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Nonparametric Methods and
Chi-Square Tests (1)

Slide 1

Shakeel Nouman
M.Phil Statistics

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Slide 2

14 Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1)
• Using Statistics
• The Sign Test
• The Runs Test - A Test for Randomness
• The Mann-Whitney U Test
• The Wilcoxon Signed-Rank Test

• The Kruskal-Wallis Test - A Nonparametric
Alternative to One-Way ANOVA

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Slide 3

14 Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (2)
• The Friedman Test for a Randomized

•
•
•
•

•

Block Design
The Spearman Rank Correlation
Coefficient
A Chi-Square Test for Goodness of Fit
Contingency Table Analysis - A ChiSquare Test for Independence
A Chi-Square Test for Equality of
Proportions
Summary and Review of Terms

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
14-1 Using Statistics
(Parametric Tests)

Slide 4

• Parametric Methods
Inferences based on assumptions about the nature of the
population distribution
» Usually: population is normal
Types of tests
» z-test or t-test
» Comparing two population means or proportions
» Testing value of population mean or proportion
» ANOVA
» Testing equality of several population means

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Nonparametric Tests

Slide 5

• Nonparametric Tests
Distribution-free methods making no assumptions about the
population distribution
Types of tests

» Sign tests
» Sign Test: Comparing paired observations
» McNemar Test: Comparing qualitative variables
» Cox and Stuart Test: Detecting trend
» Runs tests
» Runs Test: Detecting randomness
» Wald-Wolfowitz Test: Comparing two distributions

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Nonparametric Tests
(Continued)

Slide 6

• Nonparametric Tests
Ranks tests
•
•
•

Mann-Whitney U Test: Comparing two populations
Wilcoxon Signed-Rank Test: Paired comparisons
Comparing several populations: ANOVA with ranks
– Kruskal-Wallis Test
– Friedman Test: Repeated measures

Spearman Rank Correlation Coefficient
Chi-Square Tests
•
•
•

Goodness of Fit
Testing for independence: Contingency Table Analysis
Equality of Proportions

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Nonparametric Tests
(Continued)
•
•

•

Slide 7

Deal with enumerative (frequency counts) data.
Do not deal with specific population parameters,
such as the mean or standard deviation.
Do not require assumptions about specific
population distributions (in particular, the
normality assumption).

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
14-2 Sign Test

Slide 8

• Comparing paired observations
Paired observations: X and Y
p = P(X>Y)

» Two-tailed test H0: p = 0.50

H1: p0.50
» Right-tailed test H0: p  0.50
H1: p0.50
» Left-tailed test H0: p  0.50
H1: p 0.50
» Test statistic: T = Number of + signs

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Sign Test Decision Rule

Slide 9

• Small Sample: Binomial Test
For a two-tailed test, find a critical point

corresponding as closely as possible to /2
(C1) and define C2 as n-C1. Reject null
hypothesis if T  C1or T  C2.
For a right-tailed test, reject H0 if T  C, where
C is the value of the binomial distribution with
parameters n and p = 0.50 such that the sum of
the probabilities of all values less than or equal
to C is as close as possible to the chosen level
of significance, .
For a left-tailed test, reject H0 if T  C, where C
is defined as above.

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Example 14-1
CEO Before After
1
3
4
1
2
5
5
0
3
2
3
1
4
2
4
1
5
4
4
0
6
2
3
1
7
1
2
1
8
5
4
-1
9
4
5
1
10
5
4
-1
11
3
4
1
12
2
5
1
13
2
5
1
14
2
3
1
15
1
2
1
16
3
2
-1
17
4
5
1

Sign
+

+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+

n = 15
T = 12
  0.025
C1=3 C2 = 15-3 = 12
H0 rejected, since
T  C2

Slide 10

Cumulative
Binomial
Probabilities
(n=15, p=0.5)
x
F(x)
0
0.00003
1
0.00049
2
0.00369
3
0.01758
4
0.05923
5
0.15088
6
0.30362
7
0.50000
8
0.69638
9
0.84912
10
0.94077
11
0.98242
12
0.99631
13
0.99951
14
0.99997
15
1.00000

C1

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Example 14-1- Using the
Template

Slide 11

H0: p = 0.5
H1: p  0.5
Test Statistic: T = 12
p-value = 0.0352.
For a = 0.05, the null hypothesis
is rejected since 0.0352 < 0.05.

Thus one can conclude that there
is a change in attitude toward a
CEO following the award of an
MBA degree.

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
14-3 The Runs Test - A Test for
Randomness

Slide 12

A run is a sequence of like elements that are preceded and followed by different
elements or no element at all.
Case 1: S|E|S|E|S|E|S|E|S|E|S|E|S|E|S|E|S|E|S|E
Case 2: SSSSSSSSSS|EEEEEEEEEE
Case 3: S|EE|SS|EEE|S|E|SS|E|S|EE|SSS|E

: R = 20 Apparently nonrandom
: R = 2 Apparently nonrandom
: R = 12 Perhaps random

A two-tailed hypothesis test for randomness:
H0: Observations are generated randomly
H1: Observations are not generated randomly
Test Statistic:
R=Number of Runs
Reject H0 at level if R C1 or R C2, as given in Table 8, with total tail
probability P(R C1) + P(R C2) = 
Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Runs Test: Examples
Table 8:
(n1,n2) 11

12

(10,10)

0.586 0.758 0.872 0.949 0.981 0.996 0.999 1.000 1.000 1.000

.
.
.

13

Number of Runs (r)
14
15
16
17

Slide 13

18

19

20

Case 1: n1 = 10 n2 = 10 R= 20 p-value
0
Case 2: n1 = 10 n2 = 10 R = 2 p-value 
0
Case 3: n1 = 10 n2 = 10 R= 12
p-value R 
P
F(11)]
= (2)(1-0.586) = (2)(0.414) = 0.828
H0 not rejected

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Large-Sample Runs Test: Using
the Normal Approximation

Slide 14

The mean of the normal distribution of the number of runs:
2n n
E ( R) 
1
n n
1

2

1

2

The standard deviation:

 
R

2n n ( 2n n  n  n )
( n  n ) ( n  n  1)
1

2

1

2

1

2

2

1

2

1

2

The standard normal test statistic:
R  E ( R)
z



R

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Large-Sample Runs Test:
Example 14-2

Slide 15

Example 14-2: n1 = 27 n2 = 26 R = 15
2n n
( 2)( 27)( 26)
E ( R)  1 2  1 
 1  26.49  1  27.49
n n
( 27  26)
1 2
2n n ( 2n n  n  n )
1 2 1 2 1 2  ( 2)( 27)( 26)(( 2)( 27)( 26)  27  26))
 
R
( n  n ) 2 ( n  n  1)
( 27  26) 2 ( 27  26  1)
1 2
1 2
1896804

 12.986  3.604
146068
R  E ( R ) 15  27.49
z

 3.47

3.604
R

p - value = 2(1 - .9997) = 0.0006

H0 should be rejected at any common level of significance.
Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Large-Sample Runs Test:
Example 14-2 – Using the
Template

Slide 16

Note: The
computed p-value
using the template
is 0.0005 as
compared to the
manually
computed value of
0.0006. The value
of 0.0005 is more
accurate.
Reject the null
hypothesis that
the residuals are
random.

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Using the Runs Test to Compare Two
Population Distributions (Means): the
Wald-Wolfowitz Test

Slide 17

The null and alternative hypotheses for the Wald-Wolfowitz test:
H0: The two populations have the same distribution
H1: The two populations have different distributions
The test statistic:
R = Number of Runs in the sequence of samples, when
the data from both samples have been sorted

Example 14-3:
Salesperson A:
Salesperson B:

35 44
17 23

39
13

50
24

48
33

29
21

60
18

75
16

49
32

66

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
The Wald-Wolfowitz Test:
Example 14-3

Sales
35
44
39
48
60
75
49
66
17
23
13
24
33
21
18
16
32

Sales
Person
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
B
B
B
B
B
B
B
B
B

Sales
(Sorted)
13
16
17
21
24
29
32
33
35
39
44
48
49
50
60
66
75

Sales
Person
(Sorted)
B
B
B
B
B
A
B
B
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A

Runs

1
2
3

Slide 18

n1 = 10 n2 = 9 R= 4
p-value PR  4
H0 may be rejected

Table
Number of Runs (r)
(n1,n2) 2
3
4
5
.
.
.
(9,10) 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.004 ...

4

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Ranks Tests

Slide 19

• Ranks tests
 Mann-Whitney U Test: Comparing two populations
 Wilcoxon Signed-Rank Test: Paired comparisons
 Comparing several populations: ANOVA with ranks
• Kruskal-Wallis Test
• Friedman Test: Repeated measures

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
14-4 The Mann-Whitney U Test
(Comparing Two Populations)

Slide 20

The null and alternative hypotheses:
H0: The distributions of two populations are
identical
H1: The two population distributions are not
identical
The Mann-Whitney U statistic:
n1 ( n1  1)
U  n1 n2 
 R1
2

R 1   Ranks from sample 1

where n1 is the sample size from population 1 and n2 is
the sample size from population 2.
n1 n2
n1 n2 (n1  n2  1)
E [U ] 
U 
2
12
U  E [U ]
The large - sample test statistic: z 



U
Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
The Mann-Whitney U Test:
Example 14-4
Model
A
A
A
A
A
A
B
B
B
B
B
B

Time
35
38
40
42
41
36
29
27
30
33
39
37

Rank
5
8
10
12
11
6
2
1
3
4
9
7

Rank
Sum

U  n1 n 2 

n1 ( n1  1)
2
(6)(6 + 1)

= (6)(6) +
5

52

26

Slide 21

 R1

 52

2

Cumulative Distribution Function of the
Mann-Whitney U Statistic
n2=6
n1=6
u
.
.
.
4
0.0130
P(u
5)
5
0.0206
6
0.0325
.
.
.

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Example 14-5: Large-Sample
Mann-Whitney U Test
Score Rank
Score Program Rank Sum
85
1
20.0 20.0
87
1
21.0 41.0
92
1
27.0 68.0
98
1
30.0 98.0
90
1
26.0 124.0
88
1
23.0 147.0
75
1
17.0 164.0
72
1
13.5 177.5
60
1
6.5 184.0
93
1
28.0 212.0
88
1
23.0 235.0
89
1
25.0 260.0
96
1
29.0 289.0
73
1
15.0 304.0
62
1
8.5 312.5

Score Rank
Score Program Rank Sum
65
2
10.0 10.0
57
2
4.0 14.0
74
2
16.0 30.0
43
2
2.0 32.0
39
2
1.0 33.0
88
2
23.0 56.0
62
2
8.5 64.5
69
2
11.0 75.5
70
2
12.0 87.5
72
2
13.5 101.0
59
2
5.0 106.0
60
2
6.5 112.5
80
2
18.0 130.5
83
2
19.0 149.5
50
2
3.0 152.5

U  n1n2 

Slide 22

n1 ( n1  1)

 R1
2
(15)(15  1)
 (15)(15) 
 312 .5  32 .5
2
n1n2
(15)(15)
E [U ] 
=
= 112.5
2
2
n1n2 ( n1  n2  1)
U 
12
(15)(15)(15  15  1)

 24 .109
12
U  E [U ] 32 .5  112 .5
z 

 3.32
U
24 .109

Since the test statistic is z = -3.32,
the p-value 0.0005,Tests (1) HShakeelrejected. Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square and By 0 is Nouman M.Phil
Officer
Slide 23

Example 14-5: Large-Sample
Mann-Whitney U Test – Using the
Template

Since the test
statistic is z = 3.32, the p-value
 0.0005, and H0
is rejected.
That is, the LC
(Learning
Curve) program
is more effective.
Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
14-5 The Wilcoxon SignedRanks Test (Paired Ranks)

Slide 24

The null and alternative hypotheses:
H0: The median difference between populations are 1 and 2 is zero
H1: The median difference between populations are 1 and 2 is not
zero
Find the difference between the ranks for each pair, D = x1 -x2, and then rank
the absolute values of the differences.
The Wilcoxon T statistic is the smaller of the sums of the positive ranks and
the sum of the negative ranks: T  min  (  ),  (  )
For small samples, a left-tailed test is used, using the values in Appendix C,
Table 10.

