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Macroeconomics
for the Petro
Chemical Industry
SUBMITTED BY :-
ABHISHEK CHOUDHARY
DEEPALI SINGH PARMAR
ISHANEE BAJPAI
Macroeconomic Environment
Split by region and GDP
US| 4.40%
Africa|
16.40%
Other Asia|
23.70%
China|
18.70%
India| 17.90%
Europe|
9.90%
Latin
America|
8.60%
Canada|
0.50%
Population split by region
US| 25%
Africa| 2%
OtherAsia| 20%
China| 16%
India| 3%
Europe| 26%
Latin
America|
5%
Canada| 3%
GDP Split by region
As of date Worldโ€™s Population is 7.3 Billion
The Global economy has achieved growth in
all but one of the last 50 years
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
GDP Growth (Annual %)
GDP Growth (Annual %)
Global activity is expected to continue to
improve, driven by recovery in advanced
economies
๏ต US recovery has been gaining momentum
๏ต The euro area is turning the corner from recession to recovery; but prospects look dim for the UK based on the
countryโ€™s exit from the European Union
๏ต Growth in emerging economies but slightly more moderate then initially forecasted
2015 2016 2017 2018 f
United States 2.9 1.5 2.3 2.7*
Euro Area 2.0 1.8 2.4 2.4*
Japan 1.1 1.0 1.7 1.5*
China 6.9 6.7 6.8 6.5*
Emerging economies 4.3 4.3 4.6 4.9*
Global 3.4 3.2 3.6 3.7
The World divides into Important
Demographic Groups
-10000
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
90000
100000
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
USA
Australia
UK Canada
Japan
France Germany
Russia
China
S Arabia
Argentina
Mexico Turkey
S Africa Brazil
India Indonesia
Rich but Old
Poor & Young
Poor & Ageing
Global Primary Energy consumption is
split between Oil, Gas and Coal
Nuclear
Energy|
5.00%
Oil| 33.00%
Coal| 28.00%
Natural Gas|
24.00%
Renewables/
Hydro|
17.90%
Primary Energy Consumption
(Tons of Oil Equivalent) Non
Energy/Feeds
tocks| 6.00%
Power|
36.00%
Residential
and
Commercial|
22.00%
Industry|
18.00%
Transport|
18.00%
Worldโ€™s Energy Consumption by
Sector
Largest Natural gas Reserves (Trillion
Cubic Metres)
The top 10 Countries account for 79% of the reserves (Iran, Russia and Qatar have almost half)
17.5
33.5
8.7
5.7
5.3
8.4
6
5.4
32
24.5
Russia
Turkmenistan
Qatar
Iran
China
KSA
UAE
NigeriaVenezuela
USA
Natural Gas reserves and Consumption
๏ต There is a mismatch between gas reserves and demand
๏ต Proven Natural Gas reserves in 2016โ€“ 186.6 tcm
๏ต Natural gas consumption โ€“ 3.54 tcm
Asia
pacific|
9.00%
Middle East|
42.00%
North
America|
6.00%
South
America|
4.00%
Western
Europe|
2.00%
Central &
Eastern
Europe|
29.00%
Primary Energy Consumption
Asia pacific|
20.00%
Middle East|
15.00%
North
America|
27.00%
South
America|
5.00%
Western
Europe|
11.00%
Central &
Eastern
Europe|
18.00%
Primary Energy Consumption
Largest Oil Reserves (Billion Barrels)
๏ต The middle east has more oil reserves then the rest of the world (almost half of the
total)
๏ต Total Reserves have risen by 2% per year over the last 10 years
๏ต US reserves decreased by 13% compared to 2015
๏ต The top 10 accounts for 85% of the Reserves
172
48
301
48
153
102
158
267
98
110
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Billion Barrels
Crude Oil Reserves and Consumption
๏ต Proven Crude Oil Reserves globally in 2016 โ€“ 1.7 Trillions Barrels
๏ต Globally Oil Consumption in 2016 โ€“ 95 Million barrels/day
Asia pacific|
3.00%
Middle East|
48.00%
North
America|
13.00%
South
America|
19.00%
Africa| 7.00%
Central &
Eastern
Europe|
9.00%
Oil Reserves
Asia pacific|
35.00%
Middle
East|
10.00%
North
America|
25.00%
South
America|
7.00%
Africa| 4.00%
Central &
Eastern
Europe|
7.00%
Oil Consumption
Largest Coal Reserves (billion Tons)
๏ต The top 10 countries possess 91% of the Worldโ€™s Reserves
๏ต Coal Reserves continue to increase with recent studies
๏ต China and US represents 43% of the Worldโ€™s Reserves
252
36
24
34 26
94
160
244
25
145
10
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Billion Tons
Coal Demand and Consumption
๏ต 2016 Global Coal Reserves โ€“ 1139 Billion Tons
๏ต 2016 Global Coal Consumption โ€“ 3.7 btoe
Middle
East|
0.00%
Asia Pacific|
46.50%
Central &
Eastern
Europe|
25.00%
North
America|
23.00%
Western
Europe|
4.00%
South
America|
1.00% Africa| 1.00%
Coal Reserves Middle
East|
0.00%
Asia Pacific|
73.80%
Central &
Eastern
Europe|
8.00%
North
America|
10.00%
Western
Europe|
4.00%
South
America|
1.00% Africa| 3.00%
Coal Consumption
Thank You

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Macroeconomics for the chemical industry

