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Urinary Sodium and
Potassium Excretion,
Mortality and
Cardiovascular Events
Dr. Rikka Banayat
Dr. Joana Thomas
Dr. Aasems Jacob
Sodium intake - to restrict or not?
Global Sodium Intake
◎ Mean global sodium intake is 3.95 grams/day
◎ WHO recommended limit: 2 grams/day
◎ Intake in men ~10% higher
◎ Highest in East Asia, Central Asia, Eastern Europe (mean >4.2
grams/day)
◎ North America, Western Europe, Australia/New Zealand = 3.4
to 3.8 grams/day
◎ Sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America = <3.3 grams/day
John Powles Saman Fahimi, et al. Global, regional and national sodium intakes in 1990 and 2010: a systematic analysis of
24 h urinary sodium excretion and dietary surveys worldwide. BMJ Open 2013;3:e003733
Global Sodium Intake
◎ European and North American countries - 75% of
sodium intake is from manufactured foods
◎ UK and US - Cereals and baked goods were the
single largest contributor to dietary sodium intake
◎ Japan and China - salt added at home and soy sauce
were the largest sources
Brown IJ, Tzoulaki I, Candeias V, Elliott P. Salt intakes around the world: implications for public health.
Int J Epidemiol. 2009 Jun;38(3):791-813.
How much sodium is in
table salt???
◎Sodium chloride or
table salt is
approximately 40%
sodium
◎ 1 tsp salt (6
grams)= 2300 mg
sodium
http://sodiumbreakup.heart.org/
How much sodium should
I eat per day?
◎AHA recommendations:Lower sodium intake (Level I)
○ Consume no more than 2,400 mg/day of sodium (Level IIa)
○ Further reduction of sodium intake to 1,500 mg/day is desirable
since it is associated with an even greater reduction in BP (Level IIa)
○ Reduce sodium intake by at least 1,000 mg/day since that will lower
BP, even if the desired daily sodium intake is not yet achieved (Level
IIa)
Sodium intake and Hypertension
Effect of longer-term modest salt reduction on blood pressure.
He FJ1, Li J, Macgregor GA. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2013 Apr 30;(4):CD004937
◎ A modest reduction in salt intake for 4 or more weeks causes significant
and, from a population viewpoint, important falls in BP in both hypertensive
and normotensive individuals, irrespective of sex and ethnic group.
◎ Significant association between the reduction in 24-h urinary sodium and
the fall in systolic BP, indicating the greater the reduction in salt intake, the
greater the fall in systolic BP.
◎ The current recommendations to reduce salt intake from 9-12 to 5-6 g/d
will have a major effect on BP, but are not ideal. A further reduction to 3 g/d
will have a greater effect and should become the long term target for
population salt intake.
Sodium intake and Hypertension
Effect of lower sodium intake on health: systematic review
and meta-analyses.
Aburto NJ, Ziolkovska A, Hooper L, Elliott P, Cappuccio FP. BMJ 2013;346:f1326.
◎ Reduced sodium intake reduces blood pressure and has no adverse effect
on blood lipids, catecholamine levels or renal function
◎ There were insufficient randomized controlled trials to assess the effects
of reduced sodium intake on mortality and morbidity.
◎The associations in cohort studies between sodium intake and all cause
mortality, incident fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular disease, and coronary
heart disease were non-significant
Sodium Intake and
Cardiovascular Disease
Compared with usual sodium intake, low- and excessive-sodium
diets are associated with increased mortality: a meta-analysis.
Graudal N, Jürgens G, Baslund B, Alderman MH. Am J Hypertens. 2014 Sep;27(9):1129-37.
◎ The objective was to investigate the incidence of all-cause mortality
(ACM) and cardiovascular disease events (CVDEs) in populations exposed
to dietary intakes of low sodium (<115 mmol), usual sodium (low usual
sodium: 115-165 mmol; high usual sodium: 166-215 mmol), and high
sodium (>215 mmol).
