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CARL CASALE
EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT



MONSANTO BIENNIAL
U.S. INVESTOR DAY

NOVEMBER 8, 2007



                           1
OVERVIEW

  Corn Growth Continues, Becoming Increasingly Global with
  Continued Emphasis On Improving Per-Acre Margins

                                       MONSANTO GROSS PROFIT                           2012 GROWTH RANGE
                                          GROWTH TARGET
                                                                                     Gross profit targeted to double
                 $9,000                                                              from 2007 through 2012
                                                                                      STRATEGIC PLAYBOOK
                 $8,000
                                                                                       U.S. Corn
                 $7,000
                                                                                       International Corn
                 $6,000
GROSS PROFIT
 (IN MILLIONS)




                                                                                     1. Grow U.S. seed footprint
                 $5,000
                                                                                     2. Expand trait penetration
                 $4,000
                                                                                        and bridge to SmartStax
                 $3,000                                                                 2010 launch
                                                                                     3. Expand international seed
                 $2,000
                                                                                        footprint
                 $1,000
                                                                                     4. Set the table for biotech
                    $0                                                                  trait ramp up outside the
                                                                                        U.S.
                          MILESTONES




                                        2004                 2007            2012
                                                                    2010
                                                   2007
                                                                    Gross margin
                                        Base Gross Profit:
                                                                    target: 52-54%
                                                 $4,286M
                                                             ONGOING EPS GROWTH:
                                                             MID-TO-HIGH TEENS

                                                                                                                    2
U.S. CORN

U.S. Corn Growth Continues Through 2012, Reflecting
Differentiated Opportunities Across Commercial Channels

            U.S. CORN SEED & TRAITS GROSS PROFIT BY CHANNEL
                              INDEX=2004

             2004                 2007                   2012F




                                                           >8X
                                                            OVER 2004 INDEX



                                                   Trait licensing outside
                                                   Holden’s/Corn States


                                                                              3
U.S. CORN

 DEKALB’s Performance Accelerated Share Gains Ahead of
 Schedule; Fundamentals Remain Viable Through 2012

                                  DEKALB U.S. CORN SHARE EVOLUTION: 2001-2012F
                                32%
                                30%    2012 TARGET RANGE
GEOGRAPHY:   U.S.
                                28%
OBJECTIVE:   Grow footprint
2008 STATUS                     26%
• DEKALB earned 4 points        24%
  in 2007 for total share of          ORIGINAL 2010 TARGET RANGE
                                22%
  23%, doubling its share
  in 5 years                                                                     23%
                                20%
2012 OUTLOOK
                                18%
• Grow share through 2012                                                 19%
                                16%                                                     DEKALB expected to
  by up to 10 points
                                                                                        continue share gains,
  cumulatively                                                     16%
                                14%                                                     with cumulative target
                                                            14%                         of as much as 10
                                12%                  13%
                                                                                        points in 5 years
                                      10% 12%
                                10%
                                       2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   2012

                                                                                    2007
                                                      2005
                                                                                    DEKALB ends 2007 with
                                Monsanto projects 1-2 point
                                                                                    23% share, achieving 2010
                               share gains for DEKALB from
                                                                                    target 3 years early
                                          2005 through 2010
                                                                                                                           4
U.S. CORN

 With Strong Yield Performance, Value of DEKALB Seed
 Portfolio Continues to Expand

                                                          DEKALB SEED PORTFOLIO MIX


                                                                                            “SWEET SPOT”



                              DEKALB PORTFOLIO
GEOGRAPHY:   U.S.


                               RELATIVE MIX IN
                                                                                            • Roughly 60% of
OBJECTIVE:   Grow footprint
                                                                                              DEKALB brand comes
2008 STATUS                                                                                   from 25 hybrids – all
                                                                                              less than 4 years old
• Average retail value in
  DEKALB’s portfolio
  increased 20% since 2001
2012 OUTLOOK
Momentum continuing:                              MATURE HYBRIDS                    NEW HYBRIDS
                                                                     CORE HYBRIDS
• 2007 initial results show
                                  New hybrids consistently drive mix and value of DEKALB portfolio
  DEKALB has 8.3 bu/ac
  yield advantage over
                                                    $44
                                 AVERAGE RETAIL




  competitors
                                                    $42
                                   PRICE/ACRE




                                                                   Average Retail Value
                                                    $40
                                                                   Of DEKALB Portfolio
                                                    $38
                                                    $36
                                                    $34
                                                      2001     2002        2003      2004      2005     2006     2007
                                                                                                                      5
U.S. CORN

 ASI Gross Profit Per Acre Comparable to DEKALB; Growth
 Accelerating Through End of Decade

                                                                     ASI GROSS PROFIT PER ACRE
GEOGRAPHY:   U.S.
                                                                  GP/acre increases
                                                             2
OBJECTIVE:   Grow footprint


                                AVERAGE GROSS PROFIT/ACRE
                                                                      85% after ASI
2008 STATUS                                                                                              Average
                                                            1.8         acquisition                      GP/acre in
                                                                                         1.85
• ASI includes 24 brands,                                   1.6                                          same band
  with differentiated                                                                                    as DEKALB
                                                            1.4
                                        (INDEXED)
  customer experience
  from DEKALB                                               1.2
• Organic growth of
                                                             1
  1 share point in 2007 to
                                                                         1
                                                            0.8
  bring ASI to 9 points total
2012 OUTLOOK                                                0.6
                                                            0.4
• Emphasis on organic
  growth                                                    0.2
                                                             0
                                                                                        POST-
                                                                       PRE-                         DEKALB
                                                                                      ACQUISITION
                                                                    ACQUISITION


