Summary:
The U.S. trade deficit shrunk in April by the most on record in dollar terms, reflecting a drop in the value of imports amid COVID lockdowns in China while exports climbed.
The gap in goods and services trade narrowed $20.6 billion, or 19.1%, to $87.1 billion, Commerce Department data showed June 7. The median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of economists called for an $89.5 billion deficit. The figures aren’t adjusted for inflation.
Imports dropped in April as factory activity in China fell to the lowest level since February 2020 amid strict lockdowns to curb the spread of COVID-19. While manufacturing in the country has improved since, the measures still are straining already tenuous global supply chains, especially when coupled with Russia’s war in Ukraine
Source - https://www.ttnews.com/articles/trade-deficit-narrows-most-record-muted-china-imports
Blog – Trade – United States – August 2022 – Analysis and Commentary
Summary:
Exports
1. LNG exports increase by $1.4B
2. Crude Oil exports decrease $1B
Imports
1. Oil Imports Decrease by $2.7B
China trade deficit for 2022 is projected to be $407B as compared to $346B in 2021. More needs to be done to re-shore the supply chain
USA agricultural sector continues to see a boon in terms of exports
Threat of a global recession in 2023 continues to plague global trade
The United States runs a record trade deficit for March 2022paul young cpa, cga
The trade deficit jumped more than 22 percent to $109.8 billion, as the double-digit increase in imports to an all-time high of $351.5 billion outstripped the more modest gain in exports, the Commerce Department said.
But US exports also hit a record of $241.7 billion, the data showed.
As the world's largest economy showed a robust recovery from the pandemic disruptions in recent months, businesses have been hampered by global supply chain snarls and shortages that meant relatively modest import gains.
But the data showed a shift in March with a $3.2 billion increase in imports of autos, parts and engines -- including a $2.5 jump in passenger cars alone -- a $1.5 billion rise in computers, and $1.3 billion gain for computer accessories.
Purchases of furniture and household goods jumped $1.3 billion, while toys, games and sporting goods rose by a similar amount, the report said.
A strong American consumer is likely to support continued demand for imports, while slower recoveries among US trading partners could hold down export growth, economists say.
"The prevailing domestic and overseas economic environment could keep the deficit pinned near record levels and impose a significant headwind to US GDP growth," said Mahir Rasheed of Oxford Economics.
The Federal Reserve is raising interest rates as it grapples with accelerating inflation, which could tamp down demand.
In the first three months of the year, the goods and services deficit increased $84.8 billion, or 41.5 percent, from the same period in 2021, the report said.
Source - https://www.rfi.fr/en/us-trade-deficit-hits-highest-on-record-as-imports-soar
USA hit a record $89B trade deficit in January 2022
China continues to lag on their trade agreements with the United States
USA is looking at dealing with despot countries as part of fixing issues with oil supplies - https://www.cnn.com/2022/03/08/politics/joe-biden-saudi-arabia-venezuela-iran-russia-oil/index.html. Both Canada and USA should be focus on increasing domestic production - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-next-for-oil-and-gas-251300497
Russia is world leader in the critical metals. https://eandt.theiet.org/content/articles/2022/03/rare-earth-metal-prices-will-skyrocket-as-ukraine-russia-tensions-continue/
Summary
USA manufacturing sector continues to face higher commodity prices
USA manufacturing sector continues to face issues with supply chain
Ports are still facing backlog
More and more manufacturers are moving to Industry 4.0
Blog – Trade and FDI – United States – February 2022
Both Canada and USA are now pushing policies related to critical metals
USA continues to look at ways to expand energy exports to EMEA
Middle East oil imports to USA continue to expand under Biden
Summary:
USA is world leader in LNG exports
USA continues to struggle with protectionism policies
USA zest for their green agenda is causing issues with sourcing critical metals
USA has won a trade dispute with Canada
China continues owns key areas of the green economy
USA trade deficit is projected to be $900B for 2021 as compare to $858B in 2020
1. USA and China - https://theconversation.com/the-china-shock-of-trade-in-the-2000s-reverberates-in-us-politics-and-economics-and-warns-of-the-dangers-for-fossil-fuel-workers-173629
2. Solar Panels - https://prosperousamerica.org/will-u-s-solar-be-totally-owned-by-china-we-will-know-in-february/
3. WTO - https://theconversation.com/the-china-shock-of-trade-in-the-2000s-reverberates-in-us-politics-and-economics-and-warns-of-the-dangers-for-fossil-fuel-workers-173629
4. Indo-Pacific - https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-china-idAFKBN2JG1IF
5. Trade Wars - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-01-03/stock-market-is-fixated-on-covid-with-trade-issues-percolating
6. LNG - https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/US-Overtakes-Qatar-To-Become-The-Worlds-Largest-LNG-Exporter.html
7. Oil = https://www.energyintel.com/0000017e-30bc-d2e5-a9fe-7abe76f00000
8. Dairy - https://www.energyintel.com/0000017e-30bc-d2e5-a9fe-7abe76f00000
9. Wheat - https://www.agriculture.com/news/business/higher-prices-smaller-exports-for-us-wheat
10. Critical metals - https://news.cgtn.com/news/2022-01-04/America-s-rare-earth-vulnerability-deepens-16wqHHvL5gQ/index.html
11. Energy Storage - https://www.oliverwyman.com/our-expertise/insights/2021/dec/the-us-needs-to-produce-batteries-not-just-evs0.html
1. FDI and USA - https://globalbusiness.org/blog/top-five-states-with-the-highest-concentration-of-fdi-jobs
2. Georgia - https://www.globalatlanta.com/georgia-a-top-state-for-job-growth-from-foreign-investment/
3. Dairy - https://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/politics/584122-biden-trade-strategy-must-unlock-new-access-for-us-dairy
4. Brexit - https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-is-delaying-uk-trade-deal-ft-2021-12-01/
5. USA and China - https://www.china-briefing.com/news/us-china-relations-in-the-biden-era-a-timeline/
6. Canada and USA – Energy - https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=50536
7. Australia and China - https://www.9news.com.au/national/china-wants-australia-on-its-knees-with-trade-sanctions-biden-adviser-says/f07c23c7-2085-49e1-9678-adef5b09827d
8. FDI - https://www.bbc.com/news/business-55791634
9. Mining - https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/7539696/mining-diplomacy-vital-for-energy-future/?cs=14264
10. Conflict metals - https://www.nytimes.com/2021/11/29/world/congo-cobalt-albert-yuma-mulimbi.html
Blog – Trade – United States – August 2022 – Analysis and Commentary
Summary:
Exports
1. LNG exports increase by $1.4B
2. Crude Oil exports decrease $1B
Imports
1. Oil Imports Decrease by $2.7B
China trade deficit for 2022 is projected to be $407B as compared to $346B in 2021. More needs to be done to re-shore the supply chain
USA agricultural sector continues to see a boon in terms of exports
Threat of a global recession in 2023 continues to plague global trade
The United States runs a record trade deficit for March 2022paul young cpa, cga
The trade deficit jumped more than 22 percent to $109.8 billion, as the double-digit increase in imports to an all-time high of $351.5 billion outstripped the more modest gain in exports, the Commerce Department said.
But US exports also hit a record of $241.7 billion, the data showed.
As the world's largest economy showed a robust recovery from the pandemic disruptions in recent months, businesses have been hampered by global supply chain snarls and shortages that meant relatively modest import gains.
But the data showed a shift in March with a $3.2 billion increase in imports of autos, parts and engines -- including a $2.5 jump in passenger cars alone -- a $1.5 billion rise in computers, and $1.3 billion gain for computer accessories.
Purchases of furniture and household goods jumped $1.3 billion, while toys, games and sporting goods rose by a similar amount, the report said.
A strong American consumer is likely to support continued demand for imports, while slower recoveries among US trading partners could hold down export growth, economists say.
"The prevailing domestic and overseas economic environment could keep the deficit pinned near record levels and impose a significant headwind to US GDP growth," said Mahir Rasheed of Oxford Economics.
The Federal Reserve is raising interest rates as it grapples with accelerating inflation, which could tamp down demand.
In the first three months of the year, the goods and services deficit increased $84.8 billion, or 41.5 percent, from the same period in 2021, the report said.