E[T ] 

n ( n  1)
4

The large-sample test statistic:

n ( n  1)( 2 n  1)

T 

24
z

T  E[T ]

T

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Example 14-6
Sold Sold
(1)
(2)

Rank
Rank Rank
D=x1-x2 ABS(D) ABS(D) (D>0) (D<0)

56
48
100
85
22
44
35
28
52
77
89
10
65
90
70
33

16
-22
40
15
14
4
-10
21
-8
7
-1
0
-20
29
30
7

40
70
60
70
8
40
45
7
60
70
90
10
85
61
40
26

16
22
40
15
14
4
10
21
8
7
1
*
20
29
30
7

9.0
12.0
15.0
8.0
7.0
2.0
6.0
11.0
5.0
3.5
1.0
*
10.0
13.0
14.0
3.5

9.0
0.0
15.0
8.0
7.0
2.0
0.0
11.0
0.0
3.5
0.0
*
0.0
13.0
14.0
3.5

0
12
0
0
0
0
6
0
5
0
1
*
10
0
0
0

Sum:

86

Slide 25

T=34

n=15
P=0.05 30
P=0.02525
P=0.01 20
P=0.00516

34

H0 is not rejected (Note the
arithmetic error in the text
for store 13)

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Example 14-7
Hourly
Messages

149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149

Rank
D=x1-x2 ABS(D) ABS(D)
2
-5
-26
29
-44
-37
-9
18
28
36
-20
11
-39
21
49
16
-40
-31
6
-47
15
31
-10
17
33

2
5
26
29
44
37
9
18
28
36
20
11
39
21
49
16
40
31
6
47
15
31
10
17
33

Rank
(D>0)

Rank
(D<0)

1.0
2.0
13.0
15.0
23.0
20.0
4.0
10.0
14.0
19.0
11.0
6.0
21.0
12.0
25.0
8.0
22.0
16.5
3.0
24.0
7.0
16.5
5.0
9.0
18.0

1.0
0.0
0.0
15.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
10.0
14.0
19.0
0.0
6.0
0.0
12.0
25.0
8.0
0.0
0.0
3.0
0.0
7.0
16.5
0.0
9.0
18.0

0.0
2.0
13.0
0.0
23.0
20.0
4.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
11.0
0.0
21.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
22.0
16.5
0.0
24.0
0.0
0.0
5.0
0.0
0.0

Sum:

151
144
123
178
105
112
140
167
177
185
129
160
110
170
198
165
109
118
155
102
164
180
139
166
82

Md0

163.5

161.5

Slide 26

E[ T ] 

n ( n  1)

T 


(25)(25 + 1)

=
4
4
n ( n  1)( 2 n  1)

= 162.5

24
25( 25  1)(( 2 )( 25)  1)
24



33150

 37 .165
24
The large - sample test statistic:
z 

T  E[ T ]

T



163.5  162 .5

 0.027

37 .165
H 0 cannot be rejected
Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Example 14-7 using the
Template

Slide 27

Note 1: You should enter
the claimed value of the
mean (median) in every
used row of the second
column of data. In this case
it is 149.
Note 2: In order for the
large sample
approximations to be
computed you will need to
change n > 25 to n >= 25 in
cells M13 and M14.

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
14-6 The Kruskal-Wallis Test - A
Nonparametric Alternative to One-Way
ANOVA

Slide 28

The Kruskal-Wallis hypothesis test:
H0: All k populations have the same distribution
H1: Not all k populations have the same distribution
The Kruskal-Wallis test statistic:
2
12  k Rj 
H
 3(n  1)
n(n  1)   n j 
 j 1 

2
If each nj > 5, then H is approximately distributed as a  .

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Example 14-8: The KruskalWallis Test
SoftwareTime Rank Group RankSum
1
45
14
1
90
1
38
10
2
56
1
56
16
3
25
1
60
17
1
47
15
1
65
18
2
30
8
2
40
11
2
28
7
2
44
13
2
25
5
2
42
12
3
22
4
3
19
3
3
15
1
3
31
9
3
27
6
3
17
2

Slide 29

 k R2 
12
j

H 
 j 1   3( n  1)
n ( n  1) 
nj 
12
 902 562 252 




  3(18  1)
18(18  1)  6
6
6 
 12   11861  57



 342   6 
 12 .3625

2(2,0.005)=10.5966, so H0 is
rejected.

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Slide 30

Example 14-8: The Kruskal-Wallis
Test – Using the Template

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Further Analysis (Pairwise
Comparisons of Average Ranks)

Slide 31

If the null hypothesis in the Kruskal-Wallis test is rejected, then
we may wish, in addition, compare each pair of populations to
determine which are different and which are the same.
The pairwise comparison test statistic:
D  Ri  R j
where R i is the mean of the ranks of the observations from
population i.
The critical point for the paired comparisons:
 n(n  1)  1 1 
2
C KW  (   , k 1 ) 
  ni  n j 

 12 
Reject if D > C KW
Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Pairwise Comparisons: Example
14-8

C KW

Slide 32

Critical Point:
n(n  1)  1 1 
2
 (   ,k 1 ) 
 12  ni  n j 



18(18  1)  1 1
 ( 9.21034)
  
12
 6 6
 87.49823  9.35

90
 15
6
56
R2   9.33
6
25
R3   4.17
6
R1 

D1,2  15  9.33  5.67
D1,3  15  4.17  10.83 ***
D2,3  9.33  4.17  516
.

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
14-7 The Friedman Test for a
Randomized Block Design

Slide 33

The Friedman test is a nonparametric version of the randomized block design
ANOVA. Sometimes this design is referred to as a two-way ANOVA with one
item per cell because it is possible to view the blocks as one factor and the
treatment levels as the other factor. The test is based on ranks.

The Friedman hypothesis test:
H0: The distributions of the k treatment populations are
identical
H1: Not all k distribution are identical
The Friedman test statistic:
12
 
 R  3n(k  1)
nk (k  1)
2

k

j 1

2

j

The degrees of freedom for the chi-square distribution is (k – 1).
Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Example 14-10 – using the
Template

Slide 34

Note: The p-value
is small relative to
a significance level
of a = 0.05, so one
should conclude
that there is
evidence that not
all three lowbudget cruise lines
are equally
preferred by the
frequent cruiser
population

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
14-8 The Spearman Rank
Correlation Coefficient

Slide 35

The Spearman Rank Correlation Coefficient is the simple correlation coefficient
calculated from variables converted to ranks from their original values.

The Spearman Rank Correlation Coefficient (assuming no ties):
n 2
6  di
rs  1  i 1
where d = R(x ) - R(y )
2
i
i
i
n ( n  1)
Null and alternative hypotheses:
H 0:  s = 0
H1:  s  0
Critical values for small sample tests from Appendix C, Table 11
Large sample test statistic:
z = rs ( n  1)
Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Slide 36

14 Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1)
• Using Statistics
• The Sign Test
• The Runs Test - A Test for Randomness
• The Mann-Whitney U Test
• The Wilcoxon Signed-Rank Test

• The Kruskal-Wallis Test - A Nonparametric
Alternative to One-Way ANOVA

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Slide 37

14 Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (2)
• The Friedman Test for a Randomized

•
•
•
•

•

Block Design
The Spearman Rank Correlation
Coefficient
A Chi-Square Test for Goodness of Fit
Contingency Table Analysis - A ChiSquare Test for Independence
A Chi-Square Test for Equality of
Proportions
Summary and Review of Terms

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
14-1 Using Statistics
(Parametric Tests)

Slide 38

• Parametric Methods
Inferences based on assumptions about the nature of the
population distribution
» Usually: population is normal
Types of tests
» z-test or t-test
» Comparing two population means or proportions
» Testing value of population mean or proportion
» ANOVA
» Testing equality of several population means

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Nonparametric Tests

Slide 39

• Nonparametric Tests
Distribution-free methods making no assumptions about the
population distribution
Types of tests

» Sign tests
» Sign Test: Comparing paired observations
» McNemar Test: Comparing qualitative variables
» Cox and Stuart Test: Detecting trend
» Runs tests
» Runs Test: Detecting randomness
» Wald-Wolfowitz Test: Comparing two distributions

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Nonparametric Tests
(Continued)

Slide 40

• Nonparametric Tests
Ranks tests
•
•
•

Mann-Whitney U Test: Comparing two populations
Wilcoxon Signed-Rank Test: Paired comparisons
Comparing several populations: ANOVA with ranks
– Kruskal-Wallis Test
– Friedman Test: Repeated measures

Spearman Rank Correlation Coefficient
Chi-Square Tests
•
•
•

Goodness of Fit
Testing for independence: Contingency Table Analysis
Equality of Proportions

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Nonparametric Tests
(Continued)
•
•
•

Slide 41

Deal with enumerative (frequency counts) data.
Do not deal with specific population
parameters, such as the mean or standard
deviation.
Do not require assumptions about specific
population distributions (in particular, the
normality assumption).

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
14-2 Sign Test

Slide 42

• Comparing paired observations
Paired observations: X and Y
p = P(X>Y)

» Two-tailed test H0: p = 0.50

H1: p0.50
» Right-tailed test H0: p  0.50
H1: p0.50
» Left-tailed test H0: p  0.50
H1: p 0.50
» Test statistic: T = Number of + signs

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Sign Test Decision Rule

Slide 43

• Small Sample: Binomial Test
For a two-tailed test, find a critical point

corresponding as closely as possible to /2
(C1) and define C2 as n-C1. Reject null
hypothesis if T  C1or T  C2.
For a right-tailed test, reject H0 if T  C, where
C is the value of the binomial distribution with
parameters n and p = 0.50 such that the sum of
the probabilities of all values less than or equal
to C is as close as possible to the chosen level
of significance, .
For a left-tailed test, reject H0 if T  C, where C
is defined as above.

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Example 14-1
CEO
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17

Before After
3
4
5
5
2
3
2
4
4
4
2
3
1
2
5
4
4
5
5
4
3
4
2
5
2
5
2
3
1
2
3
2
4
5

Sign
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
-1
1
-1
1
1
1
1
1
-1
1

+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+

n = 15
T = 12
  0.025
C1=3 C2 = 15-3 = 12 C1
H0 rejected, since
T  C2

Slide 44

Cumulative
Binomial
Probabilities
(n=15, p=0.5)
x
F(x)
0
0.00003
1
0.00049
2
0.00369
3
0.01758
4
0.05923
5
0.15088
6
0.30362
7
0.50000
8
0.69638
9
0.84912
10
0.94077
11
0.98242
12
0.99631
13
0.99951
14
0.99997
15
1.00000

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Example 14-1- Using the
Template

Slide 45

H0: p = 0.5
H1: p  5
Test Statistic: T = 12
p-value = 0.0352.
For  = 0.05, the null
hypothesis
is rejected since 0.0352 <
0.05.
Thus one can conclude
that there
is a change in attitude
toward a
CEO following the award
of an
MBA degree.
Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
14-3 The Runs Test - A Test for
Randomness

Slide 46

A run is a sequence of like elements that are preceded and
followed by different elements or no element at all.
Case 1: S|E|S|E|S|E|S|E|S|E|S|E|S|E|S|E|S|E|S|E
Case 2: SSSSSSSSSS|EEEEEEEEEE
Case 3: S|EE|SS|EEE|S|E|SS|E|S|EE|SSS|E

: R = 20 Apparently nonrandom
: R = 2 Apparently nonrandom
: R = 12 Perhaps random

A two-tailed hypothesis test for randomness:
H0: Observations are generated randomly
H1: Observations are not generated randomly
Test Statistic:
R=Number of Runs
Reject H0 at level  if R  C1 or R  C2, as given in Table
8, with total tail probability P(R  C1) + P(R  C2) = 
Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Runs Test: Examples
Table 8:
(n1,n2)

11

12

(10,10)

0.586

0.758

.
.
.

Number of Runs (r)
13
14
0.872

0.949

Slide 47

15

16

17

18

19

20

0.981

0.996

0.999

1.000

1.000

1.000

Case 1: n1 = 10 n2 = 10 R= 20 p-value0
Case 2: n1 = 10 n2 = 10 R = 2 p-value 0
Case 3: n1 = 10 n2 = 10 R= 12
p-value PR  11F(11)]
= (2)(1-0.586) = (2)(0.414) = 0.828
H0 not rejected

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Large-Sample Runs Test: Using
the Normal Approximation

Slide 48

The mean of the normal distribution of the number of runs:
2n n
E ( R) 
1
n n
1

2

1

2

The standard deviation:

 
R

2n n ( 2n n  n  n )
( n  n ) ( n  n  1)
1

2

1

2

1

2

2

1

2

1

2

The standard normal test statistic:
R  E ( R)
z



R

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Large-Sample Runs Test:
Example 14-2

Slide 49

Example 14-2: n1 = 27 n2 = 26 R = 15
2n n
( 2)( 27)( 26)
E ( R)  1 2  1 
 1  26.49  1  27.49
n n
( 27  26)
1 2
2n n ( 2n n  n  n )
1 2 1 2 1 2  ( 2)( 27)( 26)(( 2)( 27)( 26)  27  26))
 
R
( n  n ) 2 ( n  n  1)
( 27  26) 2 ( 27  26  1)
1 2
1 2
1896804

 12.986  3.604
146068
R  E ( R ) 15  27.49
z

 3.47

3.604
R

p - value = 2(1 - .9997) = 0.0006

H0 should be rejected at any common level of significance.
Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Large-Sample Runs Test:
Example 14-2 – Using the
Template

Slide 50

Note: The
computed pvalue using the
template is
0.0005 as
compared to the
manually
computed value
of 0.0006. The
value of 0.0005
is more
accurate.
Reject the null
hypothesis that
the residuals are
random.
Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Using the Runs Test to Compare Two
Population Distributions (Means): the
Wald-Wolfowitz Test

Slide 51

The null and alternative hypotheses for the Wald-Wolfowitz test:
H0: The two populations have the same distribution
H1: The two populations have different distributions
The test statistic:
R = Number of Runs in the sequence of samples, when
the data from both samples have been sorted

Example 14-3:
Salesperson A:
Salesperson B:

35
17

44
23

39
13

50
24

48
33

29
21

60
18

75
16

49
32

66

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
The Wald-Wolfowitz Test:
Example 14-3
Sales
35
44
39
48
60
75
49
66
17
23
13
24
33
21
18
16
32

Sales
Person
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
B
B
B
B
B
B
B
B
B

Sales
(Sorted)
13
16
17
21
24
29
32
33
35
39
44
48
49
50
60
66
75

Sales
Person
(Sorted)
B
B
B
B
B
A
B
B
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A

Runs

1
2
3

Slide 52

n1 = 10 n2 = 9 R= 4
p-value PR  4
H0 may be rejected

Table
Number of Runs (r)
(n1,n2) 2
3
4
5
.
.
.
(9,10) 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.004 ...

