This document develops an error correction model to forecast seismicity in the Koyna-Warna region of India using cointegration analysis. It finds that Koyna and Warna reservoir water levels are cointegrated with a lag of 2 periods. An error correction model is then developed based on the cointegrating relationship between seismicity counts and reservoir water levels. The ECM adequately forecasts reservoir water levels and seismicity in the region based on their cointegrated relationship.