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The	Discriminative	Validity	of
"Nociceptive,"	"	Peripheral	Neuropathic,"
and	"Central	Sensitization"	as
Mechanisms-based	Classifications	of
Musculoskeletal	Pain
Article		in		The	Clinical	journal	of	pain	·	April	2011
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St.	Vincents	University	Hospital
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Catherine	Blake
University	College	Dublin
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Anthony	Staines
Dublin	City	University
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The Discriminative Validity of “Nociceptive,”
“Peripheral Neuropathic,” and “Central Sensitization” as
Mechanisms-based Classifications of Musculoskeletal Pain
Keith M. Smart, PhD,* Catherine Blake, PhD,w Anthony Staines, PhD,z
and Catherine Doody, PhDw
Objectives: Empirical evidence of discriminative validity is required
to justify the use of mechanisms-based classifications of
musculoskeletal pain in clinical practice. The purpose of this study
was to evaluate the discriminative validity of mechanisms-based
classifications of pain by identifying discriminatory clusters of
clinical criteria predictive of “nociceptive,” “peripheral neuro-
pathic,” and “central sensitization” pain in patients with low back
(±leg) pain disorders.
Methods: This study was a cross-sectional, between-patients design
using the extreme-groups method. Four hundred sixty-four
patients with low back (±leg) pain were assessed using a
standardized assessment protocol. After each assessment, patients’
pain was assigned a mechanisms-based classification. Clinicians
then completed a clinical criteria checklist indicating the presence/
absence of various clinical criteria.
Results: Multivariate analyses using binary logistic regression with
Bayesian model averaging identified a discriminative cluster of 7, 3,
and 4 symptoms and signs predictive of a dominance of
“nociceptive,” “peripheral neuropathic,” and “central sensitiza-
tion” pain, respectively. Each cluster was found to have high levels
of classification accuracy (sensitivity, specificity, positive/negative
predictive values, positive/negative likelihood ratios).
Discussion: By identifying a discriminatory cluster of symptoms
and signs predictive of “nociceptive,” “peripheral neuropathic,”
and “central” pain, this study provides some preliminary dis-
criminative validity evidence for mechanisms-based classifications
of musculoskeletal pain. Classification system validation requires
the accumulation of validity evidence before their use in clinical
practice can be recommended. Further studies are required to
evaluate the construct and criterion validity of mechanisms-based
classifications of musculoskeletal pain.
Key Words: classification, pain mechanisms, validity
(Clin J Pain 2011;27:655–663)
Mechanisms-based pain classification refers to the
classification of pain based on assumptions as to the
underlying neurophysiological mechanisms responsible for
its generation and maintenance.1,2
Mechanisms-based
classifications of pain have been advocated in clinical
practice on the grounds that they may help explain
observed variations in the nature and severity of many
clinical presentations of musculoskeletal pain [eg, low back
pain (LBP) disorders] (1) in which pain is reported in the
absence of or disproportionate to any clearly identifiable
pathology, (2) in which pain is reported to persist after the
resolution of injury or pathology, (3) in which the severity
of pain reported by patients with similar injuries and
pathologies differs greatly, and paradoxically (4) in which
pain does not exist despite evidence of injury or pathol-
ogy.3–5
In addition, it has been suggested that mechanisms-
based approaches could improve the treatment of pain and
optimize patients’ outcomes by facilitating the selection
of clinical interventions known or hypothesized to target
the dominant underlying neurophysiological mechanisms
responsible for its generation and maintenance.6
Nociceptive pain (NP), peripheral neuropathic pain
(PNP), and central sensitization pain (CSP) (ie, “central
hyper-excitability”/“functional” pain) have been suggested
as clinically meaningful mechanisms-based classifications of
musculoskeletal pain,7–10
whereby each classification refers
to a clinical presentation of pain assumed to reflect a
dominance of nociceptive, peripheral neuropathic, or
central pain mechanisms, respectively.
In the absence of a diagnostic gold standard, it has
been hypothesized that mechanisms-based classifications of
patients’ pain may be undertaken clinically on the basis of
patterns of symptoms and signs assumed to reflect its
underlying neurophysiology.11
In this regard, attempts have
been made to develop a 3-category classification system
for musculoskeletal pain. Using a judgemental approach
toward classification system development, a Delphi survey
was undertaken to generate expert, consensus-derived lists
of clinical criteria associated with a dominance of “nocicep-
tive,” “peripheral neuropathic,” and “central” mechanisms
of musculoskeletal pain.12
Empirical evidence of discriminative validity is re-
quired to justify the use of mechanisms-based classifications
of musculoskeletal pain in clinical practice.13
For the
purpose of this study, discriminative validity was defined
as the extent to which the categories of a classification
system are able to differentiate between those with and
without the disorder.14
The discriminative validity of a
classification system is supported if it can be shown that the
presence or absence of specific clinical criteria can be used
to differentiate between and predict membership of the
categories that make up the classification system. To
continue the development of mechanisms-based classifica-
tions of musculoskeletal pain, the aim of this study was toCopyright r 2011 by Lippincott Williams & Wilkins
Received for publication August 29, 2010; revised January 4, 2011;
accepted February 16, 2011.
From the *St Vincent’s University Hospital, Elm Park, Dublin 4;
wUCD School of Public Health, Physiotherapy and Population
Science, University College Dublin, Belfield, Dublin 4; and zHealth
Systems Research, School of Nursing, Dublin City University,
Dublin 9, Ireland.
This research was funded by the Health Research Board (of Ireland)
(Grant No. CTPF-06-17). The authors declare no conflict of
interest.
Reprints: Keith M. Smart, PhD, St Vincent’s University Hospital, Elm
Park, Dublin 4, Ireland (e-mail: k.smart@ucd.ie).
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Clin J Pain  Volume 27, Number 8, October 2011 www.clinicalpain.com | 655
evaluate the discriminative validity of NP, PNP, and CSP
as mechanisms-based classifications of pain in patients with
low back (±leg) pain disorders by testing for and
identifying a discriminatory cluster of clinical indicators
associated with each category of pain.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
Study Design
This study was a cross-sectional, between-patients
design using the validation by extreme-groups method.14
Setting
This discriminative validity study was carried out at 6
separate locations including 4 hospital sites, (1) the Back Pain
Screening Clinic of the Adelaide and Meath Hospital,
Dublin, (2) the Back Care Programme of Waterford Regional
Hospital, Waterford, (3) the Physiotherapy Department of
St Vincent’s University Hospital, Dublin (all Ireland), and (4)
the Physiotherapy Department of Guy’s and St Thomas’
NHS Foundation Trust, London (United Kingdom); and 2
private physiotherapy practices; (1) Portobello Physiotherapy
Clinic, Dublin and (2) Milltown Physiotherapy Clinic,
Dublin. This study was conducted according to the principles
outlined in the Declaration of Helsinki. Ethical approval for
this study was granted by the Ethics and Medical Research
Committees of each Irish institution and the National
Research Ethics Service (UK).
Participants
Fifteen physiotherapists participated in data collec-
tion, including 13 public hospital-based clinicians, 1 of
whom was the primary investigator (K.M.S.) and 2 private
practitioners. All of the clinicians had specialized in general
or specific fields of musculoskeletal physiotherapy. The
mean number of years since qualification and spent work-
ing within the speciality of musculoskeletal physiotherapy
was 12 (SD 5.2; range, 5 to 21) and 9.2 years (SD 4.38;
range, 3 to 18), respectively. Thirteen clinicians possessed
“masters” level qualifications in physiotherapy and 1
clinician had a postgraduate diploma.
Patients of 18 years of age or older referred with low
back (±leg) pain were eligible for inclusion. Exclusion
criteria included patients with a history of diabetes or
central nervous system injury, pregnancy, or nonmuscu-
loskeletal LBP. Patients were recruited from the outpatient
waiting lists of each back pain screening clinic/physiother-
apy service. All patients gave signed informed consent
before their participation. A flowchart detailing patient
recruitment is presented in Figure 1.
Instrumentation and Procedures
Patient demographics were collected using a standard-
ized form. Each patient was assessed using a standardized
clinical interview and examination procedure based on
accepted clinical practice.15
During the clinical interview,
patients were encouraged to disclose details of their LBP
history, current symptomology, and its behavior. Patients
were also screened for “red” and “yellow” flags associated
with serious spinal pathology and psychosocial mediators,
respectively in accordance with clinical practice guide-
lines.16
The clinical examination included postural, move-
ment, and neurological-based assessments. To complete the
clinical criteria checklist (CCC), a number of additional
symptoms (eg, spontaneous, paroxysmal pain, and dys-
esthesias) and signs (eg, allodynia, hyperalgesia, hyper-
pathia, and nerve palpation) were assessed.
After each patient examination, clinicians were re-
quired to complete a CCC consisting of 2 parts. “Part 1”
required examiners to classify each patient’s pain presenta-
tion. Patients were classified in to 1 of 3 categories of pain
mechanism (ie, NP, PNP, CSP) or 1 of 4 possible “mixed”
pain states derived from a combination of the original 3
categories (ie, Mixed: NP/PNP; Mixed: NP/CSP; Mixed:
PNP/CSP; Mixed: NP/PNP/CSP) on the basis of experi-
enced clinical judgement with regard to the likely dominant
mechanisms assumed to underlie each patient’s pain.
Discriminative validity designs require the identification
of the “extreme groups” (ie, pain type) and in the absence of
a diagnostic gold standard the best alternative “reference
standard”—defined as, “ythe best available method for
establishing the presence or absence of a condition of
Total ineligible n = 51
Diabetic n = 11
Under 18 n = 2
Neurological disorder n = 13
Asymptomatic n = 6
Cervical/thoracic pain n = 5
Non-musculoskeletal LBP n = 4
Pregnancy n = 2
(Non-consent n = 8)
Total eligible n = 500
Total included n = 464
Nociceptive pain
n = 256
Peripheral neuropathic
pain n = 102
Central sensitization
pain n = 106
Total excluded (mixed/
indeterminate pain)
n = 36
NP/PNP n = 11
NP/CSP n = 17
PNP/CSP n = 5
NP/PNP/CSP n = 2
Indeterminate n = 1
Total invited n = 551
AMNCH n = 205
SVUH n = 176
GSTH n = 102
WRH n = 61
PP n = 7
FIGURE 1. Flowchart of patient recruitment.