Source - https://www.rfi.fr/en/us-trade-deficit-hits-highest-on-record-as-imports-soar
USA hit a record $89B trade deficit in January 2022
China continues to lag on their trade agreements with the United States
USA is looking at dealing with despot countries as part of fixing issues with oil supplies - https://www.cnn.com/2022/03/08/politics/joe-biden-saudi-arabia-venezuela-iran-russia-oil/index.html. Both Canada and USA should be focus on increasing domestic production - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-next-for-oil-and-gas-251300497
Russia is world leader in the critical metals. https://eandt.theiet.org/content/articles/2022/03/rare-earth-metal-prices-will-skyrocket-as-ukraine-russia-tensions-continue/
Summary
USA manufacturing sector continues to face higher commodity prices
USA manufacturing sector continues to face issues with supply chain
Ports are still facing backlog
More and more manufacturers are moving to Industry 4.0
Blog – Trade and FDI – United States – February 2022
Both Canada and USA are now pushing policies related to critical metals
USA continues to look at ways to expand energy exports to EMEA
Middle East oil imports to USA continue to expand under Biden
Summary:
USA is world leader in LNG exports
USA continues to struggle with protectionism policies
USA zest for their green agenda is causing issues with sourcing critical metals
USA has won a trade dispute with Canada
China continues owns key areas of the green economy
USA trade deficit is projected to be $900B for 2021 as compare to $858B in 2020
1. USA and China - https://theconversation.com/the-china-shock-of-trade-in-the-2000s-reverberates-in-us-politics-and-economics-and-warns-of-the-dangers-for-fossil-fuel-workers-173629
2. Solar Panels - https://prosperousamerica.org/will-u-s-solar-be-totally-owned-by-china-we-will-know-in-february/
3. WTO - https://theconversation.com/the-china-shock-of-trade-in-the-2000s-reverberates-in-us-politics-and-economics-and-warns-of-the-dangers-for-fossil-fuel-workers-173629
4. Indo-Pacific - https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-china-idAFKBN2JG1IF
5. Trade Wars - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-01-03/stock-market-is-fixated-on-covid-with-trade-issues-percolating
6. LNG - https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/US-Overtakes-Qatar-To-Become-The-Worlds-Largest-LNG-Exporter.html
7. Oil = https://www.energyintel.com/0000017e-30bc-d2e5-a9fe-7abe76f00000
8. Dairy - https://www.energyintel.com/0000017e-30bc-d2e5-a9fe-7abe76f00000
9. Wheat - https://www.agriculture.com/news/business/higher-prices-smaller-exports-for-us-wheat
10. Critical metals - https://news.cgtn.com/news/2022-01-04/America-s-rare-earth-vulnerability-deepens-16wqHHvL5gQ/index.html
11. Energy Storage - https://www.oliverwyman.com/our-expertise/insights/2021/dec/the-us-needs-to-produce-batteries-not-just-evs0.html
1. FDI and USA - https://globalbusiness.org/blog/top-five-states-with-the-highest-concentration-of-fdi-jobs
2. Georgia - https://www.globalatlanta.com/georgia-a-top-state-for-job-growth-from-foreign-investment/
3. Dairy - https://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/politics/584122-biden-trade-strategy-must-unlock-new-access-for-us-dairy
4. Brexit - https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-is-delaying-uk-trade-deal-ft-2021-12-01/
5. USA and China - https://www.china-briefing.com/news/us-china-relations-in-the-biden-era-a-timeline/
6. Canada and USA – Energy - https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=50536
7. Australia and China - https://www.9news.com.au/national/china-wants-australia-on-its-knees-with-trade-sanctions-biden-adviser-says/f07c23c7-2085-49e1-9678-adef5b09827d
8. FDI - https://www.bbc.com/news/business-55791634
9. Mining - https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/7539696/mining-diplomacy-vital-for-energy-future/?cs=14264
10. Conflict metals - https://www.nytimes.com/2021/11/29/world/congo-cobalt-albert-yuma-mulimbi.html
Summary:
• The May ISM manufacturing index registered 56.1, topping expectations of a 54.5 print. The index rose 0.7 percentage points from the April reading of 55.4.
• New orders rose by 1.6 percentage points to 55.1, while new export orders rose by 0.2 percentage points to 52.9.
• The backlog of orders sub-index came in at 58.7, rising 2.7 percentage points from April's 56.0 print.
• The production index increased 0.6 percentage points to 54.2 while the employment index fell 1.3 percentage points to 49.6.
• The supplier deliveries sub-index fell to 65.7 from 67.2 in April. The sub-index continues to reflect difficulties in improving delivery rates due to production issues related to the pandemic.
• 15 of 18 manufacturing industries reported growth in May. Growth was led by Apparel, Leather & Allied Products; printing & Related Support Activities; Machinery; Nonmetallic Mineral Products; Computer Electronic Products; and Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products.
Source - https://economics.td.com/us-ism-manufacturing-index
Summary:
In August, Canada's merchandise exports decreased 2.9%, largely due to lower exports of energy products. Imports fell 1.7%, mainly on decreased imports of motor vehicles and parts. As a result, Canada's merchandise trade surplus with the world narrowed from $2.4 billion in July to $1.5 billion in August. This is the lowest monthly trade surplus observed to date in 2022.
Exports to countries other than the United States fell 4.3% in August. Exports to Hong Kong (gold), South Korea (coal and crude oil), the United Kingdom (crude oil and gold) and Japan (wheat, canola and copper) posted the largest declines.
Meanwhile, imports from countries other than the United States rose 1.1% in August. Higher imports from China (various products) and Belgium (pharmaceuticals) were partially offset by the decrease in imports from South Korea (light trucks and passenger cars).
The merchandise trade deficit with countries other than the United States widened from $8.3 billion in July to $9.2 billion in August.
Key facts:
a) Nearly $14B of the surplus is related to energy.
b) Canada continues to face challenges with near shoring of manufacturing
c) Canada needs to streamline regulations as part of getting goods out of the ground to market
d) Canada lacks ports and rail capacity to ship record levels of grains.
Source: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/221005/dq221005a-eng.htm
Summary:
New orders for U.S.-made goods fell slightly more than expected in December, but manufacturing remains supported by businesses replenishing inventories.
The Commerce Department said on Thursday that factory orders decreased 0.4% in December. Data for November was revised higher to show orders increasing 1.8% instead of 1.6% as previously reported. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast factory orders slipping 0.2%. Orders increased 16.9% in 2021.
Manufacturing, which accounts for 11.9% of the economy, is being underpinned by businesses rebuilding inventories.
Source - https://money.usnews.com/investing/news/articles/2022-02-03/u-s-factory-orders-fall-in-december-shipments-rise-further
1. USA Manufacturing – https://www.yakimaherald.com/reshoring-manufacturing-might-be-washingtons-future/article_453dc45d-b050-58a8-9bf9-27a7d6a0c516.html
2. Manufacturing optimization - https://www.energy.gov/eere/amo/articles/department-energy-awards-28-million-10-projects-will-develop-emerging
3. AI and manufacturing - https://research.aimultiple.com/manufacturing-ai/
4. Robotics - https://austincountynewsonline.com/a-record-number-of-robots-joined-american-workforce-in-2021-amid-covid-labor-crunch/
5. Shortages - https://shopmetaltech.com/industry-update/u-s-manufacturing-grew-in-january-but-remains-plagued-by-bottlenecks.html
6. Food Production - https://manufacturingglobal.com/ai-and-automation/expect-to-see-these-food-manufacturing-trends-in-2022
7. Semiconductors - https://rollcall.com/2022/02/04/cost-to-rebuild-u-s-semiconductor-manufacturing-will-keep-growing/
8. PMI - https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/manufacturing-pmi-829
9. Future of manufacturing - https://seekingalpha.com/article/4484370-future-of-manufacturing
10. Automotive - https://www.tti.com/content/ttiinc/en/resources/marketeye/categories/industry/me-staff-20220204.html
11. Farm - https://www.tti.com/content/ttiinc/en/resources/marketeye/categories/industry/me-staff-20220204.html
12. Automation - https://www.bmc.com/blogs/it-automation-trends/
13. Raw material - https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/tech/2022/02/419_21021.html?fa
Summary:
Imports rose in eight of 11 product sections, led by electronic and electrical equipment and parts, while motor vehicles and parts imports reached their highest level since February 2020.
Exports were driven lower by energy products, which fell for the first time since April 2021.
