SlideShare a Scribd company logo
[1]
Amsterdam Business School
“What is the impact of likelihood of dismissal on the
provision of performance-based compensation?”
MSc: Accountancy and Control
Track: Control
Thesis Supervisor: Dr. P. Kroos
Athanasios Koutras
ID: 10232214
Amsterdam, June 2012
[2]
Contents
Contents...........................................................................................................................2
1. Introduction.......................................................................................................3
1.1. Background……………………………………………………….3
1.2. Research question………………………………………………....4
1.3. Motivation………………………………………………….……..4
2. Literature review and hypothesis…………....................................................5
2.1. Incentives and Sorting………………………………….………....5
2.2. Incentive compensation…………………………………………..6
2.3. Threat of dismissal………………………………………..………10
2.3.1. Why dismissal…………………………………...10
2.3.2. Firing cost and the termination incentive………..11
2.4. Key factors that affect the likelihood of dismissal and the influence of
Corporate Governance…………………………………..………...12
2.5.Relationship between performance-based compensation and threat of
dismissal……………………………………………………….….15
3. Research Design…….………………………………………………………...16
3.1. Sample selection………………………………………………….16
3.2. Empirical model………………………………………………….16
3.2.1. Dependent Variables…………………………….17
3.2.2. Independent variables…………………………...17
3.2.3. Control Variables………………………………..19
4. Findings………………………………………………………………………..21
4.1. Descriptive statistics……………………………………………..21
4.2. Empirical results……………………………………………...….24
5. Conclusion……………………………………………………………………..29
[3]
Abstract
Prior studies have examined the relationship between the likelihood of dismissal and
performance. This study makes one step forward and attempts to detect if there is a
correlation between the threat of dismissal, used as incentive, and performance-based
compensation. The findings of the current paper demonstrate that there is a
complementary relationship between the CEO’s likelihood of dismissal and bonus
compensation, while they also show insignificant, though potential, evidence of a
substitute relation between the likelihood of dismissal and equity compensation.
1. Introduction
1.1 Background
Because of information asymmetry, owners of firms have limited information
regarding the actions of the managers. Therefore firms often use incentives to
encourage managers to take the desired actions that increase shareholders value, for
example through the threat of dismissal.
The threat of dismissal could be an incentive for the employees to increase their
performance and become more beneficial for the company in order not to be
dismissed. Particularly, the aforementioned incentive is much stronger when there are
other external factors which increase the cost of job loss, such as a higher
unemployment rate and a greater likelihood of a negative pay difference between the
old job and a prospective new job. According to previous research, dismissals have a
significant effect on productivity, but this relation is nonlinear (Kraft, 1991). This
means that on one hand, employees may be motivated from the possibility of
dismissal to perform better, but on the other hand the high risk of job loss could also
decrease their productivity. Many empirical studies have shown that there is a
negative relationship between performance and the probability of dismissal
(Weisbach (1988), Jensen and Murphy (1990), Kaplan (1994), Denis and Denis
(1995), Conyon (1998), and Chevalier and Ellison (1999).
Prior research distinguished several ways in which firms can provide incentives to
their employees. First, firms may provide monetary rewards if targets on predefined
[4]
performance measures are achieved. Such rewards are bonuses, stock options,
restricted options and performance units (shares). Second, managers may experience
incentives because the threat of dismissal is basically a function of the likelihood of
dismissal and the corresponding cost of job loss.
Relatively, only a few research papers have looked into the question, how various
sources of incentives relate, and if incentives from compensation substitute or
complement those incentives that follow from the threat of dismissal. This study will
investigate the behaviour of the executives’ performance evaluators. The question
becomes whether they decrease the ex-ante incentive compensation that managers
face because it is assumed that the incentives of the likelihood of job dismissal are
sufficient with regard to the provision of effort-inducing incentives?
1.2. Research question
Taking into consideration the aforementioned, I will examine the following research
question:
“What is the impact of likelihood of dismissal on the provision of performance-based
compensation?”
1.3. Motivation
There are a lot of Wall Street Journal and other business publications, reporting the
job-termination of upper-level managers in the wake of poor performance. And while
chief executive officers (CEOs) used to be more often spared from the ranks of those
who lost their jobs, events over the last few years suggest a less secure future even for
chief executives. It seems that firms have the willingness to fire some of their
employees in the name of “good performance”. However, there is limited literature
regarding this particular topic. Most of the research has focused almost exclusively on
incentives provided by pay-for-performance schemes, while ignore the ability of the
firms to dismiss certain employees and increase in this way their performance-
inducing incentives. This research will constitute a contribution to previous research,
as it will examine the extent to which, the provision of performance-based
[5]
compensation is affected by the threat of job-termination. In other words, the current
study will attempt to investigate how executive level managers’ compensation could
fluctuate due to the likelihood of dismissal.
Furthermore, as firms may be more inclined in recent years to fire executives
following poor performance, it is relevant for those firms to know whether different
incentives may be regarded as substitutes or complements. So, companies may gain
knowledge whether to increase or decrease bonuses, following an increase in the
likelihood of dismissal.
2. Literature Review and Hypothesis
2.1 Incentives and Sorting
Agency theory describes the relationship between the principal who delegates certain
tasks to the agent, who is responsible to complete this work. It explains their
differences in behaviour by stating that most of the time both parties have different
goals to meet and different attitudes toward risk. Adverse selection describes,
amongst others, the problems that principals encounter while inferring the quality of
the agent. Furthermore, the principal is not always able to fully observe the agent’s
actions and ability because of information asymmetry.
Agents always have more information than owners, regarding the firm’s performance
or even their own capabilities. Hence, the agent can use the informational advantage
to maximize his or her own benefit and interest, which leads to agency costs for the
principal. To minimize such consequences, most firms use a set of performance
measures to control agents’ activities and pressure them to increase their productivity.
They achieve that by measuring the progress of a manager toward a predefined
objective or goal, verifying ex-post whether managers have taken desired actions and
whether they are of sufficient quality. In addition managers face ex-ante incentives
when rewards or penalties are beforehand linked to performance measure outcomes.
In order for firms to improve the efficiency of these measures and realize a significant
increase in shareholders’ value, they provide a mix of incentives. One of these
incentives that will be examined in this study is the threat of dismissal.
[6]
People being fired from their jobs, is not an uncommon feature in business practice.
Although dismissals have social and economic effects to the people got fired, there is
not much known regarding whether these people lost their jobs due to limited
capabilities or just because the board of directors tried to provide effort-inducing
incentives. Kwon (2003) was the one who tried to examine the threat of dismissal
from two different views: that of “incentive or sorting”. Both of them are costly for
the company. For the example of dismissal motivated by sorting, the firm has to
search and train new employees. In addition, when compensation committees use
dismissal as incentive device, this requires a strong commitment from the firm’s
board of directors, since they may have to fire a well qualified or highly experienced
executive because of some random events (causing the poor performance).
Overall, both models predict that the likelihood of dismissal decreases with good
performance and when the agent belongs to the category of “learning-by-doing”, the
average dismissal probability decreases over time. Indeed, Dikoli et al. (2008)
document how the (negative) relationship between performance and the likelihood of
dismissal becomes weaker as the tenure of the CEO increases.
2.2 Incentive Compensation
In general, the compensation committee of the board of directors in consultation with
the human resources, finance department and other third-party consultants, are
responsible for the compensation of the chief executive officer and other managers.
According to SEC (Securities & Exchange commission), the organizations are obliged
to include a Compensation Discussion & Analysis (CD&A) section in their annual
statement, in order to get shareholders’ approval for the compensation plan.
Shareholders can evaluate this program taking into consideration the company’s
compensation philosophy, total compensation awarded, elements of the pay package,
the peer groups used for comparative purposes in designing compensation and
measuring performance, performance metrics used to award variable pay, pay equity
between the CEO and other senior executives, stock ownership guidelines, clawback
policies, severance agreements, golden parachutes, and post-retirement compensation.
[7]
A compensation program aims typically to: first, attract the right people for the job,
taking into account their skills, their experience and their ability to succeed in a
specific position. Second, retain the most efficient employees; otherwise they will
chase a better position in a competitive company that offers more appropriate
compensation for their talent. Third, provide them the right incentives to have a more
efficient performance. For example, encouraging those behaviors that are aligned with
the corporate strategy and discouraging the self-interested ones.
Many firms link compensation to performance by implementing performance-based
incentive programs at every level of the organization. Several economic theories state
that performance-based compensation increases a firm’s overall productivity by
attracting and retaining the more efficient employees (selection effect) and/or by
inducing employees to raise or better allocate their effort to increase their
performance (effort effect). According to the selection effect, a performance-based
compensation contract can be used as an ideal device that encourages less productive
employees to leave the firm, and on the other hand, motivates more productive
employees to join or remain with the firm. However, the impact of this effect on
employees’ behavior may not be instant because the employees themselves may not
be aware of their own capabilities, and may learn about them, only when they receive
feedback regarding their performance. Turning to the effort effect, a performance-
based compensation plan provides incentives to employees to increase their
performance by learning more efficient ways to deal with their daily tasks.
Banker, Lee, Potter and Srinivasan (2001) found that the improvements after the
implementation of such performance-based incentive plans are related to those
economic theories referring to employees’ behavior. They document that the
implementation of the plan leads to the attraction and retention of more productive
employees, supporting the hypothesis that a pay-for-performance plan acts as an
effective screening device by sorting employees by ability. Finally, the plan motivates
those employees that remain with the firm to continually increase their productivity,
suggesting that pay-for-performance provides incentives for a long-term effort.
Firms, instead of directly monitoring and supervising their employees’ behavior or
performance in a daily basis, rely on self-enforcing reward structures. According to
[8]
Becker and Huselid (1992), the appeal of successively higher compensation motivates
employees to devote greater attention to organizational interests at all job levels and
discourages shirking. However, the main reason that firms are led to this kind of
compensation strategy is because they attempt in this way to align employees’ effort
with the organization’s interest. An employee can expand a great deal of effort, but if
it is not the right kind of effort, shirking exists.
Therefore, several tools are used by firms to compensate executives for their
increased performance. Many companies provide annual bonuses in the form of cash
to their employees to reward them for their annual performance when the company
exceeds pre-specified financial and non-financial targets. Additionally, other
companies also include such performance-based features in their stock-options
programs that require the firm to achieve specific targets in a certain period of time
before the executives realize any value from their grants. These features are especially
effective because the targets are more strongly aligned to the company’s strategy and
the executives are rewarded only if the firm’s performance is outstanding1
. Jensen and
Murphy (1990a) suggest that “equity-based rather than cash compensation gives
managers the correct incentive to maximize firm value”. Moreover, as it is stated
from Zhou, the agent’s motivation problem occurs mainly because of the separation
of ownership and management. Hence, an efficient way for the principal to mitigate
this problem is to increase executive’s holding by awarding them with firm’s stock
option. Sometimes firms also encourage long-term equity ownership by requiring
their employees to hold this equity for several years to extend the decision horizon of
those employees.
Prior study of Elsila et al. (2009) measured executives’ incentives in terms of the
personal wealth they had invested in the company, and found that the ratio of CEO
ownership to personal wealth is positively correlated with both firm performance and
firm value. Moreover, it is worthwhile mentioning that Mehran (1995) in his research,
found, firstly, that firm performance is positively related to the percentage of
executive compensation that is equity-based, and, secondly, that firm performance is
positively related to the percentage of equity held by managers. These findings are
1
Equity grants by themselves are already a mean to align interests because managers are incentivized
to take actions that increase stock price.
[9]
very interesting as they illustrate that besides the degree of incentive compensation;
also the type of incentives has an effect on managers’ incentives to take those actions
that increase firm value.
Last but not least, many companies also use several contractual agreements such as
severance agreements and golden parachutes to compensate executives for a potential
job-loss. A severance agreement provides payments upon future involuntary
terminations, except when the termination is ‘for cause’. Such a ‘cause’, which rarely
occurs, could be certain actions of the manager that are severely prohibited from the
contract (such as conviction of a felony). A severance pay is basically a way for the
board of directors to assess the manager’s achievements until the day that he or she
will leave the firm, and compensate him or her for them. Moreover it is a device to
motivate younger managers to undertake riskier projects that are aligned with the
shareholders interests. However, severance agreements weaken the incentives from
the likelihood of dismissal as they decrease the costs of job loss.
Furthermore, a significant number of corporations have also changed their executive
employment contracts to include additional compensation to executives when the
company undergoes some type of 'change in control' (e.g., purchase of a substantial
block of outstanding stock, a change in the majority of the Board of Directors, or
acquisition of the company by an unrelated party). These modifications have been
termed as 'Golden Parachutes'. According to Lambert and Larcker (1984), a golden
parachute adoption is associated with a statistically significant and positive stock
market reaction. On the other hand, because both severance pay and golden
parachutes occur when a CEO exits the firm, there are many people stating that it
represents a giveaway that cannot influence future firm performance. In addition,
some compensation packages go to executives who have failed, undermining in this
way the incentives from the threat of dismissal. However, it should be noted that
according to section 304 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, the US companies have the right
to reclaim compensation from the CEO and CFO if it is later proved that the bonuses,
were awarded after the earnings were being manipulated. This is referred to as
clawback provision and has been explicitly adopted by many large companies.
[10]
2.3. Threat of dismissal
The current research focuses on the CEO turnover because the decision to dismiss a
CEO and replace him or her with someone else is one of the most crucial decisions
made by the board of directors. CEO turnover has long-term consequences for a
firm’s investment, operating and financing decisions. It is often assumed that if the
internal governance mechanisms and the external control market improve the
monitoring of executives, then the likelihood of dismissal of poorly performing
managers increases, and they are replaced by others who better represent
stockholders’ interests.
2.3.1. Why dismissal?
According to Kim (1996) a firm’s performance depends mainly on managers’ quality
and on random or unexpected events arising from chance. In other words, a company
can realize a significant decline in its performance either because the manager is not
capable or because it is facing a crisis (e.g., recession, etc.).
It is after assumed that forced management turnover tends to improve managerial
quality and hence the company’s performance. Here, all managers do not have the
same quality and therefore the board of directors attempts to measure their quality in
terms of realized performance. If performance is significantly poor, the directors
realize that the current manager is of low quality and they decide his or her
replacement with another one. However, sometimes performance is affected by bad
luck. Therefore, a change in management can lead to an increase in firm’s
performance for two reasons: the expected increment in manager quality is positive
and luck is also expected to revert to normal.
Furthermore, an alternative significant hypothesis for dismissal, based on the agency
theory of Holmstrom (1979), Shavell (1979), and Mirrlees (1976), is that of the
scapegoat. The scapegoat hypothesis is contradictory to the aforementioned
hypothesis of improved management. Here, it is assumed that all managers are of the
same quality, and the probability of poor performance arises only from chance or bad
luck. Taking into consideration that the managers’ capacities are the same, the
replacement of the incumbent manager will not improve the quality of the manager in
[11]
charge. Despite that the quality will not improve following replacement, it still
provides incentives to the other employees to provide higher effort. So the dismissed
executive may be regarded as the scapegoat since this dismissal is not motivated by a
desire to improve managerial quality, but instead by the desire to provide effort-
inducing incentives to the remaining employees (Huson et al. 2003).
2.3.2. Firing cost and the termination incentive
The threat of dismissal is usually used by firms to motivate their employees to
increase their productivity. According to the research of Hallman et al. (1999), firms
threaten to fire those executives who perform poorly, and assuming that they do not
want to be fired, the threat of job loss gives them an incentive to perform well.
Furthermore, the subsequent employment prospects of the displaced managers of the
restatement firms are poorer than those of the displaced managers of control firms.
However, if the employees do not believe that the firm will actually fire them in the
event of poor performance, then the threat of job termination has no incentive power.
One reason that the employees might not believe that the firm will carry out the threat
of dismissal is that they (and firms) know that termination is costly. Many firms offer
golden employment contracts or severance agreements, especially to CEOs, that can
decrease or eliminate the probability of being punished for financial failure and
mitigate the adverse consequences of job loss. As it has already been mentioned
above, as these agreements aim to compensate managers for the job-loss or the
