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IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX
Contacts: Gideon.Skinner@ipsos.com
Michael.Clemence@ipsos.com
020 7347 3000
July 2018
2
Issues Facing Britain – July
Base: 1,027 British adults 18+, 6 – 16 July 2018
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
58%
46%
19%
18%
18%
17%
16%
14%
11%
10%
Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe
NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare
Immigration/immigrants
Crime/Law and Order/ASB
Education/schools
Housing
Economy
Poverty/Inequality
Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism
Pollution/environment
+12
-2
-5
%
Change since June:
Position
Top mentions %
-2
-3
-1
-1
+2
-1
-1
+2
-1
+1
3
Issues Facing Britain – July
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
58%
46%
19%
18%
18%
17%
16%
14%
11%
10%
45%
12%
6%
4%
1%
4%
3%
4%
1%
1%
Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe
NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare
Immigration/immigrants
Crime/Law and Order/ASB
Education/schools
Housing
Economy
Poverty/Inequality
Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism
Pollution/environment
Top mentions %
MOST/OTHER
IMPORTANT ISSUES
MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE
Base: 1,027 British adults 18+, 6 – 16 July 2018
4
Issues Facing Britain:
Long Term Trends
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
May
1997
May
1998
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
May
2016
May
2017
May
2018
NHS UNEMPLOYMENT CRIME/LAW & ORDER ECONOMY IMMIGRATION EU/BREXIT
5
Issues Facing Britain:
Ten Year Trends
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Jul
2008
Jul
2009
Jul
2010
Jul
2011
Jul
2012
Jul
2013
Jul
2014
Jul
2015
Jul
2016
Jul
2017
Jul
2018
NHS EU/BREXIT IMMIGRATION ECONOMY HOUSING UNEMPLOYMENT
6
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
May-10 Feb-11 Nov-11 Aug-12 May-13 Feb-14 Nov-14 Aug-15 May-16 Feb-17 Nov-17
Issues Facing Britain:
Single Biggest Issue 2010 - 2018
What do you see as the most important issue facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
NHS EU/BREXIT IMMIGRATION ECONOMY DEFENCE/TERRORISM UNEMPLOYMENT
7
Cameron becomes PM GE 2017Vote for Brexit;
May becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
NHS / Hospitals / Healthcare
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
May
1997
May
1998
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
May
2016
May
2017
May
2018
Report says waiting lists have
doubled under Labour
Lowest score since
December 1985 (12%)
Highest score since April 2002
(61%)
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
8
GE 2017Vote for Brexit;
May becomes PM
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Common Market / Europe / EU / Brexit
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
May
1997
May
1998
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
May
2016
May
2017
May
2018
Treaty of Accession: ten
new EU Member States
France and Holland reject
ratification of EU constitution
Lowest score
recorded (1%)
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
58%:
Highest score recorded (since 1974)
9
GE 2017Vote for Brexit;
May becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Immigration / Immigrants
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
NB Until Sept 2014 the code was race relations/immigration/immigrants
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Cameron becomes PM
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
May
1997
May
1998
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
May
2016
May
2017
May
2018
Border controls relaxed for “A8”
EU Countries (Poland, etc.)