Source - https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/canada-posts-surprise-trade-deficit-of-c%24137-mln-in-december
1. Canada trade - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/canada-posts-c-137-million-trade-deficit-in-december-271644328443
2. Oil asset sale - https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/exclusive-canadas-crescent-point-looks-sell-some-oil-gas-assets-documents-2022-02-07/
3. Oil asset sale - https://financialpost.com/commodities/energy/oil-gas/spanish-oil-major-repsol-looking-to-sell-parts-of-its-canadian-assets-sources-2
4. Methane - https://www.canadianenergycentre.ca/international-comparisons-show-canada-doing-its-part-to-reduce-methane-emissions/
5. Clean - https://www.mondaq.com/canada/renewables/1158746/good-start-but-more-to-be-done-the-international-energy-agency39s-canada-2022-energy-policy-review
6. Mining - https://www.sudbury.com/local-news/research-network-seeking-proposals-to-modernize-mining-industry-5035029
7. Lithium - https://ca.proactiveinvestors.com/companies/news/973374/critical-resources-strengthens-canadian-lithium-footprint-on-finalising-graphic-lake-acquisition-973374.html
8. Port capacity - https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/prince-rupert-port-expansion-improving-canada-s-ability-to-move-critical-goods-and-supplies-892065707.html
9. Lumber - https://www.timberindustrynews.com/canadas-lumber-giants-expand-u-s-amid-fight-tariffs/
10. Gold - https://www.northernontariobusiness.com/mining-the-northwest/mining-the-northwest-gold-developers-have-more-mines-in-the-project-pipeline-5030583
11. Oil - https://www.energyintel.com/0000017e-d4f0-da48-a97f-fdfa08170002
12. Labor costs - https://www.ibisworld.com/canada/industry-trends/industries-highest-labor-costs/
13. Australia - https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/news-insights/research/australia-mining-by-the-numbers-2021
14. Rare Metals - https://www.kitco.com/news/2022-02-07/Global-rare-earth-metals-production-up-17-in-2021-as-production-in-China-jumps-20.html
Summary:
There were increases in orders for machinery, primary metals and electrical equipment, appliances and components. Orders for computers and electronic products also rose as did those of fabricated metal products.
Shipments of manufactured goods increased 2.3% after rising 1.1% in February. Inventories at factories gained 1.3%. Unfilled orders rose 0.4% after climbing 0.5% in the prior month.
The Commerce Department also reported that orders for non-defense capital goods, excluding aircraft, which are seen as a measure of business spending plans on equipment, rebounded 1.3% instead of 1.0% as previously reported last month.
Source - https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/rise-in-u.s.-factory-orders-beats-expectations-in-march
Summary:
• Canada's trade surplus narrowed in April, as the surplus in goods trade led the decline. Services trade also contributed to the move, as travel restrictions were lifted in Canada.
• Going forward, we see an improvement in the trade balance as higher commodity prices should support Canadian exports. Furthermore, easing supply chains should open the way for further gains in manufacturing exports.
Source - https://economics.td.com/ca-international-trade
Summary:
The copper price jumped on Tuesday after weak US manufacturing data eased concerns that the Federal Reserve will tighten monetary policy too rapidly.
The Institute for Supply Management’s gauge of US factory activity dropped to the lowest in more than two years in September, causing the dollar to retreat.
Source - https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/business/2022/10/03/s-p-500-dow-nasdaq-uk-axes-planned-tax-cut/8167019001/ or https://www.mining.com/copper-price-jumps-after-weak-us-manufacturing-data/
The increase came as imports of energy products gained 26.3 per cent for the month helped higher by imports of crude oil and bitumen as both prices and volumes rose. Imports of consumer goods rose 6.5 per cent, while motor vehicles and parts added 9.9 per cent.
Meanwhile, total exports rose 6.3 per cent to a record $63.6 billion in March as higher prices helped exports of energy products gain 12.8 per cent to a record $17.9 billion. Exports of motor vehicles and parts rose 7.9 per cent.
Excluding energy products, exports gained 4.0 per cent in March.
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/21fe3df8-4b7e-4686-8766-d42eb0539c69/ and https://www.therecord.com/ts/business/2022/05/04/canada-posts-25b-trade-surplus-for-march-as-imports-and-exports-hit-record-highs.html
Canada NR is at the make-or-break point as world is need of key commodities like oil, LNG, lithium, food, and other commodities.
After over 6 years the Liberals are now focusing on the critical metal sector in Canada.
High commodity prices continue to benefit government revenues
India continues looks at ways to expand trade relations with Canada
Iran oil production has now hit pre-sanction levels
EMEA and USA continue to look at ways to wane EMEA off Russian oil and gas
Halifax port was sold a Singapore outfit
Inflation (Cost of Living) - United States - September 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
US consumer price inflation surprised on the upside once again as rapid increases in housing costs, medical care, food and airline fares offset signs of moderation elsewhere. The Fed has admitted it is prepared to inflict economic pain to get a grip on inflation and today's report will ensure at least another 75bp rate hike in November and 50bp in December
Source - https://think.ing.com/articles/40-year-high-for-us-core-inflation-heaps-pressure-on-the-fed/
Cost of Living (Inflation) - United States - April 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Inflation slowed in April after seven months of relentless gains, a tentative sign that price increases may be peaking while still imposing a financial strain on American households
Consumer prices jumped 8.3 per cent last month from 12 months earlier, the Labor Department said Wednesday. That was below the 8.5 per cent year-over-year surge in March, which was the highest rate since 1981.
https://globalnews.ca/news/8826103/us-inflation-slowing-april/
Cost of Living (Inflation) - United States - March 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Inflation is highest since 1981. Carter was the president - https://www.thebalance.com/president-jimmy-carter-s-economic-policies-4586571
Biden was around during those times - https://www.britannica.com/biography/Joe-Biden
In June, Canada's merchandise exports increased 2.0%, mostly on crude oil and gold exports. Meanwhile, imports rose 1.7%, mainly on energy products. As a result, Canada's merchandise trade surplus with the world widened from $4.8 billion in May to $5.0 billion in June.
Consult the "International trade monthly interactive dashboard" to explore the most recent results of Canada's international trade in an interactive format.
Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/220804/dq220804a-eng.htm
Summary:
The United States posted its largest ever full-year trade deficit in the 12 months ending in December, according to data released by the Commerce Department on Tuesday, signaling continued strong economic growth and vibrant consumer demand as the country emerges from the recession induced by the COVID-19 pandemic.
https://www.voanews.com/a/us-trade-deficit-hits-record-reflecting-strong-economic-growt/6433235.html
1. USA and Australia critical metals - https://www.state.gov/the-united-states-and-australia-a-vital-partnership-for-the-indo-pacific-region-and-the-world/
2. LNG - https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Rising-LNG-Exports-Are-Becoming-A-Problem-For-Biden.html
3. Agriculture exports - https://www.usda.gov/media/press-releases/2022/02/08/american-agricultural-exports-shattered-records-2021
4. Oil - https://www.energyintel.com/0000017e-da30-da6a-a1fe-dabe30f60000
5. Automotive - https://www.natlawreview.com/article/usmca-s-panel-automotive-rules-origin-and-what-it-could-mean-to-manufacturers-region
6. Softwood lumber - https://www.natlawreview.com/article/usmca-s-panel-automotive-rules-origin-and-what-it-could-mean-to-manufacturers-region
7. Chip - https://www.cnet.com/tech/computing/global-chip-shortage-gives-us-manufacturing-a-boost/
8. Trade and Japan - https://www.commerce.gov/news/press-releases/2022/02/what-they-are-saying-industry-and-labor-applaud-us-trade-deal-japan
9. Lithium - https://cleanenergynews.ihsmarkit.com/research-analysis/us-mineral-mining-barely-keeping-pace-with-bidens-clean-energy.html
10. EV - https://cleanenergynews.ihsmarkit.com/research-analysis/us-mineral-mining-barely-keeping-pace-with-bidens-clean-energy.html
11. Port Automation - https://www.joc.com/port-news/us-ports/us-marine-terminal-acreage-abuse-cements-port-congestion_20220203.html
12. 2022 supply chain winners and losers - https://www.investmentmonitor.ai/analysis/supply-chain-winners-and-losers-2022
Cost of Living (Inflation) - United States - April 2022 (Revised PPI) .pptxpaul young cpa, cga
U.S. producer prices soared 11% in April from a year earlier, a hefty gain that indicates high inflation will remain a burden for consumers and businesses in the months ahead.
The Labor Department said Thursday that its producer price index — which measures inflation before it reaches consumers — climbed 0.5% in April from March. That is a slowdown from the previous month, however, when it jumped 1.6%.
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/producer-prices and https://www.darientimes.com/news/article/US-producer-prices-surge-11-in-April-on-higher-17167651.php
Bank of Canada - What is next for Monetary Policies - April 2022 (Revised Mar...paul young cpa, cga
Canada inflation rate hit nearly 7% for March 2022. Canada has one of the highest inflation rates in the G7.
