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THE EFFECTS OF THE OBAMA TAX PLAN

Texas
    President Obama’s tax plan would allow portions                TOTAL EMPLOYMENT
of the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts to expire, resulting in              Annual Change in Jobs
steep tax hikes beginning in January 2011 for small
                                                                             2011               2015                   2020
businesses and those earning $250,000 or more.                          0
The tax hikes would significantly affect the economy
in Texas, most notably in the number of jobs and                   –10,000
change in personal income.
                                                                   –20,000
   Among the results, from 2011 to 2020, the state
of Texas would:                                                    –30,000
   • Lose, on average, 53,398 jobs annually.
   • Lose, per household, $20,208 in total                         –40,000
     disposable personal income.
   • See total individual income taxes increase by                 –50,000
     $37,964 million.
                                                                   –60,000
Source: Heritage Foundation calculations based on the IHS Global
Insight U.S. macroeconomic model, and data from the U.S. Census    –70,000
Bureau and U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.
                                                                                                  –67,451




REAL DISPOSABLE INCOME                                             TOTAL INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAXES
Annual Change per Household                                        Annual Change in Millions of Dollars
                                                                                                        $4,710
           2011                2015                       2020
      $0                                                            $5,000

  –$300                                                             $4,500

                                                                    $4,000
  –$600
                                                                    $3,500
  –$900
                                                                    $3,000
 –$1,200
                                                                    $2,500
 –$1,500
                                                                    $2,000
 –$1,800
                                                                    $1,500
 –$2,100
                                                                    $1,000

 –$2,400                                                             $500

 –$2,700                                                               $0
                                                                             2011               2015                   2020
                  –$2,557.82


                                                                               Chart TX • Obama Tax Plan by State   heritage.org
THE EFFECTS OF THE OBAMA TAX PLAN

Change in Employment in Texas

   Average Annual Change in Total
   Employment, 2011 to 2020, by
   Congressional District
      Jobs Lost: 800–1,399                                          13
      Jobs Lost: 1,400–1,599
      Jobs Lost: 1,600–1,799
      Jobs Lost: 1,800–2,320

                                                     19                                                                           4
                                                                                                             26
                                                                                                       12


        16
                                                                                                                             5              1
                                                                                                            17         6
                                                                       11

                                                                                                           31
                                             23
                                                                                                                                        8

                                                                                                                     10
                                                                                        21                                                   2
                                                                                                              25                            14
                                                                                                                             22

                                                                                                                        14

                                                                                                     15

                                                                                   28




                                                                                                     27




                                               State: 53,398 jobs lost annually on average




Source: Heritage Foundation calculations based on the IHS Global Insight U.S. macroeconomic model, and data from the U.S. Census Bureau and U.S.
Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.


                                                                                                   Map TX • Obama Tax Plan by State         heritage.org

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Obama Tax Plan: Texas

  • 1. THE EFFECTS OF THE OBAMA TAX PLAN Texas President Obama’s tax plan would allow portions TOTAL EMPLOYMENT of the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts to expire, resulting in Annual Change in Jobs steep tax hikes beginning in January 2011 for small 2011 2015 2020 businesses and those earning $250,000 or more. 0 The tax hikes would significantly affect the economy in Texas, most notably in the number of jobs and –10,000 change in personal income. –20,000 Among the results, from 2011 to 2020, the state of Texas would: –30,000 • Lose, on average, 53,398 jobs annually. • Lose, per household, $20,208 in total –40,000 disposable personal income. • See total individual income taxes increase by –50,000 $37,964 million. –60,000 Source: Heritage Foundation calculations based on the IHS Global Insight U.S. macroeconomic model, and data from the U.S. Census –70,000 Bureau and U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. –67,451 REAL DISPOSABLE INCOME TOTAL INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAXES Annual Change per Household Annual Change in Millions of Dollars $4,710 2011 2015 2020 $0 $5,000 –$300 $4,500 $4,000 –$600 $3,500 –$900 $3,000 –$1,200 $2,500 –$1,500 $2,000 –$1,800 $1,500 –$2,100 $1,000 –$2,400 $500 –$2,700 $0 2011 2015 2020 –$2,557.82 Chart TX • Obama Tax Plan by State heritage.org
  • 2. THE EFFECTS OF THE OBAMA TAX PLAN Change in Employment in Texas Average Annual Change in Total Employment, 2011 to 2020, by Congressional District Jobs Lost: 800–1,399 13 Jobs Lost: 1,400–1,599 Jobs Lost: 1,600–1,799 Jobs Lost: 1,800–2,320 19 4 26 12 16 5 1 17 6 11 31 23 8 10 21 2 25 14 22 14 15 28 27 State: 53,398 jobs lost annually on average Source: Heritage Foundation calculations based on the IHS Global Insight U.S. macroeconomic model, and data from the U.S. Census Bureau and U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Map TX • Obama Tax Plan by State heritage.org