◎ Data from 23 cohort studies and 2 follow-up studies of RCTs (n =
274,683) showed that the risks of ACM and CVDEs were decreased in usual
sodium vs. low sodium intake and increased in high sodium vs. usual
sodium intake
◎Within the usual sodium intake range, the number of events was stable
◎Both low sodium intakes and high sodium intakes are associated with
increased mortality
Sodium Intake and
Cardiovascular Disease
Sodium excretion and risk of developing coronary heart disease.
Joosten MM1, Gansevoort RT, Mukamal KJ, Circulation. 2014 Mar 11;129(10):1121-8.
◎In the overall population, there was no
association between sodium excretion and
risk of CHD.
◎Higher sodium excretion was associated
with an increased CHD risk among subjects
with increased NT-proBNP concentrations
or with hypertension.
Sodium Intake and
Cardiovascular Disease
Fatal and Nonfatal Outcomes, Incidence of Hypertension, and
Blood Pressure Changes in Relation to Urinary Sodium Excretion
Katarzyna Stolarz-Skrzypek, MD, PhD; Tatiana Kuznetsova, MD, et al.
JAMA. 2011;305(17):1777-1785.
◎In this population-based cohort, systolic blood pressure, but not
diastolic pressure, changes over time aligned with change in sodium
excretion, but this association did not translate into a higher risk of
hypertension or CVD complications.
◎Lower sodium excretion was associated with higher CVD mortality.
Sodium Consumption and Mortality
Global Sodium Consumption and Death from Cardiovascular Causes
Dariush Mozaffarian, M.D., Dr.P.H., et al. N Engl J Med 2014
◎1.65 million deaths from cardiovascular
causes that occurred in 2010 were attributed
to sodium consumption above a reference
level of 2.0 g per day.
Sodium, Potassium and
Cardiovascular Disease
Urinary Sodium and Potassium Excretion and Risk of
Cardiovascular Events
Martin J. O'Donnell, MB, PhD; Salim Yusuf, et al. JAMA. 2011;306(20):2229-2238.
◎In patients with established CV disease or DM, compared
with baseline sodium excretion of 4 to 5.99 g per day, sodium
excretion of greater than 7 g per day was associated with an
increased risk of all CV events, and a sodium excretion of less
than 3 g per day was associated with increased risk of CV
mortality and hospitalization for CHF.
◎Higher estimated potassium excretion was associated with a
reduced risk of stroke.
Potassium and
Cardiovascular Disease
Effect of increased potassium intake on cardiovascular risk factors
and disease: systematic review and meta-analyses.
Aburto NJ, Hanson S, Gutierrez H. BMJ. 2013 Apr 3;346
◎Increased potassium intake reduced systolic blood pressure by 3.49 mm Hg and
diastolic blood pressure by 1.96 mm Hg in adults, an effect seen in people with
hypertension but not in those without hypertension.
◎Systolic blood pressure was reduced by 7.16 mm Hg when the higher potassium
intake was 90-120 mmol/day, without any dose response.
◎Higher potassium intake was associated with a 24% lower risk of stroke (moderate
quality evidence). These results suggest that increased potassium intake is
potentially beneficial to most people without impaired renal handling of potassium
for the prevention and control of elevated blood pressure and stroke.
156,424
Prospective Urban
Rural Epidemiology
(PURE) study
Study design
Participants: 156,424 (101,945)
Age: 35 to 70 years
628 Communities
in 17, low (4), middle
(10) and high income
countries (3)
Period
Jan 2003 to 2013 (first
data), continued
Coordinated by Population Health Research Institute,
Hamilton Health Sciences and McMaster University, Canada.
Funding: Sponsored by nonprofit, government and industry sponsors. Funders
had no role in analyses, or design or conduct of the study or writing manuscripts
Maps
our office
Procedures
◎ Initial questionnaire
◎ Fasting morning midstream urine sample collection
◎ 24-hour urinary sodium and potassium excretion
estimated using Kawasaki formula
◎ Considered surrogate for intake
Kawasaki T, Itoh K, Uezono K, Sasaki H. A simple method for estimating 24 h urinary sodium and potassium excretion from
second morning voiding urine specimen in adults. Clin Exp Pharmacol Physiol 1993;20:7-14. [Erratum, Clin Exp Pharmacol
Physiol 1993;20:199.] 25.
