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How High Impact Portfolios Can Outperform Wall
Street – and Modern Portfolio Theory
Paul Herman, HIP Investor @HIPInvestor
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 2
VISIBLE -vs- INVISIBLE
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 3
Knowable
But
Ignored
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2013 HIP Investor Inc. 4
FUTURE
RISK
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 6
FUTURE
RISK +
UPSIDECONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 7
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 8
#NewMetrics
How High Impact Portfolios
Can Outperform Wall Street
(& Modern Portfolio Theory)
September 25, 2014
Disclosure and Disclaimers
© 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 10
HIP Investor Ratings LLC is a California limited liability
company, providing 8500 ratings for investors, advisers,
fund managers and retirement plans.
R. Paul Herman and Shilpa Andalkar are registered
representatives of HIP Investor Inc., an investment
adviser registered in the States of California,
Washington, and Illinois, with clients across the USA.
This is not an offer of securities. All investing has risks.
Past results are not indicative of future performance.
HIP Investor = the “Morningstar”
of New Metrics for Investors
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 11
1. Produce RATINGS on
8500 investments + funds:
Research, analyze & score
4500 Corporate equities (80% of global value) & bonds
4000+ muni bonds (half of $3.7 Trillion),
treasuries & agency bonds on
Future Risk & Upside Potential
2. SERVE Investors, Advisors, 401-k plans
& Fund Managers seeking to be more HIP
3. Manage HIP indexes & portfolios
(including FOSSIL-FREE)
Sustainable  Profit
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 12
Today, Investors Drive with
20% Visibility
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 13
80% of Market Value = Intangible
www.AgeOfVolatility.com
© 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 14
83% 68% 32% 20% 20%
17%
32%
68%
80% 80%
15
MIT Sloan Review and BCG:
New Metrics Drive Shareholder Value
A study by Boston Consulting Group and MIT Sloan Management Review discusses how sustainability is
changing the competitive landscape and reshaping the opportunities and threats that companies face.
Category Market Size
(U.S. $Bil)
Sustainability
Segment
Segment
Growth
Food $550 Bil Organic 22%
Electricity 400 Bil Renewable
(excl. Hydro, Wood)
17%
Fuels 1,000 Bil Alternative 20%
Health Care 2,300 Bil CAM* 17%
Building
Products
98 Bil Green 23%
Fiber (Apparel) 0.3 Bil Organic 50%
Automotive 228 Bil Hybrids 38%
High-Impact Products Can Tap
Double-Digit GROWTH Rates
Source: Pegasus Capital
* Complementary & Alternative Medicine
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 16
Investing in “100 Best” to Work For
Can Beat the Market (1998-2010)
Source: Russell Investment Group, via
© Great Places To Work® Institute
1998-2010, ANNUALIZED RETURNS
+11.1%
+6.7%
+ 3.9%
+ 4.3%
© 2006-2013 HIP Investor Inc. 17
Globally, Firms with More Diverse Boards
Have Yielded Higher Return on Equity (ROE)
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 18
Source: Credit Suisse
+33%
more
In 2011-2013,
CDP Leaders in
S&P500 Had
Higher Returns
+ Lower Risk
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 19
Source: CDP (9/24/2014)
S&P-TruCost’s Carbon-Efficient Index of
Firms Has Outperformed since Launching
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 20
Source: Google Finance, Mar 11, 2011 – Sept 24, 2014
Cumulative Net Total Return
Carbon
Efficient
Firms
+61.5%
S&P 500
+50.8%
Harvard Professors:
Sustainability
Can Benefit
Shareholder Value
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 21
+30%
more
+15%
more
NewMetrics reveal Drivers
of possible Higher Returns:
+ 5% to 33% premium
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 22
NewMetrics reveal Drivers
of possible Higher Returns:
+ 5% to 33% premium
+with Lower Risk
– 10% less volatility
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 23
New Metrics:
Peanut Butter AND Chocolate
HIP
Solve
Human
Needs
Seek
Higher
Profits
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 24
HIP = Higher Impact Portfolios
Sustainable  Profit
High Impact Portfolios
can beat Wall St
(MPT)
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 25
The Best of 1952
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 26
“State of the Art” THEN
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 27
“State of the Art” NOW
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 28
Dr. Harry Markowitz
• 1952: Created
“Modern Portfolio
Theory” (MPT)
• 1990: Awarded Nobel
Prize for MPT
• 2014: MPT is 62 years
old: time to retire MPT?
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 29
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 30
Every Portfolio Has a Risk & Return Profile
Source: Smart401k.com
New Metrics Can Rate
Future Risk + Return Potential…
• Physical Health
• Mental AgilityHealth
• Income Growth
• Asset AccumulationWealth
• Carbon Neutrality
• Reusable ProductsEarth
• Gender Balance
• Ethnic DiversityEquality
• Transparent & Open
• Credible & EthicalTrust
Companies innovate to
answer five human needs:
Companies
Funds
Asset Classes
PORTFOLIO
Which can result in sustainable,
profitable growth for all stakeholders:
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 31
Health
Wealth
Earth
Equality
Trust
…and Connect Directly to
Cash Flow, Profit and Shareholder Value
Products
& Services
Operating
Metrics
Mgmt
Practices
I
M
P
A
C
T
“How HIP Is This Investment?”