damage in their reputation after a turnover (almost none of these managers find a
position like the one they had before the termination), they pay all managers
independently of their performance and the value added for the firm and its
shareholders.
Finally, as the cost of firing increases and the termination incentive becomes less
effective, the firm must use more intense pay-for-performance incentives to motivate
its employees to provide the optimal level of effort. The most significant finding of
their research is that the pay-for-performance incentive and the termination incentive
are substitute incentive devices; as the cost of firing the employee increases and
therefore the power of the termination incentive decreases, firms have to provide
additional pay-for-performance incentives.
[12]
2.4. Key factors that affect the determinants of likelihood of dismissal
A main stream of literature addressed the determinants of the likelihood of dismissal.
Some of the most recurring determinants will be briefly discussed in this section.
Tenure
According to prior research, executives’ likelihood of dismissal is influenced from
several factors. One of them is tenure. As it is mentioned in the paper (Kwon, 2003)
“the dismissal probability and the wage contract become less sensitive to the
performance as tenure increases”. In other words, this means that as tenure increases,
the manager becomes more familiar with the position or acquires more relevant
knowledge, the likelihood of dismissal declines and, at the same time, the average
wage rises because of the increase in human capital. It is also important to note that as
a manager’s tenure increases, the manager becomes more expensive to dismiss.
Furthermore, when a CEO remains in the same position for very long, develops
stronger bonds with the board of directors, which is the one that evaluates his or her
performance (if it is a two-tier board), and it is more difficult then to be dismissed.
Especially in the case of one-tier board the CEO is powerful as he is also the chairman
of the board. In such kind of boards the one who is responsible for CEO evaluation
regarding his or her performance is the CEO himself.
Age
Another factor that affects the probability of someone to be dismissed is age. The age
of a manager can play an important role in the compensation system as it influences
both the performance measures and his wage. According to Vancil (1987) “CEOs are
more likely to be fired when they are young than when they are closer to normal
retirement, while also suggests that managers between the ages of 50 and 60 are
unlikely to be dismissed subsequent to poor performance”. Additional research from
Warner et al. (1988) and Weisbach (1988), examined manager’s turnover in several
firms and for a broad period and found that there were only a few cases in which
boards mentioned performance as the main reason why the CEO had to be replaced. It
is also stated that most of them leave their position only after reaching normal
retirement age. The infrequent dismissals due to CEO’s poor performance do not, by
itself, imply the absence of incentives since even a low probability of job termination
[13]
can provide incentives if the penalties associated with termination are sufficiently
severe (Jensen and Murphy, 1990).
Firm size
According to several studies, especially the research of Huson et al (2001), there is a
positive relationship between the likelihood of CEO turnover and firm size. It has
been proved that there is a higher probability for larger firms to appoint an insider to
replace an outgoing CEO (e.g Parrino, 1997). One reasonable explanation for this
finding could be that smaller firms have fewer senior managers that are suitably
qualified to replace the outgoing CEO and thus an outside candidate seems to be the
ideal solution for less complex organizations. However, smaller firms may not have
the budget to replace their CEOs with external candidates very often.
Zhou (2003) in an effort to combine the likelihood of dismissal with firm performance
documented an unexpected but interesting finding. “The probability of CEO turnover,
while almost unchanged related to performance of small firms, seems to be strongly
correlated with the performance of larger firms”. This observation seems inconsistent
with the finding of Jensen and Murphy (1990a). It is important to highlight the fact
that the above research was conducted in Canada and the similarities with the CEO’s
compensation in United States should not be surprising. ‘Given the extensive
economic (e.g., trade) and institutional (e.g., corporate, labour union) linkages that
have developed between Canada and the United States at both the macro and
microeconomic levels, we might reasonably expect significant cross-national
influences on compensation practices’ (Chaykowski and Lewis 1996, 2).
Industry homogeneity
Parrino (1997) demonstrates that in homogeneous industries the probability of CEO
turnover and outside replacements is higher because of the increased availability of
well-qualified outside candidates. DeFond and Park (1999) also finds evidence that
when the industries are highly competitive, the frequency of CEO turnover is
increased, compared to less competitive industries. That means that there is a high
correlation between industry competition and homogeneity.
[14]
According to the studies of Farrell and Whidbee (2003) and Agrawal et al. (2001), the
board of directors is more likely to hire an outside candidate after they have forced the
previous CEO to be removed from his or her place. Furthermore, regarding historical
performance, it may influence the likelihood of CEO turnover and the type of
turnover, but on the other hand it does not have any considerable effect on the choice
of CEO’s replacement beyond its impact on the type of turnover.
Outside versus Inside directors
Last but not least, another crucial factor that has not been mentioned so far is the
evaluation of senior management and the enacting mechanisms to replace them, due
to poor performance, from the board. As it is well known, the board is made-up of
executive and non executive (outside) directors. Regarding Fama and Jensen (1983),
non executive directors are supposed to represent shareholders’ interests better. One
reason for this is that if their monitoring of the management team is not adequate, they
suffer reputation loss in the managerial labour market. Moreover Weibach (1988)
argues that inside directors cannot be more effective than outside ones because they
don’t want to challenge the CEO to whom their careers are tied. This means that
outside directors on the contrary with inside directors can more easily replace a poorly
performing CEO, while Borokhovich et al. (1996) reports that outside directors are
also more likely to replace a fired CEO with an executive from outside the firm.
Since the early 1970s, the percentage of outside directors on corporate boards seems
to have been increased. Bacon (1990) demonstrates that the percentage of outside
directors in manufacturing firms increased from 71 percent in 1972 to 86 percent in
1989. He also states that the number of board members at large firms decreased from
14 in 1972 to 12 in 1989. Finally, regarding the studies of Jensen (1993) and Yermack
(1996) it is reported that a more streamlined board is more efficient and can monitor
more effectively. In other words, a smaller board would reasonably be expected to
increase the negative relationship between firm performance and CEO turnover.
Turning back to the threat of dismissal part, Weisbach (1988) documents that “poor
stock-price performance increases the probability that the CEO will be replaced”;
this probability becomes more obvious if the percentage of outside directors is higher.
However, he also underlines the fact that even when, outside directors have little
[15]
financial power in the firm, they also have little incentive to dismiss the CEO. “For
example, the CEO almost always determines the agenda and the information given to
the board. This limitation on information severely hinders the ability of even highly
talented board members to contribute effectively to the monitoring and evaluation of
the CEO and the company’s strategy”, Jensen (1993, p. 864). It also seems that non
executive directors have little time to collect information for the company’s operation
and they are only content with what the managers provide them with.
2.5. Relationship between performance-based compensation and threat of
dismissal
In summary, previous research supports that the threat of dismissal can be used as
incentive, to motivate managers to take those actions that increase the firm value.
However, this threat is also influenced by other factors. For example, severance
agreements weaken the costs of job loss and therefore weaken dismissal incentives. In
addition, managers who are already at the firm for a long time and possess a large
ownership stake may be, to some extent, shielded from the threat of dismissal. For
example, Denis et al. (1997) documented that “turnover is significantly less sensitive
to performance at high managerial ownership levels” and Dahya et al. (1998)
concluded that “managerial entrenchment effects occur at extremely low ownership
levels”.
This research will attempt to focus on the extent in which the provision of
performance-based incentives is affected by the threat of dismissal. A prior study by
Bushman, Dai and Wang (2008), illustrated that for retained CEOs, pay-performance-
sensitivity is decreasing in the likelihood of turnover. In other words, when the
probability of turnover is high enough, the CEO faces strong implicit incentives to
work harder and increase his or her performance and so requires less explicit
incentives. Furthermore, for CEOs who are retained in their position, incentive
compensation levels seem to decrease due to higher probability of dismissal. This is
suggesting that CEO could be forced to accept this downward revision of incentive
compensation as job termination pressure increases. This is also consistent with the
study of Gao et al. (2008), who documented that “compensation cuts can be a short-
term substitute for dismissal”.
[16]
Given the aforementioned research, I expect that the effect-inducing incentives that
originate from performance-based compensation and the threat of dismissal act as
substitutes. However, incentives may also play a primary role for the selection of a
new executive (i.e., the selection effect of incentives) which be especially important
in the case of dismissal of an old executive and replacement by a new executive.
Finally, retention features of incentive compensation seem negatively associated with
the threat of dismissal. Overall, given the strongest emphasis put on the effort-effect
of incentives, I formulate my hypothesis as follows:
Hypothesis: The likelihood of dismissal is negatively associated with the provision of
performance-based compensation.
3. Research Design
3.1. Sample selection
The sample of firms used in this study includes all firms incorporated in the
Compustat Execucomp database for the year 2005. The coverage of the Execucomp
database roughly corresponds with the S&P 1500. I collected compensation data from
the Compustat Execucomp database. To compute my proxy for the likelihood of
dismissal, I collected data about the number of employees from the Compustat
industrial file. Data for my control variables are retrieved from the Compustat
databases. The combination of the data files is based on a firm’s code (gvkey) and
fiscal-year end. The need to combine different data files (Compustat-North America
and Execucomp), leads to a final sample size of 273 observations. This may, to some
extent, lead to a non-random sample which (at least) may have an effect on the
external validity of this study as there might be a selection bias towards large firms.
3.2. Empirical model
To examine how CEO compensation is influenced by the likelihood of dismissal I
solely focus on CEO flow compensation. Here, I distinguish between two important
parts of CEO flow compensation, i.e., cash bonus and equity grants. Therefore, I will
examine two different empirical models. The two regressions are as below:
[17]
(1) BONUS_INC = ß0 + ß1*PERF + ß2*PERF*LIK_DIS1 + ß3*LIK_DIS1 + ß4*SIZE +
ß5*LEV + ß6*TEN + ß7*AGE + ß8*MTB + ß9VOL + ε
(2) EGRANTS = ß0 + ß1*PERF + ß2*PERF*LIK_DIS1 + ß3*LIK_DIS1 + ß4*SIZE +
ß5*LEV + ß6*TEN + ß7*AGE + ß8*MTB + ß9VOL + ε
However, as I used ROA (ACC_PERF) and the change in stock price
(MARKET_PERF) to measure the companies’ performance, as these both types of
performance measures are used most often in executive incentive plans, I also run the
aforementioned regressions including the above variables separately to each
regression each time.
In general, the relationship between performance and compensation would be
represented by the coefficient ß1. However, for my specific models I separate between
observations with a high likelihood of dismissal (i.e., LIK_DIS1=1) and observations
with a low likelihood of dismissal (i.e., LIK_DIS1=0). The relationship between
performance and compensation for CEOs that face a small likelihood of dismissal is
given by the coefficient ß1. The relationship between performance and compensation
for CEOs that face a high likelihood of dismissal is given by the sum of coefficients
(ß1 + ß2). Hence, the difference in the pay-for-performance relation between CEOs
that face a high likelihood of dismissal and those that face a small likelihood of
dismissal is represented by the coefficient ß2. On the basis of my hypothesis, I expect
that ß2<0.
3.2.1. Dependent variables
Regarding the first equation above, BONUS_INC is a dependent variable that
describes the payment that CEO receives in one year in the form of cash. It can be
measured as follows: Bonus / (salary + Bonus). Given that my hypothesis is focused
on the ex-ante bonus incentives but only ex-post bonus data can be retrieved, I will
control for actual performance in the respective year.
The second dependent variable of my research is EGRANTS. This illustrates the
equity grants that are offered to the CEO as compensation to his or her performance.
Equity incentives are awarded to align the interests of the CEO with that of the
shareholders. To determine the equity grants I used the amount of stock options and
[18]
restricted stock that are awarded to the CEOs. To measure this variable, the amount of
equity grants must be divided by the total compensation (Equity grants / Total
Compensation). Both dependent variables describe the types of incentives that are
used by the firms in order to motivate CEOs, to increase their effort and subsequent
performance.
3.2.2. Independent variables
The first independent variable of interest in this study is the likelihood of dismissal.
Likelihood of dismissal (LIK_DIS) is proxied for in the following way. I use the
sensitivity of fluctuation in the number of people that are employed at a certain firm
to fluctuations in the performance of that firm as my proxy for the likelihood of
dismissal. So, I assume that in a firm where employees are more easily dismissed
following poor performance, also the CEO faces a greater threat of dismissal when the
performance is weak. I measure the likelihood of dismissal in the following way. I
compute the change in the number of employees and divide this by the change in
accounting performance (ROA)2
. I do this for the period 1999-2004 and subsequently
compute the average value. I finally compose the dummy variable LIK_DIS which is
one if the value of the average sensitivity of the number of employees to performance
over the period 1999-2004 is higher than the median value in my sample; zero
otherwise.
The second independent variable of interest is performance. In order to measure
firm’s performance (PERF) I used two factors: the change in firm’s stock price and
the return on assets (ROA). To determine this fluctuation I took into account the stock
price at the end of the fiscal year minus the share price at the beginning of the fiscal
year, divided by the share price at the beginning of the fiscal year (SPt –SPt-1 / SPt-1).
Regarding the second variable that measures performance; most researchers use the
return on equity (ROE) as their primary measure of company performance. However,
ROE can be proved to be very risky. For example, companies, in an effort to keep
investors happy, can resort to financial strategies to artificially maintain a healthy
ROE - for a while - and hide in this way the deteriorating performance of the
business. Growing debt leverage and stock buybacks funded through accumulated
2
I take the absolute values
[19]
cash can help to maintain a company's ROE even though operational profitability is
eroding (http://blogs.hbr.org/bigshift/2010/03/the-best-way-to-measure-
compan.html/05/06/2012).
On the other hand, ROA shows how efficient management is at using its assets to
generate earnings or in other words, at converting its investments into profit. The
higher the return, the more efficient the management is in utilizing its asset base.
ROA is a better metric of financial performance than other profitability measures like
return on sales because it takes into consideration the assets used to support business
activities. Therefore, I considered ROA as a more suitable and reliable metric for
performance because it also illustrates whether the company is able to generate an
adequate return on these assets rather than simply showing robust return on sales.
Finally, turning back to my hypothesis, a change in ROA would indicate a change in
CEO’s performance. ROA is calculated by comparing net income to average total
assets.
3.2.3. Control variables
Firm size
Prior studies have illustrated a positive relationship between the likelihood of CEO
turnover and firm size. As it has already been mentioned in the paper, a CEO in a
large firm has higher probability to be dismissed compared to another one in a smaller
firm because there are more qualified senior managers to replace the outgoing CEO.
There is always the solution of an outside candidate, but smaller firms cannot afford
the cost of such replacement. To measure firm size (here illustrated as SIZE) factor, I
used the natural logarithm of the book value of total assets.
Age
As it has already been presented above, the CEO’s age plays a crucial role regarding
the likelihood of his dismissal due to low performance. Vancil (1987) states that the
probability of a CEO being fired is higher when he or she is young than when they are
between the age of 50 and 60, or closer to the retirement age. Furthermore, it is
assumed that an older CEO is more experienced than a young one, and hence his or
[20]
her power towards the board (particularly the compensation committee) will be
higher. CEO age (AGE) is defined as the age of the incumbent CEO rounded in full
years.
Tenure
According to previous research CEO tenure is a significant factor that affects both
compensation and likelihood of dismissal. A CEO’s long tenure could be indicative of
a powerful executive and, hence positively influence CEO’s compensation. Moreover,
long tenure decreases the likelihood of dismissal, because from the one hand the
human capital of CEO (knowledge regarding his/her position acquired) increases, but
on the other hand the cost to dismiss him/her is higher (Dikolli et al., 2008). The
Execucomp file provides all information regarding the start and termination dates for
CEOs, and can be used to compute CEO tenure. So, to compute the CEO tenure
(TEN) I deducted the date that he/she became CEO from the date that he/she left the
company as CEO (Date left as CEO – Date became CEO). However, because my
research focus only on the year 2005, this variable is truncated given that I do not
observe tenure following the year 2005.
Leverage
Leverage is used as a proxy for financial distress. Prior research showed that
distressed companies alter their compensation policies. For example, the study of
Matejka et al. (2009) illustrates that poorly performing firms change their incentive
compensation strategies (i.e., include more nonfinancial). Leverage (LEV) is
measured as follows: Total Long-term Debt / Total Assets.
Market-to-Book ratio
MTB-ratio is used to proxy for growth options. Firms with greater growth options
may face greater monitoring difficulty in which they may make greater use of
incentive compensation to address agency problems. MTB is defined as the ratio of a
numerator which is the sum of the market value of common stock and of a
denominator (book value of equity) which is the difference between total assets and
liabilities of the company.
[21]
Volatility
Finally, I used volatility as a control variable in my regression model. Greater
volatility implies greater risk imposed on managers which makes incentive
compensation more costly. To measure the volatility (VOL) of each company in 2005
I calculated the standard deviation of the accounting returns (specifically that of the
ROA) for the years 1999 until 2004.
4. Findings
In this section the descriptive statistics are discussed, followed by a discussion of the
results of the ordinary least squares (OLS) multivariate regression. It should be noted
that I repeated the analysis using a robust regression. I found that the results are less
reliable with respect to the sign and significance of the coefficient of interest (non-
tabulated), therefore, OLS regression’s results are presented.
