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Financial Intelligence
Iyad Mourtada, CMA, CIA, CFE
Knowing what the numbers really mean
1
2
Why	
  do	
  smart	
  managers	
  
make	
  bad	
  1inancial	
  
decisions?
3
Emotional Intelligence
Financial Intelligence
4
Neuron (nerve cell) is an electrically excitable
cell that processes and transmits information by
electrical and chemical signaling.
Obtain
Store
Process
Connect
5
Financial
Numbers
Financial Information
Gross
Margin = 22%
Operating
Margin = 7.5%
Net
Margin = 2.8%
Financial
Knowledge
6
Know
What
Know
nothing
Know
How
Know
Why
The Continuum of Understanding
(Cleveland 1982)
7
ALLOCATION OF MENTAL SPACE
8
Finance is an Art
“I was very creative with my accounting, but not
creative enough.”
9
Financial Numbers
10
A bat and a ball cost $1.10 in
total. The bat costs $1 more than
the ball. How much does the ball
cost?
X + Y = 1.10
X:bat
Y:ball X - Y = 1 Y = 0.05
1 + Y + Y = 1.10
11
A person's inability to make
sense of the numbers.
Do you know how to
deal with numbers?
12
800
400
400
200
200
100
100
Potential
Customers
Customers
100
13
130
$ Millions
131
132
01/2010 03/2010
129
14
100
$ Millions
120
140
01/2009 03/10
80
Look at the big picture
01/10
15
Numbers tell a Story
16
Financial
Information
17
Figuring out how much a company worth
Share Price X # of Shares
Present Value of Future Cash Flow
18
19
Having more information is not always better
20
Turning Financial Information
into Financial Knowledge
21
A company has more cash today when:
A. Accounts receivable increases.
B. Profit increases.
C. Customers pay their bills sooner.
D. Retained earnings increases.
22
Income Statement
- How do you account for any expenses and revenues?
- Who decides how you should account for any expenses and
revenues? The management!
- How do they know? They don’t! They guess. Lots of
accounting decisions are just that – guesses.
23
Profit is an Estimate
24
- Accountants had to make
judgments decisions when they
record financial transaction
- Financial managers need to
make objective decisions based
on these numbers that they get
from accountants
25
- All financial decisions are based on judgment.
- Different methods produce different results.
Accountants should give the most
accurate picture of the company's
performance. (read footnotes)
26
Don’t trust the numbers
27
It is very important that you ask
questions about the numbers to
make sure that they are what
you think they are.
28
- There is always accounting
judgment involved and that can
lead to manipulation
- Manipulation can benefit the
company (It is not illegal)
29
- Accounting change that is
material to the bottom line should
be footnoted but who decide what
is material and what isn’t?
Accountants
- GAAP only provide guidelines
30
Questions:
Who control your organization?
Are the accountants making the right judgment decisions?
31
32
Cooking the Financial Books
Assumptions (What ingredients to include)
Estimates (How much to include)
You may assume that they’re accurate
down to the last dollar. Not true! The
balance in the cash account is exact,
but virtually every other number you
see in a financial report is based on an
estimate.
33
Increase Revenue
(Revenue Recognition)
34
- Sold equipments on four-year leases, including
service and maintenance.
- Booked all the revenues up front.
- Xerox mis-stated four years' worth of profits,
resulting in an overstatement of close to $6bn.
35
Channel Stuffing
Company inflates sales
figures by forcing more
products through a
distribution channel
than the channel is
capable of selling to the
world at large.
36
Reduce Expenses
(Matching Principle)
37
Income Statement
38
- Took a pretax charge -a one-
time write off- of 3.54 billion
against its earnings
- Grow rapidly by buying
other garbage companies.
But didn't know to run them.
- Changed the depreciation
of their 20,000 tracks from
8-10 years to 12-15 years
and did the same for their 1.5
million dumpsters
39
Which is more important?
A. How much you make
B. How much you keep
C. How much you borrow
D. How much you spend
Net Profit
40
41
Balance Sheet
42
By the end of 2003, it was estimated that the company's
total assets had been inflated by around $11 billion
In June 2002, the company admitted it had inflated its
profits by $3.8bn between January 2001 and March 2002.
U n d e r r e p o r t i n g ‘ l i n e
costs’ (interconnection
e x p e n s e s w i t h o t h e r
t e l e c o m m u n i c a t i o n
companies) by capitalizing
these costs on the balance
sheet rather than properly
expensing them.
43
Goodwill
Goodwill =
Price paid - net assets (Assets - Liability)
Goodwill = $6 - (5 - 2) = 3
Goodwill could be amortized over a maximum
of forty years or the estimated useful life of the
acquired business.
44
!"#$%&'()#*(&+,(&*-.+&/*0-"+#$+&#..(+&
45
Brand value accounts for
approximately %30 of the
market capitalization of
the S&P 500
(Millward Brown Optimor, 2007).
46
- Bought 600 companies in 2000 and 2001 (undervalued
the assets and increase the goodwill) = Higher profit
- Tyco suffered more than a $9 billion loss in 2002, which
included the asset impairment write-down by over $3
billion, losses of nearly $2 billion for the two restructuring
charges, and over $1 billion from the two goodwill
impairment charges. In all, the net charges totaled nearly
