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Ipsos MORI Issues Index: February 2017

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The February 2017 Ipsos MORI/Economist Issues Index reveals the shifting focus of public opinion; over half of the British public (52%) now see the NHS as one of the biggest issues facing Britain, a further increase since January and the highest level of concern since June 2002. At the same time, concern with the economy has dropped to pre-crash levels, with 19% seeing it as a big issue – the lowest level since February 2008.

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Ipsos MORI Issues Index: February 2017

  1. 1. FEBRUARY 2017 ECONOMIST/IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX Contacts: Gideon.Skinner@ipsos.com Michael.Clemence@ipsos.com 020 7347 3000
  2. 2. 2 Issues Facing Britain - February Base: 980 British adults 18+, 10 – 23 February 2017 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 52% 45% 27% 19% 16% 15% 14% 13% 12% 11% NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe Immigration/immigrants Economy Housing Education/Schools Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism Poverty/Inequality Ageing population/ Social care for elderly Unemployment +3 +4 -3 -4 -1 0 +3 -1 -5 0 % Change since Jan: Position Top mentions % +2 -4 +1 +3
  3. 3. 3 Issues Facing Britain - February What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 52% 45% 27% 19% 16% 15% 14% 13% 12% 11% 18% 29% 11% 6% 3% 1% 3% 4% 3% 2% NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe Immigration/immigrants Economy Housing Education/Schools Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism Poverty/Inequality Ageing population/ Social care for elderly Unemployment Top mentions % MOST/OTHER IMPORTANT ISSUES MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE Base: 980 British adults 18+, 10 – 23 February 2017
  4. 4. 4 Issues Facing Britain: Long Term Trends Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 NHS UNEMPLOYMENT CRIME/LAW & ORDER ECONOMY IMMIGRATION EU/BREXIT
  5. 5. 5 Vote for Brexit; Cameron resigns Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: NHS / Hospitals / Healthcare What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 Report says waiting lists have doubled under Labour Lowest score since December 1985 (12%) Highest score since June 2002 (52%) Source: Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  6. 6. 6 Vote for Brexit; Cameron resignsCameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Common Market / Europe / Euro / EU / Brexit What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 Treaty of Accession: 10 new EU Member States France and Holland reject ratification of EU constitution Lowest score recorded (1%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home 45%: Highest recorded score (since September 1974)
  7. 7. 7 Vote for Brexit; Cameron resigns Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Immigration / Immigrants Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home NB Until Sept 2014 the code was race relations/immigration/immigrants What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 Border controls relaxed for “A8” EU Countries (Poland, etc.) Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index EU Border controls relaxed for Romanians and Bulgarians Highest concern ever recorded (56%)
  8. 8. 8 Vote for Brexit; Cameron resigns Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Economy / Economic situation What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 Global recession and Russian Financial crisis Highest score since 1992; Most important issue for the first time Sub-prime mortgage crisis in the US End of recession announced Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Lowest score since February 2008 (19%) Northern Rock nationalised
  9. 9. 9 Vote for Brexit; Cameron resigns Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Unemployment / Factory closure / Lack of industry What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? 0 10 20 30 40 50 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 Unemployment falls below 1 million for first time in 25 years Minimum wage introduced Unemployment in Britain rises to 5.5% Lowest ever score (5%) Youth unemployment reaches 1 million Lowest score since September 2008 (11%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
  10. 10. 10 Vote for Brexit; Cameron resigns Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Crime / Law & Order / Violence / Vandalism / ASB Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May day riots Riots across England 9/11 Lowest score since March 1991 (8%)
