With 3 games to go what is the semi-final line-up of IPL 2010 likely to be

1. IPL
2010
3
games
to
go

2. SITUATION
• Mumbai
Indians
are
definitely
in
• RCB
has
managed
to
make
things
interesEng
for
their
fans
– By
losing
so
badly
to
MI
that
their
NRR
went
below
CSK
– But
they
are
sEll
through
for
sure
• The
only
quesEon
is
–
will
they
meet
MI
in
the
semis
• KXP
&
RR
are
out
of
the
semis
– But
KXP
can
sEll
play
an
important
role
• DD,
DC,
CSK
&
KKR
are
in
the
race
• 3
games
to
go
– That
means
8
possible
combinaEons
– Assuming
no
match
is
abandoned
• KXP
vs
CSK,
DD
vs
DC,
KKR
vs
MI

3. POINTS
TABLE

4. SCENARIOS
KXP
vs
CSK
KXP
CSK
DD
vs
DC
DD
vs
DC
DD
DC
DD
DC
KKR
vs
MI
KKR
vs
MI
KKR
vs
MI
KKR
vs
MI
KKR
MI
KKR
MI
KKR
MI
KKR
MI

5. SCENARIO
1
:
KXP,
DD
&
KKR
WIN
• MI
&
DD
get
through
outright
• NRR
baVle
between
RCB,
DC
&
KKR
for
last
slot
– DC’s
NRR
is
likely
to
slip
further
so
they
can’t
beat
RCB
– KKR
cannot
beat
RCB
• Even
if
they
score
200
&
get
MI
out
for
100
their
NRR
only
moves
to
-­‐0.053
– RCB
will
move
to
3rd
place
– KKR
can
overtake
DC
provided
they
win
big
or
DC
loses
big
(by
30
runs
or
4
overs
approx)
• Semi-­‐Finals
– MI
vs
DC/KKR
– DD
vs
RCB

6. SCENARIO
2
:
KXP,
DD
&
MI
WIN
• MI,
DD,
RCB
&
DC
get
through
outright
• NRR
baVle
between
RCB
&
DC
for
3rd
&
4th
place
– DC’s
NRR
is
likely
to
slip
further
– So
RCB
will
be
third
• Semi-­‐Finals
– MI
vs
DC
– DD
vs
RCB

7. SCENARIO
3
:
KXP,
DC
&
KKR
WIN
• MI
&
DC
get
through
outright
• NRR
baVle
between
RCB,
DD
&
KKR
for
2
slots
– DD’s
NRR
is
likely
to
slip
further
&
KKR
can’t
overtake
RCB
– So
RCB
goes
through
to
3rd
place
– KKR
can
overtake
DD
if
DD
lose
big
and
KKR
win
big.
Very,
very
unlikely
but
theoreEcally
possible
• Semi-­‐Finals
– MI
vs
DD/KKR
– DC
vs
RCB

8. SCENARIO
4
:
KXP,
DC
&
MI
WIN
• MI,
DC,
RCB
&
DD
get
through
outright
• NRR
baVle
between
RCB
&
DD
for
3rd
&
4th
place
– DD’s
NRR
is
likely
to
slip
further
– So
RCB
will
be
third
• Semi-­‐Finals
– MI
vs
DD
– DC
vs
RCB

9. SCENARIO
5
:
CSK,
DD
&
KKR
WIN
• MI
&
DD
get
through
outright
• NRR
baVle
between
RCB,
DC,
CSK
&
KKR
for
2
slots
– CSK
already
has
the
highest
NRR
• Likely
to
go
up
with
a
win
– DC
currently
has
the
lowest
NRR
• Likely
to
go
down
with
a
defeat
• So
they’ll
end
up
below
RCB
– KKR
can’t
overtake
CSK
or
RCB
– CSK
should
get
to
3rd
and
RCB
to
4th
• Semi-­‐Finals
– MI
vs
RCB
– DD
vs
CSK

10. SCENARIO
6
:
CSK,
DD
&
MI
WIN
• MI
&
DD
get
through
outright
• NRR
baVle
between
RCB,
DC
&
CSK
for
2
slots
– CSK
already
has
the
highest
NRR
• Likely
to
go
up
with
a
win
– DC
currently
has
the
lowest
NRR
• Likely
to
go
down
with
a
defeat
– CSK
should
move
to
3rd
place
with
RCB
taking
4th
place
• Semi-­‐Finals
– MI
vs
RCB
– CSK
vs
DD

