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Motivation Experimental design Results
An experiment on temptation, self-commitment
and attitude towards paternalism
Michaª Krawczyk1 and Šukasz Wo¹ny2
1University of Warsaw
2Warsaw School of Economics
2016
Motivation Experimental design Results
it's preliminary, so...
Motivation Experimental design Results
Why this study?
• casual observations and empirical evidence stress importance
of temptation and self-control in explaining individual behavior
(see Angeletos, Laibson, Repetto, Tobacman, Weinberg
(2001); Ameriks, Caplin, Leahy, Tyler (2007)).
• present in
• consumption choices
• personal nance
• company-client relations
• insurance and nancial markets . . .
• large literature on behavioral aspects of contracting in the
principal-agent setting, namely on trust, fairness, reciprocity
etc.
• importantly: self control problems arise even when no moral
hazard is present.
Motivation Experimental design Results
Theoretical perspectives
• Models of quasi-hyperbolic discounting (Strotz, Laibson):
predict preference reversals, demand for commitment (when
choosing the ex ante bad thing expected)
• Models of costly self-control (Gul and Pesendorfer): make
similar predictions, except that the agent wishes to avoid also
temptations she correctly anticipates to resist (because it takes
eort to do so once she faces them)
• Dicult but important to distinguish, from both theoretical
and policy perspectives.
Motivation Experimental design Results
Self-commitment and paternalism
• both seem to be related, because someone's choice is
restricted, with his own benet in mind
• but is demand for both driven by analogous mechanisms?
• if a tempting object decreases utility as proposed by GP,
having it removed by somebody else makes a decision maker
better o, so she should be grateful.
• coupled with some mild tendency to positive reciprocation
(which is commonly found in experiments) should result in
willingness to reward such restrictions, even at a (low)
monetary cost to self.
• by contrast for a hyperbolic dicounter, removing the option she
currently craves is frustrating, will probably trigger negative
reciprocity
• thus observing if commitment and support for paternalism are
correlated seems interesting
Motivation Experimental design Results
Related experiments
• Casari (2009) and others (see Bitterly, 2014 for a review):
about one-third are self control types.
• Kataria et al. (2014): reactions to restrictions imposed on
their menu of gambles. Outcomes matter (hindsight bias).
• Le Lec and Tarroux (2015): binary comparisons between
menus of websites for self and another. Preferred larger menus
for others, restricted for self.
• Uhl (2013) paid for showing up for a session early in the
morning. Proportions of subjects willing to impose a
commitment on self and others were similar but no correlation
• in a survey of Danish students, Pendersen et al. (2014) found
some link between self-control and support for strong (such as
choice restrictions) but not weak (such as nudges) forms of
paternalism.
Motivation Experimental design Results
The dishes
Motivation Experimental design Results
Pre-test
Which one would you choose... (1=certainly turkey, 2=rather t.,
3=hard to say, 4=rather burger 5=certainly burger)
stats | to eat to eat often for your
now in the future kids
---------+-------------------------------------
mean | 2.896 1.955 1.77
median | 2 2 1
-----------------------------------------------
N=135
Motivation Experimental design Results
Pre-test
Which dish is more... (1=certainly turkey etc.)
stats | eco healthy tasty tempting attr. satiating
--------+------------------------------------------------
mean | 2.007 1.333 3.333 3.622 3.311 3.67
median | 2 1 3 4 4 4
---------------------------------------------------------
n=135
Motivation Experimental design Results
Main study: decisions tasks
We invite subjects for a free lunch with opportunity to earn some
money and observe 4 choices:
• what menus (must eat burger; must eat turkey; your choice:
burger or turkey) subject assign to others;
• how they reward each of these menu choices another
participant made for them;
• which of the two dishes they pick on the spot (if given the
choice);
• whether they want to pre-commit to a choice of dish for a
future session.
