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Agreeing Persistent
Keystone Elements
Can’t separate planning for Melbourne
from planning for Geelong
TransportCamp Melbourne, 1 November 2014
Tony Smith, @ynotds, Kororoit Institute
?
?
• Melbourne + Geelong population from 1.32 million
to 4.65 million in my life time
• Consistent historic doubling time around 40 years
• Should be planning for at least 10 million, learning
from London and New York City
• Hopefully that will get us through more than 50
years to some signs of slowing down
• Melbourne was a major world city in 1890 — these
numbers are just getting back near curve
Fixing planning deficit
• Break down the silos
• One size does not fit all
• Keystone elements facilitate, beneficially constrain
• Must have agreed understanding, timing flexibility
• Connecting steps proceed in confident anticipation
• Geelong’s well known issues, keystone possibilities
• Focusing here on heavy rail and some highways
Geelong Rail Bandaids
• (Pending) Regional Rail switchover
• (Once promised) Avalon Airport connection
• North Geelong, North Shore & Corio stations
• Rail Revival to Ballarat, Maryborough, Castlemaine
• Geelong Station Heritage & Disability compliance
• New Waurn Ponds station (just open)
• Proposed new line to Armstrong Creek & Torquay
• Breakwater to Drysdale restoration (elevated?)
• RRL
• Avalon
• Corio
• North Shore
• North
Geelong
• Rail Revival
• Geelong
Station
• Waurn
Ponds
• Surf Coast
• Bellarine
🚉
🚉
🚉
🚉
🚉
Regional Rail Link switchover
Meet Wyndham Vale, Tarneit, Sunshine
Authorised by the Victorian Gove rnment, 1 Treasury Place, Melbou rne
Avalon Airport Rail Link preferred alignment
Lara
Little River
You Yangs Rd
Peak School Rd
Branch Rd
Peak School Rd
Calvert Rd
EdgarsRd
FarrarsRd
PerkinsRd
GilletsRd
FlindersAve
ForestRdNorth
ForestRdSouth
RennieSt
MinnsRd
HughesRd
CherrySwampRd
CherrySwampRd
PoustiesRd
AirportDr
AvalonRd
PRINCES FWY
M
ELBO
URNE
–
G
EELO
NG
RAIL
LINE
PRINCES
FW
Y
Old
M
elbourne
Rd
M
ill Rd
O
ld
M
elbourne
Rd
Beach Rd
Beach Rd
McIntyre Rd
Windermere Rd
Plains Rd
McClelland Ave
Cozens Rd
0 200 600 1000
N Scale: Metres
PRINCES FWY
AVALON
AIRPORT
TO
M
ELBOURNE
TO
G
EELO
NG
Legend
Preferred Alignment
Study Area
Avalon Airport
Avalon passenger terminal
Built up areas
Railway stations
Rail line
Freeway
Castlemaine – Bendigo
Geelong
Melbourne
Ballarat
Melbourne–BendigoRailway
To Warrnambool
To Ararat
Lethbridge
Meredith
Lal Lal
Creswick
Tourello
Bannockburn
Gheringhap
Clunes
Talbot
To Ararat
To Seymour
Distance: 87 km
N
Melbourne – Ballarat Railway
Distance: 69 km
North Geelong
Bell Post Hill
M
elbourne – Geelong Railway
Rail Revival to Ballarat, Bendigo
Armstrong Creek Urban Growth Zone
Ring Road connector to Surf Coast Hwy under construction
Apple Maps, nearmap & Victorian Government Planning Maps views
Breakwater-Drysdale Rail Trail/Reservation
Potential Keystones
• Bay West Port of Melbourne replacement
• Outer Metropolitan Ring (road & rail)
• Newport to Fishermans Bend rail alignment
• 1876 single track tunnel & downtown Geelong
• Power easement (NW) Melbourne to (NW) Geelong
• Eastern bypass across Corio Bay, drawbridge
• Direct peninsulas connection Bellarine-Mornington
🚢
★Bay West
★OMR
★Newport
Tunnel
★Central
Geelong
U’ground
★Power
Easement
★Eastern
Bypass
★Nepean
Bay Bar
• Hastings v Bay West likely to be faux battle
• If freight volume stays near curve, value of real estate
occupied by current Port of Melbourne will kill it
• Neither new site big enough, so will need both
• Which one first?