EU Border controls relaxed
for Romanians and
Bulgarians
Highest concern
ever recorded (56%)
10
GE 2017Vote for Brexit;
May becomes PM
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Economy / Economic situation
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
May
1997
May
1998
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
May
2016
May
2017
May
2018
Global recession and
Russian Financial crisis
Highest score since 1992; Most
important issue for the first time
Sub-prime mortgage
crisis in the US
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
Northern Rock
nationalised
Lowest score since
December 2007 (16%)
11
GE 2017Vote for Brexit;
May becomes PM
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Unemployment / Factory closure / Lack of industry
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
10
20
30
40
50
May
1997
May
1998
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
May
2016
May
2017
May
2018
Unemployment falls below 1
million for first time in 25 years
Minimum wage
introduced
Unemployment in
Britain rises to 5.5%
Lowest ever score
(5%)
Youth unemployment
reaches 1 million
Lowest score since
August 2008 (9%)
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
12
GE 2017Vote for Brexit;
May becomes PM
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Education / Schools
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
10
20
30
40
50
May
1997
May
1998
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
May
2016
May
2017
May
2018
Introduction of university tuition fees;
Education the most important issue
First City Academies
introduced
Lowest score since
Dec 1985 (9%)
Labour’s second term - pledge to
improve failing secondary schools
Highest score since
September 2006 (27%)
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
13
GE 2017
Vote for Brexit;
May becomes PMCameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Crime / Law & Order / Violence / Vandalism / ASB
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
May
1997
May
1998
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
May
2016
May
2017
May
2018
May day riots Riots across
England
Lowest score since
March 1991 (8%)
Highest score since
November 2011 (23%)
14
GE 2017Vote for Brexit;
May becomes PM
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Defence / Foreign Affairs / International terrorism
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
May
1997
May
1998
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
May
2016
May
2017
May
2018
9/11
“7/7” London
Bombing
Invasion of Iraq
UK withdraws
from Iraq
War in
Kosovo
Parliamentary vote
against action in Syria
NATO bombing
in Libya
Rise
of IS
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
Paris attacks and
Parliamentary vote for
action against IS in Syria
London
Bridge
attack
15
GE 2017Vote for Brexit;
May becomes PM
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Poverty/inequality
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
5
10
15
20
25
May
1998
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
May
2016
May
2017
May
2018
Sept 1999:
Alastair Darling – “one child
in three” living in poverty
December 2016:
highest recorded score (20%)
January 2005:
Make Poverty History campaign
launched on New Year’s Day
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
16
GE 2017Vote for Brexit;
May becomes PM
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Inflation/Prices
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
May
1997
May
1998
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
May
2016
May
2017
May
2018
Lowest score since Sep 2007 (4%)
Inflation rate hits 16 year peak
Inflation rises to 3.4%
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
17
GE 2017Vote for Brexit;
May becomes PM
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Housing
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
May
1997
May
1998
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
May
2016
May
2017
May
2018
Highest score since
October 1974 (22%)
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
18
GE 2017Vote for Brexit;
May becomes PM
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Pensions/Social Security/Benefits
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
May
1997
May
1998
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
May
2016
May
2017
May
2018
Equitable Life sells its
non-profit pension
annuities
Labour proposes ‘affluence testing’ to
exclude the well-off from state benefits
Gordon Brown unveils
pension credits
Pensions commission report – “more
than 12 million working people are not
saving enough for their retirement”
Lowest ever
score (3%)
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
19
GE 2017Vote for Brexit;
May becomes PMCameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Pollution / Environment
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
5
10
15
20
25
May
1997
May
1998
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
May
2016
May
2017
May
2018
Widespread flooding
during wet autumn
Nine killed in gales
across Britain
Winter
flooding and
storms
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
20
GE 2017Vote for Brexit;