Higher interest rates mean less cash for retail sales
Government continues to push their green agenda driving more green inflation
Cost of Living (Inflation) - United States - May 2022 (incl PPI).pptxpaul young cpa, cga
US inflation accelerated to a fresh 40-year high in May, a sign that price pressures are becoming entrenched in the economy. That will likely push the Federal Reserve to extend an aggressive series of interest-rate hikes and adds to political problems for the White House and Democrats.
The consumer price index increased 8.6 per cent from a year earlier in a broad-based advance, Labor Department data showed Friday. The widely followed inflation gauge rose 1 per cent from a month earlier, topping all estimates. Shelter, food and gas were the largest contributors.
The so-called core CPI, which strips out the more volatile food and energy components, rose 0.6 per cent from the prior month and 6 per cent from a year ago, also above forecasts.
Source - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/u-s-inflation-unexpectedly-accelerates-to-40-year-high-1.1777105
Summary:
• The May ISM manufacturing index registered 56.1, topping expectations of a 54.5 print. The index rose 0.7 percentage points from the April reading of 55.4.
• New orders rose by 1.6 percentage points to 55.1, while new export orders rose by 0.2 percentage points to 52.9.
• The backlog of orders sub-index came in at 58.7, rising 2.7 percentage points from April's 56.0 print.
• The production index increased 0.6 percentage points to 54.2 while the employment index fell 1.3 percentage points to 49.6.
• The supplier deliveries sub-index fell to 65.7 from 67.2 in April. The sub-index continues to reflect difficulties in improving delivery rates due to production issues related to the pandemic.
• 15 of 18 manufacturing industries reported growth in May. Growth was led by Apparel, Leather & Allied Products; printing & Related Support Activities; Machinery; Nonmetallic Mineral Products; Computer Electronic Products; and Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products.
Source - https://economics.td.com/us-ism-manufacturing-index
Summary:
In August, Canada's merchandise exports decreased 2.9%, largely due to lower exports of energy products. Imports fell 1.7%, mainly on decreased imports of motor vehicles and parts. As a result, Canada's merchandise trade surplus with the world narrowed from $2.4 billion in July to $1.5 billion in August. This is the lowest monthly trade surplus observed to date in 2022.
Exports to countries other than the United States fell 4.3% in August. Exports to Hong Kong (gold), South Korea (coal and crude oil), the United Kingdom (crude oil and gold) and Japan (wheat, canola and copper) posted the largest declines.
Meanwhile, imports from countries other than the United States rose 1.1% in August. Higher imports from China (various products) and Belgium (pharmaceuticals) were partially offset by the decrease in imports from South Korea (light trucks and passenger cars).
The merchandise trade deficit with countries other than the United States widened from $8.3 billion in July to $9.2 billion in August.
Key facts:
a) Nearly $14B of the surplus is related to energy.
b) Canada continues to face challenges with near shoring of manufacturing
c) Canada needs to streamline regulations as part of getting goods out of the ground to market
d) Canada lacks ports and rail capacity to ship record levels of grains.
Source: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/221005/dq221005a-eng.htm
Summary:
New orders for U.S.-made goods fell slightly more than expected in December, but manufacturing remains supported by businesses replenishing inventories.
The Commerce Department said on Thursday that factory orders decreased 0.4% in December. Data for November was revised higher to show orders increasing 1.8% instead of 1.6% as previously reported. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast factory orders slipping 0.2%. Orders increased 16.9% in 2021.
Manufacturing, which accounts for 11.9% of the economy, is being underpinned by businesses rebuilding inventories.
Source - https://money.usnews.com/investing/news/articles/2022-02-03/u-s-factory-orders-fall-in-december-shipments-rise-further
1. USA Manufacturing – https://www.yakimaherald.com/reshoring-manufacturing-might-be-washingtons-future/article_453dc45d-b050-58a8-9bf9-27a7d6a0c516.html
2. Manufacturing optimization - https://www.energy.gov/eere/amo/articles/department-energy-awards-28-million-10-projects-will-develop-emerging
3. AI and manufacturing - https://research.aimultiple.com/manufacturing-ai/
4. Robotics - https://austincountynewsonline.com/a-record-number-of-robots-joined-american-workforce-in-2021-amid-covid-labor-crunch/
5. Shortages - https://shopmetaltech.com/industry-update/u-s-manufacturing-grew-in-january-but-remains-plagued-by-bottlenecks.html
6. Food Production - https://manufacturingglobal.com/ai-and-automation/expect-to-see-these-food-manufacturing-trends-in-2022
7. Semiconductors - https://rollcall.com/2022/02/04/cost-to-rebuild-u-s-semiconductor-manufacturing-will-keep-growing/
8. PMI - https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/manufacturing-pmi-829
9. Future of manufacturing - https://seekingalpha.com/article/4484370-future-of-manufacturing
10. Automotive - https://www.tti.com/content/ttiinc/en/resources/marketeye/categories/industry/me-staff-20220204.html
11. Farm - https://www.tti.com/content/ttiinc/en/resources/marketeye/categories/industry/me-staff-20220204.html
12. Automation - https://www.bmc.com/blogs/it-automation-trends/
13. Raw material - https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/tech/2022/02/419_21021.html?fa
Summary:
Imports rose in eight of 11 product sections, led by electronic and electrical equipment and parts, while motor vehicles and parts imports reached their highest level since February 2020.
Exports were driven lower by energy products, which fell for the first time since April 2021.
Source - https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/canada-posts-surprise-trade-deficit-of-c%24137-mln-in-december
1. Canada trade - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/canada-posts-c-137-million-trade-deficit-in-december-271644328443
2. Oil asset sale - https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/exclusive-canadas-crescent-point-looks-sell-some-oil-gas-assets-documents-2022-02-07/
3. Oil asset sale - https://financialpost.com/commodities/energy/oil-gas/spanish-oil-major-repsol-looking-to-sell-parts-of-its-canadian-assets-sources-2
4. Methane - https://www.canadianenergycentre.ca/international-comparisons-show-canada-doing-its-part-to-reduce-methane-emissions/
5. Clean - https://www.mondaq.com/canada/renewables/1158746/good-start-but-more-to-be-done-the-international-energy-agency39s-canada-2022-energy-policy-review
6. Mining - https://www.sudbury.com/local-news/research-network-seeking-proposals-to-modernize-mining-industry-5035029
7. Lithium - https://ca.proactiveinvestors.com/companies/news/973374/critical-resources-strengthens-canadian-lithium-footprint-on-finalising-graphic-lake-acquisition-973374.html
8. Port capacity - https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/prince-rupert-port-expansion-improving-canada-s-ability-to-move-critical-goods-and-supplies-892065707.html
9. Lumber - https://www.timberindustrynews.com/canadas-lumber-giants-expand-u-s-amid-fight-tariffs/
10. Gold - https://www.northernontariobusiness.com/mining-the-northwest/mining-the-northwest-gold-developers-have-more-mines-in-the-project-pipeline-5030583
11. Oil - https://www.energyintel.com/0000017e-d4f0-da48-a97f-fdfa08170002
12. Labor costs - https://www.ibisworld.com/canada/industry-trends/industries-highest-labor-costs/
13. Australia - https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/news-insights/research/australia-mining-by-the-numbers-2021
14. Rare Metals - https://www.kitco.com/news/2022-02-07/Global-rare-earth-metals-production-up-17-in-2021-as-production-in-China-jumps-20.html
Summary:
There were increases in orders for machinery, primary metals and electrical equipment, appliances and components. Orders for computers and electronic products also rose as did those of fabricated metal products.
Shipments of manufactured goods increased 2.3% after rising 1.1% in February. Inventories at factories gained 1.3%. Unfilled orders rose 0.4% after climbing 0.5% in the prior month.
The Commerce Department also reported that orders for non-defense capital goods, excluding aircraft, which are seen as a measure of business spending plans on equipment, rebounded 1.3% instead of 1.0% as previously reported last month.
Source - https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/rise-in-u.s.-factory-orders-beats-expectations-in-march
Summary:
• Canada's trade surplus narrowed in April, as the surplus in goods trade led the decline. Services trade also contributed to the move, as travel restrictions were lifted in Canada.
• Going forward, we see an improvement in the trade balance as higher commodity prices should support Canadian exports. Furthermore, easing supply chains should open the way for further gains in manufacturing exports.
Source - https://economics.td.com/ca-international-trade
Summary:
The copper price jumped on Tuesday after weak US manufacturing data eased concerns that the Federal Reserve will tighten monetary policy too rapidly.