4

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Ranks Tests

Slide 53

• Ranks tests

 Mann-Whitney U Test: Comparing two populations
 Wilcoxon Signed-Rank Test: Paired comparisons
 Comparing several populations: ANOVA with ranks
• Kruskal-Wallis Test
• Friedman Test: Repeated measures

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
14-4 The Mann-Whitney U Test
(Comparing Two Populations)

Slide 54

The null and alternative hypotheses:
H0: The distributions of two populations are identical
H1: The two population distributions are not identical
The Mann-Whitney U statistic:
n1 ( n1  1)
U  n1 n2 
 R1
R 1   Ranks from sample 1
2
where n1 is the sample size from population 1 and n2 is the
sample size from population 2.
n1 n2
n1 n2 (n1  n2  1)
E [U ] 
U 
2
12
U  E [U ]
The large - sample test statistic: z 

U

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
The Mann-Whitney U Test:
Example 14-4
Model
A
A
A
A
A
A
B
B
B
B
B
B

Time
35
38
40
42
41
36
29
27
30
33
39
37

Rank
5
8
10
12
11
6
2
1
3
4
9
7

Rank
Sum

U  n1 n 2 

n1 ( n1  1)
2
(6)(6 + 1)

= (6)(6) +
5

52

26

Slide 55

 R1

 52

2

Cumulative Distribution Function of the
Mann-Whitney U Statistic
n2=6
n1=6
u
.
.
.
4
0.0130
Pu5
5
0.0206
6
0.0325
.
.
.

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Example 14-5: Large-Sample
Mann-Whitney U Test
Score
Score Program Rank
85
1
20.0
87
1
21.0
92
1
27.0
98
1
30.0
90
1
26.0
88
1
23.0
75
1
17.0
72
1
13.5
60
1
6.5
93
1
28.0
88
1
23.0
89
1
25.0
96
1
29.0
73
1
15.0
62
1
8.5

Rank
Sum
20.0
41.0
68.0
98.0
124.0
147.0
164.0
177.5
184.0
212.0
235.0
260.0
289.0
304.0
312.5

Score
Score Program Rank
65
2
10.0
57
2
4.0
74
2
16.0
43
2
2.0
39
2
1.0
88
2
23.0
62
2
8.5
69
2
11.0
70
2
12.0
72
2
13.5
59
2
5.0
60
2
6.5
80
2
18.0
83
2
19.0
50
2
3.0

Rank
Sum
10.0
14.0
30.0
32.0
33.0
56.0
64.5
75.5
87.5
101.0
106.0
112.5
130.5
149.5
152.5

Since the test statistic is z = -3.32,
the p-value  0.0005, and H0 is rejected.

U  n1n2 

Slide 56

n1 ( n1  1)

 R1
2
(15)(15  1)
 (15)(15) 
 312 .5  32 .5
2
n1n2
(15)(15)
E [U ] 
=
= 112.5
2
2
n1n2 ( n1  n2  1)
U 
12
(15)(15)(15  15  1)

 24 .109
12
U  E [U ]
32 .5  112 .5
z 

 3.32
U
24 .109

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Slide 57

Example 14-5: Large-Sample
Mann-Whitney U Test – Using the
Template

Since the test
statistic is z = 3.32, the p-value 
0.0005, and H0 is
rejected.
That is, the LC
(Learning Curve)
program is more
effective.

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
14-5 The Wilcoxon SignedRanks Test (Paired Ranks)

Slide 58

The null and alternative hypotheses:
H0: The median difference between populations are 1 and 2 is zero
H1: The median difference between populations are 1 and 2 is not
zero
Find the difference between the ranks for each pair, D = x1 -x2, and then rank
the absolute values of the differences.
The Wilcoxon T statistic is the smaller of the sums of the positive ranks and
the sum of the negative ranks:  (  ),  (  )
T  min





For small samples, a left-tailed test is used, using the values in Appendix C,
Table 10.

E[T ] 

n ( n  1)
4

The large-sample test statistic: z 

T 
T  E[T ]

n ( n  1)( 2 n  1)
24

T

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Example 14-6
Sold Sold
(1)
(2)
56
48
100
85
22
44
35
28
52
77
89
10
65
90
70
33

40
70
60
70
8
40
45
7
60
70
90
10
85
61
40
26

Rank Rank Rank
D=x1-x2 ABS(D) ABS(D)(D>0) (D<0)
16
-22
40
15
14
4
-10
21
-8
7
-1
0
-20
29
30
7

16
22
40
15
14
4
10
21
8
7
1
*
20
29
30
7

9.0
12.0
15.0
8.0
7.0
2.0
6.0
11.0
5.0
3.5
1.0
*
10.0
13.0
14.0
3.5

9.0
0.0
15.0
8.0
7.0
2.0
0.0
11.0
0.0
3.5
0.0
*
0.0
13.0
14.0
3.5

0
12
0
0
0
0
6
0
5
0
1
*
10
0
0
0

Sum:

86

Slide 59

T=34
P=0.05
P=0.025
P=0.01
P=0.005

n=15
30
25
20
16

34

H0 is not rejected (Note the arithmetic
error in the text for store 13)

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Example 14-7
Hourly
Messages
151
144
123
178
105
112
140
167
177
185
129
160
110
170
198
165
109
118
155
102
164
180
139
166
82

Md0
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149
149

Rank Rank
D=x1-x2 ABS(D) ABS(D) (D>0)
2
-5
-26
29
-44
-37
-9
18
28
36
-20
11
-39
21
49
16
-40
-31
6
-47
15
31
-10
17
33

2
5
26
29
44
37
9
18
28
36
20
11
39
21
49
16
40
31
6
47
15
31
10
17
33

Rank
(D<0)

1.0
2.0
13.0
15.0
23.0
20.0
4.0
10.0
14.0
19.0
11.0
6.0
21.0
12.0
25.0
8.0
22.0
16.5
3.0
24.0
7.0
16.5
5.0
9.0
18.0

1.0
0.0
0.0
15.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
10.0
14.0
19.0
0.0
6.0
0.0
12.0
25.0
8.0
0.0
0.0
3.0
0.0
7.0
16.5
0.0
9.0
18.0

0.0
2.0
13.0
0.0
23.0
20.0
4.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
11.0
0.0
21.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
22.0
16.5
0.0
24.0
0.0
0.0
5.0
0.0
0.0

Sum:

163.5

161.5

Slide 60

E[ T ] 

n ( n  1)

(25)(25 + 1)
=

T 


= 162.5

4
4
n ( n  1)( 2 n  1)
24
25( 25  1)(( 2 )( 25)  1)
24



33150

 37 .165
24
The large - sample test statistic:
z 

T  E[ T ]

T



163.5  162 .5

 0.027

37 .165
H 0 cannot be rejected

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Example 14-7 using the
Template

Slide 61

Note 1: You should enter
the claimed value of the
mean (median) in every
used row of the second
column of data. In this
case it is 149.
Note 2: In order for the
large sample
approximations to be
computed you will need
to change n > 25 to n >=
25 in cells M13 and M14.

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
14-6 The Kruskal-Wallis Test - A
Nonparametric Alternative to One-Way
ANOVA

Slide 62

The Kruskal-Wallis hypothesis test:
H0: All k populations have the same distribution
H1: Not all k populations have the same distribution

The Kruskal-Wallis test statistic:
2
12  k Rj 
H
  n   3(n  1)
n(n  1)  j 1 j 
If each nj > 5, then H is approximately distributed as a 2.

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Example 14-8: The KruskalWallis Test
SoftwareTime Rank Group RankSum
1
45
14
1
90
1
38
10
2
56
1
56
16
3
25
1
60
17
1
47
15
1
65
18
2
30
8
2
40
11
2
28
7
2
44
13
2
25
5
2
42
12
3
22
4
3
19
3
3
15
1
3
31
9
3
27
6
3
17
2

Slide 63

 k R2 
12
j

H 
 j 1   3( n  1)
n ( n  1) 
nj 
12
 902 562 252 




  3(18  1)
18(18  1)  6
6
6 
 12   11861  57



 342   6 
 12 .3625

2(2,0.005)=10.5966, so H0 is
rejected.

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Slide 64

Example 14-8: The Kruskal-Wallis
Test – Using the Template

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Further Analysis (Pairwise
Comparisons of Average Ranks)

Slide 65

If the null hypothesis in the Kruskal-Wallis test is rejected,
then we may wish, in addition, compare each pair of
populations to determine which are different and which are
the same.
The pairwise comparison test statistic:
D  Ri  R j
where R i is the mean of the ranks of the observations from
population i.
The critical point for the paired comparisons:
 n(n  1)  1 1 
2
C KW  (   , k 1 ) 
  ni  n j 

 12 
Reject if D > C KW
Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Pairwise Comparisons: Example
14-8

C KW

Slide 66

Critical Point:
n(n  1)  1 1 
2
 (   ,k 1 ) 
 12  ni  n j 



18(18  1)  1 1
 ( 9.21034)
  
12
 6 6
 87.49823  9.35

90
 15
6
56
R2   9.33
6
25
R3   4.17
6
R1 

D1,2  15  9.33  5.67
D1,3  15  4.17  10.83 ***
D2,3  9.33  4.17  516
.

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
14-7 The Friedman Test for a
Randomized Block Design

Slide 67

The Friedman test is a nonparametric version of the randomized block design
ANOVA. Sometimes this design is referred to as a two-way ANOVA with one
item per cell because it is possible to view the blocks as one factor and the
treatment levels as the other factor. The test is based on ranks.

The Friedman hypothesis test:
H0: The distributions of the k treatment populations are identical
H1: Not all k distribution are identical
The Friedman test statistic:

12
 
 R  3n(k  1)
nk (k  1)
The degrees of freedom for the chi-square distribution is (k – 1).
2

k

j 1

2

j

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Example 14-10 – using the
Template

Slide 68

Note: The pvalue is small
relative to a
significance level
of  = 0.05, so
one should
conclude that
there is evidence
that not all three
low-budget cruise
lines are equally
preferred by the
frequent cruiser
population

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
14-8 The Spearman Rank
Correlation Coefficient

Slide 69

The Spearman Rank Correlation Coefficient is the simple correlation coefficient
calculated from variables converted to ranks from their original values.

The Spearman Rank Correlation Coefficient (assuming no ties):
n 2
6  di
rs  1  i 1
where d = R(x ) - R(y )
2
i
i
i
n ( n  1)
Null and alternative hypotheses:
H 0:  s = 0
H1:  s  0
Critical values for small sample tests from Appendix C, Table 11
Large sample test statistic:
z = rs ( n  1)
Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Spearman Rank Correlation
Coefficient: Example 14-11
MMI S&P100
220
151
218
150
216
148
217
149
215
147
213
146
219
152
236
165
237
162
235
161

R-MMI R-S&P Diff Diffsq
7
6
1
1
5
5
0
0
3
3
0
0
4
4
0
0
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
6
7
-1
1
9
10
-1
1
10
9
1
1
8
8
0
0
Sum:

Slide 70

Table 11: =0.005
n
.
.
.
7
-----8
0.881
9
0.833
10
0.794
11
0.818
.
.
.

