3. BOLETIM MOÇAMBIQUE
Quarta, 31 de Agosto
25 notícias • 13041 caracteres
MOÇAMBIQUE
Crise é o momento certo
para empresas portuguesas
apostarem em Moçambique
– AICEP
President of AICEP, Miguel Frasquilho:
High risk – high return ???
4. Overview
Capital: Maputo
Official Language: Portuguese
10 Provinces, Area: 744.9 mil km2
Currency: Metical (MZN)
Governance: Unitary Republique
Religion: Mostly Christian
(Catholics 24%), (Muslims18%)
Ruling Party: FRELIMO,
President Filipe Nyussi
International Relations
-SADC – South African Development Community
-CPLP – Community of Portuguese Language
Countries
-Commonwealth of Nations
-EPA – Economic Partnership Agreements with EU
-AGOA – African Growth and Opportunity Act. with
USA
5.
6. Item in Item in Item in
Population Mill. 27
HDI rank of
189
rank 180
GDP p.c.
(PPP)
US$
Ca.
700
Population
growth
%
p.a.
2.5
Gross
school
enrolment
%
54.8 Gini Index 0-1 0.45
Life
expectancy
year
s
50
Aid per
capita
US
D
Ca. 75
Credit
Ratings
category CCC
Urban
population
% 31
Poverty
(less than 2
USD a day)
% 81.8
Corruption
perception
Index of 173
countries
rank 119
HDI 0-1 0.393
Doing
Business
rank of 189
rank 134
Socio-Economic Indicators
7. Macro Data
Growth in % Current growth in % p.a.
2015 ca. 5,5%
2016 ca. 4%
2017 picking up again…….???
Trade balance
negative (2-4 Bio. USD)
Inflation
2-5%, now more then 18% p.a.
Exchange Rate
Stable for long period
2016 strong devaluation (40%)
1Rand - 5 MZN
FOREX reserves
down (1,5 Month Imports)
FDI
Down after boom
Approved 1,2 Mrd. USD in 2015,
Recovery expected 2017
Government debt more then 90% BNP.
Quellen: EIU 2016
8. Economy
Current:
Services: 44% of GDP
Agriculture: 32% of GDP
Industry: 24% of GDP
Few Megaprojects
Fragmented economy
Growing informal sector
Few advanced national SMEs
Future:
Strategy (SDI) based in clusters in 3 main regions:
Beira, Maputo and Nacala Development
Corridors, Network effects
Strategies:
Many, lack of implementation
Scenario: GDP p.C 4,000 USD by 2030
13. Relation to Germany
Important Exports to
Germany:
Aluminium, Sugar,
Cashew, Tabacco
Important Exports to
Mozambique:
Machines, cars, Chemicals,
Wheat
Parts of Exports to MOZ via
South Africa
Nr. 4 within SADC, after South Africa, Angola and Namibia
Bilateral Volume 2015:
Ca. 270 Mio. EUR. 2015 plus 25%
Imports ca. 150 Mio. EUR
Exports ca. 120 Mio. EUR
German Aid: 50 Mil. Euro p/a.
Close links to GDR during 1970er and 80er :
22.000 Mozambicans in Germany, today ca. 9.000
Quelle: Destatis
2016
14. German presence in Mozambique
Bilateral Investment Guarantee (2007)
No DTT
FDI in Mosambik: 16 Mio. Euro (2013) GTAI
Hermes-Euler
Main Projects
AMG Mining (Graphit
Kropfmühl):
Helm AG ( ProMann
and Koch
Engineering):
MoPetCo-Project –
Methanol and fertilizer
gas -based
Slaughterhouse
(Renner)
• Oekohouse
other Projects
Gauff Engineering: Maputo
und Katembe Bridge with
China
Siemens
Logistics
Modell Lodge Oeko
Integrated Farm Project
Manhica
15. Relation to South Africa
Important Exports to MOZ:
Services, Machinery,
Vehicles, Mineral fuels,
electronic equipment, iron,
steel, Plastics, beverages,
paper, dairy products,
furniture, food,……
Important Exports to South
Africa:
Mineral fuels, beverages,
fruit, nuts, residues,
aluminium,…..
Nr. 1 within SADC , worldwide Nr. 2 for Export, Nr. 1 for Import
Bilateral Volume 2015:
Ca. 3 Bio. USD
Imports ca. 0,6 Bio. USD
Exports ca. 2,4 Bio. USD
Double Tax T. yes, Bilateral trade agreement, SADC rules
Comtrade 2016
16. SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- High GDP growth
- Abundant natural beauty
- Good road connection with Gauteng
- High FDI
- Growing middle class
- Logistical hub for the region
Weaknesses
- Lack of skilled labour
- Portuguese as business language
- Weak protection & enforcement of
contractual rights
- Low level of social & economic
development
- Infrastructure deficits
Opportunities
- Significant coal reserves (20. Bil.
Tonnes)
- Vast natural gas deposit
- Biofuel potential
- Ideal for renewable energies
(climate, land, water, labour)
- Growing tourism industry
- Huge agriculture potential
- Growing middle class
Threats
- Potential political instabilities
- Nationalistic-populistic tendencies
- Chronical trade deficit
- Still aid dependent
- External debt levels are rising
- Challenging business environment
- corruption alarming
source: gtai/Dr Kaufmann
17. Potentials
Natural Ressources
gas, coal und ca.
600, Tantal, Titan,
Zirkon, Graphite,
Gold, Diamonds,
Rubies.
Agriculture and Fishery
36 Millionen Hectar Land: 40%
used by small holders and 3%
by comercial farming, cash crops
like Tabacco, Sugar, Cotton,
Tea, Cashew, Banana, Seafood
etc.
Tourism
More 2.800 km coast
line, Quirimba,
Bazaruto Islands, Lake
Niassa, Nationalparks
...
Energy Ressources
Hydro, Wind, Solar, Gas, coal, Bio
……………..oil.
22. Conclusion:
-- yes, many opportunities
-- yes, it is high risk - high return country
-- you need time and reserves
-- you should work with an active, reliable
national partner, knowing the environment as
business culture is still very different from RSA
-- Portuguese is an advantage
23. Thank you very much!
Contact
Office Maputo
Address:
Rua António Simbine, (ex- Antonio Bocarro) nº 211
Sommerschield, Maputo
Moçambique
Tel: +258(0)21- 493260
Fax: +258(0)21-493258
Email:
maputo@germanchamber.co.za
Web:
www.germanchamber.co.za