The Institute for Supply Management’s gauge of US factory activity dropped to the lowest in more than two years in September, causing the dollar to retreat.
Source - https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/business/2022/10/03/s-p-500-dow-nasdaq-uk-axes-planned-tax-cut/8167019001/ or https://www.mining.com/copper-price-jumps-after-weak-us-manufacturing-data/
The increase came as imports of energy products gained 26.3 per cent for the month helped higher by imports of crude oil and bitumen as both prices and volumes rose. Imports of consumer goods rose 6.5 per cent, while motor vehicles and parts added 9.9 per cent.
Meanwhile, total exports rose 6.3 per cent to a record $63.6 billion in March as higher prices helped exports of energy products gain 12.8 per cent to a record $17.9 billion. Exports of motor vehicles and parts rose 7.9 per cent.
Excluding energy products, exports gained 4.0 per cent in March.
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/21fe3df8-4b7e-4686-8766-d42eb0539c69/ and https://www.therecord.com/ts/business/2022/05/04/canada-posts-25b-trade-surplus-for-march-as-imports-and-exports-hit-record-highs.html
Canada NR is at the make-or-break point as world is need of key commodities like oil, LNG, lithium, food, and other commodities.
After over 6 years the Liberals are now focusing on the critical metal sector in Canada.
High commodity prices continue to benefit government revenues
India continues looks at ways to expand trade relations with Canada
Iran oil production has now hit pre-sanction levels
EMEA and USA continue to look at ways to wane EMEA off Russian oil and gas
Halifax port was sold a Singapore outfit
Inflation (Cost of Living) - United States - September 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
US consumer price inflation surprised on the upside once again as rapid increases in housing costs, medical care, food and airline fares offset signs of moderation elsewhere. The Fed has admitted it is prepared to inflict economic pain to get a grip on inflation and today's report will ensure at least another 75bp rate hike in November and 50bp in December
Source - https://think.ing.com/articles/40-year-high-for-us-core-inflation-heaps-pressure-on-the-fed/
Cost of Living (Inflation) - United States - April 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Inflation slowed in April after seven months of relentless gains, a tentative sign that price increases may be peaking while still imposing a financial strain on American households
Consumer prices jumped 8.3 per cent last month from 12 months earlier, the Labor Department said Wednesday. That was below the 8.5 per cent year-over-year surge in March, which was the highest rate since 1981.
https://globalnews.ca/news/8826103/us-inflation-slowing-april/
Cost of Living (Inflation) - United States - March 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Inflation is highest since 1981. Carter was the president - https://www.thebalance.com/president-jimmy-carter-s-economic-policies-4586571
Biden was around during those times - https://www.britannica.com/biography/Joe-Biden
In June, Canada's merchandise exports increased 2.0%, mostly on crude oil and gold exports. Meanwhile, imports rose 1.7%, mainly on energy products. As a result, Canada's merchandise trade surplus with the world widened from $4.8 billion in May to $5.0 billion in June.
Consult the "International trade monthly interactive dashboard" to explore the most recent results of Canada's international trade in an interactive format.
Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/220804/dq220804a-eng.htm
Summary:
The United States posted its largest ever full-year trade deficit in the 12 months ending in December, according to data released by the Commerce Department on Tuesday, signaling continued strong economic growth and vibrant consumer demand as the country emerges from the recession induced by the COVID-19 pandemic.
https://www.voanews.com/a/us-trade-deficit-hits-record-reflecting-strong-economic-growt/6433235.html
1. USA and Australia critical metals - https://www.state.gov/the-united-states-and-australia-a-vital-partnership-for-the-indo-pacific-region-and-the-world/
2. LNG - https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Rising-LNG-Exports-Are-Becoming-A-Problem-For-Biden.html
3. Agriculture exports - https://www.usda.gov/media/press-releases/2022/02/08/american-agricultural-exports-shattered-records-2021
4. Oil - https://www.energyintel.com/0000017e-da30-da6a-a1fe-dabe30f60000
5. Automotive - https://www.natlawreview.com/article/usmca-s-panel-automotive-rules-origin-and-what-it-could-mean-to-manufacturers-region
6. Softwood lumber - https://www.natlawreview.com/article/usmca-s-panel-automotive-rules-origin-and-what-it-could-mean-to-manufacturers-region
7. Chip - https://www.cnet.com/tech/computing/global-chip-shortage-gives-us-manufacturing-a-boost/
8. Trade and Japan - https://www.commerce.gov/news/press-releases/2022/02/what-they-are-saying-industry-and-labor-applaud-us-trade-deal-japan
9. Lithium - https://cleanenergynews.ihsmarkit.com/research-analysis/us-mineral-mining-barely-keeping-pace-with-bidens-clean-energy.html
10. EV - https://cleanenergynews.ihsmarkit.com/research-analysis/us-mineral-mining-barely-keeping-pace-with-bidens-clean-energy.html
11. Port Automation - https://www.joc.com/port-news/us-ports/us-marine-terminal-acreage-abuse-cements-port-congestion_20220203.html
12. 2022 supply chain winners and losers - https://www.investmentmonitor.ai/analysis/supply-chain-winners-and-losers-2022
Cost of Living (Inflation) - United States - April 2022 (Revised PPI) .pptxpaul young cpa, cga
U.S. producer prices soared 11% in April from a year earlier, a hefty gain that indicates high inflation will remain a burden for consumers and businesses in the months ahead.
The Labor Department said Thursday that its producer price index — which measures inflation before it reaches consumers — climbed 0.5% in April from March. That is a slowdown from the previous month, however, when it jumped 1.6%.
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/producer-prices and https://www.darientimes.com/news/article/US-producer-prices-surge-11-in-April-on-higher-17167651.php
Bank of Canada - What is next for Monetary Policies - April 2022 (Revised Mar...paul young cpa, cga
Canada inflation rate hit nearly 7% for March 2022. Canada has one of the highest inflation rates in the G7.
Higher interest rates mean less cash for retail sales
Government continues to push their green agenda driving more green inflation
Cost of Living (Inflation) - United States - May 2022 (incl PPI).pptxpaul young cpa, cga
US inflation accelerated to a fresh 40-year high in May, a sign that price pressures are becoming entrenched in the economy. That will likely push the Federal Reserve to extend an aggressive series of interest-rate hikes and adds to political problems for the White House and Democrats.
The consumer price index increased 8.6 per cent from a year earlier in a broad-based advance, Labor Department data showed Friday. The widely followed inflation gauge rose 1 per cent from a month earlier, topping all estimates. Shelter, food and gas were the largest contributors.
The so-called core CPI, which strips out the more volatile food and energy components, rose 0.6 per cent from the prior month and 6 per cent from a year ago, also above forecasts.
Source - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/u-s-inflation-unexpectedly-accelerates-to-40-year-high-1.1777105
Similar to Merchandise Trade - USA - April 2022.pptx (20)
Global Housing Market Analysis and Commentary- September 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
Homebuilders are walking a fine line when it comes to new projects as high mortgage rates curb demand.
New residential construction, including single-family homes and multifamily, dropped 11.3% month over month in August to 1.283 million units on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to Census Bureau data released Tuesday. That's down 14.8% compared with a year ago and well below the 1.44 million units economists surveyed by Bloomberg projected.
But authorized residential permits — an indicator of potential future activity — rose 6.9% to 1.543 million permits in August from July. That was still down 2.7% from last August. Single-family permits, though, were up 2% from July to 949,000. Multifamily permits came in at 535,000.
The data reflects two opposing forces builders are trying to balance: the ongoing need for new construction to fill in limited inventory and elevated mortgage rates that are hurting their biggest customer right now, the first-time homebuyer.
"High mortgage rates are clearly taking a toll on builder confidence and consumer demand, as a growing number of buyers are electing to defer a home purchase until long-term rates move lower," Robert Dietz, chief economist of the National Association of Home Builders, said Monday in a press release after builder confidence dropped for the second straight month.