Mente A, O’Donnell MJ, Dagenais G, et al. Validation and comparison of three formulae to estimate sodium and potassium
excretion from a single morning fasting urine compared to 24-h measures in 11 countries. J Hypertens 2014;32:1005- 14. 26.
Urine analyses
◎ Frozen at -20C to -70C
◎ Shipped to Clinical Research labs in Canada, India, China and
Turkey
◎ Indirect potentiometry
◎ 0.1% had implausible urine concentrations and excluded
◎ All labs were within analytical range as compared to Central
Laboratory, Hamilton, Canada
Follow up
o Follow up started in 2008, completed by 2013
o Information on events: participants/family
o Verbal autopsies/Review of medical records
Statistical
analysis
Primary outcome measures
◎Death from any cause
◎Death from major cardiovascular events
(stroke, MI, heart failure)
Multivariable logistic regression analysis performed to determine
association between urinary sodium and potassium excretion and
outcome measure using 3 sequential models
Model 1
Adjusted for age,
sex, educational
level, ancestry,
alcohol use,
diabetes mellitus,
BMI, history of
cardiovascular
events, smoking,
LDL:HDL ratio
Model 2
Model 1 + Caloric
intake, fruit/
vegetable intake
Model 3
Model 1 + 2 +
systolic blood
pressure,
hypertension,
antihypertensive
therapy
Exclusion criteria
Cardiovascular disease
Cancer (at baseline or follow-up)
Events in the first 2 year of follow-up
Tested for interactions
of age, hypertension,
sex, ancestry, history
of cardiovascular
disease, diabetes, BMI
and estimated sodium
and potassium
excretion
Potential influence
of unmeasured
confounders on our
estimates of risk
using array-
approach sensitivity
Potential influence of
imbalanced
confounders:
propensity score
matched sensitivity
analyses
4.93 grams
Mean estimated 24-hour sodium excretion
Mean systolic and diastolic blood pressure
higher among those with higher sodium
excretion (p<0.001)
2.12 gramsMean estimated 24-hour potassium excretion
Results
Baseline characteristics
◎Proportion of participants (%)
○ <3.00 g/day : 10.6
○ 3.00–3.99 g/day : 20.7
○ 4.00–5.99 g/day : 45.8
○ 6.00–6.99 g/day : 12.1
○ 7.00 g/day : 10.8
3.3% (3317 subects)
857 MI
872 stroke
261 heart failure
1976 deaths
◉ 650 from cardiovascular causes
Primary composite outcome of death
or major CVE
Urinary sodium excretion >7.00g per day
◎ Increased risk of primary composite outcome
(Odds Ratio: 1.15; 95% CI: 1.02 to 1.30)
◎ Death from any cause
(Odds Ratio: 1.25; 95%CI: 1.07 to 1.48)
◎ Major CVE (OR:1.16; 95%CI: 1.01 to 1.34)
◎ Death from CVE (OR:1.54; 95% CI: 1.21 to 1.95)
◎ Stroke (OR: 1.29; 95%CI: 1.02 to 1.63)
Not significant after adjustment for blood pressure and history of
hypertension except death from any cause
Urinary sodium excretion <3.00g per day
◎ Increased risk of primary composite outcome
(OR:1.27; 95% CI:1.12 to 1.44)
◎ Death from any cause
(OR:1.38; 95% CI:1.15 to 1.66)
◎ Major CVE (OR:1.30; 95% CI:1.13 to 1.50)
◎ Death from CVE (OR:1.77; 95% CI:1.36 to 2.31)
◎ Stroke (OR: 1.37; 95% CI:1.07 to 1.76)
Significant after adjustment for blood pressure or
history of hypertension
Potassium excretion >1.50g per day
◎ Reduction in the risks of death and CVEs
◎ Reduction in the risk of death
◎ No evidence of an interaction between estimated
potassium and sodium excretion with respect to
the primary composite outcome
Maps
our office
Maps
our office
Maps
our office
Association between Estimated Sodium Excretion
and Composite Outcome (All-cause Mortality and
CVD) in Subgroups
Association between Estimated Sodium Excretion
and Composite Outcome (All-cause Mortality and
CVD) in Subgroups
“
An estimated sodium excretion between 3g
and 6g per day was associated with a lower
risk of death and cardiovascular events than
either a higher or lower estimated level of
sodium intake.
