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Metso Financial Statements Review 2012 presentation
1.
Fourth quarter and
full year 2012 Matti Kähkönen, President and CEO Harri Nikunen, CFO February 7, 2013
2.
Forward looking statements
It should be noted that certain statements herein which are not historical facts, including, without limitation, those regarding expectations for general economic development and the market situation, expectations for customer industry profitability and investment willingness, expectations for company growth, development and profitability and the realization of synergy benefits and cost savings, and statements preceded by ”expects”, ”estimates”, ”forecasts” or similar expressions, are forward-looking statements. These statements are based on current decisions and plans and currently known factors. They involve risks and uncertainties which may cause the actual results to materially differ from the results currently expected by the company. Such factors include, but are not limited to: 1) general economic conditions, including fluctuations in exchange rates and interest levels which influence the operating environment and profitability of customers and thereby the orders received by the company and their margins 2) the competitive situation, especially significant technological solutions developed by competitors 3) the company’s own operating conditions, such as the success of production, product development and project management and their continuous development and improvement 4) the success of pending and future acquisitions and restructuring. 2 © Metso February 7, 2013
3.
Presentation contents
1. Highlights 2. Strategic priorities 3. Financial performance 4. Outlook and guidance 3 © Metso February 7, 2013
4.
Highlights
Matti Kähkönen President and CEO
5.
Highlights
Continued growth and an improved result in 2012 Full year 2012 • Strategic priorities developed well • Good order intake • Strong net sales growth in both capital and services • EBITA improved, whereas margin was slightly lower • Return on capital employed increased • Board proposes a dividend of EUR 1.85 (2011: 1.70) Fourth quarter 2012 • Strong order growth year-on-year • All-time high net sales and second highest EBITA • Restructuring had an impact on EBIT and EPS 5 © Metso February 7, 2013
6.
Good order intake
continued EUR million 7,961 8,000 6,865 7,000 5,944 6,000 5,000 4,358 4,000 2,883 3,000 1,847 1,918 1,920 1,735 2,000 1,365 1,366 1,671 1,409 1,498 1,313 1,511 1,699 942 1,020 1,031 1,000 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 Services orders Capital orders Exceptionally large orders FY 2012 Q4/2012 • Good underlying activity • Strong growth of 29% year-on-year • No exceptionally large orders • Both capital and services orders increased • Services orders increased 5% • 1%-point positive currency impact • 2%-point positive currency impact 6 © Metso February 7, 2013
7.
Net sales growth
proceeded steadily EUR million 8,000 7,504 7,000 6,646 6,000 5,552 5,016 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,074 2098 1,687 1,755 1,897 1,754 2,000 1,444 1,567 1,561 1,220 1,247 1,196 1,353 1,170 1,370 1,325 1,000 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 Services net sales Capital net sales FY 2012 Q4/2012 • 13% growth overall, 11% in services • All-time high level • US, Brazil and China were the biggest • Services grew 5% countries • No currency impact • 3%-point positive currency impact 7 © Metso February 7, 2013
8.
EBITA* improved 9%
to EUR 684 million EUR million % 700 14 600 11.2 12 10.4 9.7 9.7 9.5 9.4 9.7 500 9.1 8.9 8.8 8.9 9.3 9.1 10 8.6 8.0 8.0 7.5 7.5 400 6.8 8 6.5 684 300 629 6 491 200 399 4 100 202 177 171 196 2 134 129 150 140 163 140 92 125 124 85 88 88 0 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 EBITA * EBITA% * Q4/2012 Q4/2011 2012 2011 Target range Mining and Construction 12.8% 12.9% 12.0% 10.9% 10-15% Automation 13.4% 14.9% 12.0% 13.5% 11-16% Pulp, Paper and Power 6.0% 5.7% 6.6% 8.1% 6-9% Metso total 9.3% 9.7% 9.1% 9.5% * before non-recurring items 8 © Metso February 7, 2013
9.
Our financial targets
KPI Targets 2012 2011 Net sales growth >10% average annual growth (CAGR) +13% +20% Services net sales >10% services business net sales growth annually growth +11% +17% EPS EPS growth higher than sales growth +5%/ +39%/ (EPS growth-% / NS growth-%) +13% +20% ROCE-% >20% ROCE 19.6% 18.4% Segment Mining and Construction: 10-15% ** EBITA%* 12.0% 10.9% Automation: 11-16% 12.0% 13.5% Pulp, Paper and Power: 6-9% 6.6% 8.1% Dividend >50% of EPS 74% 71% * before non-recurring items 9 © Metso February 7, 2013 ** includes Recycling
10.
