Dr Arjun Rajagopalan
Overdiagnosis “Medicine’s much hailed ability to
help the sick is fast being
challenged by its propensity to harm
the healthy. A burgeoning scientific
literature is fuelling public concerns
that too many people are

overdosed, overtreated,
and
overdiagnosed.“
An embarrassment of riches
BMJ 2012:344. 29 May 2012
Dr Arjun Rajagopalan
Drivers of over diagnosis:
Technological advances
Introduction of new, more
powerful, less invasive
technologies for diagnosis
and treatment inevitably
leads to deployment of
these tools in a poorly
controlled fashion.
Citius, Altius, Fortius
Dr Arjun Rajagopalan
Drivers of over diagnosis:
Misconceptions of utility
A mistaken belief that 

more is better.
Blind, untested faith in early
detection not substantiated by
evidence and heedless of risks.
More is better
Dr Arjun Rajagopalan
Drivers of over diagnosis:
Treatment by committee
Conflicted panels, driven by
political correctness and desiring
to please all, producing
expanded definitions and writing
conciliatory guidelines.
Consensus of the ill informed
Dr Arjun Rajagopalan
Drivers of over diagnosis:
Vested interests
Doctor-owned facilities.
Private, for-profit medical
businesses.
Doctors in the pay of business
interests sitting on panels.
Hand in purse
Dr Arjun Rajagopalan
Drivers of over diagnosis:
Defensive Medicine
Ever increasing litigation and
ballooning awards.
I don’t think it is needed, 

but …
Dr Arjun Rajagopalan
Drivers of over diagnosis:
Panel preference
Ordering a range of tests when one
or two will be enough.
The whole kitchen sink,
not just the spoons
Dr Arjun Rajagopalan
Some common examples
Condition Overdiagnosis
Asthma
30% may not have asthma
66% may not require medications
Breast cancer
Upto 1/3 of mammographically detected
“cancers” may be overdiagnosed
Chronic kidney
disease (CKD)
1 in 10 classified as CKD under present criteria
Overdiagnosis in the elderly
High BP Substantial overdiagnosis
High cholesterol
Up to 80% of people with near normal
cholesterol treated for life may be overdiagnosed
Prostate cancer
Overdiagnosis of 60% in those detected using
the prostate specific antigen (PSA) test

Overdiagnosis

  • 1.
    Dr Arjun Rajagopalan Overdiagnosis“Medicine’s much hailed ability to help the sick is fast being challenged by its propensity to harm the healthy. A burgeoning scientific literature is fuelling public concerns that too many people are
 overdosed, overtreated, and overdiagnosed.“ An embarrassment of riches BMJ 2012:344. 29 May 2012
  • 2.
    Dr Arjun Rajagopalan Driversof over diagnosis: Technological advances Introduction of new, more powerful, less invasive technologies for diagnosis and treatment inevitably leads to deployment of these tools in a poorly controlled fashion. Citius, Altius, Fortius
  • 3.
    Dr Arjun Rajagopalan Driversof over diagnosis: Misconceptions of utility A mistaken belief that 
 more is better. Blind, untested faith in early detection not substantiated by evidence and heedless of risks. More is better
  • 4.
    Dr Arjun Rajagopalan Driversof over diagnosis: Treatment by committee Conflicted panels, driven by political correctness and desiring to please all, producing expanded definitions and writing conciliatory guidelines. Consensus of the ill informed
  • 5.
    Dr Arjun Rajagopalan Driversof over diagnosis: Vested interests Doctor-owned facilities. Private, for-profit medical businesses. Doctors in the pay of business interests sitting on panels. Hand in purse
  • 6.
    Dr Arjun Rajagopalan Driversof over diagnosis: Defensive Medicine Ever increasing litigation and ballooning awards. I don’t think it is needed, 
 but …
  • 7.
    Dr Arjun Rajagopalan Driversof over diagnosis: Panel preference Ordering a range of tests when one or two will be enough. The whole kitchen sink, not just the spoons
  • 8.
    Dr Arjun Rajagopalan Somecommon examples Condition Overdiagnosis Asthma 30% may not have asthma 66% may not require medications Breast cancer Upto 1/3 of mammographically detected “cancers” may be overdiagnosed Chronic kidney disease (CKD) 1 in 10 classified as CKD under present criteria Overdiagnosis in the elderly High BP Substantial overdiagnosis High cholesterol Up to 80% of people with near normal cholesterol treated for life may be overdiagnosed Prostate cancer Overdiagnosis of 60% in those detected using the prostate specific antigen (PSA) test