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Energy vulnerability of the urban areas in Gdansk.
First results of the EVALUATE project.
Districts: Wrzeszcz / Przymorze
Jan Frankowski
Dr Sergio Tirado-Herrero
University of Gdansk
University of Manchester
EVALUATE methods – Poland
Desk
research
Statistical
data
analysis
IDI
(N=50)
Survey
(N=600)
Etnograph
y (energy
diarys)
Workshop
with
stakeholders
Gdańsk – 2 case studies (Wrzeszcz &
Przymorze)
Source: own elaboration based on EVALUATE survey; layer: OpenStreetMap, scale: 1:250000.
PAPI
EVALUATE – survey
Spatial
distrubiution
representativenes
s
March 2015
Wrzeszcz (GDA)
• 300 valid cases (households)
• 762 people
• 98 to 100% valid responses across variables
Przymorze (GDB)
• 300 valid cases (households)
• 755 people
• 99 to 100% valid responses across variables
Household characteristic Wrzeszcz Przymorze
Household size (persons per household) 2.4 2.52
Households with children under age 5 8% 12%
Households with children between 5-13
years old
18% 18%
Average age of the respondent (years old) 52 52
Households with pensioners 51% 68%
Socio-demographic composition
Highest level of completed education Wrzeszcz Przymorze
Primary education 9% 2%
Secondary education 63% 57%
Tertiary education 25% 37%
WRZESZCZ
-2500 -2000 -1500 -1000 -500 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000
0-4
5-9
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-69
70-74
75-79
80+
50.189 inhabitants (2013)
42% of inhabitants lives
here more than 20 years
secondary/vocational
education is the most
popular
The most studentified district in
Gdansk (Grabkowska, Frankowski
2015)
male female
PRZYMORZE
44.946 inhabitants (2013)
45% lives here longer than 20 years
in 32% HH – somebody who finished
studies
~50% – retirees/pensioners
-2500 -2000 -1500 -1000 -500 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000
0-4
5-9
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-69
70-74
75-79
80+
male female
Main types of housing stock
PrzymorzeWrzeszcz
Building age and typology
Year of construction Wrzeszcz Przymorze
After 1991 r. 1% 7.7%
1951-1991 46.3% 86.3%
Before 1951 24.3% 0%
I don’t know 28.3% 6%
Primary residence of the households Wrzeszcz Przymorze
Apartment in a building with multiple flats 90% 86%
Individual family home 10% 14%
Who owns your house? Wrzeszcz Przymorze
your household 51% 37,7%
housing co-operative (with owner rights) 16.1% 34%
the municipality or the state 7% 0%
rented from private landlord 7.7% 7.7%
rented from a housing co-operative/association etc. 18% 20.6%
Heating source – Wrzeszcz
6%
1%
9%
14%
69%
electricity
wood
coal
gas
district heating
Source: own elaboration based on EVALUATE survey; layer: OpenStreetMap, scale: 1:40000.
Heating source – PRZYMORZE
Source: own elaboration based on EVALUATE survey; layer: OpenStreetMap, scale: 1:40000.
2%
1%1%
3%
94%
electricity
wood
liquid fuel
gas
district heating
Przymorze
Net monthly monetary income
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
less than 1250
PLN
1251 – 2500 PLN2501 – 3750 PLN3751 – 5000 PLN5001 – 6250 PLN6251 – 7500 PLN higher than
7501
Net monthly monetary income
vs energy spendings
Przymorze
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
less than 1250
PLN
1251 – 2500 PLN2501 – 3750 PLN3751 – 5000 PLN5001 – 6250 PLN6251 – 7500 PLN higher than
7501
10 – 20% 20 – 30% 30 – 40% 40 – 50% more than 50%
Net monthly monetary income
Wrzeszcz
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Mniej niż 1250
PLN
1251 – 2500 PLN2501 – 3750 PLN3751 – 5000 PLN 5001 – 6250
PLN
6251 – 7500 PLN Więcej niż 7501
PLN
Net monthly monetary income
vs energy spendings
Wrzeszcz
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Mniej niż 1250
PLN
1251 – 2500 PLN2501 – 3750 PLN3751 – 5000 PLN5001 – 6250 PLN6251 – 7500 PLN Więcej niż 7501
PLN
less than 10% 10 – 20% 20 – 30% 30 – 40% 40 – 50% more than 50%
Evidence thatWrzeszcz is
more energy-poor district
Expenditure vs. consensual
(Number of cases)
Wrzeszcz Przymorze
YES NO YES NO
Energy costs < 20% income 166 15 182 2
Energy costs > 20% income 101 17 106 7
Ability to keep home adequately warm
Ability to pay energy bills on time in the last 12 months
(Number of cases)
Wrzeszcz Przymorze
YES NO YES NO
Energy costs < 20% income 175 6 182 2
Energy costs > 20% income 111 7 108 5
