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University of Cagliari, Faculty of Economics, a.a. 2012-13




   Business Strategy and Policy
             A course within the II level degree in
                   Managerial Economics
                 year II, semester I, 6 credits

                          Lecturer:
                      Dr Alberto Asquer
                      aasquer@unica.it
                     Phone: 070 6753399
Business Strategy and Policy




               Lecture 4

The strategic interaction between firms
Introduction
1. Strategic interaction

2. Dominant strategies

3. Nash equilibrium strategies

4. Coordination strategies

5. Coordination and competition (co-opetition)

6. Mixed strategies

7. Sequential strategic games

-------------

8. Summary
1. Strategic interaction
Within military field, strategy as winning manoeuvring in the battlefield
1. Strategic interaction
Within game theory, strategy as the analysis of strategic interaction

What choice option do rational agents select in order to maximise their
 payoff, taking into account the choice of other agents?

(in common-sense argumentation, put yourself “behind your rivals'
   desk” in order to take into account what they do when you make
   decisions that affect your interests)

Warning: every agents behaves rationally and takes into account the
 choice of others

(in common-sense argumentation, take into account that also your
   rivals make decisions taking into account what you do)
1. Strategic interaction
Game theory: some basic lexicon

Game: the structure of interaction between agents (players). Typically,
  in a game the payoff of agents depends on the choices made by all
  agents (i.e. not by one agent alone)

Simultaneous games: agents make choices at the same time (i.e.,
  one agent cannot wait and see the choice made by others)

Sequential games: agents make choices according to a pre-
  determined sequence (i.e., who chooses later can see what other
  agents, who chose earlier, did)

Repeated games: agents face again the choice situation over time.

Non repeated games: agents play the game only once.
1. Strategic interaction
Game theory: some basic lexicon

Dominant strategy: the only choice that an agent rationally does, no
  matter what other agents do (or did or will do)

Nash equilibrium: a set of strategies where each agent is rationally
  choosing the best option, given the choice of other agents
2. Dominant strategies
Firms may choose their course of action irrespective of what other
   players do


         Low      B = 500                   B = 1,000
         price
                             A = 500                     A=0
Boeing
                 B=0                        B = 750
         High
         price              A = 1,000                    A = 750


                        Low                           High
Scenario: bidding for   price          Airbus         price
10 aircrafts project
2. Dominant strategies
Firms may choose their course of action irrespective of what other
   players do


         Low      B = 500                   B = 1,000
         price
                             A = 500                     A=0
Boeing
                 B=0                        B = 750
         High
         price              A = 1,000                    A = 750


                        Low                           High
Scenario: bidding for   price          Airbus         price
10 aircrafts project
2. Dominant strategies
Firms may choose their course of action irrespective of what other
   players do


         Low      B = 500                   B = 1,000
         price
                             A = 500                     A=0
Boeing
                 B=0                        B = 750
         High
         price              A = 1,000                    A = 750


                        Low                           High
Scenario: bidding for   price          Airbus         price
10 aircrafts project
3. Nash equilibrium strategies
But sometimes, firms behave depending on what other firms do


          Low         B = 500                  B = 1,000
          price
                                A = 500                     A=0
Boeing
                     B = 600                   B = 750
         High
         price                  A = 1,000                   A = 750


Scenario: bidding for       Low                          High
10 aircrafts project, but   price                        price
Boeing can earn even if                   Airbus
losing the bid
3. Nash equilibrium strategies
But sometimes, firms behave depending on what other firms do


          Low         B = 500                  B = 1,000
          price
                                A = 500                     A=0
Boeing
                     B = 600                   B = 750
         High
         price                  A = 1,000                   A = 750


Scenario: bidding for       Low                          High
10 aircrafts project, but   price                        price
Boeing can earn even if                   Airbus
losing the bid
3. Nash equilibrium strategies
But sometimes, firms behave depending on what other firms do


          Low         B = 500                  B = 1,000
          price
                                A = 500                     A=0
Boeing
          ?
                     B = 600                   B = 750
         High
         price                  A = 1,000                   A = 750


Scenario: bidding for       Low                          High
10 aircrafts project, but   price                        price
Boeing can earn even if                   Airbus
losing the bid
3. Nash equilibrium strategies
Airbus is playing 'low price' anyway (has a dominant strategy)...