May becomes PM
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Low pay/minimum wage/fair wages
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
5
10
15
20
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
May
2016
May
2017
May
2018
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
Highest recorded
score (15%)
21
Issues Facing Britain:
Party support
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
73%
52%
23%
21%
23%
10%
17%
6%
23%
12%
60%
54%
17%
16%
20%
24%
18%
21%
7%
13%
Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe
NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare
Immigration/immigrants
Crime/Law and Order/ASB
Education/schools
Housing
Economy
Poverty/Inequality
Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism
Pollution/environment
Top mentions %
Base: 1,027 British adults 18+, 6 – 16 July 2018
CONSERVATIVE
SUPPORTERS
LABOUR SUPPORTERS
22
Issues Facing Britain:
Men and women
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
62%
45%
21%
18%
14%
16%
19%
14%
11%
10%
55%
47%
18%
19%
21%
17%
13%
14%
12%
11%
Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe
NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare
Immigration/immigrants
Crime/Law and Order/ASB
Education/schools
Housing
Economy
Poverty/Inequality
Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism
Pollution/environment
Top mentions %
Base: 1,027 British adults 18+, 6 – 16 July 2018
MEN
WOMEN
23
Issues Facing Britain:
Social grade
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
67%
48%
17%
17%
22%
16%
18%
18%
15%
13%
47%
44%
22%
19%
12%
18%
14%
10%
7%
7%
Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe
NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare
Immigration/immigrants
Crime/Law and Order/ASB
Education/schools
Housing
Economy
Poverty/Inequality
Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism
Pollution/environment
Top mentions %
Base: 1,027 British adults 18+, 6 – 16 July 2018
ABC1
C2DE
24
Issues Facing Britain:
Age group
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
51%
42%
16%
14%
18%
20%
16%
15%
9%
11%
58%
45%
20%
22%
22%
20%
22%
14%
8%
9%
66%
50%
22%
18%
14%
11%
11%
13%
16%
11%
Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe
NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare
Immigration/immigrants
Crime/Law and Order/ASB
Education/schools
Housing
Economy
Poverty/Inequality
Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism
Pollution/environment
Top mentions %
Base: 1,027 British adults 18+, 6 – 16 July 2018
18-34
35-54
55+
25
Issues Facing Britain:
Age and social grade
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Top three issues by age and social grade
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
78%
51%
21%
EU/Brexit
NHS
Education
67%
49%
24%
EU/Brexit
NHS
Education
56%
43%
23%
EU/Brexit
NHS
Education
52%
48%
29%
EU/Brexit
NHS
Immigration
45%
41%
24%
EU/Brexit
NHS
Crime
44%
40%
22%
EU/Brexit
NHS
Housing
18-3435-5455+
ABC1 C2DE
Social grade
Agebracket
Base: 1,027 British adults 18+, 6 – 16 July 2018
Education/
Defence
26
Issues Facing Britain:
Concern about Brexit/EU by subgroup
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? EU/Europe/Brexit
Ipsos MORI Issues Index
18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
Concern about the EU/Brexit by age group:
58%
53%
57%
72%
Concern by
region:
58%
62%
55%
73%
60%
74%
61%
53%
42%
Overall
Concern about the EU/Brexit by key demographic groups:
48%
53% 49%
63% 68% 64%52%
Men Women CON LAB
Social GradeGender Party support
Base: 1,027 British adults 18+, 6 – 16 July 2018
AB C1 C2 DE
27
Issues Facing Britain:
Concern about NHS by subgroup
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? NHS
Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Concern about the NHS by age group:
52%
48%
43%
54%
Concern by
region:
46% 45% 47%
52% 54% 54%
42%
47%
41%
Overall
Concern about the NHS by key demographic groups:
31%
Men Women CON LAB AB C1 C2 DE
Social GradeGender Party support
Base: 1,027 British adults 18+, 6 – 16 July 2018
18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
39% 45% 51% 51% 49%40%
IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX
July 2018
For more information contact:
Gideon.Skinner@ipsos.com
Michael.Clemence@ipsos.com

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Ipsos MORI Issues Index: July 2018

  • 1. IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX Contacts: Gideon.Skinner@ipsos.com Michael.Clemence@ipsos.com 020 7347 3000 July 2018
  • 2. 2 Issues Facing Britain – July Base: 1,027 British adults 18+, 6 – 16 July 2018 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 58% 46% 19% 18% 18% 17% 16% 14% 11% 10% Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Immigration/immigrants Crime/Law and Order/ASB Education/schools Housing Economy Poverty/Inequality Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism Pollution/environment +12 -2 -5 % Change since June: Position Top mentions % -2 -3 -1 -1 +2 -1 -1 +2 -1 +1