Source: https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/homebuilders-face-a-tough-balancing-act-on-new-construction-amid-high-mortgage-rates-130744368.html
Blog – What is next for the Mining Sector – September 2023
The mining sector provides critical material that support solar, wind, and lithium-ion batteries as part of the green transition. https://www.iea.org/news/critical-minerals-market-sees-unprecedented-growth-as-clean-energy-demand-drives-strong-increase-in-investment
The mining sector products play a key role with the global GDP - https://www.yicaiglobal.com/news/global-mining-industry-value-was-69-of-world-gdp-last-year-china-says
Mining practices need to be sustainable including following all ESG policies - https://www.linkedin.com/advice/1/how-can-you-monitor-sustainable-mining-practices
Other links and sources –
Lithium Supply and Price - https://zbr.com.mx/en/sin-categoria-es/lithium-prices-fall-44-in-china-due-to-lack-of-demand/138168/
Cobalt - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/mahmut-karada%C5%9F-a2b7a5151_china-exportrestrictions-gallium-activity-7082603182589157376-Zrty/?trk=public_profile_like_view
Nickel https://www.eureporter.co/business/2023/09/15/stanislav-kondrashov-from-telf-ag-nickel-prices-outlook-remains-positive/
Iron-ore - https://www.brecorder.com/news/40263584/sgx-iron-ore-set-for-best-week-in-3-months
TD Bank / Metals - https://www.tdsecurities.com/ca/en/setting-the-stage-for-gold-outlook
Biodiversity / Mining - https://worldcrunch.com/green/lithium-green-energy-argentina-indigenous
ESG - https://iriscarbon.com/the-added-value-of-integrated-esg-reporting-a-threefold-framework/
Blog – Manufacturing Shipments and Orders – The United States – August 2023
Summary:
New orders for manufacturing technology in the United States totaled $353.9 million in July 2023, as per the latest report by AMT – The Association For Manufacturing Technology. This figure marked a 12.4% decline from June 2023 but remained only 10.5% lower than July 2022. Year-to-date orders amounted to $2.83 billion, reflecting a 12.7% decrease compared to the same period the previous year.
Douglas K. Woods, President of AMT, noted that July is typically a slower month for manufacturing technology orders, so a slight drop was expected. However, he pointed out a notable trend: over the last two months, the year-to-date order gap has narrowed during historically slow periods. While job shops have seen decreased orders, other industries that benefited from reshoring or government investments have helped fill the gap.
Among specific sectors, job shops, the largest customer segment, placed their lowest total monthly orders since August 2020. In contrast, metal valve manufacturers recorded their third-highest monthly order value on record, last seen in September 2018, making up nearly 5% of the total manufacturing technology order value for July 2023. Manufacturers of motor vehicle transmissions continued to order machinery at an elevated pace. However, the aerospace industry continued to order below its early 2022 peaks, with hopes that recent projects like the federal government's $1.5 billion investment in communications satellites might reverse this trend.
Source: https://www.sme.org/technologies/articles/2023/september/u.s.-manufacturing-technology-orders-dip-in-july-but-show-resilience-amid-economic-uncertainty
Stock Market Analysis and Commentary for WE September 15 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Blog – Analysis and Commentary – Stock Market – WE September 15 2023
Summary:
Stocks fell Friday as investors wrap up a volatile week ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting.
The Dow Jones Industrials tumbled 288.87 points to close out Friday and the week at 34,618.24. At its lows, it completely wiped out Thursday's 332-point rally.
The S&P 500 index sank 54.78 points, or 1.2%, to 4,450.32.
The NASDAQ index plunged 217.72 points, or 1.6%, to 13,708.33.
The Dow held onto a winning week. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ both closed out the week with losses.
Information technology was the worst-performing sector in the S&P 500, down nearly 2%. Adobe shares fell more than 4% even after the software firm posted better-than-expected quarterly results. Shares of Arm Holdings were lower one day after its successful public debut.
Auto stocks General Motors and Stellantis N.V. were higher Friday, while Ford Motor was about flat. Thousands of members of the United Auto Workers went on strike after failing to reach a deal with the automakers Thursday night.
Elsewhere, Lennar shares slid 3%. The home construction firm posted third-quarter results that beat on the top and bottom lines.
On the economic front, the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey showed one-year inflation expectations dropped to 3.1% in
September, tied for the lowest since January 2021. Also, the five-year outlook fell to 2.7%, matching its lowest since December 2020.
Electricity Analysis - Canada and the OECD - June 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
Over three-quarters of the world’s total coal-generated electricity is consumed in just three countries. China is the top user of coal, making up 53.3% of global coal demand, followed by India at 13.6%, and the U.S. at 8.9%.
Burning coal—for electricity, as well as metallurgy and cement production—is the world’s single largest source of CO2 emissions. Nevertheless, its use in electricity generation has actually grown 91.2% since 1997, the year when the first global climate agreement was signed in Kyoto, Japan.
However, even as non-renewables enjoy their time in the sun, their days could be numbered.
In 2022, renewables, such as wind, solar, and geothermal, represented 14.4% of total electricity generation with an extraordinary annual growth rate of 14.7%, driven by big gains in solar and wind. Non-renewables, by contrast, only managed an anemic 0.4%.
The authors of the Statistical Review do not include hydroelectric in their renewable calculations, even though many others, including the International Energy Agency, consider it a “well-established renewable power technology.”
With hydroelectric moved into the renewable column, together they accounted for over 29.3% of all electricity generated in 2022, with an annual growth rate of 7.4%.
Source - https://energynow.ca/2023/09/infographic-what-electricity-sources-power-the-world-see-them-here-visual-capitalist/
Stock Market Analysis and Commentary for WE September 9 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
What did the markets tell us this week?
1. Housing supply and costs continue to plague countries around the world.
2. Gasoline prices are on the rise that puts pressure on central banks ability to hit their core inflation targets.
3. ESG adoption by both the private and public sector is leading to both funding concerns and the overall cost of implementing ESG policies.
4. Adopting technology as part of increasing food production is facing both capital and operational funding concerns.
5. Strike at LNG facility in Australia is leading to concerns around a supply chain disruption of natural gas for EMEA and Asia.
6. The threat of China dumping batteries into markets - https://www.ft.com/content/b6038e51-7b5b-4f97-a5da-9202e71562fc
7. Adoption of generative AI has been facing many challenges related to security, privacy, and ethical issues.
8. Lack of biodiversity planning as part of the overall climate mitigation including sustainable mining, forestry, oil, gas, agriculture, and housing
9. Geopolitical issues continue to impact supply chain.
10. The concerns of recession continue to plague both the private and public sector.
11. Productivity issues continue to plague governments around the world.
Global (Mining Oil and Gas Forestry and Agriculture) Analysis and Commentary ...paul young cpa, cga
The mining, oil, gas, agriculture, forestry, and mining continue to face environmental, social, and governance policy review including reporting of key metrics as part of ESG reporting cycle.
There is more focus on profitability and investment returns as part of the integrated planning and reporting cycle.
Summary:
The global economy faces what at least one forecaster is calling a mild trade recession as shipments from China slump and German factories downshift.
China’s export declines extended into August, though there were signs that the worst of a world trade slowdown may be over for the leading exporter.
Overseas shipments from China fell 8.8% in dollar terms from a year earlier while imports contracted 7.3%, both better than economists’ estimates and significantly less severe than July’s downturn.
Other data have suggested trade may be stabilizing after weakening for most of this year. Exports from South Korea also declined at a more moderate pace in August than the previous month.
Source: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2023-09-07/supply-chain-latest-world-trade-faces-a-shallow-recession?srnd=economics-v2
Additional sources and links:
Lithium - https://source.benchmarkminerals.com/article/falling-lithium-prices-challenge-potential-cost-advantages-of-sodium-batteries
Oil Production - https://www.cnn.com/2023/09/06/business/oil-price-goldman-sachs/index.html
Natural gas - https://www.fxstreet.com/news/natural-gas-holds-up-as-markets-in-limbo-over-strikes-202309070956
Lumber - https://www.fastmarkets.com/insights/sawmill-capacity-closures-reshape-us-lumber-supply
Critical metals - https://www.wasterecyclingmag.ca/feature/how-recycling-could-solve-the-shortage-of-minerals-essential-to-clean-energy/
Agriculture - https://www.morningagclips.com/economists-forecast-positive-end-of-year-crop-outlook-despite-warmer-midwestern-climate/
ESG - https://www.skadden.com/insights/publications/2023/09/the-informed-board/the-eus-new-esg-disclosure-rules
Ports - https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/HAPAG-LLOYD-AG-24857717/news/Hapag-Lloyd-chief-warns-of-rougher-seas-ahead-for-container-shipping-44789017/
Top destination for reshoring - https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/economy/2023/08/29/uae-in-top-10-most-powerful-passports-for-investment-opportunity/
Global Trade - https://phys.org/news/2023-09-opinion-broke-global-climate-finish.html
What is next for the Forestry Sector and Lumber Production - September 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Lumber production in Canada continues to face many hurdles
Canada forest management practices are some of the bests in the world
Canada planted over 440M in seedlings back in 2018. It is now 2022 which means close 2M seedlings have been planted.