HIP = Human Impact + Profit
Strategic
Innovation &
Risk
Mitigation
Higher
Revenue
potential
Lower
Cost
potential
At Most, 1 in 4 Fund Managers Apply
New Metrics to Investing
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 33
Source: Mercer ratings
Using New Metrics in Portfolios:
Forward-Looking Investors + Advisors
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 34
Lara Coviello MA CFA
Managing Partner at Auctus
Wealth Management
Author of feature on investing
Jennifer Anderson, MPH, SCSP
Principal at Resonate,
Strategic Sustainability Management
Sustainable Funds Outperformed
Many Fossil-Fuel Intensive Funds (2009-2013)
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 35
Less RiskMoreReturn
Long-Term, Intelligent Investors
Invest Across All Asset Classes
A Higher Impact Portfolio
Cash
Banks and
credit unions
that focus on
sustainability
e.g. 22 banks
in the GABV
Fixed income
Bonds from
impact-
focused
corporates
and Muni’s
(schools,
hospitals) e.g.
SNW Asset
Mgmt
Income
Generating
Appreciation
Real Estate
Investment
Trusts (REITs)
who
implement
resource
efficiency
Equities
Individual
firms , mutual
funds and ETFs
based in OECD
– rated on
sustainability
International
and
Emerging
Firms, funds
ETFs – in
emerging
growth areas:
Europe, Asia,
Africa,
Americas –
rated by
impact
Venture
Capital and
Private
Equity
Ventures,
angel funds,
VC, private
equity –
seeking impact
results
Alternatives
Commodity
funds that
may include
impact criteria
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 36
Vanguard Total Bond
Market II Idx Inv
2 INDEXES + Vanguard Total
Intl Bd Idx Investor
Vanguard Total Intl
Stock Index Inv
Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx Inv
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
-5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
Funds In the Vanguard 2025 Target-Date
Portfolio Are Stocks & Bonds – US and Global
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 37
* For annualized time period over the past 3 years ending December 31, 2013 (or for data since inception of strategy)
IMPACT: color of bubbles:
Green = higher IMPACT
Yellow = medium IMPACT
Red = lower IMPACT
ALLOCATION: size of bubbles
is percent (%) allocated to fund
RISK: Standard
Deviation of Returns*
RETURNS:
Annualized
Returns*
iShares JPMorgan USD Emerg
Markets Bond
iShares iBoxx $
Invst Grade Crp Bond
Vanguard FTSE Developed
Markets ETF
Vanguard Dividend
Apprec Idx ETF
Vanguard REIT Index ETF
Vanguard Total
Stock Market ETF
Vanguard FTSE
Emerging Markets ETF
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
-5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
Funds in an MPT Portfolio Add Real Estate,
Dividend Stocks & Emerging Markets
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 38
* For annualized time period over the past 3 years ending December 31, 2013 (or for data since inception of strategy)
IMPACT: color of bubbles:
Green = higher IMPACT
Yellow = medium IMPACT
Red = lower IMPACT
ALLOCATION: size of bubbles
is percent (%) allocated to fund
RISK: Standard
Deviation of Returns*
RETURNS:
Annualized
Returns*
WisdomTree Emerging Mkts
SmallCap Div
TIAA-CREF Social Choice
Eq Retail
2 INDEXES + TIAA-CREF Social
Choice Bond Retail
Vanguard Small Cap ETF
Vanguard REIT
Index ETF
Vanguard Global
ex-US Real Estate ETF
Vanguard Mid-Cap ETF
Templeton Frontier
Markets A
Guggenheim S&P
Global Water Index
Pax World High Yield Bond
Individual Inv
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
-5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
The HIP 10 Portfolio Is Globally Diversified
and Focused on Sustainability
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 39
* For annualized time period over the past 3 years ending December 31, 2013 (or for data since inception of strategy)
IMPACT: color of bubbles:
Green = higher IMPACT
Yellow = medium IMPACT
Red = lower IMPACT
ALLOCATION: size of bubbles
is percent (%) allocated to fund
RISK: Standard
Deviation of Returns*
RETURNS:
Annualized
Returns*
Ariel Appreciation Investor
DFA Five-Year Global
Fixed-Income I
iShares JPMorgan USD
Emerg Markets Bond
iShares International
Dev Rel Est
KKR & Co LP
2 INDEXES + Shelton Green Alpha
Pax World High Yield Bond
Individual Inv
Pax World Global
Envrnmntl Mkts Indv Inv
iShares Morningstar Small-Cap
Guggenheim Timber ETF
Pope Resources LP
First Trust
S&P REIT Idx
Parnassus
Fixed-Income
Pax World Small Cap
Individual Inv
Parnassus Workplace
Calvert Global
Alternative Energy A
Calvert Global Water A
iShares
S&P 100
ETFS Physical
Swiss Gold Shares
RidgeWorth US Gov Sec
Ultra-Short Bd I
iShares TIPS Bond
Praxis Intermediate Income A
Guggenheim S&P
Global Water Index
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
-5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
