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E-RM

                E-RM
This deck presents examples from E-RM‟s
portfolio of two innovative and
flexible, hybrid analytical approaches for:
     • Price Sensitivity
     • Customer “Satisfaction”




                                                                                   Slide 1
                              E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential
1. Measuring Price Sensitivity with Optimization



         A well-known methodology grounded in
         marketing literature, easy to understand
                and implement in the field
           …cleverly adapted for simplicity and
                       versatility.




                                                                                          Slide 2
                                     E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential
Price Sensitivity Measurement – Methodology
                           GAUGING PRICE PERCEPTION WITH 4 PRICE RELATED QUESTIONS
 Introduced by Dutch economist Peter H. van Westendorp in the 1970s, this approach is based on the premise
  that a bounded price range exists with a maximum (above which the product is too expensive to consider
  buying) and a minimum (below which consumers will doubt product credibility).
 Methodology: By plotting proportions of respondents against price, four curves are created that correspond to:
  Too Expensive, Too Inexpensive, Expensive and Inexpensive.

    Too Expensive               Too Inexpensive                  Expensive                              Inexpensive
   At what price do you        At what price do you          At what price do you                  At what price do you
   begin to perceive the        begin to perceive the           perceive that the                   perceive the product
      product as so                 product as so             product is beginning                   to be a bargain – a
    expensive that you          inexpensive that you          to get expensive, so                    great buy for the
    would not consider            would feel that the        that it is not out of the                     money?
        buying it?             quality cannot be very           question, but you
                                        good?                  would have to give
                                                                some thought to
                                                                     buying it?

                                 4 Points Of Intersection Between The Curves



            Indifference Price Point (IPP)              Point of Marginal Expensiveness (PME)
            Point Of Marginal Cheapness (PMC)           Optimal Price Point (OPP)

                                                                                                                                Slide 3
                                                                           E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential
Price Sensitivity – Methodology
                                              INTERPRETATION OF THE 4 INTERSECTION POINTS

Intersection between                                                                       Intersection between
„Expensive‟ and „Too                     Indifference Price Point (IPP)                    „Expensive‟ and
Inexpensive‟, where an equal                                                               „Inexpensive‟, where an
number of respondents                                                                      equal number of respondents
believes the product is                                                                    believes the test product is
“Expensive” as that it is “Too       Point Of Marginal Cheapness (PMC)                     “Expensive” as that it is
Inexpensive”.                                                                              “Inexpensive”.



Intersection between „Too                                                                  Intersection between „Too
Expensive‟ and „Too                Point of Marginal Expensiveness (PME)
                                                                                           Expensive‟ and „Inexpensive‟,
Inexpensive‟, where an equal                                                               where an equal number of
number of respondents                                                                      respondents believes the
believes the product is “Too                                                               product is “Too expensive” as
Expensive” as that it is “Too             Optimal Price Point (OPP)                        that it is “Inexpensive”.
Inexpensive”.



 IPP gives the median price paid by consumers already in market or the product price of a market leader.
 PMC and PME bound the range of acceptable prices within which a competitive product should be priced in an
  established market.
 OPP is often taken as the Optimal Price.

                                                                                                                               Slide 4
                                                                          E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential
Price Sensitivity – A Graphic Illustration
                                           Price Sensitivity: Four Crucial Intersection Points

                             100%
                                                                      IPP
          % of Respondents

                             80%

                             60%                        PMC

                             40%                                                               PME

                                                                                    OPP
                             20%

                              0%
                                       1            2       3         4         5              6              7
                                                                                                                   Price
                                    Too Expensive       Too Inexpensive       Expensive             Inexpensive



     The curves for Too Expensive and Too Inexpensive lie below the Expensive and Inexpensive
      curves, respectively. Generally, more people will find a price to be Expensive/Inexpensive than
      Too Expensive/Too Inexpensive.
     As price rises, the percentage of respondents finding the price Expensive or Too Expensive also
      rises, thus these two curves are positively sloped. But, as price rises, the percentage of
      respondents finding the price Inexpensive or Too Inexpensive falls, giving these curves a
      negative slope.