$7 billion of the loss that year.
47
Enron established partnerships that
enabled them to move some of their
debt into affiliate companies that
should have been independent but
weren't. Ultimately, the partnerships
were doing the borrowing, which
protected Enron's credit ratings.
If you own more than 50% of a
company it must be consolidated on
the parent company balance sheet,
but if you own less than 50%, it
typically stays off the balance sheet
as an unconsolidated affiliate.
48
Cash is King
Warren Buffett
49
Profit = Cash
Profit will be turned into cash
Profit without cash
Cash without profit
Cash Flow Statement:
- Cash In
- Cash Out
50
!""# !""$
%&'()*+,-./0/)12)34'0/)5,+6)780+&9.:;)<=9.-.9.0'
Net income . ........................................................ $ 465,000 $ 272,000
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided
by operating activities
Depreciation and amortization.... ............................. 479,000 300,000
Deferred income taxes.. ........................................ 317,000 69,000
Gain on sale of property and equipment ..................... (28,000) (59,000)
Changes in operating assets and liabilities
Accounts receivable ........................................... (3,000) (64,000)
Inventories ..................................................... (34,000) 129,000
Prepaid expenses .............................................. 11,000 32,000
Accounts payable .............................................. 13,000 22,000
Accrued expenses ............................................. 108,000 (110,000)
Net cash provided by operating activities ............ 1,328,000 591,000
%&'()*+,-./0/)12)34'0/)5,+6)>:-0'9.:;)<=9.-.9.0'
Purchase of property and equipment ...................... ...... (1,010,000) (1,430,000)
Proceeds from disposal of property and equipment ............ 38,000 7,000
Purchase of investments ........................................... (22,000) —
Net cash used for investing activities ................. (994,000) (1,423,000)
%&'()*+,-./0/)12)34'0/)5,+6)?.:&:=.:;)<=9.-.9.0'
Additional long-term debt ......................................... 137,000 863,000
Retirement of long-term debt ... .................................. (322,000) (560,000)
Issuance of common stock ........................................ 68,000 466,000
Purchase of treasury stock ........................................ — (18,000)
Dividends paid ..................................................... (154,000) (133,000)
Net cash provided by (used for)
financing activities .................................... (271,000) 618,000
Increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents .................. 63,000 (214,000)
%&'()&:/)=&'()0@A.-&B0:9'C)10;.::.:;),5)20&+ ................ 314,000 528,000
%&'()&:/)=&'()0@A.-&B0:9'C)0:/),5)20&+ ........................ $ 377,000 $ 314,000
!""# !""$
%&'()*+,-./0/)12)34'0/)5,+6)780+&9.:;)<=9.-.9.0'
Net income . ........................................................ $ 465,000 $ 272,000
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided
by operating activities
Depreciation and amortization.... ............................. 479,000 300,000
Deferred income taxes.. ........................................ 317,000 69,000
Gain on sale of property and equipment ..................... (28,000) (59,000)
Changes in operating assets and liabilities
Accounts receivable ........................................... (3,000) (64,000)
Inventories ..................................................... (34,000) 129,000
Prepaid expenses .............................................. 11,000 32,000
Accounts payable .............................................. 13,000 22,000
Accrued expenses ............................................. 108,000 (110,000)
Net cash provided by operating activities ............ 1,328,000 591,000
%&'()*+,-./0/)12)34'0/)5,+6)>:-0'9.:;)<=9.-.9.0'
Purchase of property and equipment ...................... ...... (1,010,000) (1,430,000)
Proceeds from disposal of property and equipment ............ 38,000 7,000
Purchase of investments ........................................... (22,000) —
Net cash used for investing activities ................. (994,000) (1,423,000)
%&'()*+,-./0/)12)34'0/)5,+6)?.:&:=.:;)<=9.-.9.0'
Additional long-term debt ......................................... 137,000 863,000
Retirement of long-term debt ... .................................. (322,000) (560,000)
Issuance of common stock ........................................ 68,000 466,000
Purchase of treasury stock ........................................ — (18,000)
Dividends paid ..................................................... (154,000) (133,000)
Net cash provided by (used for)
financing activities .................................... (271,000) 618,000
Increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents .................. 63,000 (214,000)
%&'()&:/)=&'()0@A.-&B0:9'C)10;.::.:;),5)20&+ ................ 314,000 528,000
%&'()&:/)=&'()0@A.-&B0:9'C)0:/),5)20&+ ........................ $ 377,000 $ 314,000
Cash Flow
Statement:
51
Jack is looking at Anne, but Anne is
looking at George. Jack is married, but
George is not. Is a married person
looking at an unmarried person?
A. Yes
B. No
C. Cannot be determined
Jack Anne George
Married Unmarried
52
Professionals,	
   who	
   have	
  