• Would Bay West survive more than one development
cycle?
Adam Carey
in Fairfax
papers, 20
August 2014:
Third option
emerges for
Labor's Bay
West port
Outer Metropolitan Ring
• In 2010 even VicRoads was treating the then newly
minted Transport Integration Act seriously enough
• Multiagency information sessions for Regional Rail
Link, Urban Growth Boundary expansion, Werribee
Plains grassland reserves and OMR+E6 (to east)
• Planning for 8 freeway lanes + 4 rail tracks Kalkallo
to further west of Werribee than RRL junction
• What in/via G21 Region would use that capacity?
• OMR’s southwestern terminal
well aligned to serve Bay West
• Is there a chance for Geelong
to serve western growth areas
alternative to Melbourne CBD?
• Double catchment of Geelong
• Increase value of brownfield
sites Corio and North Shore
• Impact on Princes Freeway
West of OMR-bound traffic?
• Direct route to Tullamarine
negative impact on Avalon?
• Viable staging priorities for
project of size of OMR?
Stephen Moynihan
in The Age,
9 August 2007:
Rail City:
blueprint looks
at city's options
• Many of the
suggested
new lines
well known
• Many more
just fanciful
• First hint of
RRL route
• Newport via
Fishermens
Bend crucial
All trains heading to or returning from south of Geelong
Station must pass through this single track tunnel opened
in 1876 which is too low for modern container freight
• Rather than trying to duplicate
1876 tunnel, create new pair &
station under Geelong CBD
• Start on closed pier alignment
• Station beneath Moorabool &
Ryrie bisecting arc to Yarra St
• Reposition South Geelong
station in cutting in car park
• When new line operational,
lower tracks in tunnel to take
full height container freight
• Triplicate South Geelong to
Breakwater and duplicate
beyond in all directions
Old Pier tracks crossing
Brougham St underpass
Bridge on Mercer St
over closed Pier line
View north down
Moorabool crossing Ryrie
Old Pier line resurfacing
cnr Gheringhap & Corio
Powerline Reservation Route
As too frequent traveller from Melbourne’s
northwestern suburbs to & past Geelong,
I’ve long wanted alternative to Princes Fwy.
A powerline reservation route from bend in
Deer Park Bypass to bend in Geelong Ring
Road is 10 Km shorter than Apple Maps’s
best current route between those points.
Easy interchange with OMR would further
expand choices in ways which could keep
lid on demand/congestion on Princes Fwy.
Marine charts and satellite maps suggest practical route for
eastern Geelong bypass between Inner and Outer harbours
but only with deployment of drawbridge technology that is
common place in NSW but seemingly unknown in Victoria
?
?
Nepean Bay Bar
• Won’t let 3 Km of water stop connecting a million in
G21 region with a million on Mornington Peninsula
• Bridge to rival Golden Gate?
• Tunnel to rival Marmaray beneath the Bosphorus?
• Or reconsolidate Nepean Bay Bar which kept Port
Phillip Bay almost empty 1,000 years ago?
• Potential climate/sea level change amelioration strategy
• Move on from Bay West to Bay South
• G. R. Holdgate, B. Wagstaff & S. J. Gallagher 2011
• Where have we got re opening/implicit assertions?
• Agreeing Persistent Keystone Elements
• The seven Keystone Elements outlined feed off each other and
creatively constrain more detailed planning decisions
• Some will need multigenerational staged implementation
• Port Phillip Bay following comparable path to Zuiderzee in The
Netherlands may be unavoidable game changer
• Can’t separate planning for Melbourne from
planning for Geelong
• Jurisdictional lines in the sand have their uses and their downsides
but, history aside, they are no longer helpful here
Additional Acknowledgements
• Plan Melbourne
• G21 Regional Growth Plan
• Regional Rail Link
• Avalon Airport Rail Link
• Rail Revival Study: Geelong-Ballarat-Bendigo
• Outer metropolitan ring/E6 transport corridor
• Port Phillip Recreational Boating Guide - Parks Victoria
• Apple Maps, nearmap, Planning Maps Online
• Separately linked Fairfax papers, Nepean Bay Bar paper and
Wikipedia for info on Eaolianite limestone, Zuiderzee
• Robert Whitehill's Rye Line for Mornington Peninsula side
Tony Smith, @ynotds, ts@meme.com.au, Kororoit Institute

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Agreeing Persistent Keystone Elements: planning for Geelong & Melbourne

  • 1. Agreeing Persistent Keystone Elements Can’t separate planning for Melbourne from planning for Geelong TransportCamp Melbourne, 1 November 2014 Tony Smith, @ynotds, Kororoit Institute
  • 2. ?
