SlideShare a Scribd company logo
Latino Voter Attitudes Towards
   Economic Policy and the
  2012 Presidential Election

        Matt A. Barreto, Ph.D.
     Co-Founder, Latino Decisions


         CHCI Policy Conference

              Sept 12, 2012
Election 2012

Leading Issues of Concern…
 In the 2012 Election                         In the Latino community
 1. Economy (40%)                             1. Immigration (46%)
 2. Jobs (25%)                                2. Create jobs (35%)
 3. Immigration (23%)                         3. Fix economy (19%)
 4. Health care (16%)                         4. Education (16%)
 5. Education (12%)                           5. Health care (9%)
 6. Taxes (6%)                                6. Taxes (1%)

 Source: Univision News/Latino Decisions poll of 1,000 Latino registered voters, November 2011
Election 2012
   The economy is an obvious “concern”
                   Reason the economy is not improving more quickly

         60
         50                                                          56
         40
         30
         20
                          22
         10                                         13
          0
                Lack of leadership        Lack of leadership Lack of cooperation
                   by Obama                    by GOP          and fighting in
                                                                 Congress

Source: impreMedia/Latino Decisions Tracking poll, Sept 10, 2012
Election 2012
  Latino attitudes on economic policy

                         Best way to reduce the federal deficit?

    Cut federal spending                 7%



 Raise taxes on wealthy                                                        46%


      Both tax increases
                                                                         37%
      and spending cuts

                              0%          10%         20%         30%    40%   50%



Source: impreMedia/Latino Decisions Monthly Tracking Poll, August 2011
Election 2012
Latino attitudes on economic policy

           Best way to fix the economy in 2012?


  Lower taxes
                      29%
                                                               Govt invest in
                                                      55%      stimulus projects



                        16%
      Something
      else

  Source: Univision News/Latino Decisions 1 year election benchmark poll, November 2011
Election 2012
     Latino attitudes on economic policy
                    Best way to handle today’s complex economy?
      100%

       80%
                                 83%
       60%

       40%

       20%
                                                           17%
         0%
               Need a strong government to  Free market can handle
                handle economic problems problems without government
                                                being involved


Source: American National Election Study, Oct 2008
Election 2012

  Otras temas en 2012
 Despite it’s importance, the economy does not consume
100% attention of all voters, many other issues remain
very salient
 Latinos know – like all voters know – that there is not a
magic wand to fix the economy
 Two other major policy issues remain salient
   - Federal investment in education
   - Federal investment in health care
 Immigration remains perhaps the most important
mobilizing issue in the Latino community
Election 2012

Economy as top
issue of “concern”

Immigration as a
symbolic, mobilizing
issue

Why?
Election 2012
 After the SB1070 Supreme Court decision




Source: CAP/AV/Latino Decisions National Survey of Latinos July 18, 2012
Election 2012

     Economy as top issue of “concern”
     Immigration as a mobilizing issue


           -19

                                                                     +35




Source: America’s Voice / Latino Decisions June 2012 Battleground poll
Election 2012

Latino Population versus Latino Voters
        Growth in U.S. Latino Population and Voters, ’00 - ’12
   60

                                          53.7
   50
                                                                             Total
   40
                                                                             Adult
         35.3                                    35.5
   30
                                                                             Citizen
                                                                             Adult
                23.0                                    23.6
   20                                                                        Reg
                                                               15.0
   10                  13.2                                           12.2   Voters
                              7.5
                                    5.9
   -
                       2000                             2012
Election 2012

Latino Population versus Latino Voters
              The gap in Latino voter registration
  25
                                  23.6

  20                                             8.6 M
                                                         Citizen
  15
                                                         Adult
                                                15.0
       13.2
                     5.7 M                               Reg
  10

                     7.5
  5


  -
              2000                       2012

More Related Content

Similar to Latino Voter Attitudes Towards Economic Policy and the 2012 Presidential Election

Johnathan Holifield: America21 presents Inclusive Competitiveness to Global D...
Johnathan Holifield: America21 presents Inclusive Competitiveness to Global D...Johnathan Holifield: America21 presents Inclusive Competitiveness to Global D...
Johnathan Holifield: America21 presents Inclusive Competitiveness to Global D...
ScaleUp Partners LLC
 