Smart et al Clin J Pain  Volume 27, Number 8, October 2011
656 | www.clinicalpain.com r 2011 Lippincott Williams  Wilkins
interest,”17
may be expert clinical judgement.14
“Under this
assumption the development of classification criteria
becomes an exercise in determining which history [and]
physical examinationyfindings match the impression of an
experienced clinician.”18
“Part 2” required examiners to complete a 38-item
CCC, consisting of 26 symptoms and 12 signs (Table 1),
based on an expert consensus-derived list of clinical criteria
assumed to reflect a dominance of NP, PNP, and CSP.12
Response options for each criterion included “Present,”
“Absent,” or “Don’t know.” To ensure that symptoms and
signs were assessed consistently, clinicians were provided with
practical training together with an “Assessment Manual”
containing written instructions on how to undertake each
patient examination, and interpret and document findings.
Sample Size Requirements
The minimum sample size required for this study was
based on a recommended minimum of 10 patients per
predictor variable.19
The number of predictor variables
evaluated in this study was 40, corresponding to the 38
items on the CCC plus the variables “age” and “sex,” thus
necessitating a minimum sample of 400 patients.
Data Analysis
Univariate analyses, using a w2
test for independence,
were carried out initially as a means of item reduction by
identifying and excluding nondiscriminatory criteria.19
Multivariate analyses using binary logistic regression
(BLR) with Bayesian model averaging were then under-
taken to test for and identify discriminatory clusters of
TABLE 1. Individual Items Included on the 38-item Clinical Criteria Checklist
Criterion Description
1. Pain of recent onset
2. Pain associated with and in proportion to trauma, a pathologic process or movement/postural dysfunction
3. History of nerve injury, pathology, or mechanical compromise
4. Pain disproportionate to the nature and extent of injury or pathology
5. Usually intermittent and sharp with movement/mechanical provocation; may be a more constant dull ache or throb at rest
6. More constant/unremitting pain
7. Pain variously described as burning, shooting, sharp, or electric-shock-like
8. Pain localized to the area of injury/dysfunction (with/without some somatic referral)
9. Pain referred in a dermatomal or cutaneous distribution
10. Widespread, nonanatomic distribution of pain
11. Clear, proportionate mechanical/anatomic nature to aggravating and easing factors
12. Mechanical pattern to aggravating and easing factors involving activities/postures associated with movement, loading,
or compression of neural tissue
13. Disproportionate, nonmechanical, unpredictable pattern of pain provocation in response to multiple/nonspecific
aggravating/easing factors
14. Reports of spontaneous (ie, stimulus-independent) pain and/or paroxysmal pain (ie, sudden recurrences and
intensification of pain)
15. Pain in association with other dysesthesias (eg, crawling, electrical, heaviness)
16. Pain of high severity and irritability (ie, easily provoked, taking longer to settle)
17. Pain in association with other symptoms of inflammation (ie, swelling, redness, heat)
18. Pain in association with other neurological symptoms (eg, pins and needles, numbness, weakness)
19. Night pain/disturbed sleep
20. Responsive to simple analgesia/NSAIDs
21. Less responsive to simple analgesia/NSAIDs and/or more responsive to antiepileptic (eg, Lyrica)/antidepression
(eg, Amitriptyline) medication
22. Usually rapidly resolving or resolving in accordance with expected tissue healing/pathology recovery times
23. Pain persisting beyond expected tissue healing/pathology recovery times
24. History of failed interventions (medical/surgical/therapeutic)
25. Strong association with maladaptive psychosocial factors (eg, negative emotions, poor self-efficacy, maladaptive beliefs,
and pain behaviors, altered family/work/social life, medical conflict)
26. Pain in association with high levels of functional disability
27. Antalgic (ie, pain relieving) postures/movement patterns
28. Clear, consistent, and proportionate mechanical/anatomic pattern of pain reproduction on movement/mechanical
testing of target tissues
29. Pain/symptom provocation with mechanical/movement tests (eg, Active/Passive, Neurodynamic, ie, SLR) that move/load/
compress neural tissue
30. Disproportionate, inconsistent, nonmechanical/nonanatomic pattern of pain provocation in response to
movement/mechanical testing
31. Positive neurological findings (altered reflexes, sensation, and muscle power in a dermatomal/myotomal or
cutaneous nerve distribution)
32. Localized pain on palpation
33. Diffuse/nonanatomic areas of pain/tenderness on palpation
34. Positive findings of allodynia within the distribution of pain
35. Positive findings of hyperalgesia (primary and/or secondary) within the distribution of pain
36. Positive findings of hyperpathia within the distribution of pain
37. Pain/symptom provocation on palpation of relevant neural tissues
38. Positive identification of various psychosocial factors (eg, catastrophization, fear-avoidance behavior, distress)
NSAIDs indicates nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs; SLR, straight leg raise.
Clin J Pain  Volume 27, Number 8, October 2011 Mechanisms-based Classifications of Pain
r 2011 Lippincott Williams  Wilkins www.clinicalpain.com | 657
symptoms and signs associated with a clinical classification
of NP, PNP, and CSP. Three BLR models were evaluated,
1 for each category of pain. Modeling for each pain
category, using NP versus non-NP as an example, was
undertaken sequentially in the following way:
1. With NP as the designated “reference category,” patients
with NP were coded as “1” (equivalent to presence of the
trait), and patients with non-NP (ie, those patients
classified with a dominance of PNP and CSP) were
coded as “0” (equivalent to “absence” of the trait).
Clinical criteria were coded according to an identical
interpretation (ie, “1”=present, “0”=absent). “Don’t
know” responses were treated as missing values.
2. Consensus-based Delphi-derived criteria associated with
a dominance of NP were initially selected as candidate
criteria for inclusion into the BLR model.12
3. Additional clinical criteria with potential discriminative
value were identified and included, when on the basis of
a univariate analysis, the “absence” of specific criterion
seemed to be associated with a dominance of NP.
4. Any criteria identified as “nondiscriminatory” from the
univariate analyses were excluded.
5. All remaining candidate criteria were entered into the
initial model, which was labeled as “Model 1.”
6. Model parameters, for each criterion, were examined.
Criteria with a low “posterior probability” (eg, 5%)
were identified and excluded. Remaining criteria
were retained and reentered into a subsequent model
(“Model 2”).
7. The posterior probabilities of each criterion were
reevaluated. The criterion with the lowest “posterior
probability” was identified and excluded. Remaining
TABLE 2. Patient Demographics by Pain Classification (n=464)
Variable Nociceptive (n=256) Peripheral Neuropathic (n=102) Central Sensitization (n=106)
Sex (Female) 150 (59%) 53 (52%) 57 (54%)
Age (y), Mean (SD, Range) 44 (14.5, 19-85) 44 (13.1, 20-76) 43 (12.3, 20-80)
Source of referral
GP 144 (56%) 68 (67%) 44 (42)
Orthopedics 41 (16%) 12 (12%) 11 (10)
ED 25 (10%) 14 (14%) 5 (5%)
Pain clinic 6 (2%) 3 (3%) 38 (36%)
Occ Health 25 (10%) 2 (2%) 2 (2%)
Rheumatologist 4 (2%) 0 1 (1%)
Other 11 (4%) 3 (3%) 5 (5%)
Assessment setting
BPSC 128 (50%) 68 (67%) 24 (23%)
Physio Dept 119 (47%) 33 (32%) 39 (37%)
Pain Clinic 2 (1%) 1 (1%) 43 (41%)
Private Practice 7 (3%) 0 0
Predominant pain location
Back 209 (82%) 9 (9%) 65 (61%)
Back/Thigh 37 (15%) 19 (19%) 17 (16%)
Uni Leg BK 3 (1%) 60 (59%) 4 (4%)
Back/Uni leg BK 7 (3%) 11 (11%) 10 (9%)
Bilat Leg BK 0 1 (1%) 1 (1%)
Back/Bilat leg BK 0 2 (2%) 9 (9%)
Duration current episode
0-3 wk 17 (7%) 2 (2%) 2 (2%)
4-6 wk 33 (13%) 14 (14%) 2 (2%)
7-12 wk 33 (13%) 18 (18%) 2 (2%)
4-6 mo 36 (14%) 23 (22%) 2 (2%)
7-12 mo 27 (11%) 21 (21%) 10 (9%)
1 y 110 (43%) 24 (23%) 88 (83%)
[Mean duration (y), SD, range] (6.8, 6.9, 1-40) (3.4, 3.3, 1-14) (7.1, 7.2, 1.5-40)
Work status
Full time 111 (43%) 35 (34%) 12 (11%)
Part time 23 (9%) 10 (10%) 7 (6%)
Homemaker 23 (9%) 8 (8%) 9 (9%)
Off work (2nd LBP) 33 (13%) 27 (27%) 22 (21%)
Off work (2nd Other) 13 (5%) 6 (6%) 9 (9%)
U/E 13 (5%) 2 (2%) 6 (6%)
Retired 28 (11%) 11 (11%) 9 (9%)
Student 7 (3%) 1 (1%) 2 (2%)
Reg Disabled (2nd LBP) 2 (1%) 0 28 (26%)
Reg Disabled (2nd Other) 1 (0%) 2 (2%) 1 (1%)
Unknown 0 0 1 (1%)
Medico-legal case pending 10 (4%) 3 (3%) 26 (25%)
Bilat Leg BK indicates bilateral leg pain below knee; BPSC, back pain screening clinic, Physio Dept, Physiotherapy Department; ED, Emergency
Department; GP, General Practitioner; LBP, low back pain; Occ Health, Occupational Health Department; Reg Disabled, Registered Disabled; U/E,
unemployed; Uni Leg BK, unilateral leg pain below knee.
Smart et al Clin J Pain  Volume 27, Number 8, October 2011
658 | www.clinicalpain.com r 2011 Lippincott Williams  Wilkins
criteria were retained and reentered into a subsequent
model (“Model 3”).