                                              • With technology infusion, gross profit per acre lifts when
                                                seed company brought under ASI umbrella


                                                                                                                  6
U.S. CORN

 Opportunity Exists to Nearly Triple Penetration of Triple-
 Stack Traits in U.S. By End of Decade

                                            U.S. CORN TRAIT OPPORTUNITY: 2007-2010F
                   220                                                                                                                  60




                                                                                                                                             U.S. TRIPLE-STACK ACRES
                   200
U.S. TRAIT ACRES




                                                                                                                                        50
                   180
  (IN MILLIONS)




                                                                                                                                                   (IN MILLIONS)
                   160
                                                                                                                                        40
                   140
                   120
                                                                                                                                        30
                   100
                    80
                                                                                                                                        20
                    60
                    40                                                                                                                  10
                    20
                     0                                                                                                                  0                              CATALYSTS OF
                                                                                                                              2010
                                 2005                2006               2007                                                    2010F                                  TRIPLE STACK
                                                                           2007                                         Opportunity                                      GROWTH
                               Rootworm Control                                                                              45-55M
                                                                          20.8M
                                                                                                                                                                       Channel Triple
                              Corn Borer Control                                                                                                                       Penetration
                                                                                                                             60-70M
                                                                          42.4M
                         Glyphosate Tolerance                                                                                                                          DEKALB Supply
                                                                                                                                  80M
                                                                          57.9M
                                                                                                                                                                       Guarantee
                                          Triple Stack                    17.7M                                              45-55M
                                                                                                                                                                       Yield Insurance
           Trait acres reflect the total acres planted with each individual trait. In the case of stacked traits, each absolute
           acre will be reflected by two or more trait acres.
                                                                                                                                                                       Program
           Source: “Monsanto Biotechnology Trait Acreage” available through: monsanto.com/investors/

                                                                                                                                                                                         7
U.S. CORN

 Starting in 2010, New Margin Opportunity Created by Upgrade
 From Triple-Stack Acres To SmartStax

                                                               DEKALB SEED GROSS PROFIT/ACRE:
GEOGRAPHY:   U.S.
                                                                              2007 VS. 2010F
OBJECTIVE:   Expand margin
2008 STATUS



                             AVERAGE GROSS PROFIT/ACRE
                                                         1.2
• To be sold through
                                                                                                            1.15
  DEKALB and ASI;                                        1.1
  Monsanto also
                                                                                   SmartStax
  representative for joint                                1
                                     (INDEXED)
                                                                                   increases the
  third-party licensing of                                          1.00
                                                                                   GP potential
  SmartStax through                                                                of DEKALB by
                                                         0.9
  Holden’s/Corn States                                                             12-15% per
                                                                                   acre
2012 OUTLOOK                                             0.8

• SmartStax expected
                                                         0.7
  average gross profit per
  acre greater than gross
  profit of current-triple                               0.6
  stack acre, net of                                                                                   2010F
                                                                      2007
  royalties paid and                                                                            Indexed Gross Profit:
                                                                Indexed Gross
  received                                                                                     Average SmartStax Acre
                                                                Profit: Average
                                                                                                   (Net Of Royalties Paid)
                                                               Triple-Stack Acre




                                                                                                                             8
U.S. CORN

SmartStax Creates Value on Multiple Dimensions; Primary
Benefit Is Increased Yield, Both Per-Acre and Total Farm

SmartStax Value: On-Farm                                                             Commercial Preparation: Field Data Generation
+ Increased Yield (per-acre and on-farm)                                                    YEAR 1         YEAR 2      YEAR 3 FORWARD
                                                                  YIELD
             YIELD COMPONENT                                                         2006                            2008+
                                                                 BENEFIT1
                                                                                     Focus:                          Focus: SmartStax
      PER-ACRE
                                                                                     Feasibility of full             bred into elite
           Improved consistency:                                     1-2%            trait integration               germplasm; yield
           Primary pests                                                                                             data generation
           Improved protection:                                      1-2%
           Secondary pests                                                           Field Testing: 2007
      ON-FARM
                                                                                                                Testing focused on trait
                                                                                                                performance, such as
           Reduced refuge                                            3-6%
                                                                                                                consistency of control of
      Flexibility to move to one technology                                                                     targeted pests
+
      platform on-farm
                                                                                                                Initial 2007 Results
+ Durability
                                                                                                                • Indicates superior
      Flexibility to increase planting
                                                                                                                  rootworm consistency
+
      populations
                                                                                                                  versus triple-stack
+ Platform for future traits                                                                                      standard
                                                                                       TRIALS:        56
                                                                                                                • Good control of
+ Access to superior seed
                                                                                      STATES:         12          secondary pests
      Total SmartStax Value
=
1. Yield benefit reflects expected yield benefit above triple-stack standard, on a
   per-acre and whole-farm basis as noted. Ranges may overlap
                                                                                                                                            9
U.S. CORN

Potential for Refuge Reduction Can Raise Total Farm Yield
With Standardized Technology Platform
                                                                                    Refuge Reduction Benefit Example:
     SmartStax Value:                                                                     100 Acres In Illinois1,2
     Refuge Reduction Considerations
                                                                             Standard 20% Refuge
                                                                                                    20 Acres X 20 Bushels
     U.S. EPA requires set-aside refuge
     for current single-mode-of-action
                                                                                                                  (400) BU
                                                                                                   REFUGE LOSS:
     insect-protected traits in corn

                                                    20%                       Reduced Refuge Option3: 10%

                  80%                                                                                10 Acres X 20 Bushels