Johnathan Holifield - Global Detroit - Inclusive Competitiveness - America21
Johnathan Holifield - Global Detroit - Inclusive Competitiveness - America21Johnathan Holifield - Global Detroit - Inclusive Competitiveness - America21
Johnathan Holifield - Global Detroit - Inclusive Competitiveness - America21
ScaleUp Partners LLC
 
Productivity growth and fiscal adjustment
Productivity growth and fiscal adjustmentProductivity growth and fiscal adjustment
Productivity growth and fiscal adjustment
Ryan Saxby Hill
 
LatinAmerica_digital
LatinAmerica_digitalLatinAmerica_digital
LatinAmerica_digital
AngelMelguizo
 
Colorado Association of School Boards
Colorado Association of School BoardsColorado Association of School Boards
Colorado Association of School Boards
JohnCr8on
 
HPS The Path Forward - Political Solutons
HPS The Path Forward - Political SolutonsHPS The Path Forward - Political Solutons
HPS The Path Forward - Political Solutons
HPSInsight
 
MAS 2020 Summary Slide Deck-Short
MAS 2020 Summary Slide Deck-ShortMAS 2020 Summary Slide Deck-Short
MAS 2020 Summary Slide Deck-Short
ARCResearch
 
Pfm responses to_an_economically_challenging_world_2011_icgfm_survey
Pfm responses to_an_economically_challenging_world_2011_icgfm_surveyPfm responses to_an_economically_challenging_world_2011_icgfm_survey
Pfm responses to_an_economically_challenging_world_2011_icgfm_survey
icgfmconference
 
DDD "what would it take to achieve the #MDGs by 2015?"
DDD "what would it take to achieve the #MDGs by 2015?"DDD "what would it take to achieve the #MDGs by 2015?"
DDD "what would it take to achieve the #MDGs by 2015?"
OECD Development Centre, Paris
 
Report: Understanding Policy Influencers’ Priorities in a Post-COVID World
Report: Understanding Policy Influencers’ Priorities in a Post-COVID WorldReport: Understanding Policy Influencers’ Priorities in a Post-COVID World
Report: Understanding Policy Influencers’ Priorities in a Post-COVID World
GloverParkGroup
 
Navigating COVID-19 - May 26
Navigating COVID-19 - May 26Navigating COVID-19 - May 26
Navigating COVID-19 - May 26
GloverParkGroup
 
Oct 7 foresight presentation
Oct 7 foresight presentationOct 7 foresight presentation
Oct 7 foresight presentation
Jess Farr
 
Data Day 2012_Draisen_Keynote
Data Day 2012_Draisen_KeynoteData Day 2012_Draisen_Keynote
Data Day 2012_Draisen_Keynote
Metropolitan Area Planning Council
 
What Does the Unemployment Rate Mean for Government Spending?
What Does the Unemployment Rate Mean for Government Spending?What Does the Unemployment Rate Mean for Government Spending?
What Does the Unemployment Rate Mean for Government Spending?
Mercatus Center
 
08 the public sector
 08 the public sector 08 the public sector
08 the public sector
NepDevWiki
 
Aging and Financial Inclusion
Aging and Financial InclusionAging and Financial Inclusion
Aging and Financial Inclusion
AliMaryLiv
 
Restoring fiscal sanity and effective paths forward in the public sector
Restoring fiscal sanity and effective paths forward in the public sectorRestoring fiscal sanity and effective paths forward in the public sector
Restoring fiscal sanity and effective paths forward in the public sector
Mel Parrish
 
SANTANDER ARGENTINA-SANTANDER INVESTOR DAY
SANTANDER ARGENTINA-SANTANDER INVESTOR DAYSANTANDER ARGENTINA-SANTANDER INVESTOR DAY
SANTANDER ARGENTINA-SANTANDER INVESTOR DAY
BANCO SANTANDER
 
FMB orlando presentation on economy and politics May_2021.pdf
FMB orlando presentation on economy and politics May_2021.pdfFMB orlando presentation on economy and politics May_2021.pdf
FMB orlando presentation on economy and politics May_2021.pdf
Jeremy Oberfeld
 
