MY FINAL PRESENTATION

Universität Stuttgart
Institut für Straßen- und Verkehrswesen
Lehrstuhl für Verkehrsplanung und Verkehrsleittechnik
Pfaffenwaldring 7  70569 Stuttgart  Tel. +49 (0)711 685-82482  www.isv.uni-stuttgart.de/vuv/
SURVEYING AND ANALYSING MOBILITY
BEHAVIOUR IN LAGOS, NIGERIA
Tunde Mojeed, YISAU
Matric Nr.: 2894515

Contents
 General Introduction
 Brief Introduction
 Statement of Problem
 Aim and Specific Objectives
 Scope, Area of Study and Research Methodology
 Scope of the Study
 Area of Study
 Research Methodology
 Presentation and Discussion of Results
 Test of Hypothesis
 Recommendations
Surveying and Analysing Mobility Behaviour in Lagos, Nigeria by Tunde Mojeed, YISAU. Supervised by Prof. Markus Friedrich

Brief Introduction
 How can we ensure that transportation systems and services
adequately meet the needs of an increasingly diverse population of
Lagos?
 Transportation planners need a firm understanding of the mobility
behaviour of people.
 Mobility behaviour: Who, When, Where, Why, How, How often
 Mobility behaviour is closely related to study of Travel Demand
Model

Statement of Problem
Statement of
Problem
Traffic
Congestion
Poor
Information
system
Lack of Non-
motorised
facilities and
other modes
of transport
Lack of high
capacity PuT
vehicles
No
regulatory
and
organized
transport
framework

Aim and Specific Objectives
Analyse trip diary survey of Lagos residents with a view to achieving a
better understanding of the mobility behaviour of the people in the area
Examine the socio-economic characteristics of
Lagos residents in relation to mobility behaviour
(mode choice and trip rate)
Identify most commonly adopted mode choice in
relation to various activities
Study the impact of Information and
Communication Technology on trip-making ability
Investigate the transportation needs and wants of
Lagosians, as well as the sources of finance and
the obstacles to achieve effective mobility system
Proffer palliative measures to enhance sustainable
and effective mobility system

Scope of the Study
 Conceptually, the study focuses mainly on mode choice and trip
frequency as an aspect of mobility behaviour.
 The study is limited to land transport. The occurrence of other modes
was by chances and reference was only made to other modes where
it is necessary
 The study is household survey in which a representative from each
household was selected.
 Geographically, the study was conducted in Lagos State, and Lagos
metropolitan areas form the study area in which Ikeja administrative
division is the main focus and area for data collection.
 Ikeja administrative division comprises of eight local government
areas for the study: Agege, Alimosho, Ifako-Ijaye, Ikeja, Kosofe,
Mushin, Oshodi-Isolo, Shomolu.

Area of Study

Research Methodology

Modal Share of all Trips by Respondents Characteristics
Gender Age Marital Status Educational Status
Modal
Share
Male Female 18-30 31-44 45-60 Above
60
Single Married Pry
Edu
Sec-
Post
Sec
Edu
Tert.
Edu
Walkin
g
3% 9% 13% 4% 5% 2% 12% 4% 7% 8% 2%
Motor
bike
9% 9% 21% 10% 6% 5% 22% 7.7% 15% 11% 7%
Private
Car
35% 21% - 24% 41% 51% 23% 31% 15% 22% 38%
Taxi-
Cab
7% 8% 2% 11% 4% 7% 6% 8% 15% 8% 6%
Public
Transit
46% 52% 64% 50% 44% 35% 37% 49% 48% 51% 46%
Air
plane
- 1% - 1% - - - 0.3% - - 1%

Modal Share of all Trips by Respondents Characteristics
Occupation Monthly Income Household Size Place of work
Modal
Share
Unem
ploye
d
Self-
Employ
ed
Full-
Time
Worke
r
Low
Incom
e
Middle
Incom
e
High
Incom
e
1-3 4-6 Above
6
Home Within
Neigh
bhood
Outsid
e
Neigh
bhood
Walkin
g
- 8% 2% 12% 3% 8% 10% 3% 4% 4% 10% 2%
Motor
bike
2% 11% 7% 15% 8% 8% 8% 10% 6% 4% 18% 4%
Private
Car
38% 19% 45% 10% 34% 69% 21% 27% 55% 19% 27% 36%
Taxi-
Cab
17% 8% 5% 8% 7% 4% 10% 8% 2% 9% 5% 7%
Public
Transit
43% 53% 41% 55% 48% 4% 51% 51% 33% 64% 40% 50%
Air
plane
- 1% - - - 7% - 1% - - - 1%