8. This process continued, with successive models labeled
consecutively as “Model 4,” “Model 5,” and so on, until
only criteria with a “posterior probability” of Z50%
remained. These models were considered candidate
“final models.”
The aim of each logistic regression was to produce an
optimum model guided by considerations of classification
accuracy and parsimony, that is to produce a discrimina-
tory cluster of symptoms and signs for each category of
pain, comprising the fewest clinical criteria while preserving
classification accuracy.19
Indices of classification accuracy [sensitivity, specifi-
city, positive and negative predictive values, positive and
negative likelihood ratios] with 2-sided 95% confidence
intervals (CIs) were calculated to assess the classification
accuracy of each final model. Univariate analyses were
carried out using SPSS (SPSS for windows, version 15).
Multivariate analyses were carried out in “R” (2009,
version 2.9.2).
RESULTS
A convenience sample of 551 patients with
musculoskeletal low back (±leg) pain disorders was invited
to participate in this study. Fifty-one patients were
ineligible according to the exclusion criteria, and 36 patients
with a mixed (n=35) or indeterminate (n=1) pain state
were excluded. Patient demographics for the final sample
(n=464) are presented in Table 2.
Univariate
A w2
test for independence indicated that “Criterion
17” [w2
(2, n=464)=2.30, P=0.32] and “sex” [w2
(2,
n=464)=1.59, P=0.45] were not significantly associated
with pain classification, and a one-way between-groups
analysis of variance [Browne-Forsythe F-ratio 0.23 (df 2,
463), P=0.80] indicated that there was no statistically
significant differences in the mean age of patients across
pain classifications. These variables were, therefore, ex-
cluded from the multivariate analyses.
Multivariate
Missing values were identified for 12 cases, thus
reducing the valid sample size from n=464 to n=452
(NP n=252, PNP n=102, CSP n=98). Model parameters
[regression coefficients and odds ratios (ORs) with 95% CI]
for each criterion in the final NP, PNP, and CSP models are
presented in Table 3 (where shortened criterion descriptions
are given; full descriptions are presented in Table 1).
Cross tabulations from which the indices of classifica-
tion accuracy were calculated for each final cluster are
presented in Tables 4 to 6.20
Indices of classification
accuracy, with 95% CIs, for each final model are presented
in Table 7.
Nociceptive
A dominance of NP was predicted by 7 criteria,
including the presence of 3 symptoms (criteria 5, 8, 11), the
“absence” of 3 symptoms (criteria 7, 15, 19), and 1 sign
(criterion 27). According to the NP model, the strongest
predictor of NP was criterion 8 (OR=69.79; 95% CI,
25.13-193.81] suggesting that patients with “pain localized
to the area of injury/dysfunction (with/without some
somatic referral)” were over 69 times more likely to be
classified with a dominance of NP compared with those
with non-NP, controlling for all other variables in the
model. The OR of 0.15 for criterion 15 was 1, indicating
that patients with “pain in association with other
TABLE 3. Model Parameters for Criteria in the Final “Nociceptive,” “Peripheral Neuropathic,” and “Central Sensitization” Pain Models
Criteria
Regression
Coefficient SD
95% CI
Lower
95% CI
Upper OR
OR 95% CI
Lower
OR 95% CI
Upper
Nociceptive
5 Intermittent 1.45 0.74 À0.00 2.89 4.25 0.99 18.25
7 Burning À1.28 0.37 À2.00 À0.56 0.28 0.14 0.57
8 Localized 4.25 0.52 3.22 5.27 69.79 25.13 193.81
11 Clear aggravating/easing 2.91 0.58 1.78 4.05 18.41 5.91 57.37
15 Dysesthesias À1.89 0.46 À2.79 À1.00 0.15 0.06 0.37
19 Night pain À1.51 0.38 À2.25 À0.77 0.22 0.11 0.46
27 Antalgic À1.41 0.40 À2.19 À0.63 0.24 0.11 0.53
Peripheral neuropathic
3 History of nerve injury 2.54 0.64 1.29 3.80 12.64 3.59 44.49
9 Dermatomal 3.19 0.69 1.85 4.53 24.29 6.33 93.18
29 Nerve movement tests 2.68 0.49 1.72 3.65 14.64 5.59 38.37
Central
4 Pain disproportionate to injury 2.72 0.63 1.48 3.96 15.19 4.39 52.48
13 Disproportionate aggravating/
easing
3.42 0.66 2.13 4.72 30.69 8.41 112.03
25 Psycho social symptoms 2.03 0.79 0.49 3.58 7.65 1.64 35.79
33 Diffuse palpation 3.32 0.75 1.84 4.80 27.57 6.28 121.09
95% CI indicates 95% confidence interval; OR, odds ratio.
TABLE 4. Classification Accuracy of the Final “Nociceptive” Pain
Model
Reference Standard
Positive
Reference Standard
Negative
Cluster
positive
229 patients 18
Cluster
negative
23 182
Clin J Pain  Volume 27, Number 8, October 2011 Mechanisms-based Classifications of Pain
r 2011 Lippincott Williams  Wilkins www.clinicalpain.com | 659
dysesthesias,” were 0.15 times less likely to be classified with
NP than patients with non-NP (OR=0.15; 95% CI, 0.06-
0.37), controlling for all other factors in the model, that is
the presence of dysesthesias decreased the odds of being
classified with NP by 85%.
A sensitivity of 90.9% indicates that this cluster of
clinical criteria correctly predicted a dominance of NP in
90.9% of those patients classified with NP according to the
reference standard of “experienced” clinical judgement, but
incorrectly predicted 9.1% of these patients as having non-
NP. The diagnostic OR of 100.67 indicates that that the
cluster is 100 times more likely to accurately than
inaccurately predict a dominance of NP in patients with a
dominance of NP.
Peripheral Neuropathic
Three criteria (criteria 3, 9, 29) were found to be
predictive of PNP. According to the final model, the
strongest predictor was criterion 9 (OR=24.29; 95% CI,
6.33-93.18) suggesting that patients with “pain referred in a
dermatomal or cutaneous distribution,” were over 24 times
more likely to be classified with a dominance of PNP than
non-PNP, controlling for all other variables in the model.
A positive predictive value of 86.3% indicates that a
patient with the cluster of clinical criteria outlined by the
model is likely to have a dominance of PNP with an 86.3%
level of probability. The negative predictive value indicates
that the probability of a patient without the cluster having
non-PNP is 96.0%.
Central Sensitization
A dominance of CSP was predicted by the presence of
3 symptoms (criteria 4, 13, 25) and 1 sign (criterion 33). The
strongest predictor of CSP was criterion 13 (OR=30.69;
95% CI, 8.41-112.03) suggesting that patients with “dis-
proportionate, nonmechanical, unpredictable pattern of
pain provocation in response to multiple/nonspecific
aggravating/easing factors,” were over 30 times more likely
to be classified with a dominance of CSP than non-CSP.
The LR+ of 40.64 suggests that the CSP cluster is
over 40 times more likely to be found in a patient with a
dominance of CSP than non-CP. The LRÀ indicates that
the likelihood of the cluster being absent in patients with a
dominance of CSP compared with non-CSP is 0.08. A
summary of the mechanisms-based classification system for
musculoskeletal pain based on the results of this study is
presented in Figure 2.
DISCUSSION
Using a statistical approach toward classification
development, discriminatory clusters of symptoms and
signs associated with a clinically determined dominance of
NP, PNP, and CSP were identified from an original Delphi-
derived consensus of clinical indicators. In doing so, this
study provides some preliminary discriminative validity
evidence for NP, PNP, and CSP as mechanisms-based
classifications of low back (±leg) pain.
A common mechanisms-based approach toward the
classification of pain has been to dichotomize pain as being
either predominantly “neuropathic” or “nociceptive,”11,21,22
and a number of screening instruments have been developed
to facilitate this distinction clinically.23
However, a funda-
mental attribute of any classification system is that its
categories should be exhaustive,24
meaning that all patients
should be classifiable into one category. A dichotomized
model of pain may be problematic for those patients
hypothesized to have pain arising from or maintained by a
dominance of dysfunctional central pain processes, where-
by pain occurs or persists in the absence of, or dispropor-
tionate to, trauma/inflammation (ie, NP) or a peripheral
nerve lesion (ie, PNP)25
such as those with “fibromyalgia,”
whiplash-associated disorders, and some forms of chronic
TABLE 5. Classification Accuracy of the Final “Peripheral
Neuropathic” Pain Model
Reference Standard
Positive
Reference Standard
Negative
Cluster
positive
88 patients 14
Cluster
negative
14 336
TABLE 6. Classification Accuracy of the Final “Central
Sensitization” Pain Model
Reference Standard
Positive
Reference Standard
Negative
Cluster
positive
90 patients 8
Cluster
negative
8 346
TABLE 7. Indices of Classification Accuracy for the “Final,”
“Nociceptive,” “Peripheral Neuropathic,” and “Central
Sensitization” Pain Models
Value 95% CI Lower 95% CI Upper
Nociceptive
CA 90.9 87.9 93.4
Sensitivity 90.9 86.6 94.1
Specificity 91.0 86.1 94.6
PPV 92.7 88.7 95.6
NPV 88.9 83.6 92.8
LR+ 10.10 6.49 15.72
LRÀ 0.10 0.07 0.15
DOR 100.67 52.72 192.22
Peripheral Neuropathic
CA 93.8 91.2 95.8
Sensitivity 86.3 78.0 92.3
Specificity 96.0 93.4 97.8
PPV 86.3 78.0 92.3
NPV 96.0 93.4 97.8
LR+ 21.57 12.84 36.24
LRÀ 0.14 0.09 0.23
DOR 150.86 69.36 328.13
Central
CA 96.5 94.3 98.0
Sensitivity 91.8 84.5 96.4
Specificity 97.7 95.6 99.0
PPV 91.8 84.5 96.4
NPV 97.7 95.6 99.0
LR+ 40.64 20.43 80.83
LRÀ 0.08 0.04 0.16
DOR 486.56 177.74 1331.97
CA indicates classification accuracy; DOR, diagnostic odds ratio; LRÀ,
negative likelihood ratio; LR+, positive likelihood ratio; NPV, negative
predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value.