Global Financial Development Report 2014 - Financial Inclusion
Global Financial Development Report 2014 - Financial InclusionGlobal Financial Development Report 2014 - Financial Inclusion
Global Financial Development Report 2014 - Financial Inclusion
WB_Research
 

Similar to Latino Voter Attitudes Towards Economic Policy and the 2012 Presidential Election (20)

Johnathan Holifield: America21 presents Inclusive Competitiveness to Global D...
Johnathan Holifield: America21 presents Inclusive Competitiveness to Global D...Johnathan Holifield: America21 presents Inclusive Competitiveness to Global D...
Johnathan Holifield: America21 presents Inclusive Competitiveness to Global D...
 
Johnathan Holifield - Global Detroit - Inclusive Competitiveness - America21
Johnathan Holifield - Global Detroit - Inclusive Competitiveness - America21Johnathan Holifield - Global Detroit - Inclusive Competitiveness - America21
Johnathan Holifield - Global Detroit - Inclusive Competitiveness - America21
 
Productivity growth and fiscal adjustment
Productivity growth and fiscal adjustmentProductivity growth and fiscal adjustment
Productivity growth and fiscal adjustment
 
LatinAmerica_digital
LatinAmerica_digitalLatinAmerica_digital
LatinAmerica_digital
 
Colorado Association of School Boards
Colorado Association of School BoardsColorado Association of School Boards
Colorado Association of School Boards
 
HPS The Path Forward - Political Solutons
HPS The Path Forward - Political SolutonsHPS The Path Forward - Political Solutons
HPS The Path Forward - Political Solutons
 
MAS 2020 Summary Slide Deck-Short
MAS 2020 Summary Slide Deck-ShortMAS 2020 Summary Slide Deck-Short
MAS 2020 Summary Slide Deck-Short
 
Pfm responses to_an_economically_challenging_world_2011_icgfm_survey
Pfm responses to_an_economically_challenging_world_2011_icgfm_surveyPfm responses to_an_economically_challenging_world_2011_icgfm_survey
Pfm responses to_an_economically_challenging_world_2011_icgfm_survey
 
DDD "what would it take to achieve the #MDGs by 2015?"
DDD "what would it take to achieve the #MDGs by 2015?"DDD "what would it take to achieve the #MDGs by 2015?"
DDD "what would it take to achieve the #MDGs by 2015?"
 
Report: Understanding Policy Influencers’ Priorities in a Post-COVID World
Report: Understanding Policy Influencers’ Priorities in a Post-COVID WorldReport: Understanding Policy Influencers’ Priorities in a Post-COVID World
Report: Understanding Policy Influencers’ Priorities in a Post-COVID World
 
Navigating COVID-19 - May 26
Navigating COVID-19 - May 26Navigating COVID-19 - May 26
Navigating COVID-19 - May 26
 
Oct 7 foresight presentation
Oct 7 foresight presentationOct 7 foresight presentation
Oct 7 foresight presentation
 
Data Day 2012_Draisen_Keynote
Data Day 2012_Draisen_KeynoteData Day 2012_Draisen_Keynote
Data Day 2012_Draisen_Keynote
 
What Does the Unemployment Rate Mean for Government Spending?
What Does the Unemployment Rate Mean for Government Spending?What Does the Unemployment Rate Mean for Government Spending?
What Does the Unemployment Rate Mean for Government Spending?
 
08 the public sector
 08 the public sector 08 the public sector
08 the public sector
 
Aging and Financial Inclusion
Aging and Financial InclusionAging and Financial Inclusion
Aging and Financial Inclusion
 
Restoring fiscal sanity and effective paths forward in the public sector
Restoring fiscal sanity and effective paths forward in the public sectorRestoring fiscal sanity and effective paths forward in the public sector
Restoring fiscal sanity and effective paths forward in the public sector
 
SANTANDER ARGENTINA-SANTANDER INVESTOR DAY
SANTANDER ARGENTINA-SANTANDER INVESTOR DAYSANTANDER ARGENTINA-SANTANDER INVESTOR DAY
SANTANDER ARGENTINA-SANTANDER INVESTOR DAY
 