Proportion of Trip Rate by Respondents

Mean Trip Rate and Share of Mobile Person by
Respondents Characteristics
Mean Trip Rate Share of Mobile Person (%) ANOVA (P-Value)
Overall Mean trip per day 2.7 98
Gender Male
Female
2.8
2.5
67
33
0.008
Significant
Age 18 – 30
31 – 44
45 – 60
> 60
2.9
2.8
2.5
2.5
7
53
33
7
0.041
Significant
Marital Status Single
Married
3.1
2.6
8
92
0.005
Significant
Education Pry
Sec/Post Sec
Tertiary
2.6
2.7
2.7
7
37
56
0.789
Not Significant
Occupation Unemployed
Self-Employed
Full-Time Worker
2.5
2.7
2.6
7
55
38
0.487
Not Significant
Monthly Income Low
Medium
High
2.7
2.7
2.6
20
76
4
0.889
Not Significant
Household Size 1 - 3
4 – 6
> 6
2.9
2.7
2.5
21
63
16
0.014
Significant
Place of Work Home
Within Neighbourhood
Outside Neighbourhood
2.2
2.8
2.8
13
35
52
0.001
Significant

Modal Share of all Respondent Trips

Proportion of Respondents using at least
Public Transit in the entire Trip

Pictures Showing different Modes of Transport in Lagos
BRT
Public Transit
Rail
Okada Private Car
LAGBUS Taxi-Cab

Modal Share of Work Commute

Trip Purpose Matrix
Home Work Business Shopping Others Total
Home - 134 46 18 46 244
Work 97 - 9 28 27 161
Business 46 7 - 7 16 76
Shopping 36 14 8 - 6 64
Others (Education,
Visitation, Medical,
Leisure, Sport,
Bank, Private,)
63 12 9 11 - 95

Respondent Reasons for Various Mode Choice
(Public Transit)
Yes No
Reason Frequency Percent Frequency Percent
Most Convenient
5 2 15 6
Most Available 45 19 4 2
Most Affordable 11 5 2 1
Most Available & Affordable 54 23 4 2
Most Available & Convenient
6 3 3 1
Most Convenient & Privacy
- - 33 14
Most Convenient & Fast
- - 15 6
Safety
7 3 3 1
Short Distance & Exercise
- - 7 3
Fast
3 1 10 4
Traffic Congestion
5 2 4 2
Total 136 58 100 42

Respondent Readiness to Use Public Transit if
Improvements are Made

Impact of ICT Use on Trip-Making Ability
Substituted Trip Complemented Trip Eliminated Trip
Activity Frequency Percent Frequency Percent Frequency Percent
Work 30 12.5 44 18.3 10 4.2
Business 41 17.1 61 25.4 18 7.5
Education 20 8.30 23 9.6 3 1.3
Shopping
47 19.6 33 13.8 40 16.7
Leisure/Tourism
19 7.9 15 6.3 26 10.8
Medical
9 3.8 3 1.3 2 0.8
Private 22 9.2 9 3.8 41 17.1
Visitation
28 11.7 20 8.3 90 37.5
Backhome 17 7.1 24 10.0 5 2.5
Religion
7 2.9 8 3.3 4 1.7
Total 240 100.0 240 100.0 240 100.0

Trip Rate by the Use of ICT
 Mean trip: Daily – 2.8, 1-2 times a week – 2.7, Once in a week – 2.5, and Not at all – 2.6.
 From the ANOVA result (P=0.305), It was deduced that there is no significant variation in
trip frequency by the use of ICT . This actually influenced or depended on the exact
impact of ICT on travel behaviour.

Ranking of Transportation Objectives of Lagosian

Ranking of Measures to Achieve Transportation Objectives

Rating of Obstacles to Achieve Transportation Objectives

Respondents Opinion on Sources of Finance for
Transportation

Hypothesis: Mode choice availability does not influence trip
frequency of Lagosians
 A multiple regression analysis was conducted to predict the trip rate
(y) from the availability and influences of different modes (walking
(x1), cycling (x2), biking (x3), taxi-cab (x4), private car (x5), public
transit (x6), rail transport (x7), air transport (x8) and water transport
(x9)) on trip.
 Having satisfied all the assumptions of multiple regression, analysis
shows that these variables are not statistically significantly predict
trip rate, F (9, 230) = 1.728, p-value = 0.084. R2 = 0.063, which
means the variation in trip rate can only be explained by 6% of
independent variables (mode choice) while the remaining 94% can
be explained by other factors outside this study.
 Cycling is the only variable contributed to the model with p=0.003 but
with negative coefficient values. That is, availability of cycling is
inversely proportional to trip rate.
 𝑦 = 2.630 + 0.008 𝑥1 − 0.162 𝑥2 + 0.125 𝑥3 + 0.055 𝑥4 − 0.037 𝑥5 +
0.008 𝑥6 − 0.010 𝑥7 − 0.041 𝑥8 − 0.037 𝑥9

Recommendations
 Policy to regulate the services of LAGBUS and other Public Transit.
 Policy to incorporate & implement non-motorisation transport.
 Extension of BRT network to some other parts of Lagos.
 Safety and comfort must be encouraged for all Public Transits.
 Policy to regulate the issuance of drivers´ license.
 Policy to invest more on transportation (especially road and rail).
 Communication strategies for the available modes should be built.
 Policy to encourage telecommuting and teleshopping.
 Policy to curb corruption at every sectors of organisation
(government, private and individual).
 Continuity in government projects and political stability is very crucial
to development.

Thank you

MY FINAL PRESENTATION

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