Disaggregated results (1)
Household types Wrzeszcz Przymorze Wrzeszcz Przymorze
Households with little children 17.4% 0% 21.7% 39%
Households with children (age:5-13) 15.9% 2.6% 50% 32.5%
Households with students 8.8% 2.7% 30% 33.3%
Households with pensioners 13.9% 4.5% 32.4% 45.5%
Monthly net monetary income Wrzeszcz Przymorze Wrzeszcz Przymorze
Less than 1250 PLN 44.4% 22.2% 44.4% 77.8%
1250 PLN – 3750 PLN 11% 2.2% 41.9% 42.9%
Higher than3750 PLN 8.7% 2.1% 40.6% 22.3%
Highest level of education Wrzeszcz Przymorze Wrzeszcz Przymorze
Primary and secondary 11% 3.4% 32.6% 39.7%
Tertiary 9.4% 2.8% 29.7% 32.4%
Inability to keep home
warm
Energy costs >20%
income
Year of construction Wrzeszcz Przymorze Wrzeszcz Przymorze
After 1991 0% 4.5% 0% 43.4%
1971-1990 8.7% 5.1% 66.0% 42.2%
1951-1970 5.5% 2.4% 47.2% 35.7%
1931-1950 8.8% -- 35.6% --
1901-1930 18% -- 13.6% --
Before 1900 0% -- 16.7% --
Who owns your house? Wrzeszcz Przymorze Wrzeszcz Przymorze
Your household 6.6% 3.5% 51.3% 47.8%
Housing cooperative 12.5% 3.9% 50% 39.2%
The municipality or the state 33.3% -- 23.8% --
Rented 12% 0% 13.3% 19.4%
Disaggregated results (2)
Inability to keep warm
home
Energy costs >20%
income
Heating method Wrzeszcz Przymorze Wrzeszcz Przymorze
Individual electric heaters 16.7% 0% 41.7% 50%
Individual wood stove 0% 0% 75% 40%
Individual coal /solid fuel stove 34.6% -- 46.2% --
Individual liquid fuel stove -- -- -- --
Individual gas stove 3.8% 0% 30.8% 25%
Electric-powered central heating 22.2% 0% 22.2% 25%
Liquid-powered central heating -- 0% -- 100%
Gas-powered central heating 6.3% 0% 43.8% 50%
District heating 8.2% 3.2% 39.1% 37.2%
Disaggregated results (3)
Inability to keep warm
home
Energy costs >20%
income
Unheated/partially heated rooms
Unheated rooms Partially unheated rooms
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
0 1 2
Wrzeszcz Przymorze
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
0 1 2 3 4
Wrzeszcz Przymorze
Energy poverty is rather not the reason of unheating rooms
Additional energy poverty-related
indicators
% households Wrzeszcz Przymorze
Dwelling not comfortable warm during winter 31.7% 17%
Dwelling not comfortable cool during summer 24.3% 26.3%
Dwelling not heated during the day when it is
cold outside
44% 23.3%
Not paying energy bills on time 4.3% 2.3%
Electricity disconnected due to unpaid bills in
the last 12 months
1.3% 1.7%
Receiving housing/energy benefit 1.3% 1.7%
Receiving other forms of social assistance from
the state/city
14.3% 7.3%
Cutting down any other expenditures
(in order to pay energy biliis)
10.7% 3.0%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
new external
windows
new heating
system
insulation solar panels new
appliances
Przymorze
last 10 years next 5 years not planned
PrzymorzeWrzeszcz
Energy efficiency
higher purchasing
power parity
Households B & C changed external
windows
Willingness to buy is not
forced by high energy
bills (!) – it depends on
the awareness
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
new external
windows
new heating
system
insulation solar panels new
appliances
Wrzeszcz
last 10 years next 5 years not planned
Source: competition for families with many childeren „Save water and energy together” organised by Caritas and financed by WFOŚiGW
Source: competition for families with many childeren „Save water and energy together” organised by Caritas and financed by WFOŚiGW
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Energy companies are treating low-income
consumers fairly
Energy poverty is acknowledged by the
government
Energy poverty is a problem in our country
The state should do more to support households
who cannot pay for energy
strongly disagree disagree distance with it agree strongly agree I don't know
Perceptions and opinions (general)
Perceptions and opinions (1)
The state should do more to support households
who cannot pay for energy
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Zdecydowanie się nie zgadzam Zdecydowanie się zgadzam
Wrzeszcz
Przymorze
Strongly disagree Strongly agree
Perceptions and opinions (2)
Energy poverty is a problem in our country
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Zdecydowanie
się nie zgadzam
Zdecydowanie
się zgadzam
Wrzeszcz
Przymorze
Strongly disagree Strongly agree
Perceptions and opinions (3)