FMB orlando presentation on economy and politics May_2021.pdf
FMB orlando presentation on economy and politics May_2021.pdfFMB orlando presentation on economy and politics May_2021.pdf
FMB orlando presentation on economy and politics May_2021.pdf
 
Global Financial Development Report 2014 - Financial Inclusion
Global Financial Development Report 2014 - Financial InclusionGlobal Financial Development Report 2014 - Financial Inclusion
Global Financial Development Report 2014 - Financial Inclusion
 

Recently uploaded

2015pmkemenhub163.pdf 2015pmkemenhub163.pdf
2015pmkemenhub163.pdf 2015pmkemenhub163.pdf2015pmkemenhub163.pdf 2015pmkemenhub163.pdf
2015pmkemenhub163.pdf 2015pmkemenhub163.pdf
CIkumparan
 
What Ukraine Has Lost During Russia’s Invasion
What Ukraine Has Lost During Russia’s InvasionWhat Ukraine Has Lost During Russia’s Invasion
What Ukraine Has Lost During Russia’s Invasion
LUMINATIVE MEDIA/PROJECT COUNSEL MEDIA GROUP
 
Hogan Comes Home: an MIA WWII crewman is returned
Hogan Comes Home: an MIA WWII crewman is returnedHogan Comes Home: an MIA WWII crewman is returned
Hogan Comes Home: an MIA WWII crewman is returned
rbakerj2
 
Gabriel Whitley's Motion Summary Judgment
Gabriel Whitley's Motion Summary JudgmentGabriel Whitley's Motion Summary Judgment
Gabriel Whitley's Motion Summary Judgment
Abdul-Hakim Shabazz
 
Essential Tools for Modern PR Business .pptx
Essential Tools for Modern PR Business .pptxEssential Tools for Modern PR Business .pptx
Essential Tools for Modern PR Business .pptx
Pragencyuk
 
Letter-from-ECI-to-MeiTY-21st-march-2024.pdf
Letter-from-ECI-to-MeiTY-21st-march-2024.pdfLetter-from-ECI-to-MeiTY-21st-march-2024.pdf
Letter-from-ECI-to-MeiTY-21st-march-2024.pdf
bhavenpr
 
EED - The Container Port PERFORMANCE INDEX 2023
EED - The Container Port PERFORMANCE INDEX 2023EED - The Container Port PERFORMANCE INDEX 2023
EED - The Container Port PERFORMANCE INDEX 2023
El Estrecho Digital
 
Hindustan Insider 2nd edition release now
Hindustan Insider 2nd edition release nowHindustan Insider 2nd edition release now
Hindustan Insider 2nd edition release now
hindustaninsider22
 
Acolyte Episodes review (TV series)..pdf
Acolyte Episodes review (TV series)..pdfAcolyte Episodes review (TV series)..pdf
Acolyte Episodes review (TV series)..pdf
46adnanshahzad
 
04062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
04062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf04062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
04062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
FIRST INDIA
 

Recently uploaded (10)

2015pmkemenhub163.pdf 2015pmkemenhub163.pdf
2015pmkemenhub163.pdf 2015pmkemenhub163.pdf2015pmkemenhub163.pdf 2015pmkemenhub163.pdf
2015pmkemenhub163.pdf 2015pmkemenhub163.pdf
 
What Ukraine Has Lost During Russia’s Invasion
What Ukraine Has Lost During Russia’s InvasionWhat Ukraine Has Lost During Russia’s Invasion
What Ukraine Has Lost During Russia’s Invasion
 
Hogan Comes Home: an MIA WWII crewman is returned
Hogan Comes Home: an MIA WWII crewman is returnedHogan Comes Home: an MIA WWII crewman is returned
Hogan Comes Home: an MIA WWII crewman is returned
 
Gabriel Whitley's Motion Summary Judgment
Gabriel Whitley's Motion Summary JudgmentGabriel Whitley's Motion Summary Judgment
Gabriel Whitley's Motion Summary Judgment
 
Essential Tools for Modern PR Business .pptx
Essential Tools for Modern PR Business .pptxEssential Tools for Modern PR Business .pptx
Essential Tools for Modern PR Business .pptx
 