All levels need to put more focus on urban and rural planning solutions
More work including spending on wildfire and forest fire mitigation
Canada and USA need to find a path forward to resolve the softwood lumber dispute
There needs to a better balanced between climate change policies and growing the economy in a sustainable way
3D printing for housing needs to become mainstream
More protection needs to happen with key ecosystems like wetlands, forest, and peatlands.
There is a risk of debt default if interest rates are hike over the next few months
Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank Introduce New Co-Branded Credit Cardnickysharmasucks
The unveiling of the IndusInd Bank Poonawalla Fincorp eLITE RuPay Platinum Credit Card marks a notable milestone in the Indian financial landscape, showcasing a successful partnership between two leading institutions, Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank. This co-branded credit card not only offers users a plethora of benefits but also reflects a commitment to innovation and adaptation. With a focus on providing value-driven and customer-centric solutions, this launch represents more than just a new product—it signifies a step towards redefining the banking experience for millions. Promising convenience, rewards, and a touch of luxury in everyday financial transactions, this collaboration aims to cater to the evolving needs of customers and set new standards in the industry.
how to swap pi coins to foreign currency withdrawable.DOT TECH
As of my last update, Pi is still in the testing phase and is not tradable on any exchanges.
However, Pi Network has announced plans to launch its Testnet and Mainnet in the future, which may include listing Pi on exchanges.
The current method for selling pi coins involves exchanging them with a pi vendor who purchases pi coins for investment reasons.
If you want to sell your pi coins, reach out to a pi vendor and sell them to anyone looking to sell pi coins from any country around the globe.
Below is the contact information for my personal pi vendor.
Telegram: @Pi_vendor_247
Currently pi network is not tradable on binance or any other exchange because we are still in the enclosed mainnet.
Right now the only way to sell pi coins is by trading with a verified merchant.
What is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone verified by pi network team and allowed to barter pi coins for goods and services.
Since pi network is not doing any pre-sale The only way exchanges like binance/huobi or crypto whales can get pi is by buying from miners. And a merchant stands in between the exchanges and the miners.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant. I and my friends has traded more than 6000pi coins successfully
Tele-gram
@Pi_vendor_247
What price will pi network be listed on exchangesDOT TECH
The rate at which pi will be listed is practically unknown. But due to speculations surrounding it the predicted rate is tends to be from 30$ — 50$.
So if you are interested in selling your pi network coins at a high rate tho. Or you can't wait till the mainnet launch in 2026. You can easily trade your pi coins with a merchant.
A merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and resell them to Investors looking forward to hold massive quantities till mainnet launch.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024 - Ricerca sulle Startup e il Sistema dell'Innov...Quotidiano Piemontese
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024
Una ricerca de il Club degli Investitori, in collaborazione con ToTeM Torino Tech Map e con il supporto della ESCP Business School e di Growth Capital
Even tho Pi network is not listed on any exchange yet.
Buying/Selling or investing in pi network coins is highly possible through the help of vendors. You can buy from vendors[ buy directly from the pi network miners and resell it]. I will leave the telegram contact of my personal vendor.
@Pi_vendor_247
what is the future of Pi Network currency.DOT TECH
The future of the Pi cryptocurrency is uncertain, and its success will depend on several factors. Pi is a relatively new cryptocurrency that aims to be user-friendly and accessible to a wide audience. Here are a few key considerations for its future:
Message: @Pi_vendor_247 on telegram if u want to sell PI COINS.
1. Mainnet Launch: As of my last knowledge update in January 2022, Pi was still in the testnet phase. Its success will depend on a successful transition to a mainnet, where actual transactions can take place.
2. User Adoption: Pi's success will be closely tied to user adoption. The more users who join the network and actively participate, the stronger the ecosystem can become.
3. Utility and Use Cases: For a cryptocurrency to thrive, it must offer utility and practical use cases. The Pi team has talked about various applications, including peer-to-peer transactions, smart contracts, and more. The development and implementation of these features will be essential.
4. Regulatory Environment: The regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies is evolving globally. How Pi navigates and complies with regulations in various jurisdictions will significantly impact its future.
5. Technology Development: The Pi network must continue to develop and improve its technology, security, and scalability to compete with established cryptocurrencies.
6. Community Engagement: The Pi community plays a critical role in its future. Engaged users can help build trust and grow the network.
7. Monetization and Sustainability: The Pi team's monetization strategy, such as fees, partnerships, or other revenue sources, will affect its long-term sustainability.
It's essential to approach Pi or any new cryptocurrency with caution and conduct due diligence. Cryptocurrency investments involve risks, and potential rewards can be uncertain. The success and future of Pi will depend on the collective efforts of its team, community, and the broader cryptocurrency market dynamics. It's advisable to stay updated on Pi's development and follow any updates from the official Pi Network website or announcements from the team.
BYD SWOT Analysis and In-Depth Insights 2024.pptxmikemetalprod
Indepth analysis of the BYD 2024
BYD (Build Your Dreams) is a Chinese automaker and battery manufacturer that has snowballed over the past two decades to become a significant player in electric vehicles and global clean energy technology.
This SWOT analysis examines BYD's strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats as it competes in the fast-changing automotive and energy storage industries.
Founded in 1995 and headquartered in Shenzhen, BYD started as a battery company before expanding into automobiles in the early 2000s.
Initially manufacturing gasoline-powered vehicles, BYD focused on plug-in hybrid and fully electric vehicles, leveraging its expertise in battery technology.
Today, BYD is the world’s largest electric vehicle manufacturer, delivering over 1.2 million electric cars globally. The company also produces electric buses, trucks, forklifts, and rail transit.
On the energy side, BYD is a major supplier of rechargeable batteries for cell phones, laptops, electric vehicles, and energy storage systems.
US Economic Outlook - Being Decided - M Capital Group August 2021.pdfpchutichetpong
The U.S. economy is continuing its impressive recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic and not slowing down despite re-occurring bumps. The U.S. savings rate reached its highest ever recorded level at 34% in April 2020 and Americans seem ready to spend. The sectors that had been hurt the most by the pandemic specifically reduced consumer spending, like retail, leisure, hospitality, and travel, are now experiencing massive growth in revenue and job openings.
Could this growth lead to a “Roaring Twenties”? As quickly as the U.S. economy contracted, experiencing a 9.1% drop in economic output relative to the business cycle in Q2 2020, the largest in recorded history, it has rebounded beyond expectations. This surprising growth seems to be fueled by the U.S. government’s aggressive fiscal and monetary policies, and an increase in consumer spending as mobility restrictions are lifted. Unemployment rates between June 2020 and June 2021 decreased by 5.2%, while the demand for labor is increasing, coupled with increasing wages to incentivize Americans to rejoin the labor force. Schools and businesses are expected to fully reopen soon. In parallel, vaccination rates across the country and the world continue to rise, with full vaccination rates of 50% and 14.8% respectively.
However, it is not completely smooth sailing from here. According to M Capital Group, the main risks that threaten the continued growth of the U.S. economy are inflation, unsettled trade relations, and another wave of Covid-19 mutations that could shut down the world again. Have we learned from the past year of COVID-19 and adapted our economy accordingly?
“In order for the U.S. economy to continue growing, whether there is another wave or not, the U.S. needs to focus on diversifying supply chains, supporting business investment, and maintaining consumer spending,” says Grace Feeley, a research analyst at M Capital Group.
While the economic indicators are positive, the risks are coming closer to manifesting and threatening such growth. The new variants spreading throughout the world, Delta, Lambda, and Gamma, are vaccine-resistant and muddy the predictions made about the economy and health of the country. These variants bring back the feeling of uncertainty that has wreaked havoc not only on the stock market but the mindset of people around the world. MCG provides unique insight on how to mitigate these risks to possibly ensure a bright economic future.
Falcon stands out as a top-tier P2P Invoice Discounting platform in India, bridging esteemed blue-chip companies and eager investors. Our goal is to transform the investment landscape in India by establishing a comprehensive destination for borrowers and investors with diverse profiles and needs, all while minimizing risk. What sets Falcon apart is the elimination of intermediaries such as commercial banks and depository institutions, allowing investors to enjoy higher yields.
What website can I sell pi coins securely.DOT TECH
Currently there are no website or exchange that allow buying or selling of pi coins..
But you can still easily sell pi coins, by reselling it to exchanges/crypto whales interested in holding thousands of pi coins before the mainnet launch.