4.1. Descriptive statistics
In this part of the study, Table 1 reports the descriptive statistics for the full sample.
The panel shows that the mean of CEO’s age is almost 58 years, while the mean of
CEO’s tenure is 8.1 years (which is similar with the average tenure that is illustrated
in prior studies). The average bonus is almost 0.5 which indicates that about half of
an executive’s cash compensation originates from bonuses. The average equity grants
is also about 0.5 which also shows that half of the executive’s cash compensation
comes from the equity that the executive is granted with. Regarding the MTB ratio
the mean is around 3.4 which suggests that the average firm has considerable growth
options (given that the market value of equity is more than three times the accounting
book value of equity). Turning to the performance variables, the mean of market
performance is 0.019, while the mean of ROA is 0.003.
[22]
Table 1: Descriptive statistics (full sample)
Variable Mean Std.Dev. 25% 50% 75%
BONUS_INC .438 .243 .288 .492 .609
EGRANTS .457 .240 .267 .458 .642
ACC_PERF .003 .054 -.013 .001 .016
MARKET_PERF .019 .357 -.185 -.028 .172
LIK_DIS1 .5 .501 0 .5 1
SIZE 7.706 1.547 6.557 7.636 8.791
LEV .167 .146 .023 .140 .271
TEN 8.145 7.203 3.167 6.255 10.844
AGE 57.736 7.223 53 59 63
MTB 3.358 4.240 1.741 2.467 3.492
VOL .043 .065 .010 .021 .045
Table 1: The table demonstrates the key variables that influence performance-based compensation. The sample
consists of US firms for the year 2005; Compustat/NorthAmerica/Execucomp merged datasets. BONUS_INC –
Dependent variable for the CEO’s bonus (cash) compensation; EGRANTS – Dependent variable for the CEO’s
equity compensation; ACC_PERF – Independent variable illustrating the change in the firm’s ROA for the year
2005; MARKET_PERF – Independent variable illustrating the change in the firm’s stock price for the year 2005;
LIK_DIS1 - The CEO’s likelihood of dismissal; SIZE – The size of the firm expressed by the value of the firm’s
total assets; LEV – The firm’s leverage in 2005; TEN – The CEO’s tenure in 2005; AGE – The age of the CEO in
2005; MTB – The firm’s market-to-book ratio for 2005; VOL – The firm’s volatility.
Table 2 shows the mean and median for the subsamples of a low likelihood of
dismissal (LIK_DIS=0) and a high likelihood of dismissal (LIK_DIS=1). The table
shows that firms that have a high likelihood of dismissal also provide stronger bonus
incentives. This suggests that the likelihood of dismissal and incentive compensation
may be regarded as complements instead of substitutes (note that I predicted that they
are substitutes in the sense that a decrease in one should lead to an increase in the
other).
In other words, the likelihood of dismissal is not sufficient by itself to serve as a
device to firms, so that they could decrease their executives’ compensation, without
influencing their total performance. With regard to the equity incentives, the table
shows that firms that have a low likelihood of dismissal provide more equity
compensation than those firms with a high likelihood of dismissal. This could be seen
as reasonable because firms would prefer to compensate an executive that they
[23]
believe he/she will be more efficient, with more long-term incentives (i.e., equity
grants) compared to one who faces a higher likelihood of dismissal (non-trustworthy).
Table 2: Descriptive statistics (By level of likelihood of dismissal)
LIK_DIS1=0 LIK_DIS1=1 Difference tests
Variable N Mean Median N Mean Median Mean Median
EGRANTS 137 0.460 0.479 136 0.454 0.432
BONUS_INC 137 0.374 0.4356 136 0.502 0.563 *** ***
MARKET_PERF 137 0.036 -0.044 136 -0.001 -0.011
ACC_PERF 137 0.009 0.007 136 -0.003 0 * **
SIZE 137 7.034 6.977 136 8.383 8.374 *** ***
LEV 137 0.162 0.124 136 0.172 0.148
TEN 137 7.942 6.003 136 8.351 7.003
AGE 137 56.818 59 136 58.662 58.5 **
MTB 137 3.260 2.609 136 3.457 2.394
VOL 137 0.062 0.032 136 0.025 0.015 *** ***
Table 2: EGRANTS – Dependent variable for the CEO’s equity compensation; BONUS_INC – Dependent variable for the
CEO’s bonus (cash) compensation; MARKET_PERF – Independent variable illustrating the change in the firm’s stock price for
the year 2005; ACC_PERF – Independent variable illustrating the change in the firm’s ROA for the year 2005; SIZE – The size of
the firm expressed by the value of the firm’s total assets; LEV – The firm’s leverage in 2005; TEN – The CEO’s tenure in 2005;
AGE – The age of the CEO in 2005; MTB – The firm’s market-to-book ratio for 2005; VOL – The firm’s volatility.
(*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1)
However, after re-examining Table 2, one can observe that the difference between the
mean and the median of the firms with low likelihood of dismissal and those with
high likelihood of dismissal is not significant and therefore, the aforementioned
assumption cannot be strongly supported.
With respect to the control variables, larger firms, firms with a weaker accounting
performance, and less volatile firms have a greater likelihood of dismissal. It is worth
mentioning that the result regarding the firm size is in accordance with prior studies
that proved that there is a positive relation between the likelihood of CEO turnover
and firm size (Huson et al., 2001).
Table 3 shows the Pearson correlations. With respect to the dependent variables,
bonus incentives are positively correlated with performance, a high likelihood of
dismissal and firm size. In addition, bonus incentives are negatively correlated with
volatility. On the other hand, equity grants are negatively correlated with the
[24]
accounting performance (ROA), high likelihood of dismissal, tenure and age.
However, equity grants are positively related to market performance, firm size,
leverage, MTB ratio and volatility. Finally, none of the correlations are greater than
0.7, hence there is no concern for multicollinearity. The largest correlation is between
volatility and firm size (-0.494) which suggests that larger firms exhibit fewer
volatility in performance.
Table 3: Pearson correlation matrix
Variable 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
1. BONUS_INC 1.000 ** *** *** *** *** ** ***
2. EGRANTS -0.091 1.000 *** **
3. ACC_PERF 0.149 -0.027 1.000 *** * ** * *
4.MARKET_PERF 0.269 0.016 0.239 1.000 *** **
5. LIK_DIS1 0.263 -0.012 -0.113 -0.052 1.000 *** ** ***
6. SIZE 0.445 0.019 -0.061 -0.004 0.437 1.000 *** *** ***
7. LEV 0.095 0.067 -0.154 0.021 0.035 0.267 1.000 ** ***
8. TEN -0.039 -0.020 0.074 0.011 0.029 -0.074 -0.008 1.000 ***
9. AGE 0.159 -0.202 0.106 0.057 0.128 0.157 0.131 0.440 1.000 ***
10. MTB 0.133 0.150 -0.032 0.169 0.023 -0.078 -0.020 -0.013 -0.095 1.000 **
11. VOL -0.259 0.067 -0.102 0.132 -0.286 -0.494 -0.179 -0.047 -0.309 0.133 1.000
Table 3: BONUS_INC – Dependent variable for the CEO’s bonus (cash) compensation; EGRANTS – Dependent variable for the CEO’s equity
compensation; ACC_PERF – Independent variable illustrating the change in the firm’s ROA for the year 2005; MARKET_PERF – Independent
variable illustrating the change in the firm’s stock price for the year 2005; LIK_DIS1 - The CEO’s likelihood of dismissal; SIZE – The size of the firm
expressed by the value of the firm’s total assets; LEV – The firm’s leverage in 2005; TEN – The CEO’s tenure in 2005; AGE – The age of the CEO in
2005; MTB – The firm’s market-to-book ratio for 2005; VOL – The firm’s volatility. (*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1)
4.2. Multivariate analysis
This section of the research illustrates the results of the regression models in an effort
to interpret the relationship between the likelihood of dismissal and performance-
based compensation.
It should be mentioned that in the regression of compensation on performance, I
expect the slope coefficient to be higher for CEOs that face a small likelihood of
dismissal than for those that face a high likelihood of dismissal. Furthermore, I
expect in both regressions (BONUS_INC and EGRANTS), where ß1 shows the
relationship between compensation and performance for CEOs that face low
likelihood of dismissal to be higher than the sum of the coefficients ß1+ ß2 that
[25]
describes the relationship between compensation and performance for CEOs that face
a higher likelihood of dismissal. Therefore I expect ß1+ ß2 < ß1, or alternatively, ß2 <0.
Bonus compensation
Table 4 shows the regression results of the relationship between the likelihood of
dismissal and bonus incentives. I distinguish between three models that first included
accounting performance or market performance separately and finally included them
both simultaneously. The results show that accounting performance is significantly
associated with the bonus for firms that have a low likelihood of dismissal (as
documented by ACC_PERF). However, the results also show that for firms that have
a strong likelihood of dismissal, the relationship between accounting performance and
bonus incentives is stronger due to the coefficient on ACC_PERF*LIK_DIS being
both positive and significant. The results for market performance do not show the
same. This makes sense as prior research has shown that bonus plans are more
strongly tied to accounting performance relative to market performance. So, overall
the results are significant in the opposite direction that was predicted. So, this
suggests that incentive compensation and likelihood of dismissal may be seen as
complements.
With respect to the control variables, firm size is positively associated with bonus
incentives. In addition, the MTB ratio and age of the CEO are also positively
associated with cash compensation. The model as a whole performs well. It is
significant given the F-value and an R2
of about 0.3 suggests that about 30% of the
variation regarding the bonus incentives is explained by the model.
[26]
Table 4: Coefficients resulted from the regression of the CEOs’ bonus compensation
Dependent Variable: BONUS_INC
Variables Coeff. t-stat. Coeff. t-stat. Coeff. t-stat.
Intercept -0.282** -2.00 -0.184 -1.31 -0.187 -1.34
ACC_PERF 0.716*** 2.82 - - 0.441* 1.70
ACC_PERF*LIK_DIS 1.753* 1.76 - - 1.659* 1.68
MARKET_PERF - - 0.173*** 4.10 0.152** 3.47
MARKET_PERF*LIK_DIS - - 0.008 0.11 0.002 0.02
LIK_DIS1 0.050* 1.71 0.040 1.40 0.052* 1.85
SIZE 0.061*** 5.76 0.057*** 5.49 0.057*** 5.48
LEV 0.025 0.27 -0.057 -0.63 0.001 0.02
TEN -0.002 -1.20 -0.002 -1.03 -0.002 -1.10
AGE 0.004* 1.72 0.003 1.44 0.003 1.35
MTB 0.010*** 3.15 0.007** 2.38 0.008** 2.45
VOL -0.037 -0.15 -0.338 -1.43 -0.234 -0.98
F-test(ß1+ ß2=0) 6.47** - 4.80**
F-test(ß3+ ß4=0) - 7.13*** 5.04**
Ν 273 273 273
R2
0.281 0.305 0.324
F-value 11.37*** 12.75*** 11.33***
Table 4: ACC_PERF – Independent variable illustrating the change in the firm’s ROA for the year 2005;
ACC_PERF*LIK_DIS – The correlation between the CEO’s likelihood of dismissal and the change in the firm’s
ROA; MARKET_PERF – Independent variable illustrating the change in the firm’s stock price for the year 2005;
MARKET_PERF*LIK_DIS – The correlation between the CEO’s likelihood of dismissal and the change in the
firm’s stock price; LIK_DIS1 - The CEO’s likelihood of dismissal; SIZE – The size of the firm expressed by the value
of the firm’s total assets; LEV – The firm’s leverage in 2005; TEN – The CEO’s tenure in 2005; AGE – The age of the
CEO in 2005; MTB – The firm’s market-to-book ratio for 2005; VOL – The firm’s volatility.
(*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1)
Equity compensation
Here, I ran the regressions of equity grants (EGRANTS) in the same way as I did for
the regressions of bonus incentives (BONUS_INC), by using both performance
variables at the same time and then each variable separately each time. The results
from the run of these regressions are illustrated in Table 5.
[27]
Table 5: Coefficients resulted from the regression of the CEOs’ equity compensation.
Dependent Variable: EGRANTS
Variables Coeff. t-stat. Coeff. t-stat. Coeff. t-stat.
Intercept 0.758*** 4.84 0.761*** 4.77 0.753*** 4.71
ACC_PERF 0.155 0.55 - - 0.144 0.49
ACC_PERF*LIK_DIS -1.427 -1.29 - - -1.352 -1.20
MARKET_PERF - - 0.015 0.32 0.008 0.16
MARKET_PERF*LIK_DIS - - -0.056 -0.62 -0.035 -0.38
LIK_DIS1 -0.011 -0.29 -0.005 -0.15 -0.009 -0.27
SIZE 0.012 1.02 0.010 0.88 0.012 1.00
LEV 0.131 1.26 0.146 1.43 0.132 1.25
TEN 0.003 1.43 0.003 1.36 0.003 1.37
AGE -0.008** -3.49 -0.008** -3.39 -0.008** -3.39
MTB 0.008** 2.28 0.007** 2.16 0.008** 2.23
VOL 0.096 0.36 0.104 0.39 0.107 0.39
F-test(ß1+ ß2=0) 1.39 - 1.21
F-test(ß3+ ß4=0) - 0.28 0.12
Ν 273 273 273
R2
0.083 0.078 0.083
F-value 2.63*** 2.46 2.15
Table 5: ACC_PERF – Independent variable illustrating the change in the firm’s ROA for the year 2005;
ACC_PERF*LIK_DIS – The correlation between the CEO’s likelihood of dismissal and the change in the firm’s ROA;
MARKET_PERF – Independent variable illustrating the change in the firm’s stock price for the year 2005;
MARKET_PERF*LIK_DIS – The correlation between the CEO’s likelihood of dismissal and the change in the firm’s
stock price; LIK_DIS1 - The CEO’s likelihood of dismissal; SIZE – The size of the firm expressed by the value of the firm’s
total assets; LEV – The firm’s leverage in 2005; TEN – The CEO’s tenure in 2005; AGE – The age of the CEO in 2005;
MTB – The firm’s market-to-book ratio for 2005; VOL – The firm’s volatility. (*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1)
Taking into consideration my hypothesis, both performance variables (Market
performance or Accounting performance) should be positively correlated to Equity
compensation. The results show that accounting performance is associated with the
equity grants for firms that have a low likelihood of dismissal (as documented by
EGRANTS), while they also demonstrate that for firms that have a strong likelihood
of dismissal, the relationship between accounting performance and equity grants is
negative, meaning that the likelihood of dismissal and equity incentives could be
interpreted as substitutes because the coefficient on ACC_PERF*LIK_DIS is
negative. However, none of the above assumptions regarding the equity compensation
can be either supported nor rejected, as the results are not significant. The main
significant results that are illustrated from the table are that MTB ratio is positively
[28]
correlated with equity incentives, while the CEO’s age is negatively associated with
equity incentives.
5. Conclusion
The general purpose of this research was to obtain useful information regarding how
the threat of dismissal impacts on the provision of the CEO’s performance-based
compensation. Prior studies have investigated the relationship between the likelihood
of dismissal and performance, while the current study also examines the level that
compensation could be influencing this relationship.
After collecting all necessary data for US firms, this research ended up with 273
firms, to measure all the aforementioned correlations. The main hypothesis of the
research stated that “The likelihood of dismissal is negatively associated with the
provision of performance-based compensation”. I tried to identify whether or not the
likelihood of dismissal serves as a complement or substitute to incentive
compensation (either by bonus incentives or by equity). However, according to the
regression results, I ended up with two different findings. With regard to the bonus
incentives I found that they, in relation to the likelihood of dismissal, may be seen as
complements (which do not support my hypothesis). On the other hand, the relation
between the likelihood of dismissal and equity compensation seem to be substitute, as
I predicted, however, while the results from the run of the regression were not
significant, I cannot support or reject my hypothesis.
The large but unavoidable number of missing observations due to the need of
merging different datasets did definitely play a significant role in these findings.
Most of the findings regarding the relationship between performance and
compensation (only bonuses) are in accordance with previous research that illustrated
a positive correlation.
To sum up, regardless of the findings one should always take into account all possible
limitations for undertaking such an empirical study, like those that have been
discussed above. However, this study presents a useful summary of prior, respective
to the topic of the threat of dismissal and performance, studies and shows that there is
[29]
a complementary relation between the likelihood of dismissal and bonus
compensation. Finally, it demonstrates results related to equity compensation (i.e.
equity grants), that could potentially lead to strong evidence to support the particular
research hypothesis after further investigation.
[30]
References
1) Borokhovich A. K., Parrino R. & Trapani, T. (1996), “Outside directors and CEO
selection”, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol. 31, No.31, p.p. 337-
355.
2) Bushman R., Dai, Z. & Wang, X. (2010) “Risk and CEO turnover”, Journal of
Financial Economics Vol. 96, p.p. 381-398.
3) Chevalier, J. and Ellison, G. (1999), “Career Concerns of Mutual Fund
Managers,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, p.p. 389-432.
4) Cobb B.R. & Charnes J.M, (2004), “Real options volatility estimation with
correlated inputs”, The engineering Economist, Vol.49, No 2, p.p.119-137
5) Conyon M. J. and Florou, A. (2002), “Top Executive Dismissal, Ownership and
Corporate Performance”, Business School Accounting Subject Area, No.30, p.p. 1-43.
6) Conyon, M.J. (1998), “Directors’ Pay and Turnover: An Application to A Sample
of Large UK Firms,” Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Vol.60, No.4, p.p.
485-50.
7) Dahya, J., Lonie A. A., & Power D. M., (1998), “Ownership structure, firm
performance and top executive change: An analysis of UK firms”, Journal of
Business Finance & Accounting, Vol25 (9) & 10, p.p. 1089-1117
8) Defond M. L. & Park, C.W. (1999), “The effect of the competition on CEO
turnover”, Journal of Accounting & Economics, Vol. 27, No.1, p.p. 35-56.
9) Denis, D. J. and Denis, D. K. (1995), “Performance Changes Following Top
Management Dismissal,” Journal of Finance, Vol. 50, No.1, p.p. 029-105.
10) Denis, D. J., Denis, D.K. & Sarin, A. (1997), “Agency Problems, Equity
Ownership, and Corporate Diversification”, Journal of Finance, Vol. LII, No1, p.p.
135-160
[31]
11) Fama E. F. & Jensen M. C., (1983), “Seperation of ownership and control”J. L
& ECON. 302
12) Hallman G., Hartzell, Jay C. and Parsons, C. (2004) “Carrots and Sticks: The
Threat of Dismissal and Incentive Compensation”.
13) Hallman G. & Hartzell, Jay C. (1999) “Optimal compensation contracts with
pay-for-performance and termination incentives”.
14) Holmstrom & Bengt , (1979), “Moral hazard and observability”, Bell Journal of
Economics Vol. 10, p.p. 74–91.
15) Huson M. R., Parrino, R. & Starks, L. T. (2001), “Internal Monitoring
Mechanisms and CEO Turnover: A long-term Perspective”, The journal of Finance,
Vol.56, No6, p.p.2265-2297.
16) Huson M. R., Malatesta, P.H. & Parrino, R. (2004) “Managerial succession and
firm performance” Source: Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 74, p.p. 237-275.
17) Jensen, M.C. and Murphy, K.J. (1990), “Performance Pay and Top Management
Incentives”, Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 98, p.p. 225-6
18) Jero B., Warner, R. L. Watts, & K. H. Wruck, (1988), “Stock prices and top
management changes”, Journal of Financial Economics, Vol.20, p.p. 461-492
19) Kaplan, S., (1994), “Top executive rewards and firm performance: A comparison
of Japan and the United States,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 102, p.p. 510-
546.
20) Kathleen A. Farrell & Whidbee, D.A. (2003), “Impact of firm performance
expectations on CEO turnover and replacement decisions” Source: Journal of
Accounting and Economics Vol. 36, p.p. 165-196.
21) Kornelius K., (1991), “The Incentive Effects of Dismissals, Efficiency Wages,
Piece – Rates and Profit – Sharing”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 73,
No.3.
22) Kwon I., (2003), “Threat of Dismissal: Incentive or Sorting?” p.p. 1-53.
23) Larcker D. & Tayan, B. (2011), “Corporate governance matters”, p.p. 240-245.
[32]
24) Larcker D. & Tayan, B. (2011), “Corporate governance matters”, p.p. 288-291,
25) Mehran H., (1994), “Executive compensation structure, ownership, and firm
performance”.
26) Parrino R., (1997) “CEO turnover and outside succession A cross-sectional
analysis”, Journal of Financial Economics, Vol.46, No.2, p.p. 165-19718)
27) Shapiro & Stiglitz, (1984) “Equilibrium unemployment as a worker discipline
device”, The American Economic Review, Vol.74, No4, p.p. 433-444.
28) Sparks R., (1986) “A Model of Involuntary Unemployment and Wage Rigidity:
Worker Incentives and the threat of Dismissal”, Journal of Labor Economics, Vol. 4,
No. 4, pp. 560-581.
29) Tian Y. S., (2003) “Too much of a good incentive? The case of executive stock
options”, Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol.28, No 6, p.p.1225-1245.
30) Vancil, (1986) “Passing the baton: Managing the process of CEO succession”.
31) Weisbach, M. (1988), “Outside directors and CEO turnover,” Journal of
Financial Economics, Vol. 20, p.p. 431-46.
32)Yermack D., (1996), “High market valuation of companies with a small board of
directors”, Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 40, No.2, p.p. 185-211.
33) Zhou X., (2003) “CEO pay, firm size, and corporate performance: evidence from
Canada”, Canadian Journal of Economics, Vol.33, No1, p.p. 213-255.

