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Green Deal – The role of Social
Housing providers.


Matt Roberts
Director of Asset Management
and Development
Wigan and Leigh Housing
“The biggest home improvement
programme since the Second
World War”…?

          OR

          “a useless middle class
          subsidy” ?
It’s here!

 • Commenced October 2012

 • Green Deal plans 28th January 2013
What next?
Do nothing!!




                                        Do everything!!

           Or something in between...
Options Available

• Do nothing
• Green Deal Provider
• Provide part of the service – survey / installation
• Signpost
• Using Green Deal / ECO to improve homes
Become a Green Deal Provider
Become a Provider – the financial backer
• Can access loans at low rates (DECC)
• Has a sizeable customer base
• Are experienced in communicating with residents
• Have supply chains for doing the works
• Have an interest in ensuring the homes are of good
  quality
Advantages
• Reduce tenants’ bills
• Lead on reducing carbon in customers homes and
  potentially others.
• Generate a new income stream
• Maintain a closer understanding of properties and
  resident needs
• Ensure quality of work
• Focus activity on reducing fuel poverty and encourage
  behavioural change
• Employ local people
• Be seen as an innovator
Risks
     Calculation of the Golden Rule
     Energy efficiency is not always easy to sell.
     Providers will take on default risk of Green Deal
      charges.
     Liable for guarantees and warrantees put in
      place.
     Still unclear how lenders will view Green Deal
      finance – stock revaluation




9
The Golden Rule
New Barracks Estate

     • 78 early Edwardian
       properties

      -   Inadequate heating
      -   limited insulation
      -   damp
      -   draughty
      -   condensation




11
Some graphs!!




12
Appropriate measures
     •   CO2 savings (kgCO2 saved per year)
     •   Cost of energy saved per year
     •   Capital cost per kgCO2 saved
     •   Capital cost versus running cost saving




13
Methodology


     1. Retrofit Options Appraisal
        a. Projected savings
        b. Projected benefits
        c. Forecast SROI
     2. Data Collection
        a. Questionnaire
        b. Utility data
        c. Focus groups
     3. Results
        a. Utility Cost
        b. Comfort
        c. SROI Analysis

14
The Measures

     • Internal wall insulation
     • Windows and doors
     • Mechanical Ventilation Heat Recovery (MVHR)
     • Top up loft / cavity wall insulation
     • High efficiency condensing boilers




15
Projected Results – SAP Utility Cost savings

        Projected Savings Estimated




16
17
Results - Whole house comfort levels




18
£353 saving


     47.7% of pre
     retrofit average
     annual gas spend




19
The Golden Rule – What is the saving?

     • Estimated 40% saving close to actual.

     • Further savings taken in increased comfort.

     • How much physical / behavioural?

     • Variation based on occupants.

     • Increase in electrical costs – rebound affect?




20
Marketing and Engagement
The Benefits of Wall Insulation



                               Reduced bills

                               Improved appearance

                               Increased comfort

                               Reduced carbon




22
Private Sector Offer

     • CESP discount

     • Contractor arranged

     • Payback calculation

     • Signposted funding

           MARKETING AND COMMUNICATIONS!!




23
Or dis-benefits

                   “It is of our opinion that as a result of this
                   work, our properties have been de-valued by
                   at least £20,000 each, therefore it is our
                   intention to seek legal advice on the
                   possibility of suing the council for £20,000 per
                   household as compensation”.




24
Need to overcome natural inertia

            Changed Supplier in Last 5 Years




                                     28%


                                               Yes
                                               No


            72%




25
Recognise benefits (or disbenefits)

                 But maybe…..




           Before                  After


26
Providing part of the Service
Provide Part of the Service – Possible model
            Green Deal Provider

     Registered          Third party                               Funding
      provider            business                                 sources



          Green Deal
          assessment              Provides finance
                                  and installs
                                  measures

      Homes                                          Electricity
                           Payback                    supplier




28
Assessment
     • Trusted
     • Know the properties – public and private
     • Know the people
     • Experience of retrofit
     • Independent – nothing to sell
     • Serious about behavioural change
           But who pays for lack of take up?




29
Trust

            There is a tendency for people to adopt the opinions,
             judgements and behaviour of others

            People are more likely to install an energy efficiency
             measures if one of their family or peers have done so.

            Research suggests that engaging individuals as
           members of a      community, rather than only as consumers
             of energy, is an important strategy for changing
           energy-related behaviours




30
Installers
     • Frameworks delivering retrofit
     • Experience of working in peoples’ homes
     • Success in achieving training and apprenticeships
     • Mechanisms for performance monitoring
     • Quality assurance / management – PAS 2030
     • Commitment to local labour




31
There is an appetite!
               Would you be prepared to pay towards energy
           efficiency measures if you made a bigger saving as a
                                  result?



                      13%


                                                                  Yes
                                                                  No
            26%                                                   Blank
                                                   61%




32
Working through other Green Deal
Service Providers
Non Provider - Signpost

      Can’t do nothing
      Communication with tenants
      Working with Green Deal providers
      Watch and wait
      Focus on providing through Asset Management plans




34
Risks

      Works carried out without consent or knowledge.
      Not seen to be involved.
      Potential income stream.
      Not able to direct work to local businesses.
      Not being seen to combat fuel poverty.




35
Need to understand the implications.

     May / will need to…
      Assess Green Deal providers in your area –
       accreditation and experience
      Upskill EPC assessors to assess advice given.
      Support the marketing of the service by adding your
       brand.
      Develop a corporate approach to Green Deal enquiries.
      Keep up to date records of where Green Deal
       undertaken – lettings / void cost.



36
Word of warning – Green Deal must address the fuel
     poor
        There is a risk that the Green Deal could in fact make
        fuel poverty worse unless:
     • There is an accurate assessment of a home, its
       occupants and their behaviour in order to make the
       correct diagnosis and the economics of paying for
       them.
     • We recognise that different customers need different
       approaches.
     • We build trust in Green Deal among the fuel-poor, and
       overcome the mistrust that many people on low
       incomes feel towards official initiatives.


37
Using the Green Deal to improve your homes
Using the Green Deal to Improve your Homes


      Understanding your stock – maintain a strong asset
       database
      Integrate Asset Plan and Energy Efficiency Strategy
      Maximise your investment programme – trigger points
      Maximise level of funding through partnerships /
       innovations




39
Conclusion
Lessons Learnt
 • Behaviours vary as do savings!
 • Analysis is resource intensive
 • Education and advice is essential
 • Marketing is key (and expensive)
 • Take up will start slow
 • The industry is lagging behind
 • There is a role for housing providers
 • Consider long term asset planning




41
Thank You
     Questions
         ?

42

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Green Deal in Social Housing

  • 1. Green Deal – The role of Social Housing providers. Matt Roberts Director of Asset Management and Development Wigan and Leigh Housing
  • 2. “The biggest home improvement programme since the Second World War”…? OR “a useless middle class subsidy” ?
  • 3. It’s here! • Commenced October 2012 • Green Deal plans 28th January 2013
  • 4. What next? Do nothing!! Do everything!! Or something in between...
  • 5. Options Available • Do nothing • Green Deal Provider • Provide part of the service – survey / installation • Signpost • Using Green Deal / ECO to improve homes
  • 6. Become a Green Deal Provider
  • 7. Become a Provider – the financial backer • Can access loans at low rates (DECC) • Has a sizeable customer base • Are experienced in communicating with residents • Have supply chains for doing the works • Have an interest in ensuring the homes are of good quality
  • 8. Advantages • Reduce tenants’ bills • Lead on reducing carbon in customers homes and potentially others. • Generate a new income stream • Maintain a closer understanding of properties and resident needs • Ensure quality of work • Focus activity on reducing fuel poverty and encourage behavioural change • Employ local people • Be seen as an innovator
  • 9. Risks  Calculation of the Golden Rule  Energy efficiency is not always easy to sell.  Providers will take on default risk of Green Deal charges.  Liable for guarantees and warrantees put in place.  Still unclear how lenders will view Green Deal finance – stock revaluation 9
  • 11. New Barracks Estate • 78 early Edwardian properties - Inadequate heating - limited insulation - damp - draughty - condensation 11
  • 13. Appropriate measures • CO2 savings (kgCO2 saved per year) • Cost of energy saved per year • Capital cost per kgCO2 saved • Capital cost versus running cost saving 13
  • 14. Methodology 1. Retrofit Options Appraisal a. Projected savings b. Projected benefits c. Forecast SROI 2. Data Collection a. Questionnaire b. Utility data c. Focus groups 3. Results a. Utility Cost b. Comfort c. SROI Analysis 14
  • 15. The Measures • Internal wall insulation • Windows and doors • Mechanical Ventilation Heat Recovery (MVHR) • Top up loft / cavity wall insulation • High efficiency condensing boilers 15
  • 16. Projected Results – SAP Utility Cost savings Projected Savings Estimated 16
  • 17. 17
  • 18. Results - Whole house comfort levels 18
  • 19. £353 saving 47.7% of pre retrofit average annual gas spend 19
  • 20. The Golden Rule – What is the saving? • Estimated 40% saving close to actual. • Further savings taken in increased comfort. • How much physical / behavioural? • Variation based on occupants. • Increase in electrical costs – rebound affect? 20
  • 22. The Benefits of Wall Insulation  Reduced bills  Improved appearance  Increased comfort  Reduced carbon 22
  • 23. Private Sector Offer • CESP discount • Contractor arranged • Payback calculation • Signposted funding MARKETING AND COMMUNICATIONS!! 23
  • 24. Or dis-benefits “It is of our opinion that as a result of this work, our properties have been de-valued by at least £20,000 each, therefore it is our intention to seek legal advice on the possibility of suing the council for £20,000 per household as compensation”. 24
  • 25. Need to overcome natural inertia Changed Supplier in Last 5 Years 28% Yes No 72% 25
  • 26. Recognise benefits (or disbenefits) But maybe….. Before After 26
  • 27. Providing part of the Service
  • 28. Provide Part of the Service – Possible model Green Deal Provider Registered Third party Funding provider business sources Green Deal assessment Provides finance and installs measures Homes Electricity Payback supplier 28
  • 29. Assessment • Trusted • Know the properties – public and private • Know the people • Experience of retrofit • Independent – nothing to sell • Serious about behavioural change But who pays for lack of take up? 29
  • 30. Trust  There is a tendency for people to adopt the opinions, judgements and behaviour of others  People are more likely to install an energy efficiency measures if one of their family or peers have done so.  Research suggests that engaging individuals as members of a community, rather than only as consumers of energy, is an important strategy for changing energy-related behaviours 30
  • 31. Installers • Frameworks delivering retrofit • Experience of working in peoples’ homes • Success in achieving training and apprenticeships • Mechanisms for performance monitoring • Quality assurance / management – PAS 2030 • Commitment to local labour 31
  • 32. There is an appetite! Would you be prepared to pay towards energy efficiency measures if you made a bigger saving as a result? 13% Yes No 26% Blank 61% 32
  • 33. Working through other Green Deal Service Providers
  • 34. Non Provider - Signpost  Can’t do nothing  Communication with tenants  Working with Green Deal providers  Watch and wait  Focus on providing through Asset Management plans 34
  • 35. Risks  Works carried out without consent or knowledge.  Not seen to be involved.  Potential income stream.  Not able to direct work to local businesses.  Not being seen to combat fuel poverty. 35
  • 36. Need to understand the implications. May / will need to…  Assess Green Deal providers in your area – accreditation and experience  Upskill EPC assessors to assess advice given.  Support the marketing of the service by adding your brand.  Develop a corporate approach to Green Deal enquiries.  Keep up to date records of where Green Deal undertaken – lettings / void cost. 36
  • 37. Word of warning – Green Deal must address the fuel poor There is a risk that the Green Deal could in fact make fuel poverty worse unless: • There is an accurate assessment of a home, its occupants and their behaviour in order to make the correct diagnosis and the economics of paying for them. • We recognise that different customers need different approaches. • We build trust in Green Deal among the fuel-poor, and overcome the mistrust that many people on low incomes feel towards official initiatives. 37
  • 38. Using the Green Deal to improve your homes
  • 39. Using the Green Deal to Improve your Homes  Understanding your stock – maintain a strong asset database  Integrate Asset Plan and Energy Efficiency Strategy  Maximise your investment programme – trigger points  Maximise level of funding through partnerships / innovations 39
  • 41. Lessons Learnt • Behaviours vary as do savings! • Analysis is resource intensive • Education and advice is essential • Marketing is key (and expensive) • Take up will start slow • The industry is lagging behind • There is a role for housing providers • Consider long term asset planning 41
  • 42. Thank You Questions ? 42

Editor's Notes

  1. Within housing virtually everyone has a view on Green deal, neither of these are mine but clearly just the amount of column inches the green agenda is receiving means the tide is changing and with or without Green deal the industry is reacting..
  2. Even before early discussions around GD, we were keen to ensure that we could evaluate savings to customers, not just in costs, but also in comfort through improvements that could be afforded by the provider. Obviously this isn ’ t a GD model in terms of pay back, however provided lessons in terms of identifying works, engaging and monitoring.
  3. Learned colleagues at Arup would be appalled at days of research being referred to as some graphs.
  4. In order to ensure we were confident of the measures we considered the four criteria.
  5. The methodology falls into three distinct stages within a real programme of works. and for the purposes of today I don ’ t intend to go into too much detail around the social return on investment. Options, collection and results…
  6. At the beginning of the process Arup estimated that from the SAP utility cost savings would broadly break down as the two charts. One showing that from from just doing DH we would save, but the increase from retrofit was significant – however they estimated that half of the saving would not be taken as cash.
  7. These are the results against archetype and as you can see on the whole customers made savings, however these varied and in one case the bill even increased. This demonstrates how circumstances change and in one case bills even increased.
  8. But this slide demonstrates that on the whole people were generally more comfortable and what this tries to show is that to what extent do people live in discomfort just to pay the bill and where do you therefore pitch the golden rule
  9. When we evaluated all the bills we found that on average people saved around 47% which was consistent with the early projection, but clearly within the remaining 53% there is an element of non cashable saving i.e. comfort
  10. The reason I have highlighted this as it demonstrates the unexpected nature of the human behaviour and has inadvertently formed a large part of our learning. Properties in Ordsall offered the work, CESP negotiated on behalf of residents – take up minimal even though negotiated CESP discount and offered approved contractor.
  11. `Engaged, but didn ’ t provide calculations on costs, options for finance, but fundamentally only really interested in the fact that properties looked worse – now using these as a Green Deal pilot and have done assessments of measures going forward.