Energy poverty is acknowledged by the government
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Zdecydowanie się nie zgadzam Zdecydowanie się zgadzam
Wrzeszcz
Przymorze
Strongly disagree Strongly agree
Perceptions and opinions (4)
Energy companies are treating consumers fairly
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Zdecydowanie
się nie
zgadzam
Zdecydowanie
się zgadzam
Wrzeszcz
Przymorze
Strongly disagree Strongly agree
Expected results
• Wrzeszcz is more energy vulnerable (people pay more for the energy and use more
different heating sources, housing stock is in bad condition, the inequalities are more
visible);
• Przymorze with smaller dwellings, covered by district heating, with more egalitarian
society and relatively well-situated pensioners is in comfortable situation;
• People who introduce energy-efficient solutions are rather well-situated.
What is interesting
• Hard to say which group is the most endangered of energy poverty (households with
pensioners/children fromWrzeszcz)
• Geography matters – „hot-spots” of energy poverty inside the districts
• To find energy poverty in Gdansk we should pay more attention to municipal dwellings
(old housing stock) deprived of district heating network
• Expenditures on energy are not the highest in „vulnerable” group
• In opinions, government is rather aware of the problem – energy as one of the key
sectors in political discourse;
Further analysis
• Systematic bivariate and multi-variate analysis
Preliminary findings
Thank you
urban-energy.org || kge.ug.edu.pl
@stiradoherrero
@stefanbuzar
@curemanchester
jan.frankowski@ug.edu.pl

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J Frankowski EVALUATE workshop Gdansk

  • 1. Energy vulnerability of the urban areas in Gdansk. First results of the EVALUATE project. Districts: Wrzeszcz / Przymorze Jan Frankowski Dr Sergio Tirado-Herrero University of Gdansk University of Manchester
  • 2. EVALUATE methods – Poland Desk research Statistical data analysis IDI (N=50) Survey (N=600) Etnograph y (energy diarys) Workshop with stakeholders Gdańsk – 2 case studies (Wrzeszcz & Przymorze) Source: own elaboration based on EVALUATE survey; layer: OpenStreetMap, scale: 1:250000.
  • 3. PAPI EVALUATE – survey Spatial distrubiution representativenes s March 2015 Wrzeszcz (GDA) • 300 valid cases (households) • 762 people • 98 to 100% valid responses across variables Przymorze (GDB) • 300 valid cases (households) • 755 people • 99 to 100% valid responses across variables
  • 4. Household characteristic Wrzeszcz Przymorze Household size (persons per household) 2.4 2.52 Households with children under age 5 8% 12% Households with children between 5-13 years old 18% 18% Average age of the respondent (years old) 52 52 Households with pensioners 51% 68% Socio-demographic composition Highest level of completed education Wrzeszcz Przymorze Primary education 9% 2% Secondary education 63% 57% Tertiary education 25% 37%
  • 5. WRZESZCZ -2500 -2000 -1500 -1000 -500 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80+ 50.189 inhabitants (2013) 42% of inhabitants lives here more than 20 years secondary/vocational education is the most popular The most studentified district in Gdansk (Grabkowska, Frankowski 2015) male female
  • 6. PRZYMORZE 44.946 inhabitants (2013) 45% lives here longer than 20 years in 32% HH – somebody who finished studies ~50% – retirees/pensioners -2500 -2000 -1500 -1000 -500 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80+ male female
  • 7. Main types of housing stock PrzymorzeWrzeszcz
  • 8. Building age and typology Year of construction Wrzeszcz Przymorze After 1991 r. 1% 7.7% 1951-1991 46.3% 86.3% Before 1951 24.3% 0% I don’t know 28.3% 6% Primary residence of the households Wrzeszcz Przymorze Apartment in a building with multiple flats 90% 86% Individual family home 10% 14% Who owns your house? Wrzeszcz Przymorze your household 51% 37,7% housing co-operative (with owner rights) 16.1% 34% the municipality or the state 7% 0% rented from private landlord 7.7% 7.7% rented from a housing co-operative/association etc. 18% 20.6%
  • 9. Heating source – Wrzeszcz 6% 1% 9% 14% 69% electricity wood coal gas district heating Source: own elaboration based on EVALUATE survey; layer: OpenStreetMap, scale: 1:40000.