More Related Content

What's hot

OccupationalStressanditsEffectsonProductivity
OccupationalStressanditsEffectsonProductivityOccupationalStressanditsEffectsonProductivity
OccupationalStressanditsEffectsonProductivity
Iranya Verduzco, MHRM
 
Inducement and Productivity
Inducement and ProductivityInducement and Productivity
Inducement and Productivity
ed gbargaye
 
Does firm volatility affect managerial influence
Does firm volatility affect managerial influenceDoes firm volatility affect managerial influence
Does firm volatility affect managerial influence
Alexander Decker
 
Study to investigate the correlation between the operating performances of fi...
Study to investigate the correlation between the operating performances of fi...Study to investigate the correlation between the operating performances of fi...
Study to investigate the correlation between the operating performances of fi...
Charm Rammandala
 
Designing compensation system
Designing compensation systemDesigning compensation system
Designing compensation system
Hesham Salman
 
Byars 10e ch12
Byars 10e ch12Byars 10e ch12
Byars 10e ch12
Anand Satsangi
 
Jurnal kompensasi yulius effrain
Jurnal kompensasi yulius effrainJurnal kompensasi yulius effrain
Jurnal kompensasi yulius effrain
Julius Effrain Gaghansa
 
The causes and risk-taking on the change of CEO equity-based compensation
The causes and risk-taking on the change of CEO equity-based compensationThe causes and risk-taking on the change of CEO equity-based compensation
The causes and risk-taking on the change of CEO equity-based compensation
Max Lai
 
Hrm draf
Hrm drafHrm draf
Hrm draf
Affa Arsyll
 
eBook: Reductions in Force - A Ten Point Inspection
eBook: Reductions in Force - A Ten Point InspectioneBook: Reductions in Force - A Ten Point Inspection
eBook: Reductions in Force - A Ten Point Inspection
Thomas Econometrics
 
Chapter 3 Strategic HR Management and Planning
Chapter 3 Strategic HR Managementand PlanningChapter 3 Strategic HR Managementand Planning
Chapter 3 Strategic HR Management and Planning
Rayman Soe
 
CEO Salary - Group 10 Report - Final
CEO Salary - Group 10 Report - FinalCEO Salary - Group 10 Report - Final
CEO Salary - Group 10 Report - Final
Stephanie Simopoulos
 
The Impact of Capital Structure on the Performance of Industrial Commodity an...
The Impact of Capital Structure on the Performance of Industrial Commodity an...The Impact of Capital Structure on the Performance of Industrial Commodity an...
The Impact of Capital Structure on the Performance of Industrial Commodity an...
IJEAB
 
Is the higher quality financial reporting improves csr investment efficiency ...
Is the higher quality financial reporting improves csr investment efficiency ...Is the higher quality financial reporting improves csr investment efficiency ...
Is the higher quality financial reporting improves csr investment efficiency ...
prjpublications
 
1
11
Impact of Merger on Stress Level of Employees (A Case Study of Erstwhile Bank...
Impact of Merger on Stress Level of Employees (A Case Study of Erstwhile Bank...Impact of Merger on Stress Level of Employees (A Case Study of Erstwhile Bank...
Impact of Merger on Stress Level of Employees (A Case Study of Erstwhile Bank...
Waqas Tariq
 
Dividend policy
Dividend policyDividend policy
Dividend policy
Ahmed .
 
4.[53 62]a live study of employee satisfaction and growth analysis
4.[53 62]a live study of employee satisfaction and growth analysis4.[53 62]a live study of employee satisfaction and growth analysis
4.[53 62]a live study of employee satisfaction and growth analysis
Alexander Decker
 

What's hot (18)

OccupationalStressanditsEffectsonProductivity
OccupationalStressanditsEffectsonProductivityOccupationalStressanditsEffectsonProductivity
OccupationalStressanditsEffectsonProductivity
 
Inducement and Productivity
Inducement and ProductivityInducement and Productivity
Inducement and Productivity
 
Does firm volatility affect managerial influence
Does firm volatility affect managerial influenceDoes firm volatility affect managerial influence
Does firm volatility affect managerial influence
 
Study to investigate the correlation between the operating performances of fi...
Study to investigate the correlation between the operating performances of fi...Study to investigate the correlation between the operating performances of fi...
Study to investigate the correlation between the operating performances of fi...
 
Designing compensation system
Designing compensation systemDesigning compensation system
Designing compensation system
 
Byars 10e ch12
Byars 10e ch12Byars 10e ch12
Byars 10e ch12
 
Jurnal kompensasi yulius effrain
Jurnal kompensasi yulius effrainJurnal kompensasi yulius effrain
Jurnal kompensasi yulius effrain
 
The causes and risk-taking on the change of CEO equity-based compensation
The causes and risk-taking on the change of CEO equity-based compensationThe causes and risk-taking on the change of CEO equity-based compensation
The causes and risk-taking on the change of CEO equity-based compensation
 
Hrm draf
Hrm drafHrm draf
Hrm draf
 
eBook: Reductions in Force - A Ten Point Inspection
eBook: Reductions in Force - A Ten Point InspectioneBook: Reductions in Force - A Ten Point Inspection
eBook: Reductions in Force - A Ten Point Inspection
 
Chapter 3 Strategic HR Management and Planning
Chapter 3 Strategic HR Managementand PlanningChapter 3 Strategic HR Managementand Planning
Chapter 3 Strategic HR Management and Planning
 
CEO Salary - Group 10 Report - Final
CEO Salary - Group 10 Report - FinalCEO Salary - Group 10 Report - Final
CEO Salary - Group 10 Report - Final
 
The Impact of Capital Structure on the Performance of Industrial Commodity an...
The Impact of Capital Structure on the Performance of Industrial Commodity an...The Impact of Capital Structure on the Performance of Industrial Commodity an...
The Impact of Capital Structure on the Performance of Industrial Commodity an...
 
Is the higher quality financial reporting improves csr investment efficiency ...
Is the higher quality financial reporting improves csr investment efficiency ...Is the higher quality financial reporting improves csr investment efficiency ...
Is the higher quality financial reporting improves csr investment efficiency ...
 
1
11
1
 
Impact of Merger on Stress Level of Employees (A Case Study of Erstwhile Bank...
Impact of Merger on Stress Level of Employees (A Case Study of Erstwhile Bank...Impact of Merger on Stress Level of Employees (A Case Study of Erstwhile Bank...
Impact of Merger on Stress Level of Employees (A Case Study of Erstwhile Bank...
 
Dividend policy
Dividend policyDividend policy
Dividend policy
 
4.[53 62]a live study of employee satisfaction and growth analysis
4.[53 62]a live study of employee satisfaction and growth analysis4.[53 62]a live study of employee satisfaction and growth analysis
4.[53 62]a live study of employee satisfaction and growth analysis
 

Viewers also liked

Predictive risk and health care: an overview
Predictive risk and health care: an overviewPredictive risk and health care: an overview
Predictive risk and health care: an overview
Nuffield Trust
 
Tech Ed Equipment Company Bangalore
Tech Ed Equipment Company BangaloreTech Ed Equipment Company Bangalore
Tech Ed Equipment Company Bangalore
Bhaskara Rao
 
Dr. Sanjay Gupta | CNN | Emory University
Dr. Sanjay Gupta | CNN | Emory UniversityDr. Sanjay Gupta | CNN | Emory University
Dr. Sanjay Gupta | CNN | Emory University
Erica Cleveland
 
Unit 3 Losing The Pound
Unit 3 Losing The PoundUnit 3 Losing The Pound
Unit 3 Losing The Pound
bcwang88
 
Media Festival Discussion Petec2010
Media Festival Discussion Petec2010Media Festival Discussion Petec2010
Media Festival Discussion Petec2010
Maryann Molishus
 
Katalog stalker 2015_web_2
Katalog stalker 2015_web_2Katalog stalker 2015_web_2
Katalog stalker 2015_web_2
Игорь Степанов
 
Argan oilitsuse
Argan oilitsuseArgan oilitsuse
Argan oilitsuse
Shohel Hossain
 
Prestige silver oak
Prestige silver oakPrestige silver oak
Prestige silver oak
HomeMantra .
 
portfolio
portfolioportfolio
portfolio
mostafa fahmy
 
PRM 101 Session 1
PRM 101 Session 1PRM 101 Session 1
PRM 101 Session 1
Ron Levi PMP
 
Reference Letter from Fotenos Fotios (CEO)
Reference Letter from Fotenos Fotios (CEO)Reference Letter from Fotenos Fotios (CEO)
Reference Letter from Fotenos Fotios (CEO)Thanos Koutras
 
Building effective mentoring relationships
Building effective mentoring relationshipsBuilding effective mentoring relationships
Building effective mentoring relationships
Caroline Cummings
 
MHO_Thea Bowman Academy
MHO_Thea Bowman AcademyMHO_Thea Bowman Academy
MHO_Thea Bowman Academy
Mechthild Heerde-Olind
 
Crm Analytique vision et convictions
Crm Analytique vision et convictionsCrm Analytique vision et convictions
Crm Analytique vision et convictions
Soft Computing
 

Viewers also liked (16)