knowledge	
   and	
   experience,	
  
may	
   think	
   they	
   can	
   make	
  
decisions	
   without	
   really	
   using	
  
their	
  minds.	
  They	
  don’t	
  expect	
  
new	
  things	
  and	
  they	
  miss	
  them.	
  
They	
   look	
   at	
   the	
   details	
   and	
  
forget	
  the	
  big	
  picture.
53
While you might not have all the
answers, you should know what
questions to ask.
54
Strategic Financial
Decisions
55
www.openthinkingacademy.com
56

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Inteligencia Financiera. Universidad.pdf

  • 1. Financial Intelligence Iyad Mourtada, CMA, CIA, CFE Knowing what the numbers really mean 1
  • 2. 2
  • 3. Why  do  smart  managers   make  bad  1inancial   decisions? 3
  • 5. Neuron (nerve cell) is an electrically excitable cell that processes and transmits information by electrical and chemical signaling. Obtain Store Process Connect 5
  • 6. Financial Numbers Financial Information Gross Margin = 22% Operating Margin = 7.5% Net Margin = 2.8% Financial Knowledge 6
  • 9. Finance is an Art “I was very creative with my accounting, but not creative enough.” 9
  • 11. A bat and a ball cost $1.10 in total. The bat costs $1 more than the ball. How much does the ball cost? X + Y = 1.10 X:bat Y:ball X - Y = 1 Y = 0.05 1 + Y + Y = 1.10 11
  • 12. A person's inability to make sense of the numbers. Do you know how to deal with numbers? 12
  • 15. 100 $ Millions 120 140 01/2009 03/10 80 Look at the big picture 01/10 15
  • 16. Numbers tell a Story 16
  • 18. Figuring out how much a company worth Share Price X # of Shares Present Value of Future Cash Flow 18
  • 19. 19
  • 20. Having more information is not always better 20
  • 21. Turning Financial Information into Financial Knowledge 21
  • 22. A company has more cash today when: A. Accounts receivable increases. B. Profit increases. C. Customers pay their bills sooner. D. Retained earnings increases. 22
  • 23. Income Statement - How do you account for any expenses and revenues? - Who decides how you should account for any expenses and revenues? The management! - How do they know? They don’t! They guess. Lots of accounting decisions are just that – guesses. 23
  • 24. Profit is an Estimate 24
  • 25. - Accountants had to make judgments decisions when they record financial transaction - Financial managers need to make objective decisions based on these numbers that they get from accountants 25
  • 26. - All financial decisions are based on judgment. - Different methods produce different results. Accountants should give the most accurate picture of the company's performance. (read footnotes) 26
  • 27. Don’t trust the numbers 27
  • 28. It is very important that you ask questions about the numbers to make sure that they are what you think they are. 28
  • 29. - There is always accounting judgment involved and that can lead to manipulation - Manipulation can benefit the company (It is not illegal) 29
  • 30. - Accounting change that is material to the bottom line should be footnoted but who decide what is material and what isn’t? Accountants - GAAP only provide guidelines 30
  • 31. Questions: Who control your organization? Are the accountants making the right judgment decisions? 31
  • 32. 32
  • 33. Cooking the Financial Books Assumptions (What ingredients to include) Estimates (How much to include) You may assume that they’re accurate down to the last dollar. Not true! The balance in the cash account is exact, but virtually every other number you see in a financial report is based on an estimate. 33
  • 35. - Sold equipments on four-year leases, including service and maintenance. - Booked all the revenues up front. - Xerox mis-stated four years' worth of profits, resulting in an overstatement of close to $6bn. 35
