NPB Management Conference Highlights Key Accomplishments and Issues
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Neil Dierks, National Pork Producers Council, 2015 Pork Management Conference, June 16-19 in New Orleans.
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NPB Management Conference Highlights Key Accomplishments and Issues
- 2. The power of your national and state organizations working together on your behalf
- 3. Top Four Accomplishments • Passed Trade Promotion Authority (TPA) in the U.S. Senate • Passed Mandatory Price Reporting in the U.S. House • Exemption from DOT hours of service for another two years • Ensuring that pork producers have a voice in the WOTUS Rule, over 500 comments submitted
- 4. Legislative and Regulatory •Trade Issues • Environment • Animal Health • Mandatory Price Reporting
- 5. 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 1979-81 1997-99 2015 2030 Kilograms/capita/year Year Changes in World Food Consumption Milk and dairy Meat Vegetable oils, oilseeds Pulses Sugar Roots and Tubers Cereals Source: FAO
- 6. Urban Rural — 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000 7,000,000 Population(inthousands) Year World Population Growth Source: UN Population Division
- 8. 2013 2014 % Change 2013 2014 % Change World $ 6,049,819,352 $ 6,674,430,723 10% 2,144,327 2,178,484 2% Japan $ 1,883,339,463 $ 1,932,380,193 3% 424,551 468,719 10% Mexico $ 1,223,687,112 $ 1,557,750,665 27% 626,377 680,842 9% Canada $ 844,527,157 $ 904,677,284 7% 227,409 207,363 -9% China/Hong Kong $ 902,758,570 $ 775,412,933 -14% 416,993 337,305 -19% South Korea $ 276,193,708 $ 444,559,794 61% 99,350 135,395 36% ASEAN 162,426,455$ 188,484,799$ 16% 69,620 70,499 1% Philippines $ 112,253,797 $ 103,650,283 -8% 50,060 38,876 -22% Singapore $ 44,467,370 $ 80,037,331 80% 17,311 29,971 73% Australia $ 176,153,394 $ 181,620,636 3% 53,924 50,101 -7% CAFTA-DR $ 148,894,277 $ 163,999,946 10% 60,453 56,484 -7% Dominican Republic $ 43,401,951 $ 47,076,121 8% 18,694 16,898 -10% Colombia $ 88,312,553 $ 134,107,138 52% 34,274 47,442 38% Chile $ 61,670,513 $ 49,315,836 -20% 24,197 19,109 -21% Taiwan $ 40,318,896 $ 38,254,825 -5% 18,104 15,720 -13% Others 241,537,254$ 303,866,674$ 26% 89,075 89,505 0% Source of Data: Global Trade Atlas U.S. Pork and Pork Variety Meat Exports 2013-2014 Partner Country TonsUS Dollars
- 9. 2014 2015 % Change 2014 2015 % Change World 1,648,696,720 1,421,282,044 -14% 583,679 525,984 -10% Japan 478,458,057 386,611,669 -19% 120,118 103,922 -13% Mexico 343,284,333 321,169,023 -6% 167,960 179,506 7% China/Hong Kong 260,443,299 152,073,830 -42% 113,491 67,755 -40% Canada 192,315,262 192,351,105 0% 47,906 48,906 2% South Korea 116,245,015 180,401,522 55% 40,143 57,377 43% Australia 64,779,540 41,987,200 -35% 19,264 11,864 -38% ASEAN 35,362,000 53,702,320 52% 21,888 9,498 -57% Philippines 26,388,664 14,484,532 -45% 10,791 7,259 -33% Singapore 25,757,107 5,002,706 -81% 10,546 1,698 -84% CAFTA-DR 30,360,712 36,414,019 20% 14,155 15,916 12% Dominican Republic 11,238,596 13,600,099 21% 4,490 5,780 29% Colombia 36,000,002 32,084,031 -11% 14,069 12,089 -14% Taiwan 8,981,658 9,040,221 1% 3,788 4,236 12% Others 82,466,842 15,447,104 -81% 20,897 14,915 -29% Source of Data: Global Trade Atlas U.S. Pork and Pork Variety Meat Exports US Dollars Metric Tons Partner Country/Region January-March January-March
- 10. Trade • West Cost Port Slowdown – Hurt US Pork Exports – ILSU ratified agreement (West Coast) – Lingering Challenges • Portland Fundamentally Empty • Slug here – then slug somewhere else – There will be attempts at legislation • Slow Down Tactics /Taft-Hartley – 4 years to West Coast Renewal – 3 years to East Coast Renewal
- 11. Source: Darci Vetter, USTR; IDB Integration and Trade Sector based on INTrade. RTA Expansion 1975
- 12. RTA Expansion 1995 Source: Darci Vetter, USTR; IDB Integration and Trade Sector based on INTrade.
