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U.S. employment situation: September 2013
Release date: October 22, 2013
Rebounding job market demonstrates
the strength of local economy
Chicago employment situation: June 2015 July 8, 2015
June 2015 employment summary
• The local labor force expanded by 20,000 workers as a result of graduates entering the job market. Employment increased by 15,000 jobs
so the expanding labor force only increased the overall unemployment rate by 10 basis points to 6.0 percent.
• The employment market’s ability to buffer itself from the increasing labor pool is a positive sign that the local economy is strong enough to
absorb unemployed workers and that we’ll continue to see more hiring in the future.
• The sectors driving this recent expansion are construction; trade, transportation, and utilities; professional and business services; and
leisure & hospitality.
• Compared to previous summer tourism seasons, Leisure & hospitality is ramping up at a higher pace, showing a monthly growth of 3.8
percent. Based on historic trends, this sector will continue a hiring surge through late summer.
• As is typically the case, Chicago’s office-using sectors dominated the hiring by taking 38.1 percent of the 12-month total employment
growth while the industrial sectors accounted for 19.4 percent of the annual growth.
• Total U.S. nonfarm employment increased by 223,000 jobs in June while downward revisions were made to previous months totaling
60,000 jobs. Given the strength of the recent employment reports, the Federal Reserve is projected to raise interest rates in September for
the first time since 2006.
• U.S. unemployment fell 20 basis points to 5.3 percent, its lowest level since April 2008. However, there are concerns about the labor force
participation rate, which measures how many Americans are employed or looking for work. It hit a 37-year low in June.
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
June 2015 labor market at a glance
6.0%
Metro Chicago unemployment
1.2%
Metro Chicago 12-month job growth
44,400
Metro Chicago monthly new hires
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
5.3%
U.S. unemployment
2.1%
U.S. 12-month job growth
223,000
U.S. monthly new hires
YTD gains of 44,000 new jobs minimize impact of expanding
labor force
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
4
Total jobs vs. Unemployment rate, Metro Chicago
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
3.0
3.1
3.2
3.3
3.4
3.5
3.6
3.7
3.8
Total Employment
Unemployment
3.9%
Peak: 3,840,379 jobs
Millions
Jobs lost during recession…
Jobs gained during recovery…
97.5 percent of jobs in Chicago have been recovered from
the recession; now 9,000 jobs below pre-recession peak
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
5
• We estimate that Chicago will recover all of the jobs lost during the recession in the next six months
PBS, education & health and TTU continue to see healthy
growth; while finance and manufacturing lag
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
6
Top three
subsectors
responsible for
79.3 percent of
annual growth.
Number of jobs gained
Job growth/loss by sector (12-month change), Metro Chicago
-4,900
-4,200
-400
200
5,300
5,900
7,300
8,600
11,600
15,000
-5,000 0 5,000 10,000 15,000
Manufacturing
Financial Activities
Other Services
Information
Mining and Logging
Federal Government
Leisure & Hospitality
Trade, Transportation & Utilities
Educational & Health Services
Professional & Business Services
34%
26%
19%
21%
PBS
Educational & Health Services
Trade, Transportation & Utilities
All other sectors
Annual growth of office-sectors driven by PBS & Government
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
7
Thousandsofnewjobs
Office employment trends (12-month change), Metro Chicago
Recent staffing announcements
+100 jobs -150 jobs-45
-30
-15
0
15
30
45
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Financial Activities Professional & Business Services Information Government
Surge in construction employment continues industrial-sector
job creation in May
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
8
Thousandsofnewjobs
Industrial employment trends (12-month change), Metro Chicago
Recent staffing announcements
-250 jobs
+500 jobs
Hiring TBD
-100
-85
-70
-55
-40
-25
-10
5
20