“
As compared with an estimated
potassium excretion of less than
1.50 g per day, higher potassium
excretion was associated with a
reduction in the risk of the
composite outcome.
Discussion
Current guidelines recommend maximum
intake of 1.5 to 2.4 g per day (derived from BP
trials that assume a linear relationship)
Na intake = blood pressure
blood pressure = CV events
Discussion
◎ higher risk of CV disease and death only in
individuals with HTN consuming >6g/day
(representing only 10% of the population)
◎ increased risk of CV disease and death in
low sodium intake (compared with
moderate intake) irrespective of HTN status
Discussion
◎ A very small proportion of the worldwide
proportion consumes a low Na diet; Na
intake not related to BP in these people
◎? Lower Na best targeted at those
individuals with HTN who also consume high
Na
◎ Previous studies has shown a J-shaped
association between Na intake and CV disease
or death
◎ Some of theses studies included participants
at high CV risk and were vulnerable to biases
from reverse causation (e.g. people with CV
disease or increased CV risk reduce their Na
intake due illness or recommendations)
Discussion
Discussion
◎ PURE study: vast majority did not have a
history of cardiovascular disease
◎ DM and history of CV disease were more
common in those with low Na excretion, they had
a similar overall mean INTERHEART Modifiable
Risk Score
◎ exclusion criteria did not alter findings
◎ reverse causation still cannot be ruled out, may
account for the increased risk in low Na excretion
group
Discussion
◎ interaction between Na excretion and K
excretion: higher Na strongly associated
with increased BP in people with lower K
excretion
◎ alternative approach to BP management?
Recommend K-high diets to achieve greater
health benefits, including BP reduction, than
aggressive Na reduction alone
◎ Higher K excretion was associated with a lower
CV risk or deaths
◎ A small, cluster-randomized, controlled trial
which showed participants increased K consumption
and reduced high Na consumption reduced CV
mortality
◎ High K - effect on BP or maker of diet high in
fruits and vegetables
◎ Large definitive trials needed
Study limitations
◎ Method of estimating Na and K intake was a
formula-derived estimate of 24-hour urinary
excretion and not actual 24-hour urinary
collection
◎ True probability - sampling approach was
not undertaken – issues with practical
constraints of studying Na excretion in a wide
range of countries and settings
Study limitations
◎ epidemiologic comparison of groups that
consume different levels of Na, does not
provide information on the effect on clinical
outcomes of reducing Na intake
◎ lack of intervention component to assess
the direct effects of altering Na and K intake
on BP and cardiovascular-disease outcomes,
impossible to establish causality
Should we take these results
with a grain of salt?
◎ estimated Na intake between 3-6g per day was
associated with a lower risk of death and
cardiovascular events than either a higher or
lower estimated level of sodium intake
◎ higher K excretion (1.5 g /day) was associated
with a reduction in the risk of the composite
outcome
Thank you

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Journal club: Urinary sodium excretion and cardiovascular risk

  • 1. Urinary Sodium and Potassium Excretion, Mortality and Cardiovascular Events Dr. Rikka Banayat Dr. Joana Thomas Dr. Aasems Jacob
  • 2. Sodium intake - to restrict or not?
  • 3. Global Sodium Intake ◎ Mean global sodium intake is 3.95 grams/day ◎ WHO recommended limit: 2 grams/day ◎ Intake in men ~10% higher ◎ Highest in East Asia, Central Asia, Eastern Europe (mean >4.2 grams/day) ◎ North America, Western Europe, Australia/New Zealand = 3.4 to 3.8 grams/day ◎ Sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America = <3.3 grams/day John Powles Saman Fahimi, et al. Global, regional and national sodium intakes in 1990 and 2010: a systematic analysis of 24 h urinary sodium excretion and dietary surveys worldwide. BMJ Open 2013;3:e003733
  • 4. Global Sodium Intake ◎ European and North American countries - 75% of sodium intake is from manufactured foods ◎ UK and US - Cereals and baked goods were the single largest contributor to dietary sodium intake ◎ Japan and China - salt added at home and soy sauce were the largest sources Brown IJ, Tzoulaki I, Candeias V, Elliott P. Salt intakes around the world: implications for public health. Int J Epidemiol. 2009 Jun;38(3):791-813.