                                                                                                                                         Slide 5
                                                                                    E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential
Price Sensitivity Optimizer – The Adamek Adaptation
                        ADDS PURCHASE INTENT TO YIELD 4 POWERFUL QUESTION PAIRS


 1.   “At what price do you begin to perceive the product as so inexpensive that you would have serious
      doubts about its quality?”
       a.   Now, please rate on a scale of 1 to 10 how willing you would be to purchase the product at
            the above mentioned price (quoted as “too inexpensive”), where 1 means „not likely at all‟
            and 10 means „most likely‟.

 2.   “At what price do you perceive the product to be a bargain – a great buy for the money?”
       a.   Rate on a scale of 1 to 10 how willing you would be to purchase the product at that price
            (quoted as “inexpensive”) ,where 1 means „not likely at all‟ and 10 means „most likely‟.

 3.   “At what price do you perceive that the product is beginning to get expensive, so that it is not out of the
      question, but you would have to give some thought to buying it?”
       a.   Rate on a scale of 1 to 10 how willing you would be to purchase the product at that price
            (quoted as “expensive”), where 1 means „not likely at all‟ and 10 means „most likely‟.

 4.   “At what price do you begin to perceive the product as so expensive that you would not consider buying
      it?”
       a.   Rate on a scale of 1 to 10 for how willing you would be to purchase the product at that
            price (quoted as “too expensive”), where 1 means „not likely at all‟ , 10 means „most likely‟.




                                                                                                                                 Slide 6
                                                                            E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential
Price Sensitivity Curve – Maximizes Purchase Intent
                          Price vs. Willingness to Purchase: Optimal Price Point


                                                               Optimal Price
                                                                   Point
                                  Inexpensive



                        Too Inexpensive
                                                              Expensive



                                                                           Too Expensive




                                          Acceptable Price Range




    Plot means for Price and Willingness to Purchase for four price points respondents perceive as
     “Too Inexpensive”, “Inexpensive”, “Expensive” and “Too Expensive”.

    As price increases from “Too Inexpensive” to “Inexpensive”, willingness to purchase rises. As
     price increases further, willingness to purchase reaches its peak – the Optimal Price Point. With
     continued price increases, willingness to purchase decreases.


                                                                                                                               Slide 7
                                                                          E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential
Maturity of Markets – Different Price Sensitivities
                                                     SHAPE OF CURVE TELLS A STORY


    A steep curve with a narrow peak indicates a market of consumers who are
     familiar with the product category and well informed about prevailing prices.
     Price tolerances are mature, small and well defined.




    Alternatively, a low, flat shape suggests a less informed marketplace with little
     knowledge about the product being tested. Perhaps a new product category in
     which consumers are less familiar and experienced.




                                                                                                                 Slide 8
                                                            E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential
2. Measuring and Modeling Customer “Satisfaction”



      A methodology grounded in traditional, well
      established modeling tools, but innovative
       in isolating separate, underlying “drivers”
          of happy customers and “drivers” of
                   unhappy customers.




                                                                                          Slide 9
                                     E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential
Separate Drivers of “Satisfaction” vs. “Dissatisfaction”

  The traditional customer satisfaction model uncovers 2-way “drivers”
  of “Satisfaction” and Dissatisfaction (Up and Down):
        Usual Model: Works Both Ways (Up and Down the scale)

  E-RM‟s Split Model uncovers 1-way “drivers” (Up or Down) that may
  exist beyond - or beneath - the usual full scale 2-way drivers (above).
        Works One-Way -- Satisfaction (Up) Only
        Works One Way -- Dissatisfaction (Down) Only

  Result: We learn HOW attributes “drive” overall ratings Up and/or Down.

  Ultimate Test of Value: Do we gain new information?