Strategic
Driving growth of services business priority #1 Group net sales 2012 Group EBITA *) 2012 • Services net sales were approx. EUR 3.2 32% billion in 2012 44% • Net sales increased in all segments 56% • Our target is to grow services to around 68% EUR 4.5 billion by 2016 and increase services EBITA margin Capital Services • Four new service hubs were established Capital Services in 2012 EUR million • Good progress in contract-based services 3,500 business 3,000 • Services profitability varies between 2,500 different segments and product categories 2,000 1,500 1,000 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Services net sales, rolling 12 months * before non-recurring items 10 © Metso February 7, 2013
11.
Strategic
Expanding presence in emerging markets priority #2 Net sales in emerging markets Net sales in top 10 growth countries EUR million (EUR million) 4,000 3,500 Country 2012 2011 Change % 3,000 Brazil 873 645 35 2,500 China 669 777 -15 2,000 Russia 297 259 15 1,500 Chile 255 222 15 1,000 2007 Q2 Q4 Q2 Q4 Q2 Q4 Q2 Q4 Q2 Q4 India 209 239 -13 2008 2008 2009 2009 2010 2010 2011 2011 2012 2012 South Africa 198 153 29 Net sales in EM, rolling 12 months Services in emerging markets Mexico 159 111 42 EUR million Peru 119 70 69 1,400 Turkey 110 78 41 1,300 Indonesia 90 70 29 1,200 1,100 1,000 • Emerging markets accounted for 900 50% (49%) of net sales 800 2010 Q2 Q4 Q2 Q4 • 35% (34%) of the personnel was in 2011 2011 2012 2012 emerging markets Services net sales in EM, rolling 12 months 11 © Metso February 7, 2013
12.
Strategic
Mining activity remained good priority #3 Mining order intake Q4/2012 mining orders by market area EUR million 1,200 1,000 23% 800 38% 600 400 200 23% 0 16% Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 2009 2009 2010 2010 2011 2011 2012 2012 Mining, services Mining, capital Exceptionally large orders EMEA North America South and Central America Asia Pacific Mining order backlog EUR million 2,000 • Investment cut-backs have impacted 1,600 mining capital business 1,200 • Underlying demand was higher in 2012 vs. 800 2011, as there were no exceptionally large orders 400 0 • Services backlog was 13% higher Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 compared to the end of 2011 2009 2009 2010 2010 2011 2011 2012 2012 Services backlog Capital backlog 12 © Metso February 7, 2013
13.
Financial performance Harri Nikunen, CFO
14.
Group key figures
EUR million Q4/2012 Q4/2011 Change % 2012 2011 Change % Orders received 1,699 1,313 29 6,865 7,961 -14 Services orders received 741 669 11 3,264 3,100 5 Net sales 2,098 2,074 1 7,504 6,646 13 Services net sales 870 829 5 3,174 2,871 11 % of net sales 42 41 44 45 EBITA * 196 202 -3 684 629 9 % of net sales 9.3 9.7 9.1 9.5 EBIT ** 150 189 -21 599 572 5 Earnings per share, EUR 0.49 0.81 -40 2.49 2.38 5 Return on equity (ROE), % 17.5 17.8 Return on capital employed (ROCE) 19.6 18.4 before taxes, % Free cash flow 69 45 53 257 375 -31 Cash conversion, % 69 105 Gearing at the end of period, % 14.2 12.2 * before non-recurring items ** Includes non-recurring items of EUR -34 million in Q4/2012, EUR -0.4 million in Q4/2011, EUR -36 million in FY 2012 and EUR -5 million in FY 2011 14 © Metso February 7, 2013
15.