  • 36. Channel Stuffing Company inflates sales figures by forcing more products through a distribution channel than the channel is capable of selling to the world at large. 36
  • 39. - Took a pretax charge -a one- time write off- of 3.54 billion against its earnings - Grow rapidly by buying other garbage companies. But didn't know to run them. - Changed the depreciation of their 20,000 tracks from 8-10 years to 12-15 years and did the same for their 1.5 million dumpsters 39
  • 40. Which is more important? A. How much you make B. How much you keep C. How much you borrow D. How much you spend Net Profit 40
  • 41. 41
  • 43. By the end of 2003, it was estimated that the company's total assets had been inflated by around $11 billion In June 2002, the company admitted it had inflated its profits by $3.8bn between January 2001 and March 2002. U n d e r r e p o r t i n g ‘ l i n e costs’ (interconnection e x p e n s e s w i t h o t h e r t e l e c o m m u n i c a t i o n companies) by capitalizing these costs on the balance sheet rather than properly expensing them. 43
  • 44. Goodwill Goodwill = Price paid - net assets (Assets - Liability) Goodwill = $6 - (5 - 2) = 3 Goodwill could be amortized over a maximum of forty years or the estimated useful life of the acquired business. 44
  • 46. Brand value accounts for approximately %30 of the market capitalization of the S&P 500 (Millward Brown Optimor, 2007). 46
  • 47. - Bought 600 companies in 2000 and 2001 (undervalued the assets and increase the goodwill) = Higher profit - Tyco suffered more than a $9 billion loss in 2002, which included the asset impairment write-down by over $3 billion, losses of nearly $2 billion for the two restructuring charges, and over $1 billion from the two goodwill impairment charges. In all, the net charges totaled nearly $7 billion of the loss that year. 47
  • 48. Enron established partnerships that enabled them to move some of their debt into affiliate companies that should have been independent but weren't. Ultimately, the partnerships were doing the borrowing, which protected Enron's credit ratings. If you own more than 50% of a company it must be consolidated on the parent company balance sheet, but if you own less than 50%, it typically stays off the balance sheet as an unconsolidated affiliate. 48
  • 49. Cash is King Warren Buffett 49
  • 50. Profit = Cash Profit will be turned into cash Profit without cash Cash without profit Cash Flow Statement: - Cash In - Cash Out 50
  • 51. !""# !""$ %&'()*+,-./0/)12)34'0/)5,+6)780+&9.:;)<=9.-.9.0' Net income . ........................................................ $ 465,000 $ 272,000 Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities Depreciation and amortization.... ............................. 479,000 300,000 Deferred income taxes.. ........................................ 317,000 69,000 Gain on sale of property and equipment ..................... (28,000) (59,000) Changes in operating assets and liabilities Accounts receivable ........................................... (3,000) (64,000) Inventories ..................................................... (34,000) 129,000 Prepaid expenses .............................................. 11,000 32,000 Accounts payable .............................................. 13,000 22,000 Accrued expenses ............................................. 108,000 (110,000) Net cash provided by operating activities ............ 1,328,000 591,000 %&'()*+,-./0/)12)34'0/)5,+6)>:-0'9.:;)<=9.-.9.0' Purchase of property and equipment ...................... ...... (1,010,000) (1,430,000) Proceeds from disposal of property and equipment ............ 