4

n 
 di
6
64
4
1
 1  i
1
1
9758794H 


99
nn 1
11 1

rejected

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Spearman Rank Correlation
Coefficient: Example 14-11
Using the Template

Slide 71

Note: The pvalues in the
range J15:J17
will appear only
if the sample
size is large (n
> 30)

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
14-9 A Chi-Square Test for
Goodness of Fit


Slide 72

Steps in a chi-square analysis:
 Formulate null and alternative hypotheses
 Compute frequencies of occurrence that would be
expected if the null hypothesis were true - expected cell
counts
 Note actual, observed cell counts
 Use differences between expected and actual cell counts
to find chi-square statistic:

(Oi  Ei ) 2
2  
Ei
i 1
k

 Compare chi-statistic with critical values from the chisquare distribution (with k-1 degrees of freedom) to test
the null hypothesis
Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Example 14-12: Goodness-of-Fit
Test for the Multinomial
Distribution

Slide 73

The null and alternative hypotheses:
H0: The probabilities of occurrence of events E1, E2...,Ek are given by
p1,p2,...,pk
H1: The probabilities of the k events are not as specified in the null
hypothesis

Assuming equal probabilities, p1= p2 = p3 = p4 =0.25 and n=80
Preference
Tan
Brown Maroon Black
Total
Observed
12
40
8
20
80
Expected(np)
20
20
20
20
80
(O-E)
-8
20
-12
0
0
k ( Oi  E i )
2
  
i 1
Ei

2


( 8 )
20

2


( 20 )

2


( 12 )

20

20

2


( 0)

2

20

 30.4  

2

 11.3449

( 0.01, 3)

H 0 is rejected at the 0.01 level.
Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Slide 74

Example 14-12: Goodness-of-Fit
Test for the Multinomial
Distribution using the Template

Note: the pvalue is
0.0000, so we
can reject the
null
hypothesis at
any a level.

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Goodness-of-Fit for the Normal
Distribution: Example 14-13

p(z<-1)
p(-1<z<-0.44)
p(-0.44<z<0)
p(0<z<0.44)
p(0.44<z<14)
p(z>1)

= 0.1587
= 0.1713
= 0.1700
= 0.1700
= 0.1713
= 0.1587

Partitioning the Standard Normal Distribution
0.1700

0.1700
0.4

0.1713

0.1713
0.3

f(z)

1. Use the table of the standard
normal distribution to determine an
appropriate partition of the standard
normal distribution which gives
ranges with approximately equal
percentages.

Slide 75

0.2

0.1587

0.1587

0.1

z

0.0
-5

-1

0

1

5

-0.44 0.44

2. Given z boundaries, x boundaries can be determined from the inverse
standard normal transformation: x =  + z = 125 + 40z.
3. Compare with the critical value of the 2 distribution with k-3 degrees of
freedom.
Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Example 14-13: Solution

i

Oi

Ei

1
2
3
4
5
6

14 15.87
20 17.13
16 17.00
19 17.00
16 17.13
15 15.87

Slide 76

Oi - Ei (Oi - Ei)2 (Oi - Ei)2/ Ei

-1.87
2.87
-1.00
2.00
-1.13
-0.87

3.49690
8.23691
1.00000
4.00000
1.27690
0.75690
2
:

0.22035
0.48085
0.05882
0.23529
0.07454
0.04769
1.11755

2(0.10,k-3)= 6.5139 > 1.11755 H0 is not rejected at the 0.10 level

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Example 14-13: Solution using
the Template

Slide 77

Note: p-value =
0.8002 > 0.01
H0 is not
rejected at the
0.10 level

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
14-9 Contingency Table
Analysis:
A Chi-Square Test for
Independence

Slide 78

First Classification Category
Second
Classification
Category
1
2
3
4
5
Column
Total

1
O11
O21
O31
O41
O51

2
O12
O22
O32
O42
O52

3
O13
O23
O33
O43
O53

4
O14
O24
O34
O44
O54

5
O15
O25
O35
O45
O55

C1

C2

C3

C4

C5

Row
Total
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
n

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Contingency Table Analysis:
A Chi-Square Test for Independence

Slide 79

A and B are independent if:P(AUB) = P(A)P(B).
If the first and second classification categories are independent:Eij = (Ri)(Cj)/
Null and alternative hypotheses:
H0: The two classification variables are independent of each
other
H1: The two classification variables are not independent

( Oij  Eij ) 2
  
Eij
i 1 j 1

r
Chi-square test statistic for independence:
2

c

Degrees of freedom: df=(r-1)(c-1)
Expected cell count:

Ri C j
Eij 
n

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Contingency Table Analysis:
Example 14-14
Industry Type

Profit

Service Nonservice
(Expected) (Expected) Total
42
18
60

(Expected)

Loss

6

(Expected)

(40*48/100)=19.2

Total
ij
11
12
21
22

(60*48/100)=28.8

48

O
42
18
6
34

E
28.8
31.2
19.2
20.8

O-E
13.2
-13.2
-13.2
13.2

(O-E)2
174.24
174.24
174.24
174.24
2:

Slide 80

2(0.01,(2-1)(21))=6.63490

H0 is rejected at
the 0.01 level
(60*52/100)=31.2
and
34
40
(40*52/100)=20.8
it is concluded
52
100
that the two
variables
2
(O-E) /E
Yates corrected  for a 2x2 table:
are not
6.0500
2
independent.
5.5846
O  E  0.5

29.0865

2

9.0750
8.3769



2


 

ij

ij
Eij



Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Contingency Table Analysis: Slide 81
Example 14-14 using the Template
Note: When
the
contingenc
y table is a
2x2, one
should use
the Yates
correction.

Since p-value = 0.000, H0 is rejected at the 0.01 level and it is concluded that the two
variables are not independent.
Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
14-11 Chi-Square Test for
Equality
of Proportions

Slide 82

Tests of equality of proportions across several populations
are also called tests of homogeneity.
In general, when we compare c populations (or r populations if they are arranged as
rows rather than columns in the table), then the Null and alternative hypotheses:
H0: p1 = p2 = p3 = … = pc
H1: Not all pi, I = 1, 2, …, c, are equal

Chi-square test statistic for equal proportions:

( Oij  Eij ) 2
2  
Eij
i 1 j 1
r

c

Degrees of freedom: df = (r-1)(c-1)

Expected cell count:

Ri C j
Eij 
n

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
14-11 Chi-Square Test for
Equality
of Proportions - Extension

Slide 83

The Median Test
Here, the Null and alternative hypotheses are:
H0: The c populations have the same median
H1: Not all c populations have the same median

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Chi-Square Test for the Median:
Example 14-16 Using the
Template

Slide 84

Note: The template was
used to help compute
the test statistic and the
p-value for the median
test. First you must
manually compute the
number of values that
are above the grand
median and the number
that is less than or
equal to the grand
median. Use these
values in the template.
See Table 14-16 in the
text.

Since the p-value = 0.6703 is very large there is no evidence to reject the null hypothesis.
Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Spearman Rank Correlation
Coefficient: Example 14-11
MMI S&P100
220
151
218
150
216
148
217
149
215
147
213
146
219
152
236
165
237
162
235
161

R-MMI R-S&P Diff Diffsq
7
6
1
1
5
5
0
0
3
3
0
0
4
4
0
0
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
6
7
-1
1
9
10
-1
1
10
9
1
1
8
8
0
0
Sum:

Slide 85

Table 11: =0.005
n
.
.
.
7
-----8
0.881
9
0.833
10
0.794
11
0.818
.
.
.

4

n 
 di
6
64
4

1
 1  i
1
1
9758794H  rejected
 1

99
nn
11 1
Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Spearman Rank Correlation
Coefficient: Example 14-11
Using the Template

Slide 86

Note: The pvalues in the
range J15:J17
will appear only
if the sample
size is large (n
> 30)

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
14-9 A Chi-Square Test for
Goodness of Fit


Slide 87

Steps in a chi-square analysis:
 Formulate null and alternative hypotheses
 Compute frequencies of occurrence that would be
expected if the null hypothesis were true - expected cell
counts
 Note actual, observed cell counts
 Use differences between expected and actual cell counts
to find chi-square statistic:

(Oi  Ei ) 2
 
Ei
i 1
k

2

 Compare chi-statistic with critical values from the chisquare distribution (with k-1 degrees of freedom) to test
the null hypothesis
Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Example 14-12: Goodness-of-Fit
Test for the Multinomial
Distribution

Slide 88

The null and alternative hypotheses:
H0: The probabilities of occurrence of events E1, E2...,Ek are
given by
p1,p2,...,pk
H1: The probabilities of the k events are not as specified in the
null
hypothesis
Assuming equal probabilities, p1= p2 = p3 = p4 =0.25 and n=80
Preference
Tan
Brown Maroon Black
Total
Observed
12
40
8
20
80
Expected(np)
20
20
20
20
80
(O-E)
-8
20
-12
0
0
k ( Oi  E i )
2
  
i 1
Ei

2


( 8 )
20

2


( 20 )

2


( 12 )

20

20

2


( 0)

2

20

 30.4  

2

 11.3449

( 0.01, 3)

H 0 is rejected at the 0.01 level.
Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Slide 89

Example 14-12: Goodness-of-Fit
Test for the Multinomial
Distribution using the Template

Note: the pvalue is
0.0000, so
we can
reject the
null
hypothesis
at any 
level.

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Goodness-of-Fit for the Normal
Distribution: Example 14-13

p(z<-1)
p(-1<z<-0.44)
p(-0.44<z<0)
p(0<z<0.44)
p(0.44<z<14)
p(z>1)

= 0.1587
= 0.1713
= 0.1700
= 0.1700
= 0.1713
= 0.1587

Partitioning the Standard Normal Distribution
0.1700

0.1700
0.4

0.1713

0.1713
0.3

f(z)

1. Use the table of the standard
normal distribution to determine an
appropriate partition of the standard
normal distribution which gives
ranges with approximately equal
percentages.

Slide 90

0.2

0.1587

0.1587

0.1

z

0.0
-5

-1

0

1

5

-0.44 0.44

2. Given z boundaries, x boundaries can be determined from the inverse
standard normal transformation: x =  + z = 125 + 40z.
3. Compare with the critical value of the 2 distribution with k-3 degrees of
freedom.
Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Example 14-13: Solution

i
1
2
3
4
5
6

Oi
14
20
16
19
16
15

Ei

15.87
17.13
17.00
17.00
17.13
15.87

Slide 91

Oi - Ei (Oi - Ei)2 (Oi - Ei)2/ Ei
-1.87
2.87
-1.00
2.00
-1.13
-0.87

3.49690
8.23691
1.00000
4.00000
1.27690
0.75690

2
:

0.22035
0.48085
0.05882
0.23529
0.07454
0.04769

1.11755

2(0.10,k-3)= 6.5139 > 1.11755 H0 is not rejected at the 0.10 level

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Example 14-13: Solution using
the Template

Slide 92

Note: p-value =
0.8002 > 0.01
H0 is not
rejected at the
0.10 level

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
14-9 Contingency Table Analysis:
A Chi-Square Test for Independence

Slide 93

First Classification Category
Second
Classification
Category
1
2
3
4
5
Column
Total

1
O11
O21
O31
O41
O51

2
O12
O22
O32
O42
O52

3
O13
O23
O33
O43
O53

4
O14
O24
O34
O44
O54

5
O15
O25
O35
O45
O55

C1

C2

C3

C4

C5

Row
Total
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
n

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Contingency Table Analysis:
A Chi-Square Test for
Independence

Slide 94

A and B are independent if:P(AUB) = P(A)P(B).
If the first and second classification categories are independent:Eij = (Ri)(Cj)/
Null and alternative hypotheses:
H0: The two classification variables are independent of each other
H1: The two classification variables are not independent
Chi-square test statistic for independence:

( Oij  Eij ) 2
2  
Eij
i 1 j 1
r

Degrees of freedom: df=(r-1)(c-1)
Expected cell count:

c

Ri C j
Eij 
n

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Contingency Table Analysis:
Example 14-14
2(0.01,(2-1)(21))=6.63490

Industry Type

Profit

Service Nonservice
(Expected) (Expected) Total
42
18
60

(Expected)

6

34

(Expected)

(40*48/100)=19.2

(40*52/100)=20.8

Total

48

52

H0 is rejected at the
0.01 level and
it is concluded that
the two variables
are not independent.

(60*52/100)=31.2

Loss

ij
11
12
21
22

(60*48/100)=28.8

O
42
18
6
34

E
28.8
31.2
19.2
20.8

(O-E)2
174.24
174.24
174.24
174.24

O-E
13.2
-13.2
-13.2
13.2
2:

29.0865

(O-E)2/E
6.0500
5.5846
9.0750
8.3769

Slide 95

40
100

2
Yates corrected  for a 2x2 table:
2
Oij  Eij  0.5
2
  
Eij





Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Contingency Table Analysis: Slide 96
Example 14-14 using the Template
Note: When
the
contingenc
y table is a
2x2, one
should use
the Yates
correction.