Smart et al Clin J Pain  Volume 27, Number 8, October 2011
660 | www.clinicalpain.com r 2011 Lippincott Williams  Wilkins
LBP.9
A mechanisms-based classification system for pain
comprising 3 categories may allow for the classification
of broader populations of patients and be more useful
clinically.
Although the classification system proposed in this
study was comprised of three categories it is acknowledged
that other “categories” of pain mechanisms may exist, such
as “autonomic,” “neuroendocrine,” and “neuroimmune”
pain. A number of investigators and mechanisms-based
clinical reasoning strategies for pain have described the
potential influence of autonomic, neuroendocrine, and
neuroimmune mechanisms on pain transmission and
modulation.26–28
However, it has been suggested that
activity from within these systems may not be so readily
identifiable from clusters of symptoms and signs, and that
they operate simultaneously and synergistically more as
response and background systems in association with
activity in the peripheral and central nervous systems.10
Further elucidation of the role of these systems and the
recognition of clinical markers may facilitate their inclusion
into an expanded mechanisms-based classification system
for pain.
A further consideration concerns the homogeneity of
categorizations such as NP, PNP, and CSP, that is the
extent to which patients classified with a given dominant
pain state have pain attributable to common pathophysio-
logical mechanisms. Categorical labels for constructs such
as NP, PNP, and CSP, essentially describe and compart-
mentalize the highly complex and numerous pathophysio-
logical processes associated with each construct together
under a single umbrella term. For example, a patient with a
dominance of NP could have pain secondary to inflamma-
tory (tissue injury) or ischemic (tissue loading) mechan-
isms.10
A patient with a dominance of PNP may have pain
arising from the formation of “abnormal impulse generat-
ing sites,” which may themselves be variously mechano-
sensitive, ischemic-sensitive, or chemo-sensitive, or from
“cross-excitation” of injured axons from neighboring
uninjured neurons.29
And a patient with a dominance of
CSP may have pain secondary to one or more of the
following pathophysiological processes, such as “classic
dorsal horn-mediated central sensitization,” loss of spinal
cord inhibitory interneurones, or forebrain-mediated des-
cending facilitation.30–32
The manner in which these dif-
ferent processes manifest, and the extent to which they may
be identified and distinguished clinically is not known.
Furthermore, neurobiological research currently allows for
more mechanistic possibilities than can be distinguished
clinically.33
A more pragmatic perspective suggests that the
validity and usefulness of any classification system is
ultimately dependent on the extent to which it fulfills the
purposes for which it was designed.34
If categorical
designations such as NP, PNP, and CSP can be shown to
(1) help clinicians make sense of a patient’s pain presenta-
tion, (2) facilitate an appropriate assessment, (3) predict an
outcome (whether in response to natural history or
treatment), and (4) facilitate the selection of appropriate
interventions and/or discourage the selection of inappropri-
ate ones, thus optimizing clinical outcomes and the use of
healthcare resources, then arguably the classification system
has fulfilled its function regardless of the extent to which
its constituent categories can be said to exactly reflect
homogenous pathophysiological mechanisms. Therefore,
precise knowledge of the underlying pathophysiology of the
disorder, although desirable to enhance the specificity of
treatment selection, may not be an essential requirement for
clinical validity.35
Consistent with the findings of Scholz et al,11
who
developed a clinical tool for distinguishing neuropathic
from non-neuropathic pain, the findings from this study
suggest that relatively few symptoms and signs may be
required to distinguish between pain types. Differentiating
between the dominant mechanisms assumed to underlie
Symptom/sign (assumed Neurophysiology)
Musculoskeletal
Pain
Nociceptive
Peripheral
neuropathic
Central
(sensitization)
- Usually intermittent and sharp with movement /mechanical provocation;
may be a more constant dull ache or throb at rest.
- Pain localised to the area of injury/dysfunction (with /without some
somatic referral).
- Clear, proportionate mechanical/anatomical nature to aggravating and
easing factors.
Absence of:
- Pain variously described as burning, shooting, sharp or electric-shock-like.
- Pain in association with other dysesthesias.
- Night pain/disturbed sleep.
- Antalgic (i.e. pain relieving) postures/movement patterns.
- History of nerve injury, pathology or mechanical compromise.
- Pain referred in a dermatomal or cutaneous distribution.
- Pain/symptom provocation with mechanical/movement tests (i.e.
active/passive,neurodynamic, e.g. Straight leg raise test) that
move/load/compress neural tissue.
- Pain disproportionate to the nature and extent of injury or pathology.
- Disproportionate, non-mechanical, unpredictable pattern of pain
provocation in response to multiple/non-specific aggravating/easing factors.
- Strong association with maladaptive psychosocial factors (e.g. negative
emotions, poor self-efficacy, maladaptive beliefs and pain behaviours,
altered family/work/social life, medical conflict).
- Diffuse/non-anatomic areas of pain/tenderness on palpation.
FIGURE 2. A summary of the mechanisms-based classification system for musculoskeletal pain.
Clin J Pain  Volume 27, Number 8, October 2011 Mechanisms-based Classifications of Pain
r 2011 Lippincott Williams  Wilkins www.clinicalpain.com | 661
patients’ pain may be important clinically as it may have a
direct impact on clinical decision making.36
However, the
predictive and prescriptive validity of mechanisms-based
classifications of pain requires further empirical evaluation.
The findings from this study should be interpreted in light
of a number of methodological limitations.
In the absence of a “diagnostic” gold standard by
which to determine mechanisms-based classifications of
pain, patients were necessarily classified on the basis of a
“reference standard” of “experienced” clinical judgement.18
The robustness of the reference standard may have been
improved if patients’ pain had been classified on the basis of
a unanimous agreement after independent assessments by 2
(or more clinicians). Validation by “extreme groups” on the
basis of agreement by 2 clinicians (specialist pain con-
sultants) has been used during the development and
preliminary validation of a number of screening instru-
ments designed for the purpose of identifying patients with
neuropathic pain, such as the “painDETECT”22
and
“Douleur Neuropathique 4.”37
Other neuropathic scre-
ening instruments, however, such as the “ID-Pain,”38
“Neuropathic Pain Questionnaire,”39
and “Leeds Assess-
ment of Neuropathic Symptoms and Signs,”40
have been
developed on the basis of a single expert clinical judgement
suggesting this could be an acceptable approach.
The assessment protocol used in this study required
each clinician to both classify each patient’s pain presenta-
tion and complete the CCC. This procedure could render
the findings subject to a type of “clinical review bias,”41
whereby a clinician’s preconceived ideas about the clinical
criteria associated with each category of pain may have
biased their responses during completion of the CCC.
Ideally, the assignment of patients to each reference
category and the completion of the CCC should be
undertaken independently by 2 separate clinicians. In this
way, the potential for a clinician’s earlier classification to
influence (ie, bias) their subsequent responses is elimina-
ted. The resources available for this study did not allow for
patient assessments by 2 clinicians.
Statistical approaches toward classification system
development have inherent limitations. With logistic
regression, the inclusion/exclusion of a criterion within a
model can be dependent to some extent on statistical
variation during the modeling process.42
Therefore, any
statistically derived model is characterized by a degree of
uncertainty in that logistic regression will generate “a”
model from a potential pool of other similar competing
models. Determination of a “definitive” single model by
means of logistic regression is, therefore, not possible. In
light of this, regression modeling on a different data set
from a different sample of patients would likely produce
different, albeit similar, models (ie, clusters of clinical
criteria) for each category of pain.
In addition, it has been shown that studies using
logistic regression with small-to-moderate sample sizes
tend to overestimate the OR of predictor variables as a
consequence of a systematic mathematical bias inherent
with logistic regression.43
It is accepted that the sample
included in this study may have led to inflated model
estimates, and that a larger sample size with increased
numbers of patients within each reference category may
have produced more accurate estimates of model para-
meters and classification accuracy.
Development methodologies also tend to produce
inflated estimates of model parameters and predictive
accuracies because the model fitting process optimizes the
model parameters to make the model fit the data as closely
as possible.42
It is this phenomenon that necessitates cross-
validation in an independent sample to obtain more
accurate estimates of the “true” model parameters. As the
methodology used in this study was developmental, it is
likely that estimates concerning the relative contributions of
criteria to each model (ie, regression coefficients and ORs)
and the indices of classification accuracy (sensitivity,
specificity etc) are inflated. Therefore, the values of these
parameters should be interpreted with this caveat in mind.
The clusters of clinical criteria identified in this study
were derived from a population of patients with LBP
disorders. Evaluation of the same CCC on patient
populations with other musculoskeletal disorders may have
yielded different clusters. For example, it could be argued
that the criterion, “pain in association with other symptoms
of inflammation” was unlikely ever to be a potential
predictor of NP because such symptoms (swelling, redness,
heat), arguably, are rarely if ever identifiable in patients
with LBP. However, it is possible that this criterion may
have emerged as a significant predictor of NP in a patient
population with ankle or knee injuries. Therefore, the
clusters identified may not generalize to other musculoskel-
etal disorders.
By identifying a discriminatory cluster of symptoms
and signs predictive of “nociceptive,” “peripheral neu-
ropathic,” and “central sensitization” pain, this study
provides some preliminary discriminative validity evidence
for mechanisms-based classifications of musculoskeletal
pain. Classification system validation requires the accumu-
lation of validity evidence before their use in clinical
practice can be recommended. As such, further studies are
required to evaluate the construct and criterion validity of
mechanisms-based classifications of musculoskeletal pain.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
The authors thank the following Chartered Physiothera-
pists for their help with data collection: Mary Cassells,
Antoinette Curley, Sheila Horan (Adelaide and Meath
Hospital, Dublin), Susan Murphy, Caoimhe Harrington
(Waterford Regional Hospital, Waterford), Aoife Caffrey,
Martina Fitzpatrick (St Vincent’s University Hospital,
Dublin), Russell Mayne, Sarah Friel, Nick Spahr, Melissa
Johnson, Christian van der Merwe (St Thomas’ Hospitals
NHS Foundation Trust, London), Niamh Maloney (Mill-
town Physiotherapy Clinic, Dublin), and Catherine Cradock
(Portobello Physiotherapy Clinic, Dublin).