The HIP 24 Portfolio Is Well Diversified
With Funds Rating Highly on Sustainability
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 40
* For annualized time period over the past 3 years ending December 31, 2013 (or for data since inception of strategy)
IMPACT: color of bubbles:
Green = higher IMPACT
Yellow = medium IMPACT
Red = lower IMPACT
ALLOCATION: size of bubbles
is percent (%) allocated to fund
RISK: Standard
Deviation of Returns*
RETURNS:
Annualized
Returns*
In 2013, a HIP-Focused PORTFOLIO Was More
Optimal: Lowering RISK, Beating the RETURNS of MPT
Less Risk
MoreReturn
* For annualized time period over the past 1 year ending December 31, 2013 (or for data since inception of strategy)
RETURNS:
Annualized
Returns*
RISK: Standard
Deviation of Returns*
PORTFOLIO: color of bubbles:
Green = HIP
Red = Vanguard
Blue = Going Fossil Free
Gray = MPT
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 41
1-Year Portfolio Performance (2013)
HIP 24, HIP 10, MPT
18%
7%
2.5%
10%
14%
8%
1.8%
6%
11%
10%
1.1%
0%
0%
4%
8%
12%
16%
20%
Return Risk Sharpe Alpha
HIP24 HIP10 MPT
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 42
Less Risk
More
Return
Over 3 Years (2011-13), a HIP-Focused PORTFOLIO Was Also
More Optimal: Lowering RISK Yet Exceeding MPT RETURNS
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 43
Less Risk
MoreReturn
* For annualized time period over the past 3 years ending December 31, 2013 (or for data since inception of strategy)
RETURNS:
Annualized
Returns*
RISK: Standard
Deviation of Returns*
PORTFOLIO: color of bubbles:
Green = HIP
Red = Vanguard
Blue = Going Fossil Free
Gray = MPT
3-Year Portfolio Performance (2011-2013)
HIP 24, HIP 10, MPT
11%
11%
0.9%
3%
10%
12%
0.9%
2%
9%
13%
0.7%
0%
0%
4%
8%
12%
16%
Return Risk Sharpe Alpha
HIP24 HIP10 MPT
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 44
Less Risk
More
Return
Over 5 Years (2009-13), a HIP-Focused PORTFOLIO
Proportionally Reduced RISK & RETURN vs. MPT
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 45
Less Risk
Higher Risk-Adj. Return
Higher Return
* For annualized time period over the past 5 years ending December 31, 2013 (or for data since inception of strategy)
RETURNS:
Annualized
Returns*
RISK: Standard
Deviation of Returns*
PORTFOLIO: color of bubbles:
Green = HIP
Red = Vanguard
Blue = Going Fossil Free
Gray = MPT
HIP-Focused Portfolios Are Designed to Be
More “Fossil-Free” than the “Efficient Market”
Portfolio Metric HIP 24 HIP 10 Vanguard
2025 Fund
MPT
TONS CO2 of Fossil
Fuel Reserves*
731.08 2,669.14 5,179.99 7,306.48
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 46
7,306
5,180
2,669
731
0 2,500 5,000 7,500
MPT
Vanguard 2025 Fund
HIP 10
HIP 24
Tons of CO2
* Fossil Fuel Reserves of Top 200 fossil-fuel
producers; defined by Carbon Tracker
Initiative, in concert with 350.org, and applied
by HIP Investor to portfolio exposure
85% less carbon exposure
New Metrics: Going Fossil-Free
Forward-Looking Investors
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 47
Author of feature on “Going Fossil Free” investing – and aligning
NGO endowment portfolio with your organization’s mission
Dr. Onnie Byers, PhD
Chair, Conservation Breeding Specialist Group (CBSG)
Part of the Global Conservation Network (GCN)
Since late 2011, Global Energy & Big Oil have
diverged from, and dramatically lagged, the S&P500
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 48
S&P 500
+35.4%
Source: Google Finance, DJan 4, 2008– Sep 24, 2014
Cumulative Return
Big Oil (BGR)
-21.6%
Global Energy
(IXC)
-6.0%
For 2+ Years, Indexes for Coal,
Oil & Gas Have Lagged the S&P500
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 49
Source: Google Finance, Jan 6, 2012 – Sep 24, 2014
Cumulative Return
S&P 500
+59.0%
Big Oil (BGR)
-0.5%
Energy (IXC)
+17.1%
Coal
(KOL)
-45.2%
FUTURE
RISK
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 50
FUTURE
RISK +
UPSIDECONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 51
Sustainable  Profit
High Impact Portfolios
can beat Wall St (MPT)
401(k) as Lever
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 52
Millennials as Future Leaders:
#1 Purpose of Business
Is Building a Better World
© 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 53
• 80 million Millennials in USA
• Inheriting $40 Trillion from Boomers
A Millennial View on Investing
© 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 54
“If I don’t know how
sustainable this
investment fund is,
I am not going to invest”
Sustainable Firms Using 401(k) Plans
for Deeper Employee Engagement
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 55
“We already see high-energy commitment and motivation
towards integrating sustainability into our 401(k), and
team members are excited to have the opportunity to advance
sustainability in their own portfolios.”