  • 10. Heating source – PRZYMORZE Source: own elaboration based on EVALUATE survey; layer: OpenStreetMap, scale: 1:40000. 2% 1%1% 3% 94% electricity wood liquid fuel gas district heating
  • 11. Przymorze Net monthly monetary income 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% less than 1250 PLN 1251 – 2500 PLN2501 – 3750 PLN3751 – 5000 PLN5001 – 6250 PLN6251 – 7500 PLN higher than 7501
  • 12. Net monthly monetary income vs energy spendings Przymorze 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% less than 1250 PLN 1251 – 2500 PLN2501 – 3750 PLN3751 – 5000 PLN5001 – 6250 PLN6251 – 7500 PLN higher than 7501 10 – 20% 20 – 30% 30 – 40% 40 – 50% more than 50%
  • 13. Net monthly monetary income Wrzeszcz 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Mniej niż 1250 PLN 1251 – 2500 PLN2501 – 3750 PLN3751 – 5000 PLN 5001 – 6250 PLN 6251 – 7500 PLN Więcej niż 7501 PLN
  • 14. Net monthly monetary income vs energy spendings Wrzeszcz 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Mniej niż 1250 PLN 1251 – 2500 PLN2501 – 3750 PLN3751 – 5000 PLN5001 – 6250 PLN6251 – 7500 PLN Więcej niż 7501 PLN less than 10% 10 – 20% 20 – 30% 30 – 40% 40 – 50% more than 50% Evidence thatWrzeszcz is more energy-poor district
  • 15. Expenditure vs. consensual (Number of cases) Wrzeszcz Przymorze YES NO YES NO Energy costs < 20% income 166 15 182 2 Energy costs > 20% income 101 17 106 7 Ability to keep home adequately warm Ability to pay energy bills on time in the last 12 months (Number of cases) Wrzeszcz Przymorze YES NO YES NO Energy costs < 20% income 175 6 182 2 Energy costs > 20% income 111 7 108 5
  • 16. Disaggregated results (1) Household types Wrzeszcz Przymorze Wrzeszcz Przymorze Households with little children 17.4% 0% 21.7% 39% Households with children (age:5-13) 15.9% 2.6% 50% 32.5% Households with students 8.8% 2.7% 30% 33.3% Households with pensioners 13.9% 4.5% 32.4% 45.5% Monthly net monetary income Wrzeszcz Przymorze Wrzeszcz Przymorze Less than 1250 PLN 44.4% 22.2% 44.4% 77.8% 1250 PLN – 3750 PLN 11% 2.2% 41.9% 42.9% Higher than3750 PLN 8.7% 2.1% 40.6% 22.3% Highest level of education Wrzeszcz Przymorze Wrzeszcz Przymorze Primary and secondary 11% 3.4% 32.6% 39.7% Tertiary 9.4% 2.8% 29.7% 32.4% Inability to keep home warm Energy costs >20% income
  • 17. Year of construction Wrzeszcz Przymorze Wrzeszcz Przymorze After 1991 0% 4.5% 0% 43.4% 1971-1990 8.7% 5.1% 66.0% 42.2% 1951-1970 5.5% 2.4% 47.2% 35.7% 1931-1950 8.8% -- 35.6% -- 1901-1930 18% -- 13.6% -- Before 1900 0% -- 16.7% -- Who owns your house? Wrzeszcz Przymorze Wrzeszcz Przymorze Your household 6.6% 3.5% 51.3% 47.8% Housing cooperative 12.5% 3.9% 50% 39.2% The municipality or the state 33.3% -- 23.8% -- Rented 12% 0% 13.3% 19.4% Disaggregated results (2) Inability to keep warm home Energy costs >20% income
  • 18. Heating method Wrzeszcz Przymorze Wrzeszcz Przymorze Individual electric heaters 16.7% 0% 41.7% 50% Individual wood stove 0% 0% 75% 40% Individual coal /solid fuel stove 34.6% -- 46.2% -- Individual liquid fuel stove -- -- -- -- Individual gas stove 3.8% 0% 30.8% 25% Electric-powered central heating 22.2% 0% 22.2% 25% Liquid-powered central heating -- 0% -- 100% Gas-powered central heating 6.3% 0% 43.8% 50% District heating 8.2% 3.2% 39.1% 37.2% Disaggregated results (3) Inability to keep warm home Energy costs >20% income
  • 19. Unheated/partially heated rooms Unheated rooms Partially unheated rooms 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0 1 2 Wrzeszcz Przymorze 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0 1 2 3 4 Wrzeszcz Przymorze Energy poverty is rather not the reason of unheating rooms