Motivation Experimental design Results
Predictions
• GP theory rationalizes preference for commitment with some
self control V (T)  V (T ∪ B)  V (B)
• Strotz's overwhelming temptation rationalizes
V (T)  V (T ∪ B) = V (B) while
• Kreps rationalizes preference for exibility
V (T ∪ B)  V (T)  V (B)
Motivation Experimental design Results
Predictions
• standard model: no commitment, no rewards
• standard with reciprocity: no commitment, rewards:
choicepreferredunpreferred
• hyperbolic discounting, no reciprocity: commitment (mostly to
turkey), no rewards
• hyperbolic discounting with reciprocity: commitment (mostly
to turkey), rewards: choicepreferredunpreferred
• costly self-control, no reciprocity: commitment (mostly to
turkey), no rewards
• costly self-control with reciprocity: commitment (mostly to
turkey), rewards: preferred ≥ [turkey: ] choice  unpreferred
Motivation Experimental design Results
Treatments
four orthogonal manipulations
• order of dishes
• order of choices
• numbers in the example
• commitment before or after consumption
The last manipulation allowed investigating if willingness to commit
depends on visceral factors such as being hungry vs satiated.
Motivation Experimental design Results
Paternalism
menu_chosen | Freq. Percent
------------+-----------------------
Burger | 25 12.56
Turkey | 40 20.10
Your choice | 134 67.34
------------+-----------------------
Total | 199 100.00
Motivation Experimental design Results
Rewards for choice vs. rewards for most-rewarded
single-item menu
Motivation Experimental design Results
Reaction to paternalism. Self-commitment
Variable | Obs Mean Std. Dev. Min Max
----------------+-----------------------------------------
reward_burger | 199 2.06 1.541 0 5
reward_turkey | 199 2.095 1.542 0 5
reward_both | 199 2.68 1.541 0 5
bonus f. choice | 199 -.0125 1.725 -5 5
• own preference main predictor of single-item rewards. 7/199
reward the unpreferred single-item menu higher than the
preferred. Bonus for choice not signicantly dierent from 0
• 20.6% choose commitment. It is strongly linked to lower
bonus for choice (p = 0.0187). The eect survives also when
controlling for strength of preference. Self-commits give sig.
neg. bonus for choice. This is driven by those who chose
turkey, rather than burger for future consumption.
Motivation Experimental design Results
Predictions revisited
• standard model: no commitment, no rewards
• standard with reciprocity: no commitment, rewards:
choicepreferredunpreferred
• hyperbolic discounting, no reciprocity: commitment (mostly to
turkey), no rewards
• hyperbolic discounting with reciprocity: commitment (mostly
to turkey), rewards: choicepreferredunpreferred
• costly self-control, no reciprocity: commitment (mostly to
turkey), no rewards
• costly self-control with reciprocity: commitment (mostly to
turkey), rewards: preferred ≥ [turkey: ] choice  unpreferred
Motivation Experimental design Results
Self-commitment and paternalistic choices
| gave a choice
commitment | no yes | Total
-----------+----------------------+----------
no | 44 114 | 158
yes | 21 20 | 41
-----------+----------------------+----------
Total | 65 134 | 199
Pearson chi2(1) = 8.0844 Pr = 0.004
Again, this is robust to including controls, also condence in own
preference.
Motivation Experimental design Results
Other results
• no impact of manipulation of order of dishes, tasks or examples
• no impact of hunger (pre vs post) on willingness to commit
• no gender eects
• no eect of school, major (econ vs. not-econ)
• non-voters and those who voted for the right-wing,
conservative party (Law and Justice, PiS) more likely to
reward paternalistic choices (lower bonus for choice), more
likely to self-commit. PiS voters also more likely to restrict
others' choice
Motivation Experimental design Results
Summary
• We run a novel lab experiment with naturalistic stimuli
• We verify that temptation is relevant
• We observe non-trivial fraction of subjects self-committing,
choosing paternalistically for others and rewarding others'
patternalism
• these three tendencies are intercorrelated; overall, some
support for models of costly self-control
• some support for the claim that this is associated with
conservative political views

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Gp experyment

  • 1. Motivation Experimental design Results An experiment on temptation, self-commitment and attitude towards paternalism Michaª Krawczyk1 and Šukasz Wo¹ny2 1University of Warsaw 2Warsaw School of Economics 2016
  • 2. Motivation Experimental design Results it's preliminary, so...