Predictive risk and health care: an overview
Predictive risk and health care: an overviewPredictive risk and health care: an overview
Predictive risk and health care: an overview
 
Tech Ed Equipment Company Bangalore
Tech Ed Equipment Company BangaloreTech Ed Equipment Company Bangalore
Tech Ed Equipment Company Bangalore
 
Dr. Sanjay Gupta | CNN | Emory University
Dr. Sanjay Gupta | CNN | Emory UniversityDr. Sanjay Gupta | CNN | Emory University
Dr. Sanjay Gupta | CNN | Emory University
 
Unit 3 Losing The Pound
Unit 3 Losing The PoundUnit 3 Losing The Pound
Unit 3 Losing The Pound
 
Media Festival Discussion Petec2010
Media Festival Discussion Petec2010Media Festival Discussion Petec2010
Media Festival Discussion Petec2010
 
Katalog stalker 2015_web_2
Katalog stalker 2015_web_2Katalog stalker 2015_web_2
Katalog stalker 2015_web_2
 
Argan oilitsuse
Argan oilitsuseArgan oilitsuse
Argan oilitsuse
 
Prestige silver oak
Prestige silver oakPrestige silver oak
Prestige silver oak
 
portfolio
portfolioportfolio
portfolio
 
East Elevation - Colored
East Elevation - ColoredEast Elevation - Colored
East Elevation - Colored
 
PRM 101 Session 1
PRM 101 Session 1PRM 101 Session 1
PRM 101 Session 1
 
Reference Letter from Fotenos Fotios (CEO)
Reference Letter from Fotenos Fotios (CEO)Reference Letter from Fotenos Fotios (CEO)
Reference Letter from Fotenos Fotios (CEO)
 
Building effective mentoring relationships
Building effective mentoring relationshipsBuilding effective mentoring relationships
Building effective mentoring relationships
 
South Elevation - Colored
South Elevation - ColoredSouth Elevation - Colored
South Elevation - Colored
 
MHO_Thea Bowman Academy
MHO_Thea Bowman AcademyMHO_Thea Bowman Academy
MHO_Thea Bowman Academy
 
Crm Analytique vision et convictions
Crm Analytique vision et convictionsCrm Analytique vision et convictions
Crm Analytique vision et convictions
 

Similar to Master Thesis Koutras Athanasios

Executive Compensation and IncentivesMartin J. ConyonEx.docx
Executive Compensation and IncentivesMartin J. ConyonEx.docxExecutive Compensation and IncentivesMartin J. ConyonEx.docx
Executive Compensation and IncentivesMartin J. ConyonEx.docx
cravennichole326
 
The objective of this Lecture and Research Update is to examine th.docx
The objective of this Lecture and Research Update is to examine th.docxThe objective of this Lecture and Research Update is to examine th.docx
The objective of this Lecture and Research Update is to examine th.docx
arnoldmeredith47041
 
111021, 137 PM Commentary - HRMN 395 7381 The Total Rewards
111021, 137 PM Commentary - HRMN 395 7381 The Total Rewards111021, 137 PM Commentary - HRMN 395 7381 The Total Rewards
111021, 137 PM Commentary - HRMN 395 7381 The Total Rewards
BenitoSumpter862
 
111021, 137 PM Commentary - HRMN 395 7381 The Total Rewards
111021, 137 PM Commentary - HRMN 395 7381 The Total Rewards111021, 137 PM Commentary - HRMN 395 7381 The Total Rewards
111021, 137 PM Commentary - HRMN 395 7381 The Total Rewards
SantosConleyha
 
HRM coursework
HRM courseworkHRM coursework
HRM coursework
Noriyuki Dochi
 
Effect of Team Work in employees performance (The Empirical Assessment of ban...
Effect of Team Work in employees performance (The Empirical Assessment of ban...Effect of Team Work in employees performance (The Empirical Assessment of ban...
Effect of Team Work in employees performance (The Empirical Assessment of ban...
Mohammad Qasim Bin Ayaz
 
Effect of Team Work in employees performance
Effect of Team Work in employees performanceEffect of Team Work in employees performance
Effect of Team Work in employees performance
Mohammad Qasim Bin Ayaz
 
HRM
HRMHRM
EMD Serono Analysis - MBA Organizational Behavior Class
EMD Serono Analysis - MBA Organizational Behavior ClassEMD Serono Analysis - MBA Organizational Behavior Class
EMD Serono Analysis - MBA Organizational Behavior Class
Sam Bishop
 
Assignment 1 Discussion—Motivating Employees Through Compensation.docx
Assignment 1 Discussion—Motivating Employees Through Compensation.docxAssignment 1 Discussion—Motivating Employees Through Compensation.docx
Assignment 1 Discussion—Motivating Employees Through Compensation.docx
fredharris32
 
employee and service quality final.edited.docx
employee and service quality final.edited.docxemployee and service quality final.edited.docx
employee and service quality final.edited.docx
ErickKinoti1
 
Compensation system of bank (1)
Compensation system of bank (1)Compensation system of bank (1)
Compensation system of bank (1)
Aziz Askari
 
Performance driven-compensation-1720594 (1)
Performance driven-compensation-1720594 (1)Performance driven-compensation-1720594 (1)
Performance driven-compensation-1720594 (1)
eriefenstahl
 
eBook: A Practical Guide to Compensation Self-Auditing
eBook: A Practical Guide to Compensation Self-AuditingeBook: A Practical Guide to Compensation Self-Auditing
eBook: A Practical Guide to Compensation Self-Auditing
Thomas Econometrics
 
cl53_CEOPay
cl53_CEOPaycl53_CEOPay
cl53_CEOPay
David Larcker
 
Running head IMPROVING EMPLOYEE RETENTION RATE IN THE AUTOMOTI.docx
Running head  IMPROVING EMPLOYEE RETENTION RATE IN THE AUTOMOTI.docxRunning head  IMPROVING EMPLOYEE RETENTION RATE IN THE AUTOMOTI.docx
Running head IMPROVING EMPLOYEE RETENTION RATE IN THE AUTOMOTI.docx
joellemurphey
 
4.thesis.ppt
4.thesis.ppt4.thesis.ppt
4.thesis.ppt
Naqeeb15
 
Literature review
Literature reviewLiterature review
Literature review
Tshering Wangyel
 
Performance appraisal books
Performance appraisal booksPerformance appraisal books
Performance appraisal books
zonaharper2
 
Effect of Staff Performance Appraisal Outcomes on Employee Job Performance a ...
Effect of Staff Performance Appraisal Outcomes on Employee Job Performance a ...Effect of Staff Performance Appraisal Outcomes on Employee Job Performance a ...
Effect of Staff Performance Appraisal Outcomes on Employee Job Performance a ...
iosrjce
 

Similar to Master Thesis Koutras Athanasios (20)

Executive Compensation and IncentivesMartin J. ConyonEx.docx
Executive Compensation and IncentivesMartin J. ConyonEx.docxExecutive Compensation and IncentivesMartin J. ConyonEx.docx
Executive Compensation and IncentivesMartin J. ConyonEx.docx
 
The objective of this Lecture and Research Update is to examine th.docx
The objective of this Lecture and Research Update is to examine th.docxThe objective of this Lecture and Research Update is to examine th.docx
The objective of this Lecture and Research Update is to examine th.docx
 
111021, 137 PM Commentary - HRMN 395 7381 The Total Rewards
111021, 137 PM Commentary - HRMN 395 7381 The Total Rewards111021, 137 PM Commentary - HRMN 395 7381 The Total Rewards
111021, 137 PM Commentary - HRMN 395 7381 The Total Rewards
 
111021, 137 PM Commentary - HRMN 395 7381 The Total Rewards
111021, 137 PM Commentary - HRMN 395 7381 The Total Rewards111021, 137 PM Commentary - HRMN 395 7381 The Total Rewards
111021, 137 PM Commentary - HRMN 395 7381 The Total Rewards
 
HRM coursework
HRM courseworkHRM coursework
HRM coursework
 
Effect of Team Work in employees performance (The Empirical Assessment of ban...
Effect of Team Work in employees performance (The Empirical Assessment of ban...Effect of Team Work in employees performance (The Empirical Assessment of ban...
Effect of Team Work in employees performance (The Empirical Assessment of ban...
 
Effect of Team Work in employees performance
Effect of Team Work in employees performanceEffect of Team Work in employees performance
Effect of Team Work in employees performance
 
HRM
HRMHRM
HRM
 
EMD Serono Analysis - MBA Organizational Behavior Class
EMD Serono Analysis - MBA Organizational Behavior ClassEMD Serono Analysis - MBA Organizational Behavior Class
EMD Serono Analysis - MBA Organizational Behavior Class
 
Assignment 1 Discussion—Motivating Employees Through Compensation.docx
Assignment 1 Discussion—Motivating Employees Through Compensation.docxAssignment 1 Discussion—Motivating Employees Through Compensation.docx
Assignment 1 Discussion—Motivating Employees Through Compensation.docx
 
employee and service quality final.edited.docx
employee and service quality final.edited.docxemployee and service quality final.edited.docx
employee and service quality final.edited.docx
 
Compensation system of bank (1)
Compensation system of bank (1)Compensation system of bank (1)
Compensation system of bank (1)
 
Performance driven-compensation-1720594 (1)
Performance driven-compensation-1720594 (1)Performance driven-compensation-1720594 (1)
Performance driven-compensation-1720594 (1)
 
eBook: A Practical Guide to Compensation Self-Auditing
eBook: A Practical Guide to Compensation Self-AuditingeBook: A Practical Guide to Compensation Self-Auditing
eBook: A Practical Guide to Compensation Self-Auditing
 
cl53_CEOPay
cl53_CEOPaycl53_CEOPay
cl53_CEOPay
 
Running head IMPROVING EMPLOYEE RETENTION RATE IN THE AUTOMOTI.docx
Running head  IMPROVING EMPLOYEE RETENTION RATE IN THE AUTOMOTI.docxRunning head  IMPROVING EMPLOYEE RETENTION RATE IN THE AUTOMOTI.docx
Running head IMPROVING EMPLOYEE RETENTION RATE IN THE AUTOMOTI.docx
 
4.thesis.ppt
4.thesis.ppt4.thesis.ppt
4.thesis.ppt
 
Literature review
Literature reviewLiterature review
Literature review
 
Performance appraisal books
Performance appraisal booksPerformance appraisal books
Performance appraisal books
 
Effect of Staff Performance Appraisal Outcomes on Employee Job Performance a ...
Effect of Staff Performance Appraisal Outcomes on Employee Job Performance a ...Effect of Staff Performance Appraisal Outcomes on Employee Job Performance a ...
Effect of Staff Performance Appraisal Outcomes on Employee Job Performance a ...
 