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r 2011 Lippincott Williams  Wilkins www.clinicalpain.com | 663

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MSK Pain Phenotypes

  • 1. See discussions, stats, and author profiles for this publication at: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/51031116 The Discriminative Validity of "Nociceptive," " Peripheral Neuropathic," and "Central Sensitization" as Mechanisms-based Classifications of Musculoskeletal Pain Article in The Clinical journal of pain · April 2011 Impact Factor: 2.53 · DOI: 10.1097/AJP.0b013e318215f16a · Source: PubMed CITATIONS 44 READS 215 4 authors: Keith M Smart St. Vincents University Hospital 22 PUBLICATIONS 270 CITATIONS SEE PROFILE Catherine Blake University College Dublin 111 PUBLICATIONS 1,062 CITATIONS SEE PROFILE Anthony Staines Dublin City University 231 PUBLICATIONS 4,007 CITATIONS SEE PROFILE Catherine Doody University College Dublin 48 PUBLICATIONS 628 CITATIONS SEE PROFILE All in-text references underlined in blue are linked to publications on ResearchGate, letting you access and read them immediately. Available from: Keith M Smart Retrieved on: 25 June 2016
  • 2. The Discriminative Validity of “Nociceptive,” “Peripheral Neuropathic,” and “Central Sensitization” as Mechanisms-based Classifications of Musculoskeletal Pain Keith M. Smart, PhD,* Catherine Blake, PhD,w Anthony Staines, PhD,z and Catherine Doody, PhDw Objectives: Empirical evidence of discriminative validity is required to justify the use of mechanisms-based classifications of musculoskeletal pain in clinical practice. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the discriminative validity of mechanisms-based classifications of pain by identifying discriminatory clusters of clinical criteria predictive of “nociceptive,” “peripheral neuro- pathic,” and “central sensitization” pain in patients with low back (±leg) pain disorders. Methods: This study was a cross-sectional, between-patients design using the extreme-groups method. Four hundred sixty-four patients with low back (±leg) pain were assessed using a standardized assessment protocol. After each assessment, patients’ pain was assigned a mechanisms-based classification. Clinicians then completed a clinical criteria checklist indicating the presence/ absence of various clinical criteria. Results: Multivariate analyses using binary logistic regression with Bayesian model averaging identified a discriminative cluster of 7, 3, and 4 symptoms and signs predictive of a dominance of “nociceptive,” “peripheral neuropathic,” and “central sensitiza- tion” pain, respectively. Each cluster was found to have high levels of classification accuracy (sensitivity, specificity, positive/negative predictive values, positive/negative likelihood ratios). Discussion: By identifying a discriminatory cluster of symptoms and signs predictive of “nociceptive,” “peripheral neuropathic,” and “central” pain, this study provides some preliminary dis- criminative validity evidence for mechanisms-based classifications of musculoskeletal pain. Classification system validation requires the accumulation of validity evidence before their use in clinical practice can be recommended. Further studies are required to evaluate the construct and criterion validity of mechanisms-based classifications of musculoskeletal pain. Key Words: classification, pain mechanisms, validity (Clin J Pain 2011;27:655–663) Mechanisms-based pain classification refers to the classification of pain based on assumptions as to the underlying neurophysiological mechanisms responsible for its generation and maintenance.1,2 Mechanisms-based classifications of pain have been advocated in clinical practice on the grounds that they may help explain observed variations in the nature and severity of many clinical presentations of musculoskeletal pain [eg, low back pain (LBP) disorders] (1) in which pain is reported in the absence of or disproportionate to any clearly identifiable pathology, (2) in which pain is reported to persist after the resolution of injury or pathology, (3) in which the severity of pain reported by patients with similar injuries and pathologies differs greatly, and paradoxically (4) in which pain does not exist despite evidence of injury or pathol- ogy.3–5 In addition, it has been suggested that mechanisms- based approaches could improve the treatment of pain and optimize patients’ outcomes by facilitating the selection of clinical interventions known or hypothesized to target the dominant underlying neurophysiological mechanisms responsible for its generation and maintenance.6 Nociceptive pain (NP), peripheral neuropathic pain (PNP), and central sensitization pain (CSP) (ie, “central hyper-excitability”/“functional” pain) have been suggested as clinically meaningful mechanisms-based classifications of musculoskeletal pain,7–10 whereby each classification refers to a clinical presentation of pain assumed to reflect a dominance of nociceptive, peripheral neuropathic, or central pain mechanisms, respectively. In the absence of a diagnostic gold standard, it has been hypothesized that mechanisms-based classifications of patients’ pain may be undertaken clinically on the basis of patterns of symptoms and signs assumed to reflect its underlying neurophysiology.11 In this regard, attempts have been made to develop a 3-category classification system for musculoskeletal pain. Using a judgemental approach toward classification system development, a Delphi survey was undertaken to generate expert, consensus-derived lists of clinical criteria associated with a dominance of “nocicep- tive,” “peripheral neuropathic,” and “central” mechanisms of musculoskeletal pain.12 Empirical evidence of discriminative validity is re- quired to justify the use of mechanisms-based classifications of musculoskeletal pain in clinical practice.13 For the purpose of this study, discriminative validity was defined as the extent to which the categories of a classification system are able to differentiate between those with and without the disorder.14 The discriminative validity of a classification system is supported if it can be shown that the presence or absence of specific clinical criteria can be used to differentiate between and predict membership of the categories that make up the classification system. To continue the development of mechanisms-based classifica- tions of musculoskeletal pain, the aim of this study was toCopyright r 2011 by Lippincott Williams & Wilkins Received for publication August 29, 2010; revised January 4, 2011; accepted February 16, 2011. From the *St Vincent’s University Hospital, Elm Park, Dublin 4; wUCD School of Public Health, Physiotherapy and Population Science, University College Dublin, Belfield, Dublin 4; and zHealth Systems Research, School of Nursing, Dublin City University, Dublin 9, Ireland. This research was funded by the Health Research Board (of Ireland) (Grant No. CTPF-06-17). The authors declare no conflict of interest. Reprints: Keith M. Smart, PhD, St Vincent’s University Hospital, Elm Park, Dublin 4, Ireland (e-mail: k.smart@ucd.ie). ORIGINAL ARTICLE Clin J Pain Volume 27, Number 8, October 2011 www.clinicalpain.com | 655
  • 3. evaluate the discriminative validity of NP, PNP, and CSP as mechanisms-based classifications of pain in patients with low back (±leg) pain disorders by testing for and identifying a discriminatory cluster of clinical indicators associated with each category of pain. MATERIALS AND METHODS Study Design This study was a cross-sectional, between-patients design using the validation by extreme-groups method.14 Setting This discriminative validity study was carried out at 6 separate locations including 4 hospital sites, (1) the Back Pain Screening Clinic of the Adelaide and Meath Hospital, Dublin, (2) the Back Care Programme of Waterford Regional Hospital, Waterford, (3) the Physiotherapy Department of St Vincent’s University Hospital, Dublin (all Ireland), and (4) the Physiotherapy Department of Guy’s and St Thomas’ NHS Foundation Trust, London (United Kingdom); and 2 private physiotherapy practices; (1) Portobello Physiotherapy Clinic, Dublin and (2) Milltown Physiotherapy Clinic, Dublin. This study was conducted according to the principles outlined in the Declaration of Helsinki. Ethical approval for this study was granted by the Ethics and Medical Research Committees of each Irish institution and the National Research Ethics Service (UK). Participants Fifteen physiotherapists participated in data collec- tion, including 13 public hospital-based clinicians, 1 of whom was the primary investigator (K.M.S.) and 2 private practitioners. All of the clinicians had specialized in general or specific fields of musculoskeletal physiotherapy. The mean number of years since qualification and spent work- ing within the speciality of musculoskeletal physiotherapy was 12 (SD 5.2; range, 5 to 21) and 9.2 years (SD 4.38; range, 3 to 18), respectively. Thirteen clinicians possessed “masters” level qualifications in physiotherapy and 1 clinician had a postgraduate diploma. Patients of 18 years of age or older referred with low back (±leg) pain were eligible for inclusion. Exclusion criteria included patients with a history of diabetes or central nervous system injury, pregnancy, or nonmuscu- loskeletal LBP. Patients were recruited from the outpatient waiting lists of each back pain screening clinic/physiother- apy service. All patients gave signed informed consent before their participation. A flowchart detailing patient recruitment is presented in Figure 1. Instrumentation and Procedures Patient demographics were collected using a standard- ized form. Each patient was assessed using a standardized clinical interview and examination procedure based on accepted clinical practice.15 During the clinical interview, patients were encouraged to disclose details of their LBP history, current symptomology, and its behavior. Patients were also screened for “red” and “yellow” flags associated with serious spinal pathology and psychosocial mediators, respectively in accordance with clinical practice guide- lines.16 The clinical examination included postural, move- ment, and neurological-based assessments. To complete the clinical criteria checklist (CCC), a number of additional symptoms (eg, spontaneous, paroxysmal pain, and dys- esthesias) and signs (eg, allodynia, hyperalgesia, hyper- pathia, and nerve palpation) were assessed. After each patient examination, clinicians were re- quired to complete a CCC consisting of 2 parts. “Part 1” required examiners to classify each patient’s pain presenta- tion. Patients were classified in to 1 of 3 categories of pain mechanism (ie, NP, PNP, CSP) or 1 of 4 possible “mixed” pain states derived from a combination of the original 3 categories (ie, Mixed: NP/PNP; Mixed: NP/CSP; Mixed: PNP/CSP; Mixed: NP/PNP/CSP) on the basis of experi- enced clinical judgement with regard to the likely dominant mechanisms assumed to underlie each patient’s pain. Discriminative validity designs require the identification of the “extreme groups” (ie, pain type) and in the absence of a diagnostic gold standard the best alternative “reference standard”—defined as, “ythe best available method for establishing the presence or absence of a condition of Total ineligible n = 51 Diabetic n = 11 Under 18 n = 2 Neurological disorder n = 13 Asymptomatic n = 6 Cervical/thoracic pain n = 5 Non-musculoskeletal LBP n = 4 Pregnancy n = 2 (Non-consent n = 8) Total eligible n = 500 Total included n = 464 Nociceptive pain n = 256 Peripheral neuropathic pain n = 102 Central sensitization pain n = 106 Total excluded (mixed/ indeterminate pain) n = 36 NP/PNP n = 11 NP/CSP n = 17 PNP/CSP n = 5 NP/PNP/CSP n = 2 Indeterminate n = 1 Total invited n = 551 AMNCH n = 205 SVUH n = 176 GSTH n = 102 WRH n = 61 PP n = 7 FIGURE 1. Flowchart of patient recruitment. Smart et al Clin J Pain Volume 27, Number 8, October 2011 656 | www.clinicalpain.com r 2011 Lippincott Williams Wilkins
