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UHI – 
What needs to 
happen, when 
Oliver O’Connor 
ooc@sky.com 
www.oliveroconnor.co 
Irish Associa8on of Directors of Nursing and Midwifery 
Kilkenny, 3rd October 2013 
www.oliveroconnor.co 
1 
A way of thinking about it 
•  This presentation will distinguish between 
•  UNIVERSALITY 
•  and 
•  INSURANCE 
•  To help untangle the many complex issues involved 
•  And perhaps give a pointer to likely developments 
www.oliveroconnor.co 
2 
Universal Health means… 
•  A set of health beneJits for EVERYONE 
•  With Equity: no faster access to these beneJits for 
ANYONE 
•  Compulsory funding by ALL 
•  graduated contributions according to means 
•  ALL (essential) areas of healthcare covered 
•  And all providers (hospitals) available to all patients 
www.oliveroconnor.co 
3 
And Insurance implies… 
•  BeneJits speciJied by rules 
•  not just HSE/hospitals funded to do their best   
•  A personal contract‐based entitlement to a service 
•  not limited by resources of a hospital or insurer 
•  radical difference in law and budgeting  
•  A requirement to maintain solvency and reserves 
•  Usually, payor and provider are different organisations 
•  Choice: social insurance (like unemployment beneJit) 
or 
•  Run through commercial insurance companies 
•  With  choice of insurers ✔ 
www.oliveroconnor.co 
4 
To distinguish… 
•  We could have Universal Healthcare (NHS, Sweden, 
Spain) 
•  without 
•  Universal Health Insurance (NL, Germany, France) 
•  but decision made: it will be insurance 
•  it will be multi‐insurers, not just one 
•  Still, helpful to identify which elements of the 
Government plan involve ‘universality’ and which  
‘insurance’ 
www.oliveroconnor.co 
5 
Two essential problems 
•  Primary Care:  
fees prevent 
some people 
getting care 
www.oliveroconnor.co 
6 
Address with  •  Universality: 
medical card/GP 
card expansion 
•  Insure annually? 
•  Hospital care: 
two‐tier 
hospital access 
•  Universality: enforce 
equity, access 
private hospitals 
•  Same insurance for 
all 
•  EfJiciency, cost 
and quality 
•  Universality? 
indirect role 
•  Insurance? small 
role now, but 
should grow 
Other issues…. 
Common issues for both 
•  People:  create new public law entitlements and obligations 
•  You all get the same beneJits 
•  But some people pay more than others, and more than now 
•  Money:  merge two funding streams 
•  Public capitation and private fees 
•  Exchequer funding and private health insurance 
•  Insurers as intermediaries 
•  Customer facing:  administer all beneJits and claims 
•  Innovation:  scope to design new policies, beneJits 
•  Money:  receive funding and pay providers 
www.oliveroconnor.co 
7 
Free GP care – current Jlows 
www.oliveroconnor.co 
8 
€445m Practice Fees and Allowances 
€280m out‐of‐pocket fees? 
2.6m 
Non medical 
Card holders 
Avg visits per year non medical card adults:  2.1 
Avg fee per visit    €51 (2010) 
Numbers:      2.62m 
2,800 
GPs 
Primary care ‐ free GP care 
www.oliveroconnor.co 
9 
•  Cost of extension of GP care:  €40m for under‐5s 
•  GP fee: €70 per year per child capita8on 
•  Avg 3 visits per year per child under 5* 
•  Will GPs agree?  Difficult to implement without agreement 
•  Free GP care for whole popula8on:   
•  €445m paid now to cover c.43% of popula8on 
•  Cost for rest depends on GP payment 
•  Anywhere from €400m up:  more usage 
•  What will 2,800 GPs agree?  Fee, capita8on or salary?  How much? A 
replacement of all private fees?   
•  Health policy balance:  cost as barrier to access vs over‐use of ‘free’ 
service 
•  Hiring of new primary care staff for full service: slow 
*Source:  ESRI, Resource Alloca8on Group Report, 2010, old data back 
to 1987 
Free GP care – future Jlows 
www.oliveroconnor.co 
10 
€725m ‐ €900m? 
4.6m, but 
?n unsubsidised 
+ or ‐ €445m? 
+ or ‐ €280m? 
2,800 
Primary care – insurance issues 
www.oliveroconnor.co 
11 
•  Will free GP care first be paid by Exchequer? 
•  Increase taxa8on, increase public spending 
•  Later insurance policies will incorporate this benefit.  Will this 
then reduce Exchequer spending? 
•  One way or another, a compulsory annual payment by some 
people to eliminate GP fees at point of use 
•  More logical to require people to buy GP insurance now as “free 
GP care”, saving the Exchequer cost 
•  What else will be covered by the insurance policy? 
•  All primary care 
•  No fees (deduc8bles) at the point of use for any service? 
•  Insurers not ready for some years to fund primary care services 
•  Apart from limited cash‐plans => fees, not capita8on, for doctors 
Hospital UHI – all about Equity 
•  Whole population can already use public hospital care 
•  1970 Act Jirst, then extended to all in 1993/4 
•  Universality in place but… 
•  Equity test: 
•  What about faster access to private care in public hospitals? 
•  Access to private care in private hospitals? 