  11. 11. 11 Vote for Brexit; Cameron resigns Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Education / Schools What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 Introduction of means-tested tuition fees. Education most important issue. First City Academies introduced Lowest score since Dec 1985 (9%) Labour’s second term - pledge to improve failing secondary schools April 2011 – Pupil Premium introduced Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  12. 12. 12 Vote for Brexit; Cameron resigns Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Defence / Foreign Affairs / International terrorism What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 9/11 “7/7” London Bombing Invasion of Iraq – protests across Europe Failed terror attacks in London and Glasgow UK withdraws from Iraq War in Kosovo Parliamentary vote against action in Syria NATO bombing in Libya Rise of IS Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Paris attacks and Parliamentary vote for action against IS in Syria
  13. 13. 13 Vote for Brexit; Cameron resigns Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Poverty/inequality What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 25 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 Sept 1999: Alastair Darling – “one child in three” living in poverty December 2016: highest score recorded (20%) January 2005: Make Poverty History campaign launched on New Year’s Day Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  14. 14. 14 Vote for Brexit; Cameron resigns Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Inflation/Prices What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 Lowest score since Sep 2007 (4%) Inflation rate hits 16 year peak Inflation rises to 3.4% Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  15. 15. 15 Vote for Brexit; Cameron resigns Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Housing What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 Highest score since October 1974 (22%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  16. 16. 16 Vote for Brexit; Cameron resigns Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Pensions/Social Security/Benefits What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 Equitable Life sells its non-profit pension annuities Labour proposes ‘affluence testing’ to exclude the well-off from state benefits Gordon Brown unveils pension credits Pensions commission report – “more than 12 million working people are not saving enough for their retirement” Lowest ever score (3%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  17. 17. 17 Vote for Brexit; Cameron resignsCameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Pollution / Environment What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 Wettest Autumn since records began – widespread flooding across the UK EC proposes carbon emission cuts of 20% by 2020 Winter flooding and storms Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  18. 18. 18 Vote for Brexit; Cameron resigns Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Low pay/minimum wage/fair wages What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Highest recorded score (15%)
  19. 19. 19 Top issues – concern by party support Base: 214 Conservative and 221 Labour supporters aged 18+, 10 – 23 February 2017 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 62% 50% 38% 21% 20% 13% 18% 5% 22% 9% 52% 43% 23% 18% 22% 14% 12% 17% 10% 12% NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe Immigration/immigrants Economy Housing Education/Schools Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism Poverty/Inequality Ageing population/ Social care for elderly Unemployment Top mentions % CONSERVATIVE SUPPORTERS LABOUR SUPPORTERS
  20. 20. 20 NHS is the key issue for all age and social grade groups except ABC1 18-34s, where it is Brexit What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Top three issues by age and social grade Source: Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: 980 British adults 18+, 10 – 23 February 2017 59% 55% 31% NHS Eu/Brexit Immigration 61% 61% 28% EU/Brexit NHS Education 46% 43% 25% EU/Brexit NHS Economy 55% 46% 32% NHS Immigration EU/Brexit 47% 35% 30% NHS Immigration EU/Brexit 40% 39% 13% NHS EU/Brexit Immigration 18-3435-5455+ ABC1 C2DE Social grade Agebracket
  21. 21. 21 Concern about EU/Brexit by subgroup Base: 980 British adults 18+, 10 – 23 February 2017 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? EU/Europe/Brexit Ipsos MORI Issues Index 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Concern about the EU/Brexit by age group: 50% 39% 43% 56% Concern by region: 45% 38% 45% 54% 50% 43% 59% 51% 41% 28% Overall Concern about the EU/Brexit by key demographic groups: 42% 44% 41% 54% 50% 41%43% Urban Rural CON LAB AB C1 C2 DE Social GradeLocale Party support Sub- urban
  22. 22. 22 Concern about the NHS by subgroup Base: 980 British adults 18+, 10 – 23 February 2017 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? NHS Ipsos MORI Issues Index 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Concern about the NHS by age group: 44% 52% 53% 61% Concern by region: 52% 42% 54% 60% 62% 52% 61% 51%49%46% Overall Urban Rural CON LAB AB C1 C2 DE Social GradeLocale Party support Concern about the NHS by key demographic groups: 39% 37% 45% 57% 59% 57%54% Sub- urban

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