  • 3. ?
  • 4. • Melbourne + Geelong population from 1.32 million to 4.65 million in my life time • Consistent historic doubling time around 40 years • Should be planning for at least 10 million, learning from London and New York City • Hopefully that will get us through more than 50 years to some signs of slowing down • Melbourne was a major world city in 1890 — these numbers are just getting back near curve
  • 5. Fixing planning deficit • Break down the silos • One size does not fit all • Keystone elements facilitate, beneficially constrain • Must have agreed understanding, timing flexibility • Connecting steps proceed in confident anticipation • Geelong’s well known issues, keystone possibilities • Focusing here on heavy rail and some highways
  • 6. Geelong Rail Bandaids • (Pending) Regional Rail switchover • (Once promised) Avalon Airport connection • North Geelong, North Shore & Corio stations • Rail Revival to Ballarat, Maryborough, Castlemaine • Geelong Station Heritage & Disability compliance • New Waurn Ponds station (just open) • Proposed new line to Armstrong Creek & Torquay • Breakwater to Drysdale restoration (elevated?)
  • 7. • RRL • Avalon • Corio • North Shore • North Geelong • Rail Revival • Geelong Station • Waurn Ponds • Surf Coast • Bellarine 🚉 🚉 🚉 🚉 🚉
  • 8. Regional Rail Link switchover Meet Wyndham Vale, Tarneit, Sunshine
  • 9. Authorised by the Victorian Gove rnment, 1 Treasury Place, Melbou rne Avalon Airport Rail Link preferred alignment Lara Little River You Yangs Rd Peak School Rd Branch Rd Peak School Rd Calvert Rd EdgarsRd FarrarsRd PerkinsRd GilletsRd FlindersAve ForestRdNorth ForestRdSouth RennieSt MinnsRd HughesRd CherrySwampRd CherrySwampRd PoustiesRd AirportDr AvalonRd PRINCES FWY M ELBO URNE – G EELO NG RAIL LINE PRINCES FW Y Old M elbourne Rd M ill Rd O ld M elbourne Rd Beach Rd Beach Rd McIntyre Rd Windermere Rd Plains Rd McClelland Ave Cozens Rd 0 200 600 1000 N Scale: Metres PRINCES FWY AVALON AIRPORT TO M ELBOURNE TO G EELO NG Legend Preferred Alignment Study Area Avalon Airport Avalon passenger terminal Built up areas Railway stations Rail line Freeway
  • 10.
  • 11. Castlemaine – Bendigo Geelong Melbourne Ballarat Melbourne–BendigoRailway To Warrnambool To Ararat Lethbridge Meredith Lal Lal Creswick Tourello Bannockburn Gheringhap Clunes Talbot To Ararat To Seymour Distance: 87 km N Melbourne – Ballarat Railway Distance: 69 km North Geelong Bell Post Hill M elbourne – Geelong Railway Rail Revival to Ballarat, Bendigo
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14. Armstrong Creek Urban Growth Zone Ring Road connector to Surf Coast Hwy under construction
  • 15. Apple Maps, nearmap & Victorian Government Planning Maps views Breakwater-Drysdale Rail Trail/Reservation
  • 16. Potential Keystones • Bay West Port of Melbourne replacement • Outer Metropolitan Ring (road & rail) • Newport to Fishermans Bend rail alignment • 1876 single track tunnel & downtown Geelong • Power easement (NW) Melbourne to (NW) Geelong • Eastern bypass across Corio Bay, drawbridge • Direct peninsulas connection Bellarine-Mornington
  • 18. • Hastings v Bay West likely to be faux battle • If freight volume stays near curve, value of real estate occupied by current Port of Melbourne will kill it • Neither new site big enough, so will need both • Which one first? • Would Bay West survive more than one development cycle? Adam Carey in Fairfax papers, 20 August 2014: Third option emerges for Labor's Bay West port
  • 19. Outer Metropolitan Ring • In 2010 even VicRoads was treating the then newly minted Transport Integration Act seriously enough • Multiagency information sessions for Regional Rail Link, Urban Growth Boundary expansion, Werribee Plains grassland reserves and OMR+E6 (to east) • Planning for 8 freeway lanes + 4 rail tracks Kalkallo to further west of Werribee than RRL junction • What in/via G21 Region would use that capacity?