Who is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and resell to these crypto whales and holders of pi..
This is because pi network is not doing any pre-sale. The only way exchanges can get pi is by buying from miners and pi merchants stands in between the miners and the exchanges.
How can I sell my pi coins?
Selling pi coins is really easy, but first you need to migrate to mainnet wallet before you can do that. I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
Tele-gram.
@Pi_vendor_247
1. Merchandise Trade – United
States – April 2022
Paul Young CPA CGA
June 7, 2022
2. Paul Young - Bio
• CPA, CGA
• Academia (PF1, FA4, FN2, MU1. and MS2)
• SME – Customer Success Management
• SME – Risk Management
• SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
• SME – Public Policy
• SME – Emerging Technology
• SME – Business Process Change
• SME – Financial Solutions
• SME – Macro/Micro Indicators
• SME – Supply Chain Management
• SME – Data, AI, Security, and Platform
• SME – Internal Controls and Auditing
Contact information email: Paul_Young_CGA@hotmail.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paul-young-055632b/
SlideShare - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga
Twitter: https://twitter.com/paulyoungcpa
Youtube - https://www.youtube.com/user/youngercga1968/videos
3. Agenda
• Summary
• Trade Balance Summary – USA
• Analysis of Imports and Exports
• Trade by key Countries
• USA and China Trade
• Blog – Energy Crisis
• Blog – Supply Chain
• Summary
8. China and USA Trade
Source - https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3166325/us-china-trade-deal-
historic-failure-purchases-more-30-cent and https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economic-
issues-watch/china-bought-none-extra-200-billion-us-exports-trumps-trade
US-China trade deal
a ‘historic failure’ with purchases more than 30 per cent short of target, PIIE report says South China Mornin
9. Blog – Is the World heading to an Energy Crisis –
October 2021
Australia exported 3-13 million tons per month of coal to China in 2020. If China needs 50 million tons per month that is
rapid increase in coal production. It is unclear in China and Australia would be able to ramp to meet the demand. China is
already in a shortage of perhaps 50 million tons per month.
If there is a rapid surge in coal importing to China, there could be overbidding that causes shortages for other Asian
countries. This will also make the supply chain problems even worse.
Prioritizing heating over electricity means more factory shutdowns.
Prioritizing heating coal imports over other supply chain means that the 200 ships waiting to get unloaded get bumped back
at the ports for hundreds of coal ships.
China having coal production problems is tough because building other sources of electricity and heating will take years.
Especially if China wants to get beyond current levels to support 6% per year GDP growth.
https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2021/10/173364.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+blogsp
ot%2Fadvancednano+%28nextbigfuture%29
This ties nicely to my work on energy - https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/world-heading-energy-crisis-paul-young/
10. Blog - Changes for Supply Chain Workers Needed to Save Global Economy - https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/blog-changes-
supply-chain-workers-needed-save-global-paul-young/?published=t
Transportation worker organizations have an open letter urging world leaders to remove restrictions hampering
the free movement of transport workers, and guarantee and facilitate their free and safe movement.
Land, Sea and air travel worker organizations support $20 trillion of world trade annually and represent 65
million global transport workers, and over 3.5 million road freight and airline companies, as well as more than
80% of the world merchant shipping fleet.
https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2021/09/173322.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed
%3A+blogspot%2Fadvancednano+%28nextbigfuture%29
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-to-reshore-supply-chain-and-build-a-resilient-supply-chain
11. 5 Maritime Shipping Trends That Are the
Wave of the Future
1. Autonomous ships
2. IoT
3. Blockchain
4. Port automation
5. Digital twins
Source - https://www.thomasnet.com/insights/5-maritime-shipping-trends-that-are-the-
wave-of-the-future/?ecms_id=fa73157e-ea09-4809-95ce-
684f7331a943&ecms_short=ART6523&doc_type=ted_article&sponsored=&acct=&p
arent_id=989b7bcd-7758-47df-999c-
5fa679a630fa&utm_content=featuredstory&position=1&linktype=title&channel=emai
l&campaign_type=thomas_industry_update&campaign_name=tiu220208&utm_camp
aign=tiu220208&utm_medium=email&utm_source=thomas_industry_update&tinid=2
21763045
My work:
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/transportation-sector-analysis-and-
commentary-november-2021
12. Supply Chain and Taxes
Companies worldwide are adapting to the pandemic by shifting production closer to customers, but such efforts
to make supply chains more resilient also complicate tax obligations, EY said.
“There’s a lot of benefits that can be obtained” by overhauling global supply chains, according to Craig Hillier,
international tax and transactions services leader at EY. “But there are all these knock-on tax, financial system,
payroll, people, talent issues that need to be addressed as well.”
CFOs need to consider “a whole host of tax issues,” including exit tax cost and transfer of goodwill, Hillier said
Thursday during an EY webinar. At the same time, companies shifting supply chains might gain benefits such as
tax breaks and funding for employment and training, he said, noting “there’s a lot out there at the moment that
companies can take advantage of.”
https://www.cfodive.com/news/supply-chain-overhaul-brings-benefits-tax-complexity-
ey/617973/?utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Issue:%202022-01-
31%20CFO%20Dive%20%5Bissue:39446%5D&utm_term=CFO%20Dive
My work: https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-next-for-the-global-economy-january-2022-
251041058
13. Summary
• Both Canada and USA are now pushing policies related to critical metals
• USA continues to look at ways to expand energy exports to EMEA
• Middle East oil imports to USA continue to expand under Biden
• Biden propose corporate tax change may have influence on FDI
Blog – Merchandise Trade – United States – April 2022
USA Trade - April
2022.pdf
Trade Deficit
Narrows Most on Record Transport Topics.pdf
For First Time, U.S.
Imports Topped $1 Trillion In 4 Months, New Data Shows.pdf
Banning U.S. Oil
Exports Would Be Biden’s Ultimate Energy Folly.pdf
U.S. liquefied natural
gas exports to Europe increased during the first 4 months of 2022 Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide.pdf
Mexican trade
dispute may dramatically impact U.S. corn growers.pdf
Container shipping
data shows US demand for imports is falling hard - FreightWaves.pdf
The OPEC Fund
dedicates US$1 billion to global food security.pdf
How the United
States is promoting food security, locally and globally - ExBulletin.pdf
Top 5 supply chain
security trends Security Magazine.pdf
Mexico’s snub of
summit could make country vulnerable to trade disputes KERA News.pdf
USTR sees dispute
settlement ‘evolution’ in Pacific deal - Lexis®PSL, ....pdf
Global Shipping
Market Has Performed Well Recently, with Shanghai Ports Seeing A Peak in Shipments_SMM Shanghai Non ferrous Metals.pdf
U.S. LNG Exports To
Europe Increased During 1Q Of 2022 Rigzone.pdf
The Biggest Reshuffle
Of Oil Flows Since The 1970s.pdf
Summary:
The U.S. trade deficit shrunk in April by the most on record in dollar terms, reflecting a drop in
the value of imports amid COVID lockdowns in China while exports climbed.
The gap in goods and services trade narrowed $20.6 billion, or 19.1%, to $87.1 billion,
Commerce Department data showed June 7. The median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of
economists called for an $89.5 billion deficit. The figures aren’t adjusted for inflation.
Imports dropped in April as factory activity in China fell to the lowest level since February 2020
amid strict lockdowns to curb the spread of COVID-19. While manufacturing in the country has
improved since, the measures still are straining already tenuous global supply chains, especially
when coupled with Russia’s war in Ukraine
Source - https://www.ttnews.com/articles/trade-deficit-narrows-most-record-muted-china-imports
1. USA oil imports - https://www.forbes.com/sites/kenroberts/2022/06/07/for-first-time-us-
imports-topped-1-trillion-in-4-months-new-data-shows/?sh=689954e32bf6 and
https://www.forbes.com/sites/daneberhart/2022/06/07/banning-us-exports-would-be-bidens-
ultimate-energy-folly/?sh=7f29f3b93b92
2. Natural Gas - https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/u-s-liquefied-natural-gas-exports-to-
europe-increased-during-the-first-4-months-of-2022/
3. Corn exports - https://www.advisorsmagazine.com/business/100-leadership-news/24029-
mexican-trade-dispute-may-dramatically-impact-u-s-corn-growers
4. Imports - https://www.freightwaves.com/news/us-import-demand-drops-off-a-cliff
14. Other Sources
• If you like to learn
more about trade
and/or other
subjects as part of
your professional
learning and
development, then
feel free to review
my material on
https://www.udem
y.com/ (search Paul
Young CPA CGA