                                                                                                                   (200) BU
                                                                                                   REFUGE LOSS:
                                                                                           GAIN OVER CURRENT
                                                                                                                   200 BU
                                                                                            REFUGE STANDARD:
                                     20 BU/AC                 1
                                                                              Reduced Refuge Option3: 5%
                                  Yield Differential
                                                                                                      5 Acres X 20 Bushels
     Farmers in Illinois in 2007 reported
                                                                                                                   (100) BU
     average 20 bu/acre yield difference                                                           REFUGE LOSS:
     between YieldGard VT Triple and
                                                                                           GAIN OVER CURRENT
                                                                                                                   300 BU
     refuge acres                                                                           REFUGE STANDARD:
1.    Based on reported yield differential refuge vs. traited acres,
      Central Illinois – Monsanto market research (2007)
                                                                       Farmers only access upside if technology
2.    Based on assumed average triple-stack (YieldGard VT Pro)
                                                                       platform standardized across farm
      yields in Illinois
3.    Refuge reduction would require regulatory review and approval
      by the U.S. EPA
                                                                                                                              10
U.S. CORN

    By 2010, SmartStax Resets Trait Platform, Changes
    Competitive Standard and Opens New Acreage Opportunity

            U.S. ACREAGE OPPORTUNITY: SWITCH FROM TRIPLES TO SMARTSTAX IN 2010

                70
                65
                60                                                                                         60-65M
                                                                                              +10-15M
                55                                                                                         Total
                                                                                             Competitive
                                                                 (10-15M)
                                      27-37M        45-55M                                                 Opportunity
                50
                                                                               +10-15M
(IN MILLIONS)




                                                                                              45-50M
                45                                                                                         All acres are
                                                                                              Monsanto
                40                                                                                         in play as
    ACRES




                                                                                              Baseline
                                                                                                           superior
                35
                                                                                                           performance
                30                                                                                         from
                25                                                                                         SmartStax
                20                                                                                         creates
                                                                                                           compelling
                        17.7M
                15
                                                                                                           competitive
                10
                                                                                                           platform
                 5
                 0
                                                                 Acres from     Potential
                         2007        Remaining     Total 2010                                  Total
                                                                 Competitors   Upside from
                      Monsanto        Upside;     Triple-Stack                               SmartStax
                                                                  Not Using      Refuge
                     Triple-Stack   Shared with   Opportunity                                Opportunity
                                                                  SmartStax     Reduction
                     Penetration    Competitors

                        TRIPLE-STACK BASELINE                     SMARTSTAX OPPORTUNITY
                                                                                                                     11
U.S. CORN

Size of U.S. Gross Profit Opportunity Grows Significantly;
Components Shift to Highest-Margin Contributors

            U.S. CORN SEED & TRAITS GROSS PROFIT BY CHANNEL
                              INDEX=2004

             2004                 2007                   2012F




                                                             >8X
                                                               OVER 2004 INDEX




                                                   Trait licensing outside
                                                   Holden’s/Corn States


                                                                                 12
INTERNATIONAL CORN

 International Corn Markets Compare Favorably Against U.S.
 Market for Value
                                        GENETIC FOOTPRINT: GLOBAL CORN PRODUCTION
GEOGRAPHY:   International
                                                                                            Average
OBJECTIVE:   Grow footprint                                 2007                                              Value Of
                                                                                            DEKALB                                                   2007
                                                           Hybrid         Average                               Corn             Monsanto
2008 STATUS                                                                                   Retail                                                 Share
                                                           Market         Yield Per                             Seed              Brand
                                                                                              Value                                                  Point
                                                            Size1           Acre1                                                 Share2
                                                                                                               Market
• Target of 1 to 2 share                                                                    Per Acre                                                Change
                                                           (Acres)                                            (U.S. $B)
                                                                                             (U.S. $)
  point gains in all regions
  except Brazil, where plan
                                                                             153              $44             $3.2B                23%                  4
                                             U.S.           92M
  is to stabilize share
                                                                             bu/ac
2012 OUTLOOK
                                                                              99              $65             $1.9B                13%                  1
                                          EU27              27M
• Outside the U.S., 70M                                                      bu/ac3
  acres of hybrids in
                                                                              57
  higher-value markets
                                                                                              $29             $0.7B                30%                  4
                                         Brazil             23M
• Targeted 1-2 share point                                                    bu/ac
  gains annually in all key
                                                                             120              $28             $0.2B                40%                  5
                                 Argentina                   8M
  countries through 2012
                                                                             bu/ac
• Brazil targeted to grow
                                                                              29
  after share trait stabilizes
                                                                                              $20             $0.1B                39%                  4
                                           India             7M
  in 2008                                                                     bu/ac

                                        TOTAL              157M


                                 1. Corn acreage and production; USDA FAS 2007/08 projections report and internal estimates
                                 2. Reflects share performance for 2007 planting season; for Brazil and Argentina, reflects 2006-2007 planting season
                                 3. Average yield; from 55 bu/acre in Romania to 150 bu/acre in France, Italy



                                                                                                                                                            13
INTERNATIONAL CORN

   DEKALB Gained Five Share Points in Four Years in EU27;
   Highest Share Gain of Any Company
                                       DEKALB EU27 CORN SHARE EVOLUTION: 2002-20071,2,3
GEOGRAPHY:            Europe
OBJECTIVE:            Grow footprint
                                       30%
2008 STATUS

                                       25%
• Because of demand for
  higher-yielding hybrids,
                                       20%
  seed in western Europe
  most valuable per-acre in
                                       15%
  the world
                                       10%
2012 OUTLOOK
• DEKALB share in EU27
                                       5%
  increased 5% since 2004 –
  largest gain by any seed             0%
  company in the region
                                             PIONEER   LIMAGRAIN                      KWS        SYNGENTA
• Share gains have come
  without widespread use of
                                                       2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007
  biotech traits


