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IMMIGRATION TRANSITIONIMMIGRATION TRANSITION
AND RETURN MIGRATION INAND RETURN MIGRATION IN
HONG KONGHONG KONG
Zhongdong Ma
Presented by
Cheung Kin Man (Man), Wong Hoi Shan (Sharon)
1
IntroIntro
Immigration plays a crucial role in HK
economic development
Happened alongside the political
development of China and HK (both at her
colonial and handed-over periods)
A brain drain reversal, i.e. return of well
educated or skilled emigrants
The paper explained theoretically how the
above happened and the findings on
relationship between immigration and
economic development of HK
2
OutlineOutline
The Theoretical Framework: Comprehensibility
of Brain Drain Reversal
5 waves of immigration in the development of
Hong Kong
New Waves (plus Current Policies as of 2013)
Summary of the immigration trend
Q & A
3
Theoretical FrameworkTheoretical Framework
Developing economy
-Cheap and abundant labour
-Labour-intensive industries foundation
growth
Results:
-Gain in International trade
-Capital accumulated
4
Theoretical FrameworkTheoretical Framework
Development process
Capital and technical skills
Drop in demand for low skilled labour
Increase in demand for skilled labour
and professionals
process of mobility transition
5
Theoretical FrameworkTheoretical Framework
Theory of Mobility Transition
-restructure of industries
-more advanced economy
-more opening opportunity
Emigrants with human capital acquired
from developed countries benefited
most
6
Theoretical FrameworkTheoretical Framework
Expectation
- returnees and migrants maintain their
importance
e.g. leadership and high professional
position
- the importance increase with more
diversified backgrounds
7
The Development of Hong KongThe Development of Hong Kong
Population size:
600,000 7.1 millions
Immigration played different roles in
each stage of development
8
1st Wave: Pioneers of Development1st Wave: Pioneers of Development
Background
- Second World War and Chinese Revolution
- Fall in entrepot trade
Result:
-influx of mainland entrepreneurs and
workers, e.g. Shanghai
- Skills and capital for labor intensive
industries
9
2nd Wave: Labour Migrants from Mainland2nd Wave: Labour Migrants from Mainland
Tighten control of immigration from
Mainland
- demand for low-skilled labor drop
- Cause housing problem and other social
problems
Immigration restriction policy
- “Touch Base” policy ( 抵壘政策 ) which
ended in 1980
- Immediate repatriation ( 遣返 )
-daily quota
10
2nd Wave: Labour Migrants from Mainland2nd Wave: Labour Migrants from Mainland
Illegal immigrants from Mainland
- rural farmers with little education
- mostly unmarried male
- formed families in mainland
Immigration of dependents from
Mainland
Obtain residence in Hong Kong
Bring spouse and children
11
Age-sex Structure of MigrantsAge-sex Structure of Migrants
12
Marital StatusMarital Status
13
3rd Wave: Dependents from Mainland3rd Wave: Dependents from Mainland
Family reunion
- mainly mainland wives and children
- Priority reason
Classification of immigrants
- One way permit (80%) [ 單程證 ]
- spouse(28%), children(48%), parent(3%)
- sex ratio (61% female vs. 39% male)
14
15
Problems caused:
Corruption
- only Chinese Government had authority
- no transparency
Illegal immigrants
- Birth of children by pregnant mothers
- smuggling of mainland-born children
Right of Abode controversy in 1998
3rd Wave: Dependents from Mainland3rd Wave: Dependents from Mainland
16
Improvement
- Ministry of Public Security in Beijing
- new computerized point system
- improved transparency eg. Scores
Consequence
- perceive by locals
- employed in lower service with low
income
-rely on public financial assistance
3rd Wave: Dependents from Mainland3rd Wave: Dependents from Mainland