  • 5. How much sodium is in table salt??? ◎Sodium chloride or table salt is approximately 40% sodium ◎ 1 tsp salt (6 grams)= 2300 mg sodium http://sodiumbreakup.heart.org/
  • 6. How much sodium should I eat per day? ◎AHA recommendations:Lower sodium intake (Level I) ○ Consume no more than 2,400 mg/day of sodium (Level IIa) ○ Further reduction of sodium intake to 1,500 mg/day is desirable since it is associated with an even greater reduction in BP (Level IIa) ○ Reduce sodium intake by at least 1,000 mg/day since that will lower BP, even if the desired daily sodium intake is not yet achieved (Level IIa)
  • 7. Sodium intake and Hypertension Effect of longer-term modest salt reduction on blood pressure. He FJ1, Li J, Macgregor GA. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2013 Apr 30;(4):CD004937 ◎ A modest reduction in salt intake for 4 or more weeks causes significant and, from a population viewpoint, important falls in BP in both hypertensive and normotensive individuals, irrespective of sex and ethnic group. ◎ Significant association between the reduction in 24-h urinary sodium and the fall in systolic BP, indicating the greater the reduction in salt intake, the greater the fall in systolic BP. ◎ The current recommendations to reduce salt intake from 9-12 to 5-6 g/d will have a major effect on BP, but are not ideal. A further reduction to 3 g/d will have a greater effect and should become the long term target for population salt intake.
  • 8. Sodium intake and Hypertension Effect of lower sodium intake on health: systematic review and meta-analyses. Aburto NJ, Ziolkovska A, Hooper L, Elliott P, Cappuccio FP. BMJ 2013;346:f1326. ◎ Reduced sodium intake reduces blood pressure and has no adverse effect on blood lipids, catecholamine levels or renal function ◎ There were insufficient randomized controlled trials to assess the effects of reduced sodium intake on mortality and morbidity. ◎The associations in cohort studies between sodium intake and all cause mortality, incident fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular disease, and coronary heart disease were non-significant
  • 9. Sodium Intake and Cardiovascular Disease Compared with usual sodium intake, low- and excessive-sodium diets are associated with increased mortality: a meta-analysis. Graudal N, Jürgens G, Baslund B, Alderman MH. Am J Hypertens. 2014 Sep;27(9):1129-37. ◎ The objective was to investigate the incidence of all-cause mortality (ACM) and cardiovascular disease events (CVDEs) in populations exposed to dietary intakes of low sodium (<115 mmol), usual sodium (low usual sodium: 115-165 mmol; high usual sodium: 166-215 mmol), and high sodium (>215 mmol). ◎ Data from 23 cohort studies and 2 follow-up studies of RCTs (n = 274,683) showed that the risks of ACM and CVDEs were decreased in usual sodium vs. low sodium intake and increased in high sodium vs. usual sodium intake ◎Within the usual sodium intake range, the number of events was stable ◎Both low sodium intakes and high sodium intakes are associated with increased mortality
  • 10. Sodium Intake and Cardiovascular Disease Sodium excretion and risk of developing coronary heart disease. Joosten MM1, Gansevoort RT, Mukamal KJ, Circulation. 2014 Mar 11;129(10):1121-8. ◎In the overall population, there was no association between sodium excretion and risk of CHD. ◎Higher sodium excretion was associated with an increased CHD risk among subjects with increased NT-proBNP concentrations or with hypertension.
  • 11. Sodium Intake and Cardiovascular Disease Fatal and Nonfatal Outcomes, Incidence of Hypertension, and Blood Pressure Changes in Relation to Urinary Sodium Excretion Katarzyna Stolarz-Skrzypek, MD, PhD; Tatiana Kuznetsova, MD, et al. JAMA. 2011;305(17):1777-1785. ◎In this population-based cohort, systolic blood pressure, but not diastolic pressure, changes over time aligned with change in sodium excretion, but this association did not translate into a higher risk of hypertension or CVD complications. ◎Lower sodium excretion was associated with higher CVD mortality.