1. Kleffman Market Research
2. EU27 + Serbia included,
   reflecting parameters of
   market research
3. 2007: new sampling
   methodology in Italy


                                                                                                        14
INTERNATIONAL CORN

Continued DEKALB Growth in EU27 to Come From Greater
Emphasis on Highest Value Segment
                                        EARLY SILAGE SEGMENT
        CORN MATURITY ZONES:
             EU 27 GEOGRAPHY   • Mainly silage market: <85 day RM
                               • Historically led by European breeders
                               • DEKALB initiated significant breeding
                                 investments 4 years ago
                               SEGMENT SHARE             2002        2007
                                                          3%          5%
                                        MID TO EARLY SEGMENT
                               • Grain market: 85-100 day RM
                               • Similar to Minnesota – strongest area for
                                 DEKALB in U.S.
                               • DEKALB genetics leading this segment
                               SEGMENT SHARE              2002       2007
                                                          10%        23%
                                             LATE SEGMENT
                               • Grain market: 100-110 day RM
                               • Similar to Iowa – area of significant U.S.
                                 breeding gains
                               • Highest value segment
                               SEGMENT SHARE              2002       2007
                                                           9%        17%
                                                                              15
INTERNATIONAL CORN

 Brazil Is Turnaround Story; Agroeste Acquisition, Enhanced
 Focus on Tropical Breeding to Improve Position
                               BRAZIL CORN MARKET COMPOSITION: 2007-2008
GEOGRAPHY:   Brazil
OBJECTIVE:   Grow footprint                                        Agroeste Opportunity:
2008 STATUS                     Market share for all segments of
                                                                   ► Agroeste provided share
                               Brazilian hybrid corn seed market
• Acquisition increases                                              strength in the south, gap
  focus on high value                                                for DEKALB
  segment in Brazil                            AGROESTE, 10%
                              DEKALB, 30%                          ► Agroeste mainly uses
• Agroeste’s solid position
                                                                     direct-to-grower model,
                                                       DOW/
  in southern region
                                                       AGROMEN,      complementing DEKALB’s
  complements existing
                                                        15%          distribution; similar to ASI
  base
                                                                     channel in U.S.
2012 OUTLOOK
                                                                   Opportunity to Expand Brazil
• Increased emphasis on                                OTHERS,
                                                                   Footprint:
                                                       11%
  breeding in tropical
  hybrids and access to                                            ► Greater tropical germplasm
                                                 SYNGENTA, 12%
                              PIONEER, 22%
  germplasm from                                                     opportunity
  Agroeste to improve
                                                                   ► Larger footprint for trait
  position in Brazil
                                                                     penetration
• Potential to accelerate
                                                                   ► Export opportunity to serve
  launch of YieldGard Corn
                                                                     growing economies in
  Borer
                                                                     China, Russia

                                                                                                    16
INTERNATIONAL CORN

Trait Expansion Opportunity Still Early Globally; SmartStax
Resets Stage in 2010 and Beyond
                                                                       COMMERCIAL PLATFORM: 2007-20101
   GLOBAL MARKET
    OPPORTUNITY:                                                  • Reflects technology fit; actual penetration
                                                                    determined by regulatory approvals and
     CORN TRAITS                                                    competitive share
     2010 VS 2012                                                 • Competitors continue to license Monsanto
                                                                    traits in key markets
                                                2007
                                              HYBRID
                                              MARKET
                                                SIZE2
                                              (ACRES)
                                 U.S.            92M                         80M                    60-70M                      45-55M
               Europe (EU27)                     27M                         24M                        8M                          5M
                              Brazil             23M                    15-20M                      15-20M                          5M
                       Argentina                  8M                         9M                         7M                          5M
                               India              7M                         6M                         6M                            --

                 Total Markets                  157M                  134-139M                     96-111M                      60-70M

            2007 Penetration                                            43-45%                      46-53%                      30-35%
                                                                              1. Market Opportunity reflects total acres where technology is applicable, not necessarily
         Targets marked in green representing countries currently planting       acres projected for penetration by 2010.
  80M    or with primary regulatory approval secured for respective trait     2. Corn acreage and production; USDA FAS 2007/08 projections report and internal
                                                                                 estimates
                                                                                                                                                                     17
INTERNATIONAL CORN

Trait Expansion Opportunity Still Early Globally; SmartStax
Resets Stage in 2010 and Beyond

     GLOBAL MARKET                                                                    TRAIT PLATFORM: 2010+
      OPPORTUNITY:                                                         • SmartStax resets trait opportunities
      CORN TRAITS
                                                                           • Acreage reflects potential acres
       2010 VS 2012
                                                                           • Competition, penetration and
                                                                             technology fit being evaluated further
                                                                             for each geography
                                                         2007
                                                       HYBRID
                                                                                             SmartStax
                                                       MARKET
                                                         SIZE1
                                                       (ACRES)
                                           U.S.            92M                                 60-65M
                        Europe (EU27)                      27M                                 15-20M
                                        Brazil             23M                                 15-20M
                                 Argentina                  8M                                 5-7M
                                         India              7M                                 5-6M

                          Total Markets                   157M                                100-118M


1. Corn acreage and production; USDA FAS 2007/08 projections report and internal estimates


                                                                                                                      18
INTERNATIONAL CORN

   Recent Regulatory Approval in Argentina Opens Door For
   Stacked Traits; Ramp Up Under Way
                                                    CORN TRAIT PENETRATION IN ARGENTINA:
                                               ANNUALLY AS A PERCENT OF TOTAL ACRE OPPORTUNITY1
GEOGRAPHY:    Argentina
OBJECTIVE:    Expand margin                                                                                                                    YGCB-RR Stack2
                                                           100%