  • 3. Motivation Experimental design Results Why this study? • casual observations and empirical evidence stress importance of temptation and self-control in explaining individual behavior (see Angeletos, Laibson, Repetto, Tobacman, Weinberg (2001); Ameriks, Caplin, Leahy, Tyler (2007)). • present in • consumption choices • personal nance • company-client relations • insurance and nancial markets . . . • large literature on behavioral aspects of contracting in the principal-agent setting, namely on trust, fairness, reciprocity etc. • importantly: self control problems arise even when no moral hazard is present.
  • 4. Motivation Experimental design Results Theoretical perspectives • Models of quasi-hyperbolic discounting (Strotz, Laibson): predict preference reversals, demand for commitment (when choosing the ex ante bad thing expected) • Models of costly self-control (Gul and Pesendorfer): make similar predictions, except that the agent wishes to avoid also temptations she correctly anticipates to resist (because it takes eort to do so once she faces them) • Dicult but important to distinguish, from both theoretical and policy perspectives.
  • 5. Motivation Experimental design Results Self-commitment and paternalism • both seem to be related, because someone's choice is restricted, with his own benet in mind • but is demand for both driven by analogous mechanisms? • if a tempting object decreases utility as proposed by GP, having it removed by somebody else makes a decision maker better o, so she should be grateful. • coupled with some mild tendency to positive reciprocation (which is commonly found in experiments) should result in willingness to reward such restrictions, even at a (low) monetary cost to self. • by contrast for a hyperbolic dicounter, removing the option she currently craves is frustrating, will probably trigger negative reciprocity • thus observing if commitment and support for paternalism are correlated seems interesting
  • 6. Motivation Experimental design Results Related experiments • Casari (2009) and others (see Bitterly, 2014 for a review): about one-third are self control types. • Kataria et al. (2014): reactions to restrictions imposed on their menu of gambles. Outcomes matter (hindsight bias). • Le Lec and Tarroux (2015): binary comparisons between menus of websites for self and another. Preferred larger menus for others, restricted for self. • Uhl (2013) paid for showing up for a session early in the morning. Proportions of subjects willing to impose a commitment on self and others were similar but no correlation • in a survey of Danish students, Pendersen et al. (2014) found some link between self-control and support for strong (such as choice restrictions) but not weak (such as nudges) forms of paternalism.
  • 7. Motivation Experimental design Results The dishes
  • 8. Motivation Experimental design Results Pre-test Which one would you choose... (1=certainly turkey, 2=rather t., 3=hard to say, 4=rather burger 5=certainly burger) stats | to eat to eat often for your now in the future kids ---------+------------------------------------- mean | 2.896 1.955 1.77 median | 2 2 1 ----------------------------------------------- N=135
  • 9. Motivation Experimental design Results Pre-test Which dish is more... (1=certainly turkey etc.) stats | eco healthy tasty tempting attr. satiating --------+------------------------------------------------ mean | 2.007 1.333 3.333 3.622 3.311 3.67 median | 2 1 3 4 4 4 --------------------------------------------------------- n=135
  • 10. Motivation Experimental design Results Main study: decisions tasks We invite subjects for a free lunch with opportunity to earn some money and observe 4 choices: • what menus (must eat burger; must eat turkey; your choice: burger or turkey) subject assign to others; • how they reward each of these menu choices another participant made for them; • which of the two dishes they pick on the spot (if given the choice); • whether they want to pre-commit to a choice of dish for a future session.