- 13. RTA Expansion 2014 Source: Darci Vetter, USTR; IDB Integration and Trade Sector based on INTrade.
- 14. 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20 FTA Countries 174 Non-FTA Countries Pork Exports & Free Trade Agreements Billions of Dollars
- 15. -800 -700 -600 -500 -400 -300 -200 -100 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 US Trade Balances with FTA Countries and the Rest of World 20 FTA Countries 174 Non-FTA Countries BillionDollars
- 16. Trade • Trade Promotion Authority – Gives President Authority to present to Congress a trade deal for an up or down vote (no amendments) – Passage send a signal we (United States) are serious about a deal. – With TPA – TPP could close this summer, without – the world moves forward.
- 17. Trade TPA / TPP • Step 1 – Senate Approves Bill send to House • Trade Promotion Authority (TPA) • Trade Adjustment Assistance (TPA) • Custom Reauthorization • Step 2 – House passes TPA & Customs (June 12) – Fails to pass TAA • All three are tied to together • Reconsideration vote as early as 6/16/15 • Then what?
- 19. 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 20102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026202720282029 US Pork Exports to Japan with No U.S. TPP Deal
- 20. Legislative and Regulatory • Trade Issues •Environment • Animal Health • Mandatory Price Reporting
- 21. Legislative & Regulatory • EPA – Waters Of The U.S. Rule (WOTUS) • Rule announced – waiting publication in Federal Register • Proposed rule was too vague NPPC supported pulling the rule • When rule is enacted…would have significant impact on nutrient application
- 22. Waters of the US • NPPC/American Farm Bureau and other ag parties form coalition to fight the rule. • Completed a mapping system to show and exhibit the impacts. • 500 comments form the pork industry, 860,000 total
- 24. Website, be patient, large files • http://tinyurl.com/EPAWATERS
- 25. Legislative and Regulatory • Trade Issues • Environment •Animal Health • Mandatory Price Reporting
- 26. Antibiotics • This is First About Responsible Use of Antibiotics…. Zero is not an option
- 27. Antibiotics • Key Affirmation – Responsible use of medically important antibiotics protects animal health and well being, ensures food safety and preserves their effectiveness for animals and humans
- 28. Antibiotics • Guidance 209/213 – NPPC support/embrace/lead as it relates to implementation and compliance – It is uncertain of the impact this will have on resistance…that is to be determined
- 29. Antibiotics • Guidance 209/213 cont’d • Key outcomes – Veterinary oversight – No medically important abx used in growth promotants – Impact on feed mills, distribution and farms – VFD guidance announced during Expo
- 30. Antibiotics • Channel Outreach – ABX are a growing issue – Meetings with Walmart, Kroger, Costco & Safeway – McDonalds, Brinker & Darden – Educational Seminars and Webinars for channel – In cooperation with NPB • (Also Dietary Guidelines)
- 31. Legislative and Regulatory • Trade Issues • Environment • Animal Health •Mandatory Price Reporting
- 32. Legislative & Regulatory • Mandatory Price Reporting (MPR) passed the U.S. House early June – Expands time periods reflected in the morning and afternoon hog reports – Adds “Negotiated Formula Category” – Ensures MPR continues during Gov’t shutdown.