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THE EFFECTS OF THE OBAMA TAX PLAN

Ohio
    President Obama’s tax plan would allow portions                TOTAL EMPLOYMENT
of the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts to expire, resulting in              Annual Change in Jobs
steep tax hikes beginning in January 2011 for small
                                                                             2011              2015                   2020
businesses and those earning $250,000 or more.                          0
The tax hikes would significantly affect the economy
                                                                    –4,000
in Ohio, most notably in the number of jobs and
change in personal income.                                          –8,000


   Among the results, from 2011 to 2020, the state                 –12,000

of Ohio would:                                                     –16,000
   • Lose, on average, 26,585 jobs annually.
   • Lose, per household, $9,654 in total disposable               –20,000
     personal income.
                                                                   –24,000
   • See total individual income taxes increase by
     $15,086 million.                                              –28,000

                                                                   –32,000
Source: Heritage Foundation calculations based on the IHS Global
Insight U.S. macroeconomic model, and data from the U.S. Census    –36,000
Bureau and U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.
                                                                                                  –33,581




REAL DISPOSABLE INCOME                                             TOTAL INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAXES
Annual Change per Household                                        Annual Change in Millions of Dollars
                                                                                                        $1,871.7
           2011                2015                       2020
      $0                                                            $2,000

                                                                    $1,800
  –$200
                                                                    $1,600
  –$400                                                             $1,400

                                                                    $1,200
  –$600
                                                                    $1,000
  –$800
                                                                     $800

 –$1,000                                                             $600

                                                                     $400
 –$1,200
                                                                     $200

 –$1,400                                                               $0
                                                                             2011              2015                   2020
                  –$1,222.02


                                                                              Chart OH • Obama Tax Plan by State   heritage.org
THE EFFECTS OF THE OBAMA TAX PLAN

Change in Employment in Ohio
   Average Annual Change in Total
   Employment, 2011 to 2020, by
   Congressional District
      Jobs Lost: 800–1,399
      Jobs Lost: 1,400–1,599
      Jobs Lost: 1,600–1,799                                                                                                 14
      Jobs Lost: 1,800–2,320
                                                                                                              11
                                                                                                        10
                                                                                9
                                                                                                             13            17



                                                                            5
                                                                                                                  16




                                                              4


                                                                                                                  18
                                                                                    12

                                                                   15


                               8                                                                                                  6


                                                                      7


                                                          3


                                   1



                                                                  2




                                               State: 26,585 jobs lost annually on average



Source: Heritage Foundation calculations based on the IHS Global Insight U.S. macroeconomic model, and data from the U.S. Census Bureau and U.S.
Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.


                                                                                                  Map OH • Obama Tax Plan by State         heritage.org

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Obama Tax Plan: Ohio

  • 1. THE EFFECTS OF THE OBAMA TAX PLAN Ohio President Obama’s tax plan would allow portions TOTAL EMPLOYMENT of the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts to expire, resulting in Annual Change in Jobs steep tax hikes beginning in January 2011 for small 2011 2015 2020 businesses and those earning $250,000 or more. 0 The tax hikes would significantly affect the economy –4,000 in Ohio, most notably in the number of jobs and change in personal income. –8,000 Among the results, from 2011 to 2020, the state –12,000 of Ohio would: –16,000 • Lose, on average, 26,585 jobs annually. • Lose, per household, $9,654 in total disposable –20,000 personal income. –24,000 • See total individual income taxes increase by $15,086 million. –28,000 –32,000 Source: Heritage Foundation calculations based on the IHS Global Insight U.S. macroeconomic model, and data from the U.S. Census –36,000 Bureau and U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. –33,581 REAL DISPOSABLE INCOME TOTAL INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAXES Annual Change per Household Annual Change in Millions of Dollars $1,871.7 2011 2015 2020 $0 $2,000 $1,800 –$200 $1,600 –$400 $1,400 $1,200 –$600 $1,000 –$800 $800 –$1,000 $600 $400 –$1,200 $200 –$1,400 $0 2011 2015 2020 –$1,222.02 Chart OH • Obama Tax Plan by State heritage.org
  • 2. THE EFFECTS OF THE OBAMA TAX PLAN Change in Employment in Ohio Average Annual Change in Total Employment, 2011 to 2020, by Congressional District Jobs Lost: 800–1,399 Jobs Lost: 1,400–1,599 Jobs Lost: 1,600–1,799 14 Jobs Lost: 1,800–2,320 11 10 9 13 17 5 16 4 18 12 15 8 6 7 3 1 2 State: 26,585 jobs lost annually on average Source: Heritage Foundation calculations based on the IHS Global Insight U.S. macroeconomic model, and data from the U.S. Census Bureau and U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Map OH • Obama Tax Plan by State heritage.org