17
1980s to early 1990s
◦ China reopened its door to the outside
world
 Small businesses in HK relocated their factories
back to their hometown, i.e. South Guangdong
 HK’s global and regional roles changed
 Foreign professionals were needed
◦ More affluent households and more
women to participate in the labour market
 Foreign domestic helpers were needed
44thth
Wave: Foreign Domestic Helpers &Wave: Foreign Domestic Helpers &
ProfessionalsProfessionals
18
44thth
Wave: Foreign Domestic Helpers &Wave: Foreign Domestic Helpers &
ProfessionalsProfessionals
Foreign Domestic Helpers
◦ South-east Asians mainly from the Philippines and
Indonesia
◦ 47.3% in 1986 & 55.5% in 1996
◦ 1991 to 1996: 28.3% University graduates & 46.4%
High School graduates  75% highschool or above
◦ Earnings: 500 US dollars per month, i.e. around
HKD3500 to HKD4000
◦ Cannot become permanent residents
◦ Young female maids
19
20
21
Foreign Professionals
◦ From Developed Countries in search for golden income
opportunities abroad
◦ In early 1990s
 trade and the financial sector were booming
 wages in the upper level of the service sector driven by an
increasing demand for overseas professionals in large
international firms
◦ Canadian, American, Australian and Japanese immigrants
increased 2 to 3 times between 1986 and 1996
◦ In 2006
 University graduates 72%
 Employed as managers and administrations (41%), Professionals
(25%) and Associate professionals (18%)
 Avg. monthly income of HKD45,000 with much lower tax rate than
their home countries
44thth
Wave: Foreign Domestic Helpers &Wave: Foreign Domestic Helpers &
ProfessionalsProfessionals
22
23
24
55thth
Wave: Return MigrantsWave: Return Migrants
Migration to MDC e.g. Canada, the US,
Australia and the UK in mid 1980s to mid
1990s
◦ Between 1984 to 1995, 530K HK residents, avg.
44K per year migrated
◦ Peaked in 1990-1994 due to political
uncertainty created by the handing over and
post 1989 Tiananmen Incident
25
55thth
Wave: Return MigrantsWave: Return Migrants
Brain Drain to future Brain Gains (Skeldon, 1994)
◦ Migrants gained transnational capital
◦ Diversified political and economic risks
 Foreign passport enables emigrants to move, live and work
freely between HK and a destination country.
◦ Bringing back the human capital accumulated in a MDC
helps HK to enter the next stage of development.
◦ Asian Financial Crisis make HK people to realize the
importance of a knowledge-based economy (e.g. the
I.T. sector)
 Previous emigrants (brain drain) returned in response to rising
demand and job prospects
 Brain Drain Reversal happens!
26
55thth
Wave: Return MigrantsWave: Return Migrants
12% emigrants have returned: return rate:
8% (1987 – 1991) to 30% (1993 – 1994);
60.5% in 1995
Majority of returnees were educated young
and middle-aged adults (31 and 40%
respectively)
University degree holders 58%
Almost 70% were employed as managers
and administrators (25%), professionals
(22%) and associate professionals (21%)
Avg. monthly income HKD26000 (in 1990s!)
27
28
29
55thth
Wave: Return MigrantsWave: Return Migrants
In 2000s, Increasing volume and growing
importance of returnees in high
professions
◦ 62K (23.7% of total) in 2001 to 100K persons
(32% of total) in 2006
◦ Decline of expatriates from 21.7K (8.3%) to
14.7K (4.8%) from 2001 to 2006
◦ HK born returnees became more important in
almost every category, outperforming the
local in sr. mgmt. and admin. (37% vs. 25%)
30
31
55thth
Wave: Return MigrantsWave: Return Migrants
◦ Adding the shares of two types of returnees, the findings
suggested that returnees play an important role in
 small business (61%)
 university teaching (56%)
 high management (54%)
 business (49%)
 health (45%)
 IT Computer (44%)
 planning and engineering (42%).