  • 3. 3 Issues Facing Britain – July What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 58% 46% 19% 18% 18% 17% 16% 14% 11% 10% 45% 12% 6% 4% 1% 4% 3% 4% 1% 1% Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Immigration/immigrants Crime/Law and Order/ASB Education/schools Housing Economy Poverty/Inequality Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism Pollution/environment Top mentions % MOST/OTHER IMPORTANT ISSUES MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE Base: 1,027 British adults 18+, 6 – 16 July 2018
  • 4. 4 Issues Facing Britain: Long Term Trends Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 NHS UNEMPLOYMENT CRIME/LAW & ORDER ECONOMY IMMIGRATION EU/BREXIT
  • 5. 5 Issues Facing Britain: Ten Year Trends Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Jul 2008 Jul 2009 Jul 2010 Jul 2011 Jul 2012 Jul 2013 Jul 2014 Jul 2015 Jul 2016 Jul 2017 Jul 2018 NHS EU/BREXIT IMMIGRATION ECONOMY HOUSING UNEMPLOYMENT
  • 6. 6 Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% May-10 Feb-11 Nov-11 Aug-12 May-13 Feb-14 Nov-14 Aug-15 May-16 Feb-17 Nov-17 Issues Facing Britain: Single Biggest Issue 2010 - 2018 What do you see as the most important issue facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index NHS EU/BREXIT IMMIGRATION ECONOMY DEFENCE/TERRORISM UNEMPLOYMENT
  • 7. 7 Cameron becomes PM GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: NHS / Hospitals / Healthcare What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 Report says waiting lists have doubled under Labour Lowest score since December 1985 (12%) Highest score since April 2002 (61%) Source: Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  • 8. 8 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Common Market / Europe / EU / Brexit What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 Treaty of Accession: ten new EU Member States France and Holland reject ratification of EU constitution Lowest score recorded (1%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home 58%: Highest score recorded (since 1974)
  • 9. 9 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Immigration / Immigrants Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home NB Until Sept 2014 the code was race relations/immigration/immigrants What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index Cameron becomes PM 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 Border controls relaxed for “A8” EU Countries (Poland, etc.) EU Border controls relaxed for Romanians and Bulgarians Highest concern ever recorded (56%)
  • 10. 10 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Economy / Economic situation What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 Global recession and Russian Financial crisis Highest score since 1992; Most important issue for the first time Sub-prime mortgage crisis in the US Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Northern Rock nationalised Lowest score since December 2007 (16%)
  • 11. 11 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Unemployment / Factory closure / Lack of industry What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? 0 10 20 30 40 50 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 Unemployment falls below 1 million for first time in 25 years Minimum wage introduced Unemployment in Britain rises to 5.5% Lowest ever score (5%) Youth unemployment reaches 1 million Lowest score since August 2008 (9%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
  • 12. 12 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Education / Schools What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 Introduction of university tuition fees; Education the most important issue First City Academies introduced Lowest score since Dec 1985 (9%) Labour’s second term - pledge to improve failing secondary schools Highest score since September 2006 (27%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  • 13. 13 GE 2017 Vote for Brexit; May becomes PMCameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Crime / Law & Order / Violence / Vandalism / ASB Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 May day riots Riots across England Lowest score since March 1991 (8%) Highest score since November 2011 (23%)
  • 14. 14 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Defence / Foreign Affairs / International terrorism What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 9/11 “7/7” London Bombing Invasion of Iraq UK withdraws from Iraq War in Kosovo Parliamentary vote against action in Syria NATO bombing in Libya Rise of IS Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Paris attacks and Parliamentary vote for action against IS in Syria London Bridge attack