  • 11. Motivation Experimental design Results Predictions • GP theory rationalizes preference for commitment with some self control V (T) V (T ∪ B) V (B) • Strotz's overwhelming temptation rationalizes V (T) V (T ∪ B) = V (B) while • Kreps rationalizes preference for exibility V (T ∪ B) V (T) V (B)
  • 12. Motivation Experimental design Results Predictions • standard model: no commitment, no rewards • standard with reciprocity: no commitment, rewards: choicepreferredunpreferred • hyperbolic discounting, no reciprocity: commitment (mostly to turkey), no rewards • hyperbolic discounting with reciprocity: commitment (mostly to turkey), rewards: choicepreferredunpreferred • costly self-control, no reciprocity: commitment (mostly to turkey), no rewards • costly self-control with reciprocity: commitment (mostly to turkey), rewards: preferred ≥ [turkey: ] choice unpreferred
  • 13. Motivation Experimental design Results Treatments four orthogonal manipulations • order of dishes • order of choices • numbers in the example • commitment before or after consumption The last manipulation allowed investigating if willingness to commit depends on visceral factors such as being hungry vs satiated.
  • 14. Motivation Experimental design Results Paternalism menu_chosen | Freq. Percent ------------+----------------------- Burger | 25 12.56 Turkey | 40 20.10 Your choice | 134 67.34 ------------+----------------------- Total | 199 100.00
  • 15. Motivation Experimental design Results Rewards for choice vs. rewards for most-rewarded single-item menu
  • 16. Motivation Experimental design Results Reaction to paternalism. Self-commitment Variable | Obs Mean Std. Dev. Min Max ----------------+----------------------------------------- reward_burger | 199 2.06 1.541 0 5 reward_turkey | 199 2.095 1.542 0 5 reward_both | 199 2.68 1.541 0 5 bonus f. choice | 199 -.0125 1.725 -5 5 • own preference main predictor of single-item rewards. 7/199 reward the unpreferred single-item menu higher than the preferred. Bonus for choice not signicantly dierent from 0 • 20.6% choose commitment. It is strongly linked to lower bonus for choice (p = 0.0187). The eect survives also when controlling for strength of preference. Self-commits give sig. neg. bonus for choice. This is driven by those who chose turkey, rather than burger for future consumption.
  • 17. Motivation Experimental design Results Predictions revisited • standard model: no commitment, no rewards • standard with reciprocity: no commitment, rewards: choicepreferredunpreferred • hyperbolic discounting, no reciprocity: commitment (mostly to turkey), no rewards • hyperbolic discounting with reciprocity: commitment (mostly to turkey), rewards: choicepreferredunpreferred • costly self-control, no reciprocity: commitment (mostly to turkey), no rewards • costly self-control with reciprocity: commitment (mostly to turkey), rewards: preferred ≥ [turkey: ] choice unpreferred
  • 18. Motivation Experimental design Results Self-commitment and paternalistic choices | gave a choice commitment | no yes | Total -----------+----------------------+---------- no | 44 114 | 158 yes | 21 20 | 41 -----------+----------------------+---------- Total | 65 134 | 199 Pearson chi2(1) = 8.0844 Pr = 0.004 Again, this is robust to including controls, also condence in own preference.
  • 19. Motivation Experimental design Results Other results • no impact of manipulation of order of dishes, tasks or examples • no impact of hunger (pre vs post) on willingness to commit • no gender eects • no eect of school, major (econ vs. not-econ) • non-voters and those who voted for the right-wing, conservative party (Law and Justice, PiS) more likely to reward paternalistic choices (lower bonus for choice), more likely to self-commit. PiS voters also more likely to restrict others' choice
  • 20. Motivation Experimental design Results Summary • We run a novel lab experiment with naturalistic stimuli • We verify that temptation is relevant • We observe non-trivial fraction of subjects self-committing, choosing paternalistically for others and rewarding others' patternalism • these three tendencies are intercorrelated; overall, some support for models of costly self-control • some support for the claim that this is associated with conservative political views