-- Burke Pemberton, Controller
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 56
Increase Employee Engagement via 401(k)
14%
93%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Before HIP Info *With* HIP Ratings
Participation Rate
in 401(k) Plan
US Average = 76% to 88%
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 57
Increase Millennial Engagement via 401(k)
9%
91%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Before HIP Info *With* HIP Ratings
MILENNIALS (age 20-34)
Participation Rate
in 401(k) Plan
Millennials US Average = 21%
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 58
Source: analysis of HIP-rated
401k plan participation
New Metrics on 401(k) Can Help Employees
Save More for the Future
1.6%
5.1%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
Before HIP Info *With* HIP Ratings
Contribution Rate (No-Match)
in 401(k) Plan
US Average (w/match)
= 6.8% to 8%
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 59
Source: analysis of HIP-rated
401k plan contributions
New Metrics on 401(k) Can Help Millennials
Save More for the Future
2.1%
5.4%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
Before HIP Info *With* HIP Ratings
MILLENNIALS
Contribution Rate (No-Match)
in 401(k) Plan
Millennials US Average
(w/match) = 5.9%
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 60
Source: analysis of HIP-rated
401k plan contributions
How Can Your 401(k)
Integrate New Metrics?
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 61
New Metrics:
Peanut Butter AND Chocolate
HIP
Solve
Human
Needs
Seek
Higher
Profits
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 62
HIP = Higher Impact Portfolios
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 63
Published 2010
(John Wiley & Sons)
Bestseller List
21 University +
MBA Curricula
Global Libraries
on 5 Continents
Sustainable  Profit
High Impact Portfolios
can beat Wall St (MPT)
401(k) as Lever
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 64
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 65
How to Contact HIP
CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 66
Shilpa Andalkar Senior Vice
President
Shilpa@HIPinvestor.com
Direct: 415-857-2520
Keith Green Senior Vice
President
Keith@HIPinvestor.com
Direct: 908-878-2144
R. Paul Herman CEO Paul@HIPinvestor.com
Direct: 415-902-7741
SB NEW METRICS in Boston
September 24-26, 2014
www.SustainableBrands.com

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How High Impact Portfolios Can Outperform Wall Street and Modern Portfolio Theory

  • 1. How High Impact Portfolios Can Outperform Wall Street – and Modern Portfolio Theory Paul Herman, HIP Investor @HIPInvestor
  • 2. CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 2
  • 3. VISIBLE -vs- INVISIBLE CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 3
  • 5.
  • 7. FUTURE RISK + UPSIDECONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 7
  • 8. CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 8
  • 9. #NewMetrics How High Impact Portfolios Can Outperform Wall Street (& Modern Portfolio Theory) September 25, 2014
  • 10. Disclosure and Disclaimers © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 10 HIP Investor Ratings LLC is a California limited liability company, providing 8500 ratings for investors, advisers, fund managers and retirement plans. R. Paul Herman and Shilpa Andalkar are registered representatives of HIP Investor Inc., an investment adviser registered in the States of California, Washington, and Illinois, with clients across the USA. This is not an offer of securities. All investing has risks. Past results are not indicative of future performance.
  • 11. HIP Investor = the “Morningstar” of New Metrics for Investors CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 11 1. Produce RATINGS on 8500 investments + funds: Research, analyze & score 4500 Corporate equities (80% of global value) & bonds 4000+ muni bonds (half of $3.7 Trillion), treasuries & agency bonds on Future Risk & Upside Potential 2. SERVE Investors, Advisors, 401-k plans & Fund Managers seeking to be more HIP 3. Manage HIP indexes & portfolios (including FOSSIL-FREE)
  • 12. Sustainable  Profit CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 12
  • 13. Today, Investors Drive with 20% Visibility CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 13
  • 14. 80% of Market Value = Intangible www.AgeOfVolatility.com © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 14 83% 68% 32% 20% 20% 17% 32% 68% 80% 80%
  • 15. 15 MIT Sloan Review and BCG: New Metrics Drive Shareholder Value A study by Boston Consulting Group and MIT Sloan Management Review discusses how sustainability is changing the competitive landscape and reshaping the opportunities and threats that companies face.
