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1209 University of Oregon | Eugene, Oregon 97403 | P: 541.346.3889 | F: 541.346.2040
http://cpw.uoregon.edu
	
   	
   December	
  3,	
  2014	
  
SUMMARY
The	
  following	
  memo	
  outlines	
  memo	
  outlines	
  socio	
  economic	
  and	
  demographic	
  information,	
  
including	
  characteristics	
  such	
  as	
  age,	
  income,	
  household	
  size	
  and	
  type,	
  and	
  development	
  trends	
  
Gold	
  Hill,	
  Oregon.	
  	
  This	
  memo	
  can	
  be	
  used	
  to	
  inform	
  the	
  Community	
  and	
  Recreation	
  Profile	
  
section	
  of	
  the	
  Gold	
  Hill	
  Parks	
  Master	
  Plan.	
  	
  
An	
  accurate	
  understanding	
  of	
  the	
  demographics	
  of	
  Gold	
  Hill	
  is	
  integral	
  to	
  the	
  parks	
  planning	
  
process.	
  People	
  of	
  different	
  social,	
  economic	
  and	
  cultural	
  backgrounds	
  use	
  parks	
  and	
  open	
  
space	
  differently—teenagers	
  might	
  favor	
  a	
  skate	
  park,	
  while	
  citizens	
  25-­‐64	
  may	
  enjoy	
  exercise	
  
equipment	
  and	
  citizens	
  65+	
  may	
  enjoy	
  a	
  walking	
  path.	
  A	
  snapshot	
  of	
  Gold	
  Hills’	
  demographics	
  
accompanied	
  by	
  a	
  projection	
  of	
  future	
  changes	
  help	
  to	
  make	
  the	
  plan	
  more	
  useful	
  for	
  the	
  
community	
  for	
  the	
  five-­‐year	
  planning	
  horizon.	
  
The	
  memo	
  concludes	
  with	
  key	
  findings	
  from	
  the	
  analysis	
  and	
  recommendations	
  gleaned	
  from	
  
the	
  Oregon	
  Parks	
  and	
  Recreation	
  Department’s	
  Statewide	
  Comprehensive	
  Outdoor	
  Recreation	
  
Plan	
  (SCORP,	
  2008	
  -­‐2012).	
  The	
  SCORP	
  provides	
  research	
  and	
  recommendations	
  focused	
  on	
  
serving	
  aging	
  populations,	
  youth,	
  and	
  diverse	
  populations	
  based	
  on	
  comprehensive	
  trend	
  
analysis.	
  
SOCIO ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
Population
As	
  seen	
  in	
  Table	
  1-­‐1,	
  between	
  the	
  2000	
  and	
  2010	
  Census,	
  Gold	
  Hill	
  has	
  grown	
  slightly	
  faster	
  
than	
  the	
  State	
  of	
  Oregon	
  and	
  Jackson	
  County.	
  This	
  is	
  an	
  important	
  trend	
  to	
  monitor	
  as	
  the	
  
population	
  change	
  between	
  1990	
  and	
  2000	
  was	
  much	
  slower	
  in	
  Gold	
  Hill	
  than	
  in	
  the	
  county	
  and	
  
state.	
  The	
  Jackson	
  County	
  Comprehensive	
  Plan’s	
  Population	
  Element	
  determined	
  between	
  
1980-­‐2005,	
  Gold	
  Hill	
  was	
  one	
  of	
  the	
  slowest	
  growing	
  cities	
  in	
  the	
  county	
  increasing	
  by	
  just	
  176	
  
people.	
  If	
  the	
  population	
  increases	
  in	
  Gold	
  Hill	
  continue,	
  its	
  parks	
  will	
  have	
  added	
  demand	
  and	
  
should	
  be	
  used	
  and	
  programed	
  to	
  the	
  appropriately	
  to	
  create	
  places	
  and	
  spaces	
  to	
  support	
  the	
  
needs	
  of	
  a	
  growing	
  population.	
  
The	
  population	
  projections	
  in	
  the	
  2007	
  Jackson	
  County	
  Comprehensive	
  Plan	
  Amendment	
  
predict	
  an	
  increase	
  to	
  1,901	
  residents	
  by	
  2040.	
  This	
  is	
  681	
  more	
  residents	
  than	
  today’s	
  1,220,	
  a	
  
76%	
  population	
  increase	
  at	
  an	
  average	
  annual	
  growth	
  rate	
  (AARG)	
  of	
  1.63%.	
  (The	
  Gold	
  Hill	
  
Water	
  System	
  Master	
  Plan	
  used	
  the	
  same	
  AARG	
  to	
  project	
  the	
  population	
  by	
  2035.	
  The	
  Water	
  
System	
  Master	
  Plan	
  determined	
  an	
  increase	
  to	
  1,754	
  residents	
  in	
  Gold	
  Hill.)	
  