                                         PERCENT OF TRAIT ACRE
2008 STATUS                                                                                                                                  INTRODUCED                2008F
                                                                                                                                                 TOTAL
• Roundup Ready/YieldGard                                                                                                                                                  7M
                                                                                                                                           OPPORTUNITY
                                                                 75%

                                             OPPORTUNITY1
  Corn Borer received
                                                                                                                                           YieldGard Corn Borer
  regulatory approval in
                                                                                                                                             INTRODUCED                    1997
                                                                 50%
  Argentina end of August
                                                                                                                                                 TOTAL
  2007                                                                                                                                                                     7M
                                                                                                                                           OPPORTUNITY
• Local approvals for some
                                                                 25%                                                                       Roundup Ready Corn
  stacked hybrids completed
                                                                                                                                             INTRODUCED                    2001
2012 OUTLOOK
                                                                                                                                                 TOTAL
                                                                 0%                                                                                                        9M
                                                                                                                                           OPPORTUNITY
• 8 million total corn acres
                                                                       1   2    3       4       5       6        7       8       9
  planted in Argentina today;
                                                                       YEARS FROM COMMERCIAL LAUNCH►
  expected to grow to 10
  million acres to fill U.S.
                                                   • YieldGard Corn Borer/Roundup Ready stack should change
  export gap
                                                     inflection of penetration curve, moving toward peak
                                                     penetration faster than single traits in Argentina

                   1. Percent of total market opportunity reflects the ratio of number of actual acres planted to total trait-acre opportunity identified for each trait
                   2. Forecasted possible trend curve for YieldGard Corn Borer-Roundup Ready stack (YGCB+RR). Based on commercial production planning for
                      DEKALB brand.

                                                                                                                                                                              19
INTERNATIONAL CORN

  SmartStax Agreement Creates Step-Change Opportunity in
  Brazil and Argentina for Insect Control
                                     INSECT CONTROL OPPORTUNITY:
              South
                                   SMARTSTAX IN BRAZIL AND ARGENTINA
GEOGRAPHY:
              America
              Expand
OBJECTIVE:
              margin
2008 STATUS
• SmartStax agreement                  BRAZIL
  with Dow is global deal,
  spanning all geographies
  where respective traits
  are registered
                                 INA

2012 OUTLOOK
                               NT
                             GE




• Currently evaluating the
                             AR




                                   CORN PEST ESTIMATED: SOUTH AMERICA
  commercial opportunity
  for SmartStax in Brazil
                                                                  ACRES INFESTED       SmartStax
  and Argentina
                                                                BRAZIL    ARGENTINA     Control
                                                Fall Armyworm   20-22 M      4M

                                        Sugarcane Corn Borer    16-18 M      10 M

                                                Corn Earworm    16-18 M      10 M

                                                                             Very Good to
                                                                             Excellent Control

                                                                                                 20
SUMMARY

By 2012, Sustained Momentum in U.S. Corn Combined With
International Growth Expands Corn Gross Profit Contribution

                GLOBAL CORN SEED AND TRAITS GROSS PROFIT
                                    INDEX=2004

           2004                                                    2012F
                                         2007




                                                                      >6X
                                                                       OVER 2004 INDEX
 • In 2007, international markets generated
   more than 25% of gross profit
 • By 2012, total gross profit expected to       U.S. Corn Seeds & Traits Gross Profit
   expand significantly with continued
   penetration of traits globally, conversion    International Corn Seeds &
   to SmartStax and greater seed brand           Traits Gross Profit
   share worldwide
                                                                                         21