          Low         B = 500                  B = 1,000
          price
                                A = 500                     A=0
Boeing
                     B = 600                   B = 750
         High
         price                  A = 1,000                   A = 750


Scenario: bidding for       Low                          High
10 aircrafts project, but   price                        price
Boeing can earn even if                   Airbus
losing the bid
4. Coordination strategies
Sometimes strategy is about cooperation rather than competition


         Alpha    B = 100                     B = 50


                               A = 100                    A = 50
Boeing
                  B = 50                      B = 100
         Beta
                              A = 50                      A = 100


Scenario: Boeing and       Alpha                        Beta
Airbus choose which
Comm technology invest                   Airbus
in
4. Coordination strategies
Sometimes strategy is about cooperation rather than competition


         Alpha       B = 100                    B = 50


                                 A = 100                    A = 50
Boeing
                    B = 50                      B = 100
         Beta
                                A = 50                      A = 100


Scenario: Boeing and         Alpha                        Beta
Airbus choose which
Communication                              Airbus
technology they invest in
4. Coordination strategies
Sometimes strategy is about cooperation rather than competition


         Alpha       B = 100                    B = 50


                                 A = 100                    A = 50
Boeing
                    B = 50                      B = 100
         Beta
                                A = 50                      A = 100


Scenario: Boeing and         Alpha                        Beta
Airbus choose which
Communication                              Airbus
technology they invest in
5. Collaboration and competition (co-opetition)
Sometimes it is good to cooperate, but every firms has own interests


         Alpha       B = 100                   B = 40


                                 A = 50                   A = 40
Boeing
                    B = 25                     B = 50
         Beta
                                A = 25                    A = 100


Scenario: Boeing and         Alpha                      Beta
Airbus choose which
Communication                             Airbus
technology they invest in
5. Collaboration and competition (co-opetition)
Sometimes it is good to cooperate, but every firms has own interests


         Alpha       B = 100                   B = 40


                                 A = 50                   A = 40
Boeing
                    B = 25                     B = 50
         Beta
                                A = 25                    A = 100


Scenario: Boeing and         Alpha                      Beta
Airbus choose which
Communication                             Airbus
technology they invest in
5. Collaboration and competition (co-opetition)
Sometimes it is good to cooperate, but every firms has own interests


         Alpha       B = 100                   B = 40


                                 A = 50                   A = 40
Boeing
                    B = 25                     B = 50
         Beta
                                A = 25                    A = 100


Scenario: Boeing and         Alpha                      Beta
Airbus choose which
Communication                             Airbus
technology they invest in
5. Collaboration and competition (co-opetition)
Sometimes it is good to cooperate, but every firms has own interests


         Alpha       B = 100                   B = 40


                                 A = 50                   A = 40
Boeing
                    B = 25                     B = 50
         Beta
                                A = 25                    A = 100


Scenario: Boeing and         Alpha                      Beta
Airbus choose which
Communication                             Airbus
technology they invest in
6. Mixed strategies
Sometimes, there is really no equilibrium


     Negative      B = 10                      B = -10
     tones
                                A = -10                     A = 10
Boeing
                  B = -10                      B = 10
     Positive
     tones                     A = 10                       A = -10


Scenario: Boeing and        Negative                     Positive
Airbus choose their         notes                        tones
advertisement campaign                    Airbus
6. Mixed strategies
Sometimes, there is really no equilibrium


     Negative      B = 10                      B = -10
     tones
                                A = -10                     A = 10
Boeing
                  B = -10                      B = 10
     Positive
     tones                     A = 10                       A = -10