To	
  	
  	
  	
   Galbraith	
  Associates	
  
From	
   Ross	
  Peizer	
  and	
  Anya	
  Dobrowolski	
  
SUBJECT	
   GOLD	
  HILL	
  OREGON	
  SOCIO	
  ECONOMIC	
  ANALYSIS	
  MEMO	
  
	
   	
  
Gold Hill Socio Economic Analysis December 2014 Page | 2
	
  
Table 1-1. Population Changes
	
   	
  
Source:	
  U.S.	
  Census	
  Bureau,	
  2000	
  Summary	
  File	
  (SF	
  1)	
  100-­‐Percent	
  Data	
  and	
  2010	
  Demographic	
  Profile	
  Data	
  
Age Characteristics
The	
  age	
  of	
  a	
  city’s	
  residents	
  has	
  important	
  implications	
  for	
  parks	
  planning.	
  Age	
  groups	
  have	
  
different	
  needs	
  and	
  desires	
  for	
  recreational	
  and	
  park	
  opportunities.	
  It	
  is	
  important	
  for	
  parks	
  
systems	
  to	
  meet	
  the	
  recreation	
  needs	
  of	
  residents	
  of	
  all	
  ages.	
  Census	
  data	
  indicates	
  the	
  average	
  
age	
  of	
  Gold	
  Hill	
  residents	
  is	
  increasing.	
  	
  
In	
  2010,	
  the	
  median	
  age	
  of	
  Gold	
  Hill	
  residents	
  was	
  approximately	
  43.9	
  years,	
  up	
  from	
  36.7	
  in	
  
2000.	
  Table	
  1-­‐3	
  shows	
  the	
  gender	
  and	
  age	
  distribution	
  in	
  Gold	
  Hill	
  for	
  2000	
  and	
  2010.	
  The	
  
number	
  of	
  people	
  aged	
  20-­‐64	
  grew	
  24%	
  and	
  65+	
  grew	
  44%;	
  this	
  suggests	
  that	
  the	
  city	
  should	
  
consider	
  adults	
  and	
  seniors	
  in	
  the	
  location	
  and	
  design	
  of	
  park	
  facilities.	
  These	
  age	
  groups	
  
indicate	
  a	
  need	
  for	
  certain	
  open	
  space	
  and	
  recreational	
  opportunities	
  such	
  as	
  walking	
  paths	
  for	
  
the	
  seniors	
  and	
  exercise	
  equipment	
  for	
  adults.	
  
Table 1-3. Gender and Age Distribution, Gold Hill, 2010
Source:	
  U.S.	
  Census	
  Bureau,	
  2000	
  Summary	
  File	
  (SF	
  1)	
  100-­‐Percent	
  Data	
  and	
  2010	
  Demographic	
  Profile	
  Data	
  
Ethnicity and Race
An	
  accurate	
  depiction	
  of	
  the	
  racial	
  background	
  and	
  ethnicities	
  of	
  a	
  city	
  are	
  important	
  to	
  
planning	
  processes.	
  In	
  many	
  instances,	
  people	
  from	
  dissimilar	
  ethnic	
  backgrounds	
  use	
  parks	
  
and	
  recreational	
  facilities	
  in	
  different	
  ways	
  than	
  other	
  residents.	
  For	
  example,	
  Hispanics	
  may	
  
desire	
  sports	
  facilities	
  and	
  recreational	
  fields	
  that	
  provide	
  the	
  opportunity	
  to	
  play	
  competitive	
  
or	
  recreational	
  soccer	
  with	
  friends	
  and	
  family	
  members.	
  	
  
Gold	
  hill	
  has	
  a	
  relatively	
  small	
  population	
  of	
  Hispanic	
  individuals—in	
  2000,	
  Hispanics	
  accounted	
  
for	
  3.4%	
  of	
  the	
  total	
  population	
  with	
  36	
  individuals;	
  that	
  population	
  shrunk	
  to	
  33	
  individuals	
  
that	
  currently	
  comprise	
  2.7%	
  of	
  the	
  total	
  population	
  of	
  Gold	
  Hill.	
  However,	
  national	
  and	
  state	
  
demographic	
  statistics	
  indicate	
  the	
  Hispanic	
  population	
  are	
  growing	
  overall	
  and	
  will	
  continue	
  to	
  
Gold Hill Socio Economic Analysis December 2014 Page | 3
	
  
grow	
  at	
  a	
  steady	
  pace.	
  For	
  example,	
  in	
  nearby	
  Medford,	
  the	
  Hispanic	
  population	
  between	
  the	
  
2000	
  and	
  2010	
  census	
  increased	
  from	
  5,841	
  individuals	
  to	
  10,319	
  individuals.	
  	
  Because	
  Gold	
  Hill	
  
plans	
  to	
  use	
  its	
  parks	
  as	
  destinations	
  for	
  regional	
  tourism,	
  it	
  should	
  plan	
  to	
  provide	
  park	
  
facilities	
  Hispanic	
  populations	
  traditionally	
  utilize.	
  The	
  following	
  Table	
  1-­‐6	
  displays	
  racial	
  and	
  
ethnic	
  demographic	
  information	
  for	
  Gold	
  Hill	
  in	
  2000	
  and	
  2010.	
  