◦ Returnees help the transition and expansion of HK’s
tertiary education, IT and business development
◦ HK born returnees have their edge in combing best of
tools: transnational human capita and local social capital
as comparing to expatriates
32
New waves: Import ProfessionalsNew waves: Import Professionals
PolicyPolicy
Pressure for more professionals to fill the market
shortage in the face of global economic restructuring
In 1994, Pilot import scheme of Mainland professionals
and skilled personnel
◦ Graduates from 36 key universities
◦ Skills and experience relevant to the jobs
◦ Not allowed to bring families to HK
◦ Eligible to apply for permanent residence in HK after 7 years
of continuous residence
Later
◦ Professionals can bring their wife and children to HK
◦ No quota for the importation scheme as long as academic
and experience requirements fulfilled
◦ Alleviate the shortage of professionals and mitigate the
ageing population by allowing family members to stay
33
New waves: Current HKSAR PolicyNew waves: Current HKSAR Policy
In 2006
◦ Dependent visa holders can take up
employment w/o the need to obtain
independent visa if his/her sponsor has been
admitted into HK for employment or as
capital investment entrant.
◦ QMA (Quality Migrant Admission Scheme)
launched with a max. at 1000 per annum
 General Points Test or the Achievement-based Points T
34
New waves: HKSAR PolicyNew waves: HKSAR Policy
35
SummarySummary
 HK’s development – immigration plays an important role
 Applying the theoretical framework to the immigration
waves of HK
Theoretical Framework of Mobility Transition
5 Waves of Immigration of HK
36
SummarySummary
Returnees created a brain drain reversal by bringing
their transnational human capital and local social
capital in high professions in various sectors.
◦ helps facilitate HK’s transition and expansion of tertiary
education, technology development, global and regional
business
New Challenge: Migrants from the mainland
◦ Striking balance between the increasing pressure of
admitting the family members of past immigrants and the
increasing demand for skilled workers and professionals
from the mainland
Future direction: attract, train, and retain talents
from the region and the developed economies to
work in HK
37
Q & AQ & A
HK’s population policy public consultation
◦ http://
www.hkpopulation.gov.hk/public_engagement/en
Other questions are also welcomed
Thank you!
38

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Immigration Transition and Return Migration in Hong Kong

  • 1. IMMIGRATION TRANSITIONIMMIGRATION TRANSITION AND RETURN MIGRATION INAND RETURN MIGRATION IN HONG KONGHONG KONG Zhongdong Ma Presented by Cheung Kin Man (Man), Wong Hoi Shan (Sharon) 1
  • 2. IntroIntro Immigration plays a crucial role in HK economic development Happened alongside the political development of China and HK (both at her colonial and handed-over periods) A brain drain reversal, i.e. return of well educated or skilled emigrants The paper explained theoretically how the above happened and the findings on relationship between immigration and economic development of HK 2
  • 3. OutlineOutline The Theoretical Framework: Comprehensibility of Brain Drain Reversal 5 waves of immigration in the development of Hong Kong New Waves (plus Current Policies as of 2013) Summary of the immigration trend Q & A 3
  • 4. Theoretical FrameworkTheoretical Framework Developing economy -Cheap and abundant labour -Labour-intensive industries foundation growth Results: -Gain in International trade -Capital accumulated 4
  • 5. Theoretical FrameworkTheoretical Framework Development process Capital and technical skills Drop in demand for low skilled labour Increase in demand for skilled labour and professionals process of mobility transition 5
  • 6. Theoretical FrameworkTheoretical Framework Theory of Mobility Transition -restructure of industries -more advanced economy -more opening opportunity Emigrants with human capital acquired from developed countries benefited most 6
  • 7. Theoretical FrameworkTheoretical Framework Expectation - returnees and migrants maintain their importance e.g. leadership and high professional position - the importance increase with more diversified backgrounds 7