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monsanto 11-08-07-2_v2

  • 1. CARL CASALE EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT MONSANTO BIENNIAL U.S. INVESTOR DAY NOVEMBER 8, 2007 1
  • 2. OVERVIEW Corn Growth Continues, Becoming Increasingly Global with Continued Emphasis On Improving Per-Acre Margins MONSANTO GROSS PROFIT 2012 GROWTH RANGE GROWTH TARGET Gross profit targeted to double $9,000 from 2007 through 2012 STRATEGIC PLAYBOOK $8,000 U.S. Corn $7,000 International Corn $6,000 GROSS PROFIT (IN MILLIONS) 1. Grow U.S. seed footprint $5,000 2. Expand trait penetration $4,000 and bridge to SmartStax $3,000 2010 launch 3. Expand international seed $2,000 footprint $1,000 4. Set the table for biotech $0 trait ramp up outside the U.S. MILESTONES 2004 2007 2012 2010 2007 Gross margin Base Gross Profit: target: 52-54% $4,286M ONGOING EPS GROWTH: MID-TO-HIGH TEENS 2
  • 3. U.S. CORN U.S. Corn Growth Continues Through 2012, Reflecting Differentiated Opportunities Across Commercial Channels U.S. CORN SEED & TRAITS GROSS PROFIT BY CHANNEL INDEX=2004 2004 2007 2012F >8X OVER 2004 INDEX Trait licensing outside Holden’s/Corn States 3
  • 4. U.S. CORN DEKALB’s Performance Accelerated Share Gains Ahead of Schedule; Fundamentals Remain Viable Through 2012 DEKALB U.S. CORN SHARE EVOLUTION: 2001-2012F 32% 30% 2012 TARGET RANGE GEOGRAPHY: U.S. 28% OBJECTIVE: Grow footprint 2008 STATUS 26% • DEKALB earned 4 points 24% in 2007 for total share of ORIGINAL 2010 TARGET RANGE 22% 23%, doubling its share in 5 years 23% 20% 2012 OUTLOOK 18% • Grow share through 2012 19% 16% DEKALB expected to by up to 10 points continue share gains, cumulatively 16% 14% with cumulative target 14% of as much as 10 12% 13% points in 5 years 10% 12% 10% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2007 2005 DEKALB ends 2007 with Monsanto projects 1-2 point 23% share, achieving 2010 share gains for DEKALB from target 3 years early 2005 through 2010 4
  • 5. U.S. CORN With Strong Yield Performance, Value of DEKALB Seed Portfolio Continues to Expand DEKALB SEED PORTFOLIO MIX “SWEET SPOT” DEKALB PORTFOLIO GEOGRAPHY: U.S. RELATIVE MIX IN • Roughly 60% of OBJECTIVE: Grow footprint DEKALB brand comes 2008 STATUS from 25 hybrids – all less than 4 years old • Average retail value in DEKALB’s portfolio increased 20% since 2001 2012 OUTLOOK Momentum continuing: MATURE HYBRIDS NEW HYBRIDS CORE HYBRIDS • 2007 initial results show New hybrids consistently drive mix and value of DEKALB portfolio DEKALB has 8.3 bu/ac yield advantage over $44 AVERAGE RETAIL competitors $42 PRICE/ACRE Average Retail Value $40 Of DEKALB Portfolio $38 $36 $34 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 5
  • 6. U.S. CORN ASI Gross Profit Per Acre Comparable to DEKALB; Growth Accelerating Through End of Decade ASI GROSS PROFIT PER ACRE GEOGRAPHY: U.S. GP/acre increases 2 OBJECTIVE: Grow footprint AVERAGE GROSS PROFIT/ACRE 85% after ASI 2008 STATUS Average 1.8 acquisition GP/acre in 1.85 • ASI includes 24 brands, 1.6 same band with differentiated as DEKALB 1.4 (INDEXED) customer experience from DEKALB 1.2 • Organic growth of 1 1 share point in 2007 to 1 0.8 bring ASI to 9 points total 2012 OUTLOOK 0.6 0.4 • Emphasis on organic growth 0.2 0 POST- PRE- DEKALB ACQUISITION ACQUISITION • With technology infusion, gross profit per acre lifts when seed company brought under ASI umbrella 6
  • 7. U.S. CORN Opportunity Exists to Nearly Triple Penetration of Triple- Stack Traits in U.S. By End of Decade U.S. CORN TRAIT OPPORTUNITY: 2007-2010F 220 60 U.S. TRIPLE-STACK ACRES 200 U.S. TRAIT ACRES 50 180 (IN MILLIONS) (IN MILLIONS) 160 40 140 120 30 100 80 20 60 40 10 20 0 0 CATALYSTS OF 2010 2005 2006 2007 2010F TRIPLE STACK 2007 Opportunity GROWTH Rootworm Control 45-55M 20.8M Channel Triple Corn Borer Control Penetration 60-70M 42.4M Glyphosate Tolerance DEKALB Supply 80M 57.9M Guarantee Triple Stack 17.7M 45-55M Yield Insurance Trait acres reflect the total acres planted with each individual trait. In the case of stacked traits, each absolute acre will be reflected by two or more trait acres. Program Source: “Monsanto Biotechnology Trait Acreage” available through: monsanto.com/investors/ 7
  • 8. U.S. CORN Starting in 2010, New Margin Opportunity Created by Upgrade From Triple-Stack Acres To SmartStax DEKALB SEED GROSS PROFIT/ACRE: GEOGRAPHY: U.S. 2007 VS. 2010F OBJECTIVE: Expand margin 2008 STATUS AVERAGE GROSS PROFIT/ACRE 1.2 • To be sold through 1.15 DEKALB and ASI; 1.1 Monsanto also SmartStax representative for joint 1 (INDEXED) increases the third-party licensing of 1.00 GP potential SmartStax through of DEKALB by 0.9 Holden’s/Corn States 12-15% per acre 2012 OUTLOOK 0.8 • SmartStax expected 0.7 average gross profit per acre greater than gross profit of current-triple 0.6 stack acre, net of 2010F 2007 royalties paid and Indexed Gross Profit: Indexed Gross received Average SmartStax Acre Profit: Average (Net Of Royalties Paid) Triple-Stack Acre 8