Table 1-6. Race and Ethnicity, Gold Hill 2000 and 2010
Source:	
  U.S.	
  Census	
  Bureau,	
  2000	
  Summary	
  File	
  (SF	
  1)	
  100-­‐Percent	
  Data	
  and	
  2010	
  Demographic	
  Profile	
  Data	
  
Persons with Disabilities
Knowing	
  the	
  percentage	
  of	
  populations	
  with	
  disabilities	
  can	
  help	
  plan	
  for	
  parks	
  that	
  
accommodate	
  all	
  types	
  of	
  people	
  at	
  any	
  ability	
  level.	
  As	
  shown	
  in	
  table	
  1-­‐7,	
  residents	
  with	
  
disabilities	
  in	
  Gold	
  Hill	
  are	
  6.1%	
  higher	
  overall	
  than	
  in	
  Jackson	
  County.	
  Gold	
  Hill	
  has	
  a	
  higher	
  
percentage	
  of	
  residents	
  with	
  disabilities	
  in	
  all	
  age	
  categories	
  except	
  the	
  under	
  18	
  age	
  group.	
  
The	
  largest	
  percentage	
  difference	
  between	
  Gold	
  Hill	
  and	
  the	
  county	
  is	
  in	
  the	
  65+	
  age	
  group,	
  
with	
  20.2%	
  more	
  residents	
  with	
  disabilities	
  than	
  the	
  county.	
  This	
  data	
  implies	
  that	
  ADA	
  walking	
  
paths	
  and	
  surfaces	
  will	
  be	
  important	
  to	
  cater	
  to	
  the	
  higher	
  percentage	
  of	
  residents	
  with	
  
disabilities	
  in	
  Gold	
  Hill.	
  
Table 1-7. Residents with Disabilities
Source:	
  2008-­‐2012	
  American	
  Community	
  Survey	
  (ACS)	
  5-­‐Year	
  Estimates.	
  The	
  ACS	
  classifies	
  residents	
  with	
  disabilities	
  for	
  anyone	
  
who	
  reports	
  the	
  following	
  six	
  difficulties:	
  Hearing,	
  Vision,	
  Cognitive,	
  Ambulatory,	
  Self-­‐care	
  and	
  Independent	
  living.	
  
Income
Income,	
  industries	
  and	
  jobs	
  in	
  Gold	
  Hill	
  can	
  inform	
  what	
  days	
  and	
  times	
  of	
  day	
  parks	
  will	
  be	
  
used.	
  The	
  median	
  annual	
  household	
  income	
  in	
  Jackson	
  County	
  is	
  approximately	
  $6,000	
  higher	
  
than	
  Gold	
  Hill’s	
  median	
  household	
  income.	
  However,	
  the	
  family	
  median	
  income	
  in	
  Gold	
  Hill	
  is	
  
just	
  $800	
  less	
  than	
  Jackson	
  County’s	
  as	
  seen	
  in	
  Table	
  1-­‐8.	
  The	
  poverty	
  level	
  is	
  higher	
  in	
  Gold	
  Hill	
  
than	
  Jackson	
  County	
  but	
  unemployment	
  is	
  2.5%	
  lower	
  as	
  show	
  in	
  Table	
  1-­‐8.	
  	
  	
  
Gold Hill Socio Economic Analysis December 2014 Page | 4
	
  
Table 1-8. Selected Economic Characteristics, Jackson County and Gold Hill, 2008-12
Source:	
  Selected	
  Economic	
  Characteristics	
  2008-­‐2012	
  American	
  Community	
  Survey	
  5-­‐Year	
  Estimates	
  
Economy
Gold	
  Hill’s	
  2012	
  Strategic	
  Plan	
  Update	
  Social	
  and	
  Economic	
  Trends	
  section	
  explains	
  the	
  history	
  
of	
  the	
  mining	
  and	
  then	
  timber	
  industry	
  in	
  the	
  area.	
  Today,	
  Gold	
  Hill	
  is	
  a	
  bedroom	
  community	
  
where	
  residents	
  mostly	
  work	
  in	
  White	
  City,	
  Medford	
  and	
  Grants	
  Pass.	
  The	
  largest	
  employers	
  in	
  
Gold	
  Hill	
  are	
  the	
  local	
  schools,	
  Ray’s	
  Market	
  and	
  Sweed’s	
  Machinery,	
  Inc.	
  	
  
Gold	
  Hill	
  is	
  currently	
  prioritizing	
  more	
  tourist	
  activities	
  to	
  bring	
  travelers	
  off	
  the	
  highway	
  to	
  
experience	
  wineries,	
  museums	
  and	
  outdoor	
  recreation	
  in	
  the	
  area.	
  For	
  example	
  the	
  Del	
  Rio	
  
Vineyard	
  is	
  the	
  largest	
  planted	
  vineyard	
  track	
  in	
  Southern	
  Oregon	
  and	
  also	
  features	
  the	
  Rock	
  
Point	
  Stage	
  Hotel.	
  Advanced	
  Aggregate	
  is	
  another	
  business	
  bringing	
  tourists	
  to	
  Gold	
  Hill	
  to	
  learn	
  
about	
  Oregon	
  marble	
  production.	
  	