  • 8. The Development of Hong KongThe Development of Hong Kong Population size: 600,000 7.1 millions Immigration played different roles in each stage of development 8
  • 9. 1st Wave: Pioneers of Development1st Wave: Pioneers of Development Background - Second World War and Chinese Revolution - Fall in entrepot trade Result: -influx of mainland entrepreneurs and workers, e.g. Shanghai - Skills and capital for labor intensive industries 9
  • 10. 2nd Wave: Labour Migrants from Mainland2nd Wave: Labour Migrants from Mainland Tighten control of immigration from Mainland - demand for low-skilled labor drop - Cause housing problem and other social problems Immigration restriction policy - “Touch Base” policy ( 抵壘政策 ) which ended in 1980 - Immediate repatriation ( 遣返 ) -daily quota 10
  • 11. 2nd Wave: Labour Migrants from Mainland2nd Wave: Labour Migrants from Mainland Illegal immigrants from Mainland - rural farmers with little education - mostly unmarried male - formed families in mainland Immigration of dependents from Mainland Obtain residence in Hong Kong Bring spouse and children 11
  • 12. Age-sex Structure of MigrantsAge-sex Structure of Migrants 12
  • 14. 3rd Wave: Dependents from Mainland3rd Wave: Dependents from Mainland Family reunion - mainly mainland wives and children - Priority reason Classification of immigrants - One way permit (80%) [ 單程證 ] - spouse(28%), children(48%), parent(3%) - sex ratio (61% female vs. 39% male) 14
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  • 16. Problems caused: Corruption - only Chinese Government had authority - no transparency Illegal immigrants - Birth of children by pregnant mothers - smuggling of mainland-born children Right of Abode controversy in 1998 3rd Wave: Dependents from Mainland3rd Wave: Dependents from Mainland 16
  • 17. Improvement - Ministry of Public Security in Beijing - new computerized point system - improved transparency eg. Scores Consequence - perceive by locals - employed in lower service with low income -rely on public financial assistance 3rd Wave: Dependents from Mainland3rd Wave: Dependents from Mainland 17
  • 18. 1980s to early 1990s ◦ China reopened its door to the outside world  Small businesses in HK relocated their factories back to their hometown, i.e. South Guangdong  HK’s global and regional roles changed  Foreign professionals were needed ◦ More affluent households and more women to participate in the labour market  Foreign domestic helpers were needed 44thth Wave: Foreign Domestic Helpers &Wave: Foreign Domestic Helpers & ProfessionalsProfessionals 18
  • 19. 44thth Wave: Foreign Domestic Helpers &Wave: Foreign Domestic Helpers & ProfessionalsProfessionals Foreign Domestic Helpers ◦ South-east Asians mainly from the Philippines and Indonesia ◦ 47.3% in 1986 & 55.5% in 1996 ◦ 1991 to 1996: 28.3% University graduates & 46.4% High School graduates  75% highschool or above ◦ Earnings: 500 US dollars per month, i.e. around HKD3500 to HKD4000 ◦ Cannot become permanent residents ◦ Young female maids 19
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  • 22. Foreign Professionals ◦ From Developed Countries in search for golden income opportunities abroad ◦ In early 1990s  trade and the financial sector were booming  wages in the upper level of the service sector driven by an increasing demand for overseas professionals in large international firms ◦ Canadian, American, Australian and Japanese immigrants increased 2 to 3 times between 1986 and 1996 ◦ In 2006  University graduates 72%  Employed as managers and administrations (41%), Professionals (25%) and Associate professionals (18%)  Avg. monthly income of HKD45,000 with much lower tax rate than their home countries 44thth Wave: Foreign Domestic Helpers &Wave: Foreign Domestic Helpers & ProfessionalsProfessionals 22
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  • 25. 55thth Wave: Return MigrantsWave: Return Migrants Migration to MDC e.g. Canada, the US, Australia and the UK in mid 1980s to mid 1990s ◦ Between 1984 to 1995, 530K HK residents, avg. 44K per year migrated ◦ Peaked in 1990-1994 due to political uncertainty created by the handing over and post 1989 Tiananmen Incident 25