•  Policy op8ons 
•  Implement single appointments system in public hospitals 
•  Underpin with legal obliga8on to give certainty of equity 
•  Allow private hospitals par8cipate in public benefits provision 
•  On condi8on they offer first‐come, first‐serve appointments 
•  Actual policy:  equity will be achieved the same insurance 
contracts for all, using both public and private hospitals 
www.oliveroconnor.co 
12 
Money Flows to hospitals now 
•  Taxation, patient charges and insurance 
48 Public 
€5bn total 
HSE Annual Report 
2012 
€4.1bn + €275m*  
€700m+ (est) 
€100m 
€5.7bn total, excluding consultant fees 
* Pension contributions and other income, HSE Annual Report, 
2012, p.77; May Performance Report Supplement p.52 
€2.1bn 
21 Private 
www.oliveroconnor.co 
13 
Money Flows under UHI 
•  Taxation and insurance premiums 
7 Hospital 
Groups 
21 Private 
€5.7bn excluding 
consultant fees 
+ or ‐
€4.4bn? 
+ or – 
€2.2bn 
www.oliveroconnor.co 
14 
UHI issues for hospital care 
•  Why do you need insurance to address the equity issue? 
•  Would people voluntarily con8nue to buy private health insurance if 
equity of access were built in before insurance is made compulsory? 
•  How to sustain the insurance money flow while merging with 
taxa8on? 
•  Must any merging of the two money flows await a Big Bang? 
•  Even with UHI, do you allow people buy private hospital care outside 
the State system, as in UK? 
•  Will private hospitals fully join the State system or will some stay out? 
www.oliveroconnor.co 
15 
Hospital access ‐ present 
www.oliveroconnor.co 
16 
People with  Benefit  Direct Payment* 
No insurance  Public hospitals only 
Slowest access, least choice 
None 
Low to Mid level 
insurance 
Public hospitals, public and private 
beds; some private hospitals 
Faster access, more choice 
€500‐€1000 per 
adult 
High insurance  All hospitals, public and private 
Fastest access, most choice 
€2,500 ‐ €4,000 
* Excluding statutory 
bed night charges, ED 
charges, applicable to all 
except medical card 
holders 
UHI Hospital care – who wins? 
www.oliveroconnor.co 
17 
People now 
with 
Popula>on  Win  Lose 
No insurance  2.6m 
56% 
Most get faster 
access, free 
Some neutral or 
lose – have to 
pay 
Low to mid‐
level insurance 
1.8m 
39% 
Some may get 
subsidy 
Most lose faster 
access, s8ll pay 
High level 
insurance 
220k 
5%  
est. at most 
None  Some neutral – 
may keep faster 
access 
•  Who will no8ce they win or lose, and when? 
•  Perhaps everyone happy that all have equal access and everyone 
pays according to means 
UHI ‐ Hospital Care ‐ Progress? 
•  Universality/equity:  no change yet 
•  implementation of 2008 consultant contract 
•  Insurance:  VHI authorisation near, risk equalisation needing 
revision, market under price/cost pressure 
•  Governance:  creation of 7 hospital groups:  good, but not 
directly relevant to universality, equity and insurance 
•  Access:  private hospitals still limited to private insurance 
•  Charging all private patients in public hospitals: 
•  aimed at increasing income for public hospitals 
•  payment remains bed night charge, not per procedure 
•  increases incentive for public hospitals for more private patients 
•  Awaiting UHI White Paper at end this year 
www.oliveroconnor.co 
18 
Clarity – on key issues 
•  Decide if key goals on universality and equity must wait for 
payments and beneJits to be routed through insurance 
companies 
•  Recognise that the transition to insurance is most complex: 
 Payments systems and pricing 
 Reserves requirements 
 BeneJits deJinition 
 Supplementary insurance scope 
 Relationships with providers 
 Competition law 
 Risk equalisation 
 Private contracts replacing public law provision 
•  And put in place sufJicient expertise to deal with these 
•  Grasp the nettle early:  budget‐cap and spending control 
www.oliveroconnor.co 
19 
Clarity for providers, insurers 
•  GPs and primary care staff:  payments, contracts, services 
•  Consultants:  salary/fee mix, employee/contractor 
•  Seven public hospital groups and 21 private hospitals 
•  Anticipate future funding sources, sustainability 
•  Pricing, competition, standards, commercial freedoms 
•  Scope for services outside the State beneJits package 
•  Who will survive, doing what? 
•  Insurers:  complex issues only starting to be talked about 
www.oliveroconnor.co 
20 
Clarity for the public 
•  Free GP care:  3 options 
•  Pay by Exchequer – raise taxes, increase public spending 
•  Compulsory private cash‐plan contracts, part subsidised 
•  Modify:  include graduated private fee payments (as per 
Resource Allocation Group Report 2010); rest paid by taxes 
•  UHI in hospitals:  make clear it has beneJits and costs 
•  Who will pay, and how much 
•  Means‐tested contributions:  what are the limits 
•  What choice will there be of doctor, hospital, beneJits 
www.oliveroconnor.co 
21 
What is needed, when 
•  White Paper with serious policy detail, 2013‐14 
•  Including an estimate of cost of UHI and how it is borne 
•  Decisions on free GP care or variations:  2013‐15 
•  Negotiations with GPs: 2013‐14 
•  Huge amount of technical work with insurance experts:  
2013‐20 
•  Stabilisation of insurance market and risk equalisation:  
2014 ‐> 
•  New consultant contract:  2018? 
•  Strategic agreement with public and private hospitals to 
allow planning: 2014‐15 
•  Post‐White Paper implementation plan:  2014‐15 
www.oliveroconnor.co 
22 
Thank you, IADNAM 
•  www.oliveroconnor.co 
•  ooc@sky.com 
www.oliveroconnor.co 
23 

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