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THE EFFECTS OF THE OBAMA TAX PLAN

Illinois
    President Obama’s tax plan would allow portions                TOTAL EMPLOYMENT
of the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts to expire, resulting in              Annual Change in Jobs
steep tax hikes beginning in January 2011 for small
                                                                             2011               2015                    2020
businesses and those earning $250,000 or more.                          0
The tax hikes would significantly affect the economy
                                                                    –4,000
in Illinois, most notably in the number of jobs and
change in personal income.                                          –8,000

                                                                   –12,000
    Among the results, from 2011 to 2020, the state
                                                                   –16,000
of Illinois would:
    • Lose, on average, 30,083 jobs annually.                      –20,000
    • Lose, per household, $13,097 in total
                                                                   –24,000
      disposable personal income.
    • See total individual income taxes increase by                –28,000
      $25,356 million.                                             –32,000

                                                                   –36,000
Source: Heritage Foundation calculations based on the IHS Global
Insight U.S. macroeconomic model, and data from the U.S. Census    –40,000
Bureau and U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.
                                                                                                   –38,000




REAL DISPOSABLE INCOME                                             TOTAL INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAXES
Annual Change per Household                                        Annual Change in Millions of Dollars
                                                                                                        $3,145.7
           2011                2015                       2020
      $0                                                            $3,200

  –$200                                                             $2,800

  –$400
                                                                    $2,400
  –$600
                                                                    $2,000
  –$800
                                                                    $1,600
 –$1,000
                                                                    $1,200
 –$1,200
                                                                     $800
 –$1,400

 –$1,600                                                             $400

 –$1,800                                                               $0
                                                                             2011               2015                    2020
                  –$1,657.83


                                                                                Chart IL • Obama Tax Plan by State   heritage.org
THE EFFECTS OF THE OBAMA TAX PLAN

Change in Employment in Illinois
                                                                                                                           8
   Average Annual Change in Total                                                                                                  10
   Employment, 2011 to 2020, by                                                              16
   Congressional District
                                                                                                                               6
      Jobs Lost: 800–1,399                                                                                                               3
      Jobs Lost: 1,400–1,599                                                                              14                   13
      Jobs Lost: 1,600–1,799                                                                                                                 2
      Jobs Lost: 1,800–2,320
                                                                                              11
    State: 30,083 jobs lost annually
    on average



                                                                     17




                                                                                                                                    15
                                                                                 18




                                                                                                                      19




                                                                                                          12




Source: Heritage Foundation calculations based on the IHS Global Insight U.S. macroeconomic model, and data from the U.S. Census Bureau and U.S.
Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.


                                                                                                    Map IL • Obama Tax Plan by State         heritage.org

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Obama Tax Plan: Illinois

  • 1. THE EFFECTS OF THE OBAMA TAX PLAN Illinois President Obama’s tax plan would allow portions TOTAL EMPLOYMENT of the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts to expire, resulting in Annual Change in Jobs steep tax hikes beginning in January 2011 for small 2011 2015 2020 businesses and those earning $250,000 or more. 0 The tax hikes would significantly affect the economy –4,000 in Illinois, most notably in the number of jobs and change in personal income. –8,000 –12,000 Among the results, from 2011 to 2020, the state –16,000 of Illinois would: • Lose, on average, 30,083 jobs annually. –20,000 • Lose, per household, $13,097 in total –24,000 disposable personal income. • See total individual income taxes increase by –28,000 $25,356 million. –32,000 –36,000 Source: Heritage Foundation calculations based on the IHS Global Insight U.S. macroeconomic model, and data from the U.S. Census –40,000 Bureau and U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. –38,000 REAL DISPOSABLE INCOME TOTAL INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAXES Annual Change per Household Annual Change in Millions of Dollars $3,145.7 2011 2015 2020 $0 $3,200 –$200 $2,800 –$400 $2,400 –$600 $2,000 –$800 $1,600 –$1,000 $1,200 –$1,200 $800 –$1,400 –$1,600 $400 –$1,800 $0 2011 2015 2020 –$1,657.83 Chart IL • Obama Tax Plan by State heritage.org
  • 2. THE EFFECTS OF THE OBAMA TAX PLAN Change in Employment in Illinois 8 Average Annual Change in Total 10 Employment, 2011 to 2020, by 16 Congressional District 6 Jobs Lost: 800–1,399 3 Jobs Lost: 1,400–1,599 14 13 Jobs Lost: 1,600–1,799 2 Jobs Lost: 1,800–2,320 11 State: 30,083 jobs lost annually on average 17 15 18 19 12 Source: Heritage Foundation calculations based on the IHS Global Insight U.S. macroeconomic model, and data from the U.S. Census Bureau and U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Map IL • Obama Tax Plan by State heritage.org