  • 12. Sodium Consumption and Mortality Global Sodium Consumption and Death from Cardiovascular Causes Dariush Mozaffarian, M.D., Dr.P.H., et al. N Engl J Med 2014 ◎1.65 million deaths from cardiovascular causes that occurred in 2010 were attributed to sodium consumption above a reference level of 2.0 g per day.
  • 13. Sodium, Potassium and Cardiovascular Disease Urinary Sodium and Potassium Excretion and Risk of Cardiovascular Events Martin J. O'Donnell, MB, PhD; Salim Yusuf, et al. JAMA. 2011;306(20):2229-2238. ◎In patients with established CV disease or DM, compared with baseline sodium excretion of 4 to 5.99 g per day, sodium excretion of greater than 7 g per day was associated with an increased risk of all CV events, and a sodium excretion of less than 3 g per day was associated with increased risk of CV mortality and hospitalization for CHF. ◎Higher estimated potassium excretion was associated with a reduced risk of stroke.
  • 14. Potassium and Cardiovascular Disease Effect of increased potassium intake on cardiovascular risk factors and disease: systematic review and meta-analyses. Aburto NJ, Hanson S, Gutierrez H. BMJ. 2013 Apr 3;346 ◎Increased potassium intake reduced systolic blood pressure by 3.49 mm Hg and diastolic blood pressure by 1.96 mm Hg in adults, an effect seen in people with hypertension but not in those without hypertension. ◎Systolic blood pressure was reduced by 7.16 mm Hg when the higher potassium intake was 90-120 mmol/day, without any dose response. ◎Higher potassium intake was associated with a 24% lower risk of stroke (moderate quality evidence). These results suggest that increased potassium intake is potentially beneficial to most people without impaired renal handling of potassium for the prevention and control of elevated blood pressure and stroke. 156,424
  • 16. Study design Participants: 156,424 (101,945) Age: 35 to 70 years 628 Communities in 17, low (4), middle (10) and high income countries (3) Period Jan 2003 to 2013 (first data), continued Coordinated by Population Health Research Institute, Hamilton Health Sciences and McMaster University, Canada. Funding: Sponsored by nonprofit, government and industry sponsors. Funders had no role in analyses, or design or conduct of the study or writing manuscripts
  • 18. Procedures ◎ Initial questionnaire ◎ Fasting morning midstream urine sample collection ◎ 24-hour urinary sodium and potassium excretion estimated using Kawasaki formula ◎ Considered surrogate for intake Kawasaki T, Itoh K, Uezono K, Sasaki H. A simple method for estimating 24 h urinary sodium and potassium excretion from second morning voiding urine specimen in adults. Clin Exp Pharmacol Physiol 1993;20:7-14. [Erratum, Clin Exp Pharmacol Physiol 1993;20:199.] 25. Mente A, O’Donnell MJ, Dagenais G, et al. Validation and comparison of three formulae to estimate sodium and potassium excretion from a single morning fasting urine compared to 24-h measures in 11 countries. J Hypertens 2014;32:1005- 14. 26.