11. SCENARIO
7
:
CSK,
DC
&
KKR
WIN
• MI
&
DC
get
through
outright
• NRR
baVle
between
RCB,
DD,
CSK
&
KKR
for
2
slots
– CSK
already
has
the
highest
NRR
• Likely
to
go
up
with
a
win
– DD
is
currently
below
RCB
in
NRR
• Likely
to
go
further
down
with
a
defeat
– KKR
cannot
overtake
CSK
or
RCB
– CSK
should
get
through
to
3rd
with
RCB
in
4th
place
• Semi-­‐Finals
– MI
vs
RCB
– DC
vs
CSK

12. SCENARIO
8
:
CSK,
DC
&
MI
WIN
• MI
&
DC
get
through
outright
• NRR
baVle
between
RCB,
DD
&
CSK
for
2
slotS
– CSK
already
has
the
highest
NRR
• Likely
to
go
up
with
a
win
– DD
currently
has
the
lowest
NRR
• Likely
to
go
down
with
a
defeat
– CSK
should
move
to
3rd
with
RCB
taking
the
last
slot
• Semi-­‐Finals
– MI
vs
RCB
– DC
vs
CSK

13. SCENARIOS
KXP
vs
CSK
KXP
CSK
DD
vs
DC
DD
vs
DC
DD
DC
DD
DC
KKR
vs
MI
KKR
vs
MI
KKR
vs
MI
KKR
vs
MI
KKR
MI
KKR
MI
KKR
MI
KKR
MI

14. OUTLOOK
OF
TEAMS
• MI
–
in
1st
place
whatever
happens
• RCB
–
Will
qualify
regardless
of
results
– If
CSK
beats
KXP,
they
face
MI
in
semis
– If
KXP
beats
CSK,
they
don’t
face
MI
in
semis
– Hence
RCB
would
want
a
KXP
win
in
the
1st
game
– The
other
games
don’t
really
maVer
• DD
–
If
they
beat
DC,
they
get
through
and
don’t
face
MI
in
semis
– If
DD
loses
to
DC,
they
are
out
if
CSK
had
beaten
KXP
• So
DD
would
want
a
KXP
win
in
the
1st
game
– However,
if
KXP
beats
CSK
• DD
only
gets
eliminated
if
they
lose
big
to
DC
and
KKR
thrashes
MI

15. OUTLOOK
OF
TEAMS
• DC
–
If
they
beat
DD,
they
get
through
and
don’t
face
MI
in
semis
– If
DC
loses
to
DD,
they
are
out
if
CSK
had
beaten
KXP
• So
DC
(like
RCB
&
DD),
would
want
a
KXP
win
in
1st
game
– However,
if
KXP
beats
CSK
• DC
only
gets
eliminated
if
they
lose
big
to
DD
or
KKR
thrashes
MI
• CSK
–
If
they
beat
KXP,
they
get
through
and
don’t
face
MI
in
semis
– And
if
they
lose
to
KXP
they
are
out
• KKR
–
If
CSK
bets
KXP
they
are
out
– But
if
KXP
beats
CSK,
they
will
watch
DD
vs
DC
with
great
interest
• What
KKR
would
want
is
a
one-­‐sided
match
with
one
team
thrashing
the
other
• They
would
prefer
DD
thrashing
DC
because
then
a
win
over
MI
should
get
them
through
• If
DC
wins
a
narrow
game,
KKR
is
probably
out
– Of
course,
KKR
would
have
to
beat
MI

16. CHEERING
CHART
KXP
vs
CSK
KXP
CSK
DD
vs
DC
DD
vs
DC
DD
DC
DD
DC
KKR
vs
MI
KKR
vs
MI
KKR
vs
MI
KKR
vs
MI
INCONSEQUENTIAL

17. THAT’S
IT
FOLKS
• NRRs
truly
come
into
play
only
if
KXP
beats
CSK
– And
DD
beats
DC
– Or
DC
thrashes
DD
• If
so,
I’ll
put
up
a
chart
before
the
last
match
– Otherwise,
thanks
for
viewing
– Do
leave
your
comments