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Matrix Keputusan
Metode Bayes, Metode MPE
Studi kasus
Perusahaan Logistik PT. Ayo kirim memiliki sebuah
pelanggan yang ingin mengirimkan mobil-nya dari
Brebes ke kota Bandung. Dikarenakan perusahaan
ini masih baru jadi mereka ingin melakukan survei
jalan terlebih dahulu lalu didapatkan lah jalur alternatif
1,2 dan 3. Dari ketiga rute tersebut manager akan
memilih salah satu rute yang paling murah.
RUTE ALTERNATIF
Alternatif:
Alternatif 1 - Jl.Tol Cikopo - Palimanan
Alternatif 2 - Jl.margasari - jatibarang
Alternatif 3 - JL cirebon – Bandung
Kriteria: Jarak-Waktu-Biaya
Metode Penilaian : Ordinal (Generik)
1. Sangat Kurang, 2 Kurang, 3 Biasa, 4. Bagus, 5 Sangat Bagus
Hasil survei
Alternatif 1 (Full Tol)
• Jarak yang jauh
• Biaya Tol mahal
• Sangat Cepat.
Alternatif 2 (Jl Raya + Jl Tol)
• Jarak yang lumayan jauh
• Waktu perjalanan tidak terlalu
cepat dan tidak terlalu lambat
• Biaya tidak semahal alternatif 1
Alternatif 3 (Full jl Raya)
• Jarak yang dekat.
• Waktu sedikit lebih lambat.
• Biaya sangat murah.
Matrix Keputusan: Metode Bayes & MPE
Alternatif Nilai Keputusan
Jarak Waktu Biaya Bayes MPE
1. Jl Tol Cikopo -Palimanan 2 5 2 3,2 648
2. Jl. Margasari-Jatibarang (Tol&Raya) 3 3 3 3 135
3. Jl. Raya Cirebon-Bandung 4 2 5 3,5 222
Bobot kriteria Bayes 0,3 0,4 0,3
MPE 3 4 3
• Metode Bayes:
• Alternatif 1: 2 (0,3) + 5 (0,4) + 2 (0,3) = 3,2
• Alternatif 2: 3 (0,3) + 3 (0,4) + 3 (0,3) = 3
• Alternatif 3: 4 (0,3) + 2 (0,4) + 5 (0,3) = 3,5
Metode MPE:
Alternatif 1: 2^3 + 5^4 + 2^3 = 8+625+8 = 648
Alternatif 2: 3^3 + 3^4 + 3^3 = 27+81+27 = 135
Alternatif 3: 4^3 + 2^4 + 5^3 =81+16+125 = 222
Pengambilan
keputusan
Rute Alternatif 3
Dengan didapatkannya perhitungan di atas
perusahaan lebih condong ke jalur alternatif 3
dengan perhitungan bayes dikarenakan
perusahaan memiliki biaya yang terbatas dan
kepentingan suatu barang tidak terlalu
ditunggu oleh sipelanggan.

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Matrix Keputusan.pptx

  • 2. Studi kasus Perusahaan Logistik PT. Ayo kirim memiliki sebuah pelanggan yang ingin mengirimkan mobil-nya dari Brebes ke kota Bandung. Dikarenakan perusahaan ini masih baru jadi mereka ingin melakukan survei jalan terlebih dahulu lalu didapatkan lah jalur alternatif 1,2 dan 3. Dari ketiga rute tersebut manager akan memilih salah satu rute yang paling murah.
  • 3. RUTE ALTERNATIF Alternatif: Alternatif 1 - Jl.Tol Cikopo - Palimanan Alternatif 2 - Jl.margasari - jatibarang Alternatif 3 - JL cirebon – Bandung Kriteria: Jarak-Waktu-Biaya Metode Penilaian : Ordinal (Generik) 1. Sangat Kurang, 2 Kurang, 3 Biasa, 4. Bagus, 5 Sangat Bagus
  • 4. Hasil survei Alternatif 1 (Full Tol) • Jarak yang jauh • Biaya Tol mahal • Sangat Cepat. Alternatif 2 (Jl Raya + Jl Tol) • Jarak yang lumayan jauh • Waktu perjalanan tidak terlalu cepat dan tidak terlalu lambat • Biaya tidak semahal alternatif 1 Alternatif 3 (Full jl Raya) • Jarak yang dekat. • Waktu sedikit lebih lambat. • Biaya sangat murah.
  • 5. Matrix Keputusan: Metode Bayes & MPE Alternatif Nilai Keputusan Jarak Waktu Biaya Bayes MPE 1. Jl Tol Cikopo -Palimanan 2 5 2 3,2 648 2. Jl. Margasari-Jatibarang (Tol&Raya) 3 3 3 3 135 3. Jl. Raya Cirebon-Bandung 4 2 5 3,5 222 Bobot kriteria Bayes 0,3 0,4 0,3 MPE 3 4 3 • Metode Bayes: • Alternatif 1: 2 (0,3) + 5 (0,4) + 2 (0,3) = 3,2 • Alternatif 2: 3 (0,3) + 3 (0,4) + 3 (0,3) = 3 • Alternatif 3: 4 (0,3) + 2 (0,4) + 5 (0,3) = 3,5 Metode MPE: Alternatif 1: 2^3 + 5^4 + 2^3 = 8+625+8 = 648 Alternatif 2: 3^3 + 3^4 + 3^3 = 27+81+27 = 135 Alternatif 3: 4^3 + 2^4 + 5^3 =81+16+125 = 222
  • 6. Pengambilan keputusan Rute Alternatif 3 Dengan didapatkannya perhitungan di atas perusahaan lebih condong ke jalur alternatif 3 dengan perhitungan bayes dikarenakan perusahaan memiliki biaya yang terbatas dan kepentingan suatu barang tidak terlalu ditunggu oleh sipelanggan.