  • 19. Urine analyses ◎ Frozen at -20C to -70C ◎ Shipped to Clinical Research labs in Canada, India, China and Turkey ◎ Indirect potentiometry ◎ 0.1% had implausible urine concentrations and excluded ◎ All labs were within analytical range as compared to Central Laboratory, Hamilton, Canada
  • 20. Follow up o Follow up started in 2008, completed by 2013 o Information on events: participants/family o Verbal autopsies/Review of medical records
  • 21. Statistical analysis Primary outcome measures ◎Death from any cause ◎Death from major cardiovascular events (stroke, MI, heart failure)
  • 22. Multivariable logistic regression analysis performed to determine association between urinary sodium and potassium excretion and outcome measure using 3 sequential models Model 1 Adjusted for age, sex, educational level, ancestry, alcohol use, diabetes mellitus, BMI, history of cardiovascular events, smoking, LDL:HDL ratio Model 2 Model 1 + Caloric intake, fruit/ vegetable intake Model 3 Model 1 + 2 + systolic blood pressure, hypertension, antihypertensive therapy
  • 23. Exclusion criteria Cardiovascular disease Cancer (at baseline or follow-up) Events in the first 2 year of follow-up Tested for interactions of age, hypertension, sex, ancestry, history of cardiovascular disease, diabetes, BMI and estimated sodium and potassium excretion Potential influence of unmeasured confounders on our estimates of risk using array- approach sensitivity Potential influence of imbalanced confounders: propensity score matched sensitivity analyses
  • 24. 4.93 grams Mean estimated 24-hour sodium excretion Mean systolic and diastolic blood pressure higher among those with higher sodium excretion (p<0.001) 2.12 gramsMean estimated 24-hour potassium excretion Results
  • 25. Baseline characteristics ◎Proportion of participants (%) ○ <3.00 g/day : 10.6 ○ 3.00–3.99 g/day : 20.7 ○ 4.00–5.99 g/day : 45.8 ○ 6.00–6.99 g/day : 12.1 ○ 7.00 g/day : 10.8
  • 26. 3.3% (3317 subects) 857 MI 872 stroke 261 heart failure 1976 deaths ◉ 650 from cardiovascular causes Primary composite outcome of death or major CVE
  • 27. Urinary sodium excretion >7.00g per day ◎ Increased risk of primary composite outcome (Odds Ratio: 1.15; 95% CI: 1.02 to 1.30) ◎ Death from any cause (Odds Ratio: 1.25; 95%CI: 1.07 to 1.48) ◎ Major CVE (OR:1.16; 95%CI: 1.01 to 1.34) ◎ Death from CVE (OR:1.54; 95% CI: 1.21 to 1.95) ◎ Stroke (OR: 1.29; 95%CI: 1.02 to 1.63) Not significant after adjustment for blood pressure and history of hypertension except death from any cause
  • 28. Urinary sodium excretion <3.00g per day ◎ Increased risk of primary composite outcome (OR:1.27; 95% CI:1.12 to 1.44) ◎ Death from any cause (OR:1.38; 95% CI:1.15 to 1.66) ◎ Major CVE (OR:1.30; 95% CI:1.13 to 1.50) ◎ Death from CVE (OR:1.77; 95% CI:1.36 to 2.31) ◎ Stroke (OR: 1.37; 95% CI:1.07 to 1.76) Significant after adjustment for blood pressure or history of hypertension
  • 29. Potassium excretion >1.50g per day ◎ Reduction in the risks of death and CVEs ◎ Reduction in the risk of death ◎ No evidence of an interaction between estimated potassium and sodium excretion with respect to the primary composite outcome
  • 33.
  • 34. Association between Estimated Sodium Excretion and Composite Outcome (All-cause Mortality and CVD) in Subgroups
  • 35. Association between Estimated Sodium Excretion and Composite Outcome (All-cause Mortality and CVD) in Subgroups
  • 36.
  • 37. “ An estimated sodium excretion between 3g and 6g per day was associated with a lower risk of death and cardiovascular events than either a higher or lower estimated level of sodium intake.
  • 38. “ As compared with an estimated potassium excretion of less than 1.50 g per day, higher potassium excretion was associated with a reduction in the risk of the composite outcome.
  • 39.
  • 40. Discussion Current guidelines recommend maximum intake of 1.5 to 2.4 g per day (derived from BP trials that assume a linear relationship) Na intake = blood pressure blood pressure = CV events
  • 41.