Mining and Construction
EUR million Q4/2012 Q4/2011 Change % 2012 2011 Change % Orders received 794 651 22 3,436 3,714 -7 Services orders received 409 364 12 1,771 1,603 10 Net sales 924 928 0 3,492 2,967 18 Services net sales 445 409 9 1,692 1,478 14 % of net sales 48 44 49 50 EBITA * 118.7 120.1 -1 418.5 324.4 29 % of net sales 12.8 12.9 12.0 10.9 Return on capital 28.8 25.3 employed ** Q4/2012 vs. Q4/2011 2012 vs. 2011 • High net sales, services grew 9% • Mining equipment net sales up almost 30%, services increased 14% • EBITA on a good level • Good EBITA development driven by volume; margins were stable • ROCE improved also due to lower working capital * before non-recurring items 15 © Metso February 7, 2013 ** excluding cash and other non-operative balance sheet items Note: Figures include recycling
16.
Mining and Construction
EUR million % 4,000 16 3,500 14 3,000 12 2,500 10 2,000 8 1,500 6 1,000 4 500 2 0 0 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2005 2006 2006 2007 2007 2008 2008 2009 2009 2010 2010 2011 2011 2012 2012 Services net sales, rolling 12 months Capital net sales, rolling 12 months EBITA % *, rolling 12 months EBITA % * target range * before non-recurring items 16 © Metso February 7, 2013 Note: Figures include Recycling
17.
Automation
EUR million Q4/2012 Q4/2011 Change % 2012 2011 Change % Orders received 206 197 5 845 822 3 Services orders received 85 75 13 382 352 9 Net sales 233 244 -5 859 770 12 Services net sales 105 107 -2 380 345 10 % of net sales 50 46 48 48 EBITA * 31.2 36.4 -14 103.1 103.9 -1 % of net sales 13.4 14.9 12.0 13.5 Return on capital 32.5 39.0 employed ** Q4/2012 vs. Q4/2011 2012 vs. 2011 • Flow Control business improved • Performance was good after weak Q1 performance • Flow Control business improved • Process Automation Systems business • Good working capital management weaker • Services on a good level * before non-recurring items 17 © Metso February 7, 2013 ** excluding cash and other non-operative balance sheet items
18.
Automation EUR million
% 1,000 18 900 16 800 14 700 12 600 10 500 8 400 6 300 4 200 100 2 0 0 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2005 2006 2006 2007 2007 2008 2008 2009 2009 2010 2010 2011 2011 2012 2012 Services net sales, rolling 12 months Capital net sales, rolling 12 months EBITA % *, rolling 12 months EBITA % * target range * before non-recurring items 18 © Metso February 7, 2013
19.
Pulp, Paper and
Power EUR million Q4/2012 Q4/2011 Change % 2012 2011 Change % Orders received 677 412 64 2,444 3,225 -24 Services orders received 247 230 7 1,111 1,145 -3 Net sales 925 844 10 3,014 2,703 12 Services net sales 320 313 2 1,102 1,048 5 % of net sales 35 37 37 39 EBITA * 55.9 48.4 15 200.3 218.8 -8 % of net sales 6.0 5.7 6.6 8.1 Return on capital 23.2 27.2 employed ** Q4/2012 vs. Q4/2011 2012 vs. 2011 • Very strong net sales related to large • Deliveries of large projects boosted net projects sales • Performance of the Fiber business • Business mix, project performance and improved, other businesses unchanged under-absorption had an impact on EBITA * before non-recurring items 19 © Metso February 7, 2013 ** excluding cash and other non-operative balance sheet items
20.
Pulp, Paper and
Power EUR million % 3,500 9 8 3,000 7 2,500 6 2,000 5 1,500 4 3 1,000 2 500 1 0 0 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2005 2006 2006 2007 2007 2008 2008 2009 2009 2010 2010 2011 2011 2012 2012 Services net sales, rolling 12 months Capital net sales, rolling 12 months EBITA % *, rolling 12 months EBITA % * target range * before non-recurring items 20 © Metso February 7, 2013
21.
Cost actions to
improve profitability Over 1,000 positions were reduced in 2012 I. Reduction of under-absorption and increased competitiveness (ongoing and planned action) I. Capacity adjustment in paper/board capital business in Finland and China, in high-cost foundries, and in Mining and Construction equipment activity, and in Automation operations II. Increased flexibility through outsourcing III. In addition, temporary lay-offs are used to reduce under-absorption where loads are low II. Structural action in all three segments I. Personnel and fixed-cost reduction due to closure or combination of units, changes in organizational structures, etc III. Procurement lifted as a global development focus area (total volume about EUR 4.5 billion) IV. Strict S,G&A cost control in all Metso units Targeted personnel and S,G&A cost reduction is EUR 50 – 60 million from the above measures as calculated at 2012 cost levels. The work to further improve our cost position will continue in 2013 with new programs. 21 © Metso February 7, 2013
22.