Master Thesis Koutras Athanasios

  • 1. [1] Amsterdam Business School “What is the impact of likelihood of dismissal on the provision of performance-based compensation?” MSc: Accountancy and Control Track: Control Thesis Supervisor: Dr. P. Kroos Athanasios Koutras ID: 10232214 Amsterdam, June 2012
  • 2. [2] Contents Contents...........................................................................................................................2 1. Introduction.......................................................................................................3 1.1. Background……………………………………………………….3 1.2. Research question………………………………………………....4 1.3. Motivation………………………………………………….……..4 2. Literature review and hypothesis…………....................................................5 2.1. Incentives and Sorting………………………………….………....5 2.2. Incentive compensation…………………………………………..6 2.3. Threat of dismissal………………………………………..………10 2.3.1. Why dismissal…………………………………...10 2.3.2. Firing cost and the termination incentive………..11 2.4. Key factors that affect the likelihood of dismissal and the influence of Corporate Governance…………………………………..………...12 2.5.Relationship between performance-based compensation and threat of dismissal……………………………………………………….….15 3. Research Design…….………………………………………………………...16 3.1. Sample selection………………………………………………….16 3.2. Empirical model………………………………………………….16 3.2.1. Dependent Variables…………………………….17 3.2.2. Independent variables…………………………...17 3.2.3. Control Variables………………………………..19 4. Findings………………………………………………………………………..21 4.1. Descriptive statistics……………………………………………..21 4.2. Empirical results……………………………………………...….24 5. Conclusion……………………………………………………………………..29
  • 3. [3] Abstract Prior studies have examined the relationship between the likelihood of dismissal and performance. This study makes one step forward and attempts to detect if there is a correlation between the threat of dismissal, used as incentive, and performance-based compensation. The findings of the current paper demonstrate that there is a complementary relationship between the CEO’s likelihood of dismissal and bonus compensation, while they also show insignificant, though potential, evidence of a substitute relation between the likelihood of dismissal and equity compensation. 1. Introduction 1.1 Background Because of information asymmetry, owners of firms have limited information regarding the actions of the managers. Therefore firms often use incentives to encourage managers to take the desired actions that increase shareholders value, for example through the threat of dismissal. The threat of dismissal could be an incentive for the employees to increase their performance and become more beneficial for the company in order not to be dismissed. Particularly, the aforementioned incentive is much stronger when there are other external factors which increase the cost of job loss, such as a higher unemployment rate and a greater likelihood of a negative pay difference between the old job and a prospective new job. According to previous research, dismissals have a significant effect on productivity, but this relation is nonlinear (Kraft, 1991). This means that on one hand, employees may be motivated from the possibility of dismissal to perform better, but on the other hand the high risk of job loss could also decrease their productivity. Many empirical studies have shown that there is a negative relationship between performance and the probability of dismissal (Weisbach (1988), Jensen and Murphy (1990), Kaplan (1994), Denis and Denis (1995), Conyon (1998), and Chevalier and Ellison (1999). Prior research distinguished several ways in which firms can provide incentives to their employees. First, firms may provide monetary rewards if targets on predefined
  • 4. [4] performance measures are achieved. Such rewards are bonuses, stock options, restricted options and performance units (shares). Second, managers may experience incentives because the threat of dismissal is basically a function of the likelihood of dismissal and the corresponding cost of job loss. Relatively, only a few research papers have looked into the question, how various sources of incentives relate, and if incentives from compensation substitute or complement those incentives that follow from the threat of dismissal. This study will investigate the behaviour of the executives’ performance evaluators. The question becomes whether they decrease the ex-ante incentive compensation that managers face because it is assumed that the incentives of the likelihood of job dismissal are sufficient with regard to the provision of effort-inducing incentives? 1.2. Research question Taking into consideration the aforementioned, I will examine the following research question: “What is the impact of likelihood of dismissal on the provision of performance-based compensation?” 1.3. Motivation There are a lot of Wall Street Journal and other business publications, reporting the job-termination of upper-level managers in the wake of poor performance. And while chief executive officers (CEOs) used to be more often spared from the ranks of those who lost their jobs, events over the last few years suggest a less secure future even for chief executives. It seems that firms have the willingness to fire some of their employees in the name of “good performance”. However, there is limited literature regarding this particular topic. Most of the research has focused almost exclusively on incentives provided by pay-for-performance schemes, while ignore the ability of the firms to dismiss certain employees and increase in this way their performance- inducing incentives. This research will constitute a contribution to previous research, as it will examine the extent to which, the provision of performance-based
  • 5. [5] compensation is affected by the threat of job-termination. In other words, the current study will attempt to investigate how executive level managers’ compensation could fluctuate due to the likelihood of dismissal. Furthermore, as firms may be more inclined in recent years to fire executives following poor performance, it is relevant for those firms to know whether different incentives may be regarded as substitutes or complements. So, companies may gain knowledge whether to increase or decrease bonuses, following an increase in the likelihood of dismissal. 2. Literature Review and Hypothesis 2.1 Incentives and Sorting Agency theory describes the relationship between the principal who delegates certain tasks to the agent, who is responsible to complete this work. It explains their differences in behaviour by stating that most of the time both parties have different goals to meet and different attitudes toward risk. Adverse selection describes, amongst others, the problems that principals encounter while inferring the quality of the agent. Furthermore, the principal is not always able to fully observe the agent’s actions and ability because of information asymmetry. Agents always have more information than owners, regarding the firm’s performance or even their own capabilities. Hence, the agent can use the informational advantage to maximize his or her own benefit and interest, which leads to agency costs for the principal. To minimize such consequences, most firms use a set of performance measures to control agents’ activities and pressure them to increase their productivity. They achieve that by measuring the progress of a manager toward a predefined objective or goal, verifying ex-post whether managers have taken desired actions and whether they are of sufficient quality. In addition managers face ex-ante incentives when rewards or penalties are beforehand linked to performance measure outcomes. In order for firms to improve the efficiency of these measures and realize a significant increase in shareholders’ value, they provide a mix of incentives. One of these incentives that will be examined in this study is the threat of dismissal.
  • 6. [6] People being fired from their jobs, is not an uncommon feature in business practice. Although dismissals have social and economic effects to the people got fired, there is not much known regarding whether these people lost their jobs due to limited capabilities or just because the board of directors tried to provide effort-inducing incentives. Kwon (2003) was the one who tried to examine the threat of dismissal from two different views: that of “incentive or sorting”. Both of them are costly for the company. For the example of dismissal motivated by sorting, the firm has to search and train new employees. In addition, when compensation committees use dismissal as incentive device, this requires a strong commitment from the firm’s board of directors, since they may have to fire a well qualified or highly experienced executive because of some random events (causing the poor performance). Overall, both models predict that the likelihood of dismissal decreases with good performance and when the agent belongs to the category of “learning-by-doing”, the average dismissal probability decreases over time. Indeed, Dikoli et al. (2008) document how the (negative) relationship between performance and the likelihood of dismissal becomes weaker as the tenure of the CEO increases. 2.2 Incentive Compensation In general, the compensation committee of the board of directors in consultation with the human resources, finance department and other third-party consultants, are responsible for the compensation of the chief executive officer and other managers. According to SEC (Securities & Exchange commission), the organizations are obliged to include a Compensation Discussion & Analysis (CD&A) section in their annual statement, in order to get shareholders’ approval for the compensation plan. Shareholders can evaluate this program taking into consideration the company’s compensation philosophy, total compensation awarded, elements of the pay package, the peer groups used for comparative purposes in designing compensation and measuring performance, performance metrics used to award variable pay, pay equity between the CEO and other senior executives, stock ownership guidelines, clawback policies, severance agreements, golden parachutes, and post-retirement compensation.
  • 7. [7] A compensation program aims typically to: first, attract the right people for the job, taking into account their skills, their experience and their ability to succeed in a specific position. Second, retain the most efficient employees; otherwise they will chase a better position in a competitive company that offers more appropriate compensation for their talent. Third, provide them the right incentives to have a more efficient performance. For example, encouraging those behaviors that are aligned with the corporate strategy and discouraging the self-interested ones. Many firms link compensation to performance by implementing performance-based incentive programs at every level of the organization. Several economic theories state that performance-based compensation increases a firm’s overall productivity by attracting and retaining the more efficient employees (selection effect) and/or by inducing employees to raise or better allocate their effort to increase their performance (effort effect). According to the selection effect, a performance-based compensation contract can be used as an ideal device that encourages less productive employees to leave the firm, and on the other hand, motivates more productive employees to join or remain with the firm. However, the impact of this effect on employees’ behavior may not be instant because the employees themselves may not be aware of their own capabilities, and may learn about them, only when they receive feedback regarding their performance. Turning to the effort effect, a performance- based compensation plan provides incentives to employees to increase their performance by learning more efficient ways to deal with their daily tasks. Banker, Lee, Potter and Srinivasan (2001) found that the improvements after the implementation of such performance-based incentive plans are related to those economic theories referring to employees’ behavior. They document that the implementation of the plan leads to the attraction and retention of more productive employees, supporting the hypothesis that a pay-for-performance plan acts as an effective screening device by sorting employees by ability. Finally, the plan motivates those employees that remain with the firm to continually increase their productivity, suggesting that pay-for-performance provides incentives for a long-term effort. Firms, instead of directly monitoring and supervising their employees’ behavior or performance in a daily basis, rely on self-enforcing reward structures. According to
  • 8. [8] Becker and Huselid (1992), the appeal of successively higher compensation motivates employees to devote greater attention to organizational interests at all job levels and discourages shirking. However, the main reason that firms are led to this kind of compensation strategy is because they attempt in this way to align employees’ effort with the organization’s interest. An employee can expand a great deal of effort, but if it is not the right kind of effort, shirking exists. Therefore, several tools are used by firms to compensate executives for their increased performance. Many companies provide annual bonuses in the form of cash to their employees to reward them for their annual performance when the company exceeds pre-specified financial and non-financial targets. Additionally, other companies also include such performance-based features in their stock-options programs that require the firm to achieve specific targets in a certain period of time before the executives realize any value from their grants. These features are especially effective because the targets are more strongly aligned to the company’s strategy and the executives are rewarded only if the firm’s performance is outstanding1 . Jensen and Murphy (1990a) suggest that “equity-based rather than cash compensation gives managers the correct incentive to maximize firm value”. Moreover, as it is stated from Zhou, the agent’s motivation problem occurs mainly because of the separation of ownership and management. Hence, an efficient way for the principal to mitigate this problem is to increase executive’s holding by awarding them with firm’s stock option. Sometimes firms also encourage long-term equity ownership by requiring their employees to hold this equity for several years to extend the decision horizon of those employees. Prior study of Elsila et al. (2009) measured executives’ incentives in terms of the personal wealth they had invested in the company, and found that the ratio of CEO ownership to personal wealth is positively correlated with both firm performance and firm value. Moreover, it is worthwhile mentioning that Mehran (1995) in his research, found, firstly, that firm performance is positively related to the percentage of executive compensation that is equity-based, and, secondly, that firm performance is positively related to the percentage of equity held by managers. These findings are 1 Equity grants by themselves are already a mean to align interests because managers are incentivized to take actions that increase stock price.
  • 9. [9] very interesting as they illustrate that besides the degree of incentive compensation; also the type of incentives has an effect on managers’ incentives to take those actions that increase firm value. Last but not least, many companies also use several contractual agreements such as severance agreements and golden parachutes to compensate executives for a potential job-loss. A severance agreement provides payments upon future involuntary terminations, except when the termination is ‘for cause’. Such a ‘cause’, which rarely occurs, could be certain actions of the manager that are severely prohibited from the contract (such as conviction of a felony). A severance pay is basically a way for the board of directors to assess the manager’s achievements until the day that he or she will leave the firm, and compensate him or her for them. Moreover it is a device to motivate younger managers to undertake riskier projects that are aligned with the shareholders interests. However, severance agreements weaken the incentives from the likelihood of dismissal as they decrease the costs of job loss. Furthermore, a significant number of corporations have also changed their executive employment contracts to include additional compensation to executives when the company undergoes some type of 'change in control' (e.g., purchase of a substantial block of outstanding stock, a change in the majority of the Board of Directors, or acquisition of the company by an unrelated party). These modifications have been termed as 'Golden Parachutes'. According to Lambert and Larcker (1984), a golden parachute adoption is associated with a statistically significant and positive stock market reaction. On the other hand, because both severance pay and golden parachutes occur when a CEO exits the firm, there are many people stating that it represents a giveaway that cannot influence future firm performance. In addition, some compensation packages go to executives who have failed, undermining in this way the incentives from the threat of dismissal. However, it should be noted that according to section 304 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, the US companies have the right to reclaim compensation from the CEO and CFO if it is later proved that the bonuses, were awarded after the earnings were being manipulated. This is referred to as clawback provision and has been explicitly adopted by many large companies.
  • 10. [10] 2.3. Threat of dismissal The current research focuses on the CEO turnover because the decision to dismiss a CEO and replace him or her with someone else is one of the most crucial decisions made by the board of directors. CEO turnover has long-term consequences for a firm’s investment, operating and financing decisions. It is often assumed that if the internal governance mechanisms and the external control market improve the monitoring of executives, then the likelihood of dismissal of poorly performing managers increases, and they are replaced by others who better represent stockholders’ interests. 2.3.1. Why dismissal? According to Kim (1996) a firm’s performance depends mainly on managers’ quality and on random or unexpected events arising from chance. In other words, a company can realize a significant decline in its performance either because the manager is not capable or because it is facing a crisis (e.g., recession, etc.). It is after assumed that forced management turnover tends to improve managerial quality and hence the company’s performance. Here, all managers do not have the same quality and therefore the board of directors attempts to measure their quality in terms of realized performance. If performance is significantly poor, the directors realize that the current manager is of low quality and they decide his or her replacement with another one. However, sometimes performance is affected by bad luck. Therefore, a change in management can lead to an increase in firm’s performance for two reasons: the expected increment in manager quality is positive and luck is also expected to revert to normal. Furthermore, an alternative significant hypothesis for dismissal, based on the agency theory of Holmstrom (1979), Shavell (1979), and Mirrlees (1976), is that of the scapegoat. The scapegoat hypothesis is contradictory to the aforementioned hypothesis of improved management. Here, it is assumed that all managers are of the same quality, and the probability of poor performance arises only from chance or bad luck. Taking into consideration that the managers’ capacities are the same, the replacement of the incumbent manager will not improve the quality of the manager in
  • 11. [11] charge. Despite that the quality will not improve following replacement, it still provides incentives to the other employees to provide higher effort. So the dismissed executive may be regarded as the scapegoat since this dismissal is not motivated by a desire to improve managerial quality, but instead by the desire to provide effort- inducing incentives to the remaining employees (Huson et al. 2003). 2.3.2. Firing cost and the termination incentive The threat of dismissal is usually used by firms to motivate their employees to increase their productivity. According to the research of Hallman et al. (1999), firms threaten to fire those executives who perform poorly, and assuming that they do not want to be fired, the threat of job loss gives them an incentive to perform well. Furthermore, the subsequent employment prospects of the displaced managers of the restatement firms are poorer than those of the displaced managers of control firms. However, if the employees do not believe that the firm will actually fire them in the event of poor performance, then the threat of job termination has no incentive power. One reason that the employees might not believe that the firm will carry out the threat of dismissal is that they (and firms) know that termination is costly. Many firms offer golden employment contracts or severance agreements, especially to CEOs, that can decrease or eliminate the probability of being punished for financial failure and mitigate the adverse consequences of job loss. As it has already been mentioned above, as these agreements aim to compensate managers for the job-loss or the damage in their reputation after a turnover (almost none of these managers find a position like the one they had before the termination), they pay all managers independently of their performance and the value added for the firm and its shareholders. Finally, as the cost of firing increases and the termination incentive becomes less effective, the firm must use more intense pay-for-performance incentives to motivate its employees to provide the optimal level of effort. The most significant finding of their research is that the pay-for-performance incentive and the termination incentive are substitute incentive devices; as the cost of firing the employee increases and therefore the power of the termination incentive decreases, firms have to provide additional pay-for-performance incentives.