Letter-from-ECI-to-MeiTY-21st-march-2024.pdf
Letter-from-ECI-to-MeiTY-21st-march-2024.pdfLetter-from-ECI-to-MeiTY-21st-march-2024.pdf
Letter-from-ECI-to-MeiTY-21st-march-2024.pdf
 
EED - The Container Port PERFORMANCE INDEX 2023
EED - The Container Port PERFORMANCE INDEX 2023EED - The Container Port PERFORMANCE INDEX 2023
EED - The Container Port PERFORMANCE INDEX 2023
 
Hindustan Insider 2nd edition release now
Hindustan Insider 2nd edition release nowHindustan Insider 2nd edition release now
Hindustan Insider 2nd edition release now
 
Acolyte Episodes review (TV series)..pdf
Acolyte Episodes review (TV series)..pdfAcolyte Episodes review (TV series)..pdf
Acolyte Episodes review (TV series)..pdf
 
04062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
04062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf04062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
04062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
 

Latino Voter Attitudes Towards Economic Policy and the 2012 Presidential Election

  • 1. Latino Voter Attitudes Towards Economic Policy and the 2012 Presidential Election Matt A. Barreto, Ph.D. Co-Founder, Latino Decisions CHCI Policy Conference Sept 12, 2012
  • 2. Election 2012 Leading Issues of Concern… In the 2012 Election In the Latino community 1. Economy (40%) 1. Immigration (46%) 2. Jobs (25%) 2. Create jobs (35%) 3. Immigration (23%) 3. Fix economy (19%) 4. Health care (16%) 4. Education (16%) 5. Education (12%) 5. Health care (9%) 6. Taxes (6%) 6. Taxes (1%) Source: Univision News/Latino Decisions poll of 1,000 Latino registered voters, November 2011
  • 3. Election 2012 The economy is an obvious “concern” Reason the economy is not improving more quickly 60 50 56 40 30 20 22 10 13 0 Lack of leadership Lack of leadership Lack of cooperation by Obama by GOP and fighting in Congress Source: impreMedia/Latino Decisions Tracking poll, Sept 10, 2012
  • 4. Election 2012 Latino attitudes on economic policy Best way to reduce the federal deficit? Cut federal spending 7% Raise taxes on wealthy 46% Both tax increases 37% and spending cuts 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Source: impreMedia/Latino Decisions Monthly Tracking Poll, August 2011
  • 5. Election 2012 Latino attitudes on economic policy Best way to fix the economy in 2012? Lower taxes 29% Govt invest in 55% stimulus projects 16% Something else Source: Univision News/Latino Decisions 1 year election benchmark poll, November 2011
  • 6. Election 2012 Latino attitudes on economic policy Best way to handle today’s complex economy? 100% 80% 83% 60% 40% 20% 17% 0% Need a strong government to Free market can handle handle economic problems problems without government being involved Source: American National Election Study, Oct 2008
  • 7. Election 2012 Otras temas en 2012  Despite it’s importance, the economy does not consume 100% attention of all voters, many other issues remain very salient  Latinos know – like all voters know – that there is not a magic wand to fix the economy  Two other major policy issues remain salient - Federal investment in education - Federal investment in health care  Immigration remains perhaps the most important mobilizing issue in the Latino community
  • 8. Election 2012 Economy as top issue of “concern” Immigration as a symbolic, mobilizing issue Why?
  • 9. Election 2012 After the SB1070 Supreme Court decision Source: CAP/AV/Latino Decisions National Survey of Latinos July 18, 2012
  • 10. Election 2012 Economy as top issue of “concern” Immigration as a mobilizing issue -19 +35 Source: America’s Voice / Latino Decisions June 2012 Battleground poll
  • 11. Election 2012 Latino Population versus Latino Voters Growth in U.S. Latino Population and Voters, ’00 - ’12 60 53.7 50 Total 40 Adult 35.3 35.5 30 Citizen Adult 23.0 23.6 20 Reg 15.0 10 13.2 12.2 Voters 7.5 5.9 - 2000 2012
  • 12. Election 2012 Latino Population versus Latino Voters The gap in Latino voter registration 25 23.6 20 8.6 M Citizen 15 Adult 15.0 13.2 5.7 M Reg 10 7.5 5 - 2000 2012