Since p-value = 0.000, H0 is rejected at the 0.01 level and it is concluded that the two
variables are not independent.
Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
14-11 Chi-Square Test for
Equality
of Proportions

Slide 97

Tests of equality of proportions across several populations
are also called tests of homogeneity.
In general, when we compare c populations (or r populations if they are arranged as
rows rather than columns in the table), then the Null and alternative hypotheses:
H0: p1 = p2 = p3 = … = pc
H1: Not all pi, I = 1, 2, …, c, are equal

Chi-square test statistic for equal proportions:

( Oij  Eij ) 2
2  
Eij
i 1 j 1
r

c

Degrees of freedom: df = (r-1)(c-1)

Expected cell count:

Ri C j
Eij 
n

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
14-11 Chi-Square Test for Equality
of Proportions - Extension

Slide 98

The Median Test
Here, the Null and alternative hypotheses are:
H0: The c populations have the same median
H1: Not all c populations have the same median

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Chi-Square Test for the Median:
Example 14-16 Using the Template

Slide 99

Note: The template was
used to help compute
the test statistic and the
p-value for the median
test. First you must
manually compute the
number of values that
are above the grand
median and the number
that is less than or
equal to the grand
median. Use these
values in the template.
See Table 14-16 in the
text.

Since the p-value = 0.6703 is very large there is no evidence to reject the null hypothesis.
Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer
Name
Religion
Domicile
Contact #
E.Mail

M.Phil (Statistics)

Shakeel Nouman
Christian
Punjab (Lahore)
0332-4462527. 0321-9898767
sn_gcu@yahoo.com
sn_gcu@hotmail.com

Slide 100

GC University, .
(Degree awarded by GC University)

M.Sc (Statistics)
Statitical Officer
(BS-17)
(Economics & Marketing
Division)

GC University, .
(Degree awarded by GC University)

Livestock Production Research Institute
Bahadurnagar (Okara), Livestock & Dairy Development
Department, Govt. of Punjab

Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical
Officer

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Nonparametric Tests and Chi-Square Analysis