  • 4. interest,”17 may be expert clinical judgement.14 “Under this assumption the development of classification criteria becomes an exercise in determining which history [and] physical examinationyfindings match the impression of an experienced clinician.”18 “Part 2” required examiners to complete a 38-item CCC, consisting of 26 symptoms and 12 signs (Table 1), based on an expert consensus-derived list of clinical criteria assumed to reflect a dominance of NP, PNP, and CSP.12 Response options for each criterion included “Present,” “Absent,” or “Don’t know.” To ensure that symptoms and signs were assessed consistently, clinicians were provided with practical training together with an “Assessment Manual” containing written instructions on how to undertake each patient examination, and interpret and document findings. Sample Size Requirements The minimum sample size required for this study was based on a recommended minimum of 10 patients per predictor variable.19 The number of predictor variables evaluated in this study was 40, corresponding to the 38 items on the CCC plus the variables “age” and “sex,” thus necessitating a minimum sample of 400 patients. Data Analysis Univariate analyses, using a w2 test for independence, were carried out initially as a means of item reduction by identifying and excluding nondiscriminatory criteria.19 Multivariate analyses using binary logistic regression (BLR) with Bayesian model averaging were then under- taken to test for and identify discriminatory clusters of TABLE 1. Individual Items Included on the 38-item Clinical Criteria Checklist Criterion Description 1. Pain of recent onset 2. Pain associated with and in proportion to trauma, a pathologic process or movement/postural dysfunction 3. History of nerve injury, pathology, or mechanical compromise 4. Pain disproportionate to the nature and extent of injury or pathology 5. Usually intermittent and sharp with movement/mechanical provocation; may be a more constant dull ache or throb at rest 6. More constant/unremitting pain 7. Pain variously described as burning, shooting, sharp, or electric-shock-like 8. Pain localized to the area of injury/dysfunction (with/without some somatic referral) 9. Pain referred in a dermatomal or cutaneous distribution 10. Widespread, nonanatomic distribution of pain 11. Clear, proportionate mechanical/anatomic nature to aggravating and easing factors 12. Mechanical pattern to aggravating and easing factors involving activities/postures associated with movement, loading, or compression of neural tissue 13. Disproportionate, nonmechanical, unpredictable pattern of pain provocation in response to multiple/nonspecific aggravating/easing factors 14. Reports of spontaneous (ie, stimulus-independent) pain and/or paroxysmal pain (ie, sudden recurrences and intensification of pain) 15. Pain in association with other dysesthesias (eg, crawling, electrical, heaviness) 16. Pain of high severity and irritability (ie, easily provoked, taking longer to settle) 17. Pain in association with other symptoms of inflammation (ie, swelling, redness, heat) 18. Pain in association with other neurological symptoms (eg, pins and needles, numbness, weakness) 19. Night pain/disturbed sleep 20. Responsive to simple analgesia/NSAIDs 21. Less responsive to simple analgesia/NSAIDs and/or more responsive to antiepileptic (eg, Lyrica)/antidepression (eg, Amitriptyline) medication 22. Usually rapidly resolving or resolving in accordance with expected tissue healing/pathology recovery times 23. Pain persisting beyond expected tissue healing/pathology recovery times 24. History of failed interventions (medical/surgical/therapeutic) 25. Strong association with maladaptive psychosocial factors (eg, negative emotions, poor self-efficacy, maladaptive beliefs, and pain behaviors, altered family/work/social life, medical conflict) 26. Pain in association with high levels of functional disability 27. Antalgic (ie, pain relieving) postures/movement patterns 28. Clear, consistent, and proportionate mechanical/anatomic pattern of pain reproduction on movement/mechanical testing of target tissues 29. Pain/symptom provocation with mechanical/movement tests (eg, Active/Passive, Neurodynamic, ie, SLR) that move/load/ compress neural tissue 30. Disproportionate, inconsistent, nonmechanical/nonanatomic pattern of pain provocation in response to movement/mechanical testing 31. Positive neurological findings (altered reflexes, sensation, and muscle power in a dermatomal/myotomal or cutaneous nerve distribution) 32. Localized pain on palpation 33. Diffuse/nonanatomic areas of pain/tenderness on palpation 34. Positive findings of allodynia within the distribution of pain 35. Positive findings of hyperalgesia (primary and/or secondary) within the distribution of pain 36. Positive findings of hyperpathia within the distribution of pain 37. Pain/symptom provocation on palpation of relevant neural tissues 38. Positive identification of various psychosocial factors (eg, catastrophization, fear-avoidance behavior, distress) NSAIDs indicates nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs; SLR, straight leg raise. Clin J Pain Volume 27, Number 8, October 2011 Mechanisms-based Classifications of Pain r 2011 Lippincott Williams Wilkins www.clinicalpain.com | 657
  • 5. symptoms and signs associated with a clinical classification of NP, PNP, and CSP. Three BLR models were evaluated, 1 for each category of pain. Modeling for each pain category, using NP versus non-NP as an example, was undertaken sequentially in the following way: 1. With NP as the designated “reference category,” patients with NP were coded as “1” (equivalent to presence of the trait), and patients with non-NP (ie, those patients classified with a dominance of PNP and CSP) were coded as “0” (equivalent to “absence” of the trait). Clinical criteria were coded according to an identical interpretation (ie, “1”=present, “0”=absent). “Don’t know” responses were treated as missing values. 2. Consensus-based Delphi-derived criteria associated with a dominance of NP were initially selected as candidate criteria for inclusion into the BLR model.12 3. Additional clinical criteria with potential discriminative value were identified and included, when on the basis of a univariate analysis, the “absence” of specific criterion seemed to be associated with a dominance of NP. 4. Any criteria identified as “nondiscriminatory” from the univariate analyses were excluded. 5. All remaining candidate criteria were entered into the initial model, which was labeled as “Model 1.” 6. Model parameters, for each criterion, were examined. Criteria with a low “posterior probability” (eg, 5%) were identified and excluded. Remaining criteria were retained and reentered into a subsequent model (“Model 2”). 7. The posterior probabilities of each criterion were reevaluated. The criterion with the lowest “posterior probability” was identified and excluded. Remaining TABLE 2. Patient Demographics by Pain Classification (n=464) Variable Nociceptive (n=256) Peripheral Neuropathic (n=102) Central Sensitization (n=106) Sex (Female) 150 (59%) 53 (52%) 57 (54%) Age (y), Mean (SD, Range) 44 (14.5, 19-85) 44 (13.1, 20-76) 43 (12.3, 20-80) Source of referral GP 144 (56%) 68 (67%) 44 (42) Orthopedics 41 (16%) 12 (12%) 11 (10) ED 25 (10%) 14 (14%) 5 (5%) Pain clinic 6 (2%) 3 (3%) 38 (36%) Occ Health 25 (10%) 2 (2%) 2 (2%) Rheumatologist 4 (2%) 0 1 (1%) Other 11 (4%) 3 (3%) 5 (5%) Assessment setting BPSC 128 (50%) 68 (67%) 24 (23%) Physio Dept 119 (47%) 33 (32%) 39 (37%) Pain Clinic 2 (1%) 1 (1%) 43 (41%) Private Practice 7 (3%) 0 0 Predominant pain location Back 209 (82%) 9 (9%) 65 (61%) Back/Thigh 37 (15%) 19 (19%) 17 (16%) Uni Leg BK 3 (1%) 60 (59%) 4 (4%) Back/Uni leg BK 7 (3%) 11 (11%) 10 (9%) Bilat Leg BK 0 1 (1%) 1 (1%) Back/Bilat leg BK 0 2 (2%) 9 (9%) Duration current episode 0-3 wk 17 (7%) 2 (2%) 2 (2%) 4-6 wk 33 (13%) 14 (14%) 2 (2%) 7-12 wk 33 (13%) 18 (18%) 2 (2%) 4-6 mo 36 (14%) 23 (22%) 2 (2%) 7-12 mo 27 (11%) 21 (21%) 10 (9%) 1 y 110 (43%) 24 (23%) 88 (83%) [Mean duration (y), SD, range] (6.8, 6.9, 1-40) (3.4, 3.3, 1-14) (7.1, 7.2, 1.5-40) Work status Full time 111 (43%) 35 (34%) 12 (11%) Part time 23 (9%) 10 (10%) 7 (6%) Homemaker 23 (9%) 8 (8%) 9 (9%) Off work (2nd LBP) 33 (13%) 27 (27%) 22 (21%) Off work (2nd Other) 13 (5%) 6 (6%) 9 (9%) U/E 13 (5%) 2 (2%) 6 (6%) Retired 28 (11%) 11 (11%) 9 (9%) Student 7 (3%) 1 (1%) 2 (2%) Reg Disabled (2nd LBP) 2 (1%) 0 28 (26%) Reg Disabled (2nd Other) 1 (0%) 2 (2%) 1 (1%) Unknown 0 0 1 (1%) Medico-legal case pending 10 (4%) 3 (3%) 26 (25%) Bilat Leg BK indicates bilateral leg pain below knee; BPSC, back pain screening clinic, Physio Dept, Physiotherapy Department; ED, Emergency Department; GP, General Practitioner; LBP, low back pain; Occ Health, Occupational Health Department; Reg Disabled, Registered Disabled; U/E, unemployed; Uni Leg BK, unilateral leg pain below knee. Smart et al Clin J Pain Volume 27, Number 8, October 2011 658 | www.clinicalpain.com r 2011 Lippincott Williams Wilkins
