page 8
DJIA Weekly Data: Bear Market From Nov. 1916 – Dec. 1917 (28 Wks, -31.1%)
Lessons Learned: Another clearly defined ABC correction to the 50% Ret (B)
followed by a prolonged decline to a new low.
Another illustration that the second section of a Bear trend, the Wave-B (or 2) in
Elliott Wave terms, usually retraces 50% or more of the initial decline (Wave A)
fooling the amateur traders into thinking the Bull trend is resuming and then
cleaning their clocks with a continuation to major lows once the third section, Wave-
C continues the Bear trend to a new low.
SPECIAL NOTE: A lot has been made recently of this Bear trend because it was
during the period of the 1918 Spanish Influenza when millions died world wide. As
you will learn, at 28 weeks and -31.1%, the loss in the stock market was not that
great compared to other Bear trends in history. We’ve lost more than that in four
weeks!
9. DT Big Picture Update – Stock Indexes: Part 2 – March 28, 2020
Copyright 2020, Dynamic Traders Group, Inc.
www.DynamicTraders.com
Page 9
DJIA Wkly Data: Bear Market From Nov. 1919 – Aug. 1921 (94 Wks, -43.3%)
Lessons Learned: Almost every bear market of 20% or more has a double digit
correction (10% rally or more) following the first section down (A) that reaches at
least a 50% Retracement followed by a continued decline to test the initial low and
more often, a new low.
While I’ve labeled this bear trend an ABC just to demonstrate that there is at least
one distinct corrective rally before a bear trend is complete, you can clearly count a
five section or wave decline into the Aug. 1921 low.
If there is a 15%-20% decline followed by a double digit correction and then a new
low, the bear trend often has a long way to go. The reason could be the initial
decline is often considered a “bear trend”, followed by a substantial correction than
a new low which is unexpected and scares people to liquidate their position driving
the market to much lower levels.
10. DT Big Picture Update – Stock Indexes: Part 2 – March 28, 2020
Copyright 2020, Dynamic Traders Group, Inc.
www.DynamicTraders.com
Page 10
DJIA Weekly Data: Bear Market Fr Sept. 1929 – July 1932 (148 Wks, -89%)
Lessons Learned: Wave Cs can be a bitch!
11. DT Big Picture Update – Stock Indexes: Part 2 – March 28, 2020
Copyright 2020, Dynamic Traders Group, Inc.
www.DynamicTraders.com
Page 11
DJIA Weekly Data: Bear Market Fr March 1937 – May 1942 (268 Wks, -49.4%)
Lessons Learned: Quit whining! We have no clue what really hard times are like!
12. DT Big Picture Update – Stock Indexes: Part 2 – March 28, 2020
Copyright 2020, Dynamic Traders Group, Inc.
www.DynamicTraders.com
Page 12
DJIA Wkly Data: Bear Market Fr May 1946 – June 1949 (159 Wks, -22.9%)
Lessons Learned: Almost every trend has at least three distinct sections.
There was not a typical correction to the first section down into the Nov. low. In fact,
it could be counted as a textbook Elliott five wave (W.1 or A) trend.
A double digit correction to the 50% Ret or higher (W.B or 2) would be expected to
follow the initial low, followed by another section down (W.3 or C) to test or exceed
the Nov. low.
13. DT Big Picture Update – Stock Indexes: Part 2 – March 28, 2020
Copyright 2020, Dynamic Traders Group, Inc.
www.DynamicTraders.com
Page 13
DJIA Weekly Data: Bear Market From Nov. 1961 – June 1962 (32 Wks, -23.1%)
Lessons Learned: Almost every Bear trend (20% or more decline) has a 50% or
more correction followed by a test of the initial extreme (W.A) or a new low.
With such a short W.A (-3.15%), I’m sure few anticipated the W.C would continue
more than another 22% decline following the B high.
As usually, at least three distinct sections (ABC or more), 50% or more correction
(“the bull market is resuming”), usually followed by a new low and often
acceleration of the Bear trend once the W.A low is exceeded (unexpected lows and
panic liquidation).
14. DT Big Picture Update – Stock Indexes: Part 2 – March 28, 2020
Copyright 2020, Dynamic Traders Group, Inc.
www.DynamicTraders.com
Page 14
DJIA Weekly Data: Bear Market From Feb. 1966 – May 1970 (224 Wks, -29.2%)
Lessons Learned: “B” corrections can take a long time as we’ve seen in several
prolonged Bear trends. When they make a technical signal they are finished, a
Wave C is often brutal as traders give up hope of higher prices, the pain of their
losses becomes to great and they fear financial ruin and bail out near what often
becomes the low of the Bear trend.
This Wave A should have been recognized at the time as an “impulse” trend, and
just the first section of a major “correction” or Bear trend. Elliott Wave traders know
what I am referring to.
The assumption would have been following the Oct. low that a Wave-B corrective
advance would follow, probably to the 50% Retracement or higher, followed by
another decline to test and usually exceed the Wave-A low.
