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Money, Banking,
and Business
Lecture 12
Market Efficiency and
the Flow of Funds
Questions?
Rate is a function of
maturity
credit risk
liquidity
taxes
Maturity
rates over the life of
the instrument
Expectations Theory
long term rate is the
geometric average
of the expected
short term rates
Simple Average
Geometric Average
= (a + b) /2
= √a x b
Simple Average
= (3 + 7) /2
= 5
= √a x b
= 4.58
Geometric Average
Liquidity Premium
Premium to wait
longer to cash in
Credit Risk
default
ratings
junk bonds
Rating Agencies
Risk Premiums
spreads
between rates
benchmark
U.S Treasury
Taxes
After tax
Municipals
Higher marginal rates
attract demand
U.S.
Treasury
Municipal
Bond
Rate 5% 4%
Tax Bracket 30% 0%
After Tax Rate 3.5% 4%
Rate
Factors
Bond
A
Bond
B
∆
Base
Rate
2.5% 2.5% 0%
Maturity 1.0% 2.0% 1.0%
Liquidity 1.0% 1.5% 0.5%
Credit 1.0% 2.0% 1.0%
Taxes 1.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Overall
Rate
6.5% 9.0% 2.5%

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