  • 6. criteria were retained and reentered into a subsequent model (“Model 3”). 8. This process continued, with successive models labeled consecutively as “Model 4,” “Model 5,” and so on, until only criteria with a “posterior probability” of Z50% remained. These models were considered candidate “final models.” The aim of each logistic regression was to produce an optimum model guided by considerations of classification accuracy and parsimony, that is to produce a discrimina- tory cluster of symptoms and signs for each category of pain, comprising the fewest clinical criteria while preserving classification accuracy.19 Indices of classification accuracy [sensitivity, specifi- city, positive and negative predictive values, positive and negative likelihood ratios] with 2-sided 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated to assess the classification accuracy of each final model. Univariate analyses were carried out using SPSS (SPSS for windows, version 15). Multivariate analyses were carried out in “R” (2009, version 2.9.2). RESULTS A convenience sample of 551 patients with musculoskeletal low back (±leg) pain disorders was invited to participate in this study. Fifty-one patients were ineligible according to the exclusion criteria, and 36 patients with a mixed (n=35) or indeterminate (n=1) pain state were excluded. Patient demographics for the final sample (n=464) are presented in Table 2. Univariate A w2 test for independence indicated that “Criterion 17” [w2 (2, n=464)=2.30, P=0.32] and “sex” [w2 (2, n=464)=1.59, P=0.45] were not significantly associated with pain classification, and a one-way between-groups analysis of variance [Browne-Forsythe F-ratio 0.23 (df 2, 463), P=0.80] indicated that there was no statistically significant differences in the mean age of patients across pain classifications. These variables were, therefore, ex- cluded from the multivariate analyses. Multivariate Missing values were identified for 12 cases, thus reducing the valid sample size from n=464 to n=452 (NP n=252, PNP n=102, CSP n=98). Model parameters [regression coefficients and odds ratios (ORs) with 95% CI] for each criterion in the final NP, PNP, and CSP models are presented in Table 3 (where shortened criterion descriptions are given; full descriptions are presented in Table 1). Cross tabulations from which the indices of classifica- tion accuracy were calculated for each final cluster are presented in Tables 4 to 6.20 Indices of classification accuracy, with 95% CIs, for each final model are presented in Table 7. Nociceptive A dominance of NP was predicted by 7 criteria, including the presence of 3 symptoms (criteria 5, 8, 11), the “absence” of 3 symptoms (criteria 7, 15, 19), and 1 sign (criterion 27). According to the NP model, the strongest predictor of NP was criterion 8 (OR=69.79; 95% CI, 25.13-193.81] suggesting that patients with “pain localized to the area of injury/dysfunction (with/without some somatic referral)” were over 69 times more likely to be classified with a dominance of NP compared with those with non-NP, controlling for all other variables in the model. The OR of 0.15 for criterion 15 was 1, indicating that patients with “pain in association with other TABLE 3. Model Parameters for Criteria in the Final “Nociceptive,” “Peripheral Neuropathic,” and “Central Sensitization” Pain Models Criteria Regression Coefficient SD 95% CI Lower 95% CI Upper OR OR 95% CI Lower OR 95% CI Upper Nociceptive 5 Intermittent 1.45 0.74 À0.00 2.89 4.25 0.99 18.25 7 Burning À1.28 0.37 À2.00 À0.56 0.28 0.14 0.57 8 Localized 4.25 0.52 3.22 5.27 69.79 25.13 193.81 11 Clear aggravating/easing 2.91 0.58 1.78 4.05 18.41 5.91 57.37 15 Dysesthesias À1.89 0.46 À2.79 À1.00 0.15 0.06 0.37 19 Night pain À1.51 0.38 À2.25 À0.77 0.22 0.11 0.46 27 Antalgic À1.41 0.40 À2.19 À0.63 0.24 0.11 0.53 Peripheral neuropathic 3 History of nerve injury 2.54 0.64 1.29 3.80 12.64 3.59 44.49 9 Dermatomal 3.19 0.69 1.85 4.53 24.29 6.33 93.18 29 Nerve movement tests 2.68 0.49 1.72 3.65 14.64 5.59 38.37 Central 4 Pain disproportionate to injury 2.72 0.63 1.48 3.96 15.19 4.39 52.48 13 Disproportionate aggravating/ easing 3.42 0.66 2.13 4.72 30.69 8.41 112.03 25 Psycho social symptoms 2.03 0.79 0.49 3.58 7.65 1.64 35.79 33 Diffuse palpation 3.32 0.75 1.84 4.80 27.57 6.28 121.09 95% CI indicates 95% confidence interval; OR, odds ratio. TABLE 4. Classification Accuracy of the Final “Nociceptive” Pain Model Reference Standard Positive Reference Standard Negative Cluster positive 229 patients 18 Cluster negative 23 182 Clin J Pain Volume 27, Number 8, October 2011 Mechanisms-based Classifications of Pain r 2011 Lippincott Williams Wilkins www.clinicalpain.com | 659
  • 7. dysesthesias,” were 0.15 times less likely to be classified with NP than patients with non-NP (OR=0.15; 95% CI, 0.06- 0.37), controlling for all other factors in the model, that is the presence of dysesthesias decreased the odds of being classified with NP by 85%. A sensitivity of 90.9% indicates that this cluster of clinical criteria correctly predicted a dominance of NP in 90.9% of those patients classified with NP according to the reference standard of “experienced” clinical judgement, but incorrectly predicted 9.1% of these patients as having non- NP. The diagnostic OR of 100.67 indicates that that the cluster is 100 times more likely to accurately than inaccurately predict a dominance of NP in patients with a dominance of NP. Peripheral Neuropathic Three criteria (criteria 3, 9, 29) were found to be predictive of PNP. According to the final model, the strongest predictor was criterion 9 (OR=24.29; 95% CI, 6.33-93.18) suggesting that patients with “pain referred in a dermatomal or cutaneous distribution,” were over 24 times more likely to be classified with a dominance of PNP than non-PNP, controlling for all other variables in the model. A positive predictive value of 86.3% indicates that a patient with the cluster of clinical criteria outlined by the model is likely to have a dominance of PNP with an 86.3% level of probability. The negative predictive value indicates that the probability of a patient without the cluster having non-PNP is 96.0%. Central Sensitization A dominance of CSP was predicted by the presence of 3 symptoms (criteria 4, 13, 25) and 1 sign (criterion 33). The strongest predictor of CSP was criterion 13 (OR=30.69; 95% CI, 8.41-112.03) suggesting that patients with “dis- proportionate, nonmechanical, unpredictable pattern of pain provocation in response to multiple/nonspecific aggravating/easing factors,” were over 30 times more likely to be classified with a dominance of CSP than non-CSP. The LR+ of 40.64 suggests that the CSP cluster is over 40 times more likely to be found in a patient with a dominance of CSP than non-CP. The LRÀ indicates that the likelihood of the cluster being absent in patients with a dominance of CSP compared with non-CSP is 0.08. A summary of the mechanisms-based classification system for musculoskeletal pain based on the results of this study is presented in Figure 2. DISCUSSION Using a statistical approach toward classification development, discriminatory clusters of symptoms and signs associated with a clinically determined dominance of NP, PNP, and CSP were identified from an original Delphi- derived consensus of clinical indicators. In doing so, this study provides some preliminary discriminative validity evidence for NP, PNP, and CSP as mechanisms-based classifications of low back (±leg) pain. A common mechanisms-based approach toward the classification of pain has been to dichotomize pain as being either predominantly “neuropathic” or “nociceptive,”11,21,22 and a number of screening instruments have been developed to facilitate this distinction clinically.23 However, a funda- mental attribute of any classification system is that its categories should be exhaustive,24 meaning that all patients should be classifiable into one category. A dichotomized model of pain may be problematic for those patients hypothesized to have pain arising from or maintained by a dominance of dysfunctional central pain processes, where- by pain occurs or persists in the absence of, or dispropor- tionate to, trauma/inflammation (ie, NP) or a peripheral nerve lesion (ie, PNP)25 such as those with “fibromyalgia,” whiplash-associated disorders, and some forms of chronic TABLE 5. Classification Accuracy of the Final “Peripheral Neuropathic” Pain Model Reference Standard Positive Reference Standard Negative Cluster positive 88 patients 14 Cluster negative 14 336 TABLE 6. Classification Accuracy of the Final “Central Sensitization” Pain Model Reference Standard Positive Reference Standard Negative Cluster positive 90 patients 8 Cluster negative 8 346 TABLE 7. Indices of Classification Accuracy for the “Final,” “Nociceptive,” “Peripheral Neuropathic,” and “Central Sensitization” Pain Models Value 95% CI Lower 95% CI Upper Nociceptive CA 90.9 87.9 93.4 Sensitivity 90.9 86.6 94.1 Specificity 91.0 86.1 94.6 PPV 92.7 88.7 95.6 NPV 88.9 83.6 92.8 LR+ 10.10 6.49 15.72 LRÀ 0.10 0.07 0.15 DOR 100.67 52.72 192.22 Peripheral Neuropathic CA 93.8 91.2 95.8 Sensitivity 86.3 78.0 92.3 Specificity 96.0 93.4 97.8 PPV 86.3 78.0 92.3 NPV 96.0 93.4 97.8 LR+ 21.57 12.84 36.24 LRÀ 0.14 0.09 0.23 DOR 150.86 69.36 328.13 Central CA 96.5 94.3 98.0 Sensitivity 91.8 84.5 96.4 Specificity 97.7 95.6 99.0 PPV 91.8 84.5 96.4 NPV 97.7 95.6 99.0 LR+ 40.64 20.43 80.83 LRÀ 0.08 0.04 0.16 DOR 486.56 177.74 1331.97 CA indicates classification accuracy; DOR, diagnostic odds ratio; LRÀ, negative likelihood ratio; LR+, positive likelihood ratio; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value. Smart et al Clin J Pain Volume 27, Number 8, October 2011 660 | www.clinicalpain.com r 2011 Lippincott Williams Wilkins