Scenario: Boeing and        Negative                     Positive
Airbus choose their         notes                        tones
advertisement campaign                    Airbus
7. Sequential strategic game
Sometimes, one player chooses before the other
                                                 Boeing: 100
                                       Alpha     Airbus: 50

                              Airbus
               Alpha
                                                 Boeing: 40
                                       Beta      Airbus: 40
Boeing

                                       Alpha     Boeing: 25
                Beta                             Airbus: 25
                              Airbus


Scenario: Boeing and                   Beta      Boeing: 50
Airbus choose which                              Airbus: 100
Communication
technology they invest in
– but Boeing chooses first!
7. Sequential strategic game
What will Airbus choose?
                                               Boeing: 100
                                       Alpha   Airbus: 50

                              Airbus
               Alpha
                                               Boeing: 40
                                       Beta    Airbus: 40
Boeing

                                       Alpha   Boeing: 25
                Beta                           Airbus: 25
                              Airbus


Scenario: Boeing and                   Beta    Boeing: 50
Airbus choose which                            Airbus: 100
Communication
technology they invest in
– but Boeing chooses first!
7. Sequential strategic game
What does Boeing choose – provided what Airbus will choose?
                                                   Boeing: 100
                                       Alpha       Airbus: 50

                              Airbus
               Alpha
                                                   Boeing: 40
                                       Beta        Airbus: 40
Boeing

                                       Alpha       Boeing: 25
                Beta                               Airbus: 25
                              Airbus


Scenario: Boeing and                   Beta        Boeing: 50
Airbus choose which                                Airbus: 100
Communication
technology they invest in
– but Boeing chooses first!
7. Sequential strategic game
What does Boeing choose – provided what Airbus will choose?
                                                   Boeing: 100
                                       Alpha       Airbus: 50

                              Airbus
               Alpha
                                                   Boeing: 40
                                       Beta        Airbus: 40
Boeing

                                       Alpha       Boeing: 25
                Beta                               Airbus: 25
                              Airbus

    Note: Airbus would really
Scenario:to make a credible
    like Boeing and                    Beta        Boeing: 50
Airbus choose which
    threat to choose Beta!                         Airbus: 100
Communication
technology they invest in
– but Boeing chooses first!
8. Summary
Main points

Game theory provides a powerful analytic approach to strategic
interaction

The approach is especially relevant when the expected performance
(payoff) is dependent on the decisions (choices) made by players
(firms)

Game theory allows to model a wide range of strategic interactions:
competition, cooperation, co-opetition, uncertainty and mixed
strategies, and sequential games

It is enlightening for better understanding the interdependencies
between firms' decisions (e.g., issues of credible commitments and
sequence of moves)

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Lezione di strategia aziendale

