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© 2019 Lerch, Early & Brewer
1
Moving the Economy Forward: Let’s Get Regional
Gwen Wright
Planning Director
Montgomery County
@GwenLMWright
Dannielle Glaros
Council Member/PHED Chair
Prince George’s County
@GlarosCouncil3
Andree Green Checkley
Planning Director
Prince George’s County
Adam Ducker
Senior Managing Director
RCLCO
@RCLCO
Hans Riemer
Council Member/PHED Chair
Montgomery County
@hansriemer
Friday, June 21, 2019
Follow us on LinkedIn
company/lerchearly
Follow us on Twitter
@lerchearly
#letsgetregional Patrick O’Neil
Land Use Principal
Lerch, Early & Brewer
MOVING THE ECONOMY
FORWARD 2.0:
LET'S GET REGIONAL
JUNE 19, 2019
ADAM DUCKER, SENIOR MANAGING DIRECTOR
6/21/2019 | 3
FRAMEWORK
+ 3
6/21/2019 | 4
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1790 1800 1810 1820 1830 1840 1850 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Est.
2018
Prince George's County Montgomery County
1947: First Year of the Baby Boom –
The Explosion Begins
1970s: Boomers Entering Workforce –
The Migration Continues
80s and 90s, the Growth Rates
Decouple, Why?
The Growth Trajectory
Converging?
1984: Bethesda Metro
Station Opens
LONG-TERM GROWTH PATTERNS SIMILAR, OR REALIGNING
Population, Prince George’s and Montgomery Counties 1790-2018
1978: Silver Spring and New
Carrolton Metro Stations Open
2001/2014: Green and
Blue Lines Open
The Purple Line
Impact?
Source: U.S. Census; RCLCO
6/21/2019 | 5
NEIGHBORHOOD CATEGORIZATION FRAMEWORK
MONTGOMERY: 90% SUBURBAN; PRINCE GEORGE’S: 91%
Montgomery County by RCLCO Place Type;
2016
Prince George’s County by RCLCO Place Type;
2016
6/21/2019 | 6
POPULATION CHANGE HAS BEEN DRAMATIC
BUT NOT THAT DISSIMILAR BETWEEN COUNTIES. . .
22%
Prince George's County Population
Distribution; 2018 Est.
Foreign Born Born Domestic
33%
Montgomery County Population
Distribution; 2018 Est.
Foreign Born Born Domestic
Prince George's County Population
Growth by Race and Ethnicity;
2000-2018 Est.
White Alone All Other
Montgomery County Population
Growth by Race and Ethnicity;
2000-2018 Est.
White Alone All Other
Source: U.S. Census; RCLCO
6/21/2019 | 7
JOBS DENSITY
TRAILING NORTHERN VIRGINIA
MAP KEY
Manufacturing and Logistics
Professional Services
Healthcare, Education, Gov’t
Retail, Hospitality, Other
Services
Source: CoStar; RCLCO
6/21/2019 | 8
COMMUTE PATTERNS
LOTS OF COMINGS AND (TOO MANY) GOINGS
49,500 commute to
Montgomery County
32,300 commute to Prince
George’s County
83,600 commute to
Virginia (Entire State)
Source: U.S. Census; RCLCO
6/21/2019 | 9
NEW APARTMENT CONSTRUCTION
BOTH COUNTIES EVOLVING TO TRANSIT-ORIENTED
Built 2000-2010
Built after 2010
Source: Axiometrics; RCLCO
6/21/2019 | 10
RETAIL CONCENTRATIONS EMERGING
URBAN PATTERN BROADLY REPLACING SUBURBAN (OVER-RETAILED) PATTERN
Source: CoStar; RCLCO
6/21/2019 | 11
OPPORTUNITY ZONES LANDSCAPES
OZ ORGANIZATION POISED TO HELP DRIVE BALANCED GROWTH
Source: RCLCO
Reinvestment Index
AUSTIN LA ORLANDO DC
221 W 6th St
Suite 2030
Austin, TX 78701
11601 Wilshire Blvd
Suite 1650
Los Angeles, CA 90025
964 Lake Baldwin Ln
Suite 100
Orlando, FL 32814
7200 Wisconsin Ave
Suite 1110
Bethesda, MD 20814
Adam Ducker
Senior Managing Director
P: (240) 644-0980
E: ADUCKER@RCLCO.COM
W: RCLCO.COM
© 2019 Lerch, Early & Brewer
© 2019 Lerch, Early & Brewer
Disclaimer: This content is for your information only and is not intended to constitute legal advice.
Please consult your attorney before acting on any information contained here.