  • 1. Macroeconomics for the Petro Chemical Industry SUBMITTED BY :- ABHISHEK CHOUDHARY DEEPALI SINGH PARMAR ISHANEE BAJPAI
  • 2. Macroeconomic Environment Split by region and GDP US| 4.40% Africa| 16.40% Other Asia| 23.70% China| 18.70% India| 17.90% Europe| 9.90% Latin America| 8.60% Canada| 0.50% Population split by region US| 25% Africa| 2% OtherAsia| 20% China| 16% India| 3% Europe| 26% Latin America| 5% Canada| 3% GDP Split by region As of date Worldโ€™s Population is 7.3 Billion
  • 3. The Global economy has achieved growth in all but one of the last 50 years -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 GDP Growth (Annual %) GDP Growth (Annual %)
  • 4. Global activity is expected to continue to improve, driven by recovery in advanced economies ๏ต US recovery has been gaining momentum ๏ต The euro area is turning the corner from recession to recovery; but prospects look dim for the UK based on the countryโ€™s exit from the European Union ๏ต Growth in emerging economies but slightly more moderate then initially forecasted 2015 2016 2017 2018 f United States 2.9 1.5 2.3 2.7* Euro Area 2.0 1.8 2.4 2.4* Japan 1.1 1.0 1.7 1.5* China 6.9 6.7 6.8 6.5* Emerging economies 4.3 4.3 4.6 4.9* Global 3.4 3.2 3.6 3.7
  • 5. The World divides into Important Demographic Groups -10000 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 90000 100000 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 USA Australia UK Canada Japan France Germany Russia China S Arabia Argentina Mexico Turkey S Africa Brazil India Indonesia Rich but Old Poor & Young Poor & Ageing
  • 6. Global Primary Energy consumption is split between Oil, Gas and Coal Nuclear Energy| 5.00% Oil| 33.00% Coal| 28.00% Natural Gas| 24.00% Renewables/ Hydro| 17.90% Primary Energy Consumption (Tons of Oil Equivalent) Non Energy/Feeds tocks| 6.00% Power| 36.00% Residential and Commercial| 22.00% Industry| 18.00% Transport| 18.00% Worldโ€™s Energy Consumption by Sector
  • 7. Largest Natural gas Reserves (Trillion Cubic Metres) The top 10 Countries account for 79% of the reserves (Iran, Russia and Qatar have almost half) 17.5 33.5 8.7 5.7 5.3 8.4 6 5.4 32 24.5 Russia Turkmenistan Qatar Iran China KSA UAE NigeriaVenezuela USA
  • 8. Natural Gas reserves and Consumption ๏ต There is a mismatch between gas reserves and demand ๏ต Proven Natural Gas reserves in 2016โ€“ 186.6 tcm ๏ต Natural gas consumption โ€“ 3.54 tcm Asia pacific| 9.00% Middle East| 42.00% North America| 6.00% South America| 4.00% Western Europe| 2.00% Central & Eastern Europe| 29.00% Primary Energy Consumption Asia pacific| 20.00% Middle East| 15.00% North America| 27.00% South America| 5.00% Western Europe| 11.00% Central & Eastern Europe| 18.00% Primary Energy Consumption
  • 9. Largest Oil Reserves (Billion Barrels) ๏ต The middle east has more oil reserves then the rest of the world (almost half of the total) ๏ต Total Reserves have risen by 2% per year over the last 10 years ๏ต US reserves decreased by 13% compared to 2015 ๏ต The top 10 accounts for 85% of the Reserves 172 48 301 48 153 102 158 267 98 110 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 Billion Barrels
  • 10. Crude Oil Reserves and Consumption ๏ต Proven Crude Oil Reserves globally in 2016 โ€“ 1.7 Trillions Barrels ๏ต Globally Oil Consumption in 2016 โ€“ 95 Million barrels/day Asia pacific| 3.00% Middle East| 48.00% North America| 13.00% South America| 19.00% Africa| 7.00% Central & Eastern Europe| 9.00% Oil Reserves Asia pacific| 35.00% Middle East| 10.00% North America| 25.00% South America| 7.00% Africa| 4.00% Central & Eastern Europe| 7.00% Oil Consumption
  • 11. Largest Coal Reserves (billion Tons) ๏ต The top 10 countries possess 91% of the Worldโ€™s Reserves ๏ต Coal Reserves continue to increase with recent studies ๏ต China and US represents 43% of the Worldโ€™s Reserves 252 36 24 34 26 94 160 244 25 145 10 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Billion Tons
  • 12. Coal Demand and Consumption ๏ต 2016 Global Coal Reserves โ€“ 1139 Billion Tons ๏ต 2016 Global Coal Consumption โ€“ 3.7 btoe Middle East| 0.00% Asia Pacific| 46.50% Central & Eastern Europe| 25.00% North America| 23.00% Western Europe| 4.00% South America| 1.00% Africa| 1.00% Coal Reserves Middle East| 0.00% Asia Pacific| 73.80% Central & Eastern Europe| 8.00% North America| 10.00% Western Europe| 4.00% South America| 1.00% Africa| 3.00% Coal Consumption