  • 9. U.S. CORN SmartStax Creates Value on Multiple Dimensions; Primary Benefit Is Increased Yield, Both Per-Acre and Total Farm SmartStax Value: On-Farm Commercial Preparation: Field Data Generation + Increased Yield (per-acre and on-farm) YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 3 FORWARD YIELD YIELD COMPONENT 2006 2008+ BENEFIT1 Focus: Focus: SmartStax PER-ACRE Feasibility of full bred into elite Improved consistency: 1-2% trait integration germplasm; yield Primary pests data generation Improved protection: 1-2% Secondary pests Field Testing: 2007 ON-FARM Testing focused on trait performance, such as Reduced refuge 3-6% consistency of control of Flexibility to move to one technology targeted pests + platform on-farm Initial 2007 Results + Durability • Indicates superior Flexibility to increase planting rootworm consistency + populations versus triple-stack + Platform for future traits standard TRIALS: 56 • Good control of + Access to superior seed STATES: 12 secondary pests Total SmartStax Value = 1. Yield benefit reflects expected yield benefit above triple-stack standard, on a per-acre and whole-farm basis as noted. Ranges may overlap 9
  • 10. U.S. CORN Potential for Refuge Reduction Can Raise Total Farm Yield With Standardized Technology Platform Refuge Reduction Benefit Example: SmartStax Value: 100 Acres In Illinois1,2 Refuge Reduction Considerations Standard 20% Refuge 20 Acres X 20 Bushels U.S. EPA requires set-aside refuge for current single-mode-of-action (400) BU REFUGE LOSS: insect-protected traits in corn 20% Reduced Refuge Option3: 10% 80% 10 Acres X 20 Bushels (200) BU REFUGE LOSS: GAIN OVER CURRENT 200 BU REFUGE STANDARD: 20 BU/AC 1 Reduced Refuge Option3: 5% Yield Differential 5 Acres X 20 Bushels Farmers in Illinois in 2007 reported (100) BU average 20 bu/acre yield difference REFUGE LOSS: between YieldGard VT Triple and GAIN OVER CURRENT 300 BU refuge acres REFUGE STANDARD: 1. Based on reported yield differential refuge vs. traited acres, Central Illinois – Monsanto market research (2007) Farmers only access upside if technology 2. Based on assumed average triple-stack (YieldGard VT Pro) platform standardized across farm yields in Illinois 3. Refuge reduction would require regulatory review and approval by the U.S. EPA 10
  • 11. U.S. CORN By 2010, SmartStax Resets Trait Platform, Changes Competitive Standard and Opens New Acreage Opportunity U.S. ACREAGE OPPORTUNITY: SWITCH FROM TRIPLES TO SMARTSTAX IN 2010 70 65 60 60-65M +10-15M 55 Total Competitive (10-15M) 27-37M 45-55M Opportunity 50 +10-15M (IN MILLIONS) 45-50M 45 All acres are Monsanto 40 in play as ACRES Baseline superior 35 performance 30 from 25 SmartStax 20 creates compelling 17.7M 15 competitive 10 platform 5 0 Acres from Potential 2007 Remaining Total 2010 Total Competitors Upside from Monsanto Upside; Triple-Stack SmartStax Not Using Refuge Triple-Stack Shared with Opportunity Opportunity SmartStax Reduction Penetration Competitors TRIPLE-STACK BASELINE SMARTSTAX OPPORTUNITY 11
  • 12. U.S. CORN Size of U.S. Gross Profit Opportunity Grows Significantly; Components Shift to Highest-Margin Contributors U.S. CORN SEED & TRAITS GROSS PROFIT BY CHANNEL INDEX=2004 2004 2007 2012F >8X OVER 2004 INDEX Trait licensing outside Holden’s/Corn States 12
  • 13. INTERNATIONAL CORN International Corn Markets Compare Favorably Against U.S. Market for Value GENETIC FOOTPRINT: GLOBAL CORN PRODUCTION GEOGRAPHY: International Average OBJECTIVE: Grow footprint 2007 Value Of DEKALB 2007 Hybrid Average Corn Monsanto 2008 STATUS Retail Share Market Yield Per Seed Brand Value Point Size1 Acre1 Share2 Market • Target of 1 to 2 share Per Acre Change (Acres) (U.S. $B) (U.S. $) point gains in all regions except Brazil, where plan 153 $44 $3.2B 23% 4 U.S. 92M is to stabilize share bu/ac 2012 OUTLOOK 99 $65 $1.9B 13% 1 EU27 27M • Outside the U.S., 70M bu/ac3 acres of hybrids in 57 higher-value markets $29 $0.7B 30% 4 Brazil 23M • Targeted 1-2 share point bu/ac gains annually in all key 120 $28 $0.2B 40% 5 Argentina 8M countries through 2012 bu/ac • Brazil targeted to grow 29 after share trait stabilizes $20 $0.1B 39% 4 India 7M in 2008 bu/ac TOTAL 157M 1. Corn acreage and production; USDA FAS 2007/08 projections report and internal estimates 2. Reflects share performance for 2007 planting season; for Brazil and Argentina, reflects 2006-2007 planting season 3. Average yield; from 55 bu/acre in Romania to 150 bu/acre in France, Italy 13
  • 14. INTERNATIONAL CORN DEKALB Gained Five Share Points in Four Years in EU27; Highest Share Gain of Any Company DEKALB EU27 CORN SHARE EVOLUTION: 2002-20071,2,3 GEOGRAPHY: Europe OBJECTIVE: Grow footprint 30% 2008 STATUS 25% • Because of demand for higher-yielding hybrids, 20% seed in western Europe most valuable per-acre in 15% the world 10% 2012 OUTLOOK • DEKALB share in EU27 5% increased 5% since 2004 – largest gain by any seed 0% company in the region PIONEER LIMAGRAIN KWS SYNGENTA • Share gains have come without widespread use of 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 biotech traits 1. Kleffman Market Research 2. EU27 + Serbia included, reflecting parameters of market research 3. 2007: new sampling methodology in Italy 14
  • 15. INTERNATIONAL CORN Continued DEKALB Growth in EU27 to Come From Greater Emphasis on Highest Value Segment EARLY SILAGE SEGMENT CORN MATURITY ZONES: EU 27 GEOGRAPHY • Mainly silage market: <85 day RM • Historically led by European breeders • DEKALB initiated significant breeding investments 4 years ago SEGMENT SHARE 2002 2007 3% 5% MID TO EARLY SEGMENT • Grain market: 85-100 day RM • Similar to Minnesota – strongest area for DEKALB in U.S. • DEKALB genetics leading this segment SEGMENT SHARE 2002 2007 10% 23% LATE SEGMENT • Grain market: 100-110 day RM • Similar to Iowa – area of significant U.S. breeding gains • Highest value segment SEGMENT SHARE 2002 2007 9% 17% 15