  • 12. [12] 2.4. Key factors that affect the determinants of likelihood of dismissal A main stream of literature addressed the determinants of the likelihood of dismissal. Some of the most recurring determinants will be briefly discussed in this section. Tenure According to prior research, executives’ likelihood of dismissal is influenced from several factors. One of them is tenure. As it is mentioned in the paper (Kwon, 2003) “the dismissal probability and the wage contract become less sensitive to the performance as tenure increases”. In other words, this means that as tenure increases, the manager becomes more familiar with the position or acquires more relevant knowledge, the likelihood of dismissal declines and, at the same time, the average wage rises because of the increase in human capital. It is also important to note that as a manager’s tenure increases, the manager becomes more expensive to dismiss. Furthermore, when a CEO remains in the same position for very long, develops stronger bonds with the board of directors, which is the one that evaluates his or her performance (if it is a two-tier board), and it is more difficult then to be dismissed. Especially in the case of one-tier board the CEO is powerful as he is also the chairman of the board. In such kind of boards the one who is responsible for CEO evaluation regarding his or her performance is the CEO himself. Age Another factor that affects the probability of someone to be dismissed is age. The age of a manager can play an important role in the compensation system as it influences both the performance measures and his wage. According to Vancil (1987) “CEOs are more likely to be fired when they are young than when they are closer to normal retirement, while also suggests that managers between the ages of 50 and 60 are unlikely to be dismissed subsequent to poor performance”. Additional research from Warner et al. (1988) and Weisbach (1988), examined manager’s turnover in several firms and for a broad period and found that there were only a few cases in which boards mentioned performance as the main reason why the CEO had to be replaced. It is also stated that most of them leave their position only after reaching normal retirement age. The infrequent dismissals due to CEO’s poor performance do not, by itself, imply the absence of incentives since even a low probability of job termination
  • 13. [13] can provide incentives if the penalties associated with termination are sufficiently severe (Jensen and Murphy, 1990). Firm size According to several studies, especially the research of Huson et al (2001), there is a positive relationship between the likelihood of CEO turnover and firm size. It has been proved that there is a higher probability for larger firms to appoint an insider to replace an outgoing CEO (e.g Parrino, 1997). One reasonable explanation for this finding could be that smaller firms have fewer senior managers that are suitably qualified to replace the outgoing CEO and thus an outside candidate seems to be the ideal solution for less complex organizations. However, smaller firms may not have the budget to replace their CEOs with external candidates very often. Zhou (2003) in an effort to combine the likelihood of dismissal with firm performance documented an unexpected but interesting finding. “The probability of CEO turnover, while almost unchanged related to performance of small firms, seems to be strongly correlated with the performance of larger firms”. This observation seems inconsistent with the finding of Jensen and Murphy (1990a). It is important to highlight the fact that the above research was conducted in Canada and the similarities with the CEO’s compensation in United States should not be surprising. ‘Given the extensive economic (e.g., trade) and institutional (e.g., corporate, labour union) linkages that have developed between Canada and the United States at both the macro and microeconomic levels, we might reasonably expect significant cross-national influences on compensation practices’ (Chaykowski and Lewis 1996, 2). Industry homogeneity Parrino (1997) demonstrates that in homogeneous industries the probability of CEO turnover and outside replacements is higher because of the increased availability of well-qualified outside candidates. DeFond and Park (1999) also finds evidence that when the industries are highly competitive, the frequency of CEO turnover is increased, compared to less competitive industries. That means that there is a high correlation between industry competition and homogeneity.
  • 14. [14] According to the studies of Farrell and Whidbee (2003) and Agrawal et al. (2001), the board of directors is more likely to hire an outside candidate after they have forced the previous CEO to be removed from his or her place. Furthermore, regarding historical performance, it may influence the likelihood of CEO turnover and the type of turnover, but on the other hand it does not have any considerable effect on the choice of CEO’s replacement beyond its impact on the type of turnover. Outside versus Inside directors Last but not least, another crucial factor that has not been mentioned so far is the evaluation of senior management and the enacting mechanisms to replace them, due to poor performance, from the board. As it is well known, the board is made-up of executive and non executive (outside) directors. Regarding Fama and Jensen (1983), non executive directors are supposed to represent shareholders’ interests better. One reason for this is that if their monitoring of the management team is not adequate, they suffer reputation loss in the managerial labour market. Moreover Weibach (1988) argues that inside directors cannot be more effective than outside ones because they don’t want to challenge the CEO to whom their careers are tied. This means that outside directors on the contrary with inside directors can more easily replace a poorly performing CEO, while Borokhovich et al. (1996) reports that outside directors are also more likely to replace a fired CEO with an executive from outside the firm. Since the early 1970s, the percentage of outside directors on corporate boards seems to have been increased. Bacon (1990) demonstrates that the percentage of outside directors in manufacturing firms increased from 71 percent in 1972 to 86 percent in 1989. He also states that the number of board members at large firms decreased from 14 in 1972 to 12 in 1989. Finally, regarding the studies of Jensen (1993) and Yermack (1996) it is reported that a more streamlined board is more efficient and can monitor more effectively. In other words, a smaller board would reasonably be expected to increase the negative relationship between firm performance and CEO turnover. Turning back to the threat of dismissal part, Weisbach (1988) documents that “poor stock-price performance increases the probability that the CEO will be replaced”; this probability becomes more obvious if the percentage of outside directors is higher. However, he also underlines the fact that even when, outside directors have little
  • 15. [15] financial power in the firm, they also have little incentive to dismiss the CEO. “For example, the CEO almost always determines the agenda and the information given to the board. This limitation on information severely hinders the ability of even highly talented board members to contribute effectively to the monitoring and evaluation of the CEO and the company’s strategy”, Jensen (1993, p. 864). It also seems that non executive directors have little time to collect information for the company’s operation and they are only content with what the managers provide them with. 2.5. Relationship between performance-based compensation and threat of dismissal In summary, previous research supports that the threat of dismissal can be used as incentive, to motivate managers to take those actions that increase the firm value. However, this threat is also influenced by other factors. For example, severance agreements weaken the costs of job loss and therefore weaken dismissal incentives. In addition, managers who are already at the firm for a long time and possess a large ownership stake may be, to some extent, shielded from the threat of dismissal. For example, Denis et al. (1997) documented that “turnover is significantly less sensitive to performance at high managerial ownership levels” and Dahya et al. (1998) concluded that “managerial entrenchment effects occur at extremely low ownership levels”. This research will attempt to focus on the extent in which the provision of performance-based incentives is affected by the threat of dismissal. A prior study by Bushman, Dai and Wang (2008), illustrated that for retained CEOs, pay-performance- sensitivity is decreasing in the likelihood of turnover. In other words, when the probability of turnover is high enough, the CEO faces strong implicit incentives to work harder and increase his or her performance and so requires less explicit incentives. Furthermore, for CEOs who are retained in their position, incentive compensation levels seem to decrease due to higher probability of dismissal. This is suggesting that CEO could be forced to accept this downward revision of incentive compensation as job termination pressure increases. This is also consistent with the study of Gao et al. (2008), who documented that “compensation cuts can be a short- term substitute for dismissal”.
  • 16. [16] Given the aforementioned research, I expect that the effect-inducing incentives that originate from performance-based compensation and the threat of dismissal act as substitutes. However, incentives may also play a primary role for the selection of a new executive (i.e., the selection effect of incentives) which be especially important in the case of dismissal of an old executive and replacement by a new executive. Finally, retention features of incentive compensation seem negatively associated with the threat of dismissal. Overall, given the strongest emphasis put on the effort-effect of incentives, I formulate my hypothesis as follows: Hypothesis: The likelihood of dismissal is negatively associated with the provision of performance-based compensation. 3. Research Design 3.1. Sample selection The sample of firms used in this study includes all firms incorporated in the Compustat Execucomp database for the year 2005. The coverage of the Execucomp database roughly corresponds with the S&P 1500. I collected compensation data from the Compustat Execucomp database. To compute my proxy for the likelihood of dismissal, I collected data about the number of employees from the Compustat industrial file. Data for my control variables are retrieved from the Compustat databases. The combination of the data files is based on a firm’s code (gvkey) and fiscal-year end. The need to combine different data files (Compustat-North America and Execucomp), leads to a final sample size of 273 observations. This may, to some extent, lead to a non-random sample which (at least) may have an effect on the external validity of this study as there might be a selection bias towards large firms. 3.2. Empirical model To examine how CEO compensation is influenced by the likelihood of dismissal I solely focus on CEO flow compensation. Here, I distinguish between two important parts of CEO flow compensation, i.e., cash bonus and equity grants. Therefore, I will examine two different empirical models. The two regressions are as below:
  • 17. [17] (1) BONUS_INC = ß0 + ß1*PERF + ß2*PERF*LIK_DIS1 + ß3*LIK_DIS1 + ß4*SIZE + ß5*LEV + ß6*TEN + ß7*AGE + ß8*MTB + ß9VOL + ε (2) EGRANTS = ß0 + ß1*PERF + ß2*PERF*LIK_DIS1 + ß3*LIK_DIS1 + ß4*SIZE + ß5*LEV + ß6*TEN + ß7*AGE + ß8*MTB + ß9VOL + ε However, as I used ROA (ACC_PERF) and the change in stock price (MARKET_PERF) to measure the companies’ performance, as these both types of performance measures are used most often in executive incentive plans, I also run the aforementioned regressions including the above variables separately to each regression each time. In general, the relationship between performance and compensation would be represented by the coefficient ß1. However, for my specific models I separate between observations with a high likelihood of dismissal (i.e., LIK_DIS1=1) and observations with a low likelihood of dismissal (i.e., LIK_DIS1=0). The relationship between performance and compensation for CEOs that face a small likelihood of dismissal is given by the coefficient ß1. The relationship between performance and compensation for CEOs that face a high likelihood of dismissal is given by the sum of coefficients (ß1 + ß2). Hence, the difference in the pay-for-performance relation between CEOs that face a high likelihood of dismissal and those that face a small likelihood of dismissal is represented by the coefficient ß2. On the basis of my hypothesis, I expect that ß2<0. 3.2.1. Dependent variables Regarding the first equation above, BONUS_INC is a dependent variable that describes the payment that CEO receives in one year in the form of cash. It can be measured as follows: Bonus / (salary + Bonus). Given that my hypothesis is focused on the ex-ante bonus incentives but only ex-post bonus data can be retrieved, I will control for actual performance in the respective year. The second dependent variable of my research is EGRANTS. This illustrates the equity grants that are offered to the CEO as compensation to his or her performance. Equity incentives are awarded to align the interests of the CEO with that of the shareholders. To determine the equity grants I used the amount of stock options and
  • 18. [18] restricted stock that are awarded to the CEOs. To measure this variable, the amount of equity grants must be divided by the total compensation (Equity grants / Total Compensation). Both dependent variables describe the types of incentives that are used by the firms in order to motivate CEOs, to increase their effort and subsequent performance. 3.2.2. Independent variables The first independent variable of interest in this study is the likelihood of dismissal. Likelihood of dismissal (LIK_DIS) is proxied for in the following way. I use the sensitivity of fluctuation in the number of people that are employed at a certain firm to fluctuations in the performance of that firm as my proxy for the likelihood of dismissal. So, I assume that in a firm where employees are more easily dismissed following poor performance, also the CEO faces a greater threat of dismissal when the performance is weak. I measure the likelihood of dismissal in the following way. I compute the change in the number of employees and divide this by the change in accounting performance (ROA)2 . I do this for the period 1999-2004 and subsequently compute the average value. I finally compose the dummy variable LIK_DIS which is one if the value of the average sensitivity of the number of employees to performance over the period 1999-2004 is higher than the median value in my sample; zero otherwise. The second independent variable of interest is performance. In order to measure firm’s performance (PERF) I used two factors: the change in firm’s stock price and the return on assets (ROA). To determine this fluctuation I took into account the stock price at the end of the fiscal year minus the share price at the beginning of the fiscal year, divided by the share price at the beginning of the fiscal year (SPt –SPt-1 / SPt-1). Regarding the second variable that measures performance; most researchers use the return on equity (ROE) as their primary measure of company performance. However, ROE can be proved to be very risky. For example, companies, in an effort to keep investors happy, can resort to financial strategies to artificially maintain a healthy ROE - for a while - and hide in this way the deteriorating performance of the business. Growing debt leverage and stock buybacks funded through accumulated 2 I take the absolute values
  • 19. [19] cash can help to maintain a company's ROE even though operational profitability is eroding (http://blogs.hbr.org/bigshift/2010/03/the-best-way-to-measure- compan.html/05/06/2012). On the other hand, ROA shows how efficient management is at using its assets to generate earnings or in other words, at converting its investments into profit. The higher the return, the more efficient the management is in utilizing its asset base. ROA is a better metric of financial performance than other profitability measures like return on sales because it takes into consideration the assets used to support business activities. Therefore, I considered ROA as a more suitable and reliable metric for performance because it also illustrates whether the company is able to generate an adequate return on these assets rather than simply showing robust return on sales. Finally, turning back to my hypothesis, a change in ROA would indicate a change in CEO’s performance. ROA is calculated by comparing net income to average total assets. 3.2.3. Control variables Firm size Prior studies have illustrated a positive relationship between the likelihood of CEO turnover and firm size. As it has already been mentioned in the paper, a CEO in a large firm has higher probability to be dismissed compared to another one in a smaller firm because there are more qualified senior managers to replace the outgoing CEO. There is always the solution of an outside candidate, but smaller firms cannot afford the cost of such replacement. To measure firm size (here illustrated as SIZE) factor, I used the natural logarithm of the book value of total assets. Age As it has already been presented above, the CEO’s age plays a crucial role regarding the likelihood of his dismissal due to low performance. Vancil (1987) states that the probability of a CEO being fired is higher when he or she is young than when they are between the age of 50 and 60, or closer to the retirement age. Furthermore, it is assumed that an older CEO is more experienced than a young one, and hence his or
  • 20. [20] her power towards the board (particularly the compensation committee) will be higher. CEO age (AGE) is defined as the age of the incumbent CEO rounded in full years. Tenure According to previous research CEO tenure is a significant factor that affects both compensation and likelihood of dismissal. A CEO’s long tenure could be indicative of a powerful executive and, hence positively influence CEO’s compensation. Moreover, long tenure decreases the likelihood of dismissal, because from the one hand the human capital of CEO (knowledge regarding his/her position acquired) increases, but on the other hand the cost to dismiss him/her is higher (Dikolli et al., 2008). The Execucomp file provides all information regarding the start and termination dates for CEOs, and can be used to compute CEO tenure. So, to compute the CEO tenure (TEN) I deducted the date that he/she became CEO from the date that he/she left the company as CEO (Date left as CEO – Date became CEO). However, because my research focus only on the year 2005, this variable is truncated given that I do not observe tenure following the year 2005. Leverage Leverage is used as a proxy for financial distress. Prior research showed that distressed companies alter their compensation policies. For example, the study of Matejka et al. (2009) illustrates that poorly performing firms change their incentive compensation strategies (i.e., include more nonfinancial). Leverage (LEV) is measured as follows: Total Long-term Debt / Total Assets. Market-to-Book ratio MTB-ratio is used to proxy for growth options. Firms with greater growth options may face greater monitoring difficulty in which they may make greater use of incentive compensation to address agency problems. MTB is defined as the ratio of a numerator which is the sum of the market value of common stock and of a denominator (book value of equity) which is the difference between total assets and liabilities of the company.