  
Gold	
  Hill	
  is	
  also	
  well	
  known	
  amongst	
  white	
  water	
  rafters	
  and	
  kayakers	
  for	
  the	
  class	
  4	
  rapids	
  in	
  
the	
  Rogue	
  River	
  adjacent	
  to	
  Sports	
  Park.	
  	
  With	
  the	
  removal	
  of	
  the	
  Gold	
  Hill	
  Dam	
  and	
  Gold	
  Ray	
  
Dam	
  there	
  has	
  been	
  interest	
  and	
  a	
  master	
  plan	
  for	
  developing	
  the	
  sites	
  into	
  a	
  world-­‐class	
  white	
  
water	
  facility.	
  If	
  this	
  happens,	
  a	
  facility	
  like	
  this	
  may	
  be	
  a	
  tourist	
  draw	
  for	
  Gold	
  Hill	
  in	
  a	
  state	
  well	
  
known	
  for	
  outdoor	
  recreation.	
  	
  
KEY FINDINGS
Gold	
  Hill’s	
  socio	
  economic	
  trends	
  help	
  inform	
  the	
  planning	
  and	
  development	
  of	
  individual	
  parks	
  
and	
  the	
  system	
  as	
  a	
  whole.	
  The	
  community’s	
  age	
  distribution	
  highlights	
  the	
  current	
  and	
  future	
  
need	
  of	
  parks	
  for	
  children,	
  teenagers	
  and	
  senior	
  populations.	
  Key	
  findings	
  and	
  conclusions	
  from	
  
the	
  community	
  profile	
  include:	
  
• Gold	
  Hill	
  should	
  plan	
  to	
  accommodate	
  a	
  growing	
  population	
  in	
  their	
  parks	
  system.	
  	
  
• Gold	
  Hill	
  should	
  anticipate	
  the	
  needs	
  of	
  a	
  growing	
  baby	
  boomer	
  and	
  senior	
  population	
  and	
  plan	
  
to	
  develop	
  park	
  facilities	
  that	
  accommodate	
  these	
  age	
  groups.	
  See	
  the	
  Baby	
  Boomers	
  section	
  
below	
  for	
  more	
  specific	
  recommendations.	
  
• Gold	
  Hill	
  should	
  plan	
  for	
  a	
  Hispanic	
  community	
  and	
  work	
  with	
  those	
  communities	
  to	
  provide	
  
parks	
  that	
  meet	
  their	
  needs.	
  See	
  Hispanic	
  Populations	
  section	
  below	
  for	
  more	
  specific	
  
recommendations.	
  
• Gold	
  Hill	
  should	
  plan	
  to	
  accommodate	
  residents	
  with	
  disabilities	
  and	
  mobility	
  impairments	
  in	
  
the	
  parks	
  system.	
  
• Gold	
  Hill’s	
  economy	
  is	
  growing	
  and	
  looking	
  to	
  expand	
  to	
  attract	
  more	
  visitors.	
  Gold	
  Hill	
  needs	
  to	
  
be	
  prepared	
  for	
  the	
  increase	
  in	
  use	
  parks	
  due	
  to	
  an	
  expanding	
  tourist	
  economy.	
  
Gold Hill Socio Economic Analysis December 2014 Page | 5
	
  
POPULATION-SPECIFIC FINDINGS
This	
  section	
  includes	
  information	
  from	
  the	
  SCORP	
  for	
  serving	
  user	
  groups	
  identified	
  in	
  the	
  Gold	
  
Hill	
  socio	
  economic	
  analysis.	
  These	
  findings	
  should	
  be	
  used	
  to	
  supplement	
  the	
  socio	
  economic	
  
findings	
  to	
  best	
  meet	
  the	
  needs	
  of	
  specific	
  user	
  groups.	
  	
  
Baby Boomers
The	
  SCORP	
  indicates	
  that	
  the	
  most	
  popular	
  activities	
  for	
  boomer	
  and	
  pre-­‐boomer1
	
  populations	
  
in	
  (2008)	
  included	
  walking,	
  bird	
  watching,	
  jogging,	
  sightseeing,	
  and	
  bicycling.
Walking	
  was	
  a	
  popular	
  outdoor	
  recreation	
  activity	
  for	
  all	
  age	
  groups	
  and	
  was	
  chosen	
  as	
  the	
  top	
  
activity	
  for	
  both	
  boomers	
  and	
  pre-­‐boomer	
  populations.	
  SCORP	
  makes	
  several	
  
recommendations	
  for	
  serving	
  the	
  baby	
  boomer	
  population	
  that	
  are	
  relevant	
  to	
  Gold	
  Hill:	
  	
  
• Develop	
  accessible	
  trails	
  in	
  remote	
  settings	
  in	
  close	
  proximity	
  to	
  urban	
  areas	
  	