  • 1. University of Cagliari, Faculty of Economics, a.a. 2012-13 Business Strategy and Policy A course within the II level degree in Managerial Economics year II, semester I, 6 credits Lecturer: Dr Alberto Asquer aasquer@unica.it Phone: 070 6753399
  • 2. Business Strategy and Policy Lecture 4 The strategic interaction between firms
  • 3. Introduction 1. Strategic interaction 2. Dominant strategies 3. Nash equilibrium strategies 4. Coordination strategies 5. Coordination and competition (co-opetition) 6. Mixed strategies 7. Sequential strategic games ------------- 8. Summary
  • 4. 1. Strategic interaction Within military field, strategy as winning manoeuvring in the battlefield
  • 5. 1. Strategic interaction Within game theory, strategy as the analysis of strategic interaction What choice option do rational agents select in order to maximise their payoff, taking into account the choice of other agents? (in common-sense argumentation, put yourself “behind your rivals' desk” in order to take into account what they do when you make decisions that affect your interests) Warning: every agents behaves rationally and takes into account the choice of others (in common-sense argumentation, take into account that also your rivals make decisions taking into account what you do)
  • 6. 1. Strategic interaction Game theory: some basic lexicon Game: the structure of interaction between agents (players). Typically, in a game the payoff of agents depends on the choices made by all agents (i.e. not by one agent alone) Simultaneous games: agents make choices at the same time (i.e., one agent cannot wait and see the choice made by others) Sequential games: agents make choices according to a pre- determined sequence (i.e., who chooses later can see what other agents, who chose earlier, did) Repeated games: agents face again the choice situation over time. Non repeated games: agents play the game only once.
  • 7. 1. Strategic interaction Game theory: some basic lexicon Dominant strategy: the only choice that an agent rationally does, no matter what other agents do (or did or will do) Nash equilibrium: a set of strategies where each agent is rationally choosing the best option, given the choice of other agents
  • 8. 2. Dominant strategies Firms may choose their course of action irrespective of what other players do Low B = 500 B = 1,000 price A = 500 A=0 Boeing B=0 B = 750 High price A = 1,000 A = 750 Low High Scenario: bidding for price Airbus price 10 aircrafts project
  • 9. 2. Dominant strategies Firms may choose their course of action irrespective of what other players do Low B = 500 B = 1,000 price A = 500 A=0 Boeing B=0 B = 750 High price A = 1,000 A = 750 Low High Scenario: bidding for price Airbus price 10 aircrafts project
  • 10. 2. Dominant strategies Firms may choose their course of action irrespective of what other players do Low B = 500 B = 1,000 price A = 500 A=0 Boeing B=0 B = 750 High price A = 1,000 A = 750 Low High Scenario: bidding for price Airbus price 10 aircrafts project
  • 11. 3. Nash equilibrium strategies But sometimes, firms behave depending on what other firms do Low B = 500 B = 1,000 price A = 500 A=0 Boeing B = 600 B = 750 High price A = 1,000 A = 750 Scenario: bidding for Low High 10 aircrafts project, but price price Boeing can earn even if Airbus losing the bid
  • 12. 3. Nash equilibrium strategies But sometimes, firms behave depending on what other firms do Low B = 500 B = 1,000 price A = 500 A=0 Boeing B = 600 B = 750 High price A = 1,000 A = 750 Scenario: bidding for Low High 10 aircrafts project, but price price Boeing can earn even if Airbus losing the bid
  • 13. 3. Nash equilibrium strategies But sometimes, firms behave depending on what other firms do Low B = 500 B = 1,000 price A = 500 A=0 Boeing ? B = 600 B = 750 High price A = 1,000 A = 750 Scenario: bidding for Low High 10 aircrafts project, but price price Boeing can earn even if Airbus losing the bid
  • 14. 3. Nash equilibrium strategies Airbus is playing 'low price' anyway (has a dominant strategy)... Low B = 500 B = 1,000 price A = 500 A=0 Boeing B = 600 B = 750 High price A = 1,000 A = 750 Scenario: bidding for Low High 10 aircrafts project, but price price Boeing can earn even if Airbus losing the bid
  • 15. 4. Coordination strategies Sometimes strategy is about cooperation rather than competition Alpha B = 100 B = 50 A = 100 A = 50 Boeing B = 50 B = 100 Beta A = 50 A = 100 Scenario: Boeing and Alpha Beta Airbus choose which Comm technology invest Airbus in