  • 20. • OMR’s southwestern terminal well aligned to serve Bay West • Is there a chance for Geelong to serve western growth areas alternative to Melbourne CBD? • Double catchment of Geelong • Increase value of brownfield sites Corio and North Shore • Impact on Princes Freeway West of OMR-bound traffic? • Direct route to Tullamarine negative impact on Avalon? • Viable staging priorities for project of size of OMR?
  • 21. Stephen Moynihan in The Age, 9 August 2007: Rail City: blueprint looks at city's options • Many of the suggested new lines well known • Many more just fanciful • First hint of RRL route • Newport via Fishermens Bend crucial
  • 22. All trains heading to or returning from south of Geelong Station must pass through this single track tunnel opened in 1876 which is too low for modern container freight
  • 23. • Rather than trying to duplicate 1876 tunnel, create new pair & station under Geelong CBD • Start on closed pier alignment • Station beneath Moorabool & Ryrie bisecting arc to Yarra St • Reposition South Geelong station in cutting in car park • When new line operational, lower tracks in tunnel to take full height container freight • Triplicate South Geelong to Breakwater and duplicate beyond in all directions
  • 24. Old Pier tracks crossing Brougham St underpass Bridge on Mercer St over closed Pier line View north down Moorabool crossing Ryrie Old Pier line resurfacing cnr Gheringhap & Corio
  • 25. Powerline Reservation Route As too frequent traveller from Melbourne’s northwestern suburbs to & past Geelong, I’ve long wanted alternative to Princes Fwy. A powerline reservation route from bend in Deer Park Bypass to bend in Geelong Ring Road is 10 Km shorter than Apple Maps’s best current route between those points. Easy interchange with OMR would further expand choices in ways which could keep lid on demand/congestion on Princes Fwy.
  • 26. Marine charts and satellite maps suggest practical route for eastern Geelong bypass between Inner and Outer harbours but only with deployment of drawbridge technology that is common place in NSW but seemingly unknown in Victoria
  • 27. ?
  • 28. ?
  • 29. Nepean Bay Bar • Won’t let 3 Km of water stop connecting a million in G21 region with a million on Mornington Peninsula • Bridge to rival Golden Gate? • Tunnel to rival Marmaray beneath the Bosphorus? • Or reconsolidate Nepean Bay Bar which kept Port Phillip Bay almost empty 1,000 years ago? • Potential climate/sea level change amelioration strategy • Move on from Bay West to Bay South • G. R. Holdgate, B. Wagstaff & S. J. Gallagher 2011
  • 30.
  • 31. • Where have we got re opening/implicit assertions? • Agreeing Persistent Keystone Elements • The seven Keystone Elements outlined feed off each other and creatively constrain more detailed planning decisions • Some will need multigenerational staged implementation • Port Phillip Bay following comparable path to Zuiderzee in The Netherlands may be unavoidable game changer • Can’t separate planning for Melbourne from planning for Geelong • Jurisdictional lines in the sand have their uses and their downsides but, history aside, they are no longer helpful here
  • 32. Additional Acknowledgements • Plan Melbourne • G21 Regional Growth Plan • Regional Rail Link • Avalon Airport Rail Link • Rail Revival Study: Geelong-Ballarat-Bendigo • Outer metropolitan ring/E6 transport corridor • Port Phillip Recreational Boating Guide - Parks Victoria • Apple Maps, nearmap, Planning Maps Online • Separately linked Fairfax papers, Nepean Bay Bar paper and Wikipedia for info on Eaolianite limestone, Zuiderzee • Robert Whitehill's Rye Line for Mornington Peninsula side Tony Smith, @ynotds, ts@meme.com.au, Kororoit Institute