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LULULEMON ATHLETICA
Melissa Sulciner
OUTLINE
#THESWEATLIFE
COMPANY OVERVIEW
HISTORY, TIMELINE, BUSINESS MODEL
INVESTMENT THESIS
TREND, QUALITY, LOYALTY
KEY RISKS
WHAT COULD GO WRONG?
GOING GLOBAL
PROGRESS, OUTLOOK & OPPORTUNITIES
THE LATEST
THE LONG AWAITED DEAL
VALUATION
DEFENDABLE BRAND
FINANCIALS
HISTORICAL & PROJECTIONS
2
COMPANY OVERVIEW
BEAUTY MEETS TECHNICAL
YOGA-INSPIRED
• Founded: 1998, Chip Wilson
• Technical athletic fabrics
PHYSICAL & MENTAL
• Teaching hub
• Healthy and balanced lifestyle
RETAIL FOOTPRINT
• Design & retail of performance apparel
• Aesthetically creative, innovatively functional
• North America, Australia, New Zealand
manifesto: sweat every day, breath deeply, drink water, get outdoors
3
COMPANY OVERVIEW
2014 NORTH AMERICA COVERAGE
10 10 1
2
20 6
1
17
2
38
5
3
1
4
1
3
1
1
17
2
5
3
1
1
42
13 61
3
1
1
11
1 5
6
1
7
5
17
1
1
1
8
7
9
4 1
1
NORTH
AMERICA
263
4
NORTH
AMERICA
2018
350
COMPANY TIMELINE
JOURNEY TO A MOVEMENT
2000
First store
opens;
Vancouver BC
2003
First U.S. store
opens; Santa
Monica, CA
2005
Private Equity
Investment Advent
International 48%
minority interest
New CEO, Bob Meers
2007
July 2007, IPO
2008
New CEO,
Christine Day
2009
April 2009
Ecommerce
launched
2011
‘Who is John Galt?’
controversy
Revenues reach $1
billion
2014
New CEO,
Laurent Potdevin
Chip makes a deal
1998
Company
founded; Chip
Wilson
2013
March 2013, Luon recall
September 2013, Day announces
departure
December 2013, Wilson announces
resignation as chairman
5
INVESTMENT THESIS
DYNAMIC INNOVATION
STOCK
PRICE: $38.77
52-WEEK RANGE: $36.26 – 77.75
MARKET CAP: $5.64B
FAIR VALUE: $38.00 – 63.00
6
INVESTMENT THESIS
THE SUMMARY
7
THE BIG PICTURE
INDUSTRY TREND
ADDRESSING A MISSTEP
PRODUCT QUALITY
PROACTIVE APPEAL
CONSUMER BASE
INVESTMENT THESIS
INDUSTRY TREND
Fees for yoga
instruction were the
largest category of
total revenue.
Yoga equipment and
apparel had the
biggest growth.
$862
$1,040
$1,730
$2,345
$2,230
$2,552
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
EQUIPMENT CLOTHING INSTRUCTION
DOLLARSSPENT($M)
THE YOGA ECONOMY
2008 2012
114%
47%
172%
8
INVESTMENT THESIS
PRODUCT QUALITY
THE LUON RECALL
• March 18, 2013
• 17% black luon yoga pants
THE REMEDY
• Testing & processes
• Factory oversight
• Leadership and structure
FUTURE ASSURANCE
• Heightened development
• Every step quality checks
9
INVESTMENT THESIS
CONSUMER BASE
MEN’S
RUN
TENNIS
&GO
SWIM
CYCLE
10
KEY RISKS
WHAT COULD GO WRONG?
COMPETITION
• Longer operating histories
• Worldwide brand recognition
• Traditional advertising techniques
• No patents or exclusive IP rights
• Price premium
MANAGEMENT
• Biggest risk: no change
• Infrastructure gap
11
GOING GLOBAL
CATALYST MOMENTUM
THE PLAN
• Hong Kong, Q1 2015
• Europe, 20, by 2017
• Asia, 20, by 2017
BUILDING DEMAND ABROAD
• Ecommerce
• Showrooms
• Grassroots Marketing
LONDON CALLING
• First store on track, $7M in sales
• Second store in London by year-end
12
GOING GLOBAL
UNITED KINGDOM: OPPORTUNITIES
2
1
1
1
41
8
LONDON
18
LONDON
1
UNITED
KINGDOM
36
13
GOING GLOBAL
AUSTRALIA: OPPORTUNITIES
414
1 0
50 2
10 141 7
22 9
131 1
AUSTRALIA
142
AUSTRALIA
23
14
THE LATEST
A TRUCE CALLED
5.64%
AUGUST 7, 2014
LULU reaches a deal with
Chip, ending a months long
standoff.
THE DEAL
Chip will sell ½ of his stock,
roughly 27% of LULU, to private
equity firm Advent International
for $845M. In addition, Advent
will obtain two director seats.
15
VALUATION
DEFENDABLE BRAND
16
VALUATION
FUTURE POTENTIAL
2.7x
2.2x
2.0x
1.6x 1.6x
1.4x 1.3x 1.2x 1.2x
1.0x 0.9x
0.8x 0.8x
0.7x
0.0x
0.5x
1.0x
1.5x
2.0x
2.5x
3.0x
PE/GROWTH
6.3x
17
FINANCIALS
FAVORABLE FUTURE
18
QUESTIONS?