15. DT Big Picture Update – Stock Indexes: Part 2 – March 28, 2020
Copyright 2020, Dynamic Traders Group, Inc.
www.DynamicTraders.com
Page 15
DJIA Weekly Data: Bear Market From Jan. 1973 – Dec. 1974 (100 Wks, -43%)
Lessons Learned: Once a 50% Retracement from the beginning of the initial
decline is made, be prepared for a top followed by a resumption of the Bear trend
to a new low.
16. DT Big Picture Update – Stock Indexes: Part 2 – March 28, 2020
Copyright 2020, Dynamic Traders Group, Inc.
www.DynamicTraders.com
Page 16
DJIA Weekly Data: Bear Market From Sept. 1976-March 1989 (183 Wks, -23%)
Lessons Learned: The W.A of B rally (March 1978 – Sept. 1978) unfolded in a
nice ABC to the 61.8% Ret., a typical pattern and retracement to complete a Wave-
B correction. Turned out to be just a W.a of a prolonged and complex W.B.
Until the market makes the third major section down (Wave-C) to test or exceed the
initial Wave-A decline, the Bear trend should not be complete.
17. DT Big Picture Update – Stock Indexes: Part 2 – March 28, 2020
Copyright 2020, Dynamic Traders Group, Inc.
www.DynamicTraders.com
Page 17
DJIA Weekly Data: Bear Market From May 1981 – Aug. 1982 (67 Wks, -20.9%)
Lessons Learned: This is the only Bear trend of the past 120 years of 20% or
more that did not have a Wave-B of a 50% or more retracement.
It can only be classified as a Bear trend because it was just a fraction over a 20%
decline.
18. DT Big Picture Update – Stock Indexes: Part 2 – March 28, 2020
Copyright 2020, Dynamic Traders Group, Inc.
www.DynamicTraders.com
Page 18
DJIA Weekly Data: Bear Market From Aug. 1987 – Oct. 1987 (8 Wks, -26.1%)
Lessons Learned: This was more of a short term panic than a Bear market.
As of the time this is written (late March 2020), the stock market has declined over
38% in five weeks. Could it be a short term panic like in 1987? Unlikely. Why?
There hasn’t been a 50% or more correction since the top in Feb. 2020! This
implies at best, the panic decline into the March low (almost 40%) is a Wave-A, a
Wave-B, corrective rally should follow to make a 50% Ret or more, and a Wave-C
to test and usually exceed the initial Wave-A low should eventually follow.
In every 20% or greater Bear market in over 120 years but one, there has been a
50% Retracement or more corrective rally (W.B) following the initial decline which
was then followed by a new low.
This time should not be different.
19. DT Big Picture Update – Stock Indexes: Part 2 – March 28, 2020
Copyright 2020, Dynamic Traders Group, Inc.
www.DynamicTraders.com
Page 19
DJIA Weekly Data: Bear Market From Jan. 2000 – Oct. 2002 (143 Wks, -38.8%)
Lessons Learned: Every bear trend is not just a simple 3-section, ABC pattern.
But every bear trend but one in the past 120 years made a 50% or more
retracement against the first decline followed by a continue decline to test or
exceed the Wave-A first low.
20. DT Big Picture Update – Stock Indexes: Part 2 – March 28, 2020
Copyright 2020, Dynamic Traders Group, Inc.
www.DynamicTraders.com
Page 20
DJIA Weekly Data: Bear Market From Oct. 2007 – March 2009 (73 Wks, -54.4%)
Lessons Learned: It ain’t over, til it’s over! Lessons from the 2000-2002 and the
2007-2009 bear trends. Just because a market has made a three section decline of
20% or more and rallies for several weeks, doesn’t mean the bear trend is over.
You must use other tools and analytical strategies to recognize the early stages of
a Bull trend and, hopefully, not get back in too early.
21. DT Big Picture Update – Stock Indexes: Part 2 – March 28, 2020
Copyright 2020, Dynamic Traders Group, Inc.
www.DynamicTraders.com
Page 21
WHAT HAVE WE LEARNED?
1. Bear trends overwhelmingly have at least three distinct sections, labeled A-
B-C. An initial decline (A) that may be relatively mild and more often fast and
brutal to put fear into the hearts and minds of investors. Followed by a
corrective rally (B) of 50% or more retracement to the initial decline (A).
When the “B” section is complete, the Bear trend continues to decline to test
and more often exceed the extreme low of the “A” section.
2. The “B” corrective rally should be more than a 50% Retracement of the “A”
section decline. Until the stock index has made at least a 50% Retracement,
just the first section “A” of the Bear trend is probably not complete, let alone
the “B” and “C” section to a new low.
3. The shortest Bear trend in time was the 1987 panic of just 8 weeks. The
second shortest was the 1961-1962 Bear trend of 32 weeks. It is very
unlikely that the 4 week Feb. – March decline is the end of the Bear trend.