  • 1. Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) Slide 1 Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 2. Slide 2 14 Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) • Using Statistics • The Sign Test • The Runs Test - A Test for Randomness • The Mann-Whitney U Test • The Wilcoxon Signed-Rank Test • The Kruskal-Wallis Test - A Nonparametric Alternative to One-Way ANOVA Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 3. Slide 3 14 Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (2) • The Friedman Test for a Randomized • • • • • Block Design The Spearman Rank Correlation Coefficient A Chi-Square Test for Goodness of Fit Contingency Table Analysis - A ChiSquare Test for Independence A Chi-Square Test for Equality of Proportions Summary and Review of Terms Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 4. 14-1 Using Statistics (Parametric Tests) Slide 4 • Parametric Methods Inferences based on assumptions about the nature of the population distribution » Usually: population is normal Types of tests » z-test or t-test » Comparing two population means or proportions » Testing value of population mean or proportion » ANOVA » Testing equality of several population means Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 5. Nonparametric Tests Slide 5 • Nonparametric Tests Distribution-free methods making no assumptions about the population distribution Types of tests » Sign tests » Sign Test: Comparing paired observations » McNemar Test: Comparing qualitative variables » Cox and Stuart Test: Detecting trend » Runs tests » Runs Test: Detecting randomness » Wald-Wolfowitz Test: Comparing two distributions Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 6. Nonparametric Tests (Continued) Slide 6 • Nonparametric Tests Ranks tests • • • Mann-Whitney U Test: Comparing two populations Wilcoxon Signed-Rank Test: Paired comparisons Comparing several populations: ANOVA with ranks – Kruskal-Wallis Test – Friedman Test: Repeated measures Spearman Rank Correlation Coefficient Chi-Square Tests • • • Goodness of Fit Testing for independence: Contingency Table Analysis Equality of Proportions Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 7. Nonparametric Tests (Continued) • • • Slide 7 Deal with enumerative (frequency counts) data. Do not deal with specific population parameters, such as the mean or standard deviation. Do not require assumptions about specific population distributions (in particular, the normality assumption). Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 8. 14-2 Sign Test Slide 8 • Comparing paired observations Paired observations: X and Y p = P(X>Y) » Two-tailed test H0: p = 0.50 H1: p0.50 » Right-tailed test H0: p  0.50 H1: p0.50 » Left-tailed test H0: p  0.50 H1: p 0.50 » Test statistic: T = Number of + signs Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 9. Sign Test Decision Rule Slide 9 • Small Sample: Binomial Test For a two-tailed test, find a critical point corresponding as closely as possible to /2 (C1) and define C2 as n-C1. Reject null hypothesis if T  C1or T  C2. For a right-tailed test, reject H0 if T  C, where C is the value of the binomial distribution with parameters n and p = 0.50 such that the sum of the probabilities of all values less than or equal to C is as close as possible to the chosen level of significance, . For a left-tailed test, reject H0 if T  C, where C is defined as above. Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 10. Example 14-1 CEO Before After 1 3 4 1 2 5 5 0 3 2 3 1 4 2 4 1 5 4 4 0 6 2 3 1 7 1 2 1 8 5 4 -1 9 4 5 1 10 5 4 -1 11 3 4 1 12 2 5 1 13 2 5 1 14 2 3 1 15 1 2 1 16 3 2 -1 17 4 5 1 Sign + + + + + + + + + + + + n = 15 T = 12   0.025 C1=3 C2 = 15-3 = 12 H0 rejected, since T  C2 Slide 10 Cumulative Binomial Probabilities (n=15, p=0.5) x F(x) 0 0.00003 1 0.00049 2 0.00369 3 0.01758 4 0.05923 5 0.15088 6 0.30362 7 0.50000 8 0.69638 9 0.84912 10 0.94077 11 0.98242 12 0.99631 13 0.99951 14 0.99997 15 1.00000 C1 Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 11. Example 14-1- Using the Template Slide 11 H0: p = 0.5 H1: p  0.5 Test Statistic: T = 12 p-value = 0.0352. For a = 0.05, the null hypothesis is rejected since 0.0352 < 0.05. Thus one can conclude that there is a change in attitude toward a CEO following the award of an MBA degree. Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 12. 14-3 The Runs Test - A Test for Randomness Slide 12 A run is a sequence of like elements that are preceded and followed by different elements or no element at all. Case 1: S|E|S|E|S|E|S|E|S|E|S|E|S|E|S|E|S|E|S|E Case 2: SSSSSSSSSS|EEEEEEEEEE Case 3: S|EE|SS|EEE|S|E|SS|E|S|EE|SSS|E : R = 20 Apparently nonrandom : R = 2 Apparently nonrandom : R = 12 Perhaps random A two-tailed hypothesis test for randomness: H0: Observations are generated randomly H1: Observations are not generated randomly Test Statistic: R=Number of Runs Reject H0 at level if R C1 or R C2, as given in Table 8, with total tail probability P(R C1) + P(R C2) =  Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 13. Runs Test: Examples Table 8: (n1,n2) 11 12 (10,10) 0.586 0.758 0.872 0.949 0.981 0.996 0.999 1.000 1.000 1.000 . . . 13 Number of Runs (r) 14 15 16 17 Slide 13 18 19 20 Case 1: n1 = 10 n2 = 10 R= 20 p-value 0 Case 2: n1 = 10 n2 = 10 R = 2 p-value  0 Case 3: n1 = 10 n2 = 10 R= 12 p-value R  P F(11)] = (2)(1-0.586) = (2)(0.414) = 0.828 H0 not rejected Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 14. Large-Sample Runs Test: Using the Normal Approximation Slide 14 The mean of the normal distribution of the number of runs: 2n n E ( R)  1 n n 1 2 1 2 The standard deviation:   R 2n n ( 2n n  n  n ) ( n  n ) ( n  n  1) 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 The standard normal test statistic: R  E ( R) z  R Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 15. Large-Sample Runs Test: Example 14-2 Slide 15 Example 14-2: n1 = 27 n2 = 26 R = 15 2n n ( 2)( 27)( 26) E ( R)  1 2  1   1  26.49  1  27.49 n n ( 27  26) 1 2 2n n ( 2n n  n  n ) 1 2 1 2 1 2  ( 2)( 27)( 26)(( 2)( 27)( 26)  27  26))   R ( n  n ) 2 ( n  n  1) ( 27  26) 2 ( 27  26  1) 1 2 1 2 1896804   12.986  3.604 146068 R  E ( R ) 15  27.49 z   3.47  3.604 R p - value = 2(1 - .9997) = 0.0006 H0 should be rejected at any common level of significance. Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 16. Large-Sample Runs Test: Example 14-2 – Using the Template Slide 16 Note: The computed p-value using the template is 0.0005 as compared to the manually computed value of 0.0006. The value of 0.0005 is more accurate. Reject the null hypothesis that the residuals are random. Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 17. Using the Runs Test to Compare Two Population Distributions (Means): the Wald-Wolfowitz Test Slide 17 The null and alternative hypotheses for the Wald-Wolfowitz test: H0: The two populations have the same distribution H1: The two populations have different distributions The test statistic: R = Number of Runs in the sequence of samples, when the data from both samples have been sorted Example 14-3: Salesperson A: Salesperson B: 35 44 17 23 39 13 50 24 48 33 29 21 60 18 75 16 49 32 66 Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 18. The Wald-Wolfowitz Test: Example 14-3 Sales 35 44 39 48 60 75 49 66 17 23 13 24 33 21 18 16 32 Sales Person A A A A A A A A B B B B B B B B B Sales (Sorted) 13 16 17 21 24 29 32 33 35 39 44 48 49 50 60 66 75 Sales Person (Sorted) B B B B B A B B A A A A A A A A A Runs 1 2 3 Slide 18 n1 = 10 n2 = 9 R= 4 p-value PR  4 H0 may be rejected Table Number of Runs (r) (n1,n2) 2 3 4 5 . . . (9,10) 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.004 ... 4 Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 19. Ranks Tests Slide 19 • Ranks tests  Mann-Whitney U Test: Comparing two populations  Wilcoxon Signed-Rank Test: Paired comparisons  Comparing several populations: ANOVA with ranks • Kruskal-Wallis Test • Friedman Test: Repeated measures Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 20. 14-4 The Mann-Whitney U Test (Comparing Two Populations) Slide 20 The null and alternative hypotheses: H0: The distributions of two populations are identical H1: The two population distributions are not identical The Mann-Whitney U statistic: n1 ( n1  1) U  n1 n2   R1 2 R 1   Ranks from sample 1 where n1 is the sample size from population 1 and n2 is the sample size from population 2. n1 n2 n1 n2 (n1  n2  1) E [U ]  U  2 12 U  E [U ] The large - sample test statistic: z   U Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 21. The Mann-Whitney U Test: Example 14-4 Model A A A A A A B B B B B B Time 35 38 40 42 41 36 29 27 30 33 39 37 Rank 5 8 10 12 11 6 2 1 3 4 9 7 Rank Sum U  n1 n 2  n1 ( n1  1) 2 (6)(6 + 1) = (6)(6) + 5 52 26 Slide 21  R1  52 2 Cumulative Distribution Function of the Mann-Whitney U Statistic n2=6 n1=6 u . . . 4 0.0130 P(u 5) 5 0.0206 6 0.0325 . . . Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 22. Example 14-5: Large-Sample Mann-Whitney U Test Score Rank Score Program Rank Sum 85 1 20.0 20.0 87 1 21.0 41.0 92 1 27.0 68.0 98 1 30.0 98.0 90 1 26.0 124.0 88 1 23.0 147.0 75 1 17.0 164.0 72 1 13.5 177.5 60 1 6.5 184.0 93 1 28.0 212.0 88 1 23.0 235.0 89 1 25.0 260.0 96 1 29.0 289.0 73 1 15.0 304.0 62 1 8.5 312.5 Score Rank Score Program Rank Sum 65 2 10.0 10.0 57 2 4.0 14.0 74 2 16.0 30.0 43 2 2.0 32.0 39 2 1.0 33.0 88 2 23.0 56.0 62 2 8.5 64.5 69 2 11.0 75.5 70 2 12.0 87.5 72 2 13.5 101.0 59 2 5.0 106.0 60 2 6.5 112.5 80 2 18.0 130.5 83 2 19.0 149.5 50 2 3.0 152.5 U  n1n2  Slide 22 n1 ( n1  1)  R1 2 (15)(15  1)  (15)(15)   312 .5  32 .5 2 n1n2 (15)(15) E [U ]  = = 112.5 2 2 n1n2 ( n1  n2  1) U  12 (15)(15)(15  15  1)   24 .109 12 U  E [U ] 32 .5  112 .5 z    3.32 U 24 .109 Since the test statistic is z = -3.32, the p-value 0.0005,Tests (1) HShakeelrejected. Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square and By 0 is Nouman M.Phil Officer
  • 23. Slide 23 Example 14-5: Large-Sample Mann-Whitney U Test – Using the Template Since the test statistic is z = 3.32, the p-value  0.0005, and H0 is rejected. That is, the LC (Learning Curve) program is more effective. Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 24. 14-5 The Wilcoxon SignedRanks Test (Paired Ranks) Slide 24 The null and alternative hypotheses: H0: The median difference between populations are 1 and 2 is zero H1: The median difference between populations are 1 and 2 is not zero Find the difference between the ranks for each pair, D = x1 -x2, and then rank the absolute values of the differences. The Wilcoxon T statistic is the smaller of the sums of the positive ranks and the sum of the negative ranks: T  min  (  ),  (  ) For small samples, a left-tailed test is used, using the values in Appendix C, Table 10. E[T ]  n ( n  1) 4 The large-sample test statistic: n ( n  1)( 2 n  1) T  24 z T  E[T ] T Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 25. Example 14-6 Sold Sold (1) (2) Rank Rank Rank D=x1-x2 ABS(D) ABS(D) (D>0) (D<0) 56 48 100 85 22 44 35 28 52 77 89 10 65 90 70 33 16 -22 40 15 14 4 -10 21 -8 7 -1 0 -20 29 30 7 40 70 60 70 8 40 45 7 60 70 90 10 85 61 40 26 16 22 40 15 14 4 10 21 8 7 1 * 20 29 30 7 9.0 12.0 15.0 8.0 7.0 2.0 6.0 11.0 5.0 3.5 1.0 * 10.0 13.0 14.0 3.5 9.0 0.0 15.0 8.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 11.0 0.0 3.5 0.0 * 0.0 13.0 14.0 3.5 0 12 0 0 0 0 6 0 5 0 1 * 10 0 0 0 Sum: 86 Slide 25 T=34 n=15 P=0.05 30 P=0.02525 P=0.01 20 P=0.00516 34 H0 is not rejected (Note the arithmetic error in the text for store 13) Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 26. Example 14-7 Hourly Messages 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 Rank D=x1-x2 ABS(D) ABS(D) 2 -5 -26 29 -44 -37 -9 18 28 36 -20 11 -39 21 49 16 -40 -31 6 -47 15 31 -10 17 33 2 5 26 29 44 37 9 18 28 36 20 11 39 21 49 16 40 31 6 47 15 31 10 17 33 Rank (D>0) Rank (D<0) 1.0 2.0 13.0 15.0 23.0 20.0 4.0 10.0 14.0 19.0 11.0 6.0 21.0 12.0 25.0 8.0 22.0 16.5 3.0 24.0 7.0 16.5 5.0 9.0 18.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 14.0 19.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 12.0 25.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 7.0 16.5 0.0 9.0 18.0 0.0 2.0 13.0 0.0 23.0 20.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 0.0 21.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 22.0 16.5 0.0 24.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 Sum: 151 144 123 178 105 112 140 167 177 185 129 160 110 170 198 165 109 118 155 102 164 180 139 166 82 Md0 163.5 161.5 Slide 26 E[ T ]  n ( n  1) T   (25)(25 + 1) = 4 4 n ( n  1)( 2 n  1) = 162.5 24 25( 25  1)(( 2 )( 25)  1) 24  33150  37 .165 24 The large - sample test statistic: z  T  E[ T ] T  163.5  162 .5  0.027 37 .165 H 0 cannot be rejected Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 27. Example 14-7 using the Template Slide 27 Note 1: You should enter the claimed value of the mean (median) in every used row of the second column of data. In this case it is 149. Note 2: In order for the large sample approximations to be computed you will need to change n > 25 to n >= 25 in cells M13 and M14. Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 28. 14-6 The Kruskal-Wallis Test - A Nonparametric Alternative to One-Way ANOVA Slide 28 The Kruskal-Wallis hypothesis test: H0: All k populations have the same distribution H1: Not all k populations have the same distribution The Kruskal-Wallis test statistic: 2 12  k Rj  H  3(n  1) n(n  1)   n j   j 1  2 If each nj > 5, then H is approximately distributed as a  . Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 29. Example 14-8: The KruskalWallis Test SoftwareTime Rank Group RankSum 1 45 14 1 90 1 38 10 2 56 1 56 16 3 25 1 60 17 1 47 15 1 65 18 2 30 8 2 40 11 2 28 7 2 44 13 2 25 5 2 42 12 3 22 4 3 19 3 3 15 1 3 31 9 3 27 6 3 17 2 Slide 29  k R2  12 j  H   j 1   3( n  1) n ( n  1)  nj  12  902 562 252        3(18  1) 18(18  1)  6 6 6   12   11861  57     342   6   12 .3625 2(2,0.005)=10.5966, so H0 is rejected. Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 30. Slide 30 Example 14-8: The Kruskal-Wallis Test – Using the Template Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 31. Further Analysis (Pairwise Comparisons of Average Ranks) Slide 31 If the null hypothesis in the Kruskal-Wallis test is rejected, then we may wish, in addition, compare each pair of populations to determine which are different and which are the same. The pairwise comparison test statistic: D  Ri  R j where R i is the mean of the ranks of the observations from population i. The critical point for the paired comparisons:  n(n  1)  1 1  2 C KW  (   , k 1 )    ni  n j    12  Reject if D > C KW Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 32. Pairwise Comparisons: Example 14-8 C KW Slide 32 Critical Point: n(n  1)  1 1  2  (   ,k 1 )   12  ni  n j     18(18  1)  1 1  ( 9.21034)    12  6 6  87.49823  9.35 90  15 6 56 R2   9.33 6 25 R3   4.17 6 R1  D1,2  15  9.33  5.67 D1,3  15  4.17  10.83 *** D2,3  9.33  4.17  516 . Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 33. 14-7 The Friedman Test for a Randomized Block Design Slide 33 The Friedman test is a nonparametric version of the randomized block design ANOVA. Sometimes this design is referred to as a two-way ANOVA with one item per cell because it is possible to view the blocks as one factor and the treatment levels as the other factor. The test is based on ranks. The Friedman hypothesis test: H0: The distributions of the k treatment populations are identical H1: Not all k distribution are identical The Friedman test statistic: 12    R  3n(k  1) nk (k  1) 2 k j 1 2 j The degrees of freedom for the chi-square distribution is (k – 1). Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 34. Example 14-10 – using the Template Slide 34 Note: The p-value is small relative to a significance level of a = 0.05, so one should conclude that there is evidence that not all three lowbudget cruise lines are equally preferred by the frequent cruiser population Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 35. 