  • 20. Additional energy poverty-related indicators % households Wrzeszcz Przymorze Dwelling not comfortable warm during winter 31.7% 17% Dwelling not comfortable cool during summer 24.3% 26.3% Dwelling not heated during the day when it is cold outside 44% 23.3% Not paying energy bills on time 4.3% 2.3% Electricity disconnected due to unpaid bills in the last 12 months 1.3% 1.7% Receiving housing/energy benefit 1.3% 1.7% Receiving other forms of social assistance from the state/city 14.3% 7.3% Cutting down any other expenditures (in order to pay energy biliis) 10.7% 3.0%
  • 21. 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% new external windows new heating system insulation solar panels new appliances Przymorze last 10 years next 5 years not planned PrzymorzeWrzeszcz Energy efficiency higher purchasing power parity Households B & C changed external windows Willingness to buy is not forced by high energy bills (!) – it depends on the awareness 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% new external windows new heating system insulation solar panels new appliances Wrzeszcz last 10 years next 5 years not planned
  • 22. Source: competition for families with many childeren „Save water and energy together” organised by Caritas and financed by WFOŚiGW
  • 23. Source: competition for families with many childeren „Save water and energy together” organised by Caritas and financed by WFOŚiGW
  • 24. 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Energy companies are treating low-income consumers fairly Energy poverty is acknowledged by the government Energy poverty is a problem in our country The state should do more to support households who cannot pay for energy strongly disagree disagree distance with it agree strongly agree I don't know Perceptions and opinions (general)
  • 25. Perceptions and opinions (1) The state should do more to support households who cannot pay for energy 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% Zdecydowanie się nie zgadzam Zdecydowanie się zgadzam Wrzeszcz Przymorze Strongly disagree Strongly agree
  • 26. Perceptions and opinions (2) Energy poverty is a problem in our country 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Zdecydowanie się nie zgadzam Zdecydowanie się zgadzam Wrzeszcz Przymorze Strongly disagree Strongly agree
  • 27. Perceptions and opinions (3) Energy poverty is acknowledged by the government 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Zdecydowanie się nie zgadzam Zdecydowanie się zgadzam Wrzeszcz Przymorze Strongly disagree Strongly agree
  • 28. Perceptions and opinions (4) Energy companies are treating consumers fairly 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Zdecydowanie się nie zgadzam Zdecydowanie się zgadzam Wrzeszcz Przymorze Strongly disagree Strongly agree
  • 29. Expected results • Wrzeszcz is more energy vulnerable (people pay more for the energy and use more different heating sources, housing stock is in bad condition, the inequalities are more visible); • Przymorze with smaller dwellings, covered by district heating, with more egalitarian society and relatively well-situated pensioners is in comfortable situation; • People who introduce energy-efficient solutions are rather well-situated. What is interesting • Hard to say which group is the most endangered of energy poverty (households with pensioners/children fromWrzeszcz) • Geography matters – „hot-spots” of energy poverty inside the districts • To find energy poverty in Gdansk we should pay more attention to municipal dwellings (old housing stock) deprived of district heating network • Expenditures on energy are not the highest in „vulnerable” group • In opinions, government is rather aware of the problem – energy as one of the key sectors in political discourse; Further analysis • Systematic bivariate and multi-variate analysis Preliminary findings
  • 30. Thank you urban-energy.org || kge.ug.edu.pl @stiradoherrero @stefanbuzar @curemanchester jan.frankowski@ug.edu.pl

Editor's Notes

  1. Dużo bardziej rozwarstwiona (nierówna społecznie dzielnica)
  2. Dużo bardziej rozwarstwiona (nierówna społecznie dzielnica)