Conclusions Based on the Lessons of History
If history is to be our guide, the evidence is overwhelming.
It is very unlikely that the week ending March 27 low is the end of a bear market
based on the time, price and pattern of bear markets of the past 120 years.
It may not even be the end of the initial decline, what I have labeled as the “A” on
all the precious charts.
There has not been at least a 50% Ret following the initial decline. Only once in
the past 120 years has there not been a “B” section, 50% or more retracement of
the initial decline (A) followed by a new low.
Frankly, this is all we need to know at this time. Sometime in the weeks or
months to come, the DJIA will complete a “B” corrective high above the 50%
Retracement of the initial decline followed by another decline that should test and
more likely exceed the March low. Potentially exceed it by a large margin and
many months if not years.
It’s not over, until it’s over.
It is very unlikely March completed a Bear market low.
22. DT Big Picture Update – Stock Indexes: Part 2 – March 28, 2020
Copyright 2020, Dynamic Traders Group, Inc.
www.DynamicTraders.com
Page 22
A Bear Trend Should Just Be In The Initial Stages
No bear market in the past 120 years has initially declined over just 20% in the first
four weeks, let alone over 38%! This does not bode well for the months to come!
The red arrows on the chart below are not to any scale and do not represent what
should be the pattern of the trend in the months to come. There simply represent
what is the minimum probable in the months to come.
At some point, the DJIA should make a 50% or more retracement but not exceed
the Feb. 2020 high. Then a resumption of the decline should follow to a new low,
potentially much lower.
23. DT Big Picture Update – Stock Indexes: Part 2 – March 28, 2020
Copyright 2020, Dynamic Traders Group, Inc.
www.DynamicTraders.com
Page 23
More of my conclusions based on history. If you disagree, let me know, but
back up your disagreement with facts or well thought out opinions!
The 38% decline from the Feb. 2020 high into the March 2020 low is only the
initial section of a much higher time frame (longer term) Bear trend that should
eventually take the stock indexes to well below the March low.
The March low may not have completed the “A” section. Only a 50% or more
retracement will signal the “A” section is complete.
The “B” section (advance from a confirmed “A” low) could last several weeks,
even several months, retrace over 50% of the “A” section and eventually the
DJIA will continue the decline to well below the March low or confirmed “A” low.
The advance before the resumption of the Bear trend should be similar to
corrections over the past 120 years and offer hope of recovery to those with
substantial loses and suck in the amateur traders / investors who think they are
buying when there is “blood in the streets”, but will soon suffer substantial losses
that will result in panic liquidation and a fast move to new lows.
This 50% or more retracement, the “B” section, will offer investors an
opportunity to recover some initial losses and reduce or eliminate their exposure
to the stock market and avoid greater losses on the Section “C” decline to a new
low. Unfortunately, if history is any guide, few will take advantage of the
knowledge in this report and protect themselves and their family from
unnecessary financial hardship.
This Bear trend should follow the template of almost all others in history as
shown in the charts above.
The mania and panic of Bull and Bear financial markets have been well
documented and the psychology of the cycles of optimism and pessimism
described for all to learn through many books that are easily available. A few
examples are Manias, Panics, Crashes (Aliber and Kindleberger), Extraordinary
Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds (Mackay), Markets, Mobs &
Mayhem (Menschel), The Crowd (Le Bon) and more. If you have substantial
resources committed to the stock market and you have not read at least 2 or 3 of
these books or similar ones, you have no business with an investment or trading
account because you have no knowledge of the driving forces in all actively
traded markets.
I hope this report will help you avoid debilitating financial losses, sleepless
nights, family conflicts, and psychological stress and more disruptions in the
months and possibly years to come.
There are more details of the conclusions, warnings and recommendations at
the end of this report I hope you will find useful.
24. DT Big Picture Update – Stock Indexes: Part 2 – March 28, 2020
Copyright 2020, Dynamic Traders Group, Inc.
www.DynamicTraders.com
Page 24
Regards,
Robert Miner
DynamicTraders.com
3/28/2020
Click on the link below to go to the page to
view the video supplement.
https://www.dynamictraders.com/panic-cycles-march-28-2020/
Share This Link With Everyone
None of your information is required to access
this page and view the video or share this report.
Go to the page, download the report, view the video.
VERY IMPORTANT:
DON’T VIEW THE VIDEO UNTIL YOU HAVE READ
THIS WRITTEN REPORT BEFORE VIEWING THE VIDEO
The inevitable and possibly required disclaimer for market advisory reports.
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED
BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR
LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL
PERFORMANCE RESULTS & ACTUAL RESULTS ACHIEVED BY A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE LIMITATION OF
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT.
HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK & NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN
COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND
LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS
THAT CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO
THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM THAT CANNOT BE FULLY
ACCOUNTED FOR IN PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY
AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULT