HOUSING MARKET -
CANADA - SEPTEMBER 2017
PAUL YOUNG CPA, CGA
OCTOBER 13, 2017
PAUL YOUNG - BIO
• CPA, CGA
• Financial Solutions
• SME – Business Process Changes
• SME – Risk Management
• SME – Close, Consolidate and
Reporting
• SME – Public Policy
• SME – Financial Solutions
• SME – Supply Chain Management
• Academia – Advance Accounting,
Public Finance and Advanced
Management Systems
Contact information:
Paul_Young_CGA@Hotmail.com
OVERVIEW
• This presentation provides you a quick view of the housing/real estate market in Canada. It should be
noted a few indicators like wages lag a few months behind other stats.
AGENDA
• Average Housing Price for Canada
• Price Change (Lumber, Wages, Housing Prices and Inflation)
• Existing Home Sales
• Housing Starts
• Millennials / Housing
• Justin Trudeau / Housing
• Blog / Housing
HOUSING AFFORDABILITY INDEX
Source – RBC Economics
HOUSING PRICE / CANADA
Source - http://business.financialpost.com/real-estate/canadian-home-sales-gain-ground-in-september-but-down-from-year-ago-mark
PRICE CHANGE (LUMBER, CPI, HOUSING PRICE AND WAGES
Source – Stats Canada, Canada Real Estate Association, BMO and Scotiabank
EXISTING HOME SALES
Source - https://economics.bmocapitalmarkets.com/economics/econofacts/20171013a/econofacts.pdf
HOUSING STARTS
Source - BMO
MILLENNIALS / HOUSING
Source - http://www.ctvnews.ca/canada/why-do-millennials-live-with-their-parents-money-and-tradition-report-finds-1.3611495
JUSTIN TRUDEAU AND HOUSING
Source - https://www.liberal.ca/realchange/affordable-housing/
Today, one in four Canadian households is paying more
than it can afford for housing, and one in eight cannot find
affordable housing that is safe, suitable, and well
maintained.
When affordable housing is in short supply, Canadians
feel less secure and our whole economy suffers.
We will renew federal leadership in housing, starting with
a new, ten-year investment in social infrastructure.
Facts:
• Average price for houses in Canada is
487,000 or about 7% increase since the
Liberal took office in 2015
• There are systemic issues with real estate
that one off policy will not fix
BLOG - HOUSING
• http://business.financialpost.com/real-estate/toronto-home-prices-in-record-monthly-drop-as-sales-plunge-
1/wcm/1b276698-c8b0-4cb9-a5a6-522557f062fe
•
• comments:
• Wages are under pressure – Wages have barely budged in 40 years - http://globalnews.ca/news/3531614/average-
hourly-wage-canada-stagnant/.
• Interest rate hike – Interest rates have gone up. The Bank of Canada has signaled that Canada maybe heading to
higher interest - http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/loonie-bank-of-canada-interest-rates-1.4191573 or
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/real-estate-canada-june-2017
• IMF has highlighted there is great risk to overpriced housing market for Canada - https://betterdwelling.com/imf-
canada-overvalued-homes-g7-fourth-globally/
• Economy is growing, but not at a rapid pace. Bulk of GDP growth is led by the housing market and commodities. GDP
for the past two years is still average 2.2% which is the same rate as the past 15+ years
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/canada-gdp-election-2015-promise-increase-gdp-growth
• There are systemic issues with real estate like supply, market valuation, cost of building, availability of land, etc
• Housing Affordability - http://globalnews.ca/news/3573571/ontario-housing-affordability-2018-election/ or
http://www.macleans.ca/politics/for-the-record-ralph-goodale-on-the-economy/

Housing Market - Canada - September 2017

  • 1.
    HOUSING MARKET - CANADA- SEPTEMBER 2017 PAUL YOUNG CPA, CGA OCTOBER 13, 2017
  • 2.
    PAUL YOUNG -BIO • CPA, CGA • Financial Solutions • SME – Business Process Changes • SME – Risk Management • SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting • SME – Public Policy • SME – Financial Solutions • SME – Supply Chain Management • Academia – Advance Accounting, Public Finance and Advanced Management Systems Contact information: Paul_Young_CGA@Hotmail.com
  • 3.
    OVERVIEW • This presentationprovides you a quick view of the housing/real estate market in Canada. It should be noted a few indicators like wages lag a few months behind other stats.
  • 4.
    AGENDA • Average HousingPrice for Canada • Price Change (Lumber, Wages, Housing Prices and Inflation) • Existing Home Sales • Housing Starts • Millennials / Housing • Justin Trudeau / Housing • Blog / Housing
  • 5.
  • 6.
    HOUSING PRICE /CANADA Source - http://business.financialpost.com/real-estate/canadian-home-sales-gain-ground-in-september-but-down-from-year-ago-mark
  • 7.
    PRICE CHANGE (LUMBER,CPI, HOUSING PRICE AND WAGES Source – Stats Canada, Canada Real Estate Association, BMO and Scotiabank
  • 8.
    EXISTING HOME SALES Source- https://economics.bmocapitalmarkets.com/economics/econofacts/20171013a/econofacts.pdf
  • 9.
  • 10.
    MILLENNIALS / HOUSING Source- http://www.ctvnews.ca/canada/why-do-millennials-live-with-their-parents-money-and-tradition-report-finds-1.3611495
  • 11.
    JUSTIN TRUDEAU ANDHOUSING Source - https://www.liberal.ca/realchange/affordable-housing/ Today, one in four Canadian households is paying more than it can afford for housing, and one in eight cannot find affordable housing that is safe, suitable, and well maintained. When affordable housing is in short supply, Canadians feel less secure and our whole economy suffers. We will renew federal leadership in housing, starting with a new, ten-year investment in social infrastructure. Facts: • Average price for houses in Canada is 487,000 or about 7% increase since the Liberal took office in 2015 • There are systemic issues with real estate that one off policy will not fix
  • 12.
    BLOG - HOUSING •http://business.financialpost.com/real-estate/toronto-home-prices-in-record-monthly-drop-as-sales-plunge- 1/wcm/1b276698-c8b0-4cb9-a5a6-522557f062fe • • comments: • Wages are under pressure – Wages have barely budged in 40 years - http://globalnews.ca/news/3531614/average- hourly-wage-canada-stagnant/. • Interest rate hike – Interest rates have gone up. The Bank of Canada has signaled that Canada maybe heading to higher interest - http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/loonie-bank-of-canada-interest-rates-1.4191573 or https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/real-estate-canada-june-2017 • IMF has highlighted there is great risk to overpriced housing market for Canada - https://betterdwelling.com/imf- canada-overvalued-homes-g7-fourth-globally/ • Economy is growing, but not at a rapid pace. Bulk of GDP growth is led by the housing market and commodities. GDP for the past two years is still average 2.2% which is the same rate as the past 15+ years https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/canada-gdp-election-2015-promise-increase-gdp-growth • There are systemic issues with real estate like supply, market valuation, cost of building, availability of land, etc • Housing Affordability - http://globalnews.ca/news/3573571/ontario-housing-affordability-2018-election/ or http://www.macleans.ca/politics/for-the-record-ralph-goodale-on-the-economy/