                                                                                                    Slide 10
                                                 E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential
Drivers of “Satisfaction” & Drivers of “Dissatisfaction”

                                   Predictor t values,
                                   coefficients, etc.
Split Model Concept: How
 attributes can “drive” overall
 ratings Up and/or Down

Finds 1-way “drivers” within the
 usual model‟s full range 2-way
 drivers:
  Both Ways (Up & Down)
  1 Way: Satisfaction Only
  1 Way: Dissatisfaction Only


 News value: Attributes can
   behave differently!


    EXAMPLE ONLY: BASED
    ON HYPOTHETICAL DATA
                                                                                                            Slide 11
                                                         E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential
Comparisons Enabled by Two-Way Drivers Analysis


New Insights: Two Potent One-Dimensional Issues Revealed
   Attributes H and I emerge as pure uni-directional “drivers”

      Impacts Overall          Pure Uni-Directional      Pure Uni-Directional
   Customer Satisfaction            Impact on                 Impact on
    AND Dissatisfaction        “Satisfaction” Alone     “Dissatisfaction” Alone

         Attribute: E               Attribute: E                      Attribute: I

         Attribute: F              Attribute: H                       Attribute: F

         Attribute: G               Attribute: F


  Theoretical results are indicated above. Actual results are situation dependent.
                                                                                                         Slide 12
                                                      E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential
Applications for Split Model of Customer “Satisfaction”

  Use it to identify factors that can activate “Passives” (per
   Goodman and Gonier, Quirk‟s - Oct. 2011) to high levels of
   satisfaction, and avoid contrary factors that present risks of
   “Passives” dropping down your “satisfaction” scale.

  Use it to describe attributes based on the nature of their
   contribution to the criterion variable, i.e., as potent in both
   the Up and Down directions of that overall measure, or in
   only one of them at a time.

  In employee surveys, use it to efficiently operationalize
   Herzberg‟s Motivation-Hygiene Theory.




                                                                                                 Slide 13
                                              E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential
Both Models Require Careful Handling


 Price Value Sensitivity
  Measurement must consider           If you know your
   possible brand effects, the         customers‟ price/value
   suitability of the basic or
   adapted model, use of a             considerations and what
   bounded price range and             “drives” their feelings of
   question sequencing.                happiness and
                                       unhappiness with you…
 “Satisfaction” Modeling
  Test applications will indicate     …what more do you
   whether fuller implementation       need to know?
   with better attributes and a more
   potent overall rating (i.e., not:
   “satisfaction”) is well advised.



                                                                                               Slide 14
                                            E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential
Call for a Consultation




        Bart Zehren, E-RM
        +1 847.864.7159
        bz@your-research-resource.com
        http://your-research-resource.com
        http://www.linkedin.com/in/bartzehrenerm
        Evanston, IL - USA




                                                                                       Slide 15
                                    E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential

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Innovations In Price & Satisfaction Research E Rm