14-8 The Spearman Rank Correlation Coefficient Slide 35 The Spearman Rank Correlation Coefficient is the simple correlation coefficient calculated from variables converted to ranks from their original values. The Spearman Rank Correlation Coefficient (assuming no ties): n 2 6  di rs  1  i 1 where d = R(x ) - R(y ) 2 i i i n ( n  1) Null and alternative hypotheses: H 0:  s = 0 H1:  s  0 Critical values for small sample tests from Appendix C, Table 11 Large sample test statistic: z = rs ( n  1) Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 36. Slide 36 14 Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) • Using Statistics • The Sign Test • The Runs Test - A Test for Randomness • The Mann-Whitney U Test • The Wilcoxon Signed-Rank Test • The Kruskal-Wallis Test - A Nonparametric Alternative to One-Way ANOVA Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 37. Slide 37 14 Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (2) • The Friedman Test for a Randomized • • • • • Block Design The Spearman Rank Correlation Coefficient A Chi-Square Test for Goodness of Fit Contingency Table Analysis - A ChiSquare Test for Independence A Chi-Square Test for Equality of Proportions Summary and Review of Terms Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 38. 14-1 Using Statistics (Parametric Tests) Slide 38 • Parametric Methods Inferences based on assumptions about the nature of the population distribution » Usually: population is normal Types of tests » z-test or t-test » Comparing two population means or proportions » Testing value of population mean or proportion » ANOVA » Testing equality of several population means Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 39. Nonparametric Tests Slide 39 • Nonparametric Tests Distribution-free methods making no assumptions about the population distribution Types of tests » Sign tests » Sign Test: Comparing paired observations » McNemar Test: Comparing qualitative variables » Cox and Stuart Test: Detecting trend » Runs tests » Runs Test: Detecting randomness » Wald-Wolfowitz Test: Comparing two distributions Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 40. Nonparametric Tests (Continued) Slide 40 • Nonparametric Tests Ranks tests • • • Mann-Whitney U Test: Comparing two populations Wilcoxon Signed-Rank Test: Paired comparisons Comparing several populations: ANOVA with ranks – Kruskal-Wallis Test – Friedman Test: Repeated measures Spearman Rank Correlation Coefficient Chi-Square Tests • • • Goodness of Fit Testing for independence: Contingency Table Analysis Equality of Proportions Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 41. Nonparametric Tests (Continued) • • • Slide 41 Deal with enumerative (frequency counts) data. Do not deal with specific population parameters, such as the mean or standard deviation. Do not require assumptions about specific population distributions (in particular, the normality assumption). Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 42. 14-2 Sign Test Slide 42 • Comparing paired observations Paired observations: X and Y p = P(X>Y) » Two-tailed test H0: p = 0.50 H1: p0.50 » Right-tailed test H0: p  0.50 H1: p0.50 » Left-tailed test H0: p  0.50 H1: p 0.50 » Test statistic: T = Number of + signs Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 43. Sign Test Decision Rule Slide 43 • Small Sample: Binomial Test For a two-tailed test, find a critical point corresponding as closely as possible to /2 (C1) and define C2 as n-C1. Reject null hypothesis if T  C1or T  C2. For a right-tailed test, reject H0 if T  C, where C is the value of the binomial distribution with parameters n and p = 0.50 such that the sum of the probabilities of all values less than or equal to C is as close as possible to the chosen level of significance, . For a left-tailed test, reject H0 if T  C, where C is defined as above. Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 44. Example 14-1 CEO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Before After 3 4 5 5 2 3 2 4 4 4 2 3 1 2 5 4 4 5 5 4 3 4 2 5 2 5 2 3 1 2 3 2 4 5 Sign 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 -1 1 -1 1 1 1 1 1 -1 1 + + + + + + + + + + + + n = 15 T = 12   0.025 C1=3 C2 = 15-3 = 12 C1 H0 rejected, since T  C2 Slide 44 Cumulative Binomial Probabilities (n=15, p=0.5) x F(x) 0 0.00003 1 0.00049 2 0.00369 3 0.01758 4 0.05923 5 0.15088 6 0.30362 7 0.50000 8 0.69638 9 0.84912 10 0.94077 11 0.98242 12 0.99631 13 0.99951 14 0.99997 15 1.00000 Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 45. Example 14-1- Using the Template Slide 45 H0: p = 0.5 H1: p  5 Test Statistic: T = 12 p-value = 0.0352. For  = 0.05, the null hypothesis is rejected since 0.0352 < 0.05. Thus one can conclude that there is a change in attitude toward a CEO following the award of an MBA degree. Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 46. 14-3 The Runs Test - A Test for Randomness Slide 46 A run is a sequence of like elements that are preceded and followed by different elements or no element at all. Case 1: S|E|S|E|S|E|S|E|S|E|S|E|S|E|S|E|S|E|S|E Case 2: SSSSSSSSSS|EEEEEEEEEE Case 3: S|EE|SS|EEE|S|E|SS|E|S|EE|SSS|E : R = 20 Apparently nonrandom : R = 2 Apparently nonrandom : R = 12 Perhaps random A two-tailed hypothesis test for randomness: H0: Observations are generated randomly H1: Observations are not generated randomly Test Statistic: R=Number of Runs Reject H0 at level  if R  C1 or R  C2, as given in Table 8, with total tail probability P(R  C1) + P(R  C2) =  Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 47. Runs Test: Examples Table 8: (n1,n2) 11 12 (10,10) 0.586 0.758 . . . Number of Runs (r) 13 14 0.872 0.949 Slide 47 15 16 17 18 19 20 0.981 0.996 0.999 1.000 1.000 1.000 Case 1: n1 = 10 n2 = 10 R= 20 p-value0 Case 2: n1 = 10 n2 = 10 R = 2 p-value 0 Case 3: n1 = 10 n2 = 10 R= 12 p-value PR  11F(11)] = (2)(1-0.586) = (2)(0.414) = 0.828 H0 not rejected Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 48. Large-Sample Runs Test: Using the Normal Approximation Slide 48 The mean of the normal distribution of the number of runs: 2n n E ( R)  1 n n 1 2 1 2 The standard deviation:   R 2n n ( 2n n  n  n ) ( n  n ) ( n  n  1) 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 The standard normal test statistic: R  E ( R) z  R Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 49. Large-Sample Runs Test: Example 14-2 Slide 49 Example 14-2: n1 = 27 n2 = 26 R = 15 2n n ( 2)( 27)( 26) E ( R)  1 2  1   1  26.49  1  27.49 n n ( 27  26) 1 2 2n n ( 2n n  n  n ) 1 2 1 2 1 2  ( 2)( 27)( 26)(( 2)( 27)( 26)  27  26))   R ( n  n ) 2 ( n  n  1) ( 27  26) 2 ( 27  26  1) 1 2 1 2 1896804   12.986  3.604 146068 R  E ( R ) 15  27.49 z   3.47  3.604 R p - value = 2(1 - .9997) = 0.0006 H0 should be rejected at any common level of significance. Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 50. Large-Sample Runs Test: Example 14-2 – Using the Template Slide 50 Note: The computed pvalue using the template is 0.0005 as compared to the manually computed value of 0.0006. The value of 0.0005 is more accurate. Reject the null hypothesis that the residuals are random. Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 51. Using the Runs Test to Compare Two Population Distributions (Means): the Wald-Wolfowitz Test Slide 51 The null and alternative hypotheses for the Wald-Wolfowitz test: H0: The two populations have the same distribution H1: The two populations have different distributions The test statistic: R = Number of Runs in the sequence of samples, when the data from both samples have been sorted Example 14-3: Salesperson A: Salesperson B: 35 17 44 23 39 13 50 24 48 33 29 21 60 18 75 16 49 32 66 Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 52. The Wald-Wolfowitz Test: Example 14-3 Sales 35 44 39 48 60 75 49 66 17 23 13 24 33 21 18 16 32 Sales Person A A A A A A A A B B B B B B B B B Sales (Sorted) 13 16 17 21 24 29 32 33 35 39 44 48 49 50 60 66 75 Sales Person (Sorted) B B B B B A B B A A A A A A A A A Runs 1 2 3 Slide 52 n1 = 10 n2 = 9 R= 4 p-value PR  4 H0 may be rejected Table Number of Runs (r) (n1,n2) 2 3 4 5 . . . (9,10) 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.004 ... 4 Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 53. Ranks Tests Slide 53 • Ranks tests  Mann-Whitney U Test: Comparing two populations  Wilcoxon Signed-Rank Test: Paired comparisons  Comparing several populations: ANOVA with ranks • Kruskal-Wallis Test • Friedman Test: Repeated measures Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 54. 14-4 The Mann-Whitney U Test (Comparing Two Populations) Slide 54 The null and alternative hypotheses: H0: The distributions of two populations are identical H1: The two population distributions are not identical The Mann-Whitney U statistic: n1 ( n1  1) U  n1 n2   R1 R 1   Ranks from sample 1 2 where n1 is the sample size from population 1 and n2 is the sample size from population 2. n1 n2 n1 n2 (n1  n2  1) E [U ]  U  2 12 U  E [U ] The large - sample test statistic: z  U Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 55. The Mann-Whitney U Test: Example 14-4 Model A A A A A A B B B B B B Time 35 38 40 42 41 36 29 27 30 33 39 37 Rank 5 8 10 12 11 6 2 1 3 4 9 7 Rank Sum U  n1 n 2  n1 ( n1  1) 2 (6)(6 + 1) = (6)(6) + 5 52 26 Slide 55  R1  52 2 Cumulative Distribution Function of the Mann-Whitney U Statistic n2=6 n1=6 u . . . 4 0.0130 Pu5 5 0.0206 6 0.0325 . . . Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 56. Example 14-5: Large-Sample Mann-Whitney U Test Score Score Program Rank 85 1 20.0 87 1 21.0 92 1 27.0 98 1 30.0 90 1 26.0 88 1 23.0 75 1 17.0 72 1 13.5 60 1 6.5 93 1 28.0 88 1 23.0 89 1 25.0 96 1 29.0 73 1 15.0 62 1 8.5 Rank Sum 20.0 41.0 68.0 98.0 124.0 147.0 164.0 177.5 184.0 212.0 235.0 260.0 289.0 304.0 312.5 Score Score Program Rank 65 2 10.0 57 2 4.0 74 2 16.0 43 2 2.0 39 2 1.0 88 2 23.0 62 2 8.5 69 2 11.0 70 2 12.0 72 2 13.5 59 2 5.0 60 2 6.5 80 2 18.0 83 2 19.0 50 2 3.0 Rank Sum 10.0 14.0 30.0 32.0 33.0 56.0 64.5 75.5 87.5 101.0 106.0 112.5 130.5 149.5 152.5 Since the test statistic is z = -3.32, the p-value  0.0005, and H0 is rejected. U  n1n2  Slide 56 n1 ( n1  1)  R1 2 (15)(15  1)  (15)(15)   312 .5  32 .5 2 n1n2 (15)(15) E [U ]  = = 112.5 2 2 n1n2 ( n1  n2  1) U  12 (15)(15)(15  15  1)   24 .109 12 U  E [U ] 32 .5  112 .5 z    3.32 U 24 .109 Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 57. Slide 57 Example 14-5: Large-Sample Mann-Whitney U Test – Using the Template Since the test statistic is z = 3.32, the p-value  0.0005, and H0 is rejected. That is, the LC (Learning Curve) program is more effective. Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 58. 14-5 The Wilcoxon SignedRanks Test (Paired Ranks) Slide 58 The null and alternative hypotheses: H0: The median difference between populations are 1 and 2 is zero H1: The median difference between populations are 1 and 2 is not zero Find the difference between the ranks for each pair, D = x1 -x2, and then rank the absolute values of the differences. The Wilcoxon T statistic is the smaller of the sums of the positive ranks and the sum of the negative ranks:  (  ),  (  ) T  min   For small samples, a left-tailed test is used, using the values in Appendix C, Table 10. E[T ]  n ( n  1) 4 The large-sample test statistic: z  T  T  E[T ] n ( n  1)( 2 n  1) 24 T Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 59. Example 14-6 Sold Sold (1) (2) 56 48 100 85 22 44 35 28 52 77 89 10 65 90 70 33 40 70 60 70 8 40 45 7 60 70 90 10 85 61 40 26 Rank Rank Rank D=x1-x2 ABS(D) ABS(D)(D>0) (D<0) 16 -22 40 15 14 4 -10 21 -8 7 -1 0 -20 29 30 7 16 22 40 15 14 4 10 21 8 7 1 * 20 29 30 7 9.0 12.0 15.0 8.0 7.0 2.0 6.0 11.0 5.0 3.5 1.0 * 10.0 13.0 14.0 3.5 9.0 0.0 15.0 8.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 11.0 0.0 3.5 0.0 * 0.0 13.0 14.0 3.5 0 12 0 0 0 0 6 0 5 0 1 * 10 0 0 0 Sum: 86 Slide 59 T=34 P=0.05 P=0.025 P=0.01 P=0.005 n=15 30 25 20 16 34 H0 is not rejected (Note the arithmetic error in the text for store 13) Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 60. Example 14-7 Hourly Messages 151 144 123 178 105 112 140 167 177 185 129 160 110 170 198 165 109 118 155 102 164 180 139 166 82 Md0 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 Rank Rank D=x1-x2 ABS(D) ABS(D) (D>0) 2 -5 -26 29 -44 -37 -9 18 28 36 -20 11 -39 21 49 16 -40 -31 6 -47 15 31 -10 17 33 2 5 26 29 44 37 9 18 28 36 20 11 39 21 49 16 40 31 6 47 15 31 10 17 33 Rank (D<0) 1.0 2.0 13.0 15.0 23.0 20.0 4.0 10.0 14.0 19.0 11.0 6.0 21.0 12.0 25.0 8.0 22.0 16.5 3.0 24.0 7.0 16.5 5.0 9.0 18.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 14.0 19.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 12.0 25.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 7.0 16.5 0.0 9.0 18.0 0.0 2.0 13.0 0.0 23.0 20.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 0.0 21.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 22.0 16.5 0.0 24.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 Sum: 163.5 161.5 Slide 60 E[ T ]  n ( n  1) (25)(25 + 1) = T   = 162.5 4 4 n ( n  1)( 2 n  1) 24 25( 25  1)(( 2 )( 25)  1) 24  33150  37 .165 24 The large - sample test statistic: z  T  E[ T ] T  163.5  162 .5  0.027 37 .165 H 0 cannot be rejected Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 61. Example 14-7 using the Template Slide 61 Note 1: You should enter the claimed value of the mean (median) in every used row of the second column of data. In this case it is 149. Note 2: In order for the large sample approximations to be computed you will need to change n > 25 to n >= 25 in cells M13 and M14. Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 62. 14-6 The Kruskal-Wallis Test - A Nonparametric Alternative to One-Way ANOVA Slide 62 The Kruskal-Wallis hypothesis test: H0: All k populations have the same distribution H1: Not all k populations have the same distribution The Kruskal-Wallis test statistic: 2 12  k Rj  H   n   3(n  1) n(n  1)  j 1 j  If each nj > 5, then H is approximately distributed as a 2. Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 63. Example 14-8: The KruskalWallis Test SoftwareTime Rank Group RankSum 1 45 14 1 90 1 38 10 2 56 1 56 16 3 25 1 60 17 1 47 15 1 65 18 2 30 8 2 40 11 2 28 7 2 44 13 2 25 5 2 42 12 3 22 4 3 19 3 3 15 1 3 31 9 3 27 6 3 17 2 Slide 63  k R2  12 j  H   j 1   3( n  1) n ( n  1)  nj  12  902 562 252        3(18  1) 18(18  1)  6 6 6   12   11861  57     342   6   12 .3625 2(2,0.005)=10.5966, so H0 is rejected. Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 64. Slide 64 Example 14-8: The Kruskal-Wallis Test – Using the Template Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 65. Further Analysis (Pairwise Comparisons of Average Ranks) Slide 65 If the null hypothesis in the Kruskal-Wallis test is rejected, then we may wish, in addition, compare each pair of populations to determine which are different and which are the same. The pairwise comparison test statistic: D  Ri  R j where R i is the mean of the ranks of the observations from population i. The critical point for the paired comparisons:  n(n  1)  1 1  2 C KW  (   , k 1 )    ni  n j    12  Reject if D > C KW Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 66. Pairwise Comparisons: Example 14-8 C KW Slide 66 Critical Point: n(n  1)  1 1  2  (   ,k 1 )   12  ni  n j     18(18  1)  1 1  ( 9.21034)    12  6 6  87.49823  9.35 90  15 6 56 R2   9.33 6 25 R3   4.17 6 R1  D1,2  15  9.33  5.67 D1,3  15  4.17  10.83 *** D2,3  9.33  4.17  516 . Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 67. 14-7 The Friedman Test for a Randomized Block Design Slide 67 The Friedman test is a nonparametric version of the randomized block design ANOVA. Sometimes this design is referred to as a two-way ANOVA with one item per cell because it is possible to view the blocks as one factor and the treatment levels as the other factor. The test is based on ranks. The Friedman hypothesis test: H0: The distributions of the k treatment populations are identical H1: Not all k distribution are identical The Friedman test statistic: 12    R  3n(k  1) nk (k  1) The degrees of freedom for the chi-square distribution is (k – 1). 2 k j 1 2 j Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 68. Example 14-10 – using the Template Slide 68 Note: The pvalue is small relative to a significance level of  = 0.05, so one should conclude that there is evidence that not all three low-budget cruise lines are equally preferred by the frequent cruiser population Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 69. 14-8 The Spearman Rank Correlation Coefficient Slide 69 The Spearman Rank Correlation Coefficient is the simple correlation coefficient calculated from variables converted to ranks from their original values. The Spearman Rank Correlation Coefficient (assuming no ties): n 2 6  di rs  1  i 1 where d = R(x ) - R(y ) 2 i i i n ( n  1) Null and alternative hypotheses: H 0:  s = 0 H1:  s  0 Critical values for small sample tests from Appendix C, Table 11 Large sample test statistic: z = rs ( n  1) Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 70. Spearman Rank Correlation Coefficient: Example 14-11 MMI S&P100 220 151 218 150 216 148 217 149 215 147 213 146 219 152 236 165 237 162 235 161 R-MMI R-S&P Diff Diffsq 7 6 1 1 5 5 0 0 3 3 0 0 4 4 0 0 2 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 6 7 -1 1 9 10 -1 1 10 9 1 1 8 8 0 0 Sum: Slide 70 Table 11: =0.005 n . . . 7 -----8 0.881 9 0.833 10 0.794 11 0.818 . . . 4 n   di 6 64 4 1  1  i 1 1 9758794H    99 nn 1 11 1 rejected Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 71. Spearman Rank Correlation Coefficient: Example 14-11 Using the Template Slide 71 Note: The pvalues in the range J15:J17 will appear only if the sample size is large (n > 30) Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 72. 14-9 A Chi-Square Test for Goodness of Fit  Slide 72 Steps in a chi-square analysis:  Formulate null and alternative hypotheses  Compute frequencies of occurrence that would be expected if the null hypothesis were true - expected cell counts  Note actual, observed cell counts  Use differences between expected and actual cell counts to find chi-square statistic: (Oi  Ei ) 2 2   Ei i 1 k  Compare chi-statistic with critical values from the chisquare distribution (with k-1 degrees of freedom) to test the null hypothesis Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 73. Example 14-12: Goodness-of-Fit Test for the Multinomial Distribution Slide 73 The null and alternative hypotheses: H0: The probabilities of occurrence of events E1, E2...,Ek are given by p1,p2,...,pk H1: The probabilities of the k events are not as specified in the null hypothesis Assuming equal probabilities, p1= p2 = p3 = p4 =0.25 and n=80 Preference Tan Brown Maroon Black Total Observed 12 40 8 20 80 Expected(np) 20 20 20 20 80 (O-E) -8 20 -12 0 0 k ( Oi  E i ) 2    i 1 Ei 2  ( 8 ) 20 2  ( 20 ) 2  ( 12 ) 20 20 2  ( 0) 2 20  30.4   2  11.3449 ( 0.01, 3) H 0 is rejected at the 0.01 level. Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 74. Slide 74 Example 14-12: Goodness-of-Fit Test for the Multinomial Distribution using the Template Note: the pvalue is 0.0000, so we can reject the null hypothesis at any a level. Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 75. Goodness-of-Fit for the Normal Distribution: Example 14-13 p(z<-1) p(-1<z<-0.44) p(-0.44<z<0) p(0<z<0.44) p(0.44<z<14) p(z>1) = 0.1587 = 0.1713 = 0.1700 = 0.1700 = 0.1713 = 0.1587 Partitioning the Standard Normal Distribution 0.1700 0.1700 0.4 0.1713 0.1713 0.3 f(z) 1. Use the table of the standard normal distribution to determine an appropriate partition of the standard normal distribution which gives ranges with approximately equal percentages. Slide 75 0.2 0.1587 0.1587 0.1 z 0.0 -5 -1 0 1 5 -0.44 0.44 2. Given z boundaries, x boundaries can be determined from the inverse standard normal transformation: x =  + z = 125 + 40z. 3. Compare with the critical value of the 2 distribution with k-3 degrees of freedom. Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 76. Example 14-13: Solution i Oi Ei 1 2 3 4 5 6 14 15.87 20 17.13 16 17.00 19 17.00 16 17.13 15 15.87 Slide 76 Oi - Ei (Oi - Ei)2 (Oi - Ei)2/ Ei -1.87 2.87 -1.00 2.00 -1.13 -0.87 3.49690 8.23691 1.00000 4.00000 1.27690 0.75690 2 : 0.22035 0.48085 0.05882 0.23529 0.07454 0.04769 1.11755 2(0.10,k-3)= 6.5139 > 1.11755 H0 is not rejected at the 0.10 level Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 77. Example 14-13: Solution using the Template Slide 77 Note: p-value = 0.8002 > 0.01 H0 is not rejected at the 0.10 level Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 78. 14-9 Contingency Table Analysis: A Chi-Square Test for Independence Slide 78 First Classification Category Second Classification Category 1 2 3 4 5 Column Total 1 O11 O21 O31 O41 O51 2 O12 O22 O32 O42 O52 3 O13 O23 O33 O43 O53 4 O14 O24 O34 O44 O54 5 O15 O25 O35 O45 O55 C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 Row Total R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 n Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 79. Contingency Table Analysis: A Chi-Square Test for Independence Slide 79 A and B are independent if:P(AUB) = P(A)P(B). If the first and second classification categories are independent:Eij = (Ri)(Cj)/ Null and alternative hypotheses: H0: The two classification variables are independent of each other H1: The two classification variables are not independent ( Oij  Eij ) 2    Eij i 1 j 1 r Chi-square test statistic for independence: 2 c Degrees of freedom: df=(r-1)(c-1) Expected cell count: Ri C j Eij  n Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 80. Contingency Table Analysis: Example 14-14 Industry Type Profit Service Nonservice (Expected) (Expected) Total 42 18 60 (Expected) Loss 6 (Expected) (40*48/100)=19.2 Total ij 11 12 21 22 (60*48/100)=28.8 48 O 42 18 6 34 E 28.8 31.2 19.2 20.8 O-E 13.2 -13.2 -13.2 13.2 (O-E)2 174.24 174.24 174.24 174.24 2: Slide 80 2(0.01,(2-1)(21))=6.63490 H0 is rejected at the 0.01 level (60*52/100)=31.2 and 34 40 (40*52/100)=20.8 it is concluded 52 100 that the two variables 2 (O-E) /E Yates corrected  for a 2x2 table: are not 6.0500 2 independent. 5.5846 O  E  0.5 29.0865 2 9.0750 8.3769  2    ij ij Eij  Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 81. Contingency Table Analysis: Slide 81 Example 14-14 using the Template Note: When the contingenc y table is a 2x2, one should use the Yates correction. Since p-value = 0.000, H0 is rejected at the 0.01 level and it is concluded that the two variables are not independent. Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 82. 14-11 Chi-Square Test for Equality of Proportions Slide 82 Tests of equality of proportions across several populations are also called tests of homogeneity. In general, when we compare c populations (or r populations if they are arranged as rows rather than columns in the table), then the Null and alternative hypotheses: H0: p1 = p2 = p3 = … = pc H1: Not all pi, I = 1, 2, …, c, are equal Chi-square test statistic for equal proportions: ( Oij  Eij ) 2 2   Eij i 1 j 1 r c Degrees of freedom: df = (r-1)(c-1) Expected cell count: Ri C j Eij  n Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 83. 14-11 Chi-Square Test for Equality of Proportions - Extension Slide 83 The Median Test Here, the Null and alternative hypotheses are: H0: The c populations have the same median H1: Not all c populations have the same median Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 84. Chi-Square Test for the Median: Example 14-16 Using the Template Slide 84 Note: The template was used to help compute the test statistic and the p-value for the median test. First you must manually compute the number of values that are above the grand median and the number that is less than or equal to the grand median. Use these values in the template. See Table 14-16 in the text. Since the p-value = 0.6703 is very large there is no evidence to reject the null hypothesis. Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 85. Spearman Rank Correlation Coefficient: Example 14-11 MMI S&P100 220 151 218 150 216 148 217 149 215 147 213 146 219 152 236 165 237 162 235 161 R-MMI R-S&P Diff Diffsq 7 6 1 1 5 5 0 0 3 3 0 0 4 4 0 0 2 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 6 7 -1 1 9 10 -1 1 10 9 1 1 8 8 0 0 Sum: Slide 85 Table 11: =0.005 n . . . 7 -----8 0.881 9 0.833 10 0.794 11 0.818 . . . 4 n   di 6 64 4  1  1  i 1 1 9758794H  rejected  1  99 nn 11 1 Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 86. Spearman Rank Correlation Coefficient: Example 14-11 Using the Template Slide 86 Note: The pvalues in the range J15:J17 will appear only if the sample size is large (n > 30) Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 87. 14-9 A Chi-Square Test for Goodness of Fit  Slide 87 Steps in a chi-square analysis:  Formulate null and alternative hypotheses  Compute frequencies of occurrence that would be expected if the null hypothesis were true - expected cell counts  Note actual, observed cell counts  Use differences between expected and actual cell counts to find chi-square statistic: (Oi  Ei ) 2   Ei i 1 k 2  Compare chi-statistic with critical values from the chisquare distribution (with k-1 degrees of freedom) to test the null hypothesis Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 88. Example 14-12: Goodness-of-Fit Test for the Multinomial Distribution Slide 88 The null and alternative hypotheses: H0: The probabilities of occurrence of events E1, E2...,Ek are given by p1,p2,...,pk H1: The probabilities of the k events are not as specified in the null hypothesis Assuming equal probabilities, p1= p2 = p3 = p4 =0.25 and n=80 Preference Tan Brown Maroon Black Total Observed 12 40 8 20 80 Expected(np) 20 20 20 20 80 (O-E) -8 20 -12 0 0 k ( Oi  E i ) 2    i 1 Ei 2  ( 8 ) 20 2  ( 20 ) 2  ( 12 ) 20 20 2  ( 0) 2 20  30.4   2  11.3449 ( 0.01, 3) H 0 is rejected at the 0.01 level. Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 89. Slide 89 Example 14-12: Goodness-of-Fit Test for the Multinomial Distribution using the Template Note: the pvalue is 0.0000, so we can reject the null hypothesis at any  level. Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 90. Goodness-of-Fit for the Normal Distribution: Example 14-13 p(z<-1) p(-1<z<-0.44) p(-0.44<z<0) p(0<z<0.44) p(0.44<z<14) p(z>1) = 0.1587 = 0.1713 = 0.1700 = 0.1700 = 0.1713 = 0.1587 Partitioning the Standard Normal Distribution 0.1700 0.1700 0.4 0.1713 0.1713 0.3 f(z) 1. Use the table of the standard normal distribution to determine an appropriate partition of the standard normal distribution which gives ranges with approximately equal percentages. Slide 90 0.2 0.1587 0.1587 0.1 z 0.0 -5 -1 0 1 5 -0.44 0.44 2. Given z boundaries, x boundaries can be determined from the inverse standard normal transformation: x =  + z = 125 + 40z. 3. Compare with the critical value of the 2 distribution with k-3 degrees of freedom. Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 91. Example 14-13: Solution i 1 2 3 4 5 6 Oi 14 20 16 19 16 15 Ei 15.87 17.13 17.00 17.00 17.13 15.87 Slide 91 Oi - Ei (Oi - Ei)2 (Oi - Ei)2/ Ei -1.87 2.87 -1.00 2.00 -1.13 -0.87 3.49690 8.23691 1.00000 4.00000 1.27690 0.75690 2 : 0.22035 0.48085 0.05882 0.23529 0.07454 0.04769 1.11755 2(0.10,k-3)= 6.5139 > 1.11755 H0 is not rejected at the 0.10 level Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 92. Example 14-13: Solution using the Template Slide 92 Note: p-value = 0.8002 > 0.01 H0 is not rejected at the 0.10 level Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 93. 14-9 Contingency Table Analysis: A Chi-Square Test for Independence Slide 93 First Classification Category Second Classification Category 1 2 3 4 5 Column Total 1 O11 O21 O31 O41 O51 2 O12 O22 O32 O42 O52 3 O13 O23 O33 O43 O53 4 O14 O24 O34 O44 O54 5 O15 O25 O35 O45 O55 C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 Row Total R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 n Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 94. Contingency Table Analysis: A Chi-Square Test for Independence Slide 94 A and B are independent if:P(AUB) = P(A)P(B). If the first and second classification categories are independent:Eij = (Ri)(Cj)/ Null and alternative hypotheses: H0: The two classification variables are independent of each other H1: The two classification variables are not independent Chi-square test statistic for independence: ( Oij  Eij ) 2 2   Eij i 1 j 1 r Degrees of freedom: df=(r-1)(c-1) Expected cell count: c Ri C j Eij  n Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 95. Contingency Table Analysis: Example 14-14 2(0.01,(2-1)(21))=6.63490 Industry Type Profit Service Nonservice (Expected) (Expected) Total 42 18 60 (Expected) 6 34 (Expected) (40*48/100)=19.2 (40*52/100)=20.8 Total 48 52 H0 is rejected at the 0.01 level and it is concluded that the two variables are not independent. (60*52/100)=31.2 Loss ij 11 12 21 22 (60*48/100)=28.8 O 42 18 6 34 E 28.8 31.2 19.2 20.8 (O-E)2 174.24 174.24 174.24 174.24 O-E 13.2 -13.2 -13.2 13.2 2: 29.0865 (O-E)2/E 6.0500 5.5846 9.0750 8.3769 Slide 95 40 100 2 Yates corrected  for a 2x2 table: 2 Oij  Eij  0.5 2    Eij   Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 96. Contingency Table Analysis: Slide 96 Example 14-14 using the Template Note: When the contingenc y table is a 2x2, one should use the Yates correction. Since p-value = 0.000, H0 is rejected at the 0.01 level and it is concluded that the two variables are not independent. Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 97. 14-11 Chi-Square Test for Equality of Proportions Slide 97 Tests of equality of proportions across several populations are also called tests of homogeneity. In general, when we compare c populations (or r populations if they are arranged as rows rather than columns in the table), then the Null and alternative hypotheses: H0: p1 = p2 = p3 = … = pc H1: Not all pi, I = 1, 2, …, c, are equal Chi-square test statistic for equal proportions: ( Oij  Eij ) 2 2   Eij i 1 j 1 r c Degrees of freedom: df = (r-1)(c-1) Expected cell count: Ri C j Eij  n Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 98. 14-11 Chi-Square Test for Equality of Proportions - Extension Slide 98 The Median Test Here, the Null and alternative hypotheses are: H0: The c populations have the same median H1: Not all c populations have the same median Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 99. Chi-Square Test for the Median: Example 14-16 Using the Template Slide 99 Note: The template was used to help compute the test statistic and the p-value for the median test. First you must manually compute the number of values that are above the grand median and the number that is less than or equal to the grand median. Use these values in the template. See Table 14-16 in the text. Since the p-value = 0.6703 is very large there is no evidence to reject the null hypothesis. Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer
  • 100. Name Religion Domicile Contact # E.Mail M.Phil (Statistics) Shakeel Nouman Christian Punjab (Lahore) 0332-4462527. 0321-9898767 sn_gcu@yahoo.com sn_gcu@hotmail.com Slide 100 GC University, . (Degree awarded by GC University) M.Sc (Statistics) Statitical Officer (BS-17) (Economics & Marketing Division) GC University, . (Degree awarded by GC University) Livestock Production Research Institute Bahadurnagar (Okara), Livestock & Dairy Development Department, Govt. of Punjab Nonparametric Methods and Chi-Square Tests (1) By Shakeel Nouman M.Phil Statistics Govt. College University Lahore, Statistical Officer