  • 8. LBP.9 A mechanisms-based classification system for pain comprising 3 categories may allow for the classification of broader populations of patients and be more useful clinically. Although the classification system proposed in this study was comprised of three categories it is acknowledged that other “categories” of pain mechanisms may exist, such as “autonomic,” “neuroendocrine,” and “neuroimmune” pain. A number of investigators and mechanisms-based clinical reasoning strategies for pain have described the potential influence of autonomic, neuroendocrine, and neuroimmune mechanisms on pain transmission and modulation.26–28 However, it has been suggested that activity from within these systems may not be so readily identifiable from clusters of symptoms and signs, and that they operate simultaneously and synergistically more as response and background systems in association with activity in the peripheral and central nervous systems.10 Further elucidation of the role of these systems and the recognition of clinical markers may facilitate their inclusion into an expanded mechanisms-based classification system for pain. A further consideration concerns the homogeneity of categorizations such as NP, PNP, and CSP, that is the extent to which patients classified with a given dominant pain state have pain attributable to common pathophysio- logical mechanisms. Categorical labels for constructs such as NP, PNP, and CSP, essentially describe and compart- mentalize the highly complex and numerous pathophysio- logical processes associated with each construct together under a single umbrella term. For example, a patient with a dominance of NP could have pain secondary to inflamma- tory (tissue injury) or ischemic (tissue loading) mechan- isms.10 A patient with a dominance of PNP may have pain arising from the formation of “abnormal impulse generat- ing sites,” which may themselves be variously mechano- sensitive, ischemic-sensitive, or chemo-sensitive, or from “cross-excitation” of injured axons from neighboring uninjured neurons.29 And a patient with a dominance of CSP may have pain secondary to one or more of the following pathophysiological processes, such as “classic dorsal horn-mediated central sensitization,” loss of spinal cord inhibitory interneurones, or forebrain-mediated des- cending facilitation.30–32 The manner in which these dif- ferent processes manifest, and the extent to which they may be identified and distinguished clinically is not known. Furthermore, neurobiological research currently allows for more mechanistic possibilities than can be distinguished clinically.33 A more pragmatic perspective suggests that the validity and usefulness of any classification system is ultimately dependent on the extent to which it fulfills the purposes for which it was designed.34 If categorical designations such as NP, PNP, and CSP can be shown to (1) help clinicians make sense of a patient’s pain presenta- tion, (2) facilitate an appropriate assessment, (3) predict an outcome (whether in response to natural history or treatment), and (4) facilitate the selection of appropriate interventions and/or discourage the selection of inappropri- ate ones, thus optimizing clinical outcomes and the use of healthcare resources, then arguably the classification system has fulfilled its function regardless of the extent to which its constituent categories can be said to exactly reflect homogenous pathophysiological mechanisms. Therefore, precise knowledge of the underlying pathophysiology of the disorder, although desirable to enhance the specificity of treatment selection, may not be an essential requirement for clinical validity.35 Consistent with the findings of Scholz et al,11 who developed a clinical tool for distinguishing neuropathic from non-neuropathic pain, the findings from this study suggest that relatively few symptoms and signs may be required to distinguish between pain types. Differentiating between the dominant mechanisms assumed to underlie Symptom/sign (assumed Neurophysiology) Musculoskeletal Pain Nociceptive Peripheral neuropathic Central (sensitization) - Usually intermittent and sharp with movement /mechanical provocation; may be a more constant dull ache or throb at rest. - Pain localised to the area of injury/dysfunction (with /without some somatic referral). - Clear, proportionate mechanical/anatomical nature to aggravating and easing factors. Absence of: - Pain variously described as burning, shooting, sharp or electric-shock-like. - Pain in association with other dysesthesias. - Night pain/disturbed sleep. - Antalgic (i.e. pain relieving) postures/movement patterns. - History of nerve injury, pathology or mechanical compromise. - Pain referred in a dermatomal or cutaneous distribution. - Pain/symptom provocation with mechanical/movement tests (i.e. active/passive,neurodynamic, e.g. Straight leg raise test) that move/load/compress neural tissue. - Pain disproportionate to the nature and extent of injury or pathology. - Disproportionate, non-mechanical, unpredictable pattern of pain provocation in response to multiple/non-specific aggravating/easing factors. - Strong association with maladaptive psychosocial factors (e.g. negative emotions, poor self-efficacy, maladaptive beliefs and pain behaviours, altered family/work/social life, medical conflict). - Diffuse/non-anatomic areas of pain/tenderness on palpation. FIGURE 2. A summary of the mechanisms-based classification system for musculoskeletal pain. Clin J Pain Volume 27, Number 8, October 2011 Mechanisms-based Classifications of Pain r 2011 Lippincott Williams Wilkins www.clinicalpain.com | 661
  • 9. patients’ pain may be important clinically as it may have a direct impact on clinical decision making.36 However, the predictive and prescriptive validity of mechanisms-based classifications of pain requires further empirical evaluation. The findings from this study should be interpreted in light of a number of methodological limitations. In the absence of a “diagnostic” gold standard by which to determine mechanisms-based classifications of pain, patients were necessarily classified on the basis of a “reference standard” of “experienced” clinical judgement.18 The robustness of the reference standard may have been improved if patients’ pain had been classified on the basis of a unanimous agreement after independent assessments by 2 (or more clinicians). Validation by “extreme groups” on the basis of agreement by 2 clinicians (specialist pain con- sultants) has been used during the development and preliminary validation of a number of screening instru- ments designed for the purpose of identifying patients with neuropathic pain, such as the “painDETECT”22 and “Douleur Neuropathique 4.”37 Other neuropathic scre- ening instruments, however, such as the “ID-Pain,”38 “Neuropathic Pain Questionnaire,”39 and “Leeds Assess- ment of Neuropathic Symptoms and Signs,”40 have been developed on the basis of a single expert clinical judgement suggesting this could be an acceptable approach. The assessment protocol used in this study required each clinician to both classify each patient’s pain presenta- tion and complete the CCC. This procedure could render the findings subject to a type of “clinical review bias,”41 whereby a clinician’s preconceived ideas about the clinical criteria associated with each category of pain may have biased their responses during completion of the CCC. Ideally, the assignment of patients to each reference category and the completion of the CCC should be undertaken independently by 2 separate clinicians. In this way, the potential for a clinician’s earlier classification to influence (ie, bias) their subsequent responses is elimina- ted. The resources available for this study did not allow for patient assessments by 2 clinicians. Statistical approaches toward classification system development have inherent limitations. With logistic regression, the inclusion/exclusion of a criterion within a model can be dependent to some extent on statistical variation during the modeling process.42 Therefore, any statistically derived model is characterized by a degree of uncertainty in that logistic regression will generate “a” model from a potential pool of other similar competing models. Determination of a “definitive” single model by means of logistic regression is, therefore, not possible. In light of this, regression modeling on a different data set from a different sample of patients would likely produce different, albeit similar, models (ie, clusters of clinical criteria) for each category of pain. In addition, it has been shown that studies using logistic regression with small-to-moderate sample sizes tend to overestimate the OR of predictor variables as a consequence of a systematic mathematical bias inherent with logistic regression.43 It is accepted that the sample included in this study may have led to inflated model estimates, and that a larger sample size with increased numbers of patients within each reference category may have produced more accurate estimates of model para- meters and classification accuracy. Development methodologies also tend to produce inflated estimates of model parameters and predictive accuracies because the model fitting process optimizes the model parameters to make the model fit the data as closely as possible.42 It is this phenomenon that necessitates cross- validation in an independent sample to obtain more accurate estimates of the “true” model parameters. As the methodology used in this study was developmental, it is likely that estimates concerning the relative contributions of criteria to each model (ie, regression coefficients and ORs) and the indices of classification accuracy (sensitivity, specificity etc) are inflated. Therefore, the values of these parameters should be interpreted with this caveat in mind. The clusters of clinical criteria identified in this study were derived from a population of patients with LBP disorders. Evaluation of the same CCC on patient populations with other musculoskeletal disorders may have yielded different clusters. For example, it could be argued that the criterion, “pain in association with other symptoms of inflammation” was unlikely ever to be a potential predictor of NP because such symptoms (swelling, redness, heat), arguably, are rarely if ever identifiable in patients with LBP. However, it is possible that this criterion may have emerged as a significant predictor of NP in a patient population with ankle or knee injuries. Therefore, the clusters identified may not generalize to other musculoskel- etal disorders. By identifying a discriminatory cluster of symptoms and signs predictive of “nociceptive,” “peripheral neu- ropathic,” and “central sensitization” pain, this study provides some preliminary discriminative validity evidence for mechanisms-based classifications of musculoskeletal pain. Classification system validation requires the accumu- lation of validity evidence before their use in clinical practice can be recommended. As such, further studies are required to evaluate the construct and criterion validity of mechanisms-based classifications of musculoskeletal pain. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS The authors thank the following Chartered Physiothera- pists for their help with data collection: Mary Cassells, Antoinette Curley, Sheila Horan (Adelaide and Meath Hospital, Dublin), Susan Murphy, Caoimhe Harrington (Waterford Regional Hospital, Waterford), Aoife Caffrey, Martina Fitzpatrick (St Vincent’s University Hospital, Dublin), Russell Mayne, Sarah Friel, Nick Spahr, Melissa Johnson, Christian van der Merwe (St Thomas’ Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, London), Niamh Maloney (Mill- town Physiotherapy Clinic, Dublin), and Catherine Cradock (Portobello Physiotherapy Clinic, Dublin). REFERENCES 1. Woolf CJ, Bennett GJ, Doherty M, et al. Towards a mechanism-based classification of pain? Pain. 1998;77:227–229. 2. Portenoy RK. Mechanisms of clinical pain: observations and speculations. Neurol Clin North Am. 1989;7:205–230. 3. Quintner JL, Cohen ML, Buchanan D, et al. Pain medicine and its models: helping or hindering. Pain Med. 2008;9: 824–834. 4. 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