  • 1. E-RM E-RM This deck presents examples from E-RM‟s portfolio of two innovative and flexible, hybrid analytical approaches for: • Price Sensitivity • Customer “Satisfaction” Slide 1 E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential
  • 2. 1. Measuring Price Sensitivity with Optimization A well-known methodology grounded in marketing literature, easy to understand and implement in the field …cleverly adapted for simplicity and versatility. Slide 2 E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential
  • 3. Price Sensitivity Measurement – Methodology GAUGING PRICE PERCEPTION WITH 4 PRICE RELATED QUESTIONS  Introduced by Dutch economist Peter H. van Westendorp in the 1970s, this approach is based on the premise that a bounded price range exists with a maximum (above which the product is too expensive to consider buying) and a minimum (below which consumers will doubt product credibility).  Methodology: By plotting proportions of respondents against price, four curves are created that correspond to: Too Expensive, Too Inexpensive, Expensive and Inexpensive. Too Expensive Too Inexpensive Expensive Inexpensive At what price do you At what price do you At what price do you At what price do you begin to perceive the begin to perceive the perceive that the perceive the product product as so product as so product is beginning to be a bargain – a expensive that you inexpensive that you to get expensive, so great buy for the would not consider would feel that the that it is not out of the money? buying it? quality cannot be very question, but you good? would have to give some thought to buying it? 4 Points Of Intersection Between The Curves  Indifference Price Point (IPP)  Point of Marginal Expensiveness (PME)  Point Of Marginal Cheapness (PMC)  Optimal Price Point (OPP) Slide 3 E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential
  • 4. Price Sensitivity – Methodology INTERPRETATION OF THE 4 INTERSECTION POINTS Intersection between Intersection between „Expensive‟ and „Too Indifference Price Point (IPP) „Expensive‟ and Inexpensive‟, where an equal „Inexpensive‟, where an number of respondents equal number of respondents believes the product is believes the test product is “Expensive” as that it is “Too Point Of Marginal Cheapness (PMC) “Expensive” as that it is Inexpensive”. “Inexpensive”. Intersection between „Too Intersection between „Too Expensive‟ and „Too Point of Marginal Expensiveness (PME) Expensive‟ and „Inexpensive‟, Inexpensive‟, where an equal where an equal number of number of respondents respondents believes the believes the product is “Too product is “Too expensive” as Expensive” as that it is “Too Optimal Price Point (OPP) that it is “Inexpensive”. Inexpensive”.  IPP gives the median price paid by consumers already in market or the product price of a market leader.  PMC and PME bound the range of acceptable prices within which a competitive product should be priced in an established market.  OPP is often taken as the Optimal Price. Slide 4 E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential
  • 5. Price Sensitivity – A Graphic Illustration Price Sensitivity: Four Crucial Intersection Points 100% IPP % of Respondents 80% 60% PMC 40% PME OPP 20% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Price Too Expensive Too Inexpensive Expensive Inexpensive  The curves for Too Expensive and Too Inexpensive lie below the Expensive and Inexpensive curves, respectively. Generally, more people will find a price to be Expensive/Inexpensive than Too Expensive/Too Inexpensive.  As price rises, the percentage of respondents finding the price Expensive or Too Expensive also rises, thus these two curves are positively sloped. But, as price rises, the percentage of respondents finding the price Inexpensive or Too Inexpensive falls, giving these curves a negative slope. Slide 5 E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential
  • 6. Price Sensitivity Optimizer – The Adamek Adaptation ADDS PURCHASE INTENT TO YIELD 4 POWERFUL QUESTION PAIRS 1. “At what price do you begin to perceive the product as so inexpensive that you would have serious doubts about its quality?” a. Now, please rate on a scale of 1 to 10 how willing you would be to purchase the product at the above mentioned price (quoted as “too inexpensive”), where 1 means „not likely at all‟ and 10 means „most likely‟. 2. “At what price do you perceive the product to be a bargain – a great buy for the money?” a. Rate on a scale of 1 to 10 how willing you would be to purchase the product at that price (quoted as “inexpensive”) ,where 1 means „not likely at all‟ and 10 means „most likely‟. 3. “At what price do you perceive that the product is beginning to get expensive, so that it is not out of the question, but you would have to give some thought to buying it?” a. Rate on a scale of 1 to 10 how willing you would be to purchase the product at that price (quoted as “expensive”), where 1 means „not likely at all‟ and 10 means „most likely‟. 4. “At what price do you begin to perceive the product as so expensive that you would not consider buying it?” a. Rate on a scale of 1 to 10 for how willing you would be to purchase the product at that price (quoted as “too expensive”), where 1 means „not likely at all‟ , 10 means „most likely‟. Slide 6 E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential
  • 7. Price Sensitivity Curve – Maximizes Purchase Intent Price vs. Willingness to Purchase: Optimal Price Point Optimal Price Point Inexpensive Too Inexpensive Expensive Too Expensive Acceptable Price Range  Plot means for Price and Willingness to Purchase for four price points respondents perceive as “Too Inexpensive”, “Inexpensive”, “Expensive” and “Too Expensive”.  As price increases from “Too Inexpensive” to “Inexpensive”, willingness to purchase rises. As price increases further, willingness to purchase reaches its peak – the Optimal Price Point. With continued price increases, willingness to purchase decreases. Slide 7 E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential
  • 8. Maturity of Markets – Different Price Sensitivities SHAPE OF CURVE TELLS A STORY  A steep curve with a narrow peak indicates a market of consumers who are familiar with the product category and well informed about prevailing prices. Price tolerances are mature, small and well defined.  Alternatively, a low, flat shape suggests a less informed marketplace with little knowledge about the product being tested. Perhaps a new product category in which consumers are less familiar and experienced. Slide 8 E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential
  • 9. 2. Measuring and Modeling Customer “Satisfaction” A methodology grounded in traditional, well established modeling tools, but innovative in isolating separate, underlying “drivers” of happy customers and “drivers” of unhappy customers. Slide 9 E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential
  • 10. Separate Drivers of “Satisfaction” vs. “Dissatisfaction” The traditional customer satisfaction model uncovers 2-way “drivers” of “Satisfaction” and Dissatisfaction (Up and Down):  Usual Model: Works Both Ways (Up and Down the scale) E-RM‟s Split Model uncovers 1-way “drivers” (Up or Down) that may exist beyond - or beneath - the usual full scale 2-way drivers (above).  Works One-Way -- Satisfaction (Up) Only  Works One Way -- Dissatisfaction (Down) Only Result: We learn HOW attributes “drive” overall ratings Up and/or Down. Ultimate Test of Value: Do we gain new information? Slide 10 E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential
  • 11. Drivers of “Satisfaction” & Drivers of “Dissatisfaction” Predictor t values, coefficients, etc. Split Model Concept: How attributes can “drive” overall ratings Up and/or Down Finds 1-way “drivers” within the usual model‟s full range 2-way drivers:  Both Ways (Up & Down)  1 Way: Satisfaction Only  1 Way: Dissatisfaction Only News value: Attributes can behave differently! EXAMPLE ONLY: BASED ON HYPOTHETICAL DATA Slide 11 E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential
  • 12. Comparisons Enabled by Two-Way Drivers Analysis New Insights: Two Potent One-Dimensional Issues Revealed Attributes H and I emerge as pure uni-directional “drivers” Impacts Overall Pure Uni-Directional Pure Uni-Directional Customer Satisfaction Impact on Impact on AND Dissatisfaction “Satisfaction” Alone “Dissatisfaction” Alone Attribute: E Attribute: E Attribute: I Attribute: F Attribute: H Attribute: F Attribute: G Attribute: F Theoretical results are indicated above. Actual results are situation dependent. Slide 12 E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential
  • 13. Applications for Split Model of Customer “Satisfaction”  Use it to identify factors that can activate “Passives” (per Goodman and Gonier, Quirk‟s - Oct. 2011) to high levels of satisfaction, and avoid contrary factors that present risks of “Passives” dropping down your “satisfaction” scale.  Use it to describe attributes based on the nature of their contribution to the criterion variable, i.e., as potent in both the Up and Down directions of that overall measure, or in only one of them at a time.  In employee surveys, use it to efficiently operationalize Herzberg‟s Motivation-Hygiene Theory. Slide 13 E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential
  • 14. Both Models Require Careful Handling Price Value Sensitivity  Measurement must consider If you know your possible brand effects, the customers‟ price/value suitability of the basic or adapted model, use of a considerations and what bounded price range and “drives” their feelings of question sequencing. happiness and unhappiness with you… “Satisfaction” Modeling  Test applications will indicate …what more do you whether fuller implementation need to know? with better attributes and a more potent overall rating (i.e., not: “satisfaction”) is well advised. Slide 14 E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential
  • 15. Call for a Consultation Bart Zehren, E-RM +1 847.864.7159 bz@your-research-resource.com http://your-research-resource.com http://www.linkedin.com/in/bartzehrenerm Evanston, IL - USA Slide 15 E-RM, 2011. All Rights Reserved - Privileged and Confidential