  
• Encourage	
  trail	
  use	
  by	
  making	
  sure	
  trails	
  are	
  safe	
  and	
  accessible	
  
• Information	
  about	
  trail	
  systems	
  should	
  be	
  made	
  easily	
  available	
  to	
  these	
  users	
  both	
  online	
  and	
  
hard	
  copy	
  
• Facilitate	
  the	
  development	
  of	
  local	
  senior	
  walking	
  clubs	
  	
  
• Develop	
  volunteer	
  opportunities	
  for	
  the	
  boomer	
  population	
  
Hispanic Populations
The	
  demographics	
  section	
  notes	
  the	
  need	
  to	
  consider	
  the	
  needs	
  of	
  an	
  expanding	
  state-­‐wide	
  
Hispanic	
  population.	
  The	
  following	
  recommendations	
  were	
  made	
  by	
  the	
  State	
  of	
  Oregon	
  Parks	
  
and	
  Recreation	
  Department	
  (OPRD)	
  in	
  SCORP	
  to	
  address	
  this	
  need:	
  
• Encourage	
  organizational	
  culture	
  change	
  within	
  public	
  recreation	
  agencies/organizations	
  to	
  
effectively	
  address	
  the	
  diversity	
  issue	
  
• Create	
  a	
  pilot	
  project	
  to	
  identify	
  how	
  to	
  increase	
  under-­‐represented	
  population	
  access	
  to	
  
outdoor	
  sports	
  fields	
  
• Develop	
  recommendations	
  for	
  addressing	
  language	
  barriers	
  to	
  encourage	
  under-­‐represented	
  
population	
  use	
  of	
  outdoor	
  recreation	
  facilities	
  and	
  programs	
  
• For	
  example,	
  signage	
  and	
  interpretive	
  information	
  should	
  be	
  presented	
  in	
  a	
  bilingual	
  format	
  so	
  
that	
  Hispanics	
  are	
  accommodated	
  in	
  the	
  park	
  system.	
  
• Create	
  a	
  customer	
  service	
  training	
  module	
  related	
  to	
  serving	
  the	
  outdoor	
  recreation	
  needs	
  of	
  on	
  
increasingly	
  diverse	
  population	
  	
  
• Develop	
  and	
  implement	
  a	
  regional	
  youth	
  framework	
  to	
  encourage	
  underrepresented	
  youth	
  
participation	
  in	
  outdoor	
  recreation	
  activities	
  through	
  partnerships	
  and	
  investments	
  in	
  school	
  
based	
  recreation	
  clubs	
  
Youth
Even	
  though	
  Gold	
  Hill	
  has	
  not	
  shown	
  an	
  increase	
  in	
  youth	
  populations,	
  the	
  following	
  research	
  is	
  
helpful	
  if	
  current	
  trends	
  shift.	
  SCORP	
  research	
  shows	
  that	
  children	
  are	
  spending	
  increasingly	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
1
	
  Baby	
  Boomers	
  are	
  Oregon	
  residents	
  born	
  between	
  1946	
  through	
  1964,	
  while	
  PreBoomers	
  are	
  Oregon	
  residents	
  born	
  between	
  
1926	
  and	
  1945.	
  
Gold Hill Socio Economic Analysis December 2014 Page | 6
	
  
more	
  time	
  indoors	
  than	
  outdoors.	
  SCORP	
  conducted	
  surveys	
  and	
  focus	
  groups	
  to	
  help	
  
determine	
  solutions	
  to	
  this	
  problem.	
  The	
  following	
  results	
  show	
  the	
  favorite	
  and	
  second	
  
favorite	
  ranked	
  activities	
  by	
  age	
  range.	
  
Table 1-9. Favorite and second favorite activities, by youth age
	
  
Source:	
  Statewide	
  Comprehensive	
  Outdoor	
  Recreation	
  Plan	
  (SCORP),	
  2008	
  
SOURCES
Gold	
  Hill	
  2012	
  Strategic	
  Plan	
  Update	
  	
  
Gold	
  Hill	
  Water	
  Master	
  Plan,	
  2014.	
  
Jackson	
  County	
  Comprehensive	
  Plan’s	
  Population	
  Element,	
  2007.	
  
National	
  Recreation	
  and	
  Park	
  Association	
  	
  
Oregon	
  Parks	
  and	
  Recreation	
  Department	
  
Statewide	
  Comprehensive	
  Outdoor	
  Recreation	
  Plan	
  (SCORP),	
  January	
  2008,	
  Department	
  of	
  
Parks	
  and	
  Recreation	
  http://www.oregon.gov/oprd/PLANS/docs/scorp/2008-­‐
2012_SCORP/2008_Scorp_Final_Web.pdf	
  
U.S.	
  Census	
  and	
  American	
  Community	
  Survey	
  

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Gold Hill Socio Economic Analysis Memo_Final