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Mining, Logging & Construction Trade, Transportation & Utilities Manufacturing Other Services
All subsectors but Manufacturing, Financial Activities, and
Other Services have seen annual growth
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
9
May 2013 May 2014 May 2015
Total non-farm employment
3,534,400
1.8%
3,594,700
1.7%
3,639,100
1.2%
Unemployment rate 10.0% 7.0% 6.0%
Metro Chicago supersectors May 2013 May 2014 May 2015
Mining, Logging & Construction 112,000 4.2% 118,500 5.8% 123,800 4.5%
Manufacturing 281,400 -2.0% 280,800 -0.2% 275,900 -1.7%
Trade, Transportation, & Utilities 705,500 1.5% 713,600 1.1% 722,200 1.2%
Information 71,400 -0.3% 70,800 -0.8% 71,000 0.3%
Financial Activities 247,400 0.4% 249,100 0.7% 244,900 -1.7%
Professional & Business Services 641,600 4.6% 668,000 4.1% 683,000 2.2%
Educational & Health Services 550,900 2.2% 561,900 2.0% 573,500 2.1%
Leisure & Hospitality 340,200 2.8% 348,400 2.4% 355,700 2.1%
Other Services 156,800 0.7% 159,900 2.0% 159,500 -0.3%
Government 427,200 0.4% 423,700 -0.8% 429,600 1.4%
Employment statistics | Metro Chicago Industry employment stratification | Metro Chicago
Trade, transportation
and Utilities, 722,200,
20%
Professional and
Business Services,
683,000, 19%
Educational and Health
Services, 573,500, 16%
Government, 429,600,
12%
Leisure and Hospitality,
355,700, 10%
Manufacturing,
275,900, 7%
Financial Activities,
244,900, 7%
Other Services,
159,500, 4%
Mining, Logging and
construction, 123,800,
3%
Information, 71,000,
2%
©2015 Jones Lang LaSalle Research IP, Inc. All rights reserved. All information contained herein is from sources deemed reliable; however, no representation or warranty is made to the accuracy thereof.
For more information, please contact:
Chicago Office Research
Joe Klosterman 200 E Randolph Street
Research Analyst Chicago, IL 60601
Joe.Klosterman@am.jll.com
Amy Binstein
Research Analyst
Amy.Binstein@am.jll.com
Chicago Industrial Research
Chad Buch 8755 W Higgins Road
Research Analyst Chicago, IL 60631
Chad,Buch@am.jll.com
Paul Marsh
Research Analyst
Paul.Marsh@am.jll.com

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June 2015 Chicago employment update

  • 1. U.S. employment situation: September 2013 Release date: October 22, 2013 Rebounding job market demonstrates the strength of local economy Chicago employment situation: June 2015 July 8, 2015
  • 2. June 2015 employment summary • The local labor force expanded by 20,000 workers as a result of graduates entering the job market. Employment increased by 15,000 jobs so the expanding labor force only increased the overall unemployment rate by 10 basis points to 6.0 percent. • The employment market’s ability to buffer itself from the increasing labor pool is a positive sign that the local economy is strong enough to absorb unemployed workers and that we’ll continue to see more hiring in the future. • The sectors driving this recent expansion are construction; trade, transportation, and utilities; professional and business services; and leisure & hospitality. • Compared to previous summer tourism seasons, Leisure & hospitality is ramping up at a higher pace, showing a monthly growth of 3.8 percent. Based on historic trends, this sector will continue a hiring surge through late summer. • As is typically the case, Chicago’s office-using sectors dominated the hiring by taking 38.1 percent of the 12-month total employment growth while the industrial sectors accounted for 19.4 percent of the annual growth. • Total U.S. nonfarm employment increased by 223,000 jobs in June while downward revisions were made to previous months totaling 60,000 jobs. Given the strength of the recent employment reports, the Federal Reserve is projected to raise interest rates in September for the first time since 2006. • U.S. unemployment fell 20 basis points to 5.3 percent, its lowest level since April 2008. However, there are concerns about the labor force participation rate, which measures how many Americans are employed or looking for work. It hit a 37-year low in June. Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • 3. June 2015 labor market at a glance 6.0% Metro Chicago unemployment 1.2% Metro Chicago 12-month job growth 44,400 Metro Chicago monthly new hires Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics 5.3% U.S. unemployment 2.1% U.S. 12-month job growth 223,000 U.S. monthly new hires