  • 16. Category Market Size (U.S. $Bil) Sustainability Segment Segment Growth Food $550 Bil Organic 22% Electricity 400 Bil Renewable (excl. Hydro, Wood) 17% Fuels 1,000 Bil Alternative 20% Health Care 2,300 Bil CAM* 17% Building Products 98 Bil Green 23% Fiber (Apparel) 0.3 Bil Organic 50% Automotive 228 Bil Hybrids 38% High-Impact Products Can Tap Double-Digit GROWTH Rates Source: Pegasus Capital * Complementary & Alternative Medicine CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 16
  • 17. Investing in “100 Best” to Work For Can Beat the Market (1998-2010) Source: Russell Investment Group, via © Great Places To Work® Institute 1998-2010, ANNUALIZED RETURNS +11.1% +6.7% + 3.9% + 4.3% © 2006-2013 HIP Investor Inc. 17
  • 18. Globally, Firms with More Diverse Boards Have Yielded Higher Return on Equity (ROE) CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 18 Source: Credit Suisse +33% more
  • 19. In 2011-2013, CDP Leaders in S&P500 Had Higher Returns + Lower Risk CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 19 Source: CDP (9/24/2014)
  • 20. S&P-TruCost’s Carbon-Efficient Index of Firms Has Outperformed since Launching CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 20 Source: Google Finance, Mar 11, 2011 – Sept 24, 2014 Cumulative Net Total Return Carbon Efficient Firms +61.5% S&P 500 +50.8%
  • 21. Harvard Professors: Sustainability Can Benefit Shareholder Value CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 21 +30% more +15% more
  • 22. NewMetrics reveal Drivers of possible Higher Returns: + 5% to 33% premium CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 22
  • 23. NewMetrics reveal Drivers of possible Higher Returns: + 5% to 33% premium +with Lower Risk – 10% less volatility CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 23
  • 24. New Metrics: Peanut Butter AND Chocolate HIP Solve Human Needs Seek Higher Profits CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 24 HIP = Higher Impact Portfolios
  • 25. Sustainable  Profit High Impact Portfolios can beat Wall St (MPT) CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 25
  • 26. The Best of 1952 CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 26
  • 27. “State of the Art” THEN CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 27
  • 28. “State of the Art” NOW CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 28
  • 29. Dr. Harry Markowitz • 1952: Created “Modern Portfolio Theory” (MPT) • 1990: Awarded Nobel Prize for MPT • 2014: MPT is 62 years old: time to retire MPT? CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 29
  • 30. CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 30 Every Portfolio Has a Risk & Return Profile Source: Smart401k.com
  • 31. New Metrics Can Rate Future Risk + Return Potential… • Physical Health • Mental AgilityHealth • Income Growth • Asset AccumulationWealth • Carbon Neutrality • Reusable ProductsEarth • Gender Balance • Ethnic DiversityEquality • Transparent & Open • Credible & EthicalTrust Companies innovate to answer five human needs: Companies Funds Asset Classes PORTFOLIO Which can result in sustainable, profitable growth for all stakeholders: CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 31
  • 32. Health Wealth Earth Equality Trust …and Connect Directly to Cash Flow, Profit and Shareholder Value Products & Services Operating Metrics Mgmt Practices I M P A C T “How HIP Is This Investment?” HIP = Human Impact + Profit Strategic Innovation & Risk Mitigation Higher Revenue potential Lower Cost potential
  • 33. At Most, 1 in 4 Fund Managers Apply New Metrics to Investing CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 33 Source: Mercer ratings
  • 34. Using New Metrics in Portfolios: Forward-Looking Investors + Advisors CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 34 Lara Coviello MA CFA Managing Partner at Auctus Wealth Management Author of feature on investing Jennifer Anderson, MPH, SCSP Principal at Resonate, Strategic Sustainability Management
  • 35. Sustainable Funds Outperformed Many Fossil-Fuel Intensive Funds (2009-2013) CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 35 Less RiskMoreReturn
  • 36. Long-Term, Intelligent Investors Invest Across All Asset Classes A Higher Impact Portfolio Cash Banks and credit unions that focus on sustainability e.g. 22 banks in the GABV Fixed income Bonds from impact- focused corporates and Muni’s (schools, hospitals) e.g. SNW Asset Mgmt Income Generating Appreciation Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) who implement resource efficiency Equities Individual firms , mutual funds and ETFs based in OECD – rated on sustainability International and Emerging Firms, funds ETFs – in emerging growth areas: Europe, Asia, Africa, Americas – rated by impact Venture Capital and Private Equity Ventures, angel funds, VC, private equity – seeking impact results Alternatives Commodity funds that may include impact criteria CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 36
  • 37. Vanguard Total Bond Market II Idx Inv 2 INDEXES + Vanguard Total Intl Bd Idx Investor Vanguard Total Intl Stock Index Inv Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx Inv -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Funds In the Vanguard 2025 Target-Date Portfolio Are Stocks & Bonds – US and Global CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 37 * For annualized time period over the past 3 years ending December 31, 2013 (or for data since inception of strategy) IMPACT: color of bubbles: Green = higher IMPACT Yellow = medium IMPACT Red = lower IMPACT ALLOCATION: size of bubbles is percent (%) allocated to fund RISK: Standard Deviation of Returns* RETURNS: Annualized Returns*