  • 1.   1209 University of Oregon | Eugene, Oregon 97403 | P: 541.346.3889 | F: 541.346.2040 http://cpw.uoregon.edu     December  3,  2014   SUMMARY The  following  memo  outlines  memo  outlines  socio  economic  and  demographic  information,   including  characteristics  such  as  age,  income,  household  size  and  type,  and  development  trends   Gold  Hill,  Oregon.    This  memo  can  be  used  to  inform  the  Community  and  Recreation  Profile   section  of  the  Gold  Hill  Parks  Master  Plan.     An  accurate  understanding  of  the  demographics  of  Gold  Hill  is  integral  to  the  parks  planning   process.  People  of  different  social,  economic  and  cultural  backgrounds  use  parks  and  open   space  differently—teenagers  might  favor  a  skate  park,  while  citizens  25-­‐64  may  enjoy  exercise   equipment  and  citizens  65+  may  enjoy  a  walking  path.  A  snapshot  of  Gold  Hills’  demographics   accompanied  by  a  projection  of  future  changes  help  to  make  the  plan  more  useful  for  the   community  for  the  five-­‐year  planning  horizon.   The  memo  concludes  with  key  findings  from  the  analysis  and  recommendations  gleaned  from   the  Oregon  Parks  and  Recreation  Department’s  Statewide  Comprehensive  Outdoor  Recreation   Plan  (SCORP,  2008  -­‐2012).  The  SCORP  provides  research  and  recommendations  focused  on   serving  aging  populations,  youth,  and  diverse  populations  based  on  comprehensive  trend   analysis.   SOCIO ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Population As  seen  in  Table  1-­‐1,  between  the  2000  and  2010  Census,  Gold  Hill  has  grown  slightly  faster   than  the  State  of  Oregon  and  Jackson  County.  This  is  an  important  trend  to  monitor  as  the   population  change  between  1990  and  2000  was  much  slower  in  Gold  Hill  than  in  the  county  and   state.  The  Jackson  County  Comprehensive  Plan’s  Population  Element  determined  between   1980-­‐2005,  Gold  Hill  was  one  of  the  slowest  growing  cities  in  the  county  increasing  by  just  176   people.  If  the  population  increases  in  Gold  Hill  continue,  its  parks  will  have  added  demand  and   should  be  used  and  programed  to  the  appropriately  to  create  places  and  spaces  to  support  the   needs  of  a  growing  population.   The  population  projections  in  the  2007  Jackson  County  Comprehensive  Plan  Amendment   predict  an  increase  to  1,901  residents  by  2040.  This  is  681  more  residents  than  today’s  1,220,  a   76%  population  increase  at  an  average  annual  growth  rate  (AARG)  of  1.63%.  (The  Gold  Hill   Water  System  Master  Plan  used  the  same  AARG  to  project  the  population  by  2035.  The  Water   System  Master  Plan  determined  an  increase  to  1,754  residents  in  Gold  Hill.)   To         Galbraith  Associates   From   Ross  Peizer  and  Anya  Dobrowolski   SUBJECT   GOLD  HILL  OREGON  SOCIO  ECONOMIC  ANALYSIS  MEMO      
  • 2. Gold Hill Socio Economic Analysis December 2014 Page | 2   Table 1-1. Population Changes     Source:  U.S.  Census  Bureau,  2000  Summary  File  (SF  1)  100-­‐Percent  Data  and  2010  Demographic  Profile  Data   Age Characteristics The  age  of  a  city’s  residents  has  important  implications  for  parks  planning.  Age  groups  have   different  needs  and  desires  for  recreational  and  park  opportunities.  It  is  important  for  parks   systems  to  meet  the  recreation  needs  of  residents  of  all  ages.  Census  data  indicates  the  average   age  of  Gold  Hill  residents  is  increasing.     In  2010,  the  median  age  of  Gold  Hill  residents  was  approximately  43.9  years,  up  from  36.7  in   2000.  Table  1-­‐3  shows  the  gender  and  age  distribution  in  Gold  Hill  for  2000  and  2010.  The   number  of  people  aged  20-­‐64  grew  24%  and  65+  grew  44%;  this  suggests  that  the  city  should   consider  adults  and  seniors  in  the  location  and  design  of  park  facilities.  These  age  groups   indicate  a  need  for  certain  open  space  and  recreational  opportunities  such  as  walking  paths  for   the  seniors  and  exercise  equipment  for  adults.   Table 1-3. Gender and Age Distribution, Gold Hill, 2010 Source:  U.S.  Census  Bureau,  2000  Summary  File  (SF  1)  100-­‐Percent  Data  and  2010  Demographic  Profile  Data   Ethnicity and Race An  accurate  depiction  of  the  racial  background  and  ethnicities  of  a  city  are  important  to   planning  processes.  In  many  instances,  people  from  dissimilar  ethnic  backgrounds  use  parks   and  recreational  facilities  in  different  ways  than  other  residents.  For  example,  Hispanics  may   desire  sports  facilities  and  recreational  fields  that  provide  the  opportunity  to  play  competitive   or  recreational  soccer  with  friends  and  family  members.     Gold  hill  has  a  relatively  small  population  of  Hispanic  individuals—in  2000,  Hispanics  accounted   for  3.4%  of  the  total  population  with  36  individuals;  that  population  shrunk  to  33  individuals   that  currently  comprise  2.7%  of  the  total  population  of  Gold  Hill.  However,  national  and  state   demographic  statistics  indicate  the  Hispanic  population  are  growing  overall  and  will  continue  to  