  • 4. YTD gains of 44,000 new jobs minimize impact of expanding labor force Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics 4 Total jobs vs. Unemployment rate, Metro Chicago 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.8 Total Employment Unemployment 3.9% Peak: 3,840,379 jobs Millions
  • 5. Jobs lost during recession… Jobs gained during recovery… 97.5 percent of jobs in Chicago have been recovered from the recession; now 9,000 jobs below pre-recession peak Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics 5 • We estimate that Chicago will recover all of the jobs lost during the recession in the next six months
  • 6. PBS, education & health and TTU continue to see healthy growth; while finance and manufacturing lag Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics 6 Top three subsectors responsible for 79.3 percent of annual growth. Number of jobs gained Job growth/loss by sector (12-month change), Metro Chicago -4,900 -4,200 -400 200 5,300 5,900 7,300 8,600 11,600 15,000 -5,000 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 Manufacturing Financial Activities Other Services Information Mining and Logging Federal Government Leisure & Hospitality Trade, Transportation & Utilities Educational & Health Services Professional & Business Services 34% 26% 19% 21% PBS Educational & Health Services Trade, Transportation & Utilities All other sectors
  • 7. Annual growth of office-sectors driven by PBS & Government Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics 7 Thousandsofnewjobs Office employment trends (12-month change), Metro Chicago Recent staffing announcements +100 jobs -150 jobs-45 -30 -15 0 15 30 45 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Financial Activities Professional & Business Services Information Government
  • 8. Surge in construction employment continues industrial-sector job creation in May Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics 8 Thousandsofnewjobs Industrial employment trends (12-month change), Metro Chicago Recent staffing announcements -250 jobs +500 jobs Hiring TBD -100 -85 -70 -55 -40 -25 -10 5 20 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Mining, Logging & Construction Trade, Transportation & Utilities Manufacturing Other Services
  • 9. All subsectors but Manufacturing, Financial Activities, and Other Services have seen annual growth Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics 9 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 Total non-farm employment 3,534,400 1.8% 3,594,700 1.7% 3,639,100 1.2% Unemployment rate 10.0% 7.0% 6.0% Metro Chicago supersectors May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 Mining, Logging & Construction 112,000 4.2% 118,500 5.8% 123,800 4.5% Manufacturing 281,400 -2.0% 280,800 -0.2% 275,900 -1.7% Trade, Transportation, & Utilities 705,500 1.5% 713,600 1.1% 722,200 1.2% Information 71,400 -0.3% 70,800 -0.8% 71,000 0.3% Financial Activities 247,400 0.4% 249,100 0.7% 244,900 -1.7% Professional & Business Services 641,600 4.6% 668,000 4.1% 683,000 2.2% Educational & Health Services 550,900 2.2% 561,900 2.0% 573,500 2.1% Leisure & Hospitality 340,200 2.8% 348,400 2.4% 355,700 2.1% Other Services 156,800 0.7% 159,900 2.0% 159,500 -0.3% Government 427,200 0.4% 423,700 -0.8% 429,600 1.4% Employment statistics | Metro Chicago Industry employment stratification | Metro Chicago Trade, transportation and Utilities, 722,200, 20% Professional and Business Services, 683,000, 19% Educational and Health Services, 573,500, 16% Government, 429,600, 12% Leisure and Hospitality, 355,700, 10% Manufacturing, 275,900, 7% Financial Activities, 244,900, 7% Other Services, 159,500, 4% Mining, Logging and construction, 123,800, 3% Information, 71,000, 2%
  • 10. ©2015 Jones Lang LaSalle Research IP, Inc. All rights reserved. All information contained herein is from sources deemed reliable; however, no representation or warranty is made to the accuracy thereof. For more information, please contact: Chicago Office Research Joe Klosterman 200 E Randolph Street Research Analyst Chicago, IL 60601 Joe.Klosterman@am.jll.com Amy Binstein Research Analyst Amy.Binstein@am.jll.com Chicago Industrial Research Chad Buch 8755 W Higgins Road Research Analyst Chicago, IL 60631 Chad,Buch@am.jll.com Paul Marsh Research Analyst Paul.Marsh@am.jll.com