  • 26. 55thth Wave: Return MigrantsWave: Return Migrants Brain Drain to future Brain Gains (Skeldon, 1994) ◦ Migrants gained transnational capital ◦ Diversified political and economic risks  Foreign passport enables emigrants to move, live and work freely between HK and a destination country. ◦ Bringing back the human capital accumulated in a MDC helps HK to enter the next stage of development. ◦ Asian Financial Crisis make HK people to realize the importance of a knowledge-based economy (e.g. the I.T. sector)  Previous emigrants (brain drain) returned in response to rising demand and job prospects  Brain Drain Reversal happens! 26
  • 27. 55thth Wave: Return MigrantsWave: Return Migrants 12% emigrants have returned: return rate: 8% (1987 – 1991) to 30% (1993 – 1994); 60.5% in 1995 Majority of returnees were educated young and middle-aged adults (31 and 40% respectively) University degree holders 58% Almost 70% were employed as managers and administrators (25%), professionals (22%) and associate professionals (21%) Avg. monthly income HKD26000 (in 1990s!) 27
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  • 30. 55thth Wave: Return MigrantsWave: Return Migrants In 2000s, Increasing volume and growing importance of returnees in high professions ◦ 62K (23.7% of total) in 2001 to 100K persons (32% of total) in 2006 ◦ Decline of expatriates from 21.7K (8.3%) to 14.7K (4.8%) from 2001 to 2006 ◦ HK born returnees became more important in almost every category, outperforming the local in sr. mgmt. and admin. (37% vs. 25%) 30
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  • 32. 55thth Wave: Return MigrantsWave: Return Migrants ◦ Adding the shares of two types of returnees, the findings suggested that returnees play an important role in  small business (61%)  university teaching (56%)  high management (54%)  business (49%)  health (45%)  IT Computer (44%)  planning and engineering (42%). ◦ Returnees help the transition and expansion of HK’s tertiary education, IT and business development ◦ HK born returnees have their edge in combing best of tools: transnational human capita and local social capital as comparing to expatriates 32
  • 33. New waves: Import ProfessionalsNew waves: Import Professionals PolicyPolicy Pressure for more professionals to fill the market shortage in the face of global economic restructuring In 1994, Pilot import scheme of Mainland professionals and skilled personnel ◦ Graduates from 36 key universities ◦ Skills and experience relevant to the jobs ◦ Not allowed to bring families to HK ◦ Eligible to apply for permanent residence in HK after 7 years of continuous residence Later ◦ Professionals can bring their wife and children to HK ◦ No quota for the importation scheme as long as academic and experience requirements fulfilled ◦ Alleviate the shortage of professionals and mitigate the ageing population by allowing family members to stay 33
  • 34. New waves: Current HKSAR PolicyNew waves: Current HKSAR Policy In 2006 ◦ Dependent visa holders can take up employment w/o the need to obtain independent visa if his/her sponsor has been admitted into HK for employment or as capital investment entrant. ◦ QMA (Quality Migrant Admission Scheme) launched with a max. at 1000 per annum  General Points Test or the Achievement-based Points T 34
  • 35. New waves: HKSAR PolicyNew waves: HKSAR Policy 35
  • 36. SummarySummary  HK’s development – immigration plays an important role  Applying the theoretical framework to the immigration waves of HK Theoretical Framework of Mobility Transition 5 Waves of Immigration of HK 36
  • 37. SummarySummary Returnees created a brain drain reversal by bringing their transnational human capital and local social capital in high professions in various sectors. ◦ helps facilitate HK’s transition and expansion of tertiary education, technology development, global and regional business New Challenge: Migrants from the mainland ◦ Striking balance between the increasing pressure of admitting the family members of past immigrants and the increasing demand for skilled workers and professionals from the mainland Future direction: attract, train, and retain talents from the region and the developed economies to work in HK 37
  • 38. Q & AQ & A HK’s population policy public consultation ◦ http:// www.hkpopulation.gov.hk/public_engagement/en Other questions are also welcomed Thank you! 38