  • 3. Gold Hill Socio Economic Analysis December 2014 Page | 3   grow  at  a  steady  pace.  For  example,  in  nearby  Medford,  the  Hispanic  population  between  the   2000  and  2010  census  increased  from  5,841  individuals  to  10,319  individuals.    Because  Gold  Hill   plans  to  use  its  parks  as  destinations  for  regional  tourism,  it  should  plan  to  provide  park   facilities  Hispanic  populations  traditionally  utilize.  The  following  Table  1-­‐6  displays  racial  and   ethnic  demographic  information  for  Gold  Hill  in  2000  and  2010.   Table 1-6. Race and Ethnicity, Gold Hill 2000 and 2010 Source:  U.S.  Census  Bureau,  2000  Summary  File  (SF  1)  100-­‐Percent  Data  and  2010  Demographic  Profile  Data   Persons with Disabilities Knowing  the  percentage  of  populations  with  disabilities  can  help  plan  for  parks  that   accommodate  all  types  of  people  at  any  ability  level.  As  shown  in  table  1-­‐7,  residents  with   disabilities  in  Gold  Hill  are  6.1%  higher  overall  than  in  Jackson  County.  Gold  Hill  has  a  higher   percentage  of  residents  with  disabilities  in  all  age  categories  except  the  under  18  age  group.   The  largest  percentage  difference  between  Gold  Hill  and  the  county  is  in  the  65+  age  group,   with  20.2%  more  residents  with  disabilities  than  the  county.  This  data  implies  that  ADA  walking   paths  and  surfaces  will  be  important  to  cater  to  the  higher  percentage  of  residents  with   disabilities  in  Gold  Hill.   Table 1-7. Residents with Disabilities Source:  2008-­‐2012  American  Community  Survey  (ACS)  5-­‐Year  Estimates.  The  ACS  classifies  residents  with  disabilities  for  anyone   who  reports  the  following  six  difficulties:  Hearing,  Vision,  Cognitive,  Ambulatory,  Self-­‐care  and  Independent  living.   Income Income,  industries  and  jobs  in  Gold  Hill  can  inform  what  days  and  times  of  day  parks  will  be   used.  The  median  annual  household  income  in  Jackson  County  is  approximately  $6,000  higher   than  Gold  Hill’s  median  household  income.  However,  the  family  median  income  in  Gold  Hill  is   just  $800  less  than  Jackson  County’s  as  seen  in  Table  1-­‐8.  The  poverty  level  is  higher  in  Gold  Hill   than  Jackson  County  but  unemployment  is  2.5%  lower  as  show  in  Table  1-­‐8.      
  • 4. Gold Hill Socio Economic Analysis December 2014 Page | 4   Table 1-8. Selected Economic Characteristics, Jackson County and Gold Hill, 2008-12 Source:  Selected  Economic  Characteristics  2008-­‐2012  American  Community  Survey  5-­‐Year  Estimates   Economy Gold  Hill’s  2012  Strategic  Plan  Update  Social  and  Economic  Trends  section  explains  the  history   of  the  mining  and  then  timber  industry  in  the  area.  Today,  Gold  Hill  is  a  bedroom  community   where  residents  mostly  work  in  White  City,  Medford  and  Grants  Pass.  The  largest  employers  in   Gold  Hill  are  the  local  schools,  Ray’s  Market  and  Sweed’s  Machinery,  Inc.     Gold  Hill  is  currently  prioritizing  more  tourist  activities  to  bring  travelers  off  the  highway  to   experience  wineries,  museums  and  outdoor  recreation  in  the  area.  For  example  the  Del  Rio   Vineyard  is  the  largest  planted  vineyard  track  in  Southern  Oregon  and  also  features  the  Rock   Point  Stage  Hotel.  Advanced  Aggregate  is  another  business  bringing  tourists  to  Gold  Hill  to  learn   about  Oregon  marble  production.     Gold  Hill  is  also  well  known  amongst  white  water  rafters  and  kayakers  for  the  class  4  rapids  in   the  Rogue  River  adjacent  to  Sports  Park.    With  the  removal  of  the  Gold  Hill  Dam  and  Gold  Ray   Dam  there  has  been  interest  and  a  master  plan  for  developing  the  sites  into  a  world-­‐class  white   water  facility.  If  this  happens,  a  facility  like  this  may  be  a  tourist  draw  for  Gold  Hill  in  a  state  well   known  for  outdoor  recreation.     KEY FINDINGS Gold  Hill’s  socio  economic  trends  help  inform  the  planning  and  development  of  individual  parks   and  the  system  as  a  whole.  The  community’s  age  distribution  highlights  the  current  and  future   need  of  parks  for  children,  teenagers  and  senior  populations.  Key  findings  and  conclusions  from   the  community  profile  include:   • Gold  Hill  should  plan  to  accommodate  a  growing  population  in  their  parks  system.     • Gold  Hill  should  anticipate  the  needs  of  a  growing  baby  boomer  and  senior  population  and  plan   to  develop  park  facilities  that  accommodate  these  age  groups.  See  the  Baby  Boomers  section   below  for  more  specific  recommendations.   • Gold  Hill  should  plan  for  a  Hispanic  community  and  work  with  those  communities  to  provide   parks  that  meet  their  needs.  See  Hispanic  Populations  section  below  for  more  specific   recommendations.   • Gold  Hill  should  plan  to  accommodate  residents  with  disabilities  and  mobility  impairments  in   the  parks  system.   • Gold  Hill’s  economy  is  growing  and  looking  to  expand  to  attract  more  visitors.  Gold  Hill  needs  to   be  prepared  for  the  increase  in  use  parks  due  to  an  expanding  tourist  economy.  
  • 5. Gold Hill Socio Economic Analysis December 2014 Page | 5   POPULATION-SPECIFIC FINDINGS This  section  includes  information  from  the  SCORP  for  serving  user  groups  identified  in  the  Gold   Hill  socio  economic  analysis.  These  findings  should  be  used  to  supplement  the  socio  economic   findings  to  best  meet  the  needs  of  specific  user  groups.     Baby Boomers The  SCORP  indicates  that  the  most  popular  activities  for  boomer  and  pre-­‐boomer1  populations   in  (2008)  included  walking,  bird  watching,  jogging,  sightseeing,  and  bicycling. Walking  was  a  popular  outdoor  recreation  activity  for  all  age  groups  and  was  chosen  as  the  top   activity  for  both  boomers  and  pre-­‐boomer  populations.  SCORP  makes  several   recommendations  for  serving  the  baby  boomer  population  that  are  relevant  to  Gold  Hill:     • Develop  accessible  trails  in  remote  settings  in  close  proximity  to  urban  areas     • Encourage  trail  use  by  making  sure  trails  are  safe  and  accessible   • Information  about  trail  systems  should  be  made  easily  available  to  these  users  both  online  and   hard  copy   • Facilitate  the  development  of  local  senior  walking  clubs     • Develop  volunteer  opportunities  for  the  boomer  population   Hispanic Populations The  demographics  section  notes  the  need  to  consider  the  needs  of  an  expanding  state-­‐wide   Hispanic  population.  The  following  recommendations  were  made  by  the  State  of  Oregon  Parks   and  Recreation  Department  (OPRD)  in  SCORP  to  address  this  need:   • Encourage  organizational  culture  change  within  public  recreation  agencies/organizations  to   effectively  address  the  diversity  issue   • Create  a  pilot  project  to  identify  how  to  increase  under-­‐represented  population  access  to   outdoor  sports  fields   • Develop  recommendations  for  addressing  language  barriers  to  encourage  under-­‐represented   population  use  of  outdoor  recreation  facilities  and  programs   • For  example,  signage  and  interpretive  information  should  be  presented  in  a  bilingual  format  so   that  Hispanics  are  accommodated  in  the  park  system.   • Create  a  customer  service  training  module  related  to  serving  the  outdoor  recreation  needs  of  on   increasingly  diverse  population     • Develop  and  implement  a  regional  youth  framework  to  encourage  underrepresented  youth   participation  in  outdoor  recreation  activities  through  partnerships  and  investments  in  school   based  recreation  clubs   Youth Even  though  Gold  Hill  has  not  shown  an  increase  in  youth  populations,  the  following  research  is   helpful  if  current  trends  shift.  SCORP  research  shows  that  children  are  spending  increasingly                                                                                                                   1  Baby  Boomers  are  Oregon  residents  born  between  1946  through  1964,  while  PreBoomers  are  Oregon  residents  born  between   1926  and  1945.  
  • 6. Gold Hill Socio Economic Analysis December 2014 Page | 6   more  time  indoors  than  outdoors.  SCORP  conducted  surveys  and  focus  groups  to  help   determine  solutions  to  this  problem.  The  following  results  show  the  favorite  and  second   favorite  ranked  activities  by  age  range.   Table 1-9. Favorite and second favorite activities, by youth age   Source:  Statewide  Comprehensive  Outdoor  Recreation  Plan  (SCORP),  2008   SOURCES Gold  Hill  2012  Strategic  Plan  Update     Gold  Hill  Water  Master  Plan,  2014.   Jackson  County  Comprehensive  Plan’s  Population  Element,  2007.   National  Recreation  and  Park  Association     Oregon  Parks  and  Recreation  Department   Statewide  Comprehensive  Outdoor  Recreation  Plan  (SCORP),  January  2008,  Department  of   Parks  and  Recreation  http://www.oregon.gov/oprd/PLANS/docs/scorp/2008-­‐ 2012_SCORP/2008_Scorp_Final_Web.pdf   U.S.  Census  and  American  Community  Survey