  • 16. INTERNATIONAL CORN Brazil Is Turnaround Story; Agroeste Acquisition, Enhanced Focus on Tropical Breeding to Improve Position BRAZIL CORN MARKET COMPOSITION: 2007-2008 GEOGRAPHY: Brazil OBJECTIVE: Grow footprint Agroeste Opportunity: 2008 STATUS Market share for all segments of ► Agroeste provided share Brazilian hybrid corn seed market • Acquisition increases strength in the south, gap focus on high value for DEKALB segment in Brazil AGROESTE, 10% DEKALB, 30% ► Agroeste mainly uses • Agroeste’s solid position direct-to-grower model, DOW/ in southern region AGROMEN, complementing DEKALB’s complements existing 15% distribution; similar to ASI base channel in U.S. 2012 OUTLOOK Opportunity to Expand Brazil • Increased emphasis on OTHERS, Footprint: 11% breeding in tropical hybrids and access to ► Greater tropical germplasm SYNGENTA, 12% PIONEER, 22% germplasm from opportunity Agroeste to improve ► Larger footprint for trait position in Brazil penetration • Potential to accelerate ► Export opportunity to serve launch of YieldGard Corn growing economies in Borer China, Russia 16
  • 17. INTERNATIONAL CORN Trait Expansion Opportunity Still Early Globally; SmartStax Resets Stage in 2010 and Beyond COMMERCIAL PLATFORM: 2007-20101 GLOBAL MARKET OPPORTUNITY: • Reflects technology fit; actual penetration determined by regulatory approvals and CORN TRAITS competitive share 2010 VS 2012 • Competitors continue to license Monsanto traits in key markets 2007 HYBRID MARKET SIZE2 (ACRES) U.S. 92M 80M 60-70M 45-55M Europe (EU27) 27M 24M 8M 5M Brazil 23M 15-20M 15-20M 5M Argentina 8M 9M 7M 5M India 7M 6M 6M -- Total Markets 157M 134-139M 96-111M 60-70M 2007 Penetration 43-45% 46-53% 30-35% 1. Market Opportunity reflects total acres where technology is applicable, not necessarily Targets marked in green representing countries currently planting acres projected for penetration by 2010. 80M or with primary regulatory approval secured for respective trait 2. Corn acreage and production; USDA FAS 2007/08 projections report and internal estimates 17
  • 18. INTERNATIONAL CORN Trait Expansion Opportunity Still Early Globally; SmartStax Resets Stage in 2010 and Beyond GLOBAL MARKET TRAIT PLATFORM: 2010+ OPPORTUNITY: • SmartStax resets trait opportunities CORN TRAITS • Acreage reflects potential acres 2010 VS 2012 • Competition, penetration and technology fit being evaluated further for each geography 2007 HYBRID SmartStax MARKET SIZE1 (ACRES) U.S. 92M 60-65M Europe (EU27) 27M 15-20M Brazil 23M 15-20M Argentina 8M 5-7M India 7M 5-6M Total Markets 157M 100-118M 1. Corn acreage and production; USDA FAS 2007/08 projections report and internal estimates 18
  • 19. INTERNATIONAL CORN Recent Regulatory Approval in Argentina Opens Door For Stacked Traits; Ramp Up Under Way CORN TRAIT PENETRATION IN ARGENTINA: ANNUALLY AS A PERCENT OF TOTAL ACRE OPPORTUNITY1 GEOGRAPHY: Argentina OBJECTIVE: Expand margin YGCB-RR Stack2 100% PERCENT OF TRAIT ACRE 2008 STATUS INTRODUCED 2008F TOTAL • Roundup Ready/YieldGard 7M OPPORTUNITY 75% OPPORTUNITY1 Corn Borer received YieldGard Corn Borer regulatory approval in INTRODUCED 1997 50% Argentina end of August TOTAL 2007 7M OPPORTUNITY • Local approvals for some 25% Roundup Ready Corn stacked hybrids completed INTRODUCED 2001 2012 OUTLOOK TOTAL 0% 9M OPPORTUNITY • 8 million total corn acres 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 planted in Argentina today; YEARS FROM COMMERCIAL LAUNCH► expected to grow to 10 million acres to fill U.S. • YieldGard Corn Borer/Roundup Ready stack should change export gap inflection of penetration curve, moving toward peak penetration faster than single traits in Argentina 1. Percent of total market opportunity reflects the ratio of number of actual acres planted to total trait-acre opportunity identified for each trait 2. Forecasted possible trend curve for YieldGard Corn Borer-Roundup Ready stack (YGCB+RR). Based on commercial production planning for DEKALB brand. 19
  • 20. INTERNATIONAL CORN SmartStax Agreement Creates Step-Change Opportunity in Brazil and Argentina for Insect Control INSECT CONTROL OPPORTUNITY: South SMARTSTAX IN BRAZIL AND ARGENTINA GEOGRAPHY: America Expand OBJECTIVE: margin 2008 STATUS • SmartStax agreement BRAZIL with Dow is global deal, spanning all geographies where respective traits are registered INA 2012 OUTLOOK NT GE • Currently evaluating the AR CORN PEST ESTIMATED: SOUTH AMERICA commercial opportunity for SmartStax in Brazil ACRES INFESTED SmartStax and Argentina BRAZIL ARGENTINA Control Fall Armyworm 20-22 M 4M Sugarcane Corn Borer 16-18 M 10 M Corn Earworm 16-18 M 10 M Very Good to Excellent Control 20
  • 21. SUMMARY By 2012, Sustained Momentum in U.S. Corn Combined With International Growth Expands Corn Gross Profit Contribution GLOBAL CORN SEED AND TRAITS GROSS PROFIT INDEX=2004 2004 2012F 2007 >6X OVER 2004 INDEX • In 2007, international markets generated more than 25% of gross profit • By 2012, total gross profit expected to U.S. Corn Seeds & Traits Gross Profit expand significantly with continued penetration of traits globally, conversion International Corn Seeds & to SmartStax and greater seed brand Traits Gross Profit share worldwide 21