  • 38. iShares JPMorgan USD Emerg Markets Bond iShares iBoxx $ Invst Grade Crp Bond Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF Vanguard Dividend Apprec Idx ETF Vanguard REIT Index ETF Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Funds in an MPT Portfolio Add Real Estate, Dividend Stocks & Emerging Markets CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 38 * For annualized time period over the past 3 years ending December 31, 2013 (or for data since inception of strategy) IMPACT: color of bubbles: Green = higher IMPACT Yellow = medium IMPACT Red = lower IMPACT ALLOCATION: size of bubbles is percent (%) allocated to fund RISK: Standard Deviation of Returns* RETURNS: Annualized Returns*
  • 39. WisdomTree Emerging Mkts SmallCap Div TIAA-CREF Social Choice Eq Retail 2 INDEXES + TIAA-CREF Social Choice Bond Retail Vanguard Small Cap ETF Vanguard REIT Index ETF Vanguard Global ex-US Real Estate ETF Vanguard Mid-Cap ETF Templeton Frontier Markets A Guggenheim S&P Global Water Index Pax World High Yield Bond Individual Inv -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% The HIP 10 Portfolio Is Globally Diversified and Focused on Sustainability CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 39 * For annualized time period over the past 3 years ending December 31, 2013 (or for data since inception of strategy) IMPACT: color of bubbles: Green = higher IMPACT Yellow = medium IMPACT Red = lower IMPACT ALLOCATION: size of bubbles is percent (%) allocated to fund RISK: Standard Deviation of Returns* RETURNS: Annualized Returns*
  • 40. Ariel Appreciation Investor DFA Five-Year Global Fixed-Income I iShares JPMorgan USD Emerg Markets Bond iShares International Dev Rel Est KKR & Co LP 2 INDEXES + Shelton Green Alpha Pax World High Yield Bond Individual Inv Pax World Global Envrnmntl Mkts Indv Inv iShares Morningstar Small-Cap Guggenheim Timber ETF Pope Resources LP First Trust S&P REIT Idx Parnassus Fixed-Income Pax World Small Cap Individual Inv Parnassus Workplace Calvert Global Alternative Energy A Calvert Global Water A iShares S&P 100 ETFS Physical Swiss Gold Shares RidgeWorth US Gov Sec Ultra-Short Bd I iShares TIPS Bond Praxis Intermediate Income A Guggenheim S&P Global Water Index -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% The HIP 24 Portfolio Is Well Diversified With Funds Rating Highly on Sustainability CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 40 * For annualized time period over the past 3 years ending December 31, 2013 (or for data since inception of strategy) IMPACT: color of bubbles: Green = higher IMPACT Yellow = medium IMPACT Red = lower IMPACT ALLOCATION: size of bubbles is percent (%) allocated to fund RISK: Standard Deviation of Returns* RETURNS: Annualized Returns*
  • 41. In 2013, a HIP-Focused PORTFOLIO Was More Optimal: Lowering RISK, Beating the RETURNS of MPT Less Risk MoreReturn * For annualized time period over the past 1 year ending December 31, 2013 (or for data since inception of strategy) RETURNS: Annualized Returns* RISK: Standard Deviation of Returns* PORTFOLIO: color of bubbles: Green = HIP Red = Vanguard Blue = Going Fossil Free Gray = MPT CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 41
  • 42. 1-Year Portfolio Performance (2013) HIP 24, HIP 10, MPT 18% 7% 2.5% 10% 14% 8% 1.8% 6% 11% 10% 1.1% 0% 0% 4% 8% 12% 16% 20% Return Risk Sharpe Alpha HIP24 HIP10 MPT CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 42 Less Risk More Return
  • 43. Over 3 Years (2011-13), a HIP-Focused PORTFOLIO Was Also More Optimal: Lowering RISK Yet Exceeding MPT RETURNS CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 43 Less Risk MoreReturn * For annualized time period over the past 3 years ending December 31, 2013 (or for data since inception of strategy) RETURNS: Annualized Returns* RISK: Standard Deviation of Returns* PORTFOLIO: color of bubbles: Green = HIP Red = Vanguard Blue = Going Fossil Free Gray = MPT
  • 44. 3-Year Portfolio Performance (2011-2013) HIP 24, HIP 10, MPT 11% 11% 0.9% 3% 10% 12% 0.9% 2% 9% 13% 0.7% 0% 0% 4% 8% 12% 16% Return Risk Sharpe Alpha HIP24 HIP10 MPT CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 44 Less Risk More Return
  • 45. Over 5 Years (2009-13), a HIP-Focused PORTFOLIO Proportionally Reduced RISK & RETURN vs. MPT CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 45 Less Risk Higher Risk-Adj. Return Higher Return * For annualized time period over the past 5 years ending December 31, 2013 (or for data since inception of strategy) RETURNS: Annualized Returns* RISK: Standard Deviation of Returns* PORTFOLIO: color of bubbles: Green = HIP Red = Vanguard Blue = Going Fossil Free Gray = MPT
  • 46. HIP-Focused Portfolios Are Designed to Be More “Fossil-Free” than the “Efficient Market” Portfolio Metric HIP 24 HIP 10 Vanguard 2025 Fund MPT TONS CO2 of Fossil Fuel Reserves* 731.08 2,669.14 5,179.99 7,306.48 CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 46 7,306 5,180 2,669 731 0 2,500 5,000 7,500 MPT Vanguard 2025 Fund HIP 10 HIP 24 Tons of CO2 * Fossil Fuel Reserves of Top 200 fossil-fuel producers; defined by Carbon Tracker Initiative, in concert with 350.org, and applied by HIP Investor to portfolio exposure 85% less carbon exposure