  • 15. 15 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Poverty/inequality What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 25 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 Sept 1999: Alastair Darling – “one child in three” living in poverty December 2016: highest recorded score (20%) January 2005: Make Poverty History campaign launched on New Year’s Day Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  • 16. 16 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Inflation/Prices What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 Lowest score since Sep 2007 (4%) Inflation rate hits 16 year peak Inflation rises to 3.4% Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  • 17. 17 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Housing What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 Highest score since October 1974 (22%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  • 18. 18 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Pensions/Social Security/Benefits What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 Equitable Life sells its non-profit pension annuities Labour proposes ‘affluence testing’ to exclude the well-off from state benefits Gordon Brown unveils pension credits Pensions commission report – “more than 12 million working people are not saving enough for their retirement” Lowest ever score (3%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  • 19. 19 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PMCameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Pollution / Environment What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 25 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 Widespread flooding during wet autumn Nine killed in gales across Britain Winter flooding and storms Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  • 20. 20 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Low pay/minimum wage/fair wages What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Highest recorded score (15%)
  • 21. 21 Issues Facing Britain: Party support What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 73% 52% 23% 21% 23% 10% 17% 6% 23% 12% 60% 54% 17% 16% 20% 24% 18% 21% 7% 13% Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Immigration/immigrants Crime/Law and Order/ASB Education/schools Housing Economy Poverty/Inequality Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism Pollution/environment Top mentions % Base: 1,027 British adults 18+, 6 – 16 July 2018 CONSERVATIVE SUPPORTERS LABOUR SUPPORTERS
  • 22. 22 Issues Facing Britain: Men and women What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 62% 45% 21% 18% 14% 16% 19% 14% 11% 10% 55% 47% 18% 19% 21% 17% 13% 14% 12% 11% Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Immigration/immigrants Crime/Law and Order/ASB Education/schools Housing Economy Poverty/Inequality Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism Pollution/environment Top mentions % Base: 1,027 British adults 18+, 6 – 16 July 2018 MEN WOMEN
  • 23. 23 Issues Facing Britain: Social grade What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 67% 48% 17% 17% 22% 16% 18% 18% 15% 13% 47% 44% 22% 19% 12% 18% 14% 10% 7% 7% Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Immigration/immigrants Crime/Law and Order/ASB Education/schools Housing Economy Poverty/Inequality Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism Pollution/environment Top mentions % Base: 1,027 British adults 18+, 6 – 16 July 2018 ABC1 C2DE
  • 24. 24 Issues Facing Britain: Age group What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 51% 42% 16% 14% 18% 20% 16% 15% 9% 11% 58% 45% 20% 22% 22% 20% 22% 14% 8% 9% 66% 50% 22% 18% 14% 11% 11% 13% 16% 11% Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Immigration/immigrants Crime/Law and Order/ASB Education/schools Housing Economy Poverty/Inequality Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism Pollution/environment Top mentions % Base: 1,027 British adults 18+, 6 – 16 July 2018 18-34 35-54 55+
  • 25. 25 Issues Facing Britain: Age and social grade What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Top three issues by age and social grade Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 78% 51% 21% EU/Brexit NHS Education 67% 49% 24% EU/Brexit NHS Education 56% 43% 23% EU/Brexit NHS Education 52% 48% 29% EU/Brexit NHS Immigration 45% 41% 24% EU/Brexit NHS Crime 44% 40% 22% EU/Brexit NHS Housing 18-3435-5455+ ABC1 C2DE Social grade Agebracket Base: 1,027 British adults 18+, 6 – 16 July 2018 Education/ Defence
  • 26. 26 Issues Facing Britain: Concern about Brexit/EU by subgroup What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? EU/Europe/Brexit Ipsos MORI Issues Index 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Concern about the EU/Brexit by age group: 58% 53% 57% 72% Concern by region: 58% 62% 55% 73% 60% 74% 61% 53% 42% Overall Concern about the EU/Brexit by key demographic groups: 48% 53% 49% 63% 68% 64%52% Men Women CON LAB Social GradeGender Party support Base: 1,027 British adults 18+, 6 – 16 July 2018 AB C1 C2 DE
  • 27. 27 Issues Facing Britain: Concern about NHS by subgroup What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? NHS Ipsos MORI Issues Index Concern about the NHS by age group: 52% 48% 43% 54% Concern by region: 46% 45% 47% 52% 54% 54% 42% 47% 41% Overall Concern about the NHS by key demographic groups: 31% Men Women CON LAB AB C1 C2 DE Social GradeGender Party support Base: 1,027 British adults 18+, 6 – 16 July 2018 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 39% 45% 51% 51% 49%40%
  • 28. IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX July 2018 For more information contact: Gideon.Skinner@ipsos.com Michael.Clemence@ipsos.com