  • 16. 4. Coordination strategies Sometimes strategy is about cooperation rather than competition Alpha B = 100 B = 50 A = 100 A = 50 Boeing B = 50 B = 100 Beta A = 50 A = 100 Scenario: Boeing and Alpha Beta Airbus choose which Communication Airbus technology they invest in
  • 17. 4. Coordination strategies Sometimes strategy is about cooperation rather than competition Alpha B = 100 B = 50 A = 100 A = 50 Boeing B = 50 B = 100 Beta A = 50 A = 100 Scenario: Boeing and Alpha Beta Airbus choose which Communication Airbus technology they invest in
  • 18. 5. Collaboration and competition (co-opetition) Sometimes it is good to cooperate, but every firms has own interests Alpha B = 100 B = 40 A = 50 A = 40 Boeing B = 25 B = 50 Beta A = 25 A = 100 Scenario: Boeing and Alpha Beta Airbus choose which Communication Airbus technology they invest in
  • 19. 5. Collaboration and competition (co-opetition) Sometimes it is good to cooperate, but every firms has own interests Alpha B = 100 B = 40 A = 50 A = 40 Boeing B = 25 B = 50 Beta A = 25 A = 100 Scenario: Boeing and Alpha Beta Airbus choose which Communication Airbus technology they invest in
  • 20. 5. Collaboration and competition (co-opetition) Sometimes it is good to cooperate, but every firms has own interests Alpha B = 100 B = 40 A = 50 A = 40 Boeing B = 25 B = 50 Beta A = 25 A = 100 Scenario: Boeing and Alpha Beta Airbus choose which Communication Airbus technology they invest in
  • 21. 5. Collaboration and competition (co-opetition) Sometimes it is good to cooperate, but every firms has own interests Alpha B = 100 B = 40 A = 50 A = 40 Boeing B = 25 B = 50 Beta A = 25 A = 100 Scenario: Boeing and Alpha Beta Airbus choose which Communication Airbus technology they invest in
  • 22. 6. Mixed strategies Sometimes, there is really no equilibrium Negative B = 10 B = -10 tones A = -10 A = 10 Boeing B = -10 B = 10 Positive tones A = 10 A = -10 Scenario: Boeing and Negative Positive Airbus choose their notes tones advertisement campaign Airbus
  • 23. 6. Mixed strategies Sometimes, there is really no equilibrium Negative B = 10 B = -10 tones A = -10 A = 10 Boeing B = -10 B = 10 Positive tones A = 10 A = -10 Scenario: Boeing and Negative Positive Airbus choose their notes tones advertisement campaign Airbus
  • 24. 7. Sequential strategic game Sometimes, one player chooses before the other Boeing: 100 Alpha Airbus: 50 Airbus Alpha Boeing: 40 Beta Airbus: 40 Boeing Alpha Boeing: 25 Beta Airbus: 25 Airbus Scenario: Boeing and Beta Boeing: 50 Airbus choose which Airbus: 100 Communication technology they invest in – but Boeing chooses first!
  • 25. 7. Sequential strategic game What will Airbus choose? Boeing: 100 Alpha Airbus: 50 Airbus Alpha Boeing: 40 Beta Airbus: 40 Boeing Alpha Boeing: 25 Beta Airbus: 25 Airbus Scenario: Boeing and Beta Boeing: 50 Airbus choose which Airbus: 100 Communication technology they invest in – but Boeing chooses first!
  • 26. 7. Sequential strategic game What does Boeing choose – provided what Airbus will choose? Boeing: 100 Alpha Airbus: 50 Airbus Alpha Boeing: 40 Beta Airbus: 40 Boeing Alpha Boeing: 25 Beta Airbus: 25 Airbus Scenario: Boeing and Beta Boeing: 50 Airbus choose which Airbus: 100 Communication technology they invest in – but Boeing chooses first!
  • 27. 7. Sequential strategic game What does Boeing choose – provided what Airbus will choose? Boeing: 100 Alpha Airbus: 50 Airbus Alpha Boeing: 40 Beta Airbus: 40 Boeing Alpha Boeing: 25 Beta Airbus: 25 Airbus Note: Airbus would really Scenario:to make a credible like Boeing and Beta Boeing: 50 Airbus choose which threat to choose Beta! Airbus: 100 Communication technology they invest in – but Boeing chooses first!
  • 28. 8. Summary Main points Game theory provides a powerful analytic approach to strategic interaction The approach is especially relevant when the expected performance (payoff) is dependent on the decisions (choices) made by players (firms) Game theory allows to model a wide range of strategic interactions: competition, cooperation, co-opetition, uncertainty and mixed strategies, and sequential games It is enlightening for better understanding the interdependencies between firms' decisions (e.g., issues of credible commitments and sequence of moves)