  • 47. New Metrics: Going Fossil-Free Forward-Looking Investors CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 47 Author of feature on “Going Fossil Free” investing – and aligning NGO endowment portfolio with your organization’s mission Dr. Onnie Byers, PhD Chair, Conservation Breeding Specialist Group (CBSG) Part of the Global Conservation Network (GCN)
  • 48. Since late 2011, Global Energy & Big Oil have diverged from, and dramatically lagged, the S&P500 CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 48 S&P 500 +35.4% Source: Google Finance, DJan 4, 2008– Sep 24, 2014 Cumulative Return Big Oil (BGR) -21.6% Global Energy (IXC) -6.0%
  • 49. For 2+ Years, Indexes for Coal, Oil & Gas Have Lagged the S&P500 CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 49 Source: Google Finance, Jan 6, 2012 – Sep 24, 2014 Cumulative Return S&P 500 +59.0% Big Oil (BGR) -0.5% Energy (IXC) +17.1% Coal (KOL) -45.2%
  • 51. FUTURE RISK + UPSIDECONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 51
  • 52. Sustainable  Profit High Impact Portfolios can beat Wall St (MPT) 401(k) as Lever CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 52
  • 53. Millennials as Future Leaders: #1 Purpose of Business Is Building a Better World © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 53 • 80 million Millennials in USA • Inheriting $40 Trillion from Boomers
  • 54. A Millennial View on Investing © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 54 “If I don’t know how sustainable this investment fund is, I am not going to invest”
  • 55. Sustainable Firms Using 401(k) Plans for Deeper Employee Engagement CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 55 “We already see high-energy commitment and motivation towards integrating sustainability into our 401(k), and team members are excited to have the opportunity to advance sustainability in their own portfolios.” -- Burke Pemberton, Controller
  • 56. CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 56
  • 57. Increase Employee Engagement via 401(k) 14% 93% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Before HIP Info *With* HIP Ratings Participation Rate in 401(k) Plan US Average = 76% to 88% CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 57
  • 58. Increase Millennial Engagement via 401(k) 9% 91% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Before HIP Info *With* HIP Ratings MILENNIALS (age 20-34) Participation Rate in 401(k) Plan Millennials US Average = 21% CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 58 Source: analysis of HIP-rated 401k plan participation
  • 59. New Metrics on 401(k) Can Help Employees Save More for the Future 1.6% 5.1% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% Before HIP Info *With* HIP Ratings Contribution Rate (No-Match) in 401(k) Plan US Average (w/match) = 6.8% to 8% CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 59 Source: analysis of HIP-rated 401k plan contributions
  • 60. New Metrics on 401(k) Can Help Millennials Save More for the Future 2.1% 5.4% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% Before HIP Info *With* HIP Ratings MILLENNIALS Contribution Rate (No-Match) in 401(k) Plan Millennials US Average (w/match) = 5.9% CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 60 Source: analysis of HIP-rated 401k plan contributions
  • 61. How Can Your 401(k) Integrate New Metrics? CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 61
  • 62. New Metrics: Peanut Butter AND Chocolate HIP Solve Human Needs Seek Higher Profits CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 62 HIP = Higher Impact Portfolios
  • 63. CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 63 Published 2010 (John Wiley & Sons) Bestseller List 21 University + MBA Curricula Global Libraries on 5 Continents
  • 64. Sustainable  Profit High Impact Portfolios can beat Wall St (MPT) 401(k) as Lever CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 64
  • 65. CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 65
  • 66. How to Contact HIP CONFIDENTIAL © 2006-2014 HIP Investor Inc. 66 Shilpa Andalkar Senior Vice President Shilpa@HIPinvestor.com Direct: 415-857-2520 Keith Green Senior Vice President Keith@HIPinvestor.com Direct: 908-878-2144 R. Paul Herman CEO Paul@HIPinvestor.com Direct: 415-902-7741 SB NEW METRICS in Boston September 24-26, 2014

Editor's Notes

  1. Thurs Sept 25 Main Stage 9:00-10:30
  2. However, it was through an experience in my own family foundation that I became aware of another risk – the risk of unsustainable businesses lurking in my endowment portfolio. One of the charitable missions of our foundation is rural economic development through low carbon solutions, When I found we were invested in coal stocks through a manager that had an increasing-dividend strategy, I was more than dismayed, having been a vocal critic of a utility with carbon-heavy power production. Fortunately, my traditional merrill Lynch account manager was willing to look at substitutions which fit their profiles and which were rated more sustainable by Paul Herman’s HIP analysis. Coal stocks since Aug 2011 have been under pressure, especially now with China needed to reduce their reliance on coal because their population literally can not breathe. A sustainable lens I believe added to a better financial decision.