38,000 7,000 Purchase of investments ........................................... (22,000) — Net cash used for investing activities ................. (994,000) (1,423,000) %&'()*+,-./0/)12)34'0/)5,+6)?.:&:=.:;)<=9.-.9.0' Additional long-term debt ......................................... 137,000 863,000 Retirement of long-term debt ... .................................. (322,000) (560,000) Issuance of common stock ........................................ 68,000 466,000 Purchase of treasury stock ........................................ — (18,000) Dividends paid ..................................................... (154,000) (133,000) Net cash provided by (used for) financing activities .................................... (271,000) 618,000 Increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents .................. 63,000 (214,000) %&'()&:/)=&'()0@A.-&B0:9'C)10;.::.:;),5)20&+ ................ 314,000 528,000 %&'()&:/)=&'()0@A.-&B0:9'C)0:/),5)20&+ ........................ $ 377,000 $ 314,000 !""# !""$ %&'()*+,-./0/)12)34'0/)5,+6)780+&9.:;)<=9.-.9.0' Net income . ........................................................ $ 465,000 $ 272,000 Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities Depreciation and amortization.... ............................. 479,000 300,000 Deferred income taxes.. ........................................ 317,000 69,000 Gain on sale of property and equipment ..................... (28,000) (59,000) Changes in operating assets and liabilities Accounts receivable ........................................... (3,000) (64,000) Inventories ..................................................... (34,000) 129,000 Prepaid expenses .............................................. 11,000 32,000 Accounts payable .............................................. 13,000 22,000 Accrued expenses ............................................. 108,000 (110,000) Net cash provided by operating activities ............ 1,328,000 591,000 %&'()*+,-./0/)12)34'0/)5,+6)>:-0'9.:;)<=9.-.9.0' Purchase of property and equipment ...................... ...... (1,010,000) (1,430,000) Proceeds from disposal of property and equipment ............ 38,000 7,000 Purchase of investments ........................................... (22,000) — Net cash used for investing activities ................. (994,000) (1,423,000) %&'()*+,-./0/)12)34'0/)5,+6)?.:&:=.:;)<=9.-.9.0' Additional long-term debt ......................................... 137,000 863,000 Retirement of long-term debt ... .................................. (322,000) (560,000) Issuance of common stock ........................................ 68,000 466,000 Purchase of treasury stock ........................................ — (18,000) Dividends paid ..................................................... (154,000) (133,000) Net cash provided by (used for) financing activities .................................... (271,000) 618,000 Increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents .................. 63,000 (214,000) %&'()&:/)=&'()0@A.-&B0:9'C)10;.::.:;),5)20&+ ................ 314,000 528,000 %&'()&:/)=&'()0@A.-&B0:9'C)0:/),5)20&+ ........................ $ 377,000 $ 314,000 Cash Flow Statement: 51
  • 52. Jack is looking at Anne, but Anne is looking at George. Jack is married, but George is not. Is a married person looking at an unmarried person? A. Yes B. No C. Cannot be determined Jack Anne George Married Unmarried 52
  • 53. Professionals,   who   have   knowledge   and   experience,   may   think   they   can   make   decisions   without   really   using   their  minds.  They  don’t  expect   new  things  and  they  miss  them.   They   look   at   the   details   and   forget  the  big  picture. 53
  • 54. While you might not have all the answers, you should know what questions to ask. 54