  • 21. [21] Volatility Finally, I used volatility as a control variable in my regression model. Greater volatility implies greater risk imposed on managers which makes incentive compensation more costly. To measure the volatility (VOL) of each company in 2005 I calculated the standard deviation of the accounting returns (specifically that of the ROA) for the years 1999 until 2004. 4. Findings In this section the descriptive statistics are discussed, followed by a discussion of the results of the ordinary least squares (OLS) multivariate regression. It should be noted that I repeated the analysis using a robust regression. I found that the results are less reliable with respect to the sign and significance of the coefficient of interest (non- tabulated), therefore, OLS regression’s results are presented. 4.1. Descriptive statistics In this part of the study, Table 1 reports the descriptive statistics for the full sample. The panel shows that the mean of CEO’s age is almost 58 years, while the mean of CEO’s tenure is 8.1 years (which is similar with the average tenure that is illustrated in prior studies). The average bonus is almost 0.5 which indicates that about half of an executive’s cash compensation originates from bonuses. The average equity grants is also about 0.5 which also shows that half of the executive’s cash compensation comes from the equity that the executive is granted with. Regarding the MTB ratio the mean is around 3.4 which suggests that the average firm has considerable growth options (given that the market value of equity is more than three times the accounting book value of equity). Turning to the performance variables, the mean of market performance is 0.019, while the mean of ROA is 0.003.
  • 22. [22] Table 1: Descriptive statistics (full sample) Variable Mean Std.Dev. 25% 50% 75% BONUS_INC .438 .243 .288 .492 .609 EGRANTS .457 .240 .267 .458 .642 ACC_PERF .003 .054 -.013 .001 .016 MARKET_PERF .019 .357 -.185 -.028 .172 LIK_DIS1 .5 .501 0 .5 1 SIZE 7.706 1.547 6.557 7.636 8.791 LEV .167 .146 .023 .140 .271 TEN 8.145 7.203 3.167 6.255 10.844 AGE 57.736 7.223 53 59 63 MTB 3.358 4.240 1.741 2.467 3.492 VOL .043 .065 .010 .021 .045 Table 1: The table demonstrates the key variables that influence performance-based compensation. The sample consists of US firms for the year 2005; Compustat/NorthAmerica/Execucomp merged datasets. BONUS_INC – Dependent variable for the CEO’s bonus (cash) compensation; EGRANTS – Dependent variable for the CEO’s equity compensation; ACC_PERF – Independent variable illustrating the change in the firm’s ROA for the year 2005; MARKET_PERF – Independent variable illustrating the change in the firm’s stock price for the year 2005; LIK_DIS1 - The CEO’s likelihood of dismissal; SIZE – The size of the firm expressed by the value of the firm’s total assets; LEV – The firm’s leverage in 2005; TEN – The CEO’s tenure in 2005; AGE – The age of the CEO in 2005; MTB – The firm’s market-to-book ratio for 2005; VOL – The firm’s volatility. Table 2 shows the mean and median for the subsamples of a low likelihood of dismissal (LIK_DIS=0) and a high likelihood of dismissal (LIK_DIS=1). The table shows that firms that have a high likelihood of dismissal also provide stronger bonus incentives. This suggests that the likelihood of dismissal and incentive compensation may be regarded as complements instead of substitutes (note that I predicted that they are substitutes in the sense that a decrease in one should lead to an increase in the other). In other words, the likelihood of dismissal is not sufficient by itself to serve as a device to firms, so that they could decrease their executives’ compensation, without influencing their total performance. With regard to the equity incentives, the table shows that firms that have a low likelihood of dismissal provide more equity compensation than those firms with a high likelihood of dismissal. This could be seen as reasonable because firms would prefer to compensate an executive that they
  • 23. [23] believe he/she will be more efficient, with more long-term incentives (i.e., equity grants) compared to one who faces a higher likelihood of dismissal (non-trustworthy). Table 2: Descriptive statistics (By level of likelihood of dismissal) LIK_DIS1=0 LIK_DIS1=1 Difference tests Variable N Mean Median N Mean Median Mean Median EGRANTS 137 0.460 0.479 136 0.454 0.432 BONUS_INC 137 0.374 0.4356 136 0.502 0.563 *** *** MARKET_PERF 137 0.036 -0.044 136 -0.001 -0.011 ACC_PERF 137 0.009 0.007 136 -0.003 0 * ** SIZE 137 7.034 6.977 136 8.383 8.374 *** *** LEV 137 0.162 0.124 136 0.172 0.148 TEN 137 7.942 6.003 136 8.351 7.003 AGE 137 56.818 59 136 58.662 58.5 ** MTB 137 3.260 2.609 136 3.457 2.394 VOL 137 0.062 0.032 136 0.025 0.015 *** *** Table 2: EGRANTS – Dependent variable for the CEO’s equity compensation; BONUS_INC – Dependent variable for the CEO’s bonus (cash) compensation; MARKET_PERF – Independent variable illustrating the change in the firm’s stock price for the year 2005; ACC_PERF – Independent variable illustrating the change in the firm’s ROA for the year 2005; SIZE – The size of the firm expressed by the value of the firm’s total assets; LEV – The firm’s leverage in 2005; TEN – The CEO’s tenure in 2005; AGE – The age of the CEO in 2005; MTB – The firm’s market-to-book ratio for 2005; VOL – The firm’s volatility. (*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1) However, after re-examining Table 2, one can observe that the difference between the mean and the median of the firms with low likelihood of dismissal and those with high likelihood of dismissal is not significant and therefore, the aforementioned assumption cannot be strongly supported. With respect to the control variables, larger firms, firms with a weaker accounting performance, and less volatile firms have a greater likelihood of dismissal. It is worth mentioning that the result regarding the firm size is in accordance with prior studies that proved that there is a positive relation between the likelihood of CEO turnover and firm size (Huson et al., 2001). Table 3 shows the Pearson correlations. With respect to the dependent variables, bonus incentives are positively correlated with performance, a high likelihood of dismissal and firm size. In addition, bonus incentives are negatively correlated with volatility. On the other hand, equity grants are negatively correlated with the
  • 24. [24] accounting performance (ROA), high likelihood of dismissal, tenure and age. However, equity grants are positively related to market performance, firm size, leverage, MTB ratio and volatility. Finally, none of the correlations are greater than 0.7, hence there is no concern for multicollinearity. The largest correlation is between volatility and firm size (-0.494) which suggests that larger firms exhibit fewer volatility in performance. Table 3: Pearson correlation matrix Variable 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 1. BONUS_INC 1.000 ** *** *** *** *** ** *** 2. EGRANTS -0.091 1.000 *** ** 3. ACC_PERF 0.149 -0.027 1.000 *** * ** * * 4.MARKET_PERF 0.269 0.016 0.239 1.000 *** ** 5. LIK_DIS1 0.263 -0.012 -0.113 -0.052 1.000 *** ** *** 6. SIZE 0.445 0.019 -0.061 -0.004 0.437 1.000 *** *** *** 7. LEV 0.095 0.067 -0.154 0.021 0.035 0.267 1.000 ** *** 8. TEN -0.039 -0.020 0.074 0.011 0.029 -0.074 -0.008 1.000 *** 9. AGE 0.159 -0.202 0.106 0.057 0.128 0.157 0.131 0.440 1.000 *** 10. MTB 0.133 0.150 -0.032 0.169 0.023 -0.078 -0.020 -0.013 -0.095 1.000 ** 11. VOL -0.259 0.067 -0.102 0.132 -0.286 -0.494 -0.179 -0.047 -0.309 0.133 1.000 Table 3: BONUS_INC – Dependent variable for the CEO’s bonus (cash) compensation; EGRANTS – Dependent variable for the CEO’s equity compensation; ACC_PERF – Independent variable illustrating the change in the firm’s ROA for the year 2005; MARKET_PERF – Independent variable illustrating the change in the firm’s stock price for the year 2005; LIK_DIS1 - The CEO’s likelihood of dismissal; SIZE – The size of the firm expressed by the value of the firm’s total assets; LEV – The firm’s leverage in 2005; TEN – The CEO’s tenure in 2005; AGE – The age of the CEO in 2005; MTB – The firm’s market-to-book ratio for 2005; VOL – The firm’s volatility. (*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1) 4.2. Multivariate analysis This section of the research illustrates the results of the regression models in an effort to interpret the relationship between the likelihood of dismissal and performance- based compensation. It should be mentioned that in the regression of compensation on performance, I expect the slope coefficient to be higher for CEOs that face a small likelihood of dismissal than for those that face a high likelihood of dismissal. Furthermore, I expect in both regressions (BONUS_INC and EGRANTS), where ß1 shows the relationship between compensation and performance for CEOs that face low likelihood of dismissal to be higher than the sum of the coefficients ß1+ ß2 that
  • 25. [25] describes the relationship between compensation and performance for CEOs that face a higher likelihood of dismissal. Therefore I expect ß1+ ß2 < ß1, or alternatively, ß2 <0. Bonus compensation Table 4 shows the regression results of the relationship between the likelihood of dismissal and bonus incentives. I distinguish between three models that first included accounting performance or market performance separately and finally included them both simultaneously. The results show that accounting performance is significantly associated with the bonus for firms that have a low likelihood of dismissal (as documented by ACC_PERF). However, the results also show that for firms that have a strong likelihood of dismissal, the relationship between accounting performance and bonus incentives is stronger due to the coefficient on ACC_PERF*LIK_DIS being both positive and significant. The results for market performance do not show the same. This makes sense as prior research has shown that bonus plans are more strongly tied to accounting performance relative to market performance. So, overall the results are significant in the opposite direction that was predicted. So, this suggests that incentive compensation and likelihood of dismissal may be seen as complements. With respect to the control variables, firm size is positively associated with bonus incentives. In addition, the MTB ratio and age of the CEO are also positively associated with cash compensation. The model as a whole performs well. It is significant given the F-value and an R2 of about 0.3 suggests that about 30% of the variation regarding the bonus incentives is explained by the model.
  • 26. [26] Table 4: Coefficients resulted from the regression of the CEOs’ bonus compensation Dependent Variable: BONUS_INC Variables Coeff. t-stat. Coeff. t-stat. Coeff. t-stat. Intercept -0.282** -2.00 -0.184 -1.31 -0.187 -1.34 ACC_PERF 0.716*** 2.82 - - 0.441* 1.70 ACC_PERF*LIK_DIS 1.753* 1.76 - - 1.659* 1.68 MARKET_PERF - - 0.173*** 4.10 0.152** 3.47 MARKET_PERF*LIK_DIS - - 0.008 0.11 0.002 0.02 LIK_DIS1 0.050* 1.71 0.040 1.40 0.052* 1.85 SIZE 0.061*** 5.76 0.057*** 5.49 0.057*** 5.48 LEV 0.025 0.27 -0.057 -0.63 0.001 0.02 TEN -0.002 -1.20 -0.002 -1.03 -0.002 -1.10 AGE 0.004* 1.72 0.003 1.44 0.003 1.35 MTB 0.010*** 3.15 0.007** 2.38 0.008** 2.45 VOL -0.037 -0.15 -0.338 -1.43 -0.234 -0.98 F-test(ß1+ ß2=0) 6.47** - 4.80** F-test(ß3+ ß4=0) - 7.13*** 5.04** Ν 273 273 273 R2 0.281 0.305 0.324 F-value 11.37*** 12.75*** 11.33*** Table 4: ACC_PERF – Independent variable illustrating the change in the firm’s ROA for the year 2005; ACC_PERF*LIK_DIS – The correlation between the CEO’s likelihood of dismissal and the change in the firm’s ROA; MARKET_PERF – Independent variable illustrating the change in the firm’s stock price for the year 2005; MARKET_PERF*LIK_DIS – The correlation between the CEO’s likelihood of dismissal and the change in the firm’s stock price; LIK_DIS1 - The CEO’s likelihood of dismissal; SIZE – The size of the firm expressed by the value of the firm’s total assets; LEV – The firm’s leverage in 2005; TEN – The CEO’s tenure in 2005; AGE – The age of the CEO in 2005; MTB – The firm’s market-to-book ratio for 2005; VOL – The firm’s volatility. (*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1) Equity compensation Here, I ran the regressions of equity grants (EGRANTS) in the same way as I did for the regressions of bonus incentives (BONUS_INC), by using both performance variables at the same time and then each variable separately each time. The results from the run of these regressions are illustrated in Table 5.
  • 27. [27] Table 5: Coefficients resulted from the regression of the CEOs’ equity compensation. Dependent Variable: EGRANTS Variables Coeff. t-stat. Coeff. t-stat. Coeff. t-stat. Intercept 0.758*** 4.84 0.761*** 4.77 0.753*** 4.71 ACC_PERF 0.155 0.55 - - 0.144 0.49 ACC_PERF*LIK_DIS -1.427 -1.29 - - -1.352 -1.20 MARKET_PERF - - 0.015 0.32 0.008 0.16 MARKET_PERF*LIK_DIS - - -0.056 -0.62 -0.035 -0.38 LIK_DIS1 -0.011 -0.29 -0.005 -0.15 -0.009 -0.27 SIZE 0.012 1.02 0.010 0.88 0.012 1.00 LEV 0.131 1.26 0.146 1.43 0.132 1.25 TEN 0.003 1.43 0.003 1.36 0.003 1.37 AGE -0.008** -3.49 -0.008** -3.39 -0.008** -3.39 MTB 0.008** 2.28 0.007** 2.16 0.008** 2.23 VOL 0.096 0.36 0.104 0.39 0.107 0.39 F-test(ß1+ ß2=0) 1.39 - 1.21 F-test(ß3+ ß4=0) - 0.28 0.12 Ν 273 273 273 R2 0.083 0.078 0.083 F-value 2.63*** 2.46 2.15 Table 5: ACC_PERF – Independent variable illustrating the change in the firm’s ROA for the year 2005; ACC_PERF*LIK_DIS – The correlation between the CEO’s likelihood of dismissal and the change in the firm’s ROA; MARKET_PERF – Independent variable illustrating the change in the firm’s stock price for the year 2005; MARKET_PERF*LIK_DIS – The correlation between the CEO’s likelihood of dismissal and the change in the firm’s stock price; LIK_DIS1 - The CEO’s likelihood of dismissal; SIZE – The size of the firm expressed by the value of the firm’s total assets; LEV – The firm’s leverage in 2005; TEN – The CEO’s tenure in 2005; AGE – The age of the CEO in 2005; MTB – The firm’s market-to-book ratio for 2005; VOL – The firm’s volatility. (*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1) Taking into consideration my hypothesis, both performance variables (Market performance or Accounting performance) should be positively correlated to Equity compensation. The results show that accounting performance is associated with the equity grants for firms that have a low likelihood of dismissal (as documented by EGRANTS), while they also demonstrate that for firms that have a strong likelihood of dismissal, the relationship between accounting performance and equity grants is negative, meaning that the likelihood of dismissal and equity incentives could be interpreted as substitutes because the coefficient on ACC_PERF*LIK_DIS is negative. However, none of the above assumptions regarding the equity compensation can be either supported nor rejected, as the results are not significant. The main significant results that are illustrated from the table are that MTB ratio is positively
  • 28. [28] correlated with equity incentives, while the CEO’s age is negatively associated with equity incentives. 5. Conclusion The general purpose of this research was to obtain useful information regarding how the threat of dismissal impacts on the provision of the CEO’s performance-based compensation. Prior studies have investigated the relationship between the likelihood of dismissal and performance, while the current study also examines the level that compensation could be influencing this relationship. After collecting all necessary data for US firms, this research ended up with 273 firms, to measure all the aforementioned correlations. The main hypothesis of the research stated that “The likelihood of dismissal is negatively associated with the provision of performance-based compensation”. I tried to identify whether or not the likelihood of dismissal serves as a complement or substitute to incentive compensation (either by bonus incentives or by equity). However, according to the regression results, I ended up with two different findings. With regard to the bonus incentives I found that they, in relation to the likelihood of dismissal, may be seen as complements (which do not support my hypothesis). On the other hand, the relation between the likelihood of dismissal and equity compensation seem to be substitute, as I predicted, however, while the results from the run of the regression were not significant, I cannot support or reject my hypothesis. The large but unavoidable number of missing observations due to the need of merging different datasets did definitely play a significant role in these findings. Most of the findings regarding the relationship between performance and compensation (only bonuses) are in accordance with previous research that illustrated a positive correlation. To sum up, regardless of the findings one should always take into account all possible limitations for undertaking such an empirical study, like those that have been discussed above. However, this study presents a useful summary of prior, respective to the topic of the threat of dismissal and performance, studies and shows that there is
  • 29. [29] a complementary relation between the likelihood of dismissal and bonus compensation. Finally, it demonstrates results related to equity compensation (i.e. equity grants), that could potentially lead to strong evidence to support the particular research hypothesis after further investigation.
  • 30. [30] References 1) Borokhovich A. K., Parrino R. & Trapani, T. (1996), “Outside directors and CEO selection”, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol. 31, No.31, p.p. 337- 355. 2) Bushman R., Dai, Z. & Wang, X. (2010) “Risk and CEO turnover”, Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 96, p.p. 381-398. 3) Chevalier, J. and Ellison, G. (1999), “Career Concerns of Mutual Fund Managers,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, p.p. 389-432. 4) Cobb B.R. & Charnes J.M, (2004), “Real options volatility estimation with correlated inputs”, The engineering Economist, Vol.49, No 2, p.p.119-137 5) Conyon M. J. and Florou, A. (2002), “Top Executive Dismissal, Ownership and Corporate Performance”, Business School Accounting Subject Area, No.30, p.p. 1-43. 6) Conyon, M.J. (1998), “Directors’ Pay and Turnover: An Application to A Sample of Large UK Firms,” Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Vol.60, No.4, p.p. 485-50. 7) Dahya, J., Lonie A. A., & Power D. M., (1998), “Ownership structure, firm performance and top executive change: An analysis of UK firms”, Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Vol25 (9) & 10, p.p. 1089-1117 8) Defond M. L. & Park, C.W. (1999), “The effect of the competition on CEO turnover”, Journal of Accounting & Economics, Vol. 27, No.1, p.p. 35-56. 9) Denis, D. J. and Denis, D. K. (1995), “Performance Changes Following Top Management Dismissal,” Journal of Finance, Vol. 50, No.1, p.p. 029-105. 10) Denis, D. J., Denis, D.K. & Sarin, A. (1997), “Agency Problems, Equity Ownership, and Corporate Diversification”, Journal of Finance, Vol. LII, No1, p.p. 135-160
  • 31. [31] 11) Fama E. F. & Jensen M. C., (1983), “Seperation of ownership and control”J. L & ECON. 302 12) Hallman G., Hartzell, Jay C. and Parsons, C. (2004) “Carrots and Sticks: The Threat of Dismissal and Incentive Compensation”. 13) Hallman G. & Hartzell, Jay C. (1999) “Optimal compensation contracts with pay-for-performance and termination incentives”. 14) Holmstrom & Bengt , (1979), “Moral hazard and observability”, Bell Journal of Economics Vol. 10, p.p. 74–91. 15) Huson M. R., Parrino, R. & Starks, L. T. (2001), “Internal Monitoring Mechanisms and CEO Turnover: A long-term Perspective”, The journal of Finance, Vol.56, No6, p.p.2265-2297. 16) Huson M. R., Malatesta, P.H. & Parrino, R. (2004) “Managerial succession and firm performance” Source: Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 74, p.p. 237-275. 17) Jensen, M.C. and Murphy, K.J. (1990), “Performance Pay and Top Management Incentives”, Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 98, p.p. 225-6 18) Jero B., Warner, R. L. Watts, & K. H. Wruck, (1988), “Stock prices and top management changes”, Journal of Financial Economics, Vol.20, p.p. 461-492 19) Kaplan, S., (1994), “Top executive rewards and firm performance: A comparison of Japan and the United States,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 102, p.p. 510- 546. 20) Kathleen A. Farrell & Whidbee, D.A. (2003), “Impact of firm performance expectations on CEO turnover and replacement decisions” Source: Journal of Accounting and Economics Vol. 36, p.p. 165-196. 21) Kornelius K., (1991), “The Incentive Effects of Dismissals, Efficiency Wages, Piece – Rates and Profit – Sharing”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 73, No.3. 22) Kwon I., (2003), “Threat of Dismissal: Incentive or Sorting?” p.p. 1-53. 23) Larcker D. & Tayan, B. (2011), “Corporate governance matters”, p.p. 240-245.
  • 32. [32] 24) Larcker D. & Tayan, B. (2011), “Corporate governance matters”, p.p. 288-291, 25) Mehran H., (1994), “Executive compensation structure, ownership, and firm performance”. 26) Parrino R., (1997) “CEO turnover and outside succession A cross-sectional analysis”, Journal of Financial Economics, Vol.46, No.2, p.p. 165-19718) 27) Shapiro & Stiglitz, (1984) “Equilibrium unemployment as a worker discipline device”, The American Economic Review, Vol.74, No4, p.p. 433-444. 28) Sparks R., (1986) “A Model of Involuntary Unemployment and Wage Rigidity: Worker Incentives and the threat of Dismissal”, Journal of Labor Economics, Vol. 4, No. 4, pp. 560-581. 29) Tian Y. S., (2003) “Too much of a good incentive? The case of executive stock options”, Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol.28, No 6, p.p.1225-1245. 30) Vancil, (1986) “Passing the baton: Managing the process of CEO succession”. 31) Weisbach, M. (1988), “Outside directors and CEO turnover,” Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 20, p.p. 431-46. 32)Yermack D., (1996), “High market valuation of companies with a small board of directors”, Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 40, No.2, p.p. 185-211. 33) Zhou X., (2003) “CEO pay, firm size, and corporate performance: evidence from Canada”, Canadian Journal of Economics, Vol.33, No1, p.p. 213-255.