  3. Measure and assess risk factors beyond traditional financial risk factors, which are historical. HIP weight vs. Market cap weight and underweight fossil producing companies as part of 5 year plan to sell fossil companies
  4. HIP investor Ratings: The 21st Century GPS for Your Portfolio
  5. 16
  6. Credit Suisse analyzed more than 2,500 companies and found that companies with more than one woman on the board have outperformed those with no women on the board by 26 percent since 2005. Companies with at least one woman on the board over the past six years show better average growth, with an average of 14 percent over the past six years compared to 10 percent for those with no female board representation. They also have a 4 percent higher return on equity, according to the research. “Most of that performance comes from the post-credit crisis period: introducing women to the board gives better decision making and better vigilance in terms of what’s going on the in company," . In other words, stocks with greater gender diversity on their boards generally look defensive: they tend to perform best when markets are falling, deliver higher average ROEs through the cycle, exhibit less volatility in earnings and typically have lower gearing ratios. Although the proportion of women at board level generally remains very low, it is changing. On our numbers, only 41 percent of MSCI ACWI stocks had any women on the board at the end of 2005, but this had increased to 59 percent by the end of 2011. Source: https://docs.google.com/viewer?a=v&q=cache:4ad0j-WDCxwJ:https://infocus.credit-suisse.com/data/_product_documents/_articles/360157/cs_women_in_leading_positions_FINAL.PDF+&hl=en&gl=us&pid=bl&srcid=ADGEEShAQs7Fy1jP-S3HU7ctAKKJXiUelVYXLHh3x_rg6k0_MKDTmTU8zUW_OkvXOVPWcWnB4WFGXUJ6HN3jzcvk24f0aknhoLYZkNsigKVfqsj2PaoaYUVjsGqm9I3wCKgg9LsovIjA&sig=AHIEtbSg4DlRUgDUYW8qDlE6dIirprPI3Q
  7. Credit Suisse analyzed more than 2,500 companies and found that companies with more than one woman on the board have outperformed those with no women on the board by 26 percent since 2005. Companies with at least one woman on the board over the past six years show better average growth, with an average of 14 percent over the past six years compared to 10 percent for those with no female board representation. They also have a 4 percent higher return on equity, according to the research. “Most of that performance comes from the post-credit crisis period: introducing women to the board gives better decision making and better vigilance in terms of what’s going on the in company," . In other words, stocks with greater gender diversity on their boards generally look defensive: they tend to perform best when markets are falling, deliver higher average ROEs through the cycle, exhibit less volatility in earnings and typically have lower gearing ratios. Although the proportion of women at board level generally remains very low, it is changing. On our numbers, only 41 percent of MSCI ACWI stocks had any women on the board at the end of 2005, but this had increased to 59 percent by the end of 2011. Source: https://docs.google.com/viewer?a=v&q=cache:4ad0j-WDCxwJ:https://infocus.credit-suisse.com/data/_product_documents/_articles/360157/cs_women_in_leading_positions_FINAL.PDF+&hl=en&gl=us&pid=bl&srcid=ADGEEShAQs7Fy1jP-S3HU7ctAKKJXiUelVYXLHh3x_rg6k0_MKDTmTU8zUW_OkvXOVPWcWnB4WFGXUJ6HN3jzcvk24f0aknhoLYZkNsigKVfqsj2PaoaYUVjsGqm9I3wCKgg9LsovIjA&sig=AHIEtbSg4DlRUgDUYW8qDlE6dIirprPI3Q
  8. Looking beyond a fossil-free portfolio to a carbon efficient portfolio – companies using fossil resources innovatively and efficiently – I encourage you to compare the S&P U.S. Carbon Efficient Index against the S&P 500. The Carbon Efficient Index is listed as SPGRCUUT in Google Finance, and at its 3 year track record and has cumulatively outperformed the S&P 500 by 12 percent. Study by Carbon Disclosure Project says carbon efficient firms can beat market. This is only an index, not investable yet
  9. HIP investor Ratings: The 21st Century GPS for Your Portfolio
  10. 1952 was a memorable year: Cadillac roadster…. …singing in the rain; and High Noon; … and the invention of Modern Portfolio Theory
  11. To get to your destination in years past, the state of the art was the paper-based TripTik
  12. But you wouldn’t use 1952 or 1990s technology today to drive forward to your destination, You would use a tech-enabled, dynamic, interactive tool like Google Maps
  13. HIP can be applied across all asset classes
  14. Over the past year, while the S&P 500 has risen over 20 percent, the Blackrock Global Energy Sector ETF declined 8 percent and the Coal Sector ETF declined 27 percent.
  15. Measure and assess risk factors beyond traditional financial risk factors, which are historical. HIP weight vs. Market cap weight and underweight fossil producing companies as part of 5 year plan to sell fossil companies
  16. HIP investor Ratings: The 21st Century GPS for Your Portfolio
  17. And describe the team – including previous exits (2 Acq’s – Paul’s venture and Keith’s venture)
  18. HIP investor Ratings: The 21st Century GPS for Your Portfolio