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LULU FINAL2

  • 2. OUTLINE #THESWEATLIFE COMPANY OVERVIEW HISTORY, TIMELINE, BUSINESS MODEL INVESTMENT THESIS TREND, QUALITY, LOYALTY KEY RISKS WHAT COULD GO WRONG? GOING GLOBAL PROGRESS, OUTLOOK & OPPORTUNITIES THE LATEST THE LONG AWAITED DEAL VALUATION DEFENDABLE BRAND FINANCIALS HISTORICAL & PROJECTIONS 2
  • 3. COMPANY OVERVIEW BEAUTY MEETS TECHNICAL YOGA-INSPIRED • Founded: 1998, Chip Wilson • Technical athletic fabrics PHYSICAL & MENTAL • Teaching hub • Healthy and balanced lifestyle RETAIL FOOTPRINT • Design & retail of performance apparel • Aesthetically creative, innovatively functional • North America, Australia, New Zealand manifesto: sweat every day, breath deeply, drink water, get outdoors 3
  • 4. COMPANY OVERVIEW 2014 NORTH AMERICA COVERAGE 10 10 1 2 20 6 1 17 2 38 5 3 1 4 1 3 1 1 17 2 5 3 1 1 42 13 61 3 1 1 11 1 5 6 1 7 5 17 1 1 1 8 7 9 4 1 1 NORTH AMERICA 263 4 NORTH AMERICA 2018 350
  • 5. COMPANY TIMELINE JOURNEY TO A MOVEMENT 2000 First store opens; Vancouver BC 2003 First U.S. store opens; Santa Monica, CA 2005 Private Equity Investment Advent International 48% minority interest New CEO, Bob Meers 2007 July 2007, IPO 2008 New CEO, Christine Day 2009 April 2009 Ecommerce launched 2011 ‘Who is John Galt?’ controversy Revenues reach $1 billion 2014 New CEO, Laurent Potdevin Chip makes a deal 1998 Company founded; Chip Wilson 2013 March 2013, Luon recall September 2013, Day announces departure December 2013, Wilson announces resignation as chairman 5
  • 6. INVESTMENT THESIS DYNAMIC INNOVATION STOCK PRICE: $38.77 52-WEEK RANGE: $36.26 – 77.75 MARKET CAP: $5.64B FAIR VALUE: $38.00 – 63.00 6
  • 7. INVESTMENT THESIS THE SUMMARY 7 THE BIG PICTURE INDUSTRY TREND ADDRESSING A MISSTEP PRODUCT QUALITY PROACTIVE APPEAL CONSUMER BASE
  • 8. INVESTMENT THESIS INDUSTRY TREND Fees for yoga instruction were the largest category of total revenue. Yoga equipment and apparel had the biggest growth. $862 $1,040 $1,730 $2,345 $2,230 $2,552 $0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000 EQUIPMENT CLOTHING INSTRUCTION DOLLARSSPENT($M) THE YOGA ECONOMY 2008 2012 114% 47% 172% 8
  • 9. INVESTMENT THESIS PRODUCT QUALITY THE LUON RECALL • March 18, 2013 • 17% black luon yoga pants THE REMEDY • Testing & processes • Factory oversight • Leadership and structure FUTURE ASSURANCE • Heightened development • Every step quality checks 9
  • 11. KEY RISKS WHAT COULD GO WRONG? COMPETITION • Longer operating histories • Worldwide brand recognition • Traditional advertising techniques • No patents or exclusive IP rights • Price premium MANAGEMENT • Biggest risk: no change • Infrastructure gap 11
  • 12. GOING GLOBAL CATALYST MOMENTUM THE PLAN • Hong Kong, Q1 2015 • Europe, 20, by 2017 • Asia, 20, by 2017 BUILDING DEMAND ABROAD • Ecommerce • Showrooms • Grassroots Marketing LONDON CALLING • First store on track, $7M in sales • Second store in London by year-end 12
  • 13. GOING GLOBAL UNITED KINGDOM: OPPORTUNITIES 2 1 1 1 41 8 LONDON 18 LONDON 1 UNITED KINGDOM 36 13
  • 14. GOING GLOBAL AUSTRALIA: OPPORTUNITIES 414 1 0 50 2 10 141 7 22 9 131 1 AUSTRALIA 142 AUSTRALIA 23 14
  • 15. THE LATEST A TRUCE CALLED 5.64% AUGUST 7, 2014 LULU reaches a deal with Chip, ending a months long standoff. THE DEAL Chip will sell ½ of his stock, roughly 27% of LULU, to private equity firm Advent International for $845M. In addition, Advent will obtain two director seats. 15
  • 17. VALUATION FUTURE POTENTIAL 2.7x 2.2x 2.0x 1.6x 1.6x 1.4x 1.3x 1.2x 1.2x 1.0x 0.9x 0.8x 0.8x 0.7x 0.0x 0.5x 1.0x 1.5x 2.0x 2.5x 3.0x PE/GROWTH 6.3x 17