Balance sheet structure
as at Dec 31, 2012 EUR million 7,000 6,642 6,642 Goodwill 6,000 887 Fixed assets 5,000 1,109 NWC 2,227 Equity 4,000 Other liabilities Inventories 1,529 3,000 1,732 256 Provisions Other receivables *) 2,000 1,137 Advances 2,143 received 1,000 Bank and cash, interest NIBL Interest bearing bearing receivables 974 1,290 debt 0 * Incl. ”Costs and earnings of projects under construction in excess of 22 © Metso February 7, 2013 advanced billings”
23.
Net debt and
net working capital Net debt and gearing Net working capital EUR million % EUR million % 1200 80 800 12 75.7 10.5 70 700 1000 10 60 600 800 8 50 500 6.0 672 6.0 33.4 32.5 600 40 400 6 1,099 4.8 452 4.5 4.2 30 300 375 400 540 4 583 15.0 14.2 281 20 200 242 247 12.2 200 316 2 310 10 100 260 0 0 0 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Net debt Gearing Net working capital, EUR NWC, % of net sales 23 © Metso February 7, 2013
24.
Cash flow
2012 2011 EUR million EUR million 700 700 638 600 586 600 500 500 254 400 400 232 300 300 188 122 200 200 100 100 179 161 0 0 Sources Uses Sources Uses Cash from operations Capex & acquisitions Income taxes paid Dividend 24 © Metso February 7, 2013
25.
Dividend proposal of
EUR 1.85* for 2012 EUR 3.5 3.00 3.0 2.89 2.69 2.75 2.49 2.5 2.38 2.0 1.85 1.71 1.70 1.50 1.55 1.5 1.06 1.0 0.70 0.70 0.5 0.0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 *) EPS (Earnings per share) DPS (Dividend per share) Dividend policy ( at lest 50% of EPS) * Board of Director’s proposal to the AGM 25 © Metso February 7, 2013
26.
Outlook and guidance
Matti Kähkönen President and CEO
27.
Market outlook
Uncertainties might impact timing of large projects Mining Construction Automation 32% of net sales 11% of net sales 11% of net sales 50% service intensity 40% service intensity 45% service intensity Positive for capital and services Positive in emerging markets; flat Positive for oil & gas customers; Good in capital business with in developed markets flat in pulp & paper volatility expected to continue. Satisfactory for capital and Good in oil & gas; softer in pulp & Services excellent. services paper. Services good. Power Paper, Board, Tissue Pulp 11% of net sales 21% of net sales 9% of net sales 30% service intensity 50% service intensity 40% service intensity Positive, partly subject to Demand for board and tissue Positive, mainly due to packaging legislation growing; other grades flat or down board and tissue Satisfactory for projects and Weak for paper and board Good for rebuilds and services. services machines. Services good. Pulp mill market activity satisfactory. Long-term demand Short-term demand 27 © Metso February 7, 2013 Share of Metso net sales in January – December 2012
28.
Order backlog* of
EUR 4.5 billion EUR billion EUR billion 6,000 6000 5,000 5000 Deliveries after 2012 Deliveries 4,000 4000 after 2013 3,000 3000 2,000 2000 Deliveries in Deliveries in 2012 2013 1,000 1000 Services orders: 24% Services orders: 28% 0 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Order backlog 2011 Order backlog 2012 Mining and Construction Automation Pulp, Paper and Power 28 © Metso February 7, 2013 * At the end of December
29.
Guidance for 2013
We estimate that • Our EBITA before non-recurring items will be at around 2012 level and our net sales will be at 2012 level or slightly below. The estimates for our financial performance in 2013 are based on Metso’s current market outlook, order backlog for 2013 and foreign exchange rates in December 2012. 29 © Metso February 7, 2013
30.
Summary
• 2012 was a good year in challenging market environment • We will continue to focus on growth opportunities and driving shareholder value 30 © Metso February 7, 2013
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