14
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Moving the Economy Forward: Let's Get Regional Event 2019-06-21

  • 1. © 2019 Lerch, Early & Brewer 1 Moving the Economy Forward: Let’s Get Regional Gwen Wright Planning Director Montgomery County @GwenLMWright Dannielle Glaros Council Member/PHED Chair Prince George’s County @GlarosCouncil3 Andree Green Checkley Planning Director Prince George’s County Adam Ducker Senior Managing Director RCLCO @RCLCO Hans Riemer Council Member/PHED Chair Montgomery County @hansriemer Friday, June 21, 2019 Follow us on LinkedIn company/lerchearly Follow us on Twitter @lerchearly #letsgetregional Patrick O’Neil Land Use Principal Lerch, Early & Brewer
  • 2. MOVING THE ECONOMY FORWARD 2.0: LET'S GET REGIONAL JUNE 19, 2019 ADAM DUCKER, SENIOR MANAGING DIRECTOR
  • 4. 6/21/2019 | 4 0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1790 1800 1810 1820 1830 1840 1850 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Est. 2018 Prince George's County Montgomery County 1947: First Year of the Baby Boom – The Explosion Begins 1970s: Boomers Entering Workforce – The Migration Continues 80s and 90s, the Growth Rates Decouple, Why? The Growth Trajectory Converging? 1984: Bethesda Metro Station Opens LONG-TERM GROWTH PATTERNS SIMILAR, OR REALIGNING Population, Prince George’s and Montgomery Counties 1790-2018 1978: Silver Spring and New Carrolton Metro Stations Open 2001/2014: Green and Blue Lines Open The Purple Line Impact? Source: U.S. Census; RCLCO
  • 5. 6/21/2019 | 5 NEIGHBORHOOD CATEGORIZATION FRAMEWORK MONTGOMERY: 90% SUBURBAN; PRINCE GEORGE’S: 91% Montgomery County by RCLCO Place Type; 2016 Prince George’s County by RCLCO Place Type; 2016
  • 6. 6/21/2019 | 6 POPULATION CHANGE HAS BEEN DRAMATIC BUT NOT THAT DISSIMILAR BETWEEN COUNTIES. . . 22% Prince George's County Population Distribution; 2018 Est. Foreign Born Born Domestic 33% Montgomery County Population Distribution; 2018 Est. Foreign Born Born Domestic Prince George's County Population Growth by Race and Ethnicity; 2000-2018 Est. White Alone All Other Montgomery County Population Growth by Race and Ethnicity; 2000-2018 Est. White Alone All Other Source: U.S. Census; RCLCO
  • 7. 6/21/2019 | 7 JOBS DENSITY TRAILING NORTHERN VIRGINIA MAP KEY Manufacturing and Logistics Professional Services Healthcare, Education, Gov’t Retail, Hospitality, Other Services Source: CoStar; RCLCO
  • 8. 6/21/2019 | 8 COMMUTE PATTERNS LOTS OF COMINGS AND (TOO MANY) GOINGS 49,500 commute to Montgomery County 32,300 commute to Prince George’s County 83,600 commute to Virginia (Entire State) Source: U.S. Census; RCLCO
  • 9. 6/21/2019 | 9 NEW APARTMENT CONSTRUCTION BOTH COUNTIES EVOLVING TO TRANSIT-ORIENTED Built 2000-2010 Built after 2010 Source: Axiometrics; RCLCO
  • 10. 6/21/2019 | 10 RETAIL CONCENTRATIONS EMERGING URBAN PATTERN BROADLY REPLACING SUBURBAN (OVER-RETAILED) PATTERN Source: CoStar; RCLCO
  • 11. 6/21/2019 | 11 OPPORTUNITY ZONES LANDSCAPES OZ ORGANIZATION POISED TO HELP DRIVE BALANCED GROWTH Source: RCLCO Reinvestment Index
  • 12. AUSTIN LA ORLANDO DC 221 W 6th St Suite 2030 Austin, TX 78701 11601 Wilshire Blvd Suite 1650 Los Angeles, CA 90025 964 Lake Baldwin Ln Suite 100 Orlando, FL 32814 7200 Wisconsin Ave Suite 1110 Bethesda, MD 20814 Adam Ducker Senior Managing Director P: (240) 644-0980 E: ADUCKER@RCLCO.COM W: RCLCO.COM
  • 13. © 2019 Lerch, Early & Brewer
  • 14. © 2019 Lerch, Early & Brewer Disclaimer: This content is for your information only and is not intended to constitute legal advice. Please consult your attorney before acting on any information contained here. 14 Thank You! For more information, visit lerchearly.com.