  • 42. Discussion ◎ higher risk of CV disease and death only in individuals with HTN consuming >6g/day (representing only 10% of the population) ◎ increased risk of CV disease and death in low sodium intake (compared with moderate intake) irrespective of HTN status
  • 43. Discussion ◎ A very small proportion of the worldwide proportion consumes a low Na diet; Na intake not related to BP in these people ◎? Lower Na best targeted at those individuals with HTN who also consume high Na
  • 44. ◎ Previous studies has shown a J-shaped association between Na intake and CV disease or death ◎ Some of theses studies included participants at high CV risk and were vulnerable to biases from reverse causation (e.g. people with CV disease or increased CV risk reduce their Na intake due illness or recommendations) Discussion
  • 45. Discussion ◎ PURE study: vast majority did not have a history of cardiovascular disease ◎ DM and history of CV disease were more common in those with low Na excretion, they had a similar overall mean INTERHEART Modifiable Risk Score ◎ exclusion criteria did not alter findings ◎ reverse causation still cannot be ruled out, may account for the increased risk in low Na excretion group
  • 46. Discussion ◎ interaction between Na excretion and K excretion: higher Na strongly associated with increased BP in people with lower K excretion ◎ alternative approach to BP management? Recommend K-high diets to achieve greater health benefits, including BP reduction, than aggressive Na reduction alone
  • 47. ◎ Higher K excretion was associated with a lower CV risk or deaths ◎ A small, cluster-randomized, controlled trial which showed participants increased K consumption and reduced high Na consumption reduced CV mortality ◎ High K - effect on BP or maker of diet high in fruits and vegetables ◎ Large definitive trials needed
  • 48. Study limitations ◎ Method of estimating Na and K intake was a formula-derived estimate of 24-hour urinary excretion and not actual 24-hour urinary collection ◎ True probability - sampling approach was not undertaken – issues with practical constraints of studying Na excretion in a wide range of countries and settings
  • 49. Study limitations ◎ epidemiologic comparison of groups that consume different levels of Na, does not provide information on the effect on clinical outcomes of reducing Na intake ◎ lack of intervention component to assess the direct effects of altering Na and K intake on BP and cardiovascular-disease outcomes, impossible to establish causality
  • 50. Should we take these results with a grain of salt? ◎ estimated Na intake between 3-6g per day was associated with a lower risk of death and cardiovascular events than either a higher or lower estimated level of sodium intake ◎ higher K excretion (1.5 g /day) was associated with a reduction in the risk of the composite outcome

Editor's Notes

  1. 42% from China (43000), Canada (9832) Argentina (6570). Divided based on economic level, urban/rural. Isolated rural communities feasible for long term follow up
  2. 42% from China (43000), Canada (9832) Argentina (6570). Contacted the authors for data from individual countries
  3. Initial questionnaire for baseline characteristics. Spot not reliable
  4. ancestry (Asian or non-Asian
  5. To avoid reverse causation. Also checked repeat levels in 448 participants to assess random errors in measurement to avoid regression dilution bias.
  6. Baseline characteristics. Rest of the characteristics were evenly distributed in all groups
  7. Roughly Multiply by 2.5 to get sodium intake
  8. Roughly Multiply by 2.5 to get sodium intake
  9. Roughly Multiply by 2.5 to get sodium intake
  10. Restricted cubic spine plots
  11. Further analysis for hypertension: increased risk of Na excretion >6g per day with hypertension
  12. Exclusion of some groups did not materially affect the results of the study
  13. Implicit in these guidelines is the assumption that there is no unsafe lower limit of Na intake. However, Na is known to play a critical role in normal human physiology, and activation of the RAAS occurs when Na intake falls below approximately 3.0 g/day.
  14. Across a broad range of population, the relation between Na intake was positive but non-uniform. The association between intake of sodium and blood pressure was most pronounced in patients with hypertension, elderly people and those who consume large amounts of salt. The risk of elevated BP was modest in those consuming 3-5 g per day and there was no significant association in those who consume <3/day.
  15. A very small proportion of the worldwide population consumes a low-sodium diet and that sodium intake is not related to BP in these people, calling into question the feasibility and usefulness of reducing dietary sodium as a population-based strategy for reducing BP.
  16. Our approach is probably less reliable for estimating K intake, since a lower proportion of consumed potassium, as compared with sodium, is excreted in the urine. Such a method was not deemed feasible, given the many practical constraints of studying sodium excretion in a wide range of countries and settings.
  17. These findings are still begging for a randomized, controlled outcome trial to compare reduced sodium intake with usual diet. In the absence of